Jay Schecter
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Syracuse +7 over LOUISVILLE
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There comes a time every season when it becomes obvious that a team has thrown in the towel. The telling signs are usually the same – terrible record, coach on the hot seat, no conference wins and subsequently no motivation. The Louisville Cardinals have reached that point. Two of their three wins have come against FCS opponents at home in unimpressive fashion, and their lone FBS win was back in October against Southern Miss. It’s safe to say that replacing Bobby Petrino with Steve Kagthrope hasn’t worked out and the players, fans, and boosters know it. You can bet Kagthrope won’t be back next season and I don’t care what profession you work in nobody gives maximum effort for the proverbial “dead man walking”. It also matters that Louisville can’t stop the run or score points, as they rank dead last in points scored at 19 per game and dead last in rushing yards allowed at 150 per game. Syracuse doesn’t have a conference win either but at least the team believes it can still get to six wins and become bowl eligible. Syracuse, despite their usually atrocious defense, has actually managed to the offense going this year, averaging over 300 yards a game for the first time since 2004. Quarterback Greg Paulus has a 65% completion percentage and if he could avoid interceptions against Louisville it gives Syracuse a great chance at winning. It’s not often bookmakers make a mistake this late in the season but this line is completely off. Louisville is simply playing out the string at this point and it’s very hard to win games that way, let alone win them by 7 points. Syracuse has a first year coach that won’t let the Orange coast and any player coming back next year will play hard these final three games. Take Syracuse and the points against an unmotivated, uninspired Louisville squad. Play: Syracuse +7 +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
Tony Mathews
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New Mexico State vs. Hawaii
Play: New Mexico State +19
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It is mysterious as to why Hawaii is a favorite by this margin. One logical explanation for the inflated line could be due to both the Aggies and the Warriors previous games. In their last game against Utah State, the Hawaii offense had nearly 700 total yards and put up 49 points. Meanwhile against Ohio State, New Mexico managed only 62 total yards. In addition to Ohio State, New Mexico was up against two other tough teams in their last three games, Louisiana Tech and Fresno State, where the Aggies had tremendous difficulty and were unable to score an offensive touchdown.
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Needless to say, the Aggie offense has been horrid this season, and their struggles are the result of an awful pass attack. As such, if New Mexico State is going to be successful here they will have to rely on the ground game. This should work well for the Aggies considering that the Warriors run defense allows an average of 238 yards per game against conference teams.
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Hawaii has a good pass attack and the Aggie defense has been pretty bad at stopping their opponents. However, the New Mexico State defense is stronger when it comes to pass defense with an average of 199 yards per game, ranking second to Boise State in Western Athletic Conference games.
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Keep in mind that Hawaii had lost 6 straight games until last week, and are now just 1-5 in league play.
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Take New Mexico State Aggies +19
Stephen Nover
Syracuse at LOUISVILLE -7
Sometimes late in the season, a team can be so beat-up physically and mentally that the linesmaker can't make an accurate line because he's unable to fully comprehend the extent of that team's misery.
Exhibit A: Syracuse.
The Orangemen began the season on a high note doing their best to purge the bad memories of the Greg Robinson era under new coach and Syracuse alma mater Doug Marrone.
Eighteen scholarship players departed before the season leaving Syracuse with less depth than any other Big East team. But at least Marrone, in his first year, would have the team he wanted.
Syracuse was very competitive early, covering its first three games and defeating Maine, 41-24, in its fourth game. But in their last five games, the Orangemen have only managed to win and cover versus Akron, a bad MAC team.
Injuries and suspensions during the past few weeks have rocked Syracuse.
In their last four games, the Orangemen have lost starters at linebacker, defensive end, safety, cornerback, right guard, tight end and Antwon Bailey, their second-leading rusher and third-leading receiver.
This list doesn't include the cruelest blow - seeing star wide receiver Mike Williams quit the team. Williams was the key to the Orangemen. He had 11 touchdowns. The team averaged 217 yards passing when he was in the lineup. In the two games minus Williams, the Orangemen are averaging 123 yards passing with one touchdown pass.
The Orangemen can not stretch the field vertically without Williams. Louisville will be stacking the line with eight-man fronts. Syracuse quarterbacks Greg Paulus and Ryan Nassib aren't good enough to take advantage. They've thrown a combined 10 interceptions in the last five games.
Syracuse has committed 16 turnovers during this span. It has been outscored by an average of 20 points in its last four games.
The Orange's defense and special teams have produced no touchdowns this season. They aren't talented enough to make big plays to help Syracuse cover.
Louisville has its own injuries and problems. The Cardinals haven't won a Big East game either just like Syracuse. But the Cardinals' woes pale compared to Syracuse.
Louisville coach Steve Kragthorpe is under tremendous pressure to produce. He'll look to impress the home crowd with a lopsided win. Syracuse won't come close to making the travel-team limit of 60 players. Only 55 players made the trip to Pittsburgh last week for Syracuse.
Star tailback Victor Anderson is expected to play for Louisville after being out with a shoulder injury. That's huge for Louisville. But this handicap is based almost entirely as a fade on Syracuse. The Orangemen are too worn down to compete anymore versus a Big East foe, especially on the road.
2♦ SYRACUSE ORANGEMEN
Jeff Benton
Iowa at OHIO STATE -16'
For Saturday’s free play in College Football, I’ll take Ohio State and lay the points against Iowa.
I concede that this number is inflated because Iowa – after several miraculous wins to remain undefeated – finally tasted defeat last week. Adding injury to insult, the Hawkeyes also lost starting QB Ricky Stanzi. I also concede that Iowa isn’t the only team that’s in a letdown spot here, as the Buckeyes are coming off that very impressive 24-7 rout over Penn State in Happy Valley. In fact, had the rolls been reversed last week – had the Hawkeyes beat Northwestern and Ohio State lost to Penn State – this number would closer to seven.
All this said, that doesn’t mean Ohio State can’t cover this big spread. For one thing, the Buckeyes have completely owned Iowa in recent years, winning 10 of the last 11 meetings and cashing in seven of the last eight. That includes a 5-0 SU and ATS run by Ohio State in the Horseshoe, with four of those five wins by 16 points or more and an average margin of victory of 20.2 ppg.
Put it another way, Kirk Ferentz is now in his 14th season as Iowa’s coach and yet he’s NEVER won or covered in Columbus. And now he’s going to do so with a freshman quarterback (James Vandenberg … who was terrible in relief at home against Northwestern last week … making his first-ever start … in the Horseshoe … against an Ohio State defense that allows 11.2 points, 254.1 total yards and 168.7 passing yards per game? A defense that’s given up a total of 14 points in the last three games and has held seven of nine opponents to 14 points or less? Don’t see it happening.
Finally, consider this: Ohio State is 8-2 on the season, and its last seven wins have come by 38, 30, 19, 18, 31, 45 and 17 points. Not surprisingly, the Buckeyes covered in all seven of those games and are 8-1 ATS in their last eight (5-0 ATS at home). Lay the points, and look for the favorite (8-0 ATS last eight meetings) to get the job done in this rivalry again.
4♦ OHIO STATE
Karl Garrett
Idaho +31' at BOISE STATE
G-Man feels the lines on Boise State's games continue to carry inflation as the Broncos look to work themselves into position for a BCS Bowl.
This price seems just a few points too high for a capable Idaho team that can get some of its swagger back with a solid effort on the blue carpet today.
Idaho had started the season 6-1 straight up, and 7-0 against the spread before losing 2 of their last 3 straight up, and all 3 against the spread, and while they have been getting gashed for points, they do have enough offense do stay inside of this roomy impost.
Idaho starting QB Enderle is listed as probable, but his backup Reader looked just fine to me in last week's setback against Fresno State.
I know the Broncos will want to run it up, but after watching their defense yield a few times this year on national tv, I don't trust them to cover this impost.
G-Man backing the Vandals plus the big number.
1♦ IDAHO
Bobby Maxwell
Texas A&M +20' at OKLAHOMA
I continue to dominate with my FREE selections, with Friday's winner on the Blazers improving my record to 8-1 over the last 9 days with comp selections. Today I'm on the college gridiron with a freebie on Texas A&M as the Aggies invade Norman, Okla., to take on the Sooners.
Who is Oklahoma to be laying this kind of chalk to anybody right now? Definitely grab the points and play the Aggies tonight in this one.
The Sooners managed just three points last week in Nebraska, falling 10-3 as 4 ½-point favorites. They have failed to cash in five of the last six meetings and they were favorites in five of the six. It seems like QB Sam Bradford is everything to this team and with him out of the offense, it looked pathetic last week against the Cornhuskers.
Texas A&M showed some life the last month or so, including wins at Texas Tech and at home against Iowa State. They have the ability to put points on the board and just have to avoid the ugly turnovers.
Grab the points and go with the Aggies in this rivalry matchup.
3♦ TEXAS A&M
Sports Gambling Hotline
Auburn +4' at GEORGIA
Why not?
Georgia isn't exactly having a great season, as the Bulldogs have comitted 21 turnovers this year, and have managed only 8 takeaways in their 9 games this season.
The Dawgs have won the last 3 series meetings, so you know the Tigers will be quite eager to get off the schneid in this spot, and with UGA 0-3 against the spread at home this season, and just 1-7 against the spread their last 8 lined games between the hedges, it is hardly a sure thing that Georgia is going to cover this game.
Auburn's QB Todd has tossed 17 TD passes against just 3 interceptions, while his counterpart Cox has been picked off 12 times already this season.
They say you can't handicap turnovers?
Well, in this case we think you can.
Play on the underdog Tigers.
5♦ AUBURN
DUNKEL INDEX
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Game 117-118: Boston College at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 93.169; Virginia 92.999
Dunkel Line: Even; 46
Vegas Line: Boston College by 4 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+4 1/2); Over
Game 119-120: Northwestern at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 84.408; Illinois 91.671
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 7 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Illinois by 4 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-4 1/2); Over
Game 121-122: Syracuse at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 77.956; Louisville 86.864
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 9; 39
Vegas Line: Louisville by 7; 45
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-7); Under
Game 123-124: Iowa at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 98.592; Ohio State 109.830
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 11; 39
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 17; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+17); Over
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Game 125-126: Michigan at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 90.424; Wisconsin 94.581
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 4; 48
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+8 1/2); Under
Game 127-128: Indiana at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 82.601; Penn State 110.100
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 27 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Penn State by 25; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-25); Under
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Game 129-130: Michigan State at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 89.597; Purdue 91.637
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 3; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+3); Under
Game 131-132: Florida State at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 92.858; Wake Forest 90.608
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 2 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 5; 57
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+5); Under
Game 133-134: Clemson at NC State
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 96.146; NC State 90.430
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 5 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Clemson by 8; 58
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+8); Under
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Game 135-136: Georgia Tech at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 103.676; Duke 89.111
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 14 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 12 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-12 1/2); Over
Game 137-138: Kentucky at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 87.335; Vanderbilt 85.781
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 1 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+3); Under
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Game 139-140: Texas at Baylor
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 116.264; Baylor 91.455
Dunkel Line: Texas by 25; 57
Vegas Line: Texas by 23 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-23 1/2); Over
Game 141-142: Virginia Tech at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 96.174; Maryland 84.900
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 11 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 17 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+17 1/2); Over
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Game 143-144: Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 77.678; Eastern Michigan 63.076
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 14 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 12; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-12); Under
Game 145-146: Tennessee at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 101.867; Mississippi 98.849
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 3; 42
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 5; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+5); Under
Game 147-148: BYU at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 96.374; New Mexico 65.984
Dunkel Line: BYU by 30 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: BYU by 26 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-26 1/2); Over
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Game 149-150: Nebraska at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 97.059; Kansas 95.123
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 4; 42
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+4); Over
Game 151-152: UAB at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 71.704; Memphis 75.344
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 3 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: UAB by 1 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+1 1/2); Under
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Game 153-154: Colorado at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 83.529; Iowa State 88.208
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 4 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 5 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+5 1/2); Under
Game 155-156: UCLA at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 86.441; Washington State 73.709
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 12 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: UCLA by 17 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+17 1/2); Over
Game 157-158: Idaho at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 77.293; Boise State 109.571
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 32 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Boise State by 31; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-31); Over
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Game 159-160: UTEP at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 74.725; SMU 84.609
Dunkel Line: SMU by 10; 59
Vegas Line: SMU by 8; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-8); Under
Game 161-162: Notre Dame at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 95.211; Pittsburgh 98.635
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+7); Over
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Game 163-164: Stanford at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 92.088; USC 108.616
Dunkel Line: USC by 16 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: USC by 10 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-10 1/2); Under
Game 165-166: Arizona at California
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 94.231; California 99.272
Dunkel Line: California by 5; 59
Vegas Line: California by 1; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-1); Over
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Game 167-168: Arizona State at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 91.037; Oregon 114.545
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 23 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Oregon by 17; 49
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-17); Over
Game 169-170: Missouri at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 94.050; Kansas State 91.827
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 2; 45
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 1; 50
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (+1); Under
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Game 171-172: Texas A&M at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 89.958; Oklahoma 107.910
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 18; 51
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 20 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+20 1/2); Under
Game 173-174: San Jose State at Utah State
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 69.402; Utah State 83.261
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 14; 52
Vegas Line: Utah State by 12 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-12 1/2); Under
Game 175-176: Fresno State at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 90.088; Nevada 95.833
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 5 1/2; 75
Vegas Line: Nevada by 7; 70
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+7); Over
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Game 177-178: Tulane at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 68.660; Rice 63.259
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 5 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Rice by 3; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+3); Under
Game 179-180: UNLV at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 71.879; Air Force 93.553
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 21 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Air Force by 17; 47
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-17); Under
Game 181-182: Washington at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 89.822; Oregon State 99.270
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 9 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 12; 57
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+12); Over
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Game 183-184: Florida at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 111.013; South Carolina 91.505
Dunkel Line: Florida by 19 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Florida by 15 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-15 1/2); Over
Game 185-186: Alabama at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 108.807; Mississippi State 91.796
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 17; 49
Vegas Line: Alabama by 12 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-12 1/2); Over
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Game 187-188: Southern Mississippi at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 85.599; Marshall 80.417
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 5; 47
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-3); Under
Game 189-190: Miami (FL) at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 95.479; North Carolina 95.630
Dunkel Line: Even; 38
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+3 1/2); Under
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Game 191-192: Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 102.139; Oklahoma State 104.361
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 2; 56
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 4; 60
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+4); Under
Game 193-194: Utah at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 94.351; TCU 107.874
Dunkel Line: TCU by 13 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: TCU by 20; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+20); Under
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Game 195-196: Auburn at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 92.781; Georgia 93.620
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 1; 51
Vegas Line: Georgia by 4 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+4 1/2); Under
Game 197-198: Houston at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 93.360; Central Florida 86.788
Dunkel Line: Houston by 6 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Houston by 4 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4 1/2); Under
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Game 199-200: Louisiana Tech at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 80.627; LSU 106.000
Dunkel Line: LSU by 25 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: LSU by 24; 45
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-24); Under
Game 201-202: Wyoming at San Diego State
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 73.013; San Diego State 79.910
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 7; 46
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 7 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+7 1/2); Under
Game 203-204: New Mexico State at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 60.711; Hawaii 78.463
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 18; 57
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 20 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+20 1/2); Over
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Game 205-206: Arkansas State at Florida Atlantic
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 81.481; Florida Atlantic 74.747
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 6 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 3 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-3 1/2); Over
Game 207-208: Western Kentucky at UL Monroe
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 56.685; UL Monroe 81.833
Dunkel Line: UL Monroe by 25; 63
Vegas Line: UL Monroe by 21 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL Monroe (-21 1/2); Over
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Game 209-210: Troy at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 88.234; Arkansas 100.936
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 12 1/2; 70
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 14; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+14); Over
Game 211-212: North Texas at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 67.904; Florida International 71.022
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 3; 69
Vegas Line: Florida International by 2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-2); Over
Game 213-214: UL Lafayette at Middle Tennessee St.
Dunkel Ratings: UL Lafayette 70.713; Middle Tennessee St. 81.146
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 10 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 13; 53
Dunkel Pick: UL Lafayette (+13); Over
NBA
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Minnesota at Memphis
The Grizzlies look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 home games against teams with a losing road record. Memphis is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-8)
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Game 501-502: Boston at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 125.484; Indiana 120.181
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 503-504: Detroit at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 114.883; Washington 120.868
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 6; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 5; 185
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-5); Under
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Game 505-506: Portland at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 121.553; Charlotte 119.394
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3; 172 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+3); Over
Game 507-508: New Orleans at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 110.989; Atlanta 127.370
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 16 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-8 1/2); Over
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Game 509-510: Utah at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 113.305; Cleveland 127.761
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 14 1/2; 180
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 511-512: New Jersey at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 108.931; Miami 126.613
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 17 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
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Game 513-514: Philadelphia at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 113.654; Chicago 119.503
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+6 1/2); Under
Game 515-516: Minnesota at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 105.081; Memphis 115.280
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 10; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 8; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-8); Over
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Game 517-518: Golden State at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 113.545; Milwaukee 119.732
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 7; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+7); Under
Game 519-520: Oklahoma City at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 115.542; San Antonio 122.755
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 199
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NCAA Basketball
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UC Riverside at New Mexico
The Lobos look to build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 home games. New Mexico is the pick (-17) according to Dunkel, which has the Lobos favored by 21 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-17)
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Game 521-522: Princeton at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 47.196; Central Michigan 55.776
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 6
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-6)
Game 523-524: Temple at Delaware
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 64.214; Delaware 57.226
Dunkel Line: Temple by 7
Vegas Line: Temple by 6
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-6)
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Game 525-526: Creighton at Dayton
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 64.399; Dayton 68.419
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 4
Vegas Line: Dayton by 7
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (+7)
Game 527-528: Cornell at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 58.573; Alabama 65.032
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 7
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (+7)
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Game 529-530: Southern Mississippi at UL-Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 52.420; UL-Lafayette 52.828
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+2 1/2)
Game 531-532: UC Riverside at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: UC Riverside 49.298; New Mexico 70.717
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 17
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-17)
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Game 533-534: Samford vs. WI-Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 50.046; WI-Green Bay 57.633
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 535-536: UAB at Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 65.987; Kent State 58.727
Dunkel Line: UAB by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
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Game 537-538: Sacramento State vs. Houston Baptist
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 33.144; Houston Baptist 39.063
Dunkel Line: Houston Baptist by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 539-540: South Alabama at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.074; Rice 53.878
Dunkel Line: Rice by 2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
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Game 541-542: Colorado State vs. Winston-Salem
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 53.837; Winston-Salem 31.792
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 22
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 543-544: UC Davis at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 46.093; Oregon 65.962
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 20
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 545-546: Portland State vs. Wright State
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 53.472; Wright State 59.963
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
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Game 547-548: Belmont at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 55.728; Washington 68.418
Dunkel Line: Washington by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 549-550: Loyola-Marymount vs. North Dakota
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 43.970; North Dakota 36.148
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Marymount by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
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Game 551-552: Boise State at Montana
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 52.327; Montana 53.474
Dunkel Line: Montana by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 553-554: Davidson at Butler
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 57.286; Butler 70.957
Dunkel Line: Butler by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-12 1/2)
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Game 555-556: Marist at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 44.394; Rutgers 61.804
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-17 1/2)
Game 557-558: Portland at Eastern Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 54.508; Eastern Washington 51.848
Dunkel Line: Portland by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland by 7
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+7)
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Game 559-560: Eastern Illinois at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 47.755; Toledo 47.644
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Toledo by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+3 1/2)
Game 561-562: SE Missouri State at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 37.420; St. Louis 60.059
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 18
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-18)
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Game 563-564: Tennessee-Martin at Southern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 52.012; Southern Illinois 61.728
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 14
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+14)
Game 565-566: Montana State at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 49.978; Nevada 61.773
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 12
Vegas Line: Nevada by 11
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-11)
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Game 567-568: Northern Michigan at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Michigan (No Rating); Michigan 70.974
Dunkel Line: N/A
Vegas Line: N/A
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NHL
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Los Angeles at Tampa Bay
The Lightning look to take advantage of a Los Angeles team that is 2-6 in its last 8 games when playing with 0 days of rest. Tampa Bay is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130)
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Game 1-2: NY Rangers at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.719; Ottawa 11.767
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-125); Under
Game 3-4: Buffalo at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.643; Philadelphia 12.921
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Over
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Game 5-6: Washington at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.513; New Jersey 13.517
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 7-8: NY Islanders at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.749; Florida 12.298
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-150); Over
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Game 9-10: Anaheim at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.143; Detroit 12.397
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); Over
Game 11-12: Calgary at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.440; Toronto 11.654
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+120); Under
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Game 13-14: Los Angeles at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 10.584; Tampa Bay 11.696
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130); Under
Game 15-16: Boston at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.191; Pittsburgh 11.487
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
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Game 17-18: Montreal at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.268; Nashville 11.896
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+140); Over
Game 19-20: Dallas at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.858; Phoenix 11.637
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-115); Under
Game 21-22: San Jose at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.239; St. Louis 12.157
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-140); Over
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Game 23-24: Vancouver at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.948; Colorado 11.938
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-125); Under
Charlie Scott
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Georgia Tech vs. Duke
Play: Under 59
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The Dukies have had their last 3 games go Under the total. Georgia Tech likes to run the option and the clock, which will help keep the score Under. On defense Georgia Tech has problems matching up with teams, but their problems on defense are when they play against superior athletes with speed( Miami, Clemson, Florida st). Duke doesn't have these kind of athletes.
LT Profits
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Troy at Arkansas
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College Football is a game of emotion, and that will be key here, as this game means the world to the Troy Trojans while the Arkansas Razorbacks will be more concerned with the last two weeks of the season.
The Razorbacks went over the .500 mark with their 33-16 victory over South Carolina last week, and after this non-conference game vs. a Sun Belt Conference team, they return to the SEC wars next week with a date vs. Mississippi State followed by their traditional season-ender at LSU.
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We just do not see how the Hogs can get themselves motivated for this meeting with a team from what is perceived to be the weakest conference in the country. Now, with the SEC considered the strongest conference in the land from top to bottom, another train of thought is that Arkansas can still win this game easily even without an all-out effort.
Well, while that may be true against the rest of the Sun Belt, Tory is easily the cream of the crop and they will come to play here. The Trojans have won seven straight games overall, and they would love to give their program a major boost by knocking off an SEC rival. Besides, with the Sun Belt rival already locked up, the Trojans will have nothing else to play for until their bowl game, so they can afford to put all of their focus on this contest.
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Remember that the last time Troy went on the road vs. an SEC team they opened up a 31-3 lead on a powerful LSU team two years ago before choking away the lead, although still covering the spread with ease. Look for another cover vs. a weaker SEC foe here.
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Pick: Troy +13.5
LEE KOSTROSKI
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Michigan St. @ Purdue
PICK: Michigan St. -3
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This is a huge game for MSU as they currently sit at 5-5 and need this win to become bowl eligible. A loss here would make next Saturday's game vs. Penn State an absolute must win, so they would rather get it out of the way this weekend. They are catching a turnover prone Purdue team coming off their huge road win @ free falling Michigan. It was the Boiler first win in Ann Arbor since 1995. They were down 24-10 in that game at half and used a lot of energy getting back into it and winning. MSU, on the other hand, will be well rested coming off a "bye" week. Not really as they played host to Western Michigan, however the Spartans were able to rest their starters in the 49-14 win. They led 35-0 at half and out gained the Broncos by nearly 400 yards.
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Michigan State has advantages on offense, defense, running game and special teams. They also have a big time edge in turnover margin which just might be the most important stat when handicapping football. Now many times its nearly impossible to handicap turnovers and it becomes the "luck factor" when picking games. However, when a team like Purdue continues to turn the ball over regularly each week, it normally doesn't just go away. PU has turned the ball over an amazing 28 times on the season. That's an average of nearly 3 times per game. It's really difficult to win a game where you turn it over that many times. MSU, by comparison, has just 15 on the year which is tied for second fewest in the Big Ten. Expect turnovers to be a huge factor again on Saturday with MSU getting the better of that stat.
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Back to the other advantages we spoke of earlier. MSU scores more PPG, gives up nearly a full TD less per game on defense and allows more than 1 YPC less on offense. In fact, the Boilers are last in the Big Ten in rush defense allowing 173 YPG. Mich State runs for over 4 YPC so they will take advantage of that. That will open up the passing attack for QB Kirk Cousins who has been on a great run. He has thrown 7 TD's and just one pick on his last four outings. He has completed 65% of his passes for over 1,100 yards during that four game run. He should have a field day on Saturday with a solid running attack to back him up.
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MSU is just 1-3 SU on the road this year, however they have been in very poor situations for two of those games. They out played Notre Dame on the road and were driving for a winning score late when Cousins threw an interception at the goal line ending the game. The Spartans were demoralized after that tough loss and had to travel to Camp Randall the following week to play a very good Wisconsin team. MSU lost that one 38-30. Their other road loss was @ Minnesota. That game was a week after Sparty lost at home to Iowa on the final play of the game. Another obvious letdown spot. This will be an entirely different situation. They will be ready.
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The Spartans have out gained 7 of their last 8 opponents telling us this team is much better than their record. They also have a very good yards per play (YPP) differential of +1.2. That simply means that throughout the year they have averaged 1.2 more yards per play than their opponent which normally equates to a very good record. Sparty has had Purdue's number the last few years winning each of the last two years easily by a combined score of 69-38. They are simply the better team here in nearly every aspect and they will get this win. Take MSU here.
John Ryan
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Troy vs. Arkansas
Play: Troy +13
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Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Troy University as the face Arkansas set to start at 7:30 EST. AiS shows a 72% probability that Troy will lose this game by 13 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 50-19 ATS for 73% winners since 1992. Play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after a 2 game home stand, in the second half of the season. Many CFB game projections center on the 28 point level. This game is no different and Troy has an 84% probability of scoring 28 or more points. Note that Troy is a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Arkansas is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Arkansas has had to endure a very difficult and physical SEC schedule and they be caught looking ahead to next week’s conference slate against Mississippi State. Take Troy
Tom Freese
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Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh U
Play: Pittsburgh U -6
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Pittsburgh is 9-4 ATS vs. winning teams and they are 5-1 ATS their last 6 home games. The Panthers are 10-2 ATS their last 12 games on grass and they are 9-4 ATS after gaining over 450 total. yards in their last game. Notre Dame is 3-11 ATS after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their last game and they are 1-6 ATS vs. Big East teams. The Irish are 1-7 ATS their last 8 games overall and they are 1-5 ATS off an ATS loss. PLAY ON PITTSBURGH -
Spartan
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Southern Cal -10.5 vs Stanford
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Remember the last time the Stanford Cardinals played at USC? Well, I do and I suspect Pete Carroll and a lot of his Trojans do, vividly. It was a 24-23 shocker, I'm betting that is not going to be the deal this time around. Stanford is much improved and we rode with them to a victory last week against Oregon, however even though this might not be the mighty USC team of recent years I see this number as a real, legitimate value. I look for Matt Barkley to come out and have a big day against a Stanford defense that I feel the Trojans can conduct some real business on. Carroll has only dropped three games one time duting his tenure coaching the Trojans and I personally do not feel he will this year. Stanford might be a trendy pick for a lot of folks, I'm sticking with Southern Cal at home.