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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, November 21,2009

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Jeff Benton

Maryland at FLORIDA STATE -18

For Saturday’s free play in College Football, I’ll lay the big points with Florida State over dreadful Maryland.

The Seminoles were supposed to have folded last week. Coming off a humbling 40-24 loss at Clemson in which they lost their main offensive weapon – QB Chris Ponder – to a season-ending injury, the ‘Noles were supposed to go to Wake Forest last week and get steamrolled. Instead, Bobby Bowden rallied his troops and Florida State cruised to a 41-28 win as a five-point road underdog (and the game wasn’t even that close, as the Seminoles led 31-7 at one point).

Bowden and his staff had to be encouraged by the play of Ponder’s replacement, E.J. Manuel. The sophomore was a steady 15-for-20 for 220 yards with one TD and one INT, and he was bolstered by a rushing attack that produced 217 yards on the ground (5.0 yards per carry). Today that offense goes up against one of the worst defenses in the country, as Maryland gives up 32.7 points and 399.7 total yards per game, including 37.2 points and 483.5 yards per game on the road.

Granted, the Seminoles’ defense has leaked like a sieve all season, too, but the difference here is the Terps don’t have an offense that can exploit FSU’s biggest weakness – Maryland averages just 21 points and 310 total yards of offense per game, and in its last four games, those numbers have shrunk to 15.5 points and 259.8 total yards per game. Last week, without injured starting QB Chris Turner (who is doubtful for this game), Maryland lost 36-9 at home to Virginia Tech, managing just 236 total yards (104 passing), and the Terps’ one TD came on a fumble recovery in the end zone.

The Terps have lost five in a row, going 0-3-1 ATS in the last four, and they have just two victories this year, over James Madison (in overtime!) and – shockingly – Clemson at home (24-21). That’s it! Also, Florida State went to Maryland last year and hammered the Terps 37-3 as a two-point road favorite, making the Seminoles 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings (all as a favorite). The ‘Noles need this win to become bowl-eligible, and they’ll get it easily against a disinterested and disheartened Maryland squad that can’t wait for its season to end.

5♦ FLORIDA STATE

 
Posted : November 20, 2009 11:19 pm
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Sports Gambling Hotline

Kansas State +16' at NEBRASKA

Friday comp play winner on Toledo, now 6-2 the last 8 days with our comp plays.

Here is the problem we have with laying the points with the Cornhuskers this Saturday night, Nebraska's offense has been held to 20 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games. That makes it kind of hard to imagine them covering this double-digit impost tonight, even at home.

This game is for all of the marbles in the Big 12 North Division, as the winner should move on to the Big 12 Championship Game versus Texas, but with the Huskers just 2-5 against the spread their last 7 home games against the Big 12, they are hardly a shoe-in for the cover.

Kansas State has been able to cover 4 of their last 6 in the underdog role, and they still need to win this game to become bowl-eligible, as 2 of their early season wins came against FCS teams, and they are only allowed to count 1 of those wins for bowl purposes.

With so much riding on the line in this game, we will grab the points and look for a closely contested meeting between these 2 Big 12 rival.

Play on the Wildcats plus the points.

4♦ KANSAS STATE

 
Posted : November 20, 2009 11:20 pm
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Bobby Maxwell

UConn +6 at NOTRE DAME

Improved to 11-5 with my last 16 FREE plays when the Magic went into Boston and pulled off the outright upset on Friday night. I'll deliver a comp winner again today as I grab the points with UConn visiting Notre Dame.

The Huskies have lost three straight and four of five, but it hasn’t stopped this team from cashing at the betting window, going 9-1 in their last 10 games.

Two weeks ago UConn went to Cincinnati hung right with one of the better teams in the land, losing 47-45 but easily cashing as a 16 ½-point underdog. This team has gone into the hostile environments and walked out with the cash in each of their last three games, taking on arguably the best three teams in the Big East, Cincinnati, West Virginia and Pitt, and losing the three games by a total of 9 points, cashing every time.

Meanwhile, Notre Dame has lost two straight and failed to cover in seven of their last nine. Both times they did cover was when they were underdogs – against Pitt and USC.

The Huskies are on ATS runs of 5-0 on the road, 4-0 in non-conference games, 6-1 after a spread-cover and 5-0 as underdogs. The Fighting Irish are on ATS slides of 2-7 overall, 0-7 as a favorite, 2-6 against Big East teams and 0-5 as a home favorite.

These teams haven’t met before, but Notre Dame is in for a long game as UConn controls the clock and the ball. Grab the points and play the Huskies.

3♦ UCONN

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 6:52 am
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Stephen Nover

Nevada at NEW MEXICO STATE +30

New Mexico State has long been a graveyard for football coaches. DeWayne Walker is the latest to accept the challenge.

Walker cleaned house when he took over. The Aggies actually were a .500 team through their first six games. However, they have lost their last four games while being outscored, 148-22.

So why get involved at this point with New Mexico State?

Because Walker has made strides, the Wolf Pack are in a look-ahead flat spot, the Aggies should be motivated and the line is too inflated.

New Mexico State has an athletic and aggressive defense. The Aggies are struggling on offense. In the last two years, though, the Aggies have scored 48 and 38 points against Nevada. The Wolf Pack defense is nothing to brag about. They rank 98th in total defense and are giving up 26.2 points per game.

The Aggies' top three rushers are all are averaging 4.2 yards per carry. Their leading rusher, Seth Smith, injured his shoulder but is expected to play.

Nevada ranks first in the nation in rushing. The Wolf Pack are 6-0 in the Western Athletic Conference. They have a WAC showdown next Friday on the road against Boise State. That's the game Nevada is pointing, too, and thinking about.

Don't look for Nevada coach Chris Ault to roll out his pack of tricks in this matchup. Both teams are likely to stay on the ground, burning a lot of clock. That's always good for a big underdog.

It's the final home game for New Mexico State's 17 seniors. It will be senior day on Saturday in Las Cruces. The Aggies should be motivated.

The Wolf Pack average 39.1 points per game. The Aggies have played their worst ball during their final four games. During this span they are allowing 37 points a game. Even if those numbers hold up, it wouldn't take much point production from New Mexico State to get the cover. Certainly the spot is right for the Aggies.

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 6:53 am
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Frank Jordan

Ohio State vs. Michigan
Play: Michigan +11.5
Ohio State is 9-2 this year but one of those wins did come on the road as they head to rival Michigan. Michigan is 5-6 on the year, but all 5 wins have come at home against just 2 losses and have scored more points than Ohio State. In this one look for a close game coming down to the wire if not pulling it out in the end. Play Michigan

Connecticut vs. Notre Dame
Play: Notre Dame -6

Connecticut is 4-5 on the year, but the biggest loss was of a player. Notre Dame is 6-4 on the year as they play for the last time at home this season. With Lou Holtz of all people going against Notre Dame and the Seniors playing their last game look for Notre Dame to play passionate winning football. Play Notre Dame

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 6:54 am
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Steve Merril

Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee U
Play: Tennessee U -17

Vanderbilt is a terrible offensive team that averages just 16.4 points per game this season and only 4.6 yards per play (versus opponents that allow 24.3 ppg and 5.3 yppl). Vanderbilt has been particularly bad throwing the ball with a passing offense that averages just 47.8% completions and only 5.0 yards per pass this year (versus opponents that allow 55.2% and 6.8 ypp). Vanderbilt will have no success throwing against an excellent Tennessee pass defense that permits just 5.5 yards per pass (versus opponents that average 7.2 ypp). Vanderbilt’s awful passing attack will make it difficult for the Commodores to play from behind and Tennessee has plenty of motivation to blow out their in-state rival tonight. Tennessee head coach Lane Kiffin has also shown a bully tendency versus inferior opponents this season, going 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS) as a favorite of -11 points or more, winning by an average score of 51-19 in those three games.

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 6:54 am
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LT Profits

Mississippi State at Arkansas

The Arkansas Raxorbacks become bowl eligible last week with a 56-20 non-conference blowout over Troy in a potential letdown spot, and they now look to improve on their 2-4 SEC mark vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs.

The Razorbacks are 5-1 at home, where they have posted their two conference wins in blowout fashion, crushing Auburn by 21 points and South Carolina by 17, and we are looking for a similar result here vs. a 4-6 Mississippi State team that is allowing 27.2 points per game vs. FBS opponents.

This is good news for Arkansas quarterback Ryan Mallett,, who is arguable having the best season of any quarterback in the SEC including Tim Tebow this year. Mallet has thrown for 2882 yards on an excellent 9.80 yards per pass attempt, with 23 touchdown passes vs. just four interceptions. The Hogs have scored at least 33 points in all six home games with Mallett under center, including scoring over 40 points in five of them and averaging 50.7 points the last three.

The Bulldogs are averaging 24.5 points per game overall and 17.7 points in their last three games, and they do not figure to have any answers for the Arkansas onslaught. Granted, the Razorbacks defense has struggled against the pass, but Mississippi State is a run oriented team that actually averages significantly more rushing yards per game (208.7) than passing yards (158.8), and their quarterbacks have tossed 16 interceptions against just seven touchdowns.

Thus, MSU is ill equipped to take advantage of the biggest weakness of the Arkansas defense, and with the Hogs respectably allowing 3.8 yards per rush, look for the Razorbacks to make enough defensive stops to record another big win by at least two touchdowns.

Pick: Arkansas -11

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 6:55 am
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BIG AL

Kentucky at Georgia
Prediction: Georgia

Both teams come into this ESPN-televised contest off back-to-back wins. Kentucky dominated Vandy last week, and thrashed Eastern Kentucky two weeks back, while Georgia outgunned Auburn 31-24 last week, and shut Tennessee Tech out 38-0 before that. This is a big game for each of these ball clubs, as a victory would ensure a winning season. But, if my handicapping database is correct, this should be a relative easy win for the Bulldogs. At this time of the season, football teams are playing their final home games of the year, and such games are always emotional, as it will be the last time the seniors play in front of their home crowd. Not surprisingly, such games often confer an advantage to our home clubs, and they often create very strong betting opportunities. Here, we have one such game, as Georgia falls into one of my better "Last Home Game" systems that has a record of 81-41 ATS over the last 30 seasons. Also, road underdogs of less than 27 points off a road win of 14 or less points are a dismal 58-105 ATS on the road vs. a conference foe that's off a conference win. With Kentucky indeed off a win of just 11 points at Vandy last week, we'll fade the Wildcats in their 2nd straight road game. Lay the points with Georgia.

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 6:56 am
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LEE KOSTROSKI

California @ Stanford
PICK: California +8

Talk about over valued. That's what we have here with Stanford. Two weeks ago, before the Cardinal played Oregon, this line would have been nowhere near this. Now because Stanford beat the Ducks, which was a perfect spot for an upset, and a vastly over rated USC team, we're getting great value with the Bears here.

This is a big time rivalry, however we can't imagine that Stanford can be completely focused and play at their top level again this week. College team simply can't play lights out football week in and week out. They have emotional and physical letdowns. This looks like a prime spot for Stanford off their two biggest games of the season, Oregon and USC. Stanford beat Oregon 51-42 which was definitely impressive. However, OU was off a big won vs. USC which many were telling them would decide the Pac 10 Championship. After that win, the Ducks had a letdown. Although they did out gain Stanford 570 to 505. Last Saturday they destroyed a USC team that just doesn't have it this year. Two weeks earlier the Trojans were whipped by 27 points @ Oregon. The following week they barely squeezed by an Arizona State team that really struggles on offense. Despite those offensive problems, the Devils out yarded mighty USC 347 to 258. Thus, while those were two very good wins for a solid Stanford team, they weren't quite as fantastic as they may look in hindsight.

The Bears are off a very solid 24-16 win over an Arizona team that was battling for a potential Pac 10 Title. They have the same 7-3 record as Stanford, yet due to the Cardinals perceived dominating performances the last two weeks they are the big dog here. Cal's defense matches up fairly well vs. Stanford in this one. The Cardinal live and die with the run. While freshman QB Andrew Luck has impressive numbers, everything he does is set up by their ability to run the ball. Cal is 19th nationally at stopping the run. They allow only 3.2 YPC which is very solid. We doubt that Stanford will be able to run at will in this one making things more difficult for QB Luck.

While Stanford's offense is solid, their defense isn't all that stout. They rank 80th in the nation in yardage allowed. They have given up 38 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games. Cal's defense is better giving up just 22.4 PPG on the season. Also, we don't think Stanford can "run away" from Cal here as the Bears can put up points when needed especially against a below average defense. That makes the generous points here very attractive.

To give you a few ideas of the value with Cal here, we look at previous meetings. Last year the Bears were an 8.5 point favorite at home in this rivalry and won 37-16. Two years ago in Stanford, the Bears were 13 point favorites. Now we understand that the Cardinal are vastly improved, however that is quite a swing in numbers. Another example would be Stanford's other Pac 10 home games this year. They were favored by 9.5 vs. Washington, by 5 vs. UCLA, by 7 vs. Arizona State and a 6.5 point dog to Oregon. That gives you an idea of where this line probably should be which is lower than this. It's not, and we take advantage of the value by grabbing Cal as a dog of more than a TD.

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 6:57 am
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Jack Jones

Rutgers vs. Syracuse
Play: Rutgers -8½

This has been a very one-sided series the last few years, with Rutgers going 4-0 S.U. and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with Syracuse. The Scarlet Knights have won by 18, 24, 31 and 22 points in their last 4 meetings, respectively. The Orange have lost six players for the season to injury in the last two games, and top receiver Mike Williams unexpectedly quit the team two weeks ago. Sitting at 3-7, Syracuse has little to play for and is looking ahead to next year. They are playing several players who are only starting because of injuries. Rutgers is on a roll right now with a lot to play for, and they've won 3 straight including their most dominant performance of the season last week, beating up on South Florida 31-0. They played that game last Thursday, so they have had an extra 2 days to get ready for Syracuse which is also a big factor here. Rugers is 6-0 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Scarlet Knights are 8-1 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Like last year, this team is hitting on all cylinders down the stretch. Take Rutgers.

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 6:58 am
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Tom Freese

Nevada vs. New Mexico State
Play: Nevada -30

Nevada is 13-3 ATS their last 16 games as favorites of 10.5 or higher and they are 9-3 ATS their last 12 games after passing for less than 170 yards in their last game. The Wolfpack is 5-2 ATS their last 7 games overall and they are 5-2 ATS after running for 200 or more yards in their last game. New Mexico St is 5-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and they are 2-6 ATS their last 8 games as underdogs. The Aggies are 2-8 ATS their last 10 home games. The Aggies are in the wrong place here as they beat Nevada 48-45 last year. PLAY ON NEVADA -

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 6:59 am
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JR TIPS

OREGON vs. ARIZONA

The Ducks are the league's only remaining team with one loss in conference play, and they would secure a spot in Pasadena by beating the Wildcats tonight and rival their Oregon State next week. Arizona is one of three clubs along with Stanford and Oregon State who could also secure their first trip to the Rose Bowl with wins in their final three games. Arizona will be faced with a tough against the Ducks who are tied for the nation's sixth-best rushing offense even though star sophomore LeGarrette Blount has been suspended for nearly the entire season after throwing a punch following a 19-8 loss at Boise State in the opener. Oregon running back Blount was reinstated before last Saturday's 44-21 win over Arizona State, but he did not play as Oregon continued to rely on freshman LaMichael James, who totaled 150 yards and three touchdowns on 22 carries. James ranks 10th nationally with an Oregon freshman-record 1,193 rushing yards, including more than 100 in five straight games. The Ducks are seeking their first Rose Bowl bid since 1995 as their leader, junior quarterback Jeremiah Masol has run for nine touchdowns and thrown for 11 while leading an offense that averages 37.1 points which is ninth-best nationally. Arizona should provide some resistance with the Pac-10's third-best rush defense, but the Wildcats tumbled from the Top 25 after they were torched for a season-worst 176 yards on the ground at California last Saturday even though the Golden Bears were missing injured star running back Jahvid Best, backup Shane Vereen totaled 159 yards on 30 carries in Cal's 24-16 victory. The Wildcats will have to improve their offense if they hope to keep up with the Ducks as Arizona averaged 37.6 points in its first five Pac-10 games before struggling against Cal, totaling season lows in points and rushing yards as their quarterback Nick Foles attempted 41 passes but threw for just 201 yards which was his third straight game under 250 after he averaged nearly 400 in meetings with Washington and Stanford in October.The Wildcats are 5-0 at home although they lost 34-24 in Tucson on Nov. 15, 2007, but Masoli accounted for 387 yards and five touchdowns in the Ducks' 55-45 home win last year.Arizona is undefeated at home which means they will play their best game today in a matchup that could get them closer the the Rose Bowl. The unfortunate part is that Oregon will score and score and score and to win this game Arizona will have to score and score and score.

TAKE OVER 58.5

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 7:00 am
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Tony Mathews

SMU vs. Marshall
Play: Marshall -3

Despite injuries, Marshall is clearly in a prime situation. The Thundering Herd is on the brink of being bowl eligible at 5-5. On the other hand, the Mustangs have already secured their place in a bowl game after they beat UTEP in a come from behind win. Ending their 24 year old post season dry spell with that game, SMU’ s elation will obviously effect their efforts in this matchup (they are clearly in a letdown spot here).

The Thundering Herd are desperate with a lot still at stake, and this is a team that has allowed an average of just 18 points per game throughout their last 7 games. Marshall is determined to produce in this contest after two devastating defeats against high level conference opponents, so expect this final game at home to be a passionate one.

Over their last six games, the Mustangs have only competed against two defensives that rival that of Marshall; East Carolina and Tulsa at which they put up only 21 and 13 points.

While Marshall has lost running back Darius Marshall and tight end Cody slate after last week’s game, the line up isn’t without flaw. However, these possible losses have already been considered into the line so there’s no reason not to go with the Thundering Herd at home who must win.

Take Marshall -3

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 7:01 am
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Bob Balfe

Syracuse +9 over Rutgers

Ladies and Gentlemen the entire world is on Syracuse today and let me be the first to tell you that it cannot be that easy for Rutgers backers. Why would Vegas make this line so low? Rutgers has played well in the past few weeks, but the Cuse run defense will step up to the challenge today and on turf this will be a tough matchup for Rutgers. Rutgers has played some teams that had a lot of problems in the past few weeks and today a hungry Syracuse team will give them all they can handle. Look for the young Rutgers team to struggle today. Take the points.

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 7:02 am
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DUNKEL INDEX

Oregon at Arizona
The Ducks look to take advantage of an Arizona team that is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games as a home underdog between 3 1/2 and 10 points. Oregon is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-5 1/2)

Game 315-316: Ohio State at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 106.830; Michigan 87.973
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 19; 45
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 11 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-11 1/2); Under

Game 317-318: Northern Illinois at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 81.407; Ohio 81.719
Dunkel Line: Even; 46
Vegas Line: Ohio by 1; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+1); Over

Game 319-320: Virginia at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 82.268; Clemson 103.787
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 21 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Clemson by 20 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-20 1/2); Under

Game 321-322: Wisconsin at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 95.940; Northwestern 87.523
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-7); Over

Game 323-324: Minnesota at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 91.033; Iowa 96.454
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 5 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Iowa by 10; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+10); Over

Game 325-326: Louisville at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 81.879; South Florida 91.685
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 10; 42
Vegas Line: South Florida by 11 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+11 1/2); Under

Game 327-328: Rutgers at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 95.516; Syracuse 82.940
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 12 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 9 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-9 1/2); Under

Game 329-330: Purdue at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 86.084; Indiana 86.601
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 1; 64
Vegas Line: Purdue by 3; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3); Over

Game 331-332: Maryland at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 78.718; Florida State 97.044
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 18 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Florida State by 19 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+19 1/2); Under

Game 333-334: North Carolina at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 96.008; Boston College 96.169
Dunkel Line: Even; 34
Vegas Line: Boston College by 3 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+3 1/2); Under

Game 335-336: North Carolina State at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 80.430; Virginia Tech 103.682
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 23 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 21; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-21); Over

Game 337-338: Iowa State at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 83.208; Missouri 100.212
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 17; 46
Vegas Line: Missouri by 15; 50
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-15); Under

Game 339-340: Vanderbilt at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 82.781; Tennessee 98.163
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 15 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 17; 45
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+17); Under

Game 341-342: Kentucky at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 86.335; Georgia 97.910
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 11 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Georgia by 8; 51
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-8); Under

Game 343-344: Kent State at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 77.118; Temple 90.960
Dunkel Line: Temple by 14; 42
Vegas Line: Temple by 11; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-11); Under

Game 345-346: TCU at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 110.625; Wyoming 76.013
Dunkel Line: TCU by 34 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: TCU by 31; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-31); Over

Game 347-348: Mississippi State at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 90.924; Arkansas 106.318
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 15 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 10 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-10 1/2); Under

Game 349-350: Connecticut at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 92.648; Notre Dame 94.826
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 2; 60
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 6; 57
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+6); Over

Game 351-352: Oregon State at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 102.351; Washington State 68.057
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 34 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 30 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-30 1/2); Over

Game 353-354: Penn State at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 101.701; Michigan State 95.608
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 6; 43
Vegas Line: Penn State by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-3); Under

Game 355-356: Arizona State at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 87.671; UCLA 95.905
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 8 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: UCLA by 4 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-4 1/2); Under

Game 357-358: California at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: California 92.610; Stanford 109.406
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 17; 72
Vegas Line: Stanford by 7; 65
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-7); Over

Game 359-360: LSU at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 100.020; Mississippi 103.912
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 4 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+4 1/2); Under

Game 361-362: Air Force at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 88.688; BYU 99.374
Dunkel Line: BYU by 10 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: BYU by 10; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-10); Under

Game 363-364: UAB at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 76.410; East Carolina 93.289
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 17; 62
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 12; 56
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-12); Over

Game 365-366: Kansas State at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 86.058; Nebraska 104.527
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 18 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 16 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-16 1/2); Over

Game 367-368: Oklahoma at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 110.134; Texas Tech 104.139
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 6; 50
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 6 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+6 1/2); Under

Game 369-370: Baylor at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 83.599; Texas A&M 91.958
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 8 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 7; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-7); Under

Game 371-372: UTEP at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 74.678; Rice 69.501
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 5; 75
Vegas Line: UTEP by 6 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+6 1/2); Over

Game 373-374: San Diego State at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 72.018; Utah 96.737
Dunkel Line: Utah by 24 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Utah by 20; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-20); Over

Game 375-376: Louisiana Tech at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 80.627; Fresno State 93.358
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 12 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 9 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-9 1/2); Under

Game 377-378: Colorado State at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 68.660; New Mexico 71.195
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 2 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 4; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+4); Under

Game 379-380: Oregon at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 111.545; Arizona 100.925
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 10 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Oregon by 5 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-5 1/2); Over

Game 381-382: SMU at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 81.609; Marshall 85.155
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 3 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Marshall by 4; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+4); Over

Game 383-384: Tulsa at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 86.396; Southern Mississippi 87.159
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 1; 51
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 8 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+8 1/2); Under

Game 385-386: Kansas at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 90.158; Texas 121.188
Dunkel Line: Texas by 31; 58
Vegas Line: Texas by 27 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-27 1/2); Over

Game 387-388: Duke at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 84.459; Miami (FL) 101.831
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 17 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 20; 56
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+20); Over

Game 389-390: Memphis at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 70.659; Houston 95.919
Dunkel Line: Houston by 25 1/2; 80
Vegas Line: Houston by 23 1/2; 75 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-23 1/2); Over

Game 391-392: Tulane at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 64.445; Central Florida 90.404
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 26; 55
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 21; 48
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-21); Over

Game 393-394: Nevada at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 96.981; New Mexico State 63.488
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 33 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Nevada by 30; 58
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-30); Over

Game 395-396: Hawaii at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 71.226; San Jose State 77.577
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 6 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 3; 55
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+3); Over

Game 397-398: Florida International at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 70.758; Florida 110.869
Dunkel Line: Florida by 40; 58
Vegas Line: Florida by 45; 54
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+45); Over

Game 399-400: Army at North Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Army 66.889; North Texas 70.904
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 4; 49
Vegas Line: North Texas by 2; 51
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-2); Under

Game 401-402: Florida Atlantic at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 71.747; Troy 90.234
Dunkel Line: Troy by 18 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: Troy by 16; 67
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-16); Over

Game 403-404: UL Monroe at UL Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 75.554; UL Lafayette 73.713
Dunkel Line: UL Monroe by 2; 48
Vegas Line: UL Monroe by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL Lafayette (+3); Under

Game 405-406: Arkansas State at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 70.240; Middle Tennessee State 85.862
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 15 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11; 49
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-11); Under

NBA

Milwaukee at Memphis
The Bucks are coming off a 95-88 win over Charlotte and look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games following an ATS win. Milwaukee is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bucks favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3 1/2)

Game 701-702: New York at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: New York 111.389; New Jersey 114.193
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 3; 192
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 2; 194
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-2); Under

Game 703-704: Philadelphia at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 110.448; Cleveland 123.500
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 13; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 11; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-11); Under

Game 705-706: Atlanta at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 124.023; New Orleans 119.518
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 200 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+5 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Milwaukee at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 119.049; Memphis 116.581
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Washington at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 113.432; San Antonio 121.991
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 195 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 711-712: Sacramento at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 113.625; Houston 125.486
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 12; 201 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 10; 208
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-10); Under

Game 713-714: Detroit at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 117.197; Utah 123.332
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 6; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 715-716: Chicago at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.254; Denver 125.714
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 8 1/2; 205
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+8 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Minnesota at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 105.659; Portland 123.979
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 18 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 14; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-14); Over

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 7:47 am
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