Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday January, 12

DUNKEL INDEX

Minnesota at Indiana
The Hoosiers look to build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games against Minnesota. Indiana is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoosiers favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's early games.

SATURDAY, JANUARY 12

Game 517-518: Georgetown at St. John's (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 62.414; St. John's 63.313
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 1; 125
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 2; 120
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+2); Over

Game 519-520: Villanova at Syracuse (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 59.986; Syracuse 78.059
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 18
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-15 1/2)

Game 521-522: Minnesota at Indiana (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 72.857; Indiana 82.032
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 9; 140
Vegas Line: Indiana by 7 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7 1/2); Under

Game 523-524: Delaware at Georgia State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 54.517; Georgia State 54.849
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Delaware by 3
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+3)

Game 525-526: Marquette at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 63.007; Pittsburgh 74.900
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12; 123
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10 1/2); Under

Game 527-528: Northeastern at Towson (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 56.050; Towson 57.987
Dunkel Line: Towson by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Towson

Game 529-530: Virginia at Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 63.806; Clemson 64.343
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 1
Vegas Line: Virginia by 1
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+1)

Game 531-532: Duke at NC State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 78.425; NC State 72.970
Dunkel Line: Duke by 5 1/2; 145
Vegas Line: Duke by 3 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-3 1/2); Under

Game 533-534: Tennessee at Alabama (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 62.178; Alabama 62.801
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1; 122
Vegas Line: Alabama by 5 1/2; 120
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+5 1/2); Over

Game 535-536: Auburn at South Carolina (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 55.303; South Carolina 59.657
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-3)

Game 537-538: Mississippi State at Georgia (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 48.571; Georgia 61.822
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 13
Vegas Line: Georgia by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-7 1/2)

Game 539-540: Kansas State at West Virginia (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 67.288; West Virginia 64.538
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 3
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-1)

Game 541-542: Connecticut at Notre Dame (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 65.112; Notre Dame 72.043
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 7
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 9
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+9)

Game 543-544: Texas at Iowa State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 61.378; Iowa State 68.293
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 7; 139
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 8 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+8 1/2); Over

Game 545-546: Charlotte at Rhode Island (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 60.521; Rhode Island 57.363
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 3
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-2)

Game 547-548: Butler at Dayton (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 64.687; Dayton 67.244
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 2 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Butler by 1; 134
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+1); Over

Game 549-550: George Mason at NC-Wilmington (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 55.083; NC-Wilmington 50.976
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 4
Vegas Line: George Mason by 7
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+7)

Game 551-552: North Carolina at Florida State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 66.259; Florida State 67.580
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 1 1/2; 157
Vegas Line: Florida State by 4; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+4); Over

Game 553-554: Kent State at Ball State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 53.482; Ball State 46.759
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Kent State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-4)

Game 555-556: Richmond at LaSalle (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 60.637; LaSalle 64.329
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+7 1/2)

Game 557-558: UCLA at Colorado (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 66.869; Colorado 69.282
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+3 1/2)

Game 559-560: Bradley at Northern Iowa (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 56.862; Northern Iowa 60.604
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 6
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+6)

Game 561-562: Ohio at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 62.028; Western Michigan 56.739
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 7
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+7)

Game 563-564: Valparaiso at WI-Milwaukee (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 57.389; WI-Milwaukee 44.267
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 13
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-10 1/2)

Game 565-566: Illinois at Wisconsin (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 64.305; Wisconsin 72.925
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 5 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-5 1/2); Under

Game 567-568: Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 52.721; Georgia Tech 64.866
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 12
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-9 1/2)

Game 569-570: Houston at Southern Mississippi (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 53.970; Southern Mississippi 67.622
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-12 1/2)

Game 571-572: Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 68.309; Oklahoma 66.996
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+1 1/2)

Game 573-574: Tulane at SMU (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 55.783; SMU 58.370
Dunkel Line: SMU by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: SMU by 1
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-1)

Game 575-576: TX-Arlington at Texas State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 55.407; Texas State 48.070
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-3 1/2)

Game 577-578: Fresno State at New Mexico (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 52.865; New Mexico 69.080
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 16
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 14
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-14)

Game 579-580: Akron at Northern Illinois (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 63.223; Northern Illinois 52.645
Dunkel Line: Akron by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+12 1/2)

Game 581-582: Harvard at Dartmouth (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 62.460; Dartmouth 46.574
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 16
Vegas Line: Harvard by 12
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (-12)

Game 583-584: Washington State at California (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 59.224; California 65.159
Dunkel Line: California by 6; 122
Vegas Line: California by 5; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-5); Under

Game 585-586: Florida at LSU (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 76.215; LSU 61.802
Dunkel Line: Florida by 14 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Florida by 11; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-11); Under

Game 587-588: South Florida at Louisville (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 60.329; Louisville 77.676
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 19
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+19)

Game 589-590: William & Mary at Hofstra (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 49.983; Hofstra 45.115
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 5
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 3
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (-3)

Game 591-592: Drexel at James Madison (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 54.408; James Madison 55.864
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 1 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: James Madison by 3; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (+3); Over

Game 593-594: VCU at St. Bonaventure (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 74.289; St. Bonaventure 57.005
Dunkel Line: VCU by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: VCU by 8
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-8)

Game 595-596: Boston College at Wake Forest (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 57.086; Wake Forest 58.841
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+3 1/2)

Game 597-598: Texas A&M at Kentucky (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 60.621; Kentucky 72.769
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 12
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 14
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+14)

Game 599-600: Kansas at Texas Tech (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 77.314; Texas Tech 54.166
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 23
Vegas Line: Kansas by 18
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-18)

Game 601-602: George Washington at Xavier (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 58.224; Xavier 60.260
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 2; 122
Vegas Line: Xavier by 5 1/2; 118 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+5 1/2); Over

Game 603-604: Detroit at Cleveland State (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 64.323; Cleveland State 52.074
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 12
Vegas Line: Detroit by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-9 1/2)

Game 605-606: Florida International at AR-Little Rock (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 53.130; AR-Little Rock 55.981
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 3
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+5)

Game 607-608: Middle Tennessee State at UL-Monroe (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 62.446; UL-Monroe 45.945
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-14 1/2)

Game 609-610: Central Florida at East Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 61.612; East Carolina 57.259
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+1 1/2)

Game 611-612: St. Louis at Temple (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 62.780; Temple 68.434
Dunkel Line: Temple by 5 1/2; 121
Vegas Line: Temple by 4; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-4); Under

Game 613-614: TCU at Baylor (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 50.902; Baylor 66.580
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Baylor by 19
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+19)

Game 615-616: Wyoming at Nevada (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 64.999; Nevada 59.196
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 6
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 1
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-1)

Game 617-618: Pennsylvania at Princeton (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 47.584; Princeton 64.381
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 17; 116
Vegas Line: Princeton by 15; 120 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-15); Under

Game 619-620: Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 45.693; Bowling Green 51.172
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 7
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+7)

Game 621-622: USC at Utah (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 57.495; Utah 62.452
Dunkel Line: Utah by 5
Vegas Line: Utah by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-3 1/2)

Game 623-624: Vanderbilt at Arkansas (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 56.937; Arkansas 68.693
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 12; 133
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 10; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-10); Under

Game 625-626: Denver at Seattle (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 61.794; Seattle 54.004
Dunkel Line: Denver by 8
Vegas Line: Denver by 5
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5)

Game 627-628: Rice at Tulsa (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 44.812; Tulsa 58.509
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-11 1/2)

Game 629-630: Hawaii at Long Beach State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 53.896; Long Beach State 58.472
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+7 1/2)

Game 631-632: Louisiana Tech at TX-San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 59.848; TX-San Antonio 45.599
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 14
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-9 1/2)

Game 633-634: San Francisco at St. Mary's (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 54.352; St. Mary's 70.050
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (-13 1/2)

Game 635-636: Central Michigan at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 50.343; Toledo 58.233
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 8
Vegas Line: Toledo by 7
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-7)

Game 637-638: Miami (OH) at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 48.464; Buffalo 58.044
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-7 1/2)

Game 639-640: CS-Northridge at UC-Irvine (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 48.753; UC-Irvine 54.381
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 7
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+7)

Game 637-638: Miami (OH) at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 48.464; Buffalo 58.044
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-7 1/2)

Game 639-640: CS-Northridge at UC-Irvine (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 48.753; UC-Irvine 54.381
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 7
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+7)

Game 641-642: St. Joseph's at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 60.312; Duquesne 49.149
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 11
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (-8)

Game 643-644: Colorado State at San Diego State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 68.462; San Diego State 69.499
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 1; 137
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 5 1/2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+5 1/2); Over

Game 645-646: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 48.426; Western Kentucky 53.927
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+8 1/2)

Game 647-648: Missouri at Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 70.180; Mississippi 72.625
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 2 1/2; 158
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 5; 152
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (+5); Over

Game 649-650: Cincinnati at Rutgers (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 70.582; Rutgers 64.897
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3 1/2)

Game 651-652: Illinois-Chicago at WI-Green Bay (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 51.832; WI-Green Bay 55.720
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 4
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 6
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+6)

Game 653-654: Indiana State at Southern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 61.876; Southern Illinois 53.211
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-2 1/2)

Game 655-656: Drake at Illinois State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 50.785; Illinois State 58.835
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 8
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drake (+11 1/2)

Game 657-658: South Alabama at North Texas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.633; North Texas 55.733
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 3
Vegas Line: North Texas by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-1 1/2)

Game 659-660: Arkansas State at UL-Lafayette (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 57.636; UL-Lafayette 53.920
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-1)

Game 661-662: Memphis at UAB (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 65.005; UAB 60.113
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 5
Vegas Line: Memphis by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+7 1/2)

Game 663-664: UC-Riverside at CS-Fullerton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 43.124; CS-Fullerton 61.205
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 18
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (-14 1/2)

Game 665-666: Marshall at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 52.800; UTEP 65.491
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: UTEP by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-8 1/2)

Game 667-668: Arizona at Oregon State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 70.052; Oregon State 57.352
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 12 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Arizona by 10; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-10); Under

Game 669-670: BYU at Santa Clara (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 64.921; Santa Clara 66.468
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 1
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+1)

Game 671-672: Portland at Loyola-Marymount (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 48.245; Loyola-Marymount 57.550
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Marymount by 9 1.2
Vegas Line: Loyola-Marymount by 7
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Marymount (-7)

Game 673-674: Air Force at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 53.818; UNLV 71.184
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: UNLV by 15
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-15)

Game 675-676: New Mexico State at Idaho (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 56.243; Idaho 58.420
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 2
Vegas Line: Idaho by 3
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+3)

Game 677-678: San Diego at Pepperdine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 52.630; Pepperdine 54.623
Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 2
Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 1
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (-1)

Game 679-680: Cal Poly at Pacific (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 52.609; Pacific 58.411
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 6
Vegas Line: Pacific by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+7 1/2)

Game 681-682: UC-Santa Barbara at UC-Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 50.237; UC-Davis 53.641
Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: UC Davis by 3
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (-3)

Game 683-684: Washington at Stanford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 57.709; Stanford 67.385
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-7 1/2)

Game 685-686: Western Illinois at NE-Omaha (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 57.743; NE-Omaha 43.410
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-11 1/2)

Game 687-688: NC-Greensboro at Western Carolina (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 43.769; Western Carolina 49.853
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 6
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 8
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+8)

Game 689-690: Montana State at North Dakota (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 44.755; North Dakota 46.816
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 2
Vegas Line: North Dakota by 4
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+4)

Game 691-692: Chattanooga at College of Charleston (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 46.133; College of Charleston 59.794
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 10
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-10)

Game 693-694: Elon at Appalachian State (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 52.891; Appalachian State 52.738
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Elon by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+1 1/2)

Game 695-696: Davidson at Furman (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 61.745; Furman 42.825
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 19
Vegas Line: Davidson by 17
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-17)

Game 697-698: IPFW at South Dakota State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 47.726; South Dakota State 56.829
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 9
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 12
Dunkel Pick: IPFW (+12)

Game 699-700: Oakland at North Dakota State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.408; North Dakota State 65.884
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-12 1/2)

Game 701-702: Tennessee-Martin at Belmont (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 37.342; Belmont 72.532
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 35
Vegas Line: Belmont by 26
Dunkel Pick: Belmont (-26)

Game 703-704: Montana at Northern Colorado (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 52.249; Northern Colorado 48.429
Dunkel Line: Montana by 4
Vegas Line: Montana by 6
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+6)

Game 705-706: Morehead State at Eastern Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 48.572; Eastern Kentucky 55.125
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 8
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+8)

Game 707-708: Georgia Southern at Wofford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 47.014; Wofford 56.016
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 9
Vegas Line: Wofford by 8
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-8)

Game 709-710: Samford at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 44.632; The Citadel 38.459
Dunkel Line: Samford by 6
Vegas Line: Samford by 5
Dunkel Pick: Samford (-5)

Game 711-712: Jacksonville State at Eastern Illinois (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 49.347; Eastern Illinois 45.520
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 4
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+6)

Game 713-714: SE Missouri State at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 45.637; Tennessee State 57.896
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 12
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-7 1/2)

Game 715-716: Tennessee Tech at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 42.652; SIU-Edwarsville 42.859
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: SIU-Edwardsville by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+1 1/2)

Game 717-718: UMKC at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 41.678; South Dakota 52.899
Dunkel Line: South Dakota by 11
Vegas Line: South Dakota by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (-7 1/2)

Game 719-720: Murray State at Austin Peay (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 55.141; Austin Peay 44.004
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 11
Vegas Line: Murray State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-10)

Game 721-722: Sacramento State at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 43.659; Eastern Washington 49.445
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 6
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (-3 1/2)

Game 723-724: Idaho State at Southern Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 37.904; Southern Utah 49.938
Dunkel Line: Southern Utah by 12
Vegas Line: Southern Utah by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (-8 1/2)

Game 725-726: Northern Arizona at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 42.561; Portland State 50.372
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 8
Vegas Line: Portland State by 9
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+9)

Prediction Machine

Paul's Pick: Denver -9 vs. Baltimore (Covers 58.0%)

In 2011 (after the 2010 season – aka when we went 11-0 ATS in the NFL playoffs), the lines on the Divisional round games we published were 2.5, 3, 8.5 and 10.5. Our against-the-spread picks for that week included +2.5 (Green Bay over Atlanta), -3 (Pittsburgh over Baltimore), +8.5 (New York to cover over New England) and -10.5 (Chicago over Seattle), with one upset pick (Packers at Falcons), one blowout (Bears overwhelming the Seahawks) and one much closer than expected game (the Jets, which had lost at New England, 45-3, in their most recent previous meeting, over the Patriots). Three of the four ATS picks for the week were normal+ picks (greater than 57% confidence to cover). The only ATS pick that was not normal or better was Pittsburgh -3. Green Bay won at Atlanta, 48-21. Pittsburgh scored a touchdown with 1:33 remaining in the game to take out Baltimore, 31-24. New York overcame New England to win outright 28-21. And Chicago got out to a 28-0 lead to ultimately hold on and win 35-24.

In 2013 (after the 2012 season – aka this year), the lines on the Divisional games are currently 2.5, 3, 9 and 9.5. We are picking +2.5 (Seattle over Atlanta), -3 (San Francisco over Green Bay), -9 (Denver to overwhelm Baltimore) and +9.5 (Houston, which lost, 42-14, at New England in the teams' most recent meeting, over the Patriots). We have one upset (Seahawks over Falcons), one blowout (Broncos over Ravens) and one much closer than expected (Texans covering against the Patriots). Three of the four ATS picks are normal+ picks, with the lone "light” play on San Francisco -3.

Technically, what happened in 2011 has very little to do with these projections, but I find those similarities incredibly interesting and eerie – especially with the Atlanta and New England connections. Let’s hope it’s a good sign.

For this game specifically, I was hoping that Baltimore's 15 point win at home over the Indianapolis Colts, coupled with Ray Lewis' mystique and Peyton Manning's perceived cold weather issues would deflate this line (to make it even more exploitable, though it is at -8.5 in some places). As it stands, the gap between Baltimore and Indianapolis on the field is actually closer than the gap between Denver and Baltimore. According to our NFL Power Rankings, which take into account strength-of-schedule-adjusted efficiency statistics to play every team against every other team in the league 50,000 times, Denver is the best team in the NFL. Manning has improved throughout the season as he learns how to get the most out of his offensive weapons, while the defense has been better than the offense. The Broncos passing offense ranks as the second most efficient in the league (most efficient of the remaining playoff teams), while the pass defense is sixth overall and the run defense first (which is the exact opposite of the 32nd ranked Colts' defense that Baltimore faced last week). There is little - not even Lewis' motivation or the 12 degree wind chills at kickoff - to suggest that this game should be close.

Denver is 13-3 straight-up and 11-4-1 against-the-spread versus the league's 29th toughest NFL schedule in 2012. Critics like to point to Denver's 2-3 SU record against playoff teams. While that is a valid criticism of the Broncos' seasonal value, it is not all that relevant to what we see out of this team now. All three of those losses came in the first five weeks of the season - the first five games that Manning had played in over a year. Despite early turnovers in each loss - which can be somewhat attributed to bad luck and rust - the Broncos were in each of those games in the fourth quarter (and two of them were on the road). Since then, Denver has won 11 straight games (9-1-1 ATS in that span) with seven double digit wins, blowout wins on the road over playoff teams in Cincinnati and Baltimore and an average margin of victory of 31.5-15.9. Denver has won nine total games by double digits on the year.

Baltimore's win and story last week were commendable, but this game has the strong potential to look very different - more as the obvious and necessary culmination to a storied career for Lewis and the figurative end to the Ravens' previously intimidating defense. The Ravens are now 11-6 SU and 7-9-1 ATS against the 22nd ranked NFL schedule. Baltimore finished the season ranked just 12th overall in our NFL Power Rankings and as having just the 25th ranked defense (even with Lewis back). Last week, Baltimore took advantage of a team that was lucky and ill-prepared to be there. Denver looks much different. Baltimore's pass rush was almost exactly average this season, while the team was below average in rush efficiency. Also - and this does have an impact in our numbers - more so than the cold, the elevation could impact this game, which is a legitimate issue for a team like Baltimore that has not played in Denver since 2006, is dealing with far more injuries than the Broncos and whose main defensive contributors - like Lewis, Terrell Suggs and Ed Reed - are almost all in their thirties.

According to 50,000 games played by the Predictalator, Denver wins over Baltimore 78.7% of the time and by an average score of 28.0-16.5. As nine point favorites that win by double digits in the most likely scenario, Denver covers the spread 58% of the time, which would warrant a $59 play from a normal $50 player. The total (46) is appropriate and unplayable.

Paul's Pick: San Francisco -3 vs. Green Bay (Covers 54.6%)

This pick is immediately notable to me for several reasons: 1) it is the first time in the history of PredictionMachine.com that we are picking against the Green Bay Packers to win outright in the NFL Playoffs (it had to happen sometime - and I'll take 5-1 SU and ATS in previous Green Bay picks), 2) largely due to the fact that it falls right on a key number, it is our least valuable pick of the week (there is about a 6% chance of a push as well - which we consider), 3) the winner will become our most likely NFC champion and may even be our most likely Super Bowl champion leading into next week and 4) the most notable injury news related to any game this weekend occurs in San Francisco (and the final result can only help our pick).

While the first three points are straight-forward, I'll address the fourth. Justin Smith is a very, very good 3-4 defensive lineman. While J.J. Watt clearly had the better 2012, one could make the argument that Smith has been similarly valuable to Watt for several seasons. Smith has a partially torn triceps. Though he has been practicing in full all week thus far, speculation (though it may be more discussed now, given what happened with Robert Griffin III last week) is that he will be removed from the game if he cannot perform near his normal level. Smith means about 1.5 points to this line our projections. Knowing this and learning from last week's weak pick on the Bengals despite the Chris Crocker uncertainty (who ultimately did not play and it mattered), we have erred on the side of caution and removed him from this game entirely. We also assume the worst - that David Akers is too hampered by injuries to be more effective than Billy Cundiff - at kicker for San Francisco and that Jordy Nelson - who has missed recent practices for the Packers - is actually 100% right now. This way, though the pick is weak, the only news (surrounding those players and known injuries at least) that changes from our assumptions can actually benefit the ATS pick.

Green Bay is 12-5 SU and 9-7-1 ATS against the eighth ranked NFL schedule in 2012-13. The Packers finished the season as our fourth best overall team and as having a top ten pass offense and pass defense. However, the Packers allow their opponents to rush for 0.8 more yards-per-carry than they gain on the ground. In general, that would be bad and ranks sixth worst in the league. Against San Francisco, which runs the ball the third highest percentage in the league (50.8% - incidentally, Green Bay may have to beat the top three most run-oriented teams in the league to get to the Super Bowl) and out-gains its opponents by 1.4 yards-per-carry, that's really bad news for the Packers. This deficiency was certainly evident in three games against the Vikings as well as losses at Seattle and at home in Week 1 against these 49ers. In football, passing still beats running, but a team like San Francisco (and Seattle though unlike Minnesota without Christian Ponder) that can run, stop the run, effectively exploit play action and not hurt itself with turnovers can give the passing team a very difficult time (especially at home).

San Francisco is 11-4-1 SU and 9-6-1 ATS versus the fourth ranked schedule. The 49ers finished the year ranked second in our NFL Power Rankings (though technically, they would be third right now - after Denver and Seattle). Not only were they second overall, San Francisco finished in the top ten in all our strength-of-schedule-adjusted efficiency metrics, including pass offense (tenth), run offense (second), pass defense (fourth) and run defense (third). With Aaron Rodgers on the field, Green Bay can be a little more explosive vertically, but San Francisco still has the better team, the more disciplined team, the fewest weaknesses, home field advantage and a bye week to deal with those aforementioned injuries (a luxury Green Bay did not have and it may ultimately cost the Packers).

In 50,000 games played of Green Bay at San Francisco, the 49ers win outright over the Packers 61.6% of the time and by an average score of 26.6-21.7. As three point favorites, the 49ers cover the spread 54.6% of the time, which would justify a $23 wager from a normal $50 player. The OVER (45) covers 55.2% of the time to qualify as a "half-bet" play (specifically a $30 recommended wager).

NFL Playoff Odds Update

The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule-adjusted team and player stats to play, one play at a time, the remaining NFL Playoffs bracket 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the NFL Playoffs. The rest of the playoffs are played all the way through individually, with the team that wins each game in that instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.

With a bye week in the Wild Card round and no real surprises (all of our favorites won last week) to-date in the playoffs, the Denver Broncos are still our favorites to win the Super Bowl, making the Super Bowl 50.2% of the time and bringing home the title 28.2% of the time. This suggests that Denver is a 56% favorite on average over its NFC opponent in the Super Bowl, which translates to just fewer than three points. Denver is followed by the AFC's second seed in the New England Patriots, which has the third best chance to win the Super Bowl overall (14.4%). The Patriots would be underdogs (by just 1.8 points) to San Francisco and favorites over every other team from the NFC in a potential Super Bowl. Denver or New England represents the AFC in the Super Bowl 77.5% of the time. Despite defeating Cincinnati at home last weekend, the Houston Texans are still a distant third in the AFC race. Houston makes the Super Bowl 14.8% of the time and wins it 7.4% (which puts the Texans at exactly 50/50 in the Super Bowl against the potential NFC opponent). The Baltimore Ravens played a memorable home game in an ultimately lopsided contest with Indianapolis last week. What was Ray Lewis' last home game, will likely also be his final game. Baltimore only makes the Super Bowl 7.7% of the time and wins it 3.6% of the time. The Ravens have the lowest remaining chance to win it all and are the only team not to be favored in at least one potential Super Bowl matchup. The Broncos win the Super Bowl more than the bottom four remaining teams - Baltimore, Houston, Atlanta and Green Bay - combined. In general, the AFC is 53.6% likely to win the Super Bowl, but only the Broncos and Patriots would be favored to win over the average expected NFC Super Bowl participant.

The San Francisco 49ers still evaluate as the most likely NFC Super Bowl participant and winner, but the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers both closed the gap considerably after winning in Wild Card week. The 49ers are 35.4% likely to make the Super Bowl and 17.5% likely to win it. Seattle is one the best teams in the league right now (they would be second behind Denver in updated NFL Power Rankings of the remaining playoff teams). Though they would have to go on the road for their next two wins (including a 1 pm ET/10 am PT game in Atlanta this Sunday), the Seahawks are still 28.3% likely to make the Super Bowl and 14.2% likely to win it. That makes Seattle the only NFC team that wins more than 50% of its potential Super Bowls. Green Bay, which is undoubtedly rooting for Seattle to win at Atlanta this weekend so the Packers can get the NFC Championship game at home (if they win at San Francisco on Saturday), is 20.5% likely to make the Super Bowl and 9.2% likely to win it. Both the Packers and Seahawks saw increases in over 4% in their chances to win the Super Bowl from what we anticipated going into last week. Despite having home field advantage through the NFC Championship game, the Atlanta Falcons are the least likely NFC team to make it to the Super Bowl and only Baltimore is less likely of all the remaining teams to win the title. This week's biggest game appears to be the Packers @ 49ers. Even with the strength of Seattle, the Green Bay/San Francisco winner would be the definitive favorite to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl and may even become the top team overall in Super Bowl winning chances (especially if Seattle and/or Denver lose). In total, with three teams remaining that have never won a Super Bowl championship - Houston, Seattle and Atlanta - there is a 27.1% chance that a team wins its first ever title.

Interesting Super Bowl matchups and their relative likelihood include: Most Likely - Denver Broncos vs. San Francisco 49ers occurs 17.8%; Top Seeds - Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons occurs 7.9%; All-Harbaugh - Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers occurs 2.7%; Biggest Projected Margin (9.0 points) - Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers is also the All-Harbaugh matchup; Former MVP Quarterbacks - Denver Broncos or New England Patriots vs. Green Bay Packers occurs 15.9%; No Franchise Rings - Houston Texans vs. Atlanta Falcons or Seattle Seahawks occurs 6.5%; Least Likely - Atlanta Falcons vs. Baltimore Ravens occurs 609 of 50,000 times.

Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Memphis vs. DallasFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DallasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This one sets up nicely for the home team.
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The Mavericks, who had Friday off, got back on track with an OT win at Sacramento on Thursday.
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The Grizzlies, on the other hand, hosted the Spurs Friday.
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Not only will the Grizzlies be playing the second of back-to-back games, they'll also be playing their third game in four days and their fifth in the past seven.
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The Mavs, 20-10 SU the last 30 times that they were off an "upset" victory, won by 10 the last time they hosted the Grizzlies. Playing with revenge from a 12/21 loss at Memphis and with the schedule in their favor, don't be surprised when the Mavs come away with another win.

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UCLA vs. ColoradoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ColoradoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bruins escaped victory in Utah on Thursday and they will be facing a stiffer test come Saturday and will once again be at a disadvantage playing in the high altitude. I played against UCLA on Thursday and the Bruins were able to come out with a narrow win at Utah and it played out just as I expected. That was the first true road game for the Bruins but that is not the main basis of it. Last season was Utah's first year in the Pac 12 and many of the teams in the conference had never visited Salt Lake City before which is a tough place to go because of the thin air. UCLA wore down in the second half as it was outscored 30-23 and it was clearly the legs were gone which affected the jump shooting, defense and rebounding. Now they head to another thin air venue in Boulder and this one comes against a much stronger team even though Utah is a very improved team. Colorado opened the season 0-2 in the Pac 12 which started by losing at Arizona on a controversial reply reversal that took away a win and resulted in an overtime loss. The Buffaloes clearly had a tough time getting over that game as they lost by nine points at Arizona St. three days later. Colorado finally got into the win column on Thursday with a win over USC as it was able to hold off a late Trojans rally. The challenge doesn't get any easier year with a very athletic UCLA team but I firmly believe the Bruins are at a huge disadvantage because of the altitude. If the Bruins bring the same effort they did against Utah, they will be blown away here and while I expect a better effort, the Coors Event Center will be rocking in the biggest home game of the year thus far and Colorado has a chance to play its first complete performance of the Pac 12 season so far. UCLA is 0-4 ATS in its last four road games while Colorado is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games against teams with a winning record.

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Houston vs. Southern MissFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Southern MissFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston is 12-2 SU and 4-1 ATS; it's coming off a seven straight victories including a 78-67 win over SMU as a 3 point favorite on the 9th. Danuel House had a season-high 28 points; Joseph Young added 20. Leon Gibson contributed eight points and 14 boards.
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Southern Miss is 12-4 SU and 9-4 ATS; it's coming off four straight wins including a 75-52 win at Rice as a 12.5 point favorite on the 9th.
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Daveon Boardingham had 16 points; Michael Craig chipped in 15 points and grabbed eight boards.
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Jerrold Brooks had 11 points; so too did Dwayne Davis.
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The surging Eagles dominated the glass to the tune of 32-16, and dominated the paint, outscoring Rice 46-20.
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This is a "revenge situation" for the home side which lost 73-71 to Houston back on February 18th, 2012.
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This is a tough place to play, and I look for the home side to continue its hot run and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover; consider a second look at Southern Miss in this one!

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San Francisco vs. St. Mary'sFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: San FranciscoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Here are a few lessons of handicapping West Coast Conference basketball. Lesson #1: the visitor in the St. Mary’s/San Francisco series is 18-8 ATS all-time.And even though the Dons took it on the chin three times last season against the Gaels – including in the semis of the conference tournament – they managed a cover on St. Mary’s home floor (as well as in the tourney). Lesson #2: the Gaels enter off a showdown with Gonzaga that will go a long way in determining the league champion. And, frankly, Randy Bennett’s boys don’t perform well in these spots, going 6-14-1 ATS after zigging with the Zags, including 0-8 ATS versus a .333 or greater foe with revenge. Lesson #3: if you’re still quite contrary and don’t think that the under .500 Dons can keep it close with superior Mary, then wait and watch the pointspread grow. Just don’t forget to grab the doubles. We recommend a 1-unit play on San Francisco.

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Northern Arizona +9FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We took Northern Arizona on the premium side Thursday night and we are going to come back with them small on Saturday. They are a very even team with Portland State so getting nine points seems like some solid value. These teams have played five games against common opponents and the Lumberjacks are 2-3 while the Vikings are only 1-4 with very similar point margins.
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A reason for the the extra points of value could be how each team has done at the pay window lately. Portland State has won six of the last seven against the spread while Northern Arizona has lost five of their last six.
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The Lumberjacks have played some solid teams this year and lost badly to Arizona, BYU, and Colorado. I still don't think they are quite as bad as their last two losses would indicate, so the quick turnaround might be good for them here tonight.
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Last year they lost twice to Portland State by double digits, so you can expect them to want some revenge tonight.

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Virginia vs. ClemsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: VirginiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cavaliers play better defense and Virginia looks to bounce back after a bad loss at Wake Forest. Joe Harris leads the way and Jontel Evans should play better after an injury. Clemson does have erratic Milton Jennings and Booker underneath but I like Virginia to find a way to win.

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Phoenix Suns at Chicago BullsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Chicago BullsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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A tough situational spot for Phoenix, 2,000 miles from home and playing in the second of a back to back spot, at Brooklyn last night. The Suns are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on no days rest. They run into a great defensive team in Chicago, with Phoenix competitive at home but awful on the road, starting 2-16. And the Suns are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings with the Bulls. Play the Bulls.

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DENVER -9 over BaltimoreFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This number may appear steep but in reality, there’s little to support the Ravens here. Baltimore has managed a winning season, followed by a playoff win over the inexperienced Colts. But this is not the same formidable Baltimore club that we’ve seen in previous years. The defense is older, slower and is a bit banged up. LB Ray Lewis is likely playing in his final game and while Lewis was one of the best to ever play his position, he’s noticeably beyond his ‘best before’ date. The Ravens have not looked sharp for weeks. They dropped four of their final five regular season games. These Blackbirds played three winning teams on the road this year and lost them all. When facing playoff teams outside of their division, the Ravens dropped three of four while allowing 30 or more points to each foe. Those backing the visitor here may be victims of the ‘outta sight, outta mind’ trap that sometimes gets set when teams skip a week. That would be a mistake.
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The Broncos are on a roll. They’ve won 11 straight games. Under the guidance of superstar Peyton Manning, all 11 wins have been by 7 points or more with the last four by a minimum of 13 points. Denver’s 4th ranked defense is no slouch either, leading the league in sacks with 52. The rested, more balanced team should have little trouble disposing of their mediocre guest.
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SAN FRANCISCO -3 over Green BayFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It’s difficult to knock the Packers and their 27-7 mark over two seasons. In a quarterback driven league, they employ one of the best in Aaron Rodgers. However, this San Francisco defense is better than most, if not all of the teams that the Pack have faced this year. Seattle’s might be comparable but as it turns out, the Packers lost to both the Seahawks and the Niners already. In fact, the Packers’ schedule has been inconspicuously soft these past couple of months. Of Green Bay’s past 11 games, dating back to mid-October, the Packers have faced just one playoff team. Oddly, it was the same playoff team three times, as this Wisconsin group defeated the Vikings in two of three contests. In that set, Adrian Peterson gashed the Pack for more than 600 rushing yards. With Frank Gore in San Fran’s backfield and with the diverse Colin Kaepernick under center for the home side, Green Bay could find itself in tough.
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The Niners are rested. They have a chip on their shoulder after letting the Giants bounce them from a Super Bowl appearance on this field last season. The aforementioned game that the 49ers won (30-22) in Week 1, was played at Lambeau Field and it was played with Alex Smith at quarterback for San Francisco. This one is at Candlestick Park where the home team is 13-1-2 over the past two years. Given the upgrade at quarterback, the stronger defense, Green Bay’s soft run defense and the small number, we’ll gladly endorse the home side.

Bruce Marshall

UC Riverside vs. Cal St. Fullerton
Pick: Cal St. Fullerton

There have occasional signs of life from Riverside (including surprising recent win at Northridge). But for the most part, the Highlanders have been dormant this season their rare outbursts outnumbered by extended periods of mediocrity caused by the lack of true go-to scoring options (Fs Chris Patton at a mere 10.6 ppg & transfer F Chris Harriel at 10.2 ppg the only DD scorers) and very inconsistent contributions from the backcourt. Fullerton has blown a bit hot and cold, too. But the huge Titan firepower edge with Gs Kwame Vaughn (19.3 ppg) & D.J. Seeley (19.2 ppg) is now being augmented by TCU transfer F Sammy Yeager (15.2 ppg).

Chris Elliott

Valparaiso vs. Wis.-Milwaukee
Pick: Valparaiso

The Valparaiso Crusaders are 12-5 on the season while they are 3rd in the Horizon League with a record of 2-1. They travel to Milwaukee to face the Crusaders who have struggled to a record of 4-12 on the season and 0-2 in the Horizon League to place last. The Crusaders are 5-1 in their last 6 games while the Panthers are 1-6 in their last 7. Take the Crusaders to win this game ATS.

The Crusaders have won 2 consecutive games on the road, coming off a 75-70 victory at IL-Chicago (10-6). They are outscoring their opponents by +8.9 PPG overall while they are outrebounding their opponents by +6.5 rebounds per game while they rank 6th in the country allowing 28.0 rebounds, expect the Crusaders to shut down the Panthers team that ranks 235th in rebounding. The team is the heavy favorite to win the Horizon, returning 5 starters including the reigning Horizon League Player of the Year Ryan Broekhoff who has averaged 16.4 points and 8.2 rebounds.

The Panthers have won only 1 game in the past 7 games, a home victory over Division II Ohio Dominican who have lost 7 straight games. The team lacks depth in scoring with 2 players scoring in double digits while the team averages a mere 62.0 PPG on a terrible .374 shooting. Don't expect home field advantage to be much of a factor here as Milwaukee plays in the Kotsche Center that holds a mere 3,400 seats.

Bryan Power

Washington St. vs. California
Pick: California

This is a really critical game to the home side as Cal lost its most recent game on this floor, outright, to Washington Wednesday Night. The Bears were six-point favorites in that contest, but the 62-47 defeat dropped them to a startling 0-6 ATS in Berkeley this season. That being said, they're laying a short number this afternoon and against a weary visitor, I'll lay the points.

Washington State comes in off back to back losses. The first saw them also lose to Washington outright, falling 68-63 at the Paloose last Saturday. They lost again Wednesday night, down on the farm at Stanford as nine-point underdogs, 78-67. Situationally, this is not a good setup for the Cougars, who are playing their second road game of the week. This after playing just one "true" road game during the non-conference slate and that ended in a 56-54 loss to Pepperdine as seven-point chalk. The team also lost 2 of 3 neutral site games prior to Pac 12 play getting underway.

Cal played a pretty challenging non-conference schedule, so they should be more than ready for a lesser opponent like Washington State. Though not particularly successful, the Bears have played games against the likes of Wisconsin, UNLV and Creighton, all of whom are a higher class opponent than what they'll see here. This is also a revenge spot as they've lost to Washington State each of the last two years, but only by a combined total of six points.

Scott Rickenbach

Kansas vs. Texas Tech
Play: Kansas

The Jayhawks come into Texas this afternoon as big road favorites, but there is a good reason for that. Kanas is 13-1 SU this season, and they have won 12 straight games. The Jayhawks played Texas Tech twice in 2012, and both those games were Kansas wins by 30+ points, at home as well as on the road. Speaking of blowouts by a margin of more than 30 points, that is exactly what happened to the Red Raiders in their last home game against unranked Baylor. Texas Tech hasn't performed well at home, dating back to last season they are just 5-12 ATS at home. The Red Raiders interim head coach knows his team could be in trouble today, and it doesn't sound like he fancies his chances: "We need to play really well and they need to play not so well, and whether it's a function of them taking you lightly or them having an off-game, that's where we are," interim coach Chris Walker said. "I told the guys that there is a maturity level that we have to muster against really good teams and we haven't yet and we've got to keep working towards that." That's quite a lot to ask for, and it probably isn't going to happen. This is a mismatch, and the Jayhawks should run away with this game, covering easily. The play is on Kansas, a complimentary selection.