Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, December 7

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

UNLV at Arizona
The Wildcats host a UNLV team that is coming off an 85-55 win over Tennessee-Martin and is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU victory of more than 20 points. Arizona is the pick (-16) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by 18 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-16)

Game 519-520: Texas at Temple (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 61.827; Temple 66.649
Dunkel Line: Temple by 5
Vegas Line: Temple by 1
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-1)

Game 521-522: UCLA at Missouri (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 65.963; Missouri 70.802
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 5
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Missouri

Game 523-524: UL-Lafayette at Louisville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 52.887; Louisville 79.838
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 27
Vegas Line: Louisville by 21
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-21)

Game 527-528: BYU at Massachusetts (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 69.686; Massachusetts 67.275
Dunkel Line: BYU by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 4
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+4)

Game 529-530: Fordham at St. John's (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 48.735; St. John's 64.642
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 16
Vegas Line: St. John's by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-11 1/2)

Game 531-532: St. Bonaventure at Buffalo (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 56.257; Buffalo 59.179
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 3
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1)

Game 533-534: Richmond at Wake Forest (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 59.418; Wake Forest 65.444
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 6
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-1 1/2)

Game 535-536: Clemson at Arkansas (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 65.849; Arkansas 67.744
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 2
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+4 1/2)

Game 537-538: St. Louis at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 69.922; Valparaiso 63.949
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-3 1/2)

Game 539-540: Long Beach State at NC State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 51.508; NC State 62.698
Dunkel Line: NC State by 11
Vegas Line: NC State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+14)

Game 541-542: Miami (OH) at Evansville (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 46.310; Evansville 64.456
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 18
Vegas Line: Evansville by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (-9 1/2)

Game 543-544: Akron at Cleveland State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 57.854; Cleveland State 55.466
Dunkel Line: Akron by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+5 1/2)

Game 545-546: Bowling Green at Xavier (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 51.817; Xavier 64.137
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+15 1/2)

Game 547-548: Eastern Michigan at Purdue (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 52.231; Purdue 61.246
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 9
Vegas Line: Purdue by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+10 1/2)

Game 549-550: Marquette at Wisconsin (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 64.057; Wisconsin 75.066
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 11
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-8 1/2)

Game 551-552: South Alabama at Rice (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 54.157; Rice 52.650
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 4
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+4)

Game 553-554: Kansas at Colorado (3:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 69.994; Colorado 72.878
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 3
Vegas Line: Colorado by 1
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-1)

Game 555-556: Georgia State at Southern Mississippi (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 52.120; Southern Mississippi 63.856
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-6 1/2)

Game 557-558: Delaware at Notre Dame (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 55.881; Notre Dame 70.358
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 11
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-11)

Game 559-560: Cincinnati at New Mexico (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 69.295; New Mexico 67.408
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+4 1/2)

Game 561-562: Illinois-Chicago at Loyola-Chicago (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 50.079; Loyola-Chicago 52.533
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+4 1/2)

Game 563-564: Western Kentucky at Southern Illinois (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 51.252; Southern Illinois 58.597
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-3 1/2)

Game 565-566: Bradley at WI-Milwaukee (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 55.427; WI-Milwaukee 55.000
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 6
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+6)

Game 567-568: Marshall at Penn State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 51.212; Penn State 66.258
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 15
Vegas Line: Penn State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-12)

Game 571-572: Fresno State at Utah (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 57.522; Utah 65.270
Dunkel Line: Utah by 8
Vegas Line: Utah by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+10 1/2)

Game 573-574: Western Michigan at Northwestern (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 54.426; Northwestern 57.415
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 3
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+5 1/2)

Game 575-576: Virginia at WI-Green Bay (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 68.551; WI-Green Bay 59.486
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 9
Vegas Line: Virginia by 3
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-3)

Game 577-578: UNLV at Arizona (5:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 57.482; Arizona 76.127
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 16
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-16)

Game 579-580: Northern Iowa vs. Iowa State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 63.009; Iowa State 70.587
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+9 1/2)

Game 581-582: Ohio at Oakland (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 62.733; Oakland 52.116
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 3
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-3)

Game 583-584: San Jose State at Houston (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 46.398; Houston 61.087
Dunkel Line: Houston by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-8 1/2)

Game 585-586: Villanova at St. Joseph's (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 72.613; St. Joseph's 64.226
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 4
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-4)

Game 587-588: UAB at Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 55.772; Northeastern 59.325
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 1
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (-1)

Game 589-590: Dayton at Illinois State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 65.870; Illinois State 61.971
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 4
Vegas Line: Dayton by 6
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+6)

Game 591-592: Drake vs. Iowa (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 61.379; Iowa 75.193
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 14
Vegas Line: Iowa by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-9 1/2)

Game 593-594: Pacific at Utah State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 59.028; Utah State 65.712
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+10 1/2)

Game 595-596: Alabama at South Florida (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 65.449; South Florida 60.221
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 5
Vegas Line: Alabama by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-1 1/2)

Game 597-598: Nevada at UC Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 49.993; UC Davis 48.313
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 4
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (+4)

Game 599-600: Santa Clara at Cal Poly (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 52.308; Cal Poly 59.257
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 7
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 4
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (-4)

Game 601-602: Pepperdine at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 51.159; UC-Irvine 60.699
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 12
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+12)

Game 603-604: Tennessee Tech at Tennessee (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 50.377; Tennessee 65.168
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 15
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 20
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+20)

Game 605-606: Austin Peay at Samford (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 46.101; Samford 38.998
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 7
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-1 1/2)

Game 607-608: William & Mary at Wofford (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 50.391; Wofford 53.774
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Wofford by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-1 1/2)

Game 609-610: Indiana State at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 59.400; Eastern Illinois 54.131
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+11 1/2)

Game 611-612: Tennessee State at Drexel (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 47.159; Drexel 60.220
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 13
Vegas Line: Drexel by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+16 1/2)

Game 613-614: North Dakota at Butler (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 49.050; Butler 68.354
Dunkel Line: Butler by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-12 1/2)

Game 615-616: NC-Greensboro at North Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 46.925; North Carolina 69.344
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 27 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+27 1/2)

Game 617-618: Hawaii at Northern Arizona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 57.774; Northern Arizona 49.531
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 8
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-5 1/2)

Game 619-620: Dartmouth at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 48.736; IPFW 56.805
Dunkel Line: IPFW by 8
Vegas Line: IPFW by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: IPFW (-6 1/2)

Game 621-622: Central Michigan at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 48.962; SIU-Edwardsville 46.688
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan

Game 625-626: Sacramento State at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 41.583; UTEP 63.249
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: UTEP by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-17 1/2)

Game 627-628: Wyoming at South Dakota (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 57.989; South Dakota 50.740
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 7
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (+10 1/2)

Game 629-630: Portland at Portland State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 52.240; Portland State 51.748
Dunkel Line: Portland by 1
Vegas Line: Portland by 5
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+5)

Game 641-642: Colgate at Georgetown (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colgate 47.530; Georgetown 73.793
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 26 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-16 1/2)

Game 643-644: Houston Baptist at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston Baptist 43.726; Michigan 74.725
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 31
Vegas Line: Michigan by 26
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-26)

Game 645-646: Central Connecticut State at Ohio State (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Connecticut State 44.560; Ohio State 79.327
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 35
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 27
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-27)

Game 647-648: North Florida at Indiana (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Florida 46.728; Indiana 74.745
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 28
Vegas Line: Indiana by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-22 1/2)

Game 649-650: New Mexico State at Gonzaga (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 61.936; Gonzaga 77.779
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 16
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-12 1/2)

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Indiana at San Antonio
The Pacers travel to San Antonio tonight where they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. San Antonio is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 8.
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3 1/2)

Game 501-502: Denver at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 124.279; Philadelphia 111.818
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 12 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6 1/2; 216
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: LA Clippers at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 120.069; Cleveland 117.905
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+6 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Golden State at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 119.641; Memphis 118.236
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 1; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+1); Over

Game 507-508: Miami at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.337; Minnesota 122.457
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4; 192
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: Detroit at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 117.198; Chicago 119.528
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5; 189
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+5); Over

Game 511-512: Indiana at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 125.204; San Antonio 133.391
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8; 182
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: Brooklyn at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 108.391; Milwaukee 114.389
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3; 189
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3); Over

Game 515-516: Sacramento at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 114.723; Utah 119.944
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 5; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-2); Under

Game 517-518: Dallas at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.299; Portland 119.633
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+5 1/2); Over

NHL

Pittsburgh at Boston
The Bruins look to bounce back from their 2-1 loss at Montreal on Thursday as they host a Pittsburgh team that is 1-5 in its last 6 games against Boston. Boston is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140)

Game 51-52: Philadelphia at Dallas (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.015; Dallas 11.403
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115); Over

Game 53-54: Pittsburgh at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.652; Boston 12.999
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140); Under

Game 55-56: Buffalo at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.068; Montreal 10.122
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-270); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+225); Under

Game 57-58: Toronto at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 9.679; Ottawa 11.165
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-135); Over

Game 59-60: Nashville at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.550; Washington 11.902
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-165); Under

Game 61-62: Winnipeg at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 12.083; Tampa Bay 10.812
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+135); Over

Game 63-64: Florida at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.168; Detroit 10.005
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+160); Under

Game 65-66: New Jersey at NY Rangers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.733; NY Rangers 12.233
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-175); Over

Game 67-68: Anaheim at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.993; St. Louis 11.812
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+170); Over

Game 69-70: Calgary at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.501; Edmonton 11.945
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-175); Under

Game 71-72: NY Islanders at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.306; Los Angeles 10.229
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+195); Under

Stephen Nover

Ohio St. -5

Ohio State's offense trumps Michigan State's defense plus the Buckeyes' defense is underrated. The Buckeyes have played with big leads in many of their games so their defensive numbers are somewhat skewed.

Michigan State hasn't faced an offense nearly this good, nor a quarterback anywhere near the caliber of Braxton Miller, nor a running back as good as Carlos Hyde. The Buckeyes are No. 3 in the nation in scoring at 48.2 points a game and rank sixth in total yards at 531.

Ohio State's win streak nearly ended at 23 this past week against Michigan. The Buckeyes held on, 42-41. I like Urban Meyer off a big scare. I see the Buckeyes coming in with their A game. Michigan State is incapable of playing from behind.

Stephen Nover's Featured Package

Dave Essler

Oklahoma / Oklahoma St. Under 57

If I were selling daily packages this would have been a 3*. However, I've chosen not to sell daily packages for a while with some personal stuff taking away some of my time. Anyhow, since this is such a big rivalry, defense usually wins. The key here is NOT the Cowboys, it's the Sooners. Oklahoma has little or not offense and actually a very good defense. So, we certainly don't expect Oklahoma to try and run up and down the field in this game and have a chance to win. With that in mind, the Cowboy's defense is JUST bad enough to let Oklahoma control some clock here. The Cowboys held Baylor to 17, so realistically how many should the Sooners score? I don't see this as a 14-13 game (I wish) but getting over this number might not be as easy as it looks. Of course the early trend was to the under as well. I may or may not have more plays on Saturday, but either way I will put all my thoughts in here if not in the form of other plays. Oh, and right, wrong, or indifferent, this doesn't hurt either:

Rickie Robbins

Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State
Play: Oklahoma +10

As the BCS era draws to a close, it’s only fitting that it ends shrouded in controversy just like every other season in recent memory. And where does a one loss Oklahoma State team figure in all this? They don’t, really. Even if Ok State wins Bedlam over Oklahoma and Ohio State and Florida State both lose, that dreaded one-loss SEC team is better than the rest scenario will take center stage. That means we could have two one-loss SEC teams vying for the National Championship. Then all we can do is breathe a collective sigh of relief that this god-awful mess we call the Bowl Championship Series is finally history. So what’s really at stake in this game, besides a Big 12 title for the Cowboys, is what’s always at stake: Bedlam bragging rights. This will be the 108th edition of the Bedlam series, of which the Sooners have lost just 17. And of those, Mike Gundy has just one.
The Breakdown: Ok State was off last week, but we all remember what happened the last time they took the field. They not only dominated Baylor, they smashed them in the face with a shovel. It was the kind of performance that makes you wonder how in the world the Cowboys lost to a West Virginia team that, after this season, looks out of place in the Big 12. Whether or not the stumble was a momentary lapse, though, is immaterial now. Ok State can take a giant step forward with a win over Oklahoma this week in terms of really becoming a player in this conference and inching closer towards the perch that’s long been occupied by Oklahoma and Texas as favorites to win the Big 12 year in and year out.

If senior QB Clint Chelf has indeed transformed himself from a QB that’s struggled to reach 200 yards passing in a game, and only did so twice before Baylor, to the machine-like QB we saw against the Bears that connected on 19-of-25 for 370 yards and 3 TDs and gave the appearance of a man possessed, this is a team that, at its best, is as is good as anyone in the country. On the defensive side, the Cowboys have been stout for much of the year, holding their opponents to 18.8 ppg and ranking 12th nationally. No team has scored more than 29 points on this defense outside of Texas Tech and Texas-San Antonio (god only knows what happened there) and Ok State absolutely stuffed Baylor’s top-ranked offense, holding them to just 17 points or about 46 points below their average at the time. So there’ll be no national title shot this season for the Cowboys and a win here will likely land them in the Fiesta Bowl against non-AQ qualifier Northern Illinois, as anticlimactic as that is. Tough to find a silver lining, but if there is one, I guess it would have to be that Ok State was good enough this season to come up just short. Again.

The Sooners, meanwhile, can’t win the Big 12 with a win here and probably can’t do much to improve their bowl game outlook either. As it stands now, OU is projected to land in the Alamo Bowl to face the Pac-12’s second place finisher. Making matters worse, the Sooners are a double-digit underdog for the first time ever against Oklahoma State. Somehow, Bob Stoops doesn’t see this as an opportunity to play spoiler to the Cowboys chances and this week said the game is more importantly one of the great rivalries in college football. If that’s true, nobody else knows about it. That notion might be helped along by Oklahoma State actually winning a few. More pressing for Stoops is who will be his starting quarterback. At the moment, it looks like freshman Trevor Knight will get the start, but as we’ve seen this season, that’s subject to change and change quickly. Knight seems to have cemented himself as the starter with his last two performances. Against Iowa State, Knight rushed for 123 yards and 1 TD, but passed for just 61 yards on 8-of-14 attempts and against Kansas State Knight had 82 yards rushing and 1 TD and threw for 171 yards and 1 TD on 14-of-20. The Sooners are much more one-dimensional with Knight under center than they are with Blake Bell, but Oklahoma’s 15th-ranked ground game, which averages 242.3 yards per outing, usually means they don’t need to put the ball in the air much. But they could against Oklahoma State, which would obviously present a problem for Knight. Good thing Bell’s waiting in the wings. Defensively, the Sooners have been solid, ranking 21st nationally and giving up 21.1 ppg.

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Two Conference USA teams meet up in a battle of division leaders. I think both teams have overachieved to a degree this season, but for me this one comes down to the difference-maker that is Herd quarterback Rakeem Cato. The junior pretty much dictates the success of this Marshall team, and because of his dominant play this season, the Thundering Herd have flourished. His 34 touchdown passes to just eight interceptions proves he has turned into an efficient passer just as much as years past when he racked up yards that came with turnovers. Marshall has gotten the better of Rice each of the past two seasons in close games. Again they one-up their conference opponents led by another quality game from their star signal caller.

Bryan Power

Texas vs. Baylor
Pick: Baylor

If the ninth ranked Bears were to have a hangover following the embarrassment that was the 49-17 loss to Oklahoma State, logically it would be last week and sure enough they struggled to get by TCU on the road, winning by only a 41-38 margin as two TD favorites. Now, they are back in Waco where they've covered every game....

Thus, I like Baylor to roll big time here against an overrated Texas outfit. If Oklahoma State were to lose to Oklahoma early Saturday, then the Bears would have something major to play for here, namely a BCS bowl. I doubt the Pokes are going to lose in Stillwater, but still I see Baylor "showing up" at home against a name opponent. They have been ridiculous in Waco all season, covering all six games, winning by an average margin of 51.7 PPG! Last time they played here, they destroyed Oklahoma 41-12. It's been a full month since the Bears players have taken the field in their home stadium. They'll be fired up as this is the final game in the 63-year history of Floyd Casey Stadium.

Meanwhile, Texas was also handled this year by Oklahoma State, though their loss to the Cowboys came at home. They've also lost games to Ole Miss and BYU. Like Baylor, the 'Horns best win came against Oklahoma. They simply lack the horses to keep up w/ a Baylor offense that is averaging 635 yards per game and 55.4 PPG.

Wunderdog

Duke vs. Florida State
Pick:Florida State -29

I have ridden with Florida State on several occasions this season with extremely high point spreads, and this will be no different. Kudos to Duke for having a great season, but they are simply no match for Florida State. These teams have met 18 times and Florida State is 18-0, and 12-6 ATS with the closest game having been 19 points. When Florida State has faced Duke to a line of less than -30 they are 9-0 ATS, winning by an average of 35 points per game. They have faced a Duke team over .500 and are 5-0 ATS in those games, winning by 40.6 points per game. They have even faced some good Duke teams in the 90s and are 3-0 ATS against a Duke team over .700. The bottom line here is that Duke is basically an average to a tick above average from the line of scrimmage, but Florida State is elite on both sides of the ball. The Noles have won seven of their last eight games overall by 30 points. Those blowout wins have come against the likes of Florida, Miami and Clemson - and two of those were on the road. Florida State has held 10 opponents to 14 points or less, while getting to 48 points or more nine times. Last year, they beat the Blue Devils 48-7 despite being -4 in turnovers, and Duke has simply not closed the gap enough to fare much better in this one. Unbeaten favorites from -21.5 to -31 points that are on at least a seven game winning streak are 73-40 ATS, including 6-1 ATS this year, and 29-4 ATS since 2007. Lay the bundle and play on Florida State to claim the ACC crown.

River City SharpsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Marshall -6.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Marshall and Rice will square off for the Conference USA Championship Saturday and it will be interesting to see how Rice plans on stopping the high-octane offense of the Thundering Herd. Against common opponents this season, Marshall ran up 39.8 ppg while Rice only scored 28 ppg. Even though you might give the slight edge in defense to Rice, in those same games against common opponents, Marshall surrendered 20 ppg while Rice gave up 24 ppg. The one thing we don't like here is that the game is at Rice, but they don't have a tremendous home field advantage. This game is basically a story of two average defenses, but Marshall's offense is head and shoulders above any other unit in this game and we really like them as a less than a TD favorite.

Dave Price

Michigan State +6

Michigan State is showing value catching points because of its stop unit, which leads the nation with 237.3 yards allowed per game. The Spartans defeated Ohio State 10-7 on the road in 2011 and then played the Buckeyes to a one-point game (17-16) at home last year. I expect another close contest here. Michigan State is an impressive 6-0 ATS when playing away from home against teams that have a winning record over the last two seasons. The Spartans concluded the regular season with back-to-back double-digit wins over Northwestern and Minnesota. These victories are significant because Michigan State is 6-0 ATS under coach Dantonio when playing away from home off two consecutive double-digit victories over conference foes. The Spartans have certainly proven to be a sound investment outside East Lansing late in the season as they are 7-0 ATS in road/neutral field games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Ohio State is very reliant on its running game. However, it will have a tough time running on a Michigan State defense that leads the nation with 64.4 rushing yards per game allowed. The Buckeyes complete 66.7% of their passes, but the majority of their aerial opportunities are set up by the running game. In addition, the Spartans have gone 6-0 ATS this season versus team that complete 58% or more of their passes. Take the points.

Bill Biles

Michigan State +6

MSU doesn't get the credit it deserves, and I believe they will go out and get the respect of the country in the Big 10 Championship game. I actually think MSU will win the game outright, but I will take them with the points here.

Rickie Robbins

Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State
Play: Oklahoma +10

Storyline: As the BCS era draws to a close, it’s only fitting that it ends shrouded in controversy just like every other season in recent memory. And where does a one loss Oklahoma State team figure in all this? They don’t, really. Even if Ok State wins Bedlam over Oklahoma and Ohio State and Florida State both lose, that dreaded one-loss SEC team is better than the rest scenario will take center stage. That means we could have two one-loss SEC teams vying for the National Championship. Then all we can do is breathe a collective sigh of relief that this god-awful mess we call the Bowl Championship Series is finally history. So what’s really at stake in this game, besides a Big 12 title for the Cowboys, is what’s always at stake: Bedlam bragging rights. This will be the 108th edition of the Bedlam series, of which the Sooners have lost just 17. And of those, Mike Gundy has just one.
The Breakdown: Ok State was off last week, but we all remember what happened the last time they took the field. They not only dominated Baylor, they smashed them in the face with a shovel. It was the kind of performance that makes you wonder how in the world the Cowboys lost to a West Virginia team that, after this season, looks out of place in the Big 12. Whether or not the stumble was a momentary lapse, though, is immaterial now. Ok State can take a giant step forward with a win over Oklahoma this week in terms of really becoming a player in this conference and inching closer towards the perch that’s long been occupied by Oklahoma and Texas as favorites to win the Big 12 year in and year out.

If senior QB Clint Chelf has indeed transformed himself from a QB that’s struggled to reach 200 yards passing in a game, and only did so twice before Baylor, to the machine-like QB we saw against the Bears that connected on 19-of-25 for 370 yards and 3 TDs and gave the appearance of a man possessed, this is a team that, at its best, is as is good as anyone in the country. On the defensive side, the Cowboys have been stout for much of the year, holding their opponents to 18.8 ppg and ranking 12th nationally. No team has scored more than 29 points on this defense outside of Texas Tech and Texas-San Antonio (god only knows what happened there) and Ok State absolutely stuffed Baylor’s top-ranked offense, holding them to just 17 points or about 46 points below their average at the time. So there’ll be no national title shot this season for the Cowboys and a win here will likely land them in the Fiesta Bowl against non-AQ qualifier Northern Illinois, as anticlimactic as that is. Tough to find a silver lining, but if there is one, I guess it would have to be that Ok State was good enough this season to come up just short. Again.

The Sooners, meanwhile, can’t win the Big 12 with a win here and probably can’t do much to improve their bowl game outlook either. As it stands now, OU is projected to land in the Alamo Bowl to face the Pac-12’s second place finisher. Making matters worse, the Sooners are a double-digit underdog for the first time ever against Oklahoma State. Somehow, Bob Stoops doesn’t see this as an opportunity to play spoiler to the Cowboys chances and this week said the game is more importantly one of the great rivalries in college football. If that’s true, nobody else knows about it. That notion might be helped along by Oklahoma State actually winning a few. More pressing for Stoops is who will be his starting quarterback. At the moment, it looks like freshman Trevor Knight will get the start, but as we’ve seen this season, that’s subject to change and change quickly. Knight seems to have cemented himself as the starter with his last two performances. Against Iowa State, Knight rushed for 123 yards and 1 TD, but passed for just 61 yards on 8-of-14 attempts and against Kansas State Knight had 82 yards rushing and 1 TD and threw for 171 yards and 1 TD on 14-of-20. The Sooners are much more one-dimensional with Knight under center than they are with Blake Bell, but Oklahoma’s 15th-ranked ground game, which averages 242.3 yards per outing, usually means they don’t need to put the ball in the air much. But they could against Oklahoma State, which would obviously present a problem for Knight. Good thing Bell’s waiting in the wings. Defensively, the Sooners have been solid, ranking 21st nationally and giving up 21.1 ppg.

Joseph D'Amico

Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State
Play: Oklahoma State -10

Let's talk Saturday Big Rivalry…Oklahoma State hosting Oklahoma. The line is currently the Cowboys -9 1/2 with a Total of 57 1/2. Oklahoma State is 10-1,( just like Baylor is in the BIG 12), 7-1 in Conference play, and 8-3 ATS. Oklahoma is 9-2, 6-2 in Conference play, and 6-5 ATS. This game has a lot on the line…possibly the BIG 12 Championship and a berth in a BCS Bowl. Oklahoma won 9 of the L10 meetings SU, going 7-3 against the number. The Sooners only had two losses this season, a 36-20 defeat to the Longhorns and a 41-12 thumping by the Bears. Since the Baylor loss, Oklahoma spanked Iowa State, 48-10 and Kansas State, 41-31. Ok State dropped to West Virginia back in September, as a 20-point favorite. Since then, they've won 7 in a row SU and their L6 ATS. Funny thing how their last two games were against both teams that bested Oklahoma. The Cowboys routed the Longhorns, 38-13 and then shellacked the Bears, 49-17. Oklahoma comes in a bit banged-up while Okie State is relatively healthy. The Cowboys QB, Clint Chelf took a while but he has truly grown into the offensive leader of this unit, passing for 1043 yards, a 63.3% CR, 10 TDs, and just 3 INTs over his L4 games, as the team has posted 45.2 PPG during that span. The ground game of Roland, Smith, and Chelf have combined for 1306 YR and 25 TDs. Their "D" allows just 18.8 PPG, 130 yards rushing and 250 yards passing and has held their last 3 foes, Kansas, Texas, and Baylor to just 12 PPG. Oklahoma rushes for 242.3 YPG behind Clay and Williams but their passing game leaves a lot to be desired behind Blake Bell's, 1508 YP, 11/5 TD/INT ratio. They post 31.7 PPG on the road, being outscored by 1.2 PPG while Oklahoma State bests visitors by 16.7 PPG at home going 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS.

Jack Jones

Michigan State +6

The Michigan State Spartans are a couple of blown pass interference calls by the refs against Notre Dame away from being 12-0 this season. They have rallied behind one of the most underrated head coaches in the country in Mike Dantonio, who just gives his players the belief that they can beat anyone they play. This team certainly feels like it can beat Ohio State, especially after losing by a single point to the Buckeyes last year. The Spartans weren’t nearly as good last season as they are in 2013.

Michigan State has been winning behind the best defense in the entire country. The Spartans are giving up just 11.7 points and 237.3 yards per game to rank 1st in the FBS in total defense. They have been much better on this side of the ball than Ohio State, which is giving up 355.8 yards per game on the season. That includes 603 yards to Michigan last week in a game the Buckeyes really should have lost, but won 42-41 in Ann Arbor. That’s the same Wolverines’ offense that didn’t managed 600 total yards in their previous two games combined coming in.

While Ohio State does have the edge offensively, Michigan State has been playing very well on this side of the ball of late. It has found its running game, averaging 186 yards per game and 4.5 per carry on the ground this season. Most of that can be attributed to Jeremy Langford, who has rushed for over 100 yards in seven straight games coming in.

Ohio State relies heavily on its running game, but Michigan State has the perfect antidote. The Spartans are giving up just 64.8 rushing yards per game and 2.2 per carry to rank 1st in the country against the run. I believe their ability to stop the run will be the difference in this game Saturday.

Michigan State is 6-0 against the spread in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the past two seasons. The Spartans are 9-1 against the number in their last 10 Saturday road games. Michigan State is 7-1-1 against the spread in its last nine vs. a team with a winning record. The last two meetings between Ohio State and Michigan State over the past two seasons were decided by a combined four points. Bet Michigan State Saturday.