Chip ChirimbesFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Virginia Tech vs. Miami (Fla)
Play: Miami (Fla) +2
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If I has a game that would called 'Upset Special' this would be it! Last season as I posted Virginia Tech (8-2, #7-3) as my ACC Game of the Year winner (31-7) over Miami-FL, I made a mental note that the Hurricanes (7-3, #5-5) would get revenge this year. Both these clubs are alive for the ACC Championship and that will bring out the best in the Canes defense while true freshman Steven Morris has rallied his club for two straight win and will post a third here.
JR O'DonnellFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego St. +3 vs Utah
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Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California as the 7-3 Aztecs are the right side here vs. a reeling Utes crew. 2 stinging losses to TCU 47-7 who housed the Utah Utes and the Fighting Irish who just dominated the Utes last weekend 28-3.The Utes had 11 penalties and we feel that the Irish really dominated them on both sides of the rock ! The Utah Utes wheels came off in the second half in the Air Force ballgame. The Aztec D will be able to harass Qb Jordan Wynn all night long! Jordan Wynn has had 2 bad bad outings in a row and the boys from Qualcomm stadium will make it 3!!
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The Sandy State crew is a powerful crew and have not lost 2 in row all year. The Aztecs possess a nice Sr. Running back in Brandon Sullivan who will be able to run the rock vs the Utes. The Utes have played imo a very soft schedule and this Sandy State team is well coached and the kids believe in the system. Brady Hoke will have the answer for the Utes. The line here is suspect as the Utes at - 3 raises some eyebrows. The Aztecs are in a huge revenger spot here and this home dog bites!!! The Utes will be the trendy & sexy play, as all stats and trends point to a Utes ballclub prior to being waxed twice, The Aztecs check in here at 4-0 ATS as a dog!!!
James Patrick SportsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Missouri vs. Iowa State
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Iowa State needs a win in this season finale to become bowl eligible for the second straight year under Paul Rhoads. With the Cyclones now (4-1) ATS in ‘Last Home Games and (4-1) ATS the last five in this series . Iowa State is (9-1) ATS as an underdog of (10.5) to (21) points over the L3 seasons. Missouri owns only one cover last six away from Columbia. Big Game James Patrick's Saturday complimentary selection in College Football is Iowa State Cyclones
Jimmy MooreFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Wisconsin @ Michigan
Pick: Wisconsin -4
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How in the world can anyone even consider betting Michigan in a conference game right now? They are 0-6 ATS this season in Big 10 play and their defense is horrible. Wisconsin is in a position where they need as many style points as possible to stay up in the BCS rankings and they are playing for a Big 10 title, that will have them in no mercy mode like they were last week when they scored over 80 points. Lay this very reasonable number with the much better Badgers.
DUNKEL INDEX
NBA
Dallas at Atlanta
The Mavericks look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite. Dallas is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3)
Game 701-702: Phoenix at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 121.150; Charlotte 117.978
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2); Over
Game 703-704: Orlando at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 122.094; Indiana 122.599
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 211
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 705-706: Dallas at Atlanta (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 121.696; Atlanta 120.191
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3; 193
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3); Under
Game 707-708: Miami at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.227; Memphis 117.468
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-6); Over
Game 709-710: Oklahoma City at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 116.288; Milwaukee 124.301
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 8; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 711-712: Cleveland at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 115.648; San Antonio 124.217
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 713-714: New Jersey at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 111.925; Denver 125.063
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 13; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 10 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-10 1/2); Over
Game 715-716: Utah at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 119.369; Portland 120.987
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3 1/2); Under
Game 717-718: New York at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 111.169; LA Clippers 113.702
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 210
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers; Over
NCAAB
UAB at Arizona State
The Sun Devils look to take advantage of a UAB team that is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games as a road underdog from 7 to 12 1/2 points. Arizona State is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun Devils favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-8).
Game 719-720: Youngstown State at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 48.135; Akron 62.012
Dunkel Line: Akron by 14
Vegas Line: Akron by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-11 1/2)
Game 721-722: Dayton at Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 65.272; Mississippi 69.510
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 4
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+5 1/2)
Game 723-724: Ball State at Butler (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 59.151; Butler 69.005
Dunkel Line: Butler by 10
Vegas Line: Butler by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+13 1/2)
Game 725-726: UAB at Arizona State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 60.150; Arizona State 70.230
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 10
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-8)
Game 727-728: Wisconsin at UNLV (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 68.875; UNLV 74.031
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 5
Vegas Line: UNLV by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-3 1/2)
Game 729-730: Loyola-Chicago at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 56.413; Western Michigan 54.210
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 2
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 3
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+2)
Game 731-732: Towson at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 50.356; Buffalo 59.799
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-6 1/2)
Game 733-734: Drexel at Pennsylvania (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 50.862; Pennsylvania 48.327
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Drexel
Game 735-736: Northern Iowa at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 66.926; WI-Milwaukee 57.965
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 1
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+2)
Game 737-738: NC Wilmington at Ohio State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC Wilmington 47.265; Ohio State 79.246
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 32
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 27
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-27)
Game 739-740: Georgia at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 59.280; St. Louis 56.301
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 3
Vegas Line: Georgia by 1
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-1)
Game 741-742: Central Michigan at South Alabama (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 50.725; South Alabama 49.383
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+3 1/2)
Game 743-744: Colorado at San Francisco (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 58.641; San Francisco 51.422
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 7
Vegas Line: Colorado by 4
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-4)
Game 745-746: San Jose State at Oregon (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 54.611; Oregon 61.371
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 7
Vegas Line: Oregon by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+8 1/2)
Game 747-748: Portland at Idaho (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 60.782; Idaho 58.803
Dunkel Line: Portland by 2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 749-750: Fresno State at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 50.830; UC-Santa Barbara 63.176
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 10
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (-10)
Game 751-752: New Mexico at California (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 69.294; California 67.915
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico
Game 755-756: Rider vs. TCU (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 50.386; TCU 55.920
Dunkel Line: TCU by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: TCU
Game 757-758: Bradley vs. USC (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 55.970; USC 59.842
Dunkel Line: USC by 4
Vegas Line: USC by 2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-2)
Game 759-760: New Mexico State at Massachusetts (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 57.435; Massachusetts 57.308
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+2)
Game 761-762: Middle Tennessee State vs. Samford (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 52.796; Samford 47.043
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 763-764: Campbell at Auburn (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Campbell 51.251; Auburn 60.145
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 765-766: St. Peter's vs. Long Beach State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 50.199; Long Beach State 54.046
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 4
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game Game 767-768: Iowa vs. Alabama (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 56.186; Alabama 66.560
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game Game 769-770: Lamar vs. Portland State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lamar 45.920; Portland State 50.688
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game Game 771-772: UC-Riverside at SMU (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 47.307; SMU 55.457
Dunkel Line: SMU by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game Game 773-774: College of Charleston vs. Illinois-Chicago (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 57.585; Illinois-Chicago 47.491
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game Game 775-776: Rhode Island at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 63.086; Toledo 42.847
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 20
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 777-778: WI-Green Bay vs. San Diego State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 52.002; San Diego State 68.980
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 17
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 13
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-13)
Game 779-780: IUPUI at Miami (OH) (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 55.073; Miami (OH) 59.453
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+5 1/2)
Game 785-786: Siena at Northeastern (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 61.040; Northeastern 62.942
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 2
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+4 1/2)
Game 787-788: Eastern Michigan at Canisius (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 50.874; Canisius 57.925
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 8
Vegas Line: Canisius by 5
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-5)
Game 789-790: Weber State at Utah (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 59.265; Utah 62.188
Dunkel Line: Utah by 3
Vegas Line: Utah by 5
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+5)
Game 791-792: James Madison at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 57.637; The Citadel 50.798
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 7
Vegas Line: James Madison by 4
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (-4)
Game 793-794: Chattanooga at Marshall (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 46.375; Marshall 64.386
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 18
Vegas Line: Marshall by 12
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-12)
Game 795-796: Wake Forest at Elon (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 55.380; Elon 51.083
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 4
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 7
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+7)
Game 797-798: Tennessee State at Air Force (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 49.675; Air Force 50.900
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 1
Vegas Line: Air Force by 3
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+3)
Game 799-800: Western Carolina at UTEP (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 51.510; UTEP 66.577
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 15
Vegas Line: UTEP by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-12 1/2)
NHL
NY Rangers at Minnesota
The Rangers look to bounce back from last night's loss in Colorado and build on their 7-0 record in their last 7 games when playing with 0 days of rest. New York is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+110).
Game 51-52: Los Angeles at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 10.926; Boston 12.137
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140); Under
Game 53-54: Tampa Bay at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.202; Buffalo 10.678
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 55-56: Toronto at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.399; Montreal 11.979
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-165); Under
Game 57-58: Florida at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.120; NY Islanders 9.750
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100); Over
Game 59-60: Philadelphia at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.887; Washington 12.637
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-160); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-160); Under
Game 61-62: Nashville at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.055; Carolina 11.553
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 63-64: New Jersey at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 9.899; St. Louis 10.922
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-165); Over
Game 65-66: NY Rangers at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.294; Minnesota 10.822
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+110); Under
Game 67-68: Colorado at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.792; Dallas 12.631
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-150); Over
Game 69-70: Chicago at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.468; Vancouver 10.391
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+135); Under
Game 71-72: Columbus at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.900; San Jose 12.816
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-210); Under
O.C. Dooley
Georgia Tech -10.5
Even though there is no local television for this early afternoon contest, struggling Georgia Tech still has a shot at becoming “bowl eligible” for a 14th consecutive season which is one of the longest runs in the nation. The Yellow Jackets also can record a WINNING record in “conference” play for a 16th consecutive campaign. Despite recent struggles it must be noted that Georgia Tech was cast as an underdog in each of the last 3 appearances and are now back in the preferred role of a favorite. One actually has to wonder why Georgia Tech is a prohibitive 10’ point choice since they have not had any Atlantic Coast Conference victories of more than 12 points this season when #1 quarterback Josh Nesbitt was healthy. Not only is Nesbitt out for the rest of the season, the Yellow Jackets also are minus a pair of running backs who either were suspended or literally kicked off the team. That in part explains why it is has been a rough season for Georgia Tech who early in the campaign traveled to Kansas and lost to arguably one of the worst teams in the land. Last Saturday in front of their own fans, the Yellow Jackets seemingly hit rock bottom with an ugly 35-10 whipping at the hands of Miami-Florida who was operating with a reserve quarterback. Even Georgia Tech’s basketball team got off to a horrid start last week losing by “double digits” to a Division II opponent. But just last night the Yellow Jackets basketball team got off the deck by destroying an opponent, nearly building a 50-point second half advantage. I am forecasting the same for Georgia Tech’s football team this afternoon as they are riding a current 16-2 series advantage against lowly Duke. In the past five years alone Georgia Tech has walloped the Blue Devils by a combined “201-65” score. One of the keys to this pick is that Georgia Tech has a grand total of 20 SENIORS on their roster and today is their final chance to make an impression in “friendly” territory. Today is a perfect opportunity for Georgia Tech to let out some collective frustration as Duke’s defense is allowing a hefty average of more than 190 “rush” yards per game, which opens the door wide open for today’s host who operates out of the “option” formation. Georgia Tech is on a 13-4 ATS roll when up against poor defensive opponents who on average allow “5.9 or more” yards per play
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Miami Hurricanes +2
With freshman QB Stephen Morris under center for the injured Jacory Harris, Miami has ripped off a pair of wins, including a 35-10 blowout win at Georgia Tech last week. It is worth noting that VA Tech was lucky to beat Georgia Tech at home, winning 28-21 despite being outgained. The last 2 weeks, with Morris at the controls, the Canes have torched their opponents for 1,011 total yards and 61 points. This young Hokies defense has its work cut out for itself trying to slow down this runaway freight train. VA Tech is a solid football team, don't get me wrong, but it has certainly benefited from a weak schedule during its winning streak. Most would agree that Boise State and NC State have been VA Tech's toughest foes. Those 2 teams gashed the Hokie stop unit for 63 points and 890 yards. Miami is rejuvenated, and it will be going full steam ahead after the target on VA Tech's back. The last time VA Tech made the trip South (2008), it was handed a 16-14 defeat. I like Miami in another close game this time around. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Take the Canes.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on Oregon State +3.5
This is a tough spot for USC. The Trojans are playing their 2nd straight road game, and it comes after a big upset win over Arizona. In other words, expect USC to come out flat this evening. After back-to-back losses to UCLA and Washington State, the Beavers will be out for blood. Last week's terrible double-digit loss as a 23.5-point favorite especially has the blood boiling. As if that isn't enough motivation, Oregon State will be out to avenge last season's loss at USC. The Trojans have not fared well in their last 2 trips to Corvallis. They were shocked in both 2006 and 2008. This USC team isn't nearly as good as those teams, and I'm putting it on upset alert again. Oregon State is an impressive 9-1 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.
Dave Price
1 Unit on San Diego State +2.5
After such a promising start, Utah has been crushed each of the last two weeks. San Diego State just played a TCU team that destroyed to Utah to a 5-point game. That confidence-boosting performance will have the home team ready to go as it looks to end a 4-game losing streak to Utah. SDSU is a perfect 4-0 at home this season, where it is scoring 34.7 ppg and holding its opponents to just 12.7 ppg. The Aztecs are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. They get the call against the struggling Utes.
Info Plays
3* on Southern Miss -3.5
Reasons Southern Miss covers:
1.) System Play. We'll Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=34 PPG) after 7 or more games, in conference games. This is a 28-3 ATS System hitting 90.3% since 1992. This system is 2-0 this season.
2.) Southern Miss proved they were for real last week with a 31-21 road win over UCF as 10.5-point underdogs. That was the same UCF team that Houston lost to at home 33-40. USM wants revenge from a 43-50 road loss at Houston last year, and the fact that they are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 home meetings in this series, we like their chances. Bet Southern Miss at home.
Black Widow
1* on Iowa Hawkeyes +3
This is Iowa's season. The Hawkeyes are only a few plays away from being undefeated this year, but the chips just haven't fallen their way in close games like they did last season. Iowa blew a big lead at Arizona to lose by 7, blew a late lead in a 30-31 loss to Wisconsin, and blew a 17-7 lead to lose 17-21 to Northwestern. This team has the talent to play with anyone in the country, and this is easily Ohio State's biggest challenge of the season. Iowa lost to Ohio State 27-24 in overtime last year at the Shoe, so obviously they've had payback on their minds for a year. Iowa is 5-1 at home this season, scoring 34.7 points/game while allowing 9.0 points/game. They have the defense to make Ohio State one-dimensional. The Hawkeyes allow just 87 rushing yards/game and 2.9 yards/carry. The key to stopping the Buckeyes is to make Terrelle Pryor try and beat them through the air, which is precisely what Iowa will be doing today. The Hawkeyes are 28-11 ATS in their last 39 games following a S.U. loss. This team has proven to be very resilient under head coach Kirk Ferentz. Iowa is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Take Iowa and the points.
Scott Spreitzer
Nebraska @ Texas A&M
PICK: Nebraska -2.5
Nebraska's offense was awfully vanilla last weekend, due in part to Taylor Martinez' ankle injury. But according to reports, Martinez is 100% ready to go for this one. The Cornhuskers are obviously at their best when their fleet-footed freshman QB can pull the ball back on zone reads and take off through open lanes. He's truly capable of scoring from anywhere on the field. But his injury may have made this offense even more dangerous. The team now knows it can rely on RBs Roy Helu, Jr., and/or Rex Burkhead. Both have produced big-time games since Martinez first injured his ankle. And while the receiving corps "cost" them against Texas, they're all big-time athletes, who have been on their game ever since the loss. Niles Paul, Mike McNeill, and Brandon Kinnie are all talented receivers and I do believe they'll get seperation against the Aggie secondary. One major problem for A&M in this one is that Nebraska's defense allows just 140.2 yards passing per game. QB Ryan Tannehill has yet to face a defense that utilizes a pro-style attack with future pros all over the secondary. I expect his "Cinderella-like" run to come to an end with a couple of turnovers on Saturday. Nebraska has been terrific on the road under HC Bo Pelini, currently on a 6-0, 100% run as a road favorite of 7 points or less. Look for the Huskers to stay perfect in that category. I'm laying the points with Nebraska.
Tom Freese
Nebraska at Texas A&M
Prediction: Nebraska
Texas A&M is 7-3 straight up this year. The Aggies are 9-19-1 ATS their last 29 games after allowing more than 450 yards in their last game. Texas A&M are 3-8-1 ATS their last 12 games as underdogs. The Aggies are 1-3-1 ATS their last 5 games vs. the Cornhuskers. Nebraska is 9-1 straight up this year. The Cornhuskers are 4-0 straight up on the road this year. Nebraska is 8-2 ATS their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS their last 5 road games.
SPORTS WAGERS
WAKE FOREST +14 over Clemson
2:00 PM EST. This season has not been a particularly strong one for dog players, as underdogs have only won 26% of their games straight up. Today’s matchup between the Tigers and Demon Deacons has implications for the Tigers, as a win today gives them a decent shot at a bowl game if they accept an invitation. Clemson going to a bowl game is what happens when the NCAA schedules 35 of these ridiculous games but that’s a conversation for another time. Make no mistake, the Tigers have been a huge disappointment thus far and if not for running back Andre Ellington they could very well be in the position Wake Forest is. Clemson football is still a recognizable brand but the more season’s they go without doing anything the more that brand loses luster. Wake Forest is 2-8 and hasn’t won a game since September 11th, but unlike Clemson didn’t have any expectations this season. They have also played very well at home this year, losing their three games by a total of 15 points while winning their only two contests at BB&T field. The Tigers haven’t won a road game this season and laying big points on the road with a bad team seldom turns out well. If you’re betting Clemson today your not only hoping that the Tigers win their first road game but also hoping they do it by blowing out an opponent who has performed quite well at home. Take that chance if you must but the right play here is to take the points and let the chips fall where they may. The Demon Deacons probably won’t win this one but they are absolutely the smart bet. Play: #324 Wake Forest +14 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
IOWA +1.34 over Ohio St.
3:30 PM EST. When you wager on certain teams in the pros or college you’re going to pay a premium to do so and that’s never been more evident than it is in this game. The Buckeyes are among the most celebrated teams in college. They have a huge following and an even bigger reputation. They come into this game with a 10-1 record and they’re ranked, falsely we might add, #9 in the country. However, a close look reveals that they’ve played just one real quality team this season, the Badgers and were smoked 31-18. The Buckeyes offensive and defensive rankings are completely skewed because of games vs the likes of Marshall, Ohio, Eastern Michigan, Indiana, Illinois, Purdue and Minnesota. When they beat an average Miami team in week 2 by a score of 36-24, they did it with a lot of luck and Miami turnovers. Miami, just like Wisconsin moved the ball at will against the Buckeyes. So, while OSU was beating up on bad teams the Hawkeyes were winning its fair share of games against quality opposition. Against #5 Michigan St, Iowa destroyed them 37-6. They, too, played Wisconsin and lost also but they lost by a single point, 31-30. They won at Michigan, 38-28 and every other team they played at home with the exception of Wisconsin, they beat badly. This is a Hawkeye team that does not beat itself. They play tremendous defense and they don’t turn the ball over. They come in with a 7-3 record and they’re ranked 20th in the land but last week’s loss to Northwestern caused their stock to plunge. Pay no attention to it, as they had this game on deck and were caught napping. They won’t be napping today and it says here we get the better team at home that’s very battle tested against a Buckeye team that scheduled matches against dregs all season long and will pay the price for doing so today. Go against the sweatered vest and play the Hawkeyes outright. Play: #336 Iowa +1.34 (Risking 2 units).
SPORTS WAGERS
Memphis –2½ over WASHINGTON
John Wall is questionable for tonight’s game but Wall or no Wall this line is completely out of whack. We’ve been saying it since day one of the year – this Memphis team is flying completely under the radar and their 4-8 is frankly unrepresentative of their talent level or the way they’ve been playing. Check out the opponents the Grizzlies have lost to: the Hawks, Lakers, Warriors, Suns, Mavs, Celtics, Magic and Blazers. All those teams are considered playoff teams and while wins against those teams are a must to make the playoffs in the West they’ve helped create a sleeping giant; one that should have no problem against the dregs of the league. The Wizards are coming off a blowout loss to the Celtics that did nothing to help their point differential, one which ranks dead last in the East at -8.7, a frightening statistic that indicates blowout losses are going to be the norm this season. The Wizards allow opponents to shoot a staggering 49% from the field, good for 29th in the league, rank second to last in the East in defense, and are second in the Association in turnovers. The Wiz are one of the most untrustworthy teams in the NBA and when they face opponents with the advantage at every position save for point-guard we’re going to look seriously at fading them. Memphis is on a four game losing streak with a game against the Heat tomorrow, which they will most probably lose. The coaches and players know it’s imperative to get a win tonight to stop the bleeding which means maximum effort all around. Look for the Grizz to bury the Wizards in what shouldn’t be a close affair. Play: Memphis –2½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).