SPORTS ADVISORS
NFL
Arizona (8-4 SU and ATS) at San Francisco (5-7, 7-3-2 ATS)
The Cardinals head to Candlestick Park in San Francisco looking to clinch a playoff spot and their second straight NFC West title with a victory over the 49ers.
Arizona is coming off last week’s dominating 30-17 rout of NFC North-leading Minnesota. Quarterback Kurt Warner threw for 285 yards and three TDs with big days from WRs Anquan Boldin (seven catches, 98 yards, two TDs) and Larry Fitzgerald (eight catches, 143 yards, one TD). The Arizona offense is ranked fifth in the NFL, averaging 266.8 yards a game, however the defense – despite last week’s strong effort against the Vikings – is ranked 24th, giving up 363 yards per contest.
San Francisco has alternated wins and losses in each of its last five games (2-2-1 ATS), coming up short in Seattle last weekend 20-17 as a one-point favorite. QB Alex Smith threw for a career-best 310 yards with two TDs against the Seahawks, but the offense is still ranked 28th in the league, managing just 285.4 total ypg.
The 49ers opened this season with a 20-16 victory at Arizona as a 5½-point underdog. However, Arizona swept the season series last year, including a 23-13 season-opening win in San Francisco as a one-point favorite. The visitor has cashed in eight straight meetings in this rivalry, and the Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last four trips to northern California.
Arizona is on a plethora of positive ATS runs, including 4-1 overall, 6-1 on the road, 9-3 against NFC teams, 8-3 against division foes and 8-3 after a spread-cover. San Francisco is riding ATS streaks of 10-4-3 overall, 6-2-1 at home, 15-5 on Monday, 6-0-2 as an underdog and 5-2 against NFC West rivals.
The Cardinals have topped the posted total in 14 of 17 December games and 37 of 53 games against teams with losing records, but they are on “under” streaks of 7-3 overall, 4-1 on the highway and 4-0 as a road favorite. The Niners are on “under” streaks of 5-1 in December, 9-3 as a home ‘dog and 5-0 in NFC West games.
Finally, the last five Monday Night Football contests have stayed under the total, following a 19-5-1 “over” stretch on Mondays.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ARIZONA and UNDER
NBA
Oklahoma City (12-10, 13-9 ATS) at Denver (17-7, 13-11 ATS)
The Nuggets will try to make it five in a row over the Thunder when they welcome their Northwest Division rivals to the Pepsi Center.
Oklahoma City has won five of their last eight (SU and ATS), but dropped a 102-89 decision to the Cavaliers on Sunday in Oklahoma City, failing as 3½-point home underdogs. The Thunder have won consecutive roadies, including Friday’s 102-94 victory at Memphis as a two-point ‘dog.
Denver has dropped two of its last three (0-3 ATS), but rallied for a 105-99 win over the Suns on Saturday, coming up short as a nine-point home favorite. The Nuggets are 10-1 (7-4 ATS) in front of the home fans this season, where they average 116.1 points a game and shoot 49.5 percent from the floor.
The Nuggets swept the four-game season series from Oklahoma City last year, but the Thunder got the cash in each of the four games and are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings (all as an underdog). In the two contests at the Pepsi Center, Denver prevailed 112-99 (coming up short as a 13½-point favorite) and 122-112 (falling short as a 13-point chalk). The winner has scored a minimum of 112 points in each of the last nine meetings.
The Thunder are on ATS runs of 5-2 on the road and 6-1 on Monday, while Denver comes in on ATS streaks of 15-6 at home, 36-17 against Western Conference teams and 7-0 on Monday.
Oklahoma City has stayed below the posted total in four of five against Western Conference teams and five of six on Monday, but it is on “over” runs of 9-4-1 overall, 10-4-1 on the road and 5-1 when playing the second night of a back-to-back. Denver has topped the total in four of five against teams with winning records, but it is on “under” streaks of 4-1 after getting a day off, 5-2 at home and 5-1 against Western Conference teams.
Finally, the over is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings between these two and 4-0 in the past four clashes in Denver.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Vegas Vic
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Cardinals (-3) over 49ERS
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With weapons like Larry Fitzgerald (eight catches, 143 yards and one TD Sunday against theVikings) and Anquan Boldin (seven catches, 98 yards and two TDs) running wild, Kurt Warner's life is really not that complicated. Arizona has covered six of the last eight overall, with one push, and six of the last seven on the road. And since San Francisco has abandoned the running game (53 yards Sunday), the Cards will pound the one-dimensional Niners for an easy win.
Randall the Handle
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Cardinals @ 49ers
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Cardinals appeared to be suffering Super Bowl hangover when these two met in season opener with Niners prevailing 20-16. Arizona has pulled it together since and is peaking at right time. Niners getting too much respect here for pedestrian team. TAKING: Arizona –3
SPORTS WAGERS
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SAN FRANCISCO +3½ over Arizona
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The Cardinals look to be the stronger play here and one could not be faulted for laying the 3½-points. However, The Cardinals may be a little too high after that big win in prime time last week against the Vikes. Anyone that watched that game had to be impressed with the Cardinals and anyone that bet against the Cardinals would have a tough time pulling the trigger against them here. Not only was the Cards offense running like a well-oiled machine, its defense was outstanding in holding Adrian Peterson to near nothing and making Brett Favre look like a 40-year old QB. Now the Cards are on the verge of another division championship and if it doesn’t happen here it’ll inevitably happen later. The 49ers always play the Cards tough and they have the defense to do it again. Alex Smith went off for a big game last week despite losing and with Smith going good and with a defense that can smash, give the 49ers a good shot to pull the upset. Also consider the Monday night home-dog angle, an angle that has ruined bettors over the years that lay the points. No doubt the Cards are superior but if the superior team won every game we’d all be rich and this one has pooch written all over it. Seldom is playing the home dog on Monday night a bad wager and the 49ers will be absolutely jacked up to prevent the Cards from a celebration in their house. I’m going to pass but if I had to, I’d take the points because I absolutely refuse to lay 3½-road points on Monday night, especially after that giant win by the Cards. Play: San Francisco +3½
JIM FEIST
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BOSTON CELTICS / MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
TAKE: MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
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The Boston Celtics (19-4 SU, 11-12 ATS) have rattled off 10 straight wins after a convincing victory over teh Bulls on Saturday, 106-80. The Celtics are playing the last of a long string of away games. This will be Boston's seventh road game in their last eight overall contests. The Grizzlies (10-13 SU, 10-12 ATS) are coming off a blowout win at Miami on Sunday, 118-90. Rudy Gay had 41 points to lead the Grizzlies. The win was the fourth in the last five games for Memphis including a two-point win at home over the Cavs on Dec., 8th. The Grizzlies have done well against the Celtics, going 19-7-1 ATS the last 27 meetings and 8-3 the last 11. Considering how well the Grizzlies have played lately, this is just too many points to pass on. We'll take the home team here and the points.
DUNKEL INDEX
Arizona at San Francisco
The 49ers look to build on their 6-0-2 ATS record in their last 8 games as an underdog. San Francisco is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3 1/2)
Game 133-134: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 135.628; San Francisco 134.079
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3 1/2); Under
NBA
Minnesota at Utah
The Timberwolves look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games as an underdog. Minnesota is the pick (+13) according to Dunkel, which has the Jazz favored by only 11. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+13)
Game 501-502: Indiana at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 111.729; Orlando 125.563
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 14; 206
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 503-504: Golden State at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 114.511; Philadelphia 116.058
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+4); Under
Game 505-506: Boston at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 125.323; Memphis 120.466
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 9; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+9); Over
Game 507-508: New Orleans at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.723; Dallas 123.861
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 8; 196
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-8); Under
Game 509-510: Minnesota at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 112.005; Utah 122.844
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 11; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 13; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+13); Under
Game 511-512: Oklahoma City at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 118.318; Denver 123.878
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 5 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 10 1/2; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+10 1/2); Over
Game 513-514: Washington at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 114.447; LA Clippers 116.224
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NCAAB
Troy at Houston
The Trojans look to take advantage of a Houston team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a home favorite. Troy is the pick (+13 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cougars favored by only 11. Dunkel Pick: Troy (+13 1/2)
Game 515-516: Florida Atlantic at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 47.435; New Orleans 51.057
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3)
Game 517-518: Troy at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 53.949; Houston 64.842
Dunkel Line: Houston by 11
Vegas Line: Houston by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+13 1/2)
Game 519-520: Georgia Tech at Chattanooga
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 63.966; Chattanooga 50.395
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 15
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+15)
NHL
Phoenix at Detroit
The Coyotes are coming off a 2-1 win over San Jose and look to build on their 6-1 record in their last 7 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. Phoenix is the pick (+160) according to Dunkel, which has the Coyotes favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+160)
Game 1-2: Florida at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.106; NY Islanders 11.499
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-145); Over
Game 3-4: Atlanta at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 10.683; NY Rangers 10.706
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-140); 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-140); Under
Game 5-6: Nashville at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.301; Columbus 10.519
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+120); Over
Game 7-8: Ottawa at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.389; Toronto 11.825
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+125); Under
Game 9-10: Philadelphia at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.137; Boston 11.588
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-145); Under
Game 11-12: Buffalo at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 12.011; Montreal 11.983
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-130); Under
Game 13-14: Phoenix at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 12.146; Detroit 11.478
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+160); Over
Game 15-16: Los Angeles at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.383; Vancouver 12.846
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-175); Over
SPORTS WAGERS
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Florida +1.33 over NY ISLANDERS
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The Islanders have scored two goals or less in five of its last six game. The Islanders are also the only team to lose to Philadelphia in the last month or so and they didn’t just lose, they were shredded, 6-2. The beat the Bruins on Saturday but it was not the team that beat Boston it was the goaltending of Dwayne Roloson. The Islanders were badly outplayed again. In fact, the Islanders have been held to 27 shots on net or less in seven of its last 10 games and have now dropped three of its last four. The Panthers are coming off a weekend in which they took three out of a possible four points on the road in New Jersey and Pittsburgh. They’re playing good again and because nobody gives a rat’s ass what they do, they’re considered to be a weak team when in fact they’re not. Once again the Panthers offer up some decent value against an improved Islander team but one that is much more appealing in the role of the underdog. Play: Florida +1.33 (Risking 2 units).
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Phoenix +1.66 over DETROIT
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Win, lose or draw this is without doubt one of the biggest overlays of the month and thus, it’s a must bet. For one, the Coyotes are among the hottest teams in the league and secondly, Ilya Bryzgalov is the leading candidate for the Vezina trophy. The guy has been lights out all year and those two things alone make the Coyotes very appealing at this price. The Coyotes have picked up 13 of a possible 14 points over its last seven games. Included in there are wins over San Jose and Calgary and an OT loss in Los Angeles. Phoenix is tough to play against because of its strong two-way game and outstanding goaltending. The Red Wings have proven that they casn be beat this year a lot easier than years gone by. They’re definitely playing a better and they’re still one of the league’s elite but they’re no longer dominant and they’ve really struggled offensively. The Coyotes have a significant edge in net too. Big overlay. Play: Phoenix +1.66 (Risking 2 units).
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Ottawa +1.14 over TORONTO
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The Leafs stock is a little too high right now after beating the Caps on Saturday night, 6-3. Don’t be too swayed by that, as the Caps were playing on fumes and blew a 2-0 first period lead. Washington is also suffering from poor goaltending and that, too, helped the Leafs come back. Playing against the disciplined Senators will be a whole different story. Ottawa will play about as fundamentally sound as anyone and that’s a style the Leafs do not like. Toronto has a huge propensity for falling behind and should that come to pass here the Leafs will have a difficult time coming back. Besides, the Senators are playing well again after a bit of a funk. They’ve won three of four and its only loss over that stretch was to the Habs in which they outshot Montreal 46-27. The Leafs have had trouble all year against tough, defensive minded teams like the Sens, and against Ottawa this season the Leafs are 0-2 with just three goals scored. Play: Ottawa +1.14 (Risking 2 units).
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BOSTON -½ +1.13 over Philadelphia
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The Bruins are hot and feeling it while the Flyers are in a deep funk and no end is in sight. Nothing is going right for Philly. They have serious goaltending issues and to make it worse they’re tooth and nails to score even a single goal. Throw out that recent 6-2 win over the Islanders and Philly has scored just four goals in six games. They’ve been shutout in three of its last seven games and they’ve scored more than once just two times over its last seven. It simply does not get much worse and thus, it’s hard to imagine this one turning out any other way. Play: Boston -½ +1.13 (Risking 2 units).
Karl Garrett
Arizona -3' at SAN FRANCISCO
It is interesting to the G-Man that this total has actually inched up a little since I last looked. Not sure why, as I feel the UNDER is definitely the way to go this Monday night.
These teams played UNDER the total in the first meeting of the year way back on Week One of the campaign, and Arizona's last 2 visits to the Bay Area have resulted in LOW-SCORING affairs in both meetings.
The Cards are actually on a 7-3 UNDER run their last 10 games played, while the Niners are on a 5-1 UNDER run their last 6 December football games.
It is also important to note that after a bevy of OVERS on Monday night to start the year, 5 straight Monday nighters have played UNDER the posted total.
G-Man will go UNDER the posted total in tonight's Cards-Niners battle.
4♦ UNDER
Jeff Benton
Boston -8' at MEMPHIS
Hope you took advantage of yet another NFL freebie winner Sunday, as the Texans destroyed the Seahawks. For Monday, I’ll go to the NBA and lay the chalk with the Celtics at Memphis.
Don’t look now, but Boston has won 10 in a row, and after a 2-10 ATS lull, the Celtics have cashed in six of their last eight, including five of six on the road. For the season, Boston has won 11 of 12 as a visitor.
The Celtics have defeated the Grizzlies five straight times, with four of those five wins coming by nine points or more (which would cover this spread tonight). Last year when they went to Memphis, the C’s
departed with a 105-87 win as an eight-point road favorite.
Also, while Boston is on ATS runs of 5-1 on the road, 15-5 against the Southwest Division, 5-2 as a favorite and 4-1 as a road chalk, Memphis is in pointspread slumps of 3-7 against winning teams, 7-18-1 at home against opponents with a winning road record and 1-5 when playing on back-to-back nights. And even though Memphis shocked the Heat 118-90 as a 6½-point road underdog yesterday, it has covered the spread in back-to-back games just once in its last 11 games (and only three times all season).
Finally, the Celtics get three full days off after this game – they don’t play again until Friday’s at home against Philadelphia – meaning their veteran starters should see extended minutes even with a big lead in the fourth quarter. That should guard against any possible backdoor cover by Memphis.
3♦ BOSTON
Bobby Maxwell
Oklahoma City +10' at DENVER
Improved to 26-13 with my FREE selections as the Jets got it done with ease on Sunday against the Bucs. Today I've got another comp winner for you as I go with the Thunder to get within the number in Denver against the Nuggets.
When these two teams get together it always seems to be a slugfest and while Denver usually comes out on top of the fight, the Thunder usually get the cash. Oklahoma City has cashed in each of the last five meetings as these two put us some serious points.
The winner of the game has scored 112 points in each of the last nine meetings. Last year, Denver won all four games, but the high-scoring Thunder were always right behind when the final buzzer sounded, getting inside the number.
Oklahoma City lost on Sunday at home to the Cavaliers, but that shouldn't bother the young legs of Kevin Durant and Russel Westbrook. This roster is deep and young and they will hang in with the Nuggets just like always.
Grab the double-digit points and play the Thunder in this one.
3♦ OKLAHOMA CITY
Tony Weston
Another strong Comp Play winner as the Green Bay Packers take care of business and get a solid victory Sunday.
That’s now 4 straight Comp Play winners that I’ve delivered. Tonight, I’m making it 5 in a row as I’m taking the Boston Celtics on the road at the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Celts come into this game riding a 10-game SU winning streak. In that stretch Boston has covered in 6 of its last 8 games, including Saturday’s easy 106-80 victory over the Bulls as a 9 1/2 point favorite.
Now Boston gets to take on a Grizzlies team that’s just 3-4 ATS its last 7 games.
Consider, too, the Celts are outscoring their opponents, on average, by about 10 points per game (100.4-90.6) and are winning by 10 points per game on the road (99.5-89.5).
Tonight, Boston is laying about 8 1/2 points and will cruise to another victory.
3♦ CELTICS
EZWINNERS
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New Orleans Hornets @ Dallas Mavericks
Play: Dallas Mavericks -8
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The Hornets have won three out of their last four games, but they are still not playing very well. Two out of those three wins came against the Timberwolves and the last one was only a one point victory. The disturbing part of that game against Minnesota is that the Hornets made the Timberwolves offense look like clockwork and Minnesota dominated the glass. In their last game the Hornets lost by 17 points at home to the Knicks! New Orleans will be out classed in this game by a Dallas team that has won seven out of their last ten games. The favorite is 21-7-1 against the spread in the last 29 meetings between these two teams. Lay the points.
BIG AL
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Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets
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This is a tough spot for the Thunder. They had to play last night at home vs. the Cavaliers, while Denver was rested following its win Saturday night over Phoenix. The Nuggets actually trailed that game by 17 points, but roared back for a six-point win, 105-99. That game also snapped a 2-game losing streak (though Denver is still on a 3-game ATS losing streak), and Denver should find the going much easier against a team it defeated all four times last season. And the last two times this season that the Thunder played without rest, it didn't do very well. On November 18, Oklahoma City was blown out by Orlando the night after upsetting Miami. And on November 15, the Clippers defeated the Thunder after Oklahoma City won in San Antonio the night before. Look for a repeat here, as Denver will blow out the Thunder. Good luck - Al McMordie
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Play on: Denver
Tom Freese
Phoenix at Detroit
Play: Under
Detroit is 20-6 UNDER their last 26 home games and they are 9-1-1 UNDER their last 11 games off a win. The Red Wings are 6-1 UNDER with one day of rest and they are 18-7-1 UNDER after allowing two goals or less in their last game. Phoenix is 37-16-1 UNDER their last 54 games and they are 18-7-1 UNDER after allowing 2 goals or less in their last game. The Coyotes are 14-2 UNDER after scoring 2 goals or less in their last game and they are 19-7-1 UNDER off a win. PLAY ON 'UNDER'
VEGAS EXPERTS
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Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets
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Oklahoma City has yet to lose against the spread in back to back games this season. This will be the first. Denver is a superb 17-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points and 34-14 ATS off a home win. They swept all four meetings with the Thunder last season, averaging a whopping 117.5 points per game. You probably want to look at the Over at this game as well as these teams have gone Over eight straight games.
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Play on: Denver