AC DineroFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Missouri vs. AuburnFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Auburn -2FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Give yourself a "that-a-guy" if you had these 2 teams in the beginning of the season for the SEC Championship. Auburn has the edge on offense, Missouri the edge on defense. Auburn also enjoys an edge in the red zone and kicking game, and will probably have more fans. Their tempo offense has created problems for opposing defenses. Stick with the team that gives Jesus advice on performing miracles until proven otherwise.
Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma StateFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OklahomaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bedlam series is one of the oldest in college football and has been dominated by the Sooners, who hold a 83-17-7 advantage in the series. In fact, in the last 63 wins by Oklahoma, the margin of victory has been 20 points or more. Oklahoma won in OT last year, 51-48, after QB Blake Bell scored the tying TD on a keeper with 4 seconds to play in regulation, and after an OSU field goal to start OT, RB Brennan Clay motored in from 18 yards out for the winning score. The win gave the Sooners their 9th victory in the last ten years over the Cowboys. In fact, Oklahoma has dominated this series overall, going 22-3 SU if they enter the game with a .666 or better win percentage. But my how things can change quickly: the Cowboys are favored for only the fifth time in history, and with the number hovering right around -10, the possibility remains that this could be the first time ever Oklahoma State would be favored by double-digits. Add to that the fact that Okie State clinches the Big 12 and a BCS bowl berth with a victory here, and you have possibly the most important game in OSU history unfolding before us. Still, we can’t lay this kind of wood into a fierce rival (with nearly 50 YPG the better defense) who would love nothing more than to deny them the crown, not with my ‘BRILLIANT DISGUISE’ (2005 Black Book) wailing in the background, imploring us to fade favorites off a SU underdog win over an undefeated team. Plus, Big Game Bob is 21-8 SU versus .850 or better opposition, with only 3 losses by more than 10 points, and he has lost to Mike Gundy just once in eight meetings. Both teams will be rested and well prepared, but there is no doubt in our minds that taking the points is the only way to go. And that’s not a disguise, just OSU in a role they’ve never been before. We recommend a 1-unit play on Oklahoma.
Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas vs. BaylorFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: BaylorFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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If the ninth ranked Bears were to have a hangover following the embarrassment that was the 49-17 loss to Oklahoma State, logically it would be last week and sure enough they struggled to get by TCU on the road, winning by only a 41-38 margin as two TD favorites. Now, they are back in Waco where they've covered every game....
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Thus, I like Baylor to roll big time here against an overrated Texas outfit. If Oklahoma State were to lose to Oklahoma early Saturday, then the Bears would have something major to play for here, namely a BCS bowl. I doubt the Pokes are going to lose in Stillwater, but still I see Baylor "showing up" at home against a name opponent. They have been ridiculous in Waco all season, covering all six games, winning by an average margin of 51.7 PPG! Last time they played here, they destroyed Oklahoma 41-12. It's been a full month since the Bears players have taken the field in their home stadium. They'll be fired up as this is the final game in the 63-year history of Floyd Casey Stadium.
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Meanwhile, Texas was also handled this year by Oklahoma State, though their loss to the Cowboys came at home. They've also lost games to Ole Miss and BYU. Like Baylor, the 'Horns best win came against Oklahoma. They simply lack the horses to keep up w/ a Baylor offense that is averaging 635 yards per game and 55.4 PPG.
Jim Feist
Duke vs. Florida State
Play: Over 62
Duke has a fine offense (33.7 ppg) though the defense gave up 58 to Pitt and 30 to Miami....and Florida State is far better than those two on offense! The over is 12-5-1 in the Blue Devils last 18 conference games. Florida State features the nation's second-ranked scoring offense, averaging 53.7 points per game. Florida State's roster is full of elite players who possess elite size, strength and speed. This team has taken down the three ranked teams it faced (Maryland, Clemson and Miami) by a combined score of 155-28. The over is 7-1 in the Seminoles last eight conference games, a 10-2 run over the total overall.
Alex Smart
Texas vs. Baylor
Play: Baylor -15
Baylor for much of their current campaign have destroyed opponents with its top tier QB play and remarkable overall offensive performances. Needless to say their opponents today, the Texas Longhorns are a program that despite of some decent wins are long way from national championship contention and could easily get clobbered by the Bears team with a inferiority complex- that needs shedding. What better way for Baylor to get the proverbial chip off their shoulders-then with a old fashioned behind the woodshed butt whooping of a storied football program. This could get really ugly Longhorns fans-so make like an armadillo or wash away your tears with some lone star beer.
Greg Shaker
Texas +15.5
There is always a time when you have to go ahead and make a play because you simply don't know when the line is going to go back the other way and with this one now well above the 14 mark it is time to jump. This championship game features a team (Texas) that is playing much better now than earlier in the year, and one that is clearly motivated with a possible outcome being the loss of HC Brown. Like him or not his players do and we can expect a strong effort from them. Baylor has shown that they can be beat and the bottom line is that these are a lot of points. I know that is simplistic but sometimes that all this handicapping thing requires.
Jimmy Boyd
Baylor -15
Baylor's national championship dreams might be shattered, but they are still playing for a share of the Big 12 title. They are a much better team than the Longhorns, and I expect them to get back to their dominating style of play now that the pressure of a National Championship is gone, and they got their letdown performance out of the way last week against TCU. The Bears are averaging 65.7 points per game at home this season, and they face a Longhorns defense that has really struggled on the road.
The biggest advantage the Bears have in this game is their defense. Their opponents have averaged 26.3 points per game, yet the Bears have allowed an average of just 22.2 points per game overall. When playing at home the defense gets a big boost in production, giving up a mere 14 points per game. The Longhorn's biggest defensive weakness has been against the run. They are allowing 177 rushing yards per game overall, and 207 rushing yards per game on the road. They have yet to face a team that runs the ball as efficiently as Baylor. The Bears are gaining 322 rushing yards per game at home on 6.3 yards per carry. This game should be another blowout win for Baylor.
Chip Chirimbes
Duke vs. Florida State
Play: Florida State -29
One thing about Florida State they can beat you on both sides of the ball as they are 2nd in the nation in scoring, Baylor's is #1. (You can score with the Nation's #1 handicapper with today's late Money Game winner between Utah State and Fresno State) and State gas held half their opponents to seven points or less. The Blue Devils have done a great job and haven't suffered letdowns after big wins, but this time around they are out-of-their-league'. The Seminoles have scored over 50 points seven times with a high of 80. Duke will also find in difficult to more the ball against this defense that held the Devils to 7 points in their last meeting. Too much too fast for Duke they are in over their head here.
Rob Vinciletti
Baylor -15½
Baylor lost 56-50 last season at Texas and has this one circled. The Year before they smashed Texas here 48-24. Baylor averages 65 points per game at home. The Bears are 8-0 straight up and ats at home with a total of 70 or higher, 10-0 ats home with 6 or less days rest and they have covered 9 of the last 10 at home with Conference Revenge. It appeared they may be looking ahead to this one last week as they barely beat TCU by 3 points after having their perfect season ruined By Ok. St. Baylor has a 200+ yard edge on offense where they average well over 600 yards. They also have a defensive edge and have covered 5 of the last 6 in the series. Texas was last seen Taking down Texas Tech. However the Long Horns are 0-8 ats after a home win of 20+ points and have failed to cover vs teams who have 9+ wins in their last game of the season. When Texas has lost in any game as a dog they have failed to cover 10 straight since 2007. Look for Baylor to get the win and cover.
Freddy Wills
UL-Lafayette vs. South Alabama
Play: South Alabama -3
UL Lafayette is the under dog here despite being the best out of the Sun Belt? The reason why is Lafayette has clinched the Sun Belt and have already accepted their bowl game. Their head coach has already admitted they will be experimenting with some things for their bowl game. Meanwhile South Alabama has a ton of upper classmen playing in their final game trying to become bowl eligible with their 6th win. I don't think they'll go to a bowl game, but the motivation should still be there and 3 of their 5 losses were by a combined 3 points.
Jim Feist
Duke vs. Florida State
Play: Over 62
Duke has a fine offense (33.7 ppg) though the defense gave up 58 to Pitt and 30 to Miami....and Florida State is far better than those two on offense! The over is 12-5-1 in the Blue Devils last 18 conference games. Florida State features the nation's second-ranked scoring offense, averaging 53.7 points per game. Florida State's roster is full of elite players who possess elite size, strength and speed. This team has taken down the three ranked teams it faced (Maryland, Clemson and Miami) by a combined score of 155-28. The over is 7-1 in the Seminoles last eight conference games, a 10-2 run over the total overall.
Steve Merril
Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State
Play: Oklahoma State -10
Oklahoma is 9-2 SU and 6-5 ATS this season. The Sooners have beat up on a slew of weak opponents, and their big signature win came at Notre Dame, a team whose name gives them more respect than their on-field play. Oklahoma lost both games against the good teams they played this season. Not only did they lose, but they also got blown out in both games. The Sooners lost 36-20 to Texas as 13.5-favorites. Oklahoma was crushed worse than the 16-point loss indicates as they were out-gained by 182 yards (445-263) while losing the first down battle 24-13. The Sooners also lost 41-12 at Baylor, and once again, they were dominated. Baylor out-gained Oklahoma by 222 yards (459-237) while winning the first down battle 28-16. There are two things that stick out in those losses. First is the fact Oklahoma simply cannot compete with the good to upper echelon teams. And second, Oklahoma’s offense is really bad, especially against a good defense. Both of those factors will be against Oklahoma in this game on Saturday.
Oklahoma State comes into this game at 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS. The Cowboys are off their upset win over Baylor, but they’ve had time to get over that game as they were off last week. Oklahoma State’s defense has been rock solid in allowing just 18.8 points per game. The Cowboys are only giving up 4.8 yards per play and 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Oklahoma State’s defense has been even stronger at home as they are allowing just 13 points and 335 yards per game. They are holding opponents to just 4.5 yards per play while making them go 25.8 yards to score a single point. That defense will stifle a weak Oklahoma offense that has already shown they can’t move the ball or score points against a good stop unit. Oklahoma State’s offense plays much better at home than on the road. On their home field, the Cowboys are averaging 41.4 points and 424.8 yards of offense per game. Four of their five home wins this season have come by 14 points or more which fits well with Oklahoma’s two losses this season coming by 16 points or more. Oklahoma State is a significantly better team than Oklahoma despite the close win/loss records. The Cowboys have a tremendous opportunity to win their second straight home game over Oklahoma, and we certainly expect them to do it. Lay the points with Oklahoma State on Saturday afternoon.
Kyle Hunter
Utah State vs. Fresno State
Play: Utah State +3
The Utah State Aggies have the best defense in the Mountain West by a mile. Defense wins title games, and I think that is exactly what will happen here. Fresno State was beaten last week, which ruined their chance at a BCS bowl. The Bulldogs are in a letdown spot here. Utah State will be ready to play here. I think the Aggies have a great chance at winning, but I really like getting three points. Take Utah State.
Joe Gavazzi
Duke vs. Florida State
Play: Duke +29½
For at least one more Saturday, the Blue Devils FB team will take precedence over the Blue Devils BKB team and Coach K. For it is Duke HC Cut, who has done a remarkable job of leading the Duke FB team to their best season in over 70 years. They enter today with 8 consecutive victories and 7 consecutive covers. They have done it with a vastly improved defense and a more balanced offense behind the QB tandem of Boone and Connette. Yet, even Duke will not delude themselves into believing they have the type of athlete to go toe-to-toe with top ranked Florida St. Despite the phenomenal Duke season, they are still getting 10 points more than what they would have received opening week. QB Winston, the leader in the Heisman race (should he avoid legal complications) has been spectacular in leading Florida St. to a record of 12-0 SU, 10-2 ATS. The combination of their OL and defense is the best in the Nation. But, their ascension to No. 1, with a loss by Alabama, becomes the rub. For now, they ascend from the role of hunter to the role of hunted. And no style points are needed to enhance their ranking. Must believe the value side is the upstart Blue Devils with greater than a 4 TD cushion.
Freddy Wills
UL-Lafayette vs. South Alabama
Play: South Alabama -3
UL Lafayette is the under dog here despite being the best out of the Sun Belt? The reason why is Lafayette has clinched the Sun Belt and have already accepted their bowl game. Their head coach has already admitted they will be experimenting with some things for their bowl game. Meanwhile South Alabama has a ton of upper classmen playing in their final game trying to become bowl eligible with their 6th win. I don't think they'll go to a bowl game, but the motivation should still be there and 3 of their 5 losses were by a combined 3 points.