NCAAB
Oklahoma at VCU
The Rams look to bounce back from their loss to Western Michigan and build on their 10-3 ATS record in their last 13 games following a SU loss. VCU is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sooners favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: VCU (+3 1/2)
Game 719-720: Utah State at Northeastern
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 61.407; Northeastern 60.183
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+1 1/2)
Game 721-722: Buffalo at Towson
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 52.857; Towson 56.940
Dunkel Line: Towson by 4
Vegas Line: Towson by 3
Dunkel Pick: Towson (-3)
Game 723-724: Long Beach State at WI-Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 50.772; WI-Green Bay 61.074
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-5 1/2)
Game 725-726: North Texas at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 54.853; Oklahoma State 72.596
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-12)
Game 727-728: South Alabama at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.327; Tulsa 67.511
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 15
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 16
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+16)
Game 729-730: TCU at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 59.745; Nebraska 63.531
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 4
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 7
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+7)
Game 731-732: Marshall at Old Dominion
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 54.673; Old Dominion 71.013
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-10 1/2)
Game 733-734: Delaware at Pennsylvania
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 45.222; Pennsylvania 51.804
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 4
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (-4)
Game 735-736: Oklahoma at VCU
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 69.948; VCU 68.462
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VCU (+3 1/2)
Game 737-738: Georgia at UABDunkel Ratings: Georgia 55.791; UAB 66.401
Dunkel Line: UAB by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 9
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-9)
Game 739-740: Butler at Evansville
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 70.395; Evansville 56.098
Dunkel Line: Butler by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-14 1/2)
Game 741-742: Arkansas State at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 46.289; UTEP 64.048
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: UTEP by 15
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-15)
Game 743-744: Boise State at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 52.997; Wyoming 53.646
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 1
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (+3 1/2)
Game 745-746: Loyola-Marymount at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 46.449; USC 73.200
Dunkel Line: USC by 27
Vegas Line: USC by 13
Dunkel Pick: USC (-13)
Game 747-748: Oregon at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 63.761; Portland 59.330
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland by 2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+2)
Game 749-750: Southern Illinois at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 54.919; UNLV 64.722
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 10
Vegas Line: UNLV by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-8 1/2)
Game 751-752: Houston at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 60.631; Nevada 64.056
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-2)
Game 753-754: Howard vs. Georgia State
Dunkel Ratings: Howard 38.173; Georgia State 48.344
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 755-756: Akron vs. Drake
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 55.859; Drake 52.459
Dunkel Line: Akron by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 757-758: Central Florida vs. Niagara
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 59.296; Niagara 59.426
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 759-760: IUPUI vs. Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 55.429; Auburn 59.839
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 761-762: Austin Peay vs. North Carolina State
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 50.878; North Carolina State 63.752
Dunkel Line: North Carolina State by 13
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 763-764: Robert Morris vs. Alcorn State
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 50.605; Alcorn State 26.803
Dunkel Line: Robert Morris by 24
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 765-766: Detroit vs. Albany
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 47.101; Albany 47.255
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 767-768: Northern Iowa vs. East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 61.747; East Carolina 48.059
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 769-770: Boston College vs. South Dakota State
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 65.445; South Dakota State 52.611
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 13
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 771-772: MD-Eastern Shore vs. Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: MD-Eastern Shore 32.630; Eastern Michigan 50.154
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 773-774: The Citadel vs. Missouri State
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 52.708; Missouri State 54.758
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 775-776: Dickinson State vs. Texas Southern
Dunkel Ratings: Dickinson State 35.092; Texas Southern 42.017
Dunkel Line: Texas Southern by 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 777-778: Northern Colorado vs. Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 55.656; Air Force 52.534
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 3
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 779-780: Nicholls State vs. Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 47.987; Miami (OH) 51.849
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 4
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 781-782: Louisiana Tech at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 56.764; New Mexico 69.328
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 783-784: Rider at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 58.095; Kentucky 70.060
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 12
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 18
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+18)
Game 785-786: Youngstown State at St. Peter's
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 49.566; St. Peter's 57.681
Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 8
Vegas Line: St. Peter's by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (-4 1/2)
Game 787-788: William & Mary at Manhattan
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 53.088; Manhattan 52.842
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 2
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+2)
Game 789-790: Sacramento State at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 36.701; Oregon State 56.316
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 23
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+23)
Game 791-792: Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 38.890; Jacksonville State 46.025
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 7
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (-4)
Game 793-794: Siena at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 64.714; Temple 68.068
Dunkel Line: Temple by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 4
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+4)
Game 795-796: Dartmouth at Furman
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 42.610; Furman 47.713
Dunkel Line: Furman by 5
Vegas Line: Furman by 8
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+8)
Game 797-798: UL Monroe at Morehead State
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 50.198; Morehead State 55.080
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 5
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 7
Dunkel Pick: UL Monroe (+7)
Game 799-800: Southern Mississippi at Montana State
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 56.287; Montana State 53.978
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+3)
Game 801-802: Cal Poly at Portland State
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 45.636; Portland State 58.065
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-11)
Game 803-804: Presbyterian at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Presbyterian 43.702; Illinois 69.993
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 26 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NHL
Washington at Toronto
The Caps look to bounce back from last night's loss to Montreal and take advantage of a Toronto team that is 1-10 in its last 11 games versus teams with a winning record. Washington is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-130)
Game 51-52: Calgary at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.520; Los Angeles 11.491
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+105); Over
Game 53-54: Detroit at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.756; Montreal 11.655
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Over
Game 55-56: Pittsburgh at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.502; Atlanta 11.263
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-120); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Under
Game 57-58: Florida at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 12.503; NY Rangers 11.867
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+180); Under
Game 59-60: Washington at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.748; Toronto 11.033
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-130); Under
Game 61-62: Tampa Bay at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.178; Carolina 11.289
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+115); Over
Game 63-64: Buffalo at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.838; Ottawa 11.465
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+120); Over
Game 65-66: Philadelphia at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.939; Phoenix 11.881
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125); Over
Game 67-68: NY Islanders at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.442; St. Louis 11.133
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+160); Over
Game 69-70: New Jersey at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.319; Dallas 12.202
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 71-72: Columbus at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.130; Nashville 12.417
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-130); Over
Game 73-74: Chicago at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.501; Edmonton 12.074
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-135); Under
Game 75-76: San Jose at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.600; Anaheim 11.776
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-130); Under
Brian Graves
North Carolina vs. Boston College
Pick: Boston College -3.5
A few weeks back it looked like Carolina had blown a promising season, but they have since rebounded with conference wins over Virginia Tech, Duke and Miami. BC continues a solid run over the past decade and this year they have been great at home. The Eagles are 6-0 at home and 4-1 ATS this year and I don't expect any of that to change today. Both teams have better defenses than offenses, but the difference today with be the Eagles ability to run the ball with Montel Harris and their ability to totall stifle the Tar Heel ground game. BC will make the Heels one dimensional and force Tyler Yates to beat them and he won't. BC creates turnovers that lead to easy scores as they win and complete very slim ACC Championship hopes alive. Take the Eagles to win 31-13
Tony Weston
It might’ve been a little too close for comfort there for awhile, but Boise State gets its act together and destroys poor Utah State, delivering a solid Comp Play winner for us.
I’m handing you another easy winner today as I’m taking Utah at home against visiting San Diego State.
Coming into this game the Aztecs have failed to cover in 3 straight games and have covered in just 3 of their 10 games altogether this season.
Now they have to deal with a Utah team that has owned San Diego State in recent memory, going 5-1 SU and ATS their last 6 meetings.
During that 6-game run, the Utes have ripped off 3 consecutive games SU and ATS against SDSU, beating them by an average of 32 points per game, including last year’s 63-14 beat down as a 28-point favorite.
Things won’t be getting any better for the Aztecs as Utah will roll to an easy victory.
3♦ UTAH
Steve Duemig
For today's comp selection I'm focusing on the Northern Illinois-Ohio match up.
Interesting line movement in this game and it is the one we always look for. The "reverse line movement" That's where public money is hard on one side yet the line draws down to the dog and Ohio opened a 1 point underdog here. That means that there is pretty substantial wiseguy money on the other side of the public. N. ILL has a much bigger fish to fry in the week to come and I wouldn't be surprised to see some players rested in this one for the Huskies. Ohio is also quite tough at home.
1♦ OHIO
GoodFella
Michigan +12.5 vs Ohio St.
I just see this as too many points in this spot for Rich Rodriguez' ballclub. Clearly Ohio St. has a much better defense and are the better team. However, this is the kind of rival game you can throw all the stats out the window to some degree. You will see Michigans' absolute MAXIMUM effort game on Saturday morning, as this is their Game of the Year. Ohio St. already knows they will be playing in the Rose Bowl, and they have less motivation to put up a Maximium effort game then Michigan does. I do think Ohio St. will win this game, but +12.5 AT HOME in this huge rivalry looks like some solid value to me, and I will grab the points with Michigan in this spot on Saturday.
EZWINNERS
Memphis Tigers @ Houston Cougars
Play: Houston Cougars -23.5
The Cougars are coming off of an upset loss last week at Central Florida and they will take out their frustrations on a Memphis Tigers team that has covered the spread in only one game this season. Houston's quarterback Case Keenum has thrown for 4194 yards so far this season and he should have a huge game against Memphis. The Cougars sport the #1 scoring offense in the nation while the Tigers roll into H-Town with the #104 scoring defense in the FBS. This one will get very ugly, lay the points with the Cougs.
Dominic Fazzini
Kansas State +16' at NEBRASKA
I nailed my complimentary selection for the 10th time in 12 days Friday, rolling with Boise State's rout of Utah State, and I'm going to bring in another easy winner today, too.
There's no way Nebraska should be giving this many points to a decent Kansas State team. Yes, the Cornhuskers are only allowing 11 points per game, but they've scored more than 20 points just once in their last five games, and struggled against average defenses such as Texas Tech, Iowa State and Baylor.
The Wildcats need this game badly. Their season is dependent on it. If Kansas State wins, it pulls into a tie with the Huskers atop the Big 12 North, winning the title by tiebreaker with its victory today, and makes the team bowl eligible. If the Wildcats lose, their season is over, regardless of what Nebraska does next week against Colorado. So this game means everything to Kansas State.
Nebraska has never covered as a double-digit Big 12 favorite under coach Bo Pelini, and it is 2-7 ATS in its last nine final home games of the season.
Kansas State is 3-1 ATS in its last four trips to Lincoln, and it has covered six straight games against the Huskers under coach Bill Snyder. The Wildcats also are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog, 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
With so much on the line for Kansas State, I have to believe it will at least be able to stay within two touchdowns of Nebraska. Take the Wildcats to cover the points today.
4♦ KANSAS STATE
Chris Jordan
Vanderbilt at TENNESSEE -17
Rolling with the Volunteers in a blowout win.
Remember when bowl bids were once a sure thing in Knoxville? Guy named Philip Fulmer was roaming the sidelines. And from 1981-2004, Tennessee went bowling 23 of 24 years. The school's 47 total appearances rank third behind Alabama and Texas.
So after missing in 2005 and 2008, holiday trips aren't being taken for granted. Thus, Lane Kiffin's sixth win today would clinch bowl-berth No. 48.
This offense is plenty capable too. If ever there were a night Tennessee's offense can explode and exploit - this is it. Vanderbilt's defense ranks last in the SEC and is 107th in the nation against the run.
Run the ball right, run the ball left, go up the gut - repeat. Long drives will drain the clock and keep Vandy's offense off the field, and with the production the Vols are capable of, three-and-outs should not be an issue in this game.
On the other side of the ball, this shouldn't be an issue. In seven SEC games, the Commodores have tallied a combined 55 points, an average of 7.85. They have scored four offensive touchdowns in SEC play. Four; in seven games.
Blowout!
3♦ TENNESSEE
Drew Gordon
Army +2 at NORTH TEXAS
7-3 roll L10 Free Plays! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Army/North Texas match up.
The reason this game stands out to me is I remember the last time the Mean Green faced the triple option. It was back in 2007, when they North Texas lost a barn-burner to Navy 74-62, as the Midshipman amassed a mind-boggling 572 rushing yards, on TEN yards per carry! Now, I'm not saying the Knights will run for that much, but overall the idea is the same... North Texas simply won't be able stop Army's rushing attack.
The Mean Green already allow 38 ppg on 419 total yards of offense at home this season, including 184 rushing yards/game on 4.4 yards/carry! They've been even worse over their last 3 games, allowing a whopping 209 yards/game on 5.6 yards/carry! With Army steamrolling opponents for an average of 213 rushing yards/game, this is a HUGE mistmatch Saturday afternoon!
On the flip side, Army's defense has been relatively stout all season, allowing 23 ppg on 296 total yards! What's more is that defense is complemented by an offense that keeps the opposition off the field, averaging 32+ minutes of time of possesion/game (7th in the nation). That combo of a good defense and ball control offense should be more than enough against a good, but not great North Texas offense.
Bottom line, do not underestimate North Texas' futility against the triple option in this spot. The Mean Green may have a superior offense, but if that offense can't get on the field, what good is it?! Also, Army QB Steelman is coming off a huge passing game (by Army's standards), tossing for 174 yards completing 78% of his passes for 1 TD and no picks, as VMI loaded the box and he made them pay BIG! If he can continue to throw the ball efficiently, then Army wins this game with ease. Either way, we'll take the points and watch as the Black Knights run roughshod over the Mean Green in this one!
Take Army plus the points over North Texas in this college football match up.
2♦ ARMY
Charlie Scott
Mississippi St vs. Arkansas
Play: Under 58.5
I feel this total is inflated by Arkansas playing non conference cupcakes Eastern Michigan and Troy the last 3 weeks and running up the score. If you kick out non conference games and average each teams last 4 SEC games the totals becomes 51. In Arkansas last 5 SEC games Under 60 is 4-1 Under. Miss st is 4-1 Under their last 5 SEC games. Miss st struggles to pass the ball and wants to run the ball and the clock and definitely wants to stay away from playing a shootout with Arkansas.
ROCKETMAN
LSU @ Mississippi
Play: Mississippi -4.5
LSU is 1-8 ATS last 3 years in weeks 10 to 13. LSU is 5-15 ATS last 3 years against conference opponents. LSU is 1-9 ATS in November the past 3 years. Mississippi is 6-0 ATS last 3 years in weeks 10 to 13. Mississippi is 7-0 ATS last 3 years when playing in November. Mississippi is scoring 35.5 points per game at home this year. Mississippi is allowing only 15.9 points per game overall and 14.8 points per game at home this season. Tigers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Tigers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Tigers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games. Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win. Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Tigers are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games in November. Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Rebels are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Rebels are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games in November. Rebels are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Rebels are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf. Rebels are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Rebels are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. Rebels are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. Rebels are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Rebels are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Rebels are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win. Rebels are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Rebels are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Mississippi today!
Randall the Handle
Detroit -½ +1.28 over MONTREAL
There’s only one thing that’s going to prevent us from cashing this ticket and his name is Carey Price. He’s going to have to be brilliant tonight if the Habs have any chance at all. Montreal is coming off win last night in Washington in where they mustered just 22 shots on net. It’s the third time in four games that Montreal has been held to 22 shots or less. They had 20 shots against both Nashville and Phoenix and its .500 record is the most deceiving mark in the league. The Canadiens have goaltending and they’re a true testament to how goaltending can win hockey games. Without it, Montreal might have two wins on the year. To make matters worse, the Habs are without Brian Gionta and now Scott Gomez could be out as well. That leaves one goal scorer (Cammalleri) to go along with a bad defense. Oh, two side notes to this game is that the last time the Red Wings were featured on CBC’s Hockey Night in Canada just a few weeks ago they were embarrassed in Toronto by a score of 5-1 and the other note is that the Canadiens are 1-7 in its last eight vs the Western Conference. How are the Red Wings going to lose to this vastly inferior team? Play: Detroit -½ +1.28 (Risking 2.5 units).
Washington -½ +1.41 over TORONTO
After blowing a 3-0 first period lead and a 5-4 lead with 29 seconds left to the dreadful Canes, the Leafs are out of excuses. The plane ride home had to be one of the worst ever and now this team has hit rock bottom. Moral is low, confidence is lower and the goaltending issues are not even close to being over. Enter the Capitals off a 3-2 loss at home last night to the Habs. Ouch. Now this juggernaut of a team will get a chance to play on Hockey Night in Canada against this grease-fire and it’s hard to imagine this one turning out any other way. Play: Washington -½ +1.41 (Risking 2 units).
John Ryan
TCU vs. Nebraska
Play: Nebraska -260
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Nebraska as they face TCU set to start at 4:00 EST. AiS shows a 72% probability that Nebraska will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone an amazing 267-62 for 81% winners on the MONEY LINE making a whopping 109.8 units in profits since 1997. Laying -250 in this game is a viable option based on the AiS summary grading and it underscores the ATS play as well. AiS shows a 90% probability that TCU will shoot between 34 and 39% from the field. Note that TCU is just 1-12 against the money line (-12.7 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Nebraska.