Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday November, 10

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Evansville at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish look to take advantage of an Evansville team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 non-conference games. Notre Dame is the pick (-14) according to Dunkel, which has the Irish favored by 15 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-14)

Game 719-720: Princeton at Buffalo (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 60.500; Buffalo 63.211
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1)

Game 721-722: Portland at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 49.581; Ohio 62.635
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 13
Vegas Line: Ohio by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+15 1/2)

Game 723-724: Western Michigan at Cornell (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 52.069; Cornell 52.816
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 1
Vegas Line: Cornell by 5
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+5)

Game 725-726: Delaware at LaSalle (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 53.316; LaSalle 65.426
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 12
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-7 1/2)

Game 727-728: Youngstown State at George Washington (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 54.799; George Washington 59.204
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: George Washington by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (-2 1/2)

Game 729-730: Arkansas State at Dayton (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 58.500; Dayton 62.734
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 4
Vegas Line: Dayton by 7
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+7)

Game 731-732: Central Florida at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 59.260; South Florida 62.310
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 3
Vegas Line: South Florida by 6
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+6)

Game 733-734: Western Kentucky at Southern Mississippi (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 55.754; Southern Mississippi 62.253
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 4
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-4)

Game 735-736: Evansville at Notre Dame (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 56.914; Notre Dame 72.251
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 14
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-14)

Game 737-738: Nevada at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 59.189; UC-Irvine 53.998
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 5
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 1
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+1)

Game 739-740: Air Force vs. Army (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 50.212; Army 45.267
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 5
Vegas Line: Air Force by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Army (+6 1/2)

Game 741-742: VMI vs. The Citadel (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VMI 47.937; The Citadel 44.308
Dunkel Line: VMI by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: VMI by 1
Dunkel Pick: VMI (-1)

Game 743-744: Elon at Butler (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 48.818; Butler 64.691
Dunkel Line: Butler by 16
Vegas Line: Butler by 14
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-14)

Game 745-746: Eastern Washington at Washington State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 53.089; Washington State 63.233
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 10
Vegas Line: Washington State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+12 1/2)

Game 747-748: Columbia at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 48.259; Furman 51.261
Dunkel Line: Furman by 3
Vegas Line: Columbia by 2
Dunkel Pick: Furman (+2)

Game 749-750: Northern Arizona at Oregon (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 37.437; Oregon 72.500
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 35
Vegas Line: Oregon by 21
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-21)

Game 751-752: SIU-Edwardsville at Missouri (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 47.305; Missouri 71.582
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 27 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SI-Edwardsville (+27 1/2)

Game 753-754: Idaho State at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 42.760; Utah State 65.681
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 23
Vegas Line: Utah State by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-20 1/2)

NBA

Detroit at Houston
The Rockets look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 meetings between the two teams. Houston is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Houston (-7 1/2)

Game 701-702: Philadelphia at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 121.042; Toronto 118.047
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 176
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Washington at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 116.066; Indiana 119.115
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 183
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+8 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Dallas at Charlotte (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.783; Charlotte 106.455
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 12 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 6; 199
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6); Under

Game 707-708: Minnesota at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 114.701; Chicago 120.633
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 184
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+7); Over

Game 709-710: Detroit at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 110.790; Houston 123.095
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 12 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 7 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-7 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Boston at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 121.599; Milwaukee 120.525
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+1 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Phoenix at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 112.608; Utah 121.285
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 8 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 9; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+9); Over

Game 715-716: San Antonio at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 123.945; Portland 117.085
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 193
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3); Under

Game 717-718: Denver at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.386; Golden State 117.251
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 4; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1; 203
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1); Under

Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Fresno St. at NevadaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Fresno State (7-3) has won three games in a row after their 45-10 win versus Hawaii last week. The Bulldogs have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total following a win. Fresno State has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Now the Bulldogs go on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. And in their last 5 games against conference opponents, Fresno State has played 4 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total played in the month of November. Nevada (6-3) has had two weeks to prepare for this one after their 48-31 loss at Air Force in a game where they surrendered 600 yards of offense. The Wolf Pack must shore up their run defense after allowing the Falcons to grind out 461 rushing yards -- and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 200 yards on the ground. Nevada has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total played in the month of November. With the number approaching a sky-high 70, take the Under in this one.

Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas A&M vs. Alabama
Pick: Texas A&MFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We had LSU as a big underdog at home versus Alabama, and they came very close to winning outright. The Crimson Tide are good, very good, but after what we saw this weekend, you can't really say they are unbeatable.
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Of course they are back at home this week, where they have blown out the competition all year long. That being said, Texas A&M boasts a very potent offense, ranking 4th in the nation in points scored averaging 45 points per game. They can score in a hurry, and this is something Bama will need to be concerned about, especially after Zack Mettenberger picked them apart last week.
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The Aggies have only lost twice this year, both of those losses were against top 5 teams in LSU and Florida, and both games were close, decided by less than a touchdown.
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The Aggies and Johnny "Football" Manziel are a good bet getting two scores on the road this week. Don't be too surprised if the they pull off the upset!

Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Fresno State vs. Nevada
Pick: NevadaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Here, I'm getting a chance to take points (+2.5) at a positive price (+105) on a team (Nevada) which I expect to win outright. That, my friends, is my very definition of value.
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Nevada lost SU for the first time on the road last week to an Air Force squad that came out guns a blazing in the first half, scoring on five of its first six drives. I think you see a different story this week as Nevada will look to come out strong at home against a team it’s dominated SU in recent memory.
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Nevada under Coach Chris Ault has not lost SU to Fresno State since 2007. This same matchup last year saw the Nevada favoured by 12 points.
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Nevada is just 1-6 ATS this year. While this might scare some people off from backing them, remember the Wolf Pack is still 5-2 SU and have just missed out on covering a lot of bigger numbers this year.
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The people supporting the Wolf Pack this game are getting 2.5 points as I write this, making it the first time the team has been an underdog this year.
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Nevada is 5-2 in past three years when getting points. There is a chance this line moves to 3 points later down the line as Fresno State has been solid AST so far this year.
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Fresno State is just 4-5 ATS in November games over the past three years. The team has struggled against teams with winning records going 1-1 ATS this year and just 3-5 the past three years ATS.
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This matchup will mark the first time since 2008 Bulldogs have been favoured in a matchup with Nevada.
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Nevada is on a two game losing streak that I think is going to end here.I wanted to jump on the favorable line right now. Keep an eye on it, as it could even climb to 3.

Steve JanusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Mississippi State +14.5FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bulldogs got embarrassed at home by Texas A&M this past weekend by a final score of 13-38. Mississippi State has now lost two straight after starting the season 7-0. The Bulldogs weren’t even close to covering the spread in both of their losses. They lost at Alabama 7-38 as a 21.5-point underdog and were only a 6-point dog at home last week to the Aggies.
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To no surprise, we see the majority of the bets coming in on LSU. Given how poorly the Bulldogs have looked in their last two games against the spread, this is typically a good time to jump on Mississippi State. Oddsmakers have certainly set this line knowing that the public will be backing the Tigers. The fact that this line is 14.5 and not 13.5 or 14, has me thinking they like the Bulldogs chances of losing by 14 or less.
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You also have to take into consideration that this is going to be an extremely tough game for LSU to play up to their full potential. The Tigers invested everything they had against No. 1 Alabama last week. LSU came into this season with the expectations of defending their SEC West title and returning to the National Championship Game. Both of those goals were put to rest and I wouldn’t be surprised if they came out extremely flat.
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Adding even more value and reason to liking Mississippi State is that the Bulldogs are 21-8 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, while LSU is just 2-10 ATS over their last 12 home games as a favorite of 14.5 to 17.

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wisconsin vs. Indiana
Pick: Indiana
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With both Ohio St. and Penn St. ineligible for postseason play and a chance to win the conference championship, the winner of this game has the inside track to the Big Ten Leaders Division title. That is something not heard very often in Bloomington so this is one of the biggest games in recent Indiana history. Don't expect the Hoosiers to be fazed though as they are playing with great confidence and that was proven last week when they defeated Iowa for the first time 2007.
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Wisconsin is coming off an overtime loss against Michigan St. which came right before its bye week. This may be considered an edge but with the way Indiana has been playing, there is no such edge in that regard. It has been a down year for the Badgers as they have three losses which matches the amount of defeats from all of last season and it could be even worse as they narrowly escaped Northern Iowa and Utah St. and both of those games were at home. Wisconsin is 1-2 on the road this year.
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Indiana is just 4-5 so it will need to win at least two of its final three games to become bowl eligible but it has had been playing much better than that record indicates. The Hoosiers have lost four of those five games by four points or fewer including their last three defeats so they are just a few plays away from already being bowl eligible. Playing in those close games sets us up in a good spot getting this many points with Indiana at home as it has either won or lost by no more than four points.
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The Indiana offense is what has carries this team all season. The Hoosiers are ranked 35th in total offense and they have scored 24 or more points in each game this season and 10 straight overall, which is a school record. The Badgers defense will provide a tough test but the Hoosiers will be ready. The defense has been exceptional of late as in the last three games, the Hoosiers have allowed 18.3 ppg, 173.7 passing ypg, 183 rushing ypg and 356.7 total ypg. Wisconsin is just 91st in total offense and 81st in scoring offense.
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Indiana falls into a great situation where we play on home underdogs that are getting outrushed by their opponents by 60 or more ypg on the season, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 34-12 ATS (73.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. The Badgers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game while going 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games as well as 0-6 ATS in their last six road games in the second half of the season.

Dave EsslerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Virginia -1FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is one of our Premium plays for Saturday. Two teams going in opposite directions. One that WANTS to play this game and one the HAS to because it's on their schedule. Miami hasn't traveled in a while, and their road wins at G-Tech and at Boston College look a lot less impressive than they did at the time. On the scoreboard last week the 'Canes beat V-Tech, but in reality is was V-Tech that beat V-Tech. UVA has beaten Miami twice now, and the 'Canes had their shot a revenge last season and couldn't get it done at home. They won't get it done Saturday against a confident team, that aside from playing V-Tech, this IS their Bowl game/season. It's on television, and they know it.

WUNDERDOG

Oregon State at Stanford
Pick: Stanford -4

The Stanford Cardinal lost Andrew Luck and a bunch of his supporting cast from a team that was in the BCS Championship picture for most of last season. A lot of people predicted a crash-and-burn this season. That hasn't happened as they are 7-2 entering this game. The Cardinal still has a lot of talent, especially on defense. Their seven games that did not go into overtime have seen no opponent top the 17-point mark, while their offense has gone for 48+ on three occasions. Stanford is now 18-1 in their last 19 home games, with only the high-powered offense of Oregon able to break through. Oregon State will have their attention here as the Beavers are 7-1 on the season, with the lone loss coming on the road in Washington. Stanford is now on an impressive 22-4-1 ATS run after scoring 40+ in their previous game, as well as 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 after a 20-point win or more. Under David Shaw, Stanford is 9-1 ATS after scoring 37+ points last game and 13-3 ATS after a win. Momentum is on the side of the Cardinal. Take them to win and cover.

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South Alabama at North Texas
Prediction: South Alabama
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The Mean Green have seen a season of promise slip away with three losses in their last four outings. Those lopsided defeats find North Texas now needing to win all three of its season-ending contests in order to become bowl eligible and with visits to La-Monroe and Western Kentucky up next, thats not about to happen. Meanwhile, the Jaguars are locked in a ferocious battle for the cellar in the Sun Belt conference, just a half-leg up on FIU but only one game back of UNT. The visitors have exhibited a definite home/road dichotomy in their inaugural FBS campaign as the road team stands a perfect 8-0 ATS in USA games this season. Were not about to mess with that, not with a bunch whose 7-3 ATS ledger against losing teams looks good until you notice the losses have all occurred this season! Bottom line is we cant lay more than a touchdown with a North Texas team thats clearly headed south. We recommend a 1-unit play on South Alabama.

Teddy CoversFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Southern Mississippi vs. Southern Methodist
Pick: Southern Methodist
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June Jones Mustangs won eight games last year, including a 28-6 blowout over Pitt in the Compass Bowl. They were a seven win bowl team in 2010 and an eight win bowl team in 2009. At 4-5, SMU can’t afford another loss and they’ve got the late season schedule to have a shot at earning their fourth consecutive bowl berth. This is a prime bounceback spot for the Mustangs – stepping down in class, against an opponent that has already thrown in the towel on the worst season in program history!
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SMU opened the season as a popular wiseguy choice in a TV game against Baylor. The line moved 5+ points towards SMU closing at +7, but the Mustangs got crushed 59-24. The wiseguys fell in love with SMU again when they faced Texas Tech two weeks later, driving the line all the way down to SMU +10. Again, June Jones’ squad failed to step up in class in an even uglier 48-3 defeat. The Mustangs also lost against TCU, and they were blown out as big underdogs at UCF last week.
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So what does this tell us? Simple – SMU can’t step up in class. They did just fine against Stephen F Austin, winning 52-0. They took care of business at UTEP, and at home against Houston and Memphis, winning all three games by 17 points or more. This team is a bully against the teams they can bully – teams like Southern Miss.
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The Golden Eagles won 12 games last year, then watched their coaching staff move to the ACC and their best players graduate. Ellis Johnson’s first season on the job has been nothing short of a disaster – his team is 0-9. Last week, as home favorites against UAB, Southern Miss blew a 16-0 halftime lead, outscored 27-3 after the break. I’m not convinced they have any fight them in them for a late season road tilt against a superior foe….. Take SMU.

Greg ShakerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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TCU +7FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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There are some 7.5's out there and you will have to pay probably -120 to get it. I am playing the 7 here. I am going to be brief here. The Wildcats are a very good team and the fact is, I have now played them 3 times in a row with great success. I actually played against them 4 games ago and won that one as they squeaked by Iowa State on the road. The Cyclones have very good D and so does this TCU squad. Pattern? I think so and the fact is, K State has simply gotten TOO BIG for their Britches laying this number on the road. I'm not quite sure about the status of Klein as he is now listed as left last game with an arm injury and possible concussion. Team officials say he is OK but certainly he is not 100%. The Horned Frogs are going to be tough to run on, and they are going to pressure the QB. The Frogs have proven that they can score points. This crowd is going to be loud. Very loud. That is not going to benefit K State's play calling Saturday. I am grabbing the 7 points in what is probably going to be the Wildcats Biggest Scare this year and perhaps end their chances at the Big Game..

Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Clemson Tigers -30.5
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The Tigers still have a lot to play for as they are tied with Florida State atop the ACC Atlantic Division standings. They need the Seminoles to lose considering their only loss this season came to FSU on the road, but with some help they could find themselves playing in the ACC title game for a second straight season.
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Clemson has just been rolling teams this year. Five of its eight wins have come by 21 or more points, including back-to-back road wins over Wake Forest (42-13) and Duke (56-20). It is playing its best football of the season right now to say the least.
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Maryland does not have the offensive firepower to keep up with Clemson. The Tigers are scoring 42.7 points per game while ranking 9th in the country in total offense (522.4 yards/game). The Terrapins are scoring just 19.9 points per game while ranking a putrid 121st in the country in total offense (295.9 yards/game).
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The Terrapins have had the worst luck at quarterback I’ve ever seen. They are down to their fifth-string quarterback because of injuries to their top four. That fifth-stringer is converted linebacker Shawn Petty, who was under center for their 13-33 home loss to Georgia Tech last weekend. It will be tough to keep up on the scoreboard with the inexperienced Petty under center.
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Maryland is 0-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons. Clemson is 6-0 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games this season. The Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Bet Clemson Saturday.

Joseph D'AmicoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona State vs. USC
Play: USCFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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With victories over both ASU and UCLA, USC can still get into the PAC 12 Title game. So Cal gave up 730 yards to Oregon last week in their 62-51 loss. The Trojans have lost two straight games. But this is a team that averages 44.2 PPG at home and has one of the best ST units in the land. Matt Barkley has a 65.2% CR, 2750 YP, 30 TDs, and only 10 INTs. Silas Redd has tacked on 732 YR and 9 scores on the ground. The offense is solid. Their "D" has fallen the L2 weeks but has kept several top offensive squads in check TY. Arizona State has a strong pass defense but still allowed 124 points in their L3 contests. They haven't faced a passing game like that of USCs. Taylor Kelly has shown flaws, as the QB has been picked off four times in the L3 games. The Trojans took 9 straight meetings from 2002-2010 but lost LYs matchup, 43-22. Can you say "Revenge?" Take USC.

Mark FrancoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Louisville vs. Syracuse
Play: Louisville
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The Louisville offense has been playing great football as QB Bridgewater has throw for 3 touchdowns and 332 yards per game over their last three games. They are also running the ball very effectively with their two combo backs going for 1354 yards. Syracuse is just 1-5 ATS in their last six games at home. Louisville has taken three straight in the series, including a 28-20 victory at the Carrier Dome in 2010. The Cardinals have won six straight on the road dating to last season and get the victory here.