DUNKEL INDEX
Boston at Atlanta
The Celtics look to bounce back from yesterday's loss at Toronto and build on their 13-5 ATS record in their last 18 games following an ATS defeat. Boston is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 2 1/2.Dunkel Pick: Boston (+3 1/2)
Game 701-702: Boston at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.857; Atlanta 120.191
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+3 1/2); Under
Game 703-704: Indiana at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.599; Miami 127.537
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 12; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 10; 198
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-10); Over
Game 705-706: Minnesota at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 109.936; Oklahoma City 122.557
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 12 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9 1/2); Under
Game 707-708: Phoenix at Houston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 118.875; Houston 120.072
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 211
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+4 1/2); Over
Game 709-710: Orlando at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 122.094; San Antonio 123.299
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 199
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+4 1/2); Over
Game 711-712: Sacramento at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 109.067; Utah 123.310
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 14; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 11; 196
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-11); Under
Game 713-714: Denver at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 118.063; Golden State 118.229
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 222
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 2; 218
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+2); Over
Game 715-716: New Orleans at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 122.891; LA Clippers 112.653
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 10; 192
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-5 1/2); Under
NCAAB
Duke vs. Marquette
The Blue Devils look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games as a favorite. Duke is the pick (-11 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-11 1/2)
Game 717-718: Duquesne at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 56.601; Bowling Green 50.799
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 6
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (-3 1/2)
Game 719-720: Detroit at Mississippi State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 57.245; Mississippi State 61.571
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 4
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+6 1/2)
Game 721-722: St. Peter's vs. Alabama (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 49.384; Alabama 65.888
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-11 1/2)
Game 723-724: Long Beach State vs. Iowa (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 54.046; Iowa 53.210
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 1
Vegas Line: Iowa by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+1 1/2)
Game 725-726: Clemson vs. Seton Hall (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 70.102; Seton Hall 66.741
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-2 1/2)
Game 727-728: Old Dominion vs. Xavier (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 65.405; Xavier 67.185
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 2
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (+2 1/2)
Game 729-730: Wichita State vs. Connecticut (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 64.048; Connecticut 62.505
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (+2 1/2)
Game 731-732: Oklahoma vs. Kentucky (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 59.355; Kentucky 75.393
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 16
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 15
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-15)
Game 733-734: Michigan State at Chaminade (9:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 72.420; Chaminade 38.561
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 34
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 735-736: Virginia vs. Washington (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 63.099; Washington 73.987
Dunkel Line: Washington by 11
Vegas Line: Washington by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+11 1/2)
Game 737-738: Presbyterian vs. Bucknell (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Presbyterian 39.628; Bucknell 50.222
Dunkel Line: Bucknell by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Bucknell by 9
Dunkel Pick: Bucknell (-9)
Game 739-740: Princeton at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 57.047; James Madison 56.409
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 1
Vegas Line: James Madison by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (+3 1/2)
Game 741-742: IUPUI vs. WI-Green Bay (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 55.842; WI-Green Bay 54.200
Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 2
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+2)
Game 743-744: San Diego State at Miami (OH) (7:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 66.980; Miami (OH) 54.459
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 10
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-10)
Game 745-746: Duke vs. Marquette (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 81.508; Marquette 67.647
Dunkel Line: Duke by 14
Vegas Line: Duke by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-11 1/2)
Game 747-748: Kansas State vs. Gonzaga (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 68.544; Kansas State 71.428
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 3
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (+5)
Game 749-750: TCU at Massachusetts (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 56.108; Massachusetts 54.456
Dunkel Line: TCU by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+2 1/2)
Game 751-752: Marist vs. Belmont (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 38.394; Belmont 54.408
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 16
Vegas Line: Belmont by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Belmont (-14 1/2)
Game 753-754: Winthrop at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 48.964; Wake Forest 55.524
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 9
Dunkel Pick: Winthrop (+9)
Game 755-756: Boston U. vs. Hampton (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston U. 59.426; Hampton 51.274
Dunkel Line: Boston U. by 8
Vegas Line: Boston U. by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston U. (-6 1/2)
Game 757-758: Nevada at George Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 59.209; George Washington 59.680
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: George Washington by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+7 1/2)
Game 759-760: Pacific vs. Arkansas State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 61.395; Arkansas State 52.199
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 9
Vegas Line: Pacific by 7
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-7)
Game 761-762: Pepperdine at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 48.419; Missouri State 64.026
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+17 1/2)
Game 763-764: Chattanooga at Louisville (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 47.756; Louisville 71.293
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 19
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-19)
Game 765-766: Idaho at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 53.951; Montana 59.744
Dunkel Line: Montana by 6
Vegas Line: Montana by 9
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+9)
NHL
Pittsburgh at Florida
The Panthers look to take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that is 1-5 in its last 6 games as a road favorite. Florida is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120)
Game 51-52: Dallas at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.659; Toronto 11.353
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120); Over
Game 53-54: Washington at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 10.520; New Jersey 10.902
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-160); 6
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+140); Under
Game 55-56: Calgary at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.757; NY Rangers 12.176
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-175); Under
Game 57-58: Montreal at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 13.025; Philadelphia 11.994
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+140); Over
Game 59-60: Nashville at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.126; Columbus 13.317
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-140); Over
Game 61-62: Los Angeles at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.479; Ottawa 10.113
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+100); Under
Game 63-64: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.584; Tampa Bay 12.571
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under
Game 65-66: Pittsburgh at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.159; Florida 12.353
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Over
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Wichita State at Connecticut
Prediction: Wichita State
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3* graded play on Wichita State as they take on UCONN set to start at 3 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Wichita State will win this game. UCONN is just 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more since 1997 and their head coach Calhoun has been involved in this streak. The tempo of this game favors Wichita State and the model shows that they will score between 67 to 74 points. In past games spanning the previous 3 seasons they have posted an impressive 11-3 ATS winning mark. Take Wichita State.
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Orlando Magic at San Antonio Spurs
Prediction: Orlando Magic
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Big game here tonight, with 9-3 Orlando traveling to take on 11-1 San Antonio in Texas. We're going to side with the road dog here, and we think the Magic have a good shot of winning this game outright. Orlando has held four straight opponents to 90 points or less, and two of their last three opponents to under 40% shooting. San Antonio has played very well, but might start to get a big too comfortable with this long winning streak. Magic pose matchup problems in the paint as long as Howard stays out of foul trouble, and we give them a 60% chance of winning. Value lies with the dog here.
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Kansas State at Gonzaga
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Gonzaga is off a home loss to San Diego State in its last game and now must take a step up in class to play an even better Kansas State team. The Wildcats are 19-8 ATS as a favorite and 18-7 ATS vs. teams with a winning record, a pair of marks they improved after whipping Virginia Tech at home 73-57 last week.
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Play on: Kansas State
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New Orleans Hornets vs. Los Angeles
Play: New Orleans Hornets -6
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New Orleans is 11-1 tied with San Antonio for the best record in the league. LA Clippers are in last place with a 1-13 record. Look for the trends and streaks to continue as its four wins in a row for New Orleans and 10 losses in a row for LA. Play New Orleans
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Hornets/Clippers Under 195½
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The Los Angeles Clippers are now 1-13 this season although their scoring has picked up lately, but we look for them to return to their offensive struggles from earlier in the season tonight as they host the 11-1 and more defensive minded New Orleans Hornets, resulting in the teams going ‘under’ the total in this NBA matchup.
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The NBA latest line from Bookmaker Sportsbook for this contest has the total at 195½, with the betting odds set at -110.
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The Clippers began this season as ‘under’ machines, staying below the betting total in their first four games, but they have bow gone ‘over’ in eight of their last 10 games vs. the NBA betting odds. That said, much of the reason has been the teams they have been facing, as they have been going ‘over’ vs. running teams such as the New York Knicks. Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets, as well as teams that play no defense like the Minnesota Timberwolves and Detroit Pistons.
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They are now facing one of the better defensive teams in the league, and these clubs have already met once this season, producing just 183 points in an easy ‘under’ in New Orleans on November 9. The Clippers have raised their scoring average to 96.7 points recently, but that is still good for only 23rd out of 30 NBA teams in scoring and their field goal percentage of 44.3 percent still ranks just 26th.
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The Hornets meantime are second in the NBA in scoring defense surrendering only 90.4 points per game, just barely behind the league leading Orlando Magic at 90.2 points. New Orleans does lead the NBA in field goal percentage against at 42.5 percent, meaning that the offensively challenged Clippers should have a hard time reaching 90 points again.
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We feel that the sportsbooks are giving too much credit to the inflated Clipper outputs vs. running teams in recent games by setting this total six points higher than the first meeting between these teams, when the total was 189½. Thus, let’s go for the line value and play the ‘under’ again in the rematch in this NBA matchup.
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KINGS / JAZZ
PLAY: UNDER
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The Sacramento Kings looked like they were going to be a scoring machine the way they started this season. The Kings scored 100 points or more in their first five games of the year with all five going OVER the total. However, since the Lakers matchup on 11/3, the club has broken the century mark in scoring just one time and that was against a very fast paced NY Knicks team. If we disregard that Knicks game, the Kings have seen each game since 11/3 go UNDER (0-6) and they have averaged just 86.6 points per game. On Sunday, they got bogged down in a loss to New Orleans at home, 75-71. The Kings lost, despite holding the league's top team to a season low shooting percentage (32%) and points (75). An interesting note, the Kings have yet to lead in any of their games this season at the intermission, though they were tied with the Hornets on Sunday. The Utah Jazz (9-5 SU, 7-6 ATS) continue to amaze on the road with their come-from-behind wins. They did it again on Saturday, trailing Portland most of the game before pulling away in the 4th quarter for the win, 103-94. It's been at home that the Jazz have struggled and mainly in the favorites role. The Jazz are 2-4 ATS at home this season. In those six home games they have held the opposition to 110, 108, 107, 115, 88 and 94. So you might wonder why I like the UNDER here. Well, first off they have played much better defense at home in the last two games, holding San Antonio to 94 and New Jersey to 88. Plus, they get the Kings here. The Jazz have New Orleans visiting on Wednesday so you know they will be looking forward to that showdown. I don't expect a full out effort here on Monday and that will translate to this game going UNDER.
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Denver Broncos +9
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The Denver offense is rolling after a blow out win over Kansas City last week in which the Broncos put seven touchdowns on the board. Denver will be in for a stiffer test this week as they battle a San Diego defense that is one of the best in the league and the Chargers offense is also one of the top ranked units in total offense, but special teams and turnovers have killed San Diego this season. The Chargers have had five punts blocked already this season and they have turned the ball over twenty one times. Until the Chargers show that they have cleaned things up, I will take the generous amount of points with a team that can put some points on the board. Play on Denver.
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Alabama -11.5 vs St. Peter's
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"This Vacation" has turned ugly for the Alabama Crimson Tide hoops squad as they are getting drilled by coach Anthony Grant after that poor poor performance & a 55-47 loss to the Iowa Hawkeyes in this Paradise Jam Tourney. This Bama opened up & beat a nice Seton Hall crew and then shot a 2-16 from behind the arc the next game. They will close out this Tourney on a "BIG NOTE". This St Peters cbb crew will run into a flat out focused Buzz Saw. The Bama crew shot 0-9 from the 3 point line in the second half and a dismal 9-30 ..ouch!!The Zone has this baby @ a 20 pointer. Few strong #'s here as Green and Mitchel are too strong and this Bama crew has way to many athletes to not "RUN" this St Peters crew out of the building!! This is a bad bad spot for St. Peters as Coach Anthony Grant will not treat this game as a true holiday game.
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SAN DIEGO -2.5 & OVER 43
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These are two of the top passing offenses in the league. The Chargers got rolling before their bye, and they should pick up right where they left off; meaning Rivers tossing the ball all over the field. He's already passed for nearly 3,000 yards and that's with what has been a battered receiving corps. Getting Malcom Floyd back tonight can't hurt. I can see Denver getting into a hole and having to throw to get out of it. Even if that's not the case, the Broncos will be pass-heavy, as they have passed on 62% of their offensive plays this season. I'll call it Chargers 31, Broncos 20. Again, this is just a small action wager.
Wunderdog
San Diego St vs. Miami Ohio
Play: Miami Ohio +10
The Aztecs have a loaded and experienced team, which has earned them the last spot in the top 25 in the country. It hasn't quite translated on the court the way they would like. They have struggled vs a poor Indiana-Purdue team and needed a big second half run to put them away. They also had difficulty against Wisconsin Green Bay down by five at the half and were also even with Long Beach St. in their opener at intermission. Miami, Ohio had that same Wisc-GB team on the ropes before falling four points short, have enough to stay within striking distance here and getting double-digits against a team that has failed to put 40 minutes together yet, is inviting. I'll go with Miami Ohio in this one.
Teddy Covers
Clemson @ Seton Hall
PICK: Clemson -3
Brad Brownell made us money right from his first day as the Wright State head coach, and he certainly looks poised to have a similar impact at Clemson. The Tigers have had plenty of talent for the better part of the last decade, but they were an extremely undisciplined squad during the Oliver Purnell era, particularly on the offensive end of the court. This year, following the coaching change, the Tigers have shot better than 50 percent from the floor in three of their first four games.
Clemson’s primary ball handlers – guards Tanner Smith and Andre Young -- had a combined ratio of 7.7 assists to 2.0 turnovers per game before yesterday’s turnover fest against Old Dominion’s quality defense. Big men Devin Booker, Jerai Grant and Milton Jennings are pounding the glass and getting easy, high percentage looks around the basket. And four year starter Demontez Stitt remains a deadly perimeter threat, capable of lighting up from long range in any given ballgame.
Brownell: “Your first year, you are trying to establish how you want things to be done. You want to establish a work ethic and standards of accountability. You want to build a true team.” By all accounts, he’s doing that, as Clemson opened the season with three straight wins – even yesterday’s one point loss is nothing to be ashamed of.
Seton Hall was physically pounded in yesterday’s five point loss to Xavier, and first year head coach Kevin Willard has a lot of work to do to get this team ready for Big East play. They’ve shot less than 40 percent from the floor in their first four games, an offense made worse by a strong propensity to commit turnovers. That’s not a formula for success against the Tigers 2* Take Clemson
Rocketman
New Orleans Hornets vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Play: New Orleans Hornets -5.5
New Orleans is 11-1 overall this year while the LA Clippers are now 1-13 overall this season. LA Clippers are 1-6 ATS at home this year. LA Clippers are 10-29 ATS last 3 years against Southwest Division opponents. LA Clippers are 30-52 ATS last 3 years after allowing 105 points or more. New Orleans is allowing only 90.4 points per game overall this year and 87.8 points per game on the road this season. LA Clippers are allowing 106.4 points per game overall this year. LA Clippers have now lost 9 games in a row. New Orleans is 8-0 SU and ATS overall vs LA Clippers the past 3 years. New Orleans is 25-12 ATS overall vs LA Clippers since 1996. We'll recommend a small play on New Orleans tonight!
Dave Price
1 Unit on Atlanta Hawks -3
The Hawks are the healthier team with home court advantage and a day of rest on their side. This veteran Boston team will have a tough time sticking with Atlanta in the fourth quarter with this being the second game of a back-to-back, especially since Rondo isn't at 100 percent (listed as doubtful for tonight). Atlanta won all 4 regular season meetings against Boston last season by margins of 11, 8, 6 and 9. The Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Take the Hawks.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on Pacers/Heat UNDER 198
The Pacers have played to the Under in 5 straight and 8 of their last 9. In 7 of those 8 Unders, they have failed to score 100 points. Points should continue to be tough to come by for Indiana tonight against a Miami team that is holding its opponents to 93.3 ppg. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams, and I expect this trend to continue tonight. Bet the Under.