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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, December 19,2009

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(@blade)
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SPORTS WAGERS

NY Rangers +1.37 over PHILADELPHIA

The Flyers are coming off a rare good performance and it might’ve been the best they could play but they still lost and they’re still reeling. The Flyers enter this one 2-5-1 under their new coach and are 3-11-1 in their last 15. Furthermore, Philly is struggling miserably to score goals and in fact, they’ve scored just eight even strength goals in its last 10 games and it really can’t get more inefficient than that. The Rangers are no offensive juggernaut either and they’re also in a bit of a funk. However, they have a big edge in net and they’re taking back a tag and those two things alone make them very worthy of a wager. Note the 1:00 PM start time. Play: NY Rangers +1.37 (Risking 2 units).

Detroit +1.25 over DALLAS

Henrik Zetterberg is out and that definitely makes the Red Wings less attractive but what happens when the leader goes down is that the rest of the team digs down deep and wants to win even more. The Red Wings are heating up big time and they’re playing tremendous defense at the moment. Detroit has now allowed two goals or less in six straight games and goaltender Jimmy Howard is emerging as the team’s #1 goaltender. Howard has been nothing short of brilliant over the past month. Meanwhile, Marty Turco looks shaky, Alex Auld looks shakier and the Stars keep getting beat. Dallas has one win in its last six games and that includes a loss to the Hurricanes. The next night after losing to Carolina they played a completely exhausted Thrashers squad and allowed five goals in regulation and lost again in OT. The Stars also return home from a five-game trip here to play an afternoon game, thus creating an unfavorable situation for the home side. Play: Detroit +1.25 (Risking 2 units).

Phoenix +1.13 over ANAHEIM

When you wager on the Coyotes you’re going to get a very fair shake for your buck. This team works as hard as any team in the league and they work it for every shift of every game. The Coyotes are also hot with two straight wins and eight wins in its last 10 games. They play a tight defensive style and they still seem to have that “us against the world” attitude. Man, this team is so tough to beat. The Ducks on the other hand show up once every two games. You never really know what you’re going to get from them. They play great one game and absolutely careless the next and that’s one reason why they cannot be trusted as the chalk. They have two #1 goaltenders and back-up goalies. It’s Hiller one day and Giguere the next and that goes hand in hand with the Ducks erratic play. Both goalies can’t get into any rhythm whatsoever. The Coyotes are almost always a play plus a price and this one is no exception. Play: Phoenix +1.13 (Risking 2 units).

 
Posted : December 19, 2009 11:38 am
(@blade)
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Terron Chapman

North Carolina vs. Texas
Play: North Carolina +6.5

Saturday's non-conference showdown at "Jerry's World" in Arlington, Texas is sure to have the feel of an NCAA tournament game. The undefeated Texas Longhorns (9-0) and North Carolina Tar Heels (8-2) will meet in front of an expected crowd of around 46,000.

The Tar Heels have played an early season schedule that has prepared them for such a contest with games against Kentucky, Michigan St., Ohio St. and Syracuse. Coach Williams team has struggled at times this season, but expect a better effort from them this afternoon. They match up well with Texas on the interior and the young backcourt of the Heels continues to get better each time out.

The Longhorns have yet to play the type of early season competition that has prepared the Heels for this match-up. The jury is still out on how good this Longhorns team is and can be and I look for the experience of the Heels to be the difference in what should be a closely contested game. Take the points. Play on the North Carolina Tar Heels for 1 unit

 
Posted : December 19, 2009 11:39 am
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Jim Kruger

Central Florida vs Rutgers

Rutgers non-conference schedule was ludicrous having two FCS schools on it. They did play Army as DeVry Technical Institute's schedule was full. It wasn't their fault, but the Scarlet Knights only played one road game against a bowl team beating UConn on an 80-yard pass with 20 seconds to go in the game.

Both schools are good defensively. UCF's strong suit is stopping the run, fourth in the nation, and in getting to the quarterback, #5 in sacks with two exceptional pass rushing defensive ends. Putting pressure on Rutgers QB Tom Savage is mandatory as the Golden Knight's secondary is below average.
What will help Central Florida's cause is if Rutgers WR Tim Brown is out or not at full speed. He is Rutger's playmaker and will be missed. No other WR for Rutgers had more than 2 touchdown receptions, Brown had 8. Freshman QB Savage was very inconsistent this year completing only 52.3% of his passes.

Rutgers isn't overly excited about being on the "other coast" of Florida playing against a low-level Conference USA team. UCF is very happy to be here, especially considering the game is only a little more than 150 miles to their campus and the school has sold 14,000-plus tickets.

When the Big East added teams a few years ago, they chose USF over UCF. While there should be motivation to play in a bowl game against the conference who rejected you, UCF does have a pitiful 0-15 SU record versus the Big East. But, this is a game in the national spotlight, a bowl game, just the third in UCF's history.

While playing UNDER the posted total is inviting with two weak offenses playing, Rutgers at #99 and UCF at #84, I like the more motivated team playing in their home state.

Take Central Florida

 
Posted : December 19, 2009 11:42 am
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LEE KOSTROSKI

Eastern Kentucky @ Ohio
PICK: Eastern Kentucky +9

EKU is a very solid team that is “under the radar”. They don’t get any publicity because of the size of their school and they don’t play in a major conference. However, they are 7-3 with their losses coming at the hands of Maryland, Pitt & a very solid Murray State team. None were blowouts with Maryland and Pitt winning by 11 and Murray State topping the Colonels by just 2.

EKU is a veteran team with 6 of their top 7 in minutes played this year being upperclassmen. They are simply an excellent shooting team with an eFG% of 59.8% which is 4th in the entire nation. eFG% factors in three point shots made along with two point shots in an intricate formula that tells you how good the team really is at shooting the ball. The Colonels have a number of weapons that can really hurt the opposition from behind the arc. As a team they shoot 45% from deep which is 2nd in the country. Amazingly, they have a whopping 6 players that shoot better than 44% from 3-point land which makes them nearly impossible to defend. Their points per possession ratio is a solid +0.092 which is nearly the exact same ration as their opponent (Ohio), yet they are getting 10 points. Their one downfall is on the boards. They are not a great rebounding team, however they don’t really need to be when the shoot the ball so well.

Ohio is a good team this year but we’re not so sure they are ready to be laying double digits vs. a solid team like this. The Bobcats are also in a tough situation here as they played a big home game on Wednesday night topping Illinois State in a “show me how good you are game”. Ohio had a chance to show people their progress facing a solid Missouri Valley team. The Bobcats played very well in the win. Next up for OU is Pitt. This is a classic sandwich spot vs. a “no name” team that is really quite solid. Laying double digits is very dangerous here.

EKU topped this same Ohio team last year by a convincing final of 73-51. The Colonels are 11-2 ATS their last 13 non-conference games and the run continues here. This team has the weapons to pull off the upset and we’ll call for this to be close throughout. Take the points.

 
Posted : December 19, 2009 11:43 am
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Dave Price

1 Unit on Lakers/Nets UNDER 197

Plays Under on any team (NEW JERSEY) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days against a tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, are 47-17 since 1996. The average total score in these games is just 186.2. We'll make a play on the Under for 1 unit Saturday.

 
Posted : December 19, 2009 11:48 am
(@blade)
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DUNKEL

Dallas at New Orleans
The Saints look to build on their 10-2 ATS record in their last 12 games as a favorite between 3 1/2 and 10 points. New Orleans is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Saints favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-7)

Game 303-304: Dallas at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 135.398; New Orleans 146.077
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 7; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-7); Over

NCAAF

Central Florida vs. Rutgers
The Knights look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games as an underdog. Central Florida is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Knights favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+3)

Game 201-202: Wyoming vs. Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 73.062; Fresno State 87.007
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 14; 58
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 10 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-10 1/2); Over

Game 203-204: Central Florida vs. Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 90.934; Rutgers 90.186
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 1; 41
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+3); Under

NBA

Indiana at San Antonio
The Spurs are coming off a 103-91 win over Golden State and look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games following a SU win by more than 10 points. San Antonio is the pick (-11 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 16 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-11 1/2)

Game 701-702: LA Clippers at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 115.625; Philadelphia 118.016
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 703-704: Portland at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 115.636; Orlando 126.241
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 10 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 8 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-8 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Utah at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 120.764; Charlotte 120.534
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 3 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: LA Lakers at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 124.715; New Jersey 111.154
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 13 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 709-710: Atlanta at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 123.972; Chicago 114.607
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Sacramento at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.005; Milwaukee 121.381
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 5 1/2; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-5 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Indiana at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 111.913; San Antonio 128.454
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 16 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 11 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-11 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Oklahoma City at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 117.570; Houston 120.743
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 3; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+4 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Washington at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 113.102; Phoenix 125.015
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 12; 210
Vegas Line & Total:
Dunkel Pick:

NCAAB

North Carolina vs. Texas
The Tar Heels look to build on their 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 games at a neutral site. North Carolina is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Longhorns favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+7)

Game 719-720: Michigan at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 59.598; Kansas 84.436
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 25
Vegas Line: Kansas by 19
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-19)

Game 721-722: VCU at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 62.403; Tulane 60.129
Dunkel Line: VCU by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: VCU by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+4 1/2)

Game 723-724: Fordham at Villanova
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 40.477; Villanova 75.901
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 35 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 28
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-28)

Game 725-726: Xavier at Butler
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 66.379; Butler 72.770
Dunkel Line: Butler by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-5 1/2)

Game 727-728: UCLA at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 57.755; Notre Dame 68.954
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 11
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-9 1/2)

Game 729-730: North Carolina vs. Texas
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 73.511; Texas 76.458
Dunkel Line: Texas by 3
Vegas Line: Texas by 7
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+7)

Game 731-732: Rice at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 53.997; LSU 62.836
Dunkel Line: LSU by 9
Vegas Line: LSU by 11
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+11)

Game 733-734: Stanford at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 61.924; Northwestern 70.692
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 9
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-4 1/2)

Game 735-736: Mississippi State at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 70.442; Houston 66.364
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 4
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-3)

Game 737-738: West Virginia at Cleveland State
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 72.884; Cleveland State 59.212
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (+15 1/2)

Game 739-740: Youngstown State at WI-Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 53.028; WI-Green Bay 61.171
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 8
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+9 1/2)

Game 741-742: Bowling Green at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 49.974; Detroit 57.800
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 8
Vegas Line: Detroit by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+8 1/2)

Game 743-744: Northern Illinois at Illinois-Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 48.054; Illinois-Chicago 53.549
Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 5
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-5)

Game 745-746: Western Kentucky at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 58.215; Louisville 75.736
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 9
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-9)

Game 747-748: Gonzaga vs. Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 68.051; Duke 77.352
Dunkel Line: Duke by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 8
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-8)

Game 749-750: Florida Atlantic vs. Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 44.638; Miami (FL) 67.691
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 23
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-16 1/2)

Game 751-752: Tennessee at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 73.621; USC 59.129
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 11
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-11)

Game 753-754: Illinois State at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 57.099; Utah 65.249
Dunkel Line: Utah by 8
Vegas Line: Utah by 6
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-6)

Game 755-756: UL-Monroe at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 44.713; Denver 58.446
Dunkel Line: Denver by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Denver by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-10 1/2)

Game 757-758: Memphis at Massachusetts
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 73.847; Massachusetts 58.170
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-13 1/2)

Game 759-760: UAB at South Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 62.743; South Alabama 58.046
Dunkel Line: UAB by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 5
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+5)

Game 761-762: Richmond vs. Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 62.909; Florida 72.565
Dunkel Line: Florida by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-6 1/2)

Game 763-764: San Diego State at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 65.434; Arizona State 71.559
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 6
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-3)

Game 765-766: Drake at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 50.969; Iowa 57.680
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-5 1/2)

Game 767-768: Indiana State at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 56.415; Toledo 46.022
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-8)

Game 769-770: Eastern Michigan at Georgia State
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 51.970; Georgia State 53.856
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 2
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+5 1/2)

Game 771-772: Temple at Seton Hall
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 67.262; Seton Hall 68.950
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 5
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+5)

Game 773-774: Old Dominion at Georgetown
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 63.214; Georgetown 74.965
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 9
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-9)

Game 775-776: St. Bonaventure at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 55.341; Syracuse 82.927
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 27 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 21
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-21)

Game 777-778: NC Wilmington at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: NC Wilmington 54.596; Virginia 64.680
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 10
Vegas Line: Virginia by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-7 1/2)

Game 779-780: Illinois at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 69.734; Georgia 57.427
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 9
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-9)

Game 781-782: Ball State at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 49.406; Purdue 79.012
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 29 1/2
Vegas Line: Purdue by 24
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-24)

Game 783-784: Texas Tech at Wichita State
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 62.728; Wichita State 67.924
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 5
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-4 1/2)

Game 785-786: Missouri State at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 61.221; St. Louis 62.548
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 1
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+1)

Game 787-788: Miami (OH) at WI-Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 53.961; WI-Milwaukee 60.042
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 6
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (-2 1/2)

Game 789-790: Kansas State at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 67.390; Alabama 68.429
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (+3 1/2)

Game 791-792: Creighton at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 57.871; New Mexico 74.135
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 11
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-11)

Game 793-794: Portland at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 63.910; Washington 71.659
Dunkel Line: Washington by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+9 1/2)

Game 795-796: South Florida vs. San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 60.298; San Francisco 46.920
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-7 1/2)

Game 797-798: Southern Illinois vs. San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 57.669; San Diego 57.919
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 1
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+1)

Game 799-800: College of Charleston at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 51.227; Clemson 74.352
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 23
Vegas Line: Clemson by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-17 1/2)

Game 801-802: Eastern Kentucky at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 53.370; Ohio 61.609
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 8
Vegas Line: Ohio by 10
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+10)

Game 803-804: Austin Peay at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 52.732; Kentucky 73.925
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 21
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 23 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+23 1/2)

Game 805-806: Tennessee State at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 41.985; Vanderbilt 73.004
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 31
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-22 1/2)

Game 807-808: Portland State at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 53.061; Washington State 70.914
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 18
Vegas Line: Washington State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-9 1/2)

Game 809-810: South Carolina at Wofford
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 65.282; Wofford 57.714
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-1 1/2)

Game 811-812: Northern Colorado at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 54.386; Oklahoma 67.797
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+15 1/2)

Game 813-814: Chattanooga at Murray State
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 46.395; Murray State 60.665
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 18
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+18)

Game 815-816: Tennessee-Martin at Evansville
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 44.691; Evansville 55.968
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Evansville by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+12 1/2)

Game 817-818: The Citadel at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 50.424; Texas A&M 73.112
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 16
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-16)

Game 819-820: Eastern Washington vs. BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 43.647; BYU 70.442
Dunkel Line: BYU by 27
Vegas Line: BYU by 23
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-23)

Game 821-822: Northern Arizona at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 46.341; Air Force 58.672
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Air Force by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-4 1/2)

Game 823-824: UC-Riverside at Montana
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 51.312; Montana 62.917
Dunkel Line: Montana by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-7 1/2)

Game 825-826: Idaho State at Sacramento State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 46.716; Sacramento State 45.565
Dunkel Line: Idaho State by 1
Vegas Line: Idaho State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+2)

Game 827-828: USC-Upstate at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: USC-Upstate 41.391; UNLV 68.207
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 27
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 829-830: IPFW at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 45.835; Michigan State 76.790
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 31
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 831-832: Delaware State at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 37.637; Ohio State 80.749
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 43
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 833-834: North Carolina Central at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina Central 34.497; Indiana 57.875
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 835-836: Gardner Webb at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Gardner Webb 39.253; Penn State 63.397
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 24
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NHL

Pittsburgh at Buffalo
The Penguins look to build on their 12-1 record in their last 13 games as a road favorite. Pittsburgh is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120)

Game 51-52: NY Rangers at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.820; Philadelphia 10.605
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+135); Over

Game 53-54: Detroit at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.951; Dallas 11.707
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+135); Over

Game 55-56: Nashville at CalgaryDunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.464; Calgary 12.811
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-160); Over

Game 57-58: Phoenix at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 12.473; Anaheim 12.201
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+115); Under

Game 59-60: Minnesota at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.152; Ottawa 12.369
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-115); Under

Game 61-62: Florida at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 12.022; Carolina 11.992
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+135); Under

Game 63-64: Boston at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.787; Toronto 10.829
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under

Game 65-66: New Jersey at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.868; Atlanta 11.996
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Under

Game 67-68: Pittsburgh at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.147; Buffalo 12.747
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+110); Over

Game 69-70: Montreal at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.780; NY Islanders 10.440
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+125); Over

Game 71-72: Columbus at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 10.560; Colorado 11.928
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-150); Under

Game 73-74: Washington at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.128; Edmonton 11.982
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135); Over

 
Posted : December 19, 2009 11:56 am
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Great Lakes Sports

Kansas State at Alabama
Pick: Kansas State

College Basketball Selection: Kansas State at Alabama 8:45PM EST Play on: (789) Kansas State Wildcats The Kansas State Wildcats are heating up as they are a very respectable 5-2 ATS this year, and the Wildcats are 5-2 ATS vs non-conference opponents this year. The Kansas State Wildcats is also a perfect 4-0 ATS when the total is between 140 to 149.5 points this year, and they are 4-0 ATS vs a team with a winning record this year. We look for the Kansas State Wildcats to grab the road Win & Cover tonight.

 
Posted : December 19, 2009 12:35 pm
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Dan Bebe

ORL -8 vs POR

This may not be a popular choice, given the enormous spread, but this line is huge for a reason, and we can use public perception to our greatest advantage for this contest. Both of these teams were featured on TNT on Thursday, and while the Magic got walloped by the Heat, the Blazers pulled out a magical comeback to beat the Suns in Portland. And now, these two teams meet in Florida, and the line is at, or above 8? It must seem nuts! Well, it's not. The Magic were embarrassed in that game in Miami, and they will not take well to the spanking they took. I expect a concerted and sustained effort from the Magic in this one; there's just no chance that Stan Van Gundy lets his team live down that loss to Wade's Heat without punching back. The Blazers are embarking on a difficult 4-games-in-5-nights road trip through Orlando, Miami, Dallas and San Antonio, and you know the task looks daunting. I expect the Blazers to get out to a slow start in this one, and I think the Magic keep the throttle up and open up a commanding lead. Orlando is 9-2 at home, where they win by an average of 10 points, so it's not at all crazy to think they cover this spread. Portland is sub-.500 on the road, and we'll use the fact that almost 90% of all tickets coming in early are on the Blazers to our advantage. Play against the perception that 9 points is too many to give the dog, take the Magic.

 
Posted : December 19, 2009 1:20 pm
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Posts: 318493
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Tony George

NOS -7 vs DAL

Lots of Hype early in the week saying the Colts and Saints will not come out of this weekend undefeated. Well Thursday I pounded the Colts for a winner and the KEY in this game, which is not really as good of game on paper as they are making it out to be, is clearly the Saints to win or lose. I could give out tons of stats and ATS trends here, but why? The far better team is favord by a TD at home, after already pounding 2 NFC East foes into submission already this year, and both those teams have beaten Dallas.

The Dallas secondary gives up HUGE plays all the time, and they are playing a team who makes HUGE plays all the time. The Saints are balanced, playing on a strong homefield, and have more consistency on offense and find more ways to win, while Dallas finds ways to lose. Granted this is a big number with the season on the line for Dallas, but I do not think Wade Phillips and staff can out-coach Sean Peyton and his, bottom line. Dallas a talented team, but not well coached.

 
Posted : December 19, 2009 1:23 pm
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Jack Jones

Seton Hall -4.5 over Temple

You have to like what Seton Hall has been able to do on offense racking up their 8-0 record this season. Against teams giving up 73 ppg, they are scoring 90.7 while only allowing 69 against teams scoring 70.2.

Now, they haven't played nearly as tough of a schedule as Temple has, but the Owls are only scoring 62.9 ppg against teams who average 66. They do play great defense, alowing just 54.1 ppg but I can't see that continuing against a Pirates team that has so much confidence on that end of the floor right now.

Great system supporting our play here that says to take favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 47-18 (72.3%) over the last 5 seasons.

 
Posted : December 19, 2009 1:53 pm
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John Martin

1 Unit on Wizards/Suns UNDER 218

The Suns are 8-2 UNDER in their last 10 games overall, and 12-4 UNDER in their last 16 games. Time and time again the books set Suns' totals much higher than they should be, placing all value with the UNDER. Saturday is no exception. Phoenix is 9-1 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. Washington is 19-7 UNDER in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. After getting in a track meet with the Warriors last night, look for the Wizards to come out flat tonight to help keep this one UNDER the number. Cash in with the UNDER 218 points.

 
Posted : December 19, 2009 2:48 pm
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