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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, January 11

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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DUNKEL INDEX

NFL

Indianapolis at New England
The Colts head to New England after a 45-44 win over Kansas City in the Wild Card round and carrying a 9-0 ATS record in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Indianapolis is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+7 1/2)

Game 111-112: New Orleans at Seattle (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 134.432; Seattle 146.570
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 12; 50
Vegas Line: Seattle by 8; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-8); Over

Game 113-114: Indianapolis at New England (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 137.116; New England 137.129
Dunkel Line: Even; 48
Vegas Line: New England by 7 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+7 1/2); Under

 
Posted : January 8, 2014 11:12 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Brooklyn at Toronto
The Nets travel to Toronto to face a Raptors team that is coming off a 112-91 win over Detroit and is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following a victory be more than 10 points. Toronto is the pick (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-9 1/2)

Game 501-502: Brooklyn at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 115.090; Toronto 127.866
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 13; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 9 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-9 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Houston at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 117.580; Washington 119.136
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 2 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: New York at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 118.398; Philadelphia 110.681
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 209
Dunkel Pick: New York (-4 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Phoenix at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.083; Detroit 117.530
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-1 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Milwaukee at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 109.379; Oklahoma City 129.727
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 20 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 13 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-13 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Charlotte at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.901; Chicago 114.607
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 172
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 177 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: New Orleans at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.658; Dallas 124.453
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 12; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 8; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-8); Under

Game 515-516: Orlando at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 114.706; Denver 120.224
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 5 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 12; 203
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+12); Over

Game 517-518: Boston at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.402; Portland 120.904
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 12; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+12); Over

NHL

Chicago at Montreal
The Blackhawks skate into Montreal tonight coming off a 3-2 loss to the Rangers and carrying a 24-9 record in their last 33 games after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Chicago is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-140)

Game 51-52: Tampa Bay at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.836; Philadelphia 10.757
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Over

Game 53-54: Florida at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.682; New Jersey 12.310
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-155); Under

Game 55-56: Chicago at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.534; Montreal 10.330
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-140); Under

Game 57-58: Columbus at Winnipeg (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.254; Winnipeg 10.753
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 59-60: Ottawa at Nashville (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.696; Nashville 10.519
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+115); Over

Game 61-62: Colorado at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.113; Minnesota 12.553
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-135); Under

Game 63-64: Anaheim at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 10.909; Phoenix 11.817
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+105); Over

Game 65-66: Pittsburgh at Calgary (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.047; Calgary 9.700
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-190); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-190); Under

Game 67-68: Boston at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.734; San Jose 10.811
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+135); Over

Game 69-70: Detroit at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.089; Los Angeles 11.666
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-190); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-190); Under

 
Posted : January 8, 2014 11:13 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Florida at Arkansas
The Razorbacks come in with a 9-0 home record and host a Florida team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games against a team with a winning home mark. Arkansas is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Razorbacks favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-1)

Game 519-520: St. Louis at Dayton (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 66.945; Dayton 71.565
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Dayton by 2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-2)

Game 521-522: Indiana at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 64.971; Penn State 64.899
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Indiana by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+2 1/2)

Game 523-524: Wake Forest at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 60.215; Pittsburgh 72.975
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+14 1/2)

Game 525-526: Notre Dame at Georgia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 67.186; Georgia Tech 62.319
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 1
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-1)

Game 527-528: Boston College at Virginia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 53.660; Virginia Tech 53.583
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+2 1/2)

Game 529-530: North Carolina at Syracuse (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 64.835; Syracuse 77.788
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 13
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 7
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-7)

Game 531-532: Iowa State at Oklahoma (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 76.199; Oklahoma 68.709
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-3)

Game 533-534: St. Bonaventure at Massachusetts (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 60.346; Massachusetts 65.997
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+8 1/2)

Game 535-536: Villanova at St. John's (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 71.718; St. John's 69.178
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+4 1/2)

Game 537-538: Bradley at Indiana State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 46.091; Indiana State 64.871
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 19
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-14 1/2)

Game 539-540: Florida at Arkansas (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 71.168; Arkansas 76.286
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 5
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 1
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-1)

Game 541-542: LSU at South Carolina (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 64.449; South Carolina 60.056
Dunkel Line: LSU by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-1 1/2)

Game 543-544: TCU at Baylor (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 54.642; Baylor 73.965
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Baylor by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-15 1/2)

Game 545-546: Tulane at North Texas (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 48.597; North Texas 51.269
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: North Texas by 9
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+9)

Game 547-548: NC-Wilmington at Towson (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 44.743; Towson 56.197
Dunkel Line: Towson by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Towson by 9
Dunkel Pick: Towson (-9)

Game 549-550: Eastern Michigan at Buffalo (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 55.546; Buffalo 56.359
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+4 1/2)

Game 551-552: Kansas State at Kansas (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 65.694; Kansas 77.070
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-9 1/2)

Game 553-554: Seton Hall at Marquette (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 58.487; Marquette 67.105
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Marquette by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (+10 1/2)

Game 555-556: Missouri at Auburn (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 66.733; Auburn 59.717
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 7
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-3 1/2)

Game 557-558: Northeastern at Drexel (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 52.657; Drexel 56.438
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 4
Vegas Line: Drexel by 7
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (+7)

Game 559-560: Duke at Clemson (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 74.611; Clemson 65.847
Dunkel Line: Duke by 9
Vegas Line: Duke by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-5 1/2)

Game 561-562: Dartmouth at Harvard (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 49.134; Harvard 61.283
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 12
Vegas Line: Harvard by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+15 1/2)

Game 563-564: Minnesota at Michigan State (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 65.238; Michigan State 72.094
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 7
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+11 1/2)

Game 565-566: Rhode Island at George Washington (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 56.944; George Washington 64.063
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 7
Vegas Line: George Washington by 10
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+10)

Game 567-568: Western Michigan at Miami (OH) (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 57.968; Miami (OH) 52.571
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 1
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-1)

Game 569-570: TX-Arlington at UL-Lafayette (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 49.527; UL-Lafayette 62.021
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-10 1/2)

Game 571-572: Memphis at Temple (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 69.479; Temple 58.874
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-7 1/2)

Game 573-574: Kentucky at Vanderbilt (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 68.967; Vanderbilt 66.522
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 8
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+8)

Game 575-576: Mississippi at Mississippi State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 63.030; Mississippi State 56.506
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-1 1/2)

Game 577-578: Alabama at Georgia (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 64.062; Georgia 59.456
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-2)

Game 579-580: College of Charleston at Hofstra (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 54.907; Hofstra 47.987
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 7
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3 1/2)

Game 581-582: Santa Clara at Pacific (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 53.945; Pacific 61.853
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 8
Vegas Line: Pacific by 5
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-5)

Game 583-584: Evansville at Southern Illinois (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 48.098; Southern Illinois 54.755
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-4 1/2)

Game 585-586: Delaware at James Madison (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 54.892; James Madison 53.253
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Delaware by 4
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (+4)

Game 587-588: Charlotte at TX-San Antonio (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 55.324; TX-San Antonio 47.204
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 8
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+12 1/2)

Game 589-590: Oklahoma State at West Virginia (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 73.580; West Virginia 64.786
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 9
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-5)

Game 591-592: Virginia at NC State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 66.382; NC State 61.852
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia by 1
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-1)

Game 593-594: Texas State at UL-Monroe (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 45.683; UL-Monroe 52.521
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 7
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (-5 1/2)

Game 595-596: Texas A&M at Tennessee (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 57.826; Tennessee 74.652
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 17
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 12
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-12)

Game 597-598: Rutgers at Cincinnati (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 57.138; Cincinnati 68.432
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+14 1/2)

Game 599-600: Princeton at Pennsylvania (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 63.561; Pennsylvania 51.623
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 12
Vegas Line: Princeton by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-7 1/2)

Game 601-602: Central Michigan at Toledo (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 44.860; Toledo 64.307
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-16 1/2)

Game 603-604: UAB at Middle Tennessee State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 55.616; Middle Tennessee State 61.911
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-4 1/2)

Game 605-606: Central Florida at Connecticut (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 63.467; Connecticut 67.301
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 4
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+11 1/2)

Game 607-608: San Francisco at St. Mary's (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 58.660; St. Mary's 63.978
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+9)

Game 609-610: Richmond at Fordham (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 58.057; Fordham 49.382
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Richmond by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-4 1/2)

Game 611-612: Georgetown at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 64.884; Butler 68.583
Dunkel Line: Butler by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-1 1/2)

Game 613-614: Oakland at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.687; Detroit 57.951
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 4
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-4)

Game 615-616: Old Dominion at East Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 50.823; East Carolina 61.696
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 11
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 5
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-5)

Game 617-618: Cal Poly at UC-Santa Barbara (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 55.175; UC-Santa Barbara 59.932
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 5
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 9
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+9)

Game 619-620: Ball State at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 45.884; Kent State 59.704
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 14
Vegas Line: Kent State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-11 1/2)

Game 621-622: UC-Davis at Long Beach State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 43.612; Long Beach State 53.568
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 10
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+12 1/2)

Game 623-624: Drake at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 56.666; Northern Iowa 66.961
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-8 1/2)

Game 625-626: Wichita State at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 68.979; Missouri State 61.937
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 7
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+10)

Game 627-628: Florida Atlantic at Rice (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 50.048; Rice 53.315
Dunkel Line: Rice by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Rice by 1
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-1)

Game 629-630: California at Oregon State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 68.906; Oregon State 63.741
Dunkel Line: California by 5
Vegas Line: California by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-1 1/2)

Game 631-632: Florida International at Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 50.594; Louisiana Tech 72.500
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 22
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 15
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-15)

Game 633-634: South Alabama at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.056; Arkansas State 58.318
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-4 1/2)

Game 635-636: Utah State at Nevada (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 59.322; Nevada 59.799
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Utah State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+1)

Game 637-638: Loyola-Chicago at Illinois State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 52.734; Illinois State 55.024
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+7)

Game 639-640: Texas Tech at Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 56.389; Texas 69.680
Dunkel Line: Texas by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-9)

Game 641-642: St. Joseph's at George Mason (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 61.652; George Mason 58.194
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (-1 1/2)

Game 643-644: Troy at AR-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 46.383; AR-Little Rock 55.058
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-6 1/2)

Game 645-646: Loyola-Marymount at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 53.813; BYU 68.300
Dunkel Line: BYU by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 13
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-13)

Game 647-648: Fresno State at Colorado State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 56.211; Colorado State 61.692
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+7 1/2)

Game 649-650: Marshall at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 52.078; UTEP 57.322
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 5
Vegas Line: UTEP by 9
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+9)

Game 651-652: Pepperdine at San Diego (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 55.185; San Diego 56.884
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 653-654: Wyoming at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 57.928; Boise State 64.847
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 7
Vegas Line: Boise State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+9 1/2)

Game 655-656: Hawaii at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 59.970; CS-Northridge 52.698
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-3 1/2)

Game 657-658: New Mexico at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 64.214; San Jose State 46.597
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-13 1/2)

Game 659-660: UC-Irvine at UC-Riverside (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 58.166; UC-Riverside 49.385
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 9
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-7 1/2)

Game 661-662: North Dakota State at IUPUI (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 61.605; IUPUI 45.660
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 16
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 12
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-12)

Game 663-664: Western Carolina at Georgia Southern (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 53.850; Georgia Southern 49.088
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 2
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-2)

Game 665-666: Weber State at North Dakota (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 51.601; North Dakota 51.943
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Weber State by 1
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+1)

Game 667-668: Belmont at Tennessee-Martin (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 54.680; Tennessee-Martin 39.259
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Belmont by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Belmont (-11 1/2)

Game 669-670: Montana State at Eastern Washington (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 47.786; Eastern Washington 51.166
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 7
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+7)

Game 671-672: Denver at South Dakota (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 57.265; South Dakota 53.527
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Denver by 5
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (+5)

Game 673-674: Eastern Illinois at Jacksonville State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 40.799; Jacksonville State 50.032
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 9
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (-7)

Game 675-676: Tennessee State at SE Missouri State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 43.867; SE Missouri State 48.272
Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+8 1/2)

Game 677-678: Furman at Samford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 40.336; Samford 47.089
Dunkel Line: Samford by 7
Vegas Line: Samford by 6
Dunkel Pick: Samford (-6)

Game 679-680: Wofford at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 46.950; Chattanooga 51.095
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 4
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (-1 1/2)

Game 681-682: Appalachian State at Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 41.517; Davidson 58.788
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Davidson by 15
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-15)

Game 683-684: The Citadel at Elon (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 38.620; Elon 53.628
Dunkel Line: Elon by 15
Vegas Line: Elon by 18
Dunkel Pick: The Citadel (+18)

Game 685-686: South Dakota State at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 54.096; IPFW 53.839
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: IPFW by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (+2 1/2)

Game 687-688: Eastern Kentucky at Morehead State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 51.666; Morehead State 57.735
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 6
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-3 1/2)

Game 689-690: NE-Omaha at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 53.321; Western Illinois 47.944
Dunkel Line: NE-Omaha by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: NE-Omaha by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NE-Omaha (-2 1/2)

Game 691-692: Austin Peay at Murray State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 46.959; Murray State 51.175
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 4
Vegas Line: Murray State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+7 1/2)

Game 693-694: SIU-Edwardsville at Tennessee Tech (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 44.151; Tennessee Tech 48.946
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 5
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+8 1/2)

Game 695-696: Idaho State at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 49.618; Northern Colorado 56.107
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+10 1/2)

Game 697-698: Sacramento State at Southern Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 40.682; Southern Utah 37.089
Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Sacramento State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (-1 1/2)

Game 699-700: Montana at Portland State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 52.829; Portland State 44.645
Dunkel Line: Montana by 8
Vegas Line: Montana by 3
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-3)

Game 711-712: Idaho at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 45.251; New Mexico State 68.546
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-17 1/2)

 
Posted : January 8, 2014 11:13 am
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New Orleans Saints +8FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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This is the playoff rematch that I envisioned when these two met on Monday Night Football at the end of November. The Seahawks dismantled the Saints in that match up and I think that gives us some nice value in this rematch. LVH in Vegas opened that game at Seattle -3.5, but now in the rematch LVH opened this game at Seattle -8.5 giving us five full points of value. New Orleans picked up their first road playoff win last week in Philadelphia and they know what to expect in this return trip to Seattle. The difference this time is that the Seahawks offense in not exactly clicking on all cylinders right now. I didn't like the way the Seattle offense was out of sync in week 16 and 17 and that is why I expect this one to be much closer this time around. I have a future on the Seahawks to win the NFC and the Super Bowl, but I'm not as confident about those plays as I was about a month ago. Take the points.
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7 Point Teaser Patriots PK & Broncos -2.5SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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I like both of the favorites to win the AFC divisional games to give the NFL that match up that they are looking for with Peyton Manning vs. Tom Brady. Will the favorites cover the spread in these games is the question mark. I feel like both favorites will cover, but I'm going to tease both of them down by six points which will make New England just needing a win and Denver needing a win by a field goal. Picking up the first half of this play on Saturday with New England will also allow me the opportunity to try to middle this play with the Chargers if I choose to do so.

 
Posted : January 8, 2014 11:14 am
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Indianapolis (+7) over New EnglandFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Indianapolis Colts are basically on a free roll right now after their huge come-from-behind miracle win last weekend versus the Kansas City Chiefs. We’ve seen that a lot these last few years in the NFL Playoffs; a sleeper team who gets hot at the right time and starts gaining confidence and making some noise. I think the Colts fit that profile as they won’t be the least bit intimidated either here as they have road wins at San Francisco and home victories against Seattle and Denver on their resumes this year.
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Give New England lots of credit as somehow they have once again held things together despite some crucial injuries to some very important players. Even when the Patriots have won this year, it’s been mostly a struggle as seven of their 12 victories have come by seven points or less. In fact, 11 of the 16 New England games have been decided by a touchdown or less with only games versus lowly Tampa Bay, Miami, Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Buffalo being by more than that. As you can see none of those bigger margin wins came against teams with a winning record. In fact, the Patriots were just 2-2 this season versus playoff teams compared to Indianapolis going 5-2 thus far.
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With nothing to lose, look for the Colts to keep things close here in this one. Take Indianapolis and the points.

 
Posted : January 9, 2014 4:40 pm
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Indianapolis at New EnglandFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Under 52.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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To me this game is all about someone not playing: Rob Gronkowski. I can't lay a touchdown on New England without him. And, without him, the Pats offense is a whole different animal. The Indianapolis Colts staged the second-biggest comeback in NFL playoff history a week ago, and should be riding a high heading to New England. The Colts have been a very erratic offensive team this year. They have scored 37 points or more three times, and 11 or less three times. The defense has played in similar fashion as they held six teams to 14 points or less this season, while allowing 40+ to three other teams. New England comes into this game with an offense that is not nearly as good as previous editions, and they average 7 points per game fewer on offense than they did a year ago. That is the first part of the equation. The second part is the New England offense generated 32.8 points per game in the six full games played by Rob Gronkowski, while in their nine games without him they generated just 23.3 ppg. That is another 10 ppg wiped out of the Patriots' offensive output. Since the 2001-02 season, New England has hosted 18 playoff games. With much better offenses in those games, they scored 20 points or less in eight of them, 23 points or less in 11 of them, and got to 30 just five times, despite averaging over 30 ppg during the time frame. This offense is no where near as capable. The Pats have also allowed just one opponent to score as many as 30 points here in a playoff game. Expectations are always high when New England takes the field in terms of points, but this one just doesn't get there. Go with the UNDER.

 
Posted : January 9, 2014 9:40 pm
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Saints (12-5) at Seahawks (13-3)FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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We understand this line. After all, the Seahawks are at home where they rarely lose and where their raucous home fans are truly a 12th man.
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Seattle buried these Saints here not long ago by a 34-7 count -- on a Monday night no less -- for all the world to see. The Seachickens had the best record in the NFC and they allowed the fewest points. They are led by a confident and athletic QB in Russell Wilson and they are more than capable of winning this contest. But the Saints taking eight points? Shut the front door!
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New Orleans is a quality opponent, not some dreg that found its way into the playoffs. Heck, the Saints have won 12 games. How does it make sense that the Seahawks were recently a 9-point choice over the woeful Giants and now they are an 8-point pick here? The Sean Payton-led Saints don't know from this. They've been underdogs just three times in 17 games this season and never by this margin. New Orleans was just a 2 1/2-point dog in New England. Is Seattle worth 5 1/2 points more than the Patriots?
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As pointed out in the Saints' game at Philadelphia last week, New Orleans once again has the better quarterback taking back points. In case you didn't know, quarterbacks are a big deal in this league and Drew Brees is among the best. Brees has many targets, including All-Pro tight end Jimmy Graham, recipient of the NFL's most touchdowns. Such weapons are complemented by a running game that can produce when asked, as evidenced last Saturday.
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On the other side of the ball, New Orleans ranks fourth in the league in yards allowed. This visitor is no slouch. Perhaps there is concern with the pounding the Saints took last time here, a 34-7 drubbing, but quality organizations learn from those mistakes.
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We'd be more concerned with the recent form of this host. The Seahawks were 2-2 down the stretch, losing an important home game to the Cardinals after losing to the division's other winning team, the 49ers, two weeks prior. Seattle's offence looked rather ordinary in the two losses, scoring a combined 27 points while averaging a meager 228 yards of offence. Seattle's style calls on RB Marshawn Lynch to pound the ball, creating a few passing opportunities and then relying on its stellar defence to make stops and create takeaways. We're not so sure that method will work here.
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The Seahawks' docile aerial game had them throwing the ball only 420 times this year, ranking them 31st in the league. They lack a go-to guy, although WR Percy Harvin could be on the field this day, but in only his second start of the year. Seattle QB Russell Wilson threw for 27 touchdowns this season, compared to Brees' 39 majors. When all is weighed in, the prudent choice is the very live dog. That's the side we'll eagerly endorse. TAKING: SAINTS +8 (BEST BET)
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Colts (12-5) at Patriots (12-4)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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While these two have faced off for the past eight years, the backdrop has changed somewhat. No longer is it the epic battle between Peyton Manning and Tom Brady. That could come next week. Instead, it is sophomore Andrew Luck and his group of mediocre Colts that will travel to New England to take on the Patriots. Indianapolis has gone a step further this season than it did a year ago by winning a playoff game. Last week's comeback win over the Chiefs was a remarkable feat, but the flaws displayed in a 45-44 win are cause for concern.
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If Kansas City QB Alex Smith can pass for 378 yards and four touchdowns against this Indy defence, what will Brady do? Smith didn't have a 300-yards passing game during the regular season. We might only have to look back to last year to find the answer as the Pats shredded these Colts (yes, these very same Colts) by a 59-24 count when Brady threw for 331 yards and three majors before calling off the dogs.
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Some will argue that the Patriots have lost too many offensive players and that they do not possess the same prolific scoring abilities we've grown accustomed to. Yet, even with several significant losses on the offensive side, the Patriots still finished the regular season ranking third in the NFL in scoring with 27.8 points per game.
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In some ways, the absence of various playmakers has helped balance the Pats. An underrated ground game accounted for 19 rushing touchdowns on the year, placing them second overall. With the versatile play of Shane Vereen, the skills of Stevan Ridley and the power of LaGarrette Blount, the Patriots can do significant damage with their running game. That point isn't lost on the New England coaching staff when facing Indianapolis' 26th-ranked run stoppers. With Indy's defence having to account for New England's rushers, Brady becomes that much more dangerous.
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It's only because the Patriots have set the bar so high that many think of this as a down year for them, but we don't see it that way at all. The Pats have gone 8-0 here at Gillette, covering six times. They've lost only once in the past 15 games on their own turf. In addition, they've had an extra week to prepare, allowing the maniacal Bill Belichick to cook up something special for his guests.
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With Andrew Luck pivoting the Colts, they can be menacing. But their youth makes them prone to mistakes. Luck had three picks last week, but still managed to win. We can assure you, the same kind of turnover ratio will do them in on this day and it could happen. The Colts must rely on Luck's arm because of a pedestrian running game. Pressure Luck, cover WR T.Y. Hilton and there aren't many other ways the Colts can beat you. The Patriots know that as well as we do. TAKING: PATRIOTS -7

 
Posted : January 10, 2014 10:34 am
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Alex SmartFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Saints vs. SeahawksFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Under 46FOR REE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The New Orleans Saints and the Seattle Seahwks total offers the best valueon the line during this weekends divisional NFL playoff matchups.
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The weather this weekend in Seattle is forecast to feature heavy rain andwinds. That alone should factor into problems for both teams to move the ball via the pass and for FG attempts to be problematic.
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Defensively, speaking the Seahawks rank in the top 10 against the run andpass. So the Saints Drew Brees and company will not only battle the weather ,but a very physical Seattle defense that can make life difficult for the very best of offensive teams.
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Meanwhile , the Saints rebuilt defense , has been solid for most of the season, and despite of their secondary being ravaged with injuries of late are blessed to have to play this game in windy/rainy conditions, which will make it hard for the Seahawks to move the ball through the air.
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With that said I'm looking for a contest that mostly features both sides rushing attacks on offense and a overall clock burning- slow grinding defensive battle that will keep this contest on the low side of the number.
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Below are some key trends:FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Under is 5-0 in Saints last 5 road games.SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Under is 5-0 in Saints last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-1 in Saints last 8 games overall.SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Under is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 games overall.
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Alex Smart's Featured Package

 
Posted : January 10, 2014 10:56 am
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Colts at PatriotsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Patriots average 30.4 PPG at home while the Colts post 24.0 PPG on the road. New England is a Top-10 team in just about every offensive category as Indy has a very respectable middle of the pack squad. Tom Brady has tossed for 4343 yards and 25 TD'S. His arsenal is stacked with Ridley and Blount running the ball and a slew of capable receivers at his disposal. Indianapolis' "D" ranks 20th, allowing 357.1 YPG. The Colts QB, Andrew Luck showed what he was truly made of last week in the team's come-from-behind win over KC. Luck has 23 TD'S and 3822 YP. The ground game of Luck, Brown, and Richardson tallied another 13 scores and Hilton and Fleener tacked on another 9 receiving. The Pat's "D" ranks 26th, yielding 373.1 YPG. The OVER is 4-0 the L4 meetings. Take the OVER here.

 
Posted : January 10, 2014 11:28 am
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Oklahoma State over West VirginiaFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Pokes lost last time out as they were upset in Manhattan, Kansas, by Bruce Weber’s Kansas State team. (Taking down last week’s free pick!) They need a bounce-back effort here on the road against West Virginia, and I see them getting it. The Mountaineers don’t have the athletes, at least not in depth, to compete with the Cowboys and not one player to match Marcus Smart. I don’t see West Virginia hanging around for much more than a half in Morgantown. OSU will have a sense of urgency to play well on the road after already dropping a road game in Big 12 play. Go with OSU minus the number against West Virginia.

 
Posted : January 10, 2014 12:47 pm
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Boston Celtics vs. Portland Trail BlazersFOR SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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This is a terrible situational spot for Boston, their fifth road game out West. It's also the second of a back to back road spot after playing at Golden State last night. The Celtics don't have depth or the kind of offensive punch to keep pace with uptempo teams. The Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. While Boston is worn out, Portland is home and well rested with 2 full days off. They are an attacking, uptempo offensive team, tops in the NBA in scoring, and will run right at the tired legs of the visitors. The Blazers are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 vs. Eastern Conference, 10-4 ATS against a team with a losing record. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these teams, so grab the rested home court. Play Portland.

 
Posted : January 10, 2014 3:41 pm
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Bob Balfe

Syracuse -7

The home loss for the Heels against Miami the other night was demoralizing. This team just doesn’t have the talent we are used to and do not have a go to scorer or team leader. This Syracuse team plays great defense and I don’t see their first loss of the year coming against this team. UNC has proven they can beat superior teams, but then also turn around and lose to bad teams. I will go with the more balanced team here. Take Syracuse.

 
Posted : January 11, 2014 8:27 am
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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Indy/ New England over 50.5: The last 4 in this series has put up at least 55 points in each game, while the last 3 layed here have averaged 65.7 ppg. That's allot of points. Now I know the pats are banged up on offense, but they have had two weeks to work on things, plus they will be facing an Indy defense that just allowed a pretty pedestrian KC offense to put up 44 points on them. The Pats do average 30.4 ppg at home for the year and have put up 33.3 ppg in their last 8 overall, so even with all the offensive injuries this team has had, they still continue to produce offensively. One other thing here concerning the Pats offense. The just watched the Colts come back from a 28 point deficit last week and you can bet that should Brady and company get up big they will still try an pour it one. For the Colts their offense has really been clicking down the stretch, averaging 30.2 ppg in their last 5 games and will be taking on a suspect Pats defense this is 26th in total defense and has allowed 27 ppg in their last 4 games at home. Now I also know wet and windy weather is expected in this one, but that always doesn't mean low scoring games. I feel that both offenses will click in this one and keep the scoreboard operator busy. Look for at least 55 points scored in this one.

1 UNIT PLAY

Seattle/ Saints Under 45: Just don't see this as a high scoring game. Seattle will run a ton here and on defense they will take away the big plays from New Orleans, making them use long time consuming drives to score. The Saints average just 18.7 ppg on the road, while Seattle allows 13.8 ppg at home. The Saints defense has not been to shabby on the road, allowing just 22.6 ppg and you can bet that Ryan will have his troops ready on that side of the ball after allowing 34 to Seattle on this field earlier in the year. I look for 38 or less in this one.

 
Posted : January 11, 2014 8:29 am
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Marc Lawrence

Saint Louis vs. Dayton
Pick: Dayton

This is a very interesting early conference battle between two underrated teams as neither is in the Top 25 right now, but that could change soon. Dayton is ranked slightly higher in the RPI at #39, thanks to wins over Gonzaga at the Maui Invitational and Georgia Tech on the road, plus a 1-point loss to Baylor in Maui. The Bilikens are #47 with a 13-2 record, their only losses to a pair of teams that are still undefeated (Wisconsin by 6 & Wichita State by 5). Outside of those two games, Saint Louis has not played a very tough schedule and we think they will be tested by the Flyers, who are 7-0 SU and 5-0 ATS with 3 or more days rest this season. Dayton should be full of confidence after last Saturday’s buzzer beater over Ole Miss in OT, when senior F Devin Oliver banked in a three-point bomb from the top of the key for the victory. The Flyers also have won three straight in this series when playing with revenge and are coming off back-to-back wins. Meanwhile, Saint Louis enters off a quintuple revenge win versus Rhode Island. With that we look for Dayton to grab a convincing win on their home floor – making Dan Patrick very proud. We recommend a 1-unit play on Dayton.

 
Posted : January 11, 2014 8:50 am
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Nick Parsons

Florida vs. New Jersey
Pick: Over

Florida is coming off a hard-fought 2-1 win at Buffalo on Thursday, while New Jersey is coming off a nail-biting 1-0 win over Dallas last time out.

While these two clubs aren't known for their offensive prowess, I believe that the situation, the numbers and the trends all point to a higher-scoring affair in this particular match-up.

This is the first meeting of the season between the teams, but the last time they got together back on April 20th, 2013, they combined for eight goals, as home side New Jersey would pour it on in the 2nd and 3rd period for the 6-2 victory.

It's interesting to note that Florida has seen the total sail above the posted number in eight of its last 15 following a divisional contest, while New Jersey has seen it go "over" the number in 18 of its last 27 over the last two years after scoring 1 goal or less in its previous outing.

As mentioned off the top, strong situational factors coupled with overwhelming O/U trends makes the "over" a legitimate investment option in this contest.

 
Posted : January 11, 2014 8:50 am
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