Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
POWER ANGLE PLAY
Toledo +10.5 over Utah State: Im gonna go with Toledo in this one. The Utah State defense has been pretty awesome this year, but they only played 2 good offenses and allowed 41 points to La Tech and 27 points to San Jose State, which were the only 2 times they allowed over 20 points on the year. Today they will faced a Toledo offense that has put up some big numbers this year, averaging 456.1 ypg and 32.9 ppg. Toledo didn’t have start QB Owens or top RB Fluellen in their last game, but both are expected back in this one and they are the two parts that really make this offense go. I know that the Toledo defense has been pretty weak this year, but because of their offense they were still able to go 9-3 on the year with all 3 losses being by just 7 points each. I look for that offense to keep them close once again. 2 POWER ANGLES FOR THIS PLAY--- MAC teams that were .666 or better on the year are 11-1 SU and 10-1 ATS if they are off a win… Bowl favorites of > 3 points off DD win are 4-16 ATS if they are returning to same bowl game they lost at the year before.
Wunderdog
Georgia Southern at Virginia Tech
Pick: Georgia Southern +17
The Virginia Tech Hokies are out of the gate strong at 8-1. They fell 1 point from perfection, as they lost a 1-point decision to West Virginia. Georgia Southern has a big guy in the middle that could help them inside here. Eric Ferguson hits for 15.8 points per game and 7.6 rebounds per game, as the Hokies’ strength on defense has been defending the perimeter. Virginia Tech will be vulnerable here because they like to push the tempo and will have to defend the shot-clock here. They are much better in a racetrack event, which isn't going to be the case here. The Eagles have been at their best with a blowout, confidence-building win as they are now 17-8 ATS off a 20+ point win in their last contest. The Hokies have been disinterested when facing a team with a road winning percentage of under .400 at 1-6 ATS in their last seven. Take the points and play on Georgia Southern.
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAYS
ARIZONA STATE -15 over Dartmouth: Tough spot here for Dartmouth as they are playing their 6th road game in a row, they have to travel cross country and they are taking on an angry Arizona State squad that is off an embarrassing home loss. I look for this on to be over quite early.
Butler/ Indiana Under 143: (Added) Butler can not run with this team if they hope to pull the upset. Georgia plays a slower pace and were nearly able to take out the Hoosiers. That slower pace should frustrate this Indiana team that just doesn't play with a shot clock. Butler is usually one of the better defensive teams in the nation and while they have struggled at times they do come in allowing just 57.6 ppg in their last 3 games. The Hoosiers are one of the better defensive teams in the nation as they have allowed lust 57.4 ppg on a mere 35.3% shooting. I expect this one to be played in the low 130's at best.
OREGON -13.5 over Nebraska: Google News Play (Added) Oregon has been excellent at home and their up and down pace should be a big edge over the Huskers slower pace. That is evident by the fact that Nebraska has allowed 56 ppg in their wins, but 69 ppg in their two defeats. They just don't have the horses to compete with the faster teams and they wont be able to hang in this one as the Ducks win it by 17+.
2 UNIT PLAY
SMU PK over RHODE ISLAND: (Added) Both teams have first year coaches at the Helm, but SMU's Larry Brown has had the better time of it going 8-1 out the gate, while the Rams have struggled out the gate behind new head man Dan Hurley. The Mustangs will struggle once they get up against bigger teams, but the Rams are not all that big a team and they lack depth behind their starters. Look for both teams to continue to head in opposite directions after this one.
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Tenn Martin at St. LouisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: St. LouisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that St.Louis will win this game by 30+ points. The sim shows a high probability that (TM) will not score more than 60 points and will have between 14 and 18 turnovers. In past games, St. Louis is 13-4 ATS when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 10-1 ATS when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. (TM) is just 2-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 25-44 ATS when playing against a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games since 1997; 6-17 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. STL just has too much superior talent and they already execute their offense at a high level against vastly superior teams than (TM). Take St. Louis
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Michigan -10FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Former West Virginia HC Beilein has now a far better gig with his Top 5 Wolves. In fact, he won't even recognize this offensively-impotent group of Mountaineers. In a mid-week loss to Duquesne, 6th year HC Huggins' troops blew a double digit lead in route to a 60-56 defeat to a Duquesne team who used their quickness to control the glass and score in transition. If the Mounties were overwhelmed by the mediocre Dukes in Pittsburgh, imagine what happens when they go up against the Wolves. Like Michigan needed more perimeter power, they have now welcomed Freshman Shooter Stauskas who hits nearly 60% of his triples and Glen Robinson III to a guard tandem rich with the likes of Burke and Hardaway. In this case, the numbers don't lie with the favorite in this game far superior to West Virginia in every phase of the game. With the WVU transfers Staten and Murray underachieving, there appears little that Huggins can do.
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Notre Dame at PurdueFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Notre DameFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Notre Dame returns basically the same team that went 22-12 last season and the Irish appear to have improved dramatically over that squad. Notre Dame’s only loss this season came in its second game, to St. Joseph’s, 79-70, in overtime, and has progressively improved with each game. The Irish are long and lean, very athletic, fast and quick, and are one of the most fundamentally sound teams in basketball—and they always come to win. Purdue is in a major rebuilding mode and has struggled the entire season, with its only wins coming against Hofstra, N.C.-Wilmington, at Clemson, and Lamar. The better teams on the schedule have manhandled the Boilermakers and they come into this game off a 47-44 loss at Eastern Michigan. Everything points to a solid Notre Dame win.