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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, January 16,2010

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(@blade)
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John Martin

1 Unit on San Francisco PK

San Francisco has picked up their play of late, winning 2 straight, 3 of their last 4 and 4 of their last 6 overall. Pepperdine is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. Pepperdine is also just 1-7 ATS after playing a home game this season and 2-10 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1997. After a long home stand, this team is starting to get disinterested. San Francisco takes advantage as they are 13-3 ATS in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games since 1997. Cash in with San Francisco at a pick 'em.

 
Posted : January 16, 2010 12:06 pm
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Dave Price

1 Unit on Ravens/Colts OVER 44

Odds makers have set this number too low and we'll look to take advantage. Plays Over on road teams (Baltimore) off 1 or more Overs, with a good scoring defense allowing 17 or less points per game, are 69-35 the last 5 seasons. The average posted total in these games is 41.6 and we are seeing teams combine for an average of 47.7 points. I know these two teams produced a low-scoring game in Baltimore the first time around, but expect a lot more offense in Indy's dome tonight.

 
Posted : January 16, 2010 12:10 pm
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