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Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, December 28, 2009

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(@blade)
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Mr. Vegas Wins

Vikings at Bears

Can’t look for a lot of scoring with two above average defenses and frigid weather conditions: 20 degrees, 13 MPH winds in the Windy City. Chicago has no running game and a weak offensive line, and faces a tough Minnesota defensive front. When they met earlier this season, the Bears only scored 10 points – and that was indoors. Minnesota is on a 7-1 run under the total. Play the Vikings/Bears Under the total.

 
Posted : December 28, 2009 2:42 pm
(@blade)
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Rocketman

Washington @ Memphis
Play: Memphis -5.5

Memphis is 10-2 SU and ATS at home vs Washington since 1996. Wizards are 19-42-3 ATS in their last 64 games playing on 1 days rest. Wizards are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Wizards are 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Wizards are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference. Wizards are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Wizards are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Wizards are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 Monday games. Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest. Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Grizzlies are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast. Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Grizzlies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. Grizzlies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Grizzlies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games. Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Wizards are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Wizards are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis. We'll recommend a small play on Memphis tonight!

 
Posted : December 28, 2009 6:21 pm
(@blade)
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JACK JONES

Memphis Grizzlies -3 over Washington Wizards

Hard not to like Memphis at home tonight the way they have been playing. The Grizzlies have won three of their last four with the loss last time out against the Celtics in Boston (but still covered). This is a team that is scoring 102.3 ppg and turns up the defense at home, allowing just 98.8 ppg against teams scoring 100.3.

Washington on the other hand is having problems on the road, which is why they are 5-11. The Wizards score only 96.5 ppg against teams allowing 99.6 and give up 102.4 ppg against teams normally averaging 99.1.

Plenty of value here with the home team, as this spread should be seven or more.

 
Posted : December 28, 2009 6:22 pm
(@blade)
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Executive

250 N Colo

 
Posted : December 28, 2009 6:27 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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John Ryan

Pennsylvania vs. Davidson
Play: Pennsylvania +14.5

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Penn as they take on Davidson set to start at 7:00 EST. AiS shows a 72% probability that Penn will lose this game by 15 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 54-29 ATS for 65% winners since 2004. Play on a road team after 3 or more consecutive losses and playing with 7 or more days rest. Penn is also a sound 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1997. Take Penn.

 
Posted : December 28, 2009 6:41 pm
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