Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 29

DUNKEL INDEX

Kentucky at Louisville
The Cardinals look to build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 home games. Louisville is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-8)

Game 523-524: Western Michigan at NC State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 52.667; NC State 72.829
Dunkel Line: NC State by 20; 141
Vegas Line: NC State by 18 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-18 1/2); Under

Game 525-526: Santa Clara at Duke (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 59.204; Duke 75.742
Dunkel Line: Duke by 16 1/2; 155
Vegas Line: Duke by 18; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+18); Over

Game 527-528: Rice at Texas (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 47.237; Texas 65.388
Dunkel Line: Texas by 18
Vegas Line: Texas by 20
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+20)

Game 529-530: Tulsa vs. Florida State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 54.580; Florida State 62.299
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 7 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Florida State by 10 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+10 1/2); Over

Game 531-532: UNLV at North Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 67.647; North Carolina 73.127
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 158
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-3 1/2); Under

Game 533-534: Loyola-Chicago at DePaul (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 53.554; DePaul 56.993
Dunkel Line: DePaul by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: DePaul by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+7 1/2)

Game 535-536: Illinois-Chicago at Toledo (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 55.335; Toledo 54.883
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Toledo by 2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+2)

Game 537-538: William & Mary at Purdue (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 52.163; Purdue 62.112
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 10
Vegas Line: Purdue by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+12 1/2)

Game 539-540: Virginia Tech at BYU (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 56.867; BYU 66.915
Dunkel Line: BYU by 10; 148
Vegas Line: BYU by 9; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-9); Under

Game 541-542: Auburn vs. Illinois (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 53.229; Illinois 67.969
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 14 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Illinois by 13; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-13); Over

Game 543-544: Northeastern at UAB (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 54.291; UAB 60.966
Dunkel Line: UAB by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-4 1/2)

Game 545-546: San Jose State at Texas State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 47.403; Texas State 51.835
Dunkel Line: Texas State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (-3)

Game 547-548: Massachusetts at Northern Illinois (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 56.582; Northern Illinois 48.496
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 8
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 10
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+10)

Game 549-550: Duquesne at Penn State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 50.968; Penn State 58.153
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 7
Vegas Line: Penn State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-5)

Game 551-552: Kentucky at Louisville (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 73.569; Louisville 83.628
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 10
Vegas Line: Louisville by 8
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-8)

Game 553-554: Cal Poly at UC-Riverside (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 50.491; UC-Riverside 46.699
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 4
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 6
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+6)

Game 555-556: Air Force vs. Florida (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 55.568; Florida 78.246
Dunkel Line: Florida by 22 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Florida by 20 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-20 1/2); Under

Game 557-558: Florida Atlantic at UL-Monroe (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 46.932; UL-Monroe 45.948
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 1
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 5
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+5)

Game 559-560: Xavier at Tennessee (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 60.810; Tennessee 68.175
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 7 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6; 121
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6); Under

Game 561-562: Florida International at Middle Tennessee State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 50.783; Middle Tennessee State 65.400
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 18
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+18)

Game 563-564: Utah State at TX-San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.307; TX-San Antonio 52.273
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 6
Vegas Line: Utah State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-2 1/2)

Game 565-566: George Mason at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 59.404; South Florida 60.998
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 3
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+3)

Game 5567-568: Pacific at Long Beach State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 53.747; Long Beach State 56.963
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 3
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+4 1/2)

Game 569-570: Central Michigan at Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 48.450; Michigan 78.333
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 30; 132
Vegas Line: Michigan by 28 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-28 1/2); Under

Game 571-572: Fordham at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 48.986; Georgia Tech 65.099
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 16
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 13
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-13)

Game 573-574: Washington at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 57.858; Connecticut 64.376
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 6 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 7 1/2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7 1/2); Over

Game 575-576: Ohio at Oklahoma (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 58.789; Oklahoma 60.228
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 4
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+4)

Game 577-578: Evansville at Creighton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 57.660; Creighton 75.810
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 18
Vegas Line: Creighton by 15
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-15)

Game 579-580: Drake at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 55.665; Bradley 63.036
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Bradley by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-5 1/2)

Game 581-582: Towson at Oregon State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 46.093; Oregon State 64.540
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-15 1/2)

Game 583-584: North Texas at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 51.027; Western Kentucky 60.979
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 10
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 4
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-4)

Game 585-586: Butler at Vanderbilt (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 66.498; Vanderbilt 59.329
Dunkel Line: Butler by 7; 120
Vegas Line: Butler by 5; 123
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-5); Under

Game 587-588: New Mexico State at TX-Arlington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 60.457; TX-Arlington 58.749
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 1
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-1)

Game 589-590: Arkansas State at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 54.733; South Alabama 55.029
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+3)

Game 591-592: Harvard at California (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 56.296; California 68.350
Dunkel Line: California by 12
Vegas Line: California by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-10 1/2)

Game 593-594: Denver at Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 62.083; Louisiana Tech 61.315
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+4 1/2)

Game 595-596: Arkansas-Little Rock at UL-Lafayette (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas-Little Rock 52.301; UL-Lafayette 54.025
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas-Little Rock (+5 1/2)

Game 597-598: UC-Santa Barbara at CS-Fullerton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 51.088; CS-Fullerton 60.016
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 9; 142
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 7 1/2; 146
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (-7 1/2); Under

Game 599-600: Idaho at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 53.149; Seattle 54.120
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Seattle

Game 601-602: UC-Davis at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 49.997; UC-Irvine 58.943
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 9
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-6 1/2)

Game 603-604: CS-Northridge at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 54.331; Hawaii 54.976
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+2 1/2)

Game 605-606: Austin Peay vs. High Point (4:30 p.m. EST)
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Game 607-608: Utah Valley State at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
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Game 609-610: Howard vs. Boston U (5:00 p.m. EST)
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Game 611-612: Belmont at Central Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
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Game 613-614: Tennessee-Martin at SE Missouri State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 35.508; SE Missouri State 47.095
Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+13)

Game 615-616: Samford at Wisconsin (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 41.679; Wisconsin 67.952
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 26 1/2
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 27 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+27 1/2)

Game 617-618: South Dakota at NE-Omaha (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 47.752; NE-Omaha 37.988
Dunkel Line: South Dakota by 10
Vegas Line: South Dakota by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (-3 1/2)

Game 619-620: Valparaiso at Murray State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 58.668; Murray State 62.469
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 4
Vegas Line: Murray State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+5 1/2)

Game 621-622: Georgia State at Georgia Southern (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 52.051; Georgia Southern 50.348
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State

Game 623-624: Oakland at IUPUI (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.610; IUPUI 46.745
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 5
Vegas Line: Oakland by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-3 1/2)

Game 625-626: Manhattan at Columbia (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 48.425; Columbia 56.900
Dunkel Line: Columbia by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Columbia by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (-6 1/2)

Game 627-628: Tennessee Tech at Jacksonville State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 44.877; Jacksonville State 53.157
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (-7)

Game 629-630: Idaho State at Washington State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 44.158; Washington State 60.451
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 17
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+17)

Game 631-632: Davidson at Richmond (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 59.762; Richmond 59.782
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Richmond by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (+2 1/2)

Game 633-634: LaSalle at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 61.976; Siena 48.744
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 13
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-10 1/2)

Game 635-636: Fairfield at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 58.511; Old Dominion 52.052
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 3
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (-3)

Game 637-638: UMKC at Kansas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 44.956; Kansas State 71.242
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 26 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-21 1/2)

Game 639-640: IPFW at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 45.528; Western Illinois 63.712
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 18
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-11 1/2)

Game 641-642: South Dakota State at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 55.895; North Dakota State 65.491
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-7 1/2)

Game 643-644: Eastern Illinois at Tennessee State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 41.871; Tennessee State 55.267
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-11 1/2)

Game 645-646: Northern Colorado at Southern Utah (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 46.242; Southern Utah 42.310
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 4
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (-2 1/2)

Game 651-652: Chicago State at Ohio State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago State 39.831; Ohio State 78.490
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 38 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 35 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-35 1/2); Under

Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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UNLV vs. North CarolinaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: North CarolinaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Following their 18-point setback in Texas, Carolina’s 6-0 SU and ATS mark after a SU loss told us that the Dean Dome would be a house of horrors for visiting McNeese State and the Tar Heels didn’t disappoint, flattening the Cowboys, 97-63 (and covering the 24.5-point spread in the process).
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Today, the Heels’ 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS log at home with non-conference revenge is another clear indicator that today’s visitor may also be in for a long afternoon, as the 20th-ranked Rebels will likely pay in spades for last year’s 90-80 win as 7.5-point dogs in Vegas. As it is, UNLV is 2-12 ATS in their last 14 roadies, including a couple of close calls this season – a 1-point win in Cal and a 2-point victory at UTEP. The Rebs are also 1-4 ATS off a SU win of 14 points or more points this season and that doesn’t bode will against a Roy Williams’ coached club that is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 revengers. Hence, we won’t be Runnin’ with these Rebels today in Chapel Hill. Sweet Caroline. We recommend a 1-unit play on North Carolina.

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Butler vs. VanderbiltFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: VanderbiltFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Butler heads to Vanderbilt riding a six-game winning streak while the Commodores are coming off a loss in their last game at Middle Tennessee St. Vanderbilt is 5-5 entering this big non-conference showdown with Butler and while that record may not seem very good, the fact of the matter is that the Commodores have played a very aggressive schedule thus far and it certainly isn't getting any easier here. Still, Vanderbilt possesses one of the best home court advantages in college basketball and anytime it is getting points here, it is worth a look. Vanderbilt has prided itself on defense this season as opponents have averaged less than 60 ppg on 41.2 percent shooting including 30.9 percent from long range. Stingy defense aided Vanderbilt in an overtime victory at Xavier, one of just two teams Butler has lost to this year. Butler owns one of the biggest wins in college basketball this season when it knocked off then top ranked Indiana in overtime. The Bulldogs came back and defeated Evansville after that to avoid a letdown but that came a week later as does this contest. Overall Butler has won six straight games and is once again a publicly favored team so the lines have to be adjusted which is the case here. Taking nothing away from what the Bulldogs have done but they are in a tough spot in a tough environment against a team that everyone is down on. The Commodores are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against team with a winning percentage above .600 while going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss.

Jeff HochmanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Air Force vs. RiceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Air Force -1FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Falcons lost three of their last four games, including a 41-21 shocker to Army, and barely reached bowl eligibility with a 6-6 record. On the other side, Rice won five of its last six games to finish 6-6. In getting a bowl game, coach Troy Calhoun and the Falcons did manage to uphold a tradition in his six-year tenure. If they defeat Rice, they'll uphold another. The Falcons haven't missed going to a bowl game or finishing without a winning season under Calhoun.
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Air Force is highly motivated for this game, after not showing up against Fresno State in their last game of the season. Rice has home field advantage but that's it. The Falcons own the better offense and defense. Air Force went 3-2 ITS (in the stats) against other Bowl teams while Rice went 1-2. The Falcons average Net yards per game was +41 while Rice checks in at -78. The Bowl team with the better Yards Per Point averages has won this Bowl game SU in 9 out of the past 10 years. The Falcons are far superior in this category and highly motivated for this game. Military Bowl teams are 25-10 ATS since 1980, including 12-1 ATS off a loss. Take the Falcons!

Tony GeorgeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oregon State vs. TexasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Oregon StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas is not the better team here. Oregon State plays physical football which is rare for the PAC 12. The Texas defense was a disappointment all year and this is a Bowl Game in-state and I doubt the Longhorns are fired up much for this one. Mack Brown is the most overrated coach in America, his team is usually one of the most overrated teams in the Land, and Oregon State has 3 close losses this season all to very good teams, and were never blown out in any game. Texas has 2 QBs that are not good, OSU has a good QB scenario. The Beavers look to this as a challenge and are well coached, and the oddsmakers have the right team favored. Texas too inconsistent at QB and their special teams are iffy at best and again, Texas not happy to be here even in their home state. This is a 2 hour bus ride from campus, so I doubt they are in awe of San Antonio and I see the Beavers as the better team. It is a lot about motivation in these Bowl Games, you read and hear that everywhere, and this game a prime example.
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Final Analysis
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Texas has been a train wreck all year, I see nothing to change that here against a disciplined and well coached team who is a solid ballclub. Usually I would take a Big 12 school over a PAC 12 School like I did with Baylor over UCLA which was a no brainer, but OSU plays a physical brand of football unlike many in the PAC 12, and Mack Brown could not coach his way out of a wet paper bag against Riley here.

Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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West Virginia -3½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I like West Virginia to cover the small number against Syracuse here today. The Mountaineers are 10-1 ATS on the road against passing defenses allowing a 62% completion rate or worse going back to 1992. West Virginia is completing 70.5% of their passes on the season and will match up well a Orange defense that gives up 63.1% passing on the season.
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I also like the strength of the Big 12 over the Big East this year. West Virginia fell off in the middle of the season and had a couple of close losses to Oklahoma and TCU, much tougher competition than the Orange faced. The last three games the Mountaineers found a rushing attack to go with their aerial attack, gaining 458 yards against Oklahoma, 239 against Iowa State, and 240 versus Kansas on the ground.
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The only thing keeping this from being a premium pick for me is the fact that Syracuse ended their season with three decent wins, but I think they struggle with the step up in competition here today.

Timothy BlackFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Air Force vs. RiceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: RiceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Rice has won 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 with their only loss coming to a very solid Tulsa squad. The Owls are also 5-1 ATS in this last stretch of 6 games. The Air Force Academy has had a down year, especially for their recent standards. The Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Also, in the SU category, the Air Force has lost 3 of those 4 games, which includes a very bad loss to an awful Army team.

Alex SmartFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Air Force vs. RiceFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Air ForceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The difference maker in this Rice /Air Force battle I'm betting will be special teams. Air Force is fifth in the MW and 35th nationally in kickoff returns with a 23.4 average and second in the MW and 33rd nationally in net punting with a 38.5 average.Air Force to win and cover

Dave PriceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oregon State -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I don't think Texas, which ranks 76th in the country with 412.2 yards allowed per game, is solid enough defensively to slow down an Oregon State offense that averages 441.0 yards (37th nationally) and 36.1 points (24th nationally) per game. In fact, the Longhorns are just 5-15 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that average 31 points or more per contest. They have lost to these teams by an average of 8.2 points. Additionally, Oregon State is a strong 9-1 ATS in games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. It has won these games by an average of 11.9 points. Lay the field goal.

Freddy WillsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Air Force vs. RiceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Air ForceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Rice clearly played better down the stretch of the season going 5-1, but they lack any sort of a run defense to stop Air Force here. For Air Force it was all about playing 10 consecutive weeks and really they looked tired to end the year. This is a team that runs the ball 84% of the time and really got worn down. I think the extra rest has prepared them well in this game against Rice. If you remember this was a team that almost beat a Michigan team at home 25-31 in week 2 after that they did not get a rest. They come into this game 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. the Conference USA.

Jeff Alexander

Rice +2.5

Rice is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons in games when the line in +3 to -3. It has won these by an average of 9.1 points. Also, Air Force is 1-7 ATS as a favorite this season.

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Air Force vs RiceFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Air ForceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both teams enter struggling at 6-6 Rice did win their last few games but mostly against bad teams UTEP and a So Miss team that was 0-12. Must always respect acadamy teams as they always come to play. Falcons played the better schedule in the MTN West and at times have looked promising for HC Calhoun. Rice has not beaten AF since 1986 since AF has won 4 times in a row. Also one real important note AF is playing their 6th bowl in a row. Rice playing their 6the Bowl in the last 55 years. Take the better suited flyboys

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Toronto Raptors at Orlando Magic
Pick: Toronto RaptorsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Orlando is no powerhouse team at home with a losing record, plus they are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, off a trip to Washington. Toronto comes to town and the Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on no days rest, as well as 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing record. Orlando is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Play Toronto!

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Toledo - over Illinois-ChicagoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois-Chicago is 9-3 on the season but after eight straight wins the Flames have lost back-to-back games. This will be a third straight road game for Illinois-Chicago as players return from holiday breaks and this could be a challenging situation. Toledo is just 3-6 on the year but the schedule has been brutal. This will be just the second home game of the season for the Rockets and most of the losses have come by very slim margins in tough venues. The last four losses have all come by six or fewer points and Toledo has been battle tested through a very tough schedule which should help in this match-up and in the upcoming MAC season. Toledo won by 15 when these teams met last season and while the Rockets are ineligible for the postseason, this is a team that can be very competitive in the MAC this season. Toledo has its entire starting roster back from last season and including one of the top scorers in the conference Rian Pearson and this is a team with an outstanding backcourt. The hot start for Illinois-Chicago has been a surprise as this team has already won more games than all of last season. While this is clearly an improved team with some impressive wins over Iona, Northwestern, and Colorado State, value is now gone from this team and this looks like a problematic situation. Illinois-Chicago has played great defense this season but they have benefited from some good fortune with foes shooting just 29 percent from 3-point range and just 67 percent from the free throw line, numbers that are not likely to continue as Toledo finally gets to play another home game. Illinois-Chicago is just 2-3 in its road games and the Rockets look like a much better team than the record indicates.