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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, January 8, 2011

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(@blade)
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DUNKEL INDEX

NY Jets at Indianapolis
The Jets look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 1 to 3 points. New York is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Jets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+3)

Game 101-102: New Orleans at Seattle (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 136.311; Seattle 123.505
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 13; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-10 1/2); Under

Game 103-104: NY Jets at Indianapolis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 137.025; Indianapolis 136.338
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+3); Over

NCAAF

Game 265-266: Kentucky vs. Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 89.633; Pittsburgh 94.533
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 59
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 53
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3); Over

NCAAB

St. John's at Notre Dame
The Irish look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 Big East games. Notre Dame is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Irish favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-5 1/2)

Game 517-518: West Virginia at Georgetown (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 66.771; Georgetown 74.975
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 8
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 6
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-6)

Game 519-520: Syracuse at Seton Hall (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 73.380; Seton Hall 67.018
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (+7 1/2)

Game 521-522: Hofstra at Northeastern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 55.766; Northeastern 54.657
Dunkel Line: Hofstra by 1
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 2
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+2)

Game 523-524: North Carolina at Virginia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 68.937; Virginia 61.057
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 8
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-6 1/2)

Game 525-526: Michigan State at Penn State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 67.723; Penn State 58.142
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-6)

Game 527-528: Kansas State at Oklahoma State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 66.098; Oklahoma State 64.912
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 1
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+1 1/2)

Game 529-530: Missouri at Colorado (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 72.338; Colorado 66.954
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 4
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-4)

Game 531-532: Tennessee at Arkansas (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 62.682; Arkansas 66.285
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas

Game 533-534: Denver at Louisiana-Monroe (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 48.676; Louisiana-Monroe 49.127
Dunkel Line: Louisiana-Monroe by 1
Vegas Line: Denver by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana-Monroe (+1 1/2)

Game 535-536: Baylor at Texas Tech (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 66.529; Texas Tech 58.780
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 8
Vegas Line: Baylor by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-4 1/2)

Game 537-538: Marquette at Pittsburgh (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 67.717; Pittsburgh 77.081
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-8)

Game 539-540: George Mason at Old Dominion (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 62.704; Old Dominion 64.609
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 2
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 5
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+5)

Game 541-542: Detroit at Illinois-Chicago (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 57.870; Illinois-Chicago 51.198
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-4 1/2)

Game 543-544: Wake Forest at NC State (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 51.028; NC State 61.993
Dunkel Line: NC State by 11
Vegas Line: NC State by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+13 1/2)

Game 545-546: California at Arizona State (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 60.630; Arizona State 59.272
Dunkel Line: California by 1
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 1
Dunkel Pick: California (+1)

Game 547-548: Florida State at Virginia Tech (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 64.741; Virginia Tech 70.619
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 6
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 4
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-4)

Game 549-550: Air Force at BYU (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 54.752; BYU 73.301
Dunkel Line: BYU by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 21
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+21)

Game 551-552: SMU at Tulane (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 50.103; Tulane 59.208
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 9
Vegas Line: Tulane by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (-7 1/2)

Game 553-554: Connecticut at Texas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 67.721; Texas 71.951
Dunkel Line: Texas by 4
Vegas Line: Texas by 8
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+8)

Game 555-556: Delaware at Drexel (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 50.854; Drexel 63.114
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Drexel by 9
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-9)

Game 557-558: East Carolina at Memphis (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 51.590; Memphis 66.795
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 15
Vegas Line: Memphis by 11
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-11)

Game 559-560: Charlotte at St. Bonaventure (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 55.691; St. Bonaventure 59.118
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4 1/2)

Game 561-562: Utah State at Nevada (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 69.220; Nevada 59.914
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-7)

Game 563-564: Harvard at Dartmouth (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 57.383; Dartmouth 48.763
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Harvard by 11
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+11)

Game 565-566: Wright State at Loyola-Chicago (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 58.105; Loyola-Chicago 58.227
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+3 1/2)

Game 567-568: Georgia Tech at Boston College (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 60.580; Boston College 67.631
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 7
Vegas Line: Boston College by 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-5)

Game 569-570: Texas A&M at Oklahoma (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 68.161; Oklahoma 58.648
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 7
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-7)

Game 571-572: George Washington at St. Joseph's (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 51.564; St. Joseph's 54.610
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 3
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+5 1/2)

Game 573-574: San Diego State at Utah (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 67.577; Utah 57.451
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 10
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+12)

Game 575-576: Kentucky at Georgia (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 76.083; Georgia 66.471
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-5 1/2)

Game 577-578: Alabama at Mississippi State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 61.093; Mississippi State 59.276
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 4
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+4)

Game 579-580: Ball State at Northern Illinois (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 52.642; Northern Illinois 47.361
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Ball State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-3 1/2)

Game 581-582: UTEP at UAB (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 63.616; UAB 67.795
Dunkel Line: UAB by 4
Vegas Line: UAB by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+5 1/2)

Game 583-584: Richmond at LaSalle (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 63.607; LaSalle 55.777
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 8
Vegas Line: Richmond by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-5 1/2)

Game 585-586: Central Florida at Houston (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 65.964; Houston 56.537
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 8
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-8)

Game 587-588: Vanderbilt at South Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 70.428; South Carolina 65.417
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 5
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+5 1/2)

Game 589-590: LSU at Auburn (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 50.953; Auburn 50.838
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Auburn by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+2 1/2)

Game 591-592: New Mexico at Wyoming (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 65.837; Wyoming 55.346
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 9
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-9)

Game 593-594: Towson at Georgia State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 48.519; Georgia State 54.241
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+8)

Game 595-596: Miami (FL) at Clemson (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 65.271; Clemson 71.077
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 6
Vegas Line: Clemson by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-3 1/2)

Game 597-598: Oregon State at Washington (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 57.447; Washington 79.948
Dunkel Line: Washington by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 20
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-20)

Game 599-600: Stanford at Arizona (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 60.949; Arizona 71.147
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 10
Vegas Line: Arizona by 12
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+12)

Game 601-602: South Alabama at Florida International (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 47.683; Florida International 48.114
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 1
Vegas Line: Florida International by 4
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+4)

Game 603-604: Arkansas State at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 53.196; Florida Atlantic 57.997
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 5
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (-3 1/2)

Game 605-606: James Madison at William & Mary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 58.075; William & Mary 49.980
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 8
Vegas Line: James Madison by 6
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (-6)

Game 607-608: VCU at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 58.191; NC-Wilmington 56.962
Dunkel Line: VCU by 1
Vegas Line: VCU by 6
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+6)

Game 609-610: UC-Irvine at Long Beach State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 50.821; Long Beach State 59.868
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 9
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+10 1/2)

Game 611-612: Kent State at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 54.679; Akron 60.645
Dunkel Line: Akron by 6
Vegas Line: Akron by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-3 1/2)

Game 613-614: Eastern Michigan at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 47.107; Toledo 46.856
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 615-616: Southern Mississippi at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 62.833; Marshall 60.377
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 1
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-1)

Game 617-618: Bowling Green at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 49.677; Buffalo 63.916
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 14
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 12
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-12)

Game 619-620: Iowa State at Nebraska (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 65.941; Nebraska 64.727
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 1
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+3 1/2)

Game 621-622: Troy at Arkansas-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 44.876; Arkansas-Little Rock 51.592
Dunkel Line: Arkansas-Little Rock by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas-Little Rock by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+8 1/2)

Game 623-624: WI-Milwaukee at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 53.216; WI-Green Bay 57.745
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 3
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-3)

Game 625-626: St. John's at Notre Dame (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 67.425; Notre Dame 76.239
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 9
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-5 1/2)

Game 627-628: Providence at Rutgers (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 60.932; Rutgers 61.739
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1
Vegas Line: Providence by 1
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+1)

Game 629-630: Middle Tennessee State at Louisiana-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 50.039; Louisiana-Lafayette 50.235
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Lafayette (+1)

Game 631-632: St. Mary's (CA) at Pepperdine (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 70.563; Pepperdine 54.029
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-14 1/2)

Game 633-634: Rice at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 54.009; Tulsa 60.754
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 8
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+8)

Game 635-636: Mississippi at Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 58.982; Florida 69.612
Dunkel Line: Florida by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-9)

Game 637-638: Portland at Gonzaga (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 60.943; Gonzaga 75.576
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 12
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-12)

Game 639-640: Fresno State at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 55.406; New Mexico State 58.955
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+6 1/2)

Game 641-642: San Diego at Loyola Marymount (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 43.764; Loyola Marymount 57.951
Dunkel Line: Loyola Marymount by 14
Vegas Line: Loyola Marymount by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (-12 1/2)

Game 643-644: UC-Santa Barbara at Pacific (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 55.904; Pacific 55.126
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 1
Vegas Line: Pacific by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (+2 1/2)

Game 645-646: Cal Poly at UC Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 51.587; UC Davis 51.121
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: UC Davis by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+2 1/2)

Game 647-648: TCU at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 55.689; UNLV 71.440
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 16
Vegas Line: UNLV by 14
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-14)

Game 649-650: CS-Fullerton at UC Riverside (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 49.064; UC Riverside 50.156
Dunkel Line: UC Riverside by 1
Vegas Line: UC Riverside by 4
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (+4)

Game 651-652: Idaho at San Jose State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 50.923; San Jose State 57.246
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 5
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (-5)

Game 653-654: Oregon at Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 54.512; Washington State 65.589
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 11
Vegas Line: Washington State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+14)

Game 655-656: San Francisco at Santa Clara (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 50.998; Santa Clara 58.938
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 8
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-6 1/2)

Game 657-658: Boise State at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 58.813; Hawaii 58.639
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Boise State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+2 1/2)

Game 659-660: Austin Peay at Murray State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 56.155; Murray State 62.569
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-4 1/2)

Game 661-662: Davidson at Western Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 55.238; Western Carolina 51.389
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 4
Vegas Line: Davidson by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-1 1/2)

Game 663-664: Georgia Southern at Appalachian State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 39.377; Appalachian State 52.165
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 13
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 15
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+15)

Game 665-666: Chattanooga at NC-Greensboro (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 48.597; NC-Greensboro 42.371
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 6
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (-3 1/2)

Game 667-668: Samford at Elon (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 51.711; Elon 50.118
Dunkel Line: Samford by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Elon by 2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+2)

Game 669-670: The Citadel at Furman (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 43.443; Furman 60.733
Dunkel Line: Furman by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Furman by 14
Dunkel Pick: Furman (-14)

Game 671-672: College of Charleston at Wofford (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 58.486; Wofford 56.804
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Wofford by 1
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (+1)

Game 673-674: Tennessee State at Tennessee-Martin (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 48.752; Tennessee-Martin 41.298
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-4)

Game 675-676: Eastern Illinois at SE Missouri State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 46.712; SE Missouri State 47.055
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+1)

Game 677-678: Tennessee Tech at Eastern Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 44.920; Eastern Kentucky 47.240
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+5 1/2)

Game 679-680: Jacksonville State at Morehead State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 41.938; Morehead State 63.534
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-17 1/2)

Game 681-682: Weber State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 50.964; Northern Arizona 58.667
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-6 1/2)

Game 683-684: Montana State at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 51.959; Northern Colorado 55.923
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 4
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 8
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+8)

Game 685-686: Montana at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 55.297; Sacramento State 45.046
Dunkel Line: Montana by 10
Vegas Line: Montana by 12
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+12)

Game 687-688: Eastern Washington at Portland State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 43.701; Portland State 53.229
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-5 1/2)

Game 691-692: IUPUI at IPFW (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 55.636; IPFW 57.407
Dunkel Line: IPFW by 2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 693-694: Western Illinois at Oakland (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 44.191; Oakland 64.841
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 695-696: Southern Utah at UMKC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 46.125; UMKC 49.572
Dunkel Line: UMKC by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 697-698: Centenary at North Dakota State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Centenary 31.167; North Dakota State 55.592
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 699-700: Oral Roberts at South Dakota State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 53.326; South Dakota State 59.563
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NBA

Memphis at Oklahoma City
The Thunder look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games as a favorite from 5 to 10 1/2 points. Oklahoma City is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-7)

Game 501-502: Washington at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 110.101; Charlotte 116.041
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 6; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 4 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-4 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Milwaukee at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 117.105; New Jersey 114.763
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 178
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+1 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Indiana at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 113.521; Atlanta 123.806
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 10 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7); Over

Game 507-508: Philadelphia at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 117.462; Detroit 118.073
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+2); Under

Game 509-510: Boston at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 120.827; Chicago 121.393
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+2); Under

Game 511-512: Memphis at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 115.651; Oklahoma City 125.641
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7; 203
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-7); Over

Game 513-514: Utah at Houston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.672; Houston 121.678
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 4; 202
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 515-516: Orlando at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 123.650; Dallas 122.282
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 1 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 5; 187
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+5); Over

NHL

Nashville at San Jose
The Predators look to take advantage of a San Jose team that is 0-4 in its last 4 games as a favorite. Nashville is the pick (+150) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+150).

Game 1-2: New Jersey at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.876; Philadelphia 10.674
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-250); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+210); Over

Game 3-4: NY Islanders at Colorado (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.841; Colorado 11.783
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-210); 6
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-210); Under

Game 5-6: Boston at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.805; Montreal 12.046
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-130); Under

Game 7-8: Florida at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 12.148; Washington 10.957
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 9-10: Tampa Bay at Ottawa (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.370; Ottawa 9.441
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130); Over

Game 11-12: Minnesota at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.328; Pittsburgh 10.741
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+150); Under

Game 13-14: Nashville at San Jose (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.655; San Jose 10.971
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+150); Under

Game 15-16: NY Rangers at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.898; St. Louis 12.104
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 17-18: Buffalo at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.256; Phoenix 12.690
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-130); Over

Game 19-20: Detroit at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.838; Vancouver 11.922
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 21-22: Columbus at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 9.871; Los Angeles 10.886
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-185); Under

 
Posted : January 7, 2011 10:37 am
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Marc Lawrence

Washington Wizards at Charlotte Bobcats
Prediction: Charlotte Bobcats

It’s ‘payback week’ for the Bobcats and interim head coach Paul Silas as they try to make amends for three 30-point beatings they suffered earlier this season. The first takes place tonight (also 1/10 vs Memphis and 1/14 vs Boston) against the 8-24 Wizards. The 108-75 drubbing that took place in Washington less than three weeks ago came as a bit of a surprise considering that the Bobcats had already defeated the Wiz in their building, 93-85, in November. The 33-point smackdown should actually have come as a huge surprise when you factor in that Washington’s seven other wins on the season were by a combined total of just 46 points. The Bobbies’ 12-4 ATS mark with same-season revenge of more than 25 points along with recent series history (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) should ‘Silas’ the Charlotte critics. The Wizards’ 0-17 SU and 6-11 ATS record outside of the Verizon Center has us ‘calling collect’ for a double-digit victory. We recommend a 1-unit play on Charlotte.

 
Posted : January 7, 2011 10:49 pm
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Murray Hill Mike

Saints at Seahawks
Play: Over

We have found a SUPER SYSTEM that supports a play on the OVER. Play the Over with any team against the total (SEATTLE) after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 14 points or less last game. This system has cashed 61.2% (180-114) of the time over the last 10 seasons. Consider the team trends. New Orleans is 8-1 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points and 35-19 OVER off 2 or more consecutive unders. Seattle is 8-0 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, 10-2 OVER as an underdog and 13-4 OVER off an upset win as a home underdog.

 
Posted : January 7, 2011 10:50 pm
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Chip Chirimbes

New Orleans Saints vs. Seattle Seahawks
Play: New Orleans Saints -10

The fact of the matter is that Seattle who is 7-9 on the year lost ALL nine games by 15 points or more and if that factor holds-up they will have to win this game outright to cover the number. The defending Super Bowl Champion Saints will take control early and leave no doubt here. Lay it and collect with New Orleans!

 
Posted : January 7, 2011 10:52 pm
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Info Plays

3* Hawks -7

Reasons why Atlanta will cover:

1) Play against - road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Pacers) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, playing with 3 or more days rest, as its 80-43 since 1996.

2) Atlanta is 21-9 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons, and are 16-5 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.

3) Indiana is just 6-16 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons, and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

 
Posted : January 7, 2011 10:52 pm
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Carlo Campanella

New Orleans Saints vs. Seattle Seahawks
Play: New Orleans Saints -10½

Defending Super Bowl champion, New Orleans Saints, finished the regular season at 11-5, but that was only good enough to finish in 2nd place behind the Falcons in the NFC South Division. That turn of events, combined with Seattle (7-9) winning the NFC West, the weakest division in the NFL, with a losing record has caused the Saints to be double-digit road favorites in the Saturday Wild Card game. New Orleans esaily defeated Seattle, 34-19, back on November 21st, as 11-point favorites. Seattle earned their Wild Card berth by defeating St. Louis 16-6 last Sunday, but we find these Seahawks at 1-10 ATS following a double-digit victory. The Saints enter this following two of their worst offensive efforts of the season, scoring just 17 points at Atlanta and 13 points last week at home when losing to Tampa Bay. Lay the lumber with a Saints squad that's 2-0 SU & ATS after scoring 20 points or less in back-to-back games this season.

 
Posted : January 7, 2011 10:52 pm
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SPORTS WAGERS

SEATTLE +11 over New Orleans

No one, short of Matt Hasselbeck’s mom, is giving the Seahawks much of a chance in this one. Why would they? The Seachickens are the first sub. 500 team in league history to make it to the post-season. Prior to Seattle’s must-win over St. Louis last Sunday, it’s only win in seven games came against the woeful Panthers. On the year, the ‘Hawks allowed 97 points more than they scored. The list of less than impressive credentials goes on. So how will this poorly qualified squad compete with the defending Super Bowl champion Saints? Well, on the bright side, the Seahawks had a winning record (5-3) at Qwest Field. If any stadium has a relevant 12th man, this would be the one. Just ask any opposing quarterback. The Seahawks also pulled off a couple of upsets this season against foes that could be ranked alongside this opponent’s, with wins over the Chargers and Bears. While the Saints are clearly the stronger club, New Orleans has this disturbing tendency of playing to the level of their opponent as evidenced by its current 1-8 mark versus spread against teams with a losing record. Also, oddsmakers are well aware of public sentiment in these situations but under the current playoff format, only three teams have covered in 14 attempts as double-digit road favorites. In this zany matchup, the pressure may actually be on the visitor and being a prohibitive road favorite in playoffs is a tad too risky, no matter how obvious things may appear. Play: Seattle +11 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

N.Y. Jets +1.20 over INDIANAPOLIS

The Jets enter the playoffs with an 11-5 record while Indianapolis comes in at 10-6. In the AFC South, 10 wins was enough to win the division so Indy gets home field while the Jets, despite the extra win, qualifies as the wild-card and must play on the road for the duration of their post-season. From where we sit, we’d rather have the runner up to the Patriots, taking a few points, than the winner of a very weak AFC division. The Colts are not the Colts of old. Despite having the invincible and android-like Peyton Manning at quarterback, No. 18 only plays offense. Indy’s defense is a small unit that has trouble stopping opponents, namely the run with its 25th overall ranking. That doesn’t bode well against a Jets team that is most dangerous when their 4th-ranked ground game is intact. If New York watched film of teams that were successful stopping Manning’s aerial attack, they will have the talented Darrelle Revis velcroed to WR Reggie Wayne while Antonio Cromartie does basically the same to Pierre Garcon. The Jets were a surprised visitor here in last year’s playoffs. They jumped out to a 17-6 lead before succumbing to the experienced and crafty Colts. A year later, the Jets will not be intimidated the same way. They played well on the road with a 6-2 mark, they have the stronger personnel and they’re ready to take the next step. Play: N.Y. Jets +1.20 (Risking 2 units).

 
Posted : January 7, 2011 10:53 pm
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EZWINNERS

Kentucky Wildcats +4

Pittsburgh comes into this bowl game off of a very disappointing season and the Panthers have about as much post-season turmoil as is possible for a football team. Head coach Dave Wannstedt was fired near the end of the season, and Mike Haygood was offered and accepted the job. Seventeen days, later, Haygood was fired after an arrest allegedly involving domestic violence. If the Panthers carry all this baggage with them onto Legion Field for this game like I think they will they will be in for a long afternoon. Kentucky was up and down this season but the Wildcats played a brutal schedule. Kentucky has the offensive weapons to put points on the board even with last year's starter Morgan Newton replacing Senior quarterback Mike Hartline, the SEC's #2 passer, who is suspended for the bowl game. Kentucky has played a much tougher schedule and that should pay off in this game. Take the points.

 
Posted : January 7, 2011 10:54 pm
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Rob Vinciletti

New Orleans Saints vs. Seattle Seahawks
Play: New Orleans Saints -10

The Saints have edges on both sides of the ball and apply to a solid never lost Wild Card round system. What we want to do is play on certain wild card teams off a straight up and favored home loss if they are taking on a non division team. These teams are 13-0 ats. The Saints jumped out to a big early lead in their 34-19 home win over Seattle earlier in the season. All of the Sea Hawks losses this season have been by 15 or more points. Take the Saints to once again coast past Seattle.

 
Posted : January 8, 2011 7:31 am
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JIM FEIST

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS VS DETROIT PISTONS
PLAY: DETROIT PISTONS -2

Reason: Detroit is a terrible road team but very respectable at home with a .500 record. The Pistons are rested for this one and face a tired Philadelphia team that not only had to play last night, but is playing its 3rd game in 4 nights. Detroit is on a 6-2 ATS run and this will be the 9th road game over the last 11 games for the 76ers. Play the Pistons.

 
Posted : January 8, 2011 7:32 am
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Scott Spreitzer

James Madison @ William & Mary
PICK: James Madison -6

James Madison is 12-3 and tied for first in the country among all Division I teams with five true road wins. The Dukes are 8-5 ATS overall and 8-1 ATS their last nine road games. JMU has covered the last six meetings (4-2 SU) with William & Mary. The losses this season were against Marshall, Georgia State and Kansas State. The Dukes lost their star player, Pierre Curtis, to graduation but they are having a surprisingly strong season led by forward Denzel Bowles who is averaging 17.2 and 8.5 rebounds per game. Rayshaun Goins averages 12.0 points and 8.5 boards per contest, followed by Julius Wells (10.3 ppg) and Devon Moore (10.2 ppg and 70 assists). The defense allows only 41.3 percent from the field. JMU is coming off a 99-68 win over Towson in which it shot a sizzling 66 percent from the field. William & Mary is having a disappointing season after winning 22 games last season. Swingman Quinn McDowell leads the team with a 14.7 scoring average, 5.5 rebounds per game and a 51.7 percentage from 3-point range. The Tribe has lost five in a row and all its wins have been against non-board teams - Gardner-Webb, Mercer, Howard and Shenandoah. James Madison is the clear choice in this meeting. I'm laying the points with the Dukes on Saturday.

 
Posted : January 8, 2011 7:33 am
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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Chicago Bulls -2

After dropping the season's first two meetings in Boston, expect the Bulls to have their revenge tonight on their home floor, where they are 15-3 this season. The fact that Chicago enters this game off back-to-back losses will only add extra fuel to its fire. Both teams will be asked to play without rest, which gives the advantage to the more youthful home team. The Celtics are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 0 days rest. Boston is coming off a big win last night, and that makes it untouchable here, considering it is just 13-32-1 ATS in its last 46 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. They are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. Lay the number with Chicago.

 
Posted : January 8, 2011 7:33 am
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Ray Monohan

Indiana Pacers vs. Atlanta Hawks
Play: Atlanta Hawks -6½

Atlanta (24-14, 18-20 ATS) have put together a NICE run. A 7-2 spell over their last 9 games, 7-2 ATS. They've won their past 3 games both SU and ATS and last game over the Jazz 110-87 in Utah. Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road vs. Atlanta. Head to head these two teams has seen the favorite go 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings, and the home team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings. There will be no looking ahead here for Atlanta as their schedule is EASY. Coming up sees them play host to Milwaukee, Houston, Sacramento and then a visit to Toronto.

 
Posted : January 8, 2011 7:34 am
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James Patrick Sports

St. Johns vs. Notre Dame

The "Steve Lavin Revolution" is alive and well at St. John's, the early-season surprise of the Big East (Red Storm 3-0 in league play!). Johnnies now adapting to Lav's preferred uptempo style, as seniors Dwight Hardy (16.6 ppg), Justin Brownlee (14.4 ppg), and D.J. Kennedy (11.8 ppg) having the time of their lives in the new transition style after Norm Roberts' more-methodical approach the past few years. Recent road wins at West Virginia and Providence suggest the points should work for Lavin at the Phil Purcell Pavilion. Big Game James Patrick's NCAA Hoops complimentary selection is St. Johns Red Storm in Big East Basketball.

 
Posted : January 8, 2011 7:35 am
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Bettorsworld

Jets +123 over the Colts

When you think of Jets-Colts you automatically think back to a year ago and the AFC Championship game. However, when you dig into this game by the numbers, you quickly realize that neither team is as good as they were a year ago. Particularly the Colts.

The Colts won 10 games and won the division. However, their year was unimpressive. There was nothing dominant about them. Certainly nothing that pointed towards this team making a run in the playoffs. You can blame some of that on injuries of course. But let's face it, this team is Peyton Manning and Petyon Manning alone. He's one of the few players in the entire league with such an impact on his teams success. Take him out of the picture this year and they are a 500 team at best.

Start with the Eagles game in November, a 26-24 loss. They then squeaked by a bad Bengals team and then proceeded to lose 3 straight games to the Pats, Chargers and Cowboys. They were able to win their last 4 games, but by small margins, 2, 3 and 5 points and one 10 point win over the Jags. Sure, a win is a win, but none of the teams they beat down the stretch were playoff teams and the outcome was in doubt right to the end in all of them.

The Jets talk a big game of course, and they somehow bolted out to a 9-2 start. I say somehow because let's face it, they won some of those games with smoke and mirrors. They beat some bad teams in that stretch, and barely at that. They then ran into a buzz saw in Tom Brady and the Pats in their biggest game of the year, losing 45-3. They followed that game with an encore performance by losing 10-6 to the pathetic Dolphins, as home.

We make mention of both of these teams struggles and shortcomings because we really don't think either one of these teams is very good in the big picture. They belong right where they are, in a wild card game, and they are both lucky to be here. We can't see either one of these teams going far. Good teams, Super Bowl teams, beat opponents in every phase of the game. Teams like the Steelers and Pats don't just win, they dominate. Neither the Colts or Jets come close to that.

When you look at the last 6 or 7 games for each team you see some pretty bad numbers. Over that stretch, the Jets were outscored 21-24. Their yards per point numbers in that stretch were 16.4 on offense and 12.2 on defense. Terrible. The Colts were not much better. They had a 13.7 on offense an 11.6 defensively (good teams will be 16+ on defense) while being outscored 28-29. If you look at yards per point over the course of the season, they are just about dead even with the Colts having a slight edge on offense. The Colts are favored because they are at home and they have Mr. Peyton Manning.

Phil Simms made a great point about this game while on the air last week. He pointed out that a year ago, what the Jets lacked was a secondary to keep up with Manning and all his weapons. They had Rivas and that was it. In the offseason they took care of that problem. They traded and drafted to address the secondary. They are now better in the secondary than they were when they last faced the Colts, while Manning is missing a couple of his favorite targets in Austin Collie and Dallas Clark.

We also like how the Jets bounced back after the Patriot Dolphin back to back poor games. They went on the road and upset the Steelers in a playoff like atmosphere, albeit without Troy Polamalu playing for the Steelers. They then went on the road the following week to play another good playoff team, the Bears, and came up short in a 38-34 shootout in a game which the Jets never quit. They then wrapped up the season in a meaningless game without key players, beating the Bills 38-7.

Manning has thrown some uncharacteristic interceptions this year and was criticized more this year than perhaps any other. But don't blame Manning. When the protection isn't there, and when the targets aren't open, he has taken matters into his own hands and has tried to win games singlehandedly, at times succeeding. But all that makes for a very short playoff life.

You can say that the Jets have been preparing for this game since losing in the Title game a year ago. Here's a quote from Rex Ryan : "We are not going to Indianapolis to lose," Ryan said. "We are going there to win. This is about this year, and I've waited a full year for this."

Here's some more : "I don't know when I'm going to beat him, but I want it to be Saturday night," he said. "Is it personal? Yes, it's personal. It's personal against him, Reggie Wayne, all those guys, yeah. (Dwight) Freeney and (Robert) Mathis and those other dudes? Absolutely.

"It kills you. You fight so hard to get into the playoffs and when you lose, it's devastating. I want to put the shoe on the other foot, and I know our team does, too. I want (the Colts) to experience it this time."

Yes, talk is just that, talk. But we think it reflects the Jets attitude in general, and think it gives the Jets a certain psychological edge here in the playoff rematch. The Colts are nowhere near as good as they were a year ago. They are an average team at best, that relies too much on one player for their success. Jets QB Sanchez has another year under his belt and has much more freedom to open things up this year compared to last year when they had him on a tight leash.

Also note turnover margin. There's more to football handicapping than just one stat. However, if we were told we could only use one stat to pick a winner, turnover margin might be it. The Jets are +9 and the Colts are -4. That -4 makes the Colts the 3rd worst team in that category, of the 8 teams playing this weekend.

We think the Jets upset the Colts here. We'll go ahead and make it a small 2* Key Release and we're going to play it on the money line at +123

 
Posted : January 8, 2011 8:06 am
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