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Wyoming at UNLVFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: UNLVFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Wyoming (2-8) made their case in being the worst team in college football after handing New Mexico their first victory of the season in their 34-31 loss to the Lobos last week. UNLV (1-8) dispensed of New Mexico by a 45-10 score earlier this season. Wyoming possesses the FBS' 117th offense (267.4 YPG) and 109th defense (441.8 YPG) yet they are favored on the road this contest. This is not a good proposition as the Cowboys are just 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. And Wyoming has failed to cover 5 straight games as a favorite on the road. UNLV has some not so endearing numbers themselves but they do score 24.5 PPG on their home field. But more tellingly, the Runnin' Rebels have covered 8 straight games as a home underdog in the 3.5-10 point range. After Wyoming's loss to New Mexico, they do not deserve to be a favorite against any FBS team at this point of the season. Take the points with UNLV.

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Cincinnati Bearcats at West Virginia
Prediction: Cincinnati Bearcats
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When Cincinnati invades Morgantown to take the Mountaineers in West Virginia early Saturday they will be coming with everything they've got. Catching WVU as conference home chalk off an overtime loss is a good start as teams in this role are just 20-40-3 ATS in this role, including 5-20 ATS if they lost as a favorite. That was the case two Fridays ago in Storrs when the Mountaineers fumbled four times in a 16-13 OT loss. Out database also notes that rested sub .500 conference road dogs off back-to-back SU favorite losses are a refreshed 7-1 ATS. The Bearcats are also 3-0-1 ATS in their last four visits to Morgantown. With the visitors needing wins in three of their final four games in order to become bowl eligible and keep intact a four-year run of hitting the alleys, we’ll look for an all-out effort from the Queen City ‘Cats. Grab the points with this live dog. We recommend a 1-unit play on Cincinnati.

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Kansas State vs. Missouri
Play: Kansas State +12.5
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Well Missouri has had their usual mid season slump when playing anyone good. Kansas Sate on the other hand pounded Texas at home last week and have all the confidence in the world. K State giving up 6 yards a carry on the ground, doubt Mizzou will expose it. Synder the far better coach in this one and better to make adjustments during the game to beat Mizzou than the other way around. The talent lies with the hometown Tigers and somehow, someway, I think they pull out a win here, but it will not come easy, K State’s Thomas at RB liable to eat up yards against a weak Mizzou run defense.

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South Carolina vs. Florida
Play: Over 51FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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We will get both teams best effort tonight as the winner of tonight's game will represent the SEC East in the SEC Title game. South Carolina Coach "The Old Ball Coach" Steve Spurrier will live up to his nickname and be aggressive on offense vs his former School (Florida). South Carolina's offense has playmakers on offense and face a Florida defense that has nice stats, but in big games have given up 313 yds passing vs Georgia and 242 vs LSU. South Carolina's offense is better than both these teams ! However, on defense South Carolina struggles vs the pass and their DB's are banged up. Florida's offense will play 3 QB's and can score points on Defense & Special Tms. Both Teams/Coaches have creative Offensive minds and will use trick plays and don't mind running up the score. In conference games vs good Teams South Carolina is 5-1 Over 51.

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San Diego State vs. TCU
Play: TCU -27FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Many will be expecting a big TCU letdown in this one. The Horned Frogs come into this one after completely dismantling the previously unbeaten Utah in their own building. It was as impressive a win that any team has put on in NCAAF this season. Letdown? When you have worked all season to be unbeaten, and sit at No. 3 waiting for someone to stumble in front of you, there is no letdown. I would expect TCU to pour it on again here with the same focus they used on the road a week ago, because they know what is at stake and every point counts. SDSU is pretty good offensively, but not the caliber of team that has a chance. Their defense is really bad as they gave up 38 points to Wyoming, a team that had not topped 20 all year prior to that vs. a FBS team. In their last 15 games vs. great teams (those outscoring their opponents by 17+ ppg), SDSU is just 3-12 ATS. TCU has beaten each of their last six opponents by 27+, allowing just 23 points total in the process. They are 12-3 ATS over the past three seasons as a home favorite. The Horn Frogs big.

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Oklahoma State vs. Texas
Play: Oklahoma State -5
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Odds Makers made this line under a touchdown as the public money will still come in on Texas as it takes a long time for the squares to change their perception about certain teams. This Longhorns squad is one of the most underachieving teams in the entire nation having now lost 5 of their last 6 games including home losses to UCLA, Iowa State, and Baylor. Here they will have to face this years ATS machine the Oklahoma State Cowboys who have covered 8 of their 9 games. So with the Cowboys having major revenge coming into this game, and with the Longhorns having given up on the season makes for a strong release on Oklahoma State in this spot. Longhorns are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. Longhorns are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

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San Diego State vs. TCU
Play: San Diego State +27
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This game is a pure go against system on TCU. What we want to do is play against teams that are 8-0 or better vs a conference opponent with a win percentage of .666 to 875. if the opponent is Not off back to back ats wins. SD.St is know TCU, however at 7-2 they should not be getting 27 points. TCU may be looking for style points as they try to get considered for a BCS championship game. However the line may be an over reaction to last weeks blowout win vs an overrated Utah team. SD.St will be able to score on TCU and should hang in there and cover the is large spread. The above system has cashed 26 of 30 times and should come through once again. Take SD. St today.

JIM FEISTFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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UTAH ST at SAN JOSE ST
PLAY: UNDER 52.5
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Utah State is averaging 24 ppg behind senior QB Diondre Borel (7 TDs, 7 picks), but not as deadly as a year ago. The offense lost junior running back RB Robert Turbin (1,296 yards rushing, a sizzling 6.2 yards per carry) to a torn ACL in July along with Stanley Morrison (broken foot), a starting receiver, which explains why they haven’t been as potent as 2009. San Jose State (1-8 SU/3-4 ATS) is off a bye week with no offense, averaging 11.9 points behind Senior QB Jordan La Secla (7 TDs, 8 INTs). They squeezed out a 16-11 win over Southern Utah, despite only 250 total yards, but had a 14-13 loss at home to UC Davis and come off a 33-18 home loss to Fresno turning it over 3 times. San Jose is 4-3 under the total. Utah State won 24-9 last season and don’t look for much offense in the rematch. Play Utah State/San Jose State Under the total.

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Fresno State +22
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The BYU Cougars again made it to the NCAA Tournament last season as they seemingly always do, only this time they actually won a March Madness game. That said, they look to be overvalued here, even at home, vs. a Fresno State Bulldogs team that should make some noise in the WAC this season with potentially the best backcourt in that conference.
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The college basketball latest line by the sportsbooks for this contest has Fresno State as huge 22 point underdogs, with the betting odds set at -110.

These teams met for the first time in 10 years last season, with the Bulldogs covering as 7½ point underdogs vs. the CBB betting odds in a close 72-67 loss back home in Fresno. The difference in that game was that Fresno State committed 21 turnovers compared to only 10 by BYU, but the improved guard play for the Bulldogs this season should narrow that gap in this game..
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FresnoStatehas four newcomers in the backcourt, all of whom are capable enough t0 get quality minutes, and they return their starting point guard from last season Steven Shepp, who is now a senior. Shepp was not spectacular last season, averaging only 5.5 points and 4.4 assists, so he may soon find himself on the bench behind Fresno’s plethora of quality underclassmen, most notably junior college transfer Tim Steed and incoming freshman Kevin Olekaibe.
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BYU should be solid again this season, but we are not sure they merit being huge prohibitive favorites like this so early on considering that lost two guards that saw significant playing time last season in Michael Loyd and Lamont Morgan, as well as last year’s starting center Chris Miles. Miles commanded respect down low from opposing teams, which opened up the perimeter for the Cougars’ sharpshooters like leading scorer Jimmer Fredette.
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Look for the Fresno State defense to sag the defense out a bit and guard Fredette more closely unless some other Cougar big man proved he can fill Miles’s role. Now the Cougars will probably win this game at home, but given the current state if these clubs, we think it will be by less than 20 points in this NCAAB matchup.

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Memphis @ Marshall
PICK: Marshall -17
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The white flag is flying high in Memphis. This Tiger team is done and all they want is for this horrendous season to end.
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In case you haven’t been paying attention, Memphis is a ridiculous 3-19 SU and 4-17 TS in its last 21 games including a stunning 0-11 SU and 1-10 ATS in this role priced as an underdog of +13 or more. Those 11 losses haven’t been close either. The Tigers dropped those decisions by an average of 31.2 points per game!
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Technically speaking, this is a marvelous spot for the Thundering Herd. Since 1980, double-digit college home favorites are a rewarding 59-32 ATS provided they won straight up as an underdog of +10 or more last. If our host tasted victory on foreign soil last, this system tightens up to a spectacular 50-25 ATS for 66.7 percent! Finally, with those two parameters applied and our “play on” team coming off a solid offensive performance in which they scored more than 30 points, this technical gem erupts to a juicy 24-6 ATS for 80.0 percent!
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Defensively, Memphis has been just awful over its past five games. Since playing out of their mind at Texas El Paso back on September 25th, the Tigers have allowed 48, 56, 41, 56 and 50 points respectively in their last five battles. That’s an average of 50.2 points per game. Opposing teams have blitzed this once proud Memphis “D” for an average of 42.4 points and 477.0 yards per game this season!
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In order to become bowl eligible, Marshall has to win out. That fact alone will ensure that the Thundering Herd stay focused for this game. Lay the lumber with confidence here men. Take Marshall.

SEAN MURPHYFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Georgia @ Auburn
PICK: Auburn -6.5
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Georgia has had its way with Auburn over the past four years, winning each meeting - but keep in mind, the Bulldogs have been favored in the last three.
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This time around, it's the Tigers that come in as the favorite - and for good reason.
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With all of the negative press surrounding Auburn QB and Heisman front-runner Cam Newton, there are many bettors that question where his head will be at this Saturday. I'm not at all concerned, and in fact, I expect Newton to play with a chip on his shoulder - as if he needed any extra motivation.
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We've made some serious cash backing the Georgia Bulldogs this season, but this appears to be the proper point to jump off. My concern with this team is their inability to stop any offense with a pulse. They've given up 31 points vs. Arkansas, 29 against Colorado, 31 at Kentucky, and 34 against Florida. Their defensive numbers aren't bad on paper, but when the competition has stiffened, they've had a really tough time getting stops.
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While I do have a lot of respect for the Bulldogs offense - led by QB Aaron Murray - I'm confident that the Tigers can slow them down. Georgia relies heavily on its run game to set up the pass, but what happens if they can't get anything going on the ground? Note that Auburn has allowed just 2.9 yards per rush here at home this season.
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It's one thing to say you're going to limit a guy like Cam Newton, but it's another thing entirely to actually go out there and do it. Auburn has had a few scares this season, but I don't think this will go down as one of them. Look for the Tigers to approach 40 points and ultimately pull away in the second half. Take Auburn.

TEDDY COVERSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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USC @ Arizona
Pick: Arizona -4.5
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This is a great spot for Arizona and a miserable one for the Trojans. Early money has poured in on the USC side in a series that has been completely one-sided in recent years. The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings, including an outright upset victory in LA last year. We’ve got value, series history and a fantastic spot to support the home team as relatively short chalk on Saturday Night.
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Southern Cal’s defensive weaknesses were on full display again last week, allowing 33 points and 398 yards to a modest Arizona State offense. We’ve already seen the Trojans allow Washington score 32 points on 537 yards, Stanford to score 37 points on 478 yards and Oregon to score 53 points and 599 yards against this stop unit. Arizona was sluggish offensively last week in QB Nick Foles first start back following his injury, but they are primed for a big bounceback offensive effort this week.
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When Arizona beat USC outright last season, their defense completely shut down Matt Barkley and the Trojans offense. USC was held to 17 points and less than 300 yards against the Wildcat D, their lowest totals in both categories at home all year by a fairly wide margin. This year’s Arizona defense is even better than last year’s unit, ranked in the Top 20 nationally in total defense, points allowed, rushing defense and sacks. Coming off a poor defensive effort at Stanford, look for a much better showing this week, carrying Arizona to a comfortable victory. 2* Take Arizona

Black WidowFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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1* on Stanford/Arizona State OVER 58.5
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This one is primed to go well OVER the number Saturday in a match-up between two of the most explosive offenses in the Pac-10. Stanford is scoring 42.3 points/game this season and averaging 472 total yards, while Arizona State is scoring 32.1 points/game this year and averaging 428 total yards, while also scoring 42.0 points/game in 4 home contests. The Cardinal have a balanced attack at 223 rushing yards and 249 passing yards per game, while ASU relies on a new spread offense that is mustering 292 passing yards per contest. Stanford is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons. They are hitting their stride as usual offensively putting up 37-plus in 4 straight games. Stanford hasn't been held to less than 31 points all season, and that was against No. 1 Oregon. The Cardinal are 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. Take the OVER 58.5 points here.

Bryan LeonardFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Army vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
Play: Kent State Golden Flashes
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This is a monster of a scheduling spot for the Black Knights who are off the Commander in Chief showdown with Air Force with a trip to Yankee Stadium to face Notre Dame on deck. They put a ton of work into last week's game only to be beaten by 20 points by their biggest rival. They entered that game off a bye and then a cakewalk affair against VMI. Yet they were never in that game as Air Force led throughout. Now with a rare chance to play and beat a vulnerable Notre Dame squad next Saturday Army may not be fully focused here.
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Kent State is also off a disappointing loss as they dropped a 28-10 decision here to Temple. But we expect the Golden Flashes to rebound in a big way as they are still bowl eligible with three winnable games to end the season. Kent was competitive when stepping up in class this year against Boston College and Penn State. They have also shown the ability to dominate when playing lesser competition. After facing a very good Temple squad last week we look for Kent to take out some frustrations on an uninterested foe.