Joe Gavazzi
New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Play: Philadelphia Eagles -2
On a frigid day in the city of Brotherly Love, the New Orleans home/road dichotomy figures to be magnified. Playing in the cozy confines of their home dome, New Orleans is on a run of 17-0 SU, 16-0-1 ATS with the brain trust of Payton and QB Brees. They polished off the perfect season there last week, with a 42-17 victory over Tampa Bay. On the road it’s a different story, where New Orleans is 3-5 SU, 1-7 ATS. First year Philly HC Kelly never gave up faith in his offense or defensive game plans. This is the best running team in football at 161/5.2 on an average of 31 carries per game. With New Orleans allowing 4.6 YPR, they figure to have success in this matchup. The last half of the season resulted in a record of 7-1 SU, 5-2 ATS for the Eagles, in which they covered by a net 73 points with a net +13 TO margin. The Saints are gradually becoming known for their improved defense (19/307) under DC Ryan. But the Eagles’ stop unit improved dramatically as well. In fact, 10/11 of their last games have seen Philly hold the opposition to 22 or fewer points. And that once dreaded home field, on which the Eagles lost 13 straight times, evolved into a strength down the stretch with a record of 4-0 SU, 3-0-1 ATS. Better running game and home field keys this victory.
Steve Rosen
Chiefs vs. Colts
Play: Under 47
The under will hit in this game as both defenses will keep it low. They played once this year and kept it at 30! Now think when everything is on the line, the Defense will make Luck and Smith work for it. The under has cashed in 5 of the last 6 between these 2 teams!The colts have cashed 4 of their last 5 games with the under!
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Indiana State vs. EvansvilleFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Indiana State -3FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Missouri Valley Conference has been 1 of my favorite Conference's in College Ball for the last decade. Why ? Because You get quality played Basketball, good effort, without the media darlings Rick Pitino, John Calipari crap. Line looks cheap, Indiana St returns a bunch of starters that can play including Jake Odum 1 of the best Point Guards in NCAAB. Meanwhile Evansville's best player & scorer Colt Ryan graduated last Yr and their Season so far has been a struggle.
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Depaul vs. MarquetteFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Marquette -11.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Marquette was smoked at Creighton last out losing by double digits and shooting a season low 35% from the field. The Golden Eagles have responded big, covering 13 straight after losing as a road dog. Marquette is 9-1 straight up and ats off a conference loss and has won 13 of 14 at home vs Depaul. They are 6-1 and winning by an average 20 points her. Depaul has struggled vs winning teams and has lost 36 of the last 47 vs teams over .500. The Demons have shot under 375 in the past 2 games and are in the wrong place at the wrong time here against Marquette. Lay the Points with the Golden Eagles.
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Washington vs. MinnesotaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MinnesotaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota is coming off a 4-1 win over the Buffalo Sabres at home on Thursday, and will host Washington on Saturday night. The Caps are coming off a loss at home to the Canes on Thursday, and they are back on the road where they have lost four of their last five.
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Here are my keys to the game:FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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1: Previous History - The home team has won 10 straight in the series between these two teams. The Wild have been dominant on home ice this season, with a record of 15-5-1.
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2: Goaltending - Braden Holtby has been lit up for 10 goals while losing his last two starts. Phillip Grubauer got the start in Carolina, and he didn't fare any better, surrendering four goals in a 4-3 loss to the Canes.
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3: X-Factor - Alex Ovechkin hasn't scored a point in four straight games, matching a career high.
Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston vs. South FloridaFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: South FloridaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston is playing its first game since pulling off a huge upset at home to close 2013 as it defeated Connecticut by four points as an 8.5-point underdog. It was the second straight win for Houston, both coming at home, and the Cougars hit the road for just the fourth time this season where they are 1-2. The most impressive part is that they upset the Huskies without two backcourt starters as L.J. Rose and Danuel House were both out and no timetable is set for their return. South Florida is coming off a loss against Memphis as it fell by 15 points in its AAC opener. That snapped a three-game home winning streak which included a very impressive win over Alabama and after the Tigers debacle, I expect the Bulls to make a statement here, especially with a trip to Temple on deck. Houston is 0-6 ATS in its last six January road games and if ever there was a letdown situation, this is it.
Jesse Schule
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Columbus vs. St. Louis
Pick: Under
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The Blue Jackets are expecting Sergei #Bobrovsky to be back between the pipes as they take on the #Blues in St. Louis on Saturday. Bobrovsky is the reigning Vezina Trophy winner as the league's most valuable goaltender.
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It's been a difficult season so far for Bobrovsky, and he's still looking to get back to where he was a year ago. He'll be fortunate enough not to have to face Alex Steen and David Backes, who are #1 and #2 in scoring for the Blues. That dynamic duo has combined for 40 goals and 68 points so far this season, and that's a lot of offense to be missing.
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Seven of the last 10 meetings between these two teams have yielded five goals or less. Both teams are coming off shutout victories in their last games.
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Brian Elliot was between the pipes for the Blues, making 30 saves for his third clean sheet of the season. He's now 6-0-1 with a 1.40 GAA in his last seven starts. He's also 5-0-1 with a 1.97 GAA in his last six meetings with the Blue Jackets.
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I think these teams will struggle to put pucks in the net, with the Blues missing all that firepower in a dual that features a pair of elite goaltenders.
PlayersbetFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston / VanderbiltFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Under 53FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Vanderbilt played its most impressive football of the season down the stretch, especially defensively, but playing with its backup quarterback against the nation’s premier ball-hawking defense is a recipe for disaster.
Carlos Salazar
New Orleans at Philadelphia
Play: Over 535
Carlos see this one going over the total as both teams will have big days throwing the ball. The temperature will be below 30 but winds should be on the lite side. Look for a fast paced game from both teams.
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Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis ColtsFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Kansas City ChiefsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that the Chiefs will win this game and advance to the Divisional Championship set to start at 4:35 PM ET. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-13 mark for 74% winners since 1983. Play on any team (KANSAS CITY) revenging a loss where team scored less than 9 points and off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival. Here is a second system that has gone 30-9 ATS for 77% winners since 2002. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS CITY) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers. Remember always that my supporting cast of metrics, hard facts, matchup analyses, and technical systems/game situations, serve only to reinforce the grading from the SIM. These must be supportive though and not in direct contrast to the SIM projections. Jamaal Charles is by far the best remaining RB in the AFC playoff picture with only Philadelphia's McCoy ranking higher in my metric ratings. LB Houston returns to the defense that played extremely well when he was in the lineup. I really like the power and elusive running game that Charles and the OL bring to this game. The Chiefs OL ranks second in OL run blocking efficiency and have produced an adjusted RB quotient of 4.35 yards-per-carry. The Chiefs have been successful running the ball off of either tackle, but have been very successful running to the right. They rank 4th best in the NFL averaging 4.35 yards-per-carry versus an NFL average of 3.60 YPC. Now, the Colts defensive front ranks 28th in run stoppage and 26th at the second level. The Colts are strong ranking 7th attacking the passer with 41 sacks and adjust sack percentage of 8.0%, but the strong running game of the Chiefs will all, but eliminate the pass rush by the Colts.
Carolina Sports
Georgia Tech vs. Maryland
Play: Maryland -8½
G Tech is 0-8 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog since 1997. Maryland is 35-16 ATS in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games since 1997. Michael Blake has Maryland -11 in his ratings. Take Maryland today.
Doug Upstone
Colorado State vs. New Mexico
Play: Colorado State +12
Though they haven't faced the level of competition New Mexico has, the Rams have a slightly higher scoring differential over their opponents than New Mexico does, roughly a third of the way into the season. Even with that, they have been a bit disappointing as expectations are higher for this team. This game should tell a lot for Colorado State, whether they can compete near the top of the powerful Mountain West conference. Take the 12 points. Good luck.
DePaul vs. Marquette
Play: DePaul +11½
On Saturday, Play On underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like DePaul, after going under the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games. The thinking here is teams like the Blue Demons are thought to get back to normal scoring-wise and are of value as a double digit underdog. This free college hoops play is a sensational 29-5 ATS the past five years and the average score differential is 7.8 points a game.
John Wilson
Houston vs. Vanderbilt
Play: Houston +2½
Vanderbilt is still a favorite with the oddsmaker despite losing QB Austyn Carta-Samuels, leaving them with Patton Robinette, a player with a 10% lower completion percentage who gets sacked twice as often and intercepted at a higher rate. We had a tight race going in without even considering the QB change, and that pretty much clinches it for us.
Neither offense seems like it has its shit together right now. Neither team can run the ball well, and the defenses are good against the pass. But Vanderbilt has quarterback issues, and that probably docks them about a touchdown at least.
The yardage estimate started with Vandy ahead by 3 but in the end they were down by 7. And that has no adjustment for missing a senior quarterback and replacing him with a freshman. Our power rating doesn't call it an upset, but I guess it counts; we take Houston to win.
Dave Price
New Orleans Pelicans +11
This line is an overreaction to Ryan Anderson's injury. New Orleans still has a competitive team without Anderson on the floor with the likes of Al-Farouq Aminu, Anthony Davis, Eric Gordon, Jrue Holiday and Tyreke Evans. The Pelicans played last night, but they have two days off following this game so they will go after it with all they've got in an attempt to reach the .500 mark. The Pacers are rested and will be hungry to get back in the win column after getting upset at Toronto in their last game, but these things have also been factored in to them being overvalued. New Orleans has played the Pacers tough. It played them to a five-point game in the season's previous meeting. It has played them to within eight points in each of the last three meetings and has won or lost by fewer than 11 points in 11 of the last 12 meetings. The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus Eastern Conference foes and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Indiana. Take the points.
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New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia EaglesSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5FOR REE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Saints are 0-6 ATS on the road. It will be windy and cold in Philly so expect Drew Brees to struggle against the Eagles defense. LeSean McCoy the NFL's leading rusher will run wild on the Saints defense and Nick Foles who only had 2 INT's all year will get his first playoff victory on Sunday.