DUNKEL INDEX
Baltimore at Green Bay
The Ravens look to build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Baltimore is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Packers favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3)
Game365-366: Baltimore at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 135.316; Green Bay 136.987
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 1 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Under
NBA
Golden State at Oklahoma City
The Warriors look to build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games as an underdog. Golden State is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+7)
Game 701-702: Denver at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.241; Philadelphia 116.293
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 4; 212
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 703-704: Portland at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 119.362; New York 112.960
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 6 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 4; 203
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-4); Over
Game 705-706: Golden State at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 114.156; Oklahoma City 117.880
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 229
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7; 222
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+7); Over
Game 707-708: San Antonio at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.279; Utah 120.046
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+2); Under
NCAAB
Massachusetts at Seton Hall
The Minutemen look to build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games as an underdog of 13 points or more. Massachusetts is the pick (+16) according to Dunkel, which has Massachusetts favored by only 12. Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+16)
Game 709-710: Massachusetts at Seton Hall
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 54.170; Seton Hall 66.406
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 12
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 16
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+16)
Game 711-712: Brown at Providence
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 47.128; Providence 62.384
Dunkel Line: Providence by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Providence by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brown (+15 1/2)
Game 713-714: North Texas at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 56.445; Texas A&M 66.884
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+12 1/2)
Game 715-716: Virginia at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 60.252; Auburn 66.015
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 6
Vegas Line: Auburn by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-4 1/2)
Game 717-718: Long Beach State at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 57.969; Texas 77.541
Dunkel Line: Texas by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 22
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+22)
Game 719-720: Michigan State at The Citadel
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 70.996; The Citadel 56.947
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 14
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 16
Dunkel Pick: The Citadel (+16)
Game 721-722: College of Charleston at NC Greensboro
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 53.695; NC Greensboro 46.651
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 7
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3)
Game 723-724: Appalachian State at Wofford
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 49.658; Wofford 58.832
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 9
Vegas Line: Wofford by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-7 1/2)
Game 725-726: Siena at Iona
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 63.445; Iona 56.415
Dunkel Line: Siena by 7
Vegas Line: Siena by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (-4 1/2)
Game 727-728: Western Carolina at Bradley
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 53.769; Bradley 63.797
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 10
Vegas Line: Bradley by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-7 1/2)
NHL
Colorado at St. Louis
The Avalanche look to take advantage of a St. Louis team that is 3-8 in its last 11 home games. Colorado is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140)
Game 51-52: New Jersey at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.608; Buffalo 11.495
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+125); Under
Game 53-54: Atlanta at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.717; Toronto 11.274
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); Under
Game 55-56: Washington at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.337; Tampa Bay 12.492
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+125); Over
Game 57-58: Carolina at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.960; Pittsburgh 11.848
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 59-60: Philadelphia at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.848; Montreal 11.205
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-110); Over
Game 61-62: Edmonton at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.859; Florida 11.415
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+115); Over
Game 63-64: Colorado at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.226; St. Louis 11.978
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140); Under
Game 65-66: Minnesota at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.990; Phoenix 12.129
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-135); Under
Game 67-68: Calgary at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.662; Los Angeles 12.791
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-110); Under
LT Profits
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Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers
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The Florida Panthers are slumping badly right now while the Edmonton Oilers ate playing well on their current road trip, and we expect nothing to change in Sunrise here tonight.
The Panthers got off to a decent start this season, but they have now lost seven of their last eight games, and the lone win was a sloppy 6-5 triumph over Colorado in a shootout. If we toss out that game against the Avalanche, Florida has had trouble scoring in the seven losses during this swoon, lighting the lamp a total of just 14 times.
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Because four of the losses during this slump have come at home, the Panthers are now under .500 at Bank Atlantic Center this season, at 4-6-4. Perhaps beginning a four-game road trip after the conclusion of this game is just what the Panthers need, as escaping the wrath of their fans my not be a bad thing.
Meanwhile, after beginning their current road trip with an ugly loss in Vancouver, the Oilers have posted back-to-back road upset wins at Detroit and at Dallas. They now head East to play two straight games in the state of Florida as they have the Tampa Bay Lightning up next, so Edmonton has a great chance of having a much needed winning road trip. They are also seeking revenge for a 2-0 home loss to Florida in the only meeting between these clubs last season.
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Look for the Oilers to continue their fine road play here and keep the Panthers reeling.
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Pick: Oilers +105
Scott Spreitzer
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North Texas at Texas A&M
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I'm laying the points with Texas A&M on Monday. 59-0! That's the Aggies run on their home floor against non-conference opposition. But their last couple of wins at Reed Arena have not been a thing of beauty. They have gone through long scoring droughts in wins over Akron and Prarie View A&M. Tonight, the 19th ranked Aggies plan on putting together a full 40-minutes and that spells trouble for North Texas. A&M is an extremely deep team with no less than nine players having seen action in all eight games. All nine players average over 12 minutes played per game and seven players average between 6 and 15.5 ppg. A&M plays a tough, in-your-shirt style of defense and really wears teams down with a steady diet of athletic guards. They have already beaten two quality and ranked teams in Clemson and Minnesota. Tonight, they'll take on a UNT squad that's off a hard-fought win over Rice. But this is a huge step-up for the Mean Green. Their only other "step-up" game resulted in an 82-68 loss to Oklahoma State. Like OSU, the Aggies will look to push the tempo all night, and UNT only has one player, guard Josh White, who can handle the pressure. A&M is in need of a solid wire-to-wire performance, and I believe they'll get it on Monday.
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Play on: Texas A&M
Tom Freese
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Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings
Prediction: Calgary Flames
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Calgary is 9-4 their last 13 games vs. Pacific Division teams and they 4-0 with one day of rest. The Flames are 5-1 their last 6 games overall and they are 4-0 after scoring 2 goals or less in their last game. Los Angeles is 7-20 their 27 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of over 60% and they are 2-8 in home games after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. The Kings are 6-21-2 their last 29 games vs. the Flames. PLAY ON CALGARY
Jr Tips
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NUGGETS at 76ers
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Allen Iverson is expected to start for the 76ers in his first home game at the Wachovia Center in three years tonight when they face the Denver Nuggets, one of his former teams. Denver lost in the first round of the playoffs two straight seasons with Iverson and then traded him to Detroit as a part of a deal for Chauncey Billups in 2008. Billups helped the Nuggets to 54 wins last season and has been big part of their hot start this year while Iverson has been a bench player for his last two teams. The 34-year-old Iverson, a 10-time All-Star signed a non-guaranteed deal with the Sixers after announcing his intention to retire the previous week and tonight is going to be an excited packed house in Philly with Iverson getting the start. Philadelphia needs all the help it can get as they have lost nine straight coming off a 106-105 loss to Charlotte on Saturday night. Andre Iguodala had 22 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists although he turned his right ankle in the first half but he will play tonight. Willie Green also had 26 points but Iverson will start in place of Green who had been playing the point due to Louis Williams' broken jaw. Thaddeus Young, starting at forward along with Elton Brand will be matched up with Carmelo Anthonywho is averaging an NBA-best 30.4 points and has a chance to become the only player to score at least 20 points in the first 21 games of a season since Iverson did it with Philadelphia in the start of the 2005-06 season. Anthony had 34 points in a 106-99 win over San Antonio on Saturday night as the Nuggets have now won three straight and seven of eight. Denver is averaging 110.6 points on the season and 115.0 over its last eight contests and Chauncey Billups averaged 24.0 points and 7.5 assists to lead Denver to wins in its two games against Philadelphia last season as the Nuggets won three of their last four road matchups with the Sixers. It will be a mad house in Philadelphia tonight as the Sixers will compete hard and have to score a lot of points as their is no way they will be able to stop the Nuggets who are scoring 115 points a game in their last 8 matchups.
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TAKE OVER 206
EZWINNERS
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Portland Trailblazers @ New York Knicks
Play: New York Knicks +4
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Portland has not been playing very well on the road. The Blazers have lost three straight games on the road that includes a loss to the Knicks of the West (Golden State) as an eight point road favorite. Portland is also a banged up team right now. The Blazers have lost center Greg Oden for the season due to a knee injury and they are also dealing with injuries to Travis Outlaw, Nicolas Batum and Rudy Fernandez. The Knicks have looked pretty solid recently as New York has won three out of their last four games and New York is 7-3 against the spread in their last ten games as an underdog. Take the points with the home underdog.
Michael Cannon
Massachusetts at SETON HALL -16
I am 39-27-1 with my last 67 overall free plays.
Take Seton Hall as the big home chalk today over Massachusetts.
The Pirates are off to a 6-0 start this year and they should be able to keep the run going against an inexperienced Minutemen team.
UMass’s inexperienced frontcourt doesn’t match up well against Herb Pope, Robert Mitchell and John Garcia. The Minutemen have also struggled to score points and it’s going to be tough to keep pace on the road with a Pirates team that can score and pressure on defense.
Seton Hall has a balanced attack with five players averaging double digits in scoring right now.
Take Seton Hall minus the points as they grab the home win and cover.
3♦ SETON HALL
Dominic Fazzini
Michigan State at THE CITADEL +16
I lost with my complimentary selection Sunday as the Chargers couldn't quite pull away from Cleveland and get the blowout I was anticipating. But I'm still 20-8 over the last 28 days, and I've got a sure winner on deck for today with underdog The Citadel.
Michigan State has failed to cover in its last two games and three of its last four, and now has to play at McAlister Field House in Charleston, S.C., against an underrated Bulldogs team.
The Citadel had a respectable showing last season in a 79-65 loss at Michigan State despite Spartans standout Raymar Morgan scoring 26 points on 11-of-12 shooting and grabbing 10 rebounds.
The Bulldogs enter today's game a better team than they were last year, and they are one of the nation's top defensive squads, allowing 57.2 points per game.
Citadel junior guards Cameron Wells (17.4 ppg) and Zach Urbanus (13.7 ppg) form one of the top backcourts in the Southern Conference and should be able to handle Michigan State's defensive pressure and get their teammates the ball in the right position to make plays.
The Bulldogs are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games overall, 26-7-1 in their last 34 as an underdog and 9-2 in their last 11 as a home 'dog. The Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall as well as their last eight nonconference games. Michigan State should definitely win this game, but its going to have to work for it. Take The Citadel to cover the points.
3♦ THE CITADEL
Stephen Nover
Portland at NEW YORK
Portland enters this matchup ranked third in scoring defense giving up 91.2 points per game and third in defensive field goal percentage at 43.8 percent.
Expect those lofty defensive numbers to get worse starting with this matchup. This is Portland's first game without defensive stalwart Greg Oden. He's out for the year after fracturing his left knee cap on Saturday. Oden was by far the Trail Blazers' best defensive player ranking second in the NBA in blocked shots while grabbing 8.5 rebounds per game.
The Knicks are playing excellent basketball right now winning three of their last four, including knocking off the Suns and Hawks whose combined record is 29-12. New York is averaging 112.8 points in its last six games.
I'm tempted to play the underdog Knicks, but it's their third game in four days and second in two days. Instead I think over the total is the way to go.
As well as Oden was playing, all was not happy chemistry-wise with the Trail Blazers. Star guard Brandon Roy was complaining openly to coach Nate McMillan about too much of the offense going through Oden, a limited offensive player. The Trail Blazers are a better scoring team when Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge, who also was negatively impacted by Oden's role in the offense, are the two main offensive weapons.
Now both Oden and McMillian are unavailable. McMillan didn't make the road trip because he ruptured his Achilles tendon during practice on Friday. Expect Roy and Aldridge to go to town along with point guard Andre Miller, who also had differences with McMillan.
The Knicks rank 28th in scoring defense giving up 108.4 points per game. The Trail Blazers will be motivated to win this game for Oden and to show McMillan that they can be effective playing up-tempo. So I'm expecting a lot of points. The oddsmaker has put out too short of a total
2♦ BLAZERS/KNICKS OVER
Matt Fargo
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Virginia at Auburn
Play: Auburn
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Virginia has not played since last Monday when it lost at home against the Nittany Lions. The Cavaliers have played only one true road game and that came at South Florida where they lost by 17 points. It is going to likely be a long year for this team as this is a brand new system and even new head coach Tony Bennett has said that the transition will be difficult because the players simply are not used to it. Give him a couple years with the system in place and his players using it and this could be a team to look out for. Right now however, the consistency and cohesiveness just isn’t there early in the season and going up against a quality opponent. Auburn made a solid run through the NIT last season and it finished with the second best record in program history at 24-12. The Tigers lost three starters to graduation so there are holes to be filled but they are capable of putting together another fine season. A loss against Troy on Friday no doubt stung and this is a good spot to bounce back. The Tigers shot 39 percent from the field and made only 8-31 three-pointers Friday, while Troy was 29-54 from the field and 13-25 from three-point range. That type of long-Range shooting can hurt one game but come back the next. Virginia is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 games as a road underdog between 3.5 to 6.0 points while Auburn is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 home games after a loss by six points or fewer. 3* Auburn Tigers
FOOTBALL JESUS
12/6 (Opinions)
Leans from his podcast:
Green Bay Packers -3
Rocketman
Baltimore @ Green Bay
Play: Green Bay -3.5
Green Bay is scoring 26.9 points per game overall this year. The Packers are hot right now coming in 3-0 their last 3 games. Ravens are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Ravens are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Ravens are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. Packers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Packers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. We'll recommend a small play on Green Bay tonight!
Vernon Croy
Portland Trail Blazers vs. New York Knicks
Play: New York Knicks +3.5
This pick falls into one of my NBA systems and the Knicks have been playing very good basketball lately winning 3 of their last 4 games including 2 quality wins over Phoenix and Atlanta. The Knicks are averaging 110.4 ppg over their last 5 games while shooting 50.1% as a team and the Trail Blazers have too many key injuries to contend in this road game Monday night. The Knicks are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against a Northwest opponent and they are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games against a team that has a winning record above .600. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between these two teams and Portland is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games against the Knicks. Take the New York Knicks Monday night.
Craig Trapp
San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz
Play: Utah Jazz -1
The Jazz have owned the Spurs in both games this year going 2-0 with one win on road and at home. The Spurs are a very pitiful 1-4 on the road this year. The addition of Jefferson and McDyess were supposed to make this Spurs team compete for a championship but that has not happened. This team is starting to show their age and the amount of games they have played over the last 6 years as almost every player has missed considerable time for injuries. On the other side the Jazz are a young vibrant team that plays really good at home. Williams leads the show at Point Guard and when he is on his game he is nearly unbeatable. Love the mismatch that the Jazz have at PG anf PF tonight. They will pick and roll the Spurs to death in route to very easy win.
Mr. Vegas Wins
Packers at Ravens
This Green Bay offensive line has struggled against power defenses and strong pass rushes. For all the concern about the Ravens' run defense earlier this season, the team has given up the fewest yards in the NFL per carry (3.5). Ray Lewis and teammates have stopped running backs behind the line of scrimmage 33 times this season, tied for third most in the league. Over his past eight games, the Ravens' Ray Rice has averaged 78.6 rushing yards and scored five touchdowns on the ground. The Green Bay defense, despite a high overall ranking, has allowed 38, 38 and 24 points in three of the last five games and allowed over 30 points four times. Play the Ravens.