ROCKETMAN
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Tennessee @ Seattle
Play: Seattle -3½
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Seattle is 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS the past 3 years in all games. Seattle is 7-0 ATS on grass last 3 years, 7-0 ATS in August last 3 years, 6-0 ATS in non-conference games the past 3 years and 6-0 ATS since 1993 in a home game when the total is between 32 1/2 and 35 points. Seattle is 25-9 SU at home since 1993 in preseason action. Last year in the preseason action, Seattle scored an average of 29 points per game at home and allowed only 14.5 points per game overall. Pete Carroll will be making his Seattle Head Coaching debut and I feel like he will want a good performance in this one. We'll recommend a small play on Seattle tonight!
Johnny Banks
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Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals
Play: Chicago Cubs +1½
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Look for Carlos Zambrano to have one of his best starts of the season today against the Cardinals as he has owned them in the past. The Cubs are 13-3 in Zambrano's last 16 starts against the Cardinals so there is too much value to pass up this afternoon.
Jimmy Boyd
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1 Unit on Arizona Diamondbacks -105
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I'm going to fade Washington's Jason Marquis tonight. In 4 starts this season, Marquis has been horrendous, going 0-4 with a 15.33 ERA and a WHIP of 2.514. He has been at his worst at home, where he is 0-2 with an ERA of 29.25 and a WHIP of 4.000. Marquis showed a lot of rust in his first start back from elbow surgery, and I expect to see more rust tonight. Plus, he is 0-3 with a 7.25 ERA in his last four matchups with the D-backs. The Snakes have won 2 of Kennedy's last 3, and 4 of his last 6 starts. Plus, they are 4-1 in his last 5 starts vs. the National League East. With the Nationals just 7-20 in their last 27 games following a win, I'll take the Snakes tonight.
Scott Spreitzer
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Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh Steelers
Play: Pittsburgh Steelers
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Will "Big Ben" play or won't he? That's been the most frequently asked question this week in Steeler-camp. Sources say Ben has had his best camp since arriving in the NFL. Personally, I don't care if he plays or not. The Steelers do need to get Byron Leftwich some reps with the first-teamers since he will be the starting QB when the regular season starts. And even if their "true" #1 signal caller never takes a snap on Saturday, the Steelers own a strong QB rotation for preseason purposes. And they have different styles for a young defense to have to adjust to, especially when Dennis Dixon steps under center. That young Lion defense is extremely banged-up right now. While banged-up starters don't matter much in the preseason, battered and bruised second and third teamers do matter...and that's the case for the Lions. The secondary's depth will really be tested thanks to injuries suffered in camp. HC Jim Schwartz will start Matthew Stafford. He probably won't play more than the first quarter, according to reports. The QB depth chart includes Shaun Hill and Drew Stanton. But I believe it's the Detroit defense that's going to have their problems in this one. Mike Tomlin wins preseason games, now on a 10-3 SU run. And this line is reasonable. I suspect Tomlin is going to want to get his first two offensive strings on the same page and will take some chances downfield, having to find a consistent replacement for Santonio Holmes. Look for the Steelers to do what they have normally done, even in preseason, and win on Saturday. I'm laying the short number with Pittsburgh.
Stan Lisowski
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Green Bay
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The Packers, in a dominant win, shutout the Browns in their preseason opener last year. Green Bay has covered 20 of 32 games when installed as a preseason favorite. They start out strong with a 12-6 early, game 1 exhibition mark. Cleveland has 3 new QBS, at least new to their offense, in their rotation tonight
Rob Vinciletti
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Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins
Play: Minnesota Twins
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The Twins fit a nice side system that has hit 70% over the past few seasons. What we want to do is play on certian home tams off a 1 run home favored win by 1 runs if both teams scored 4 or less runs the total is 8 or less and the opponent had 10+ hits. The Twins have been an excellent investment as a home favorite in this range. They have won 17 of 20 times from -125 to -150. In the series thus far this season they have taken 3 of 4 from Oakland. Thye are averaging nearly 6 runs per game the past week, while Oakaland is averaging 2.7 runs per game. B. Duensing pitched a gem at home vs Oakland last year going 7 shutout innings. He should be able to out duel T. Cahill here. Look for Minnesota to cash here.
Tony George
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Vikings +1.5
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Less areas of concern for Minny, and although they have Harvin and Rice out, they have 2 decent RB's behind Petersen and they are a more settled team. Rams will experiment with Bradford and have some issues of serious concern on defense they will be rotating in and out my sources tell me. Vikes by 3 in my opinion
Tony Stoffo
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Athletics vs. Twins
Play: Under 8
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Two very strong reasons makes the Under my highly recommended play here as the A's take on the Twins. First off Trevor Cahill has been unbelievable in his last 3 starts going 3-0 while throwing 25 scoreless innings resulting in a 0.00 ERA and 0.720 WHIP. So with the way Cahill is pitching at the present time can't see the Twins doing much offensively here this evening. While I can't see the A's lighting up the scoreboard either as they have seen the Under go 10-0-1 in their last 11 games. Add in the fact the the Twins starter Brian Duensing has had success against them and this all adds up to the Under being the solid play in this spot. --- Under is 5-0 in Duensings last 5 home starts. --- Under is 14-3-1 in Cahills last 18 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Dave Price
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1 Unit on Atlanta Braves -135
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The Braves are an incredible 40-15 at home, and the Dodgers enter this contest having dropped 12 of their last 14 on the road. The Dodgers have lost 6 of their last 8 in Atlanta. Also, the Braves are 15-6 in Lowe's last 21 home starts, 7-1 in his last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 Saturday starts. Bet the Braves.
Doug Upstone
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Play: Tampa Bay Rays
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Once again the Tampa Bay offense was held in check this season and shutout 5-0 by Baltimore. That is the seventh time in the last 14 games the Rays have been held to three or less runs, lowering their collective batting average to .249.The Orioles Brian Matusz will try and hold them in down once again, having permitted only one run in each of his last two starts.
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Given the fact Tampa Bay is such a large favorite, Play On the home chalk with a money line of -200 or more, when the AL team has batting average of .265 or worse on the season, against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up one or less earned runs last outing. This hearty system is 51-7, 87.9 percent.
Scott Rickenbach
Diamondbacks @ Nationals
PICK: Under 9
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Because Jason Marquis got rocked in the start he just made many will be quick to flock to the over here. However, he had a lot of rust and we expect him to be much better in this start this evening. That is one source of line value here is that everyone is judging Marquis based on that ugly start he recently had. Another key that is adding line value here is that the Diamondbacks have been such an over team this season. Keep in mind, the Dbacks are still 40-26 to the under this season when they are on the road and the posted total is 9 or 9.5 runs. As for the Nationals, they have been an under team this season and we look for them to struggle with Ian Kennedy who is a very talented young hurler with a respectable 4.47 ERA on the season.
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The Nationals 11-5 to the under this season as a home dog of +100 to +125. Also, the Nationals are 13-6 to the under in Saturday games this season. Additionally, the Nats are a very impressive 37-20 to the under when facing teams with a losing record this season. Add it all up and you have a lot of value with the under in this match-up as we look for Marquis to bounce back and Kennedy to respond as well as he has not allowed a lot of hits recently…he’s just allowed big hits. We don’t expect many big hits from the Nats in this one! Consider a small play on UNDER the total in Washington on Saturday evening.
SPORTS WAGERS
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TORONTO +7½ over Montreal
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The Als smoked the Argos 41-10 in Montreal just two weeks ago and that result has many trusting the same thing will occur here. Not us. The Argos continue to gain steam. They’ve won four of its last five and that includes a win over the 5-1 Stamps. Cleo Lemon is getting better each week and the Argos offense is doing a tremendous job sustaining long drives and subsequently cashing them in. The Argos will be pumped up and raring to go here while the same may not hold true for the Als. They were flat in the second half of last week’s narrow win over the Riders. Anthony Calvillo was hit hard on numerous occasions again and it’s beginning to take its toll on his 38-year-old body. The Als have won five straight, capped off by a 30-26 win over the Riders last week. They’re coming off a Grey Cup win, a revenge-minded win over Saskatchewan and a 5-1 start and this looks like the perfect spot for a breather, especially when you consider what they did to the Argos two weeks ago. The Argos continue to get very little credit and in a eight-team league, they were ranked seventh in this week’s power-rankings. That’s disrespect that they don’t deserve and they should be primed here for perhaps its best performance of the year against an Als team in a vulnerable spot. Play: Toronto +7½ (Risking 2.18 units to win 2).