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Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday September, 17

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Jeff Scott SportsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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3 UNIT PLAYSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit/ Chicago Under 9: Google News Play This is a huge 1 game set and I feel the offenses may be a bit tight, giving the pitchers the edge. Jose Quintana has made 6 day starts this year and he has a 1.81 ERA in those starts. with just 4.83 rpg being scored and the Under going 6-0. Jose has also pitched well at home, with a 3.49 ERA, including just allowing 1 ER in his last start here, which was vs Detroit.Doug Fister has been very solid for Detroit with a 3.49 ERA overall and a 3.25 ERA on the road. Doug has allowed 2 ER's or less in 9 of his last 11 starts and 3 ER's or less in 5 of his last 6 starts vs the White Sox. He has allowed just 2 ER's in both of his starts vs Chicago this year. Yes these two offenses are strong but they are also a bit banged up and my be a bit tight as this is a big game. I give the pitching tyhe edge in this one, especially with Quintana getting a day start and that should have this game fall well short of the total in this one. KEY TREND--- The Under is 18-5-3 in Detroit's last 26 games overall.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia/ NY Mets OVER 6.5: Google News Play The Mets have struggled to score of late, but they did just score 13 runs in their 3 game set vs the Milwaukee over the weekend. Tyhe Mets have also scored 18 runs in their 3 games vs Cliff Lee this year and 11 runs in the two games that Dickey has started vs the Phils. The Mets have averaged 5.8 rpg in their last 6 her vs the Phils, so I look for them to put up a few in this one. Philadephia's offense has been solid of late, averaging 5 rpg in their last 10 games and they have averaged 4.43 ypg on the road this year. Philly has also average 4.46 rpg for Lee on the road and his road starts have averaged 8.3 rpg. They should be able to score a few off of Dickey, especially since they tagged him for 5 ER's in his last start vs them. Both teams should be good for at least 3 in this one. KEY TREND--- The Over is 22-4-1 in the last 27 games in this series.
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POWER ANGLE PLAY
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Baltimore -120 over SEATTLE: The O's need to get back on track after losing 2 of 3 in Oakland and what better way than to face a team that they have won 5 straight against. Chris Tillman gets the call for the O'sd in this one and he has been solid of late, posting a 2-0 mark and a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts. Chris has been dynamite in his 3 career starts vs the M's, posting a 3-0 record and an 0.83 ERA in the starts. This year he has 2 starts vs them and has allowed just 1 ER in 15.2 innings of work. Total domination. On the other side we have a not so dominant Hector Noesi, who is the worst starter on this Seattle staff. Hector spent some time in the Minors and will be making his first start since July 4th. He is 2-11 with a 5.54 ERA on the year, including 2-6 with a 4.03 ERA at home. At night he has been horrible, with a 1-7 mark and a 6.23 ERA and he has 1 starts vs the O's (this year) allowing 4 ER's in just 5 innings in that start. Seattle as a team is not playing well, having won just 3 of their last 9 and will not fare much better in this one vs a Baltimore team that MUST get back to winning. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Since 2005 the Orioles are 12-1 in the first game of a road series when they are off a win in which they trailed after the first inning.

 
Posted : September 17, 2012 11:59 am
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Stan LisowskiFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Denver vs Atlanta
Play: OverFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both clubs have efficient and talented QBs and receivers, while both clubs have shown that they can score. Each side has injury concerns in the secondary that could make for an aerial event throughout the evening.

 
Posted : September 17, 2012 12:04 pm
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DAVID BANKS

Broncos / Falcons Over

In what potentially looks like a close entertaining affair, Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos (1-0, 1-0 ATS) pay a visit to Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons (1-0, 1-0 ATS) in this week's Monday Night Football contest from the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, GA. The possible fireworks begin at 8:35 ET and can be seen on ESPN.

The buzz during the preseason was just how good Ryan was in directing the new Atlanta no-huddle offense, and that great seasons were to be expected from both he and wide receiver Julio Jones. Well, so far, so good! The Falcons blew out the Kansas City Chiefs in their opener 40-24, with the no-huddle making the difference in the second half vs. an injury-depleted Chiefs' defense that lacked depth as Atlanta busted open what was only a 20-17 halftime lead. Ryan finished just one yard short of 300 yards passing while completing 23 of his 31 passes and averaging an incredible 9.6 yards pre pass attempt, or nearly a first down every time he threw the ball. Jones was on the receiving end of 108 of those yards and two of his six receptions were touchdown catches. While the win was certainly impressive, not all of the news was positive as running back Michael Turner continued to run in slow motion as he did over the second half of last season, gaining only 32 rushing yards on 11 carries (2.9 YPC), and the Atlanta defense did surrender 393 total yards to a Kansas City team that has Matt Cassel as its starting quarterback. Furthermore, cornerback Brent Grimes was lost for the season in the game when he injured his Achilles, a development that probably has Manning salivating for this game.

Speaking of Manning, his first regular season game in two years was a successful one as he guided the Broncos to a 31-19 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Manning did not seem to miss a beat while completing 19 of 26 passes for 253 yards and two touchdowns, actually averaging a smidgeon more than Ryan with 9.7 yards per attempt on opening week. Manning's release was as quick as ever and he excelled when Denver went into a no-huddle in the second half, just like when he was comfortable going without a huddle while with the Colts before his four neck surgeries took away his final season at Indianapolis. The Broncos were a bit more balanced offensively in Week 1 than Atlanta, as Denver managed 94 rushing yards vs. a very stout Pittsburgh run defense that is one of the best in football, with Willis McGahee leading the way with 64 rushing yards on 16 carries. The defense also did a fine job while holding the Steelers to 284 total yards in the game, and that unit got on the scoreboard when Tracy Porter returned a Ben Roethlisberger interception 43 yards for a touchdown with under 2:00 remaining.

Something has to give on the trend front here as there are two powerful ones going against each other. On the one hand, Ryan is 20-9 ATS as a starting quarterback at home since being drafted by the Falcons. On the other hand, Manning is 14-3 ATS when cast in an underdog role since 2003.

 
Posted : September 17, 2012 1:25 pm
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GoodFella

Baltimore -125

Noesi gets the start, as he is back up from AAA, where he fared no better than he has in the big leagues this season. I expect him to struggle again vs a Orioles club that has had success vs him. Tillman now ready to get back in the rotation, as he is coming off the DL, & from what I have read, he will not be a "limited pitch count" tonight. He has pitched very well of late & vs these Mariners, and I fully expect him to out pitch Noesi and hand the ball over to their strong bullpen. For me, this is a solid price on the O's tonight, as they have lost 2 of their L/3 at Oakland & I look for them to get back on track in this spot tonight. My money is on the ORIOLES tonight.

 
Posted : September 17, 2012 1:55 pm
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