SPORTS ADVISORS
NFL
N.Y. Jets (3-1 SU and ATS) at Miami (1-3 SU and ATS)
After suffering the first loss of his career, Jets’ rookie QB Mark Sanchez will try to get back on the winning track with they visit Land Shark Stadium for an AFC East showdown with the Dolphins.
New York fell 24-10 in New Orleans last weekend, coming up short as a 7½-point underdog, ending a three-game SU and ATS win streak to open the season. Sanchez had a rough outing, completing just 14-of-27 throws for 138 yards with no touchdowns and three INTs, one of which was returned for a score. For the season, Sanchez is completing 57 percent of his throws for 744 yards with four TDs and five INTs.
Miami broke into the win column last weekend with a 38-10 blowout home win over the Bills, easily cashing as a one-point chalk. After scoring just 43 points through the first three games of the season, the Dolphins had a breakout game versus Buffalo, rushing for 251 yards and picking off Buffalo QB Trent Edwards three times, with one returned for a score. Miami QB Chad Henne, in his first career start, was 14-for-22 through the air for 115 yards and one touchdown.
The Dolphins snapped a five-game losing streak to New York with a 24-17 road win in the regular-season finale last December, cashing as a three-point road ‘dog, a victory that clinched the AFC East title for Miami and ended the Jets’ playoff hopes. Despite that result, the Jets have dominated this rivalry of late, going 20-5-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 visits to South Beach. The underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five series matchups with the road team 4-0-1 ATS in those five.
New York has cashed in seven of its last 10 as a road favorite of up to three points, but it is on ATS slides of 1-8 in October, 0-4 following a SU loss, 1-5 as a road favorite and 1-4 in Week 5 games. Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last six October outings and 5-1 in its last six against AFC East teams, but otherwise the Dolphins carry negative pointspread numbers of 1-4 dating to last season, 14-36-1 at home, 0-4 as a ‘dog, 1-5 as a home ‘dog and 2-8 following a win of more than 14 points.
On Monday night, New York is 17-22 SU (20-28-1 ATS) while Miami is 38-34 SU (39-32-1 ATS). But on the road on Monday night, the Jets are 7-15 SU (11-11 ATS) while the Dolphins are 32-18 at home (29-21 ATS) in this prime-time contest, including a 27-23 loss to Indianapolis as three-point home pup in Week 2.
The Jets have gone over the posted number in four of their last five Monday games, but otherwise they’re on “under” streaks of 5-1 overall, 5-0 as a road favorite, 4-1 in October and 5-2-1 against AFC East rivals. The Dolphins have gone over the total in 12 of 17 Monday games, but they’ve stayed “under” the total in 11 of 15 overall, five of six as a ‘dog, seven of eight in Week 5 and six straight following a spread-cover.
Finally, the over is 4-1 in Monday night contests this season.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. JETS and UNDER
NLDS
Philadelphia (2-1) at Colorado (1-2)
The Phillies send left-hander Cliff Lee (7-4, 3.39 ERA) to the mound at Coors Field in Denver looking for the NLDS clincher against the Rockies, who turn to ace Ubaldo Jimenez (15-12, 3.47) in Game 4 of this best-of-5 series.
Philadelphia’s Ryan Howard delivered a ninth-inning sacrifice fly in Game 3 and Brad Lidge closed out the Rockies in the bottom of the ninth to give the Phillies a 2-1 lead in this series. Philadelphia, which is looking to return to the National League Championship Series for the second straight year, is on several hot streaks, including 9-2 against the N.L. West, 20-7 in the fourth game of a series, 19-7 on Mondays and 8-2 in playoff contests.
Colorado is on positive runs of 42-17 at home, 7-3 against the N.L. East and 16-6 at home against left-handed starters. The Rockies have also won four of their last six divisional playoff games (all against Philadelphia), but overall, they’ve now dropped six of their last seven in the postseason.
The Phillies are 6-3 against the Rockies this season (3-1 in Colorado), and since getting swept by the Rockies in the 2007 NLDS, Philadelphia has won 11 of 14 in this rivalry (five of six at Coors Field).
The Phillies are 9-4 in Lee’s 13 starts with the club, including 5-2 in his road outings and 4-0 when he’s started against N.L. West teams. He was magnificent in Game 1 on Wednesday, throwing a complete-game, six-hitter, allowing just one ninth-inning run while striking out five and not walking a batter in Philadelphia’s 5-1 victory. Lee’s made now two career starts against Colorado, allowing a combined two runs on 12 hits in 16 innings of work, striking out 14 and walking one. Including his time with Cleveland this season, Lee was 8-5 on the road in 2009 with a 3.57 ERA.
Jimenez was opposite Lee in Game 1, and he gave up five runs on nine hits in five innings in getting tagged with the loss. It’s been rough going for Jimenez in his career against Philadelphia as he’s allowed 17 runs on 28 hits in his last 14 innings of work against the Phils, losing all three games over the last two seasons.
Jimenez’s lone strong outing against the Phillies came at Coors in the 2007 NLDS when he held them to one run on three hits over 6 1/3 innings as the Rockies eliminated Philadelphia with a 2-1 win in Game 3. Jimenez was 8-5 at home this season with a 3.34 ERA, and for his career he’s 18-12 at Coors with a 3.41 ERA.
For Philadelphia, the over is on runs of 11-2-1 overall and 6-0 on the road. However, in the playoffs, the Phillies are on “under” streaks of 5-3-1 overall, 6-3 on the road and 6-2 in the divisional round. With Lee on the mound, Philly has stayed below the total in five of six against winning teams.
Colorado has topped the total in five of six at home, but the Rockies are on a plethora of “under” streaks with Jimenez on the hill, including 18-7-1 overall, 9-1 at home, 9-2 when he faces N.L. East squads and 26-10 when he gets four days of rest.
Finally, with Sunday’s game soaring past the total, the “over” has now been the play in 10 of 14 matchups between these teams since the beginning of last season, with the last six at Coors Field topping the posted number.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
DUNKEL
NY Jets at Miami
The Jets look to build on their 10-1 ATS record in their last 11 games in Miami. New York is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Jets favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-1 1/2)
Game 427-428: NY Jets at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 136.544; Miami 131.188
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 5 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 1 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-1 1/2); Over
MLB
Philadelphia at Colorado
The Phillies look to follow up last night's 6-5 win and build on their 6-2 record in Cliff Lee's last 8 starts after scoring 5 or more runs in the previous game. Philadelphia is the pick according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia
Game 925-926: Philadelphia at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.600; Colorado (Jimenez) 15.220
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NHL
Pittsburgh at Ottawa
The Penguins are coming off a 5-2 win in Toronto and look to build on their 7-2 record in their last 9 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. Pittsburgh is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120)
Game 1-2: Colorado at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.307; Boston 11.993
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-230); Over
Game 3-4: Los Angeles at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.756; NY Islanders 11.003
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-115); Over
Game 5-6: New Jersey at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.859; Washington 12.004
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-165); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-165); Over
Game 7-8: Toronto at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.722; NY Rangers 12.439
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-200); 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-200); Under
Game 9-10: Pittsburgh at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.613; Ottawa 12.349
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-120); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Under
Game 11-12: Florida at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.391; Tampa Bay 10.572
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+135); Over
Game 13-14: Edmonton at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.792; Nashville 11.490
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+120); Under
Game 15-16: Calgary at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.386; Chicago 12.271
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+155); Over
Game 17-18: Phoenix at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.590; San Jose 12.551
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-200); Over
CFL
Winnipeg at Hamilton
The Bluebombers look to build on their 8-1-1 ATS record in their last 10 games against teams with a losing SU record. Winnipeg is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tiger-Cats favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+6 1/2)
Calgary at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 113.735; Montreal 118.101
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+6 1/2); Over
Winnipeg at Hamilton
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 107.137; Hamilton 110.074
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 3; 43
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+6 1/2); Under
Rob Vinciletti
Phoenix Coyotes vs. San Jose Sharks
Play: Under 5.5
All 6 games have gone under at this venue the last 3 years. The Sharks have gone under six of nine times when playing off 3+ overs the last 3 years. Phoenix has played under in three of their first four games so far this year. Look for this one to play under tonight.
Scott Spreitzer
Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators
Prediction: Nashville Predators
The Sommet Center has been an ugly venue for the Edmonton Oilers. In fact, staring across the ice at Nashville sweaters have been a bit of a nightmare for the Oilers no matter where they face them. Nashville is 11-1 in their last 12 meetings with Edmonton, including a perfect 7-0 run at home. The Predators' first-line has not been getting a lot of help on the offensive end so far this season, but Edmonton looks like the perfect antidote. The Oilers have allowed 97 shots on goal in their last three games, and their blueline is not 100% healthy. New goalie Nikolai Khabibulin has not exactly stood on his head between the pipes this season. The former Blackhawk netminder has allowed 14-goals in four games for a 3.14 GAA. To give you an idea of his current struggles, the 36-year old from Sverdlovsk, owned a 2.33 and 2.63 GAA each of the last two seasons with Chicago. I expect him to have to face a much more aggressive Nashville attack than we have seen during their 2-1-0 start. Coach Barry Trotz was not too pleased with his team's somewhat "lazy" effort when bringing the puck up the ice in Saturday's 1-0 loss to Buffalo. He said he wants to see his team on constant attack-mode on Monday. That's bad news for the Oilers' defensemen, not to mention their new goaltender. I believe this is a fair line, especially when you consider the recent domination by the home team. I'm laying the price with Nashville on Monday.
BIG AL
Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies
There was once a time, not that long ago, when the Rockies had one of the most feared offenses in the game, but that is certainly not the case anymore. Unlike the Rockie teams of yesterday, the 2009 version has been winning more games with quality pitching and good defense than by scoring double-digit runs. And especially against Philadelphia lately, the Colorado bats have gone pretty quiet for the most part as heading into Sunday night's make-up game the Rocks had only scored seven total runs in their last four games against this team. An unfortunately for them, they will have to once again face Cliff Lee in this fourth game of the series and Lee has not been kind to Colorado lately, beating them twice; once in the regular season final meeting of these two, and then again in the ALDS opening game, and in each game Colorado could only manage a single run against the southpaw ace. Colorado will send their game one starter to the mound as well in righthander Ubaldo Jimenez, and although Jimenez struggled in game one, he has actually pitched better at home than on the road this season, so look for him to bring his 'A' game this afternoon at Coors.
Play on: Under
Karl Garrett
NY Jets at MIAMI
Sunday winner on Minnesota-St. Louis OVER the total, now 6-2 my last 8 comp plays.
The Jets have become a more defensive-minded team under new coach Rex Ryan, and while New York has played more UNDERS than OVERS thus far this season, I am expecting tonight's game to see just enough points to get this game OVER the posted price.
Monday night games tend to be a little more high-scoring, and indeed, 4 of the 5 games played this year have played HIGH. That includes Miami's Monday nighter against Indianapolis on September 21st in a game that saw 50 combined points.
The Jets have played OVER in 4 of their last 5 Monday night games, while Miami is on a 12-5 OVER clip their last 17 Monday night games.
With a pair of young quarterbacks under center, and the chance each team's defenses can force a turnover or two, it won't take too many scores to get us OVER the total before this one is in the books.
G-Man going high.
2♦ OVER
Jeff Benton
Philadelphia at COLORADO
Hope you took advantage of Sunday’s free-play winner on the Eagles as I improved to 11-5 with NFL freebies over the past two seasons. For Monday, I’m going to back the Rockies as they try to stay alive in their first-round playoff series against Philadelphia.
I know the Rockies haven’t done squat in two games this season against Philadelphia’s Cliff Lee, mustering one run on six hits in seven innings of a 3-1 loss on Aug. 6, then falling 5-1 in Game 1 of this series on Wednesday as Lee threw a complete-game gem, again giving up one run and six hits. In those 16 innings against Colorado, Lee has given up one walk against 14 strikeouts. But here’s the catch: Both of those games were played in Philadelphia. Tonight, Lee makes his first-ever start at Coors Field.
That’s a big deal for two big reasons: First, the majority of Lee’s struggles after coming over to the Phillies in late July came away from Philadelphia, where he posted a 4.02 ERA. In his final four road starts of the regular season, Lee gave up 19 runs (18 earned) in 20 innings, getting lit up in Houston, Washington, Atlanta and Milwaukee. Secondly, the Rockies, for whatever reason, cannot hit left-handed pitching on the road, barely batting over .200. At Coors, though, Colorado pounds southpaws to the tune of a .293 team average – and that was before they knocked around Philadelphia lefty J.A. Happ in the early innings last night.
Needing a win to extend their season, the Rockies tonight are going with Game 1 loser Ubaldo Jimenez, who has been much better at Coors (8-5, 3.34 ERA) than on the highway (7-8, 3.80 ERA on the road), and the Rockies won six of Jimenez’s last seven home starts this year. Furthermore, despite last night’s loss, Colorado is an impressive 42-17 in its last 59 home contests.
Look for Jimenez to gain a measure of revenge against Lee today and send this series back to Philadelphia for a decisive Game 5.
3♦ COLORADO
Dominic Fazzini
Philadelphia at COLORADO
I cruised to my second straight winner on my complimentary selection Sunday, taking the Giants to throttle Oakland at the Meadowlands. That also got me to 5-2 on my last seven free plays!
Today I'm taking the Rockies to extend their NL Division Series with Philadelphia behind the pitching of Ubaldo Jimenez.
Jimenez (15-12, 3.47 ERA in the regular season) has assumed the mantle of being Colorado's ace, and he has been strong at Coors Field this year, going 8-5 with a 3.34 ERA in 15 starts.
In the right-hander's only career start against the Phillies in Colorado, Jimenez allowed one run and three hits in 6 1/3 innings in the Rockies' 2-1 victory in Game 3 of the 2007 NL Division Series.
Philadelphia starter Cliff Lee pitched a complete-game win against Colorado in Game 1 of this series, allowing one run and six hits, but he is 1-2 with an 8.10 ERA in his last four outings on the road.
The Rockies are facing a must-win situation, and Colorado is 42-17 in its last 59 home games. Take the Rockies to get the job done today and send the series back to Philadelphia.
2♦ COLORADO
Sports Gambling Hotline
Philadelphia at COLORADO
We gave you a NFL comp play winner on Minnesota yesterday, now 44-32-4 the last 80 days with our free plays.
Look for the bats to be a little tired today at Coors Field when the Phillies and Rockies resume their division series this afternoon.
Last night these teams played a 6-5 OVER, as all 4 series meetings this year in Colorado have gone OVER the total. We look for that to change today, as Cliff Lee and Ubaldo Jimenez have at it once again.
These two met in the series opener which did hold UNDER thanks to Lee's complete game 1 run effort.
The Phillies are on a 3-2-2 UNDER clip their last 7 games, while the Rockies are 3-1-1 UNDER their last 5.
Have to expect the pitching to hold the hitting down after last night's late game, today's early turnaround.
Play on the UNDER.
1♦ UNDER
Tony Weston
How easy was that winner on the Vikings yesterday? Minnesota cruised to an easy victory over the Rams and gave us another Comp Play winner.
I’m delivering another Comp Play winner today as I’m taking the Phillies in Game 4 of this series against the Colorado Rockies to close it out and move onto the NLCS.
Despite some tough situations last night, Philly was able to get everything together and pull out a tough Game 3 win in a freezing Coors Field.
Including last night’s win, the Phillies have taken 4 of their last 5 meetings against the Rockies and are 6-3 this season against Colorado. Going back a little further, Philly is now 11-3 their last 14 meetings against the Rockies and are 5-1 their last 6 in Denver, including wins in each of their last 3 in the Mile High City.
For the Rockies, not only have they lost 2 of 3 so far in this series, they are also just 1-4 their last 5 games overall. Now Colorado has to face Phillies ace Cliff Lee, who was dominant in Game 1 of this series, striking out 5 and allowing only 1 earned run in a complete game 5-1 victory.
Philly will do it again today and wrap up this series,
3♦ PHILLIES
VEGAS EXPERTS
NY Jets at Miami Dolphins
Road favorites continue to be unkind to their backers as they are just 3-6 ATS the last two weeks and this includes a 1-5 pointspread mark if favored by a touchdown or less. Miami is long overdue to end its home slide (six straight ATS losses) vs. the Jets. Home underdogs with a win percentage of .250 or less are 31-10 ATS the past 10 seasons, if they failed to cover 3 of their previous 4 games, and they're matched up against a team with a winning record.
Play on: Miami
John Ryan
Phoenix Coyotes vs. San Jose Sharks
Play: Phoenix Coyotes
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Phoenix as they face San Jose set to start at 10:30 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 34-24 for 59% winners and making a whopping 30.8 units with the average play a big dog of +161. Play against home favorites against the money line after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games facing an opponent after 3 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored. This is a great system for you to use. It is analogous to playing Black Jack and getting paid $1.61 for every winning $1.00 hand played. That will never happen at a casino, but this system has produced some very real results. Take Phoenix.
Tom Freese
Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators
Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh is 8-3 off a win and they are 6-1 their last 7 games when playing their fourth game in six nights. The Penguins 5-0 after scoring 5 or more goals in their last game and they are 20-8 with one day of rest. Ottawa is 16-30 after one or more Unders and they are 40-52 when playing their third game in five days. The Senators are 13-28 their last after allowing 2 goals or less in two straight games. PLAY ON PITTSBURGH -
Wunderdog
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Rangers
Play: Toronto Maple Leafs
The Toronto Maple Leafs will be on the road tonight vs. the New York Rangers, and they will be seeking their first win of the young NHL season. The Rangers have been on the high road through their first five games at 4-1, which includes 2-0 at home. Toronto is one of those rare teams that played almost identical at home, or on the road a year ago, finishing .500 at home, and just one game under on the road. The Rangers will have Henrik Lundqvist behind the goal tonight, and he is 3-1 on the season. He hasn't had the same success vs. Toronto, where he is just 4-4 in his career. That is a stark contrast to Leafs’ net-minder Vesa Toskala, who has stopped the Rangers cold. Toskala has never lost behind the net to the Rangers where he is 5-0-2. The Leafs seem to have the Rangers’ number, winners of three of the four meetings a year ago, and Toskala has gotten in their heads. I like Toronto in this one as a live dog.
EZWINNERS
New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins
Play: Under 36
I expect a low scoring game in this match up between the New York Jets and Miami Dolphins. The Jets rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez is coming off his shakiest game as a pro, which also happened to be the Jets' first defeat. Sanchez threw three interceptions, including one returned 99 yards for a touchdown, and lost a fumble recovered in the end zone as New York lost to New Orleans 24-10. Miami also has a young quarterback in Chad Henne that is only making his second career start. The Jets and Dolphins will both look to apply pressure to force these young signal callers into mistakes. Both teams will also try to run the ball to help their quarterbacks and this should keep this score low. Play on the UNDER.