Tony Karpinski
Indiana vs. Purdue
Play: Over 53.5
This is a battle of the hopeless, where both teams are on dreadful losing streaks. Indiana losing their last 5 games, by an average of 24 points, including the bizarre beating Wisconsin put on them. Purdue, also losers of 5 in a row, with losses to Ohio State, 49-0 and Illinois, 44-10. Something has got to give, this is a break game for both teams. Neither team plays much defense, so I expect a lot of points in this game here.
Rob Vinciletti
Florida vs. Florida State
Play: Florida +2
Florida qualifies in a plethora of solid angles here today. They are 13-0 in non conference games and 11-1 in November. They also have a solid defensive edge. Coach Meyer is 39-3 in non conference games including 15-1 ats off a win. The Gators are 6-1 as a dog of 7 or less. Florida St is just 2-9 ats has a home favorite of 7 or less and have failed to cover 7 of 8 times after playing Maryland. In last home games they are just 2-5 ats of late. Look for Florida to win here as a small dog today.
Scott Spreitzer
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma St.
PICK: Oklahoma St. -2.5
The Cowboys are looking to snap a seven game series losing streak when OU visits Stillwater. Both teams still have a shot at representing the Big-12 South in the conference championship game. OSU's offense is about as good as it gets. And while they can beat anyone through the air with maybe the best receiver in college football, the Cowboys may also be inclined to spend some time running right at the vulnerable Sooner run defense. The OU defense allows 155 yrpg on 4.3 yards per pop. RB Kendall Hunter could very well take this game over if OU focuses on QB Brandon Weeden and WR Justin Blackmon. Hunter has rushed for more than 1,400 yards this season with 16 TDs. And we saw this offense hang 41 points in a 10 point loss to Nebraska. The Cornhuskers, like the Sooners, are one of the few college football teams to run a pro-style attacking defense. And obviously, the Cowboys didn't have much trouble moving the football and reaching paydirt. Oklahoma has their own skilled "triplets" on offense in QB Landry Jones, RB DeMarco Murray, and WR Ryan Broyles, but Oklahoma State's version lead the conference in passing, rushing, and receiving. The Sooners did win a road game last week in Waco, but they were 1-2 in their previous three road games, winning by just two points at Cincinnati, while losing at Missouri and Texas A&M. None of the offenses they have faced offer as many sets and weapons as Oklahoma State's. The Cowboys have never beaten the Sooners under the direction of HC Mike Gundy, but I believe they'll snap that skid right here. As far as the "techs" are concerned, in conference matchups, you're 53-19 ATS playing against road dogs in a game involving two teams that average at least 34 ppg after seven or more games. We'll back the Cowboys on Saturday.
Sports Capping Pros
Michigan +16.5
By far the biggest game of the year for Michigan and they have absolutely NOTHING to lose, while Ohio State is playing for a share of the Big 10 title. Having nothing to lose makes Michigan a very dangerous team. I know their defense is going to struggle but I could see this being a shootout and Robinson keeping them in the game with a chance to win it in the end! I will take the points in this epic rivalry game!
Arkansas -3.5
Arkansas is 11-1 SU in their last 12 home games and playing some great football as of late winning 5 in a row. I am not sold on LSU as they have struggled against some pretty inferior opponents, like last week against Mississippi. Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against LSU. QB Ryan Mallet will have some fun with the LSU secondary and will put the Razorbacks on top early which will make LSU's shaky QB, Jordan Jefferson have to throw the ball which will lead to mistakes. Arkansas wins by 7+ today at home!
Washington +7
The Magic are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and coming off a home win and flying up to Washington will leave this team tired and thinking about other things instead of the up and coming Washington Wizards. John Wall is going to come out with a lot of energy and they will give the Magic a rude awakening at home and hang on and win this game SU in my opinion! Take the points to be safe as this game will be a close one!
Minnesota -2.5
After a pretty hot start, the Golden State Warriors have come back to reality and the fact that they can't get stops and shoot consistently has caught up to them. On the other hand, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been competing real well lately and I think are becoming a pretty respectable team in the NBA, stared by Kevin Love. The Warriors are also coming off a back to back in Memphis last night and they will find it hard to play 2 in a row. TWolves win big tonight at home!
Dallas -2.5
This Miami Heat are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games and played a tough game against the 76ers at home. The Mavericks are playing great basketball coming off a win in San Antonio so it is a much shorter flight for them than it is the Heat. The Heat are also just 2-4 SU on the road this season and I think they get dominated tonight by Dirk and Co at home in Dallas!
St. Louis Blues -160
The St. Louis Blues are 8-0-1 SU at home this season and the home team is 37-15-5 in the last 57 meetings between these two teams! The Stars are just 4-5 on the road this season and coming off an emotional win against the Blues yesterday at home and the Blues will be looking for blood tonight in front of their home crowd and get the W!
Edmonton Oilers +140
The San Jose Sharks got demolished last night and they are just 3-3-2 on the road this season. The Sharks have to continue their road trip tonight in Edmonton and the Oilers have been at home waiting for the Sharks to come to town. I think that the Sharks get dominated again tonight by the Oilers and this is just great value tonight for the Oilers at home!
Bobby Maxwell
Florida at FLORIDA STATE (-2)
Florida State has the better team coming into this one, it’s just a matter of if they can keep it together for the whole game and beat the Gators for the first time since 2003. Florida comes in unranked and headed to a mediocre team for the first time in several years while the Seminoles still have a small shot at the ACC championship game if they can get Maryland to upset North Carolina State.
Third-year starter Christian Ponder leads the offense for Florida State, winners of two in a row after that ugly two-game losing streak. The Seminoles went to Maryland last week and beat the Terps 30-16 as four-point favorites. They also beat Miami 45-17 as 5 ½-point dogs and can win the mythical state championship with a victory over the Gators.
Three of Florida’s four losses have come at home, including a blowout loss to South Carolina two weeks ago, falling 36-14 as 6 1/2-point favorites. The Gators are getting spotty QB play from John Brantley who has thrown eight TDs and eight INTs this season. Florida is on ATS skids of 0-4 against winning teams and 2-5 against the Seminoles.
In this rivalry, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the favorite is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 clashes. Florida State is on ATS surges of 8-3 as a favorite of up to three points and 4-1 as a home chalk of up to three points.
Florida State will win this one by a touchdown. Play the Seminoles.
4♦ FLORIDA STATE
Joel Tyson
Northwestern at WISCONSIN (-23)
Free play on Saturday and I say to lay it all day long with the Wisconsin Badgers.
The Madison crew are just kicking ass and taking names these days, as the Badgers come into this regular season finale riding a 6 game win streak, and a 5 game cover streak.
Northwestern just got run over by Illinois at Wrigley Field last Saturday, surrendering over 500 yards on the ground, and 5 TD's as well. Things could definitely get ugly at Camp Randall this afternoon.
The Wildcats are just 1-5 against the spread away from home this year, and have failed their last 3 on the conference road.
Home team in the series has covered the last 5 series meetings, and with the Badgers looking to impress the pollsters, expect no let up here.
Wiscy rolls!
4♦ WISCONSIN
Karl Garrett
Iowa (-15') at MINNESOTA
For your comp play winner, take Iowa to take out some of their frustrations with a pair of losses the last 2 weeks on a Minnesota team they have blanked the last 2 seasons.
Minnesota has responded to interim coach Jeff Horton, covering their last pair, but that won't mask the fact the Gophers bring to pressure on the QB, which means Ricky Stanzi will have a field day in this one.
The Hawkeyes respond well after losing a game, as evidenced by their 9-1-1 spread mark their last 11 after a straight up loss.
After their heartbreaking loss to Ohio State last week at home, look for the Hawkeyes to circle the wagons and put a pasting on the Golden Gophers to end the regular season on an uptick.
4♦ IOWA
Bobby Maxwell
LSU at ARKANSAS (-3')
For my comp winner, while this game isn’t on Arkansas’ true home field in Fayetteville, it is in Little Rock, don’t expect that to slow down the Razorbacks’ offense any. I expect them to light up the scoreboard today and beat the Tigers by 10 in the regular-season finale.
LSU has relied on its defense this season, holding teams to just 286.9 yards per game this season, but it is in for a big challenge facing the Arkansas offense. The Razorbacks are on the verge of one of their best season ever and with QB Ryan Mallett at the helm, they are going to be tough to stop.
Mallett averaged 297.5 yards passing per game and last week he threw for 305 and three TDs in a 38-31 win over Mississippi State. The Razorbacks are found some success in the running game as RB Knile Davis had a career-high 187 yards against Mississippi State last week. If they can mix up the offense and keep LSU off-balanced, this game will turn out to be easy.
LSU is on ATS slides of 2-5 after a straight-up win and 3-11 in November games, while Arkansas is on positive ATS streaks of 17-5 in November, 4-0 at home, 4-0 in SEC play and 12-2 after a straight-up win. The Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with LSU, but each of these games have been extremely close. The last five games have been decided by five points or less and two have gone to OT.
That won’t happen here. Arkansas has the offense to win this thing by 10 at least. Play the Razorbacks.
2♦ ARKANSAS
Chuck O'Brien
TCU (-44) at NEW MEXICO
For Saturday’s complimentary selection in college football, take TCU over New Mexico.
Lot of points to be giving away here to be sure, but that’s as it should be, because I have TCU rated as my #1 team in the nation and I have New Mexico rated #120 – or dead last in the nation. And even though this game is being played in Albuquerque, it’s not going to make a bit of difference because TCU can win this game by as big a margin as it wants.
Well, considering the Horned Frogs are in the business of not just winning games but impressing pollsters – and because TCU is going to take a huge strength-of-schedule hit with this game against a 1-10 team – they can’t show any mercy against the Lobos today.
Clearly, because TCU is 11-0 and New Mexico is 1-10, I don’t need to waste time going over the statistics for these two teams. Instead, just know this: Prior to getting a scare against San Diego State in its most recent game two weeks ago (40-35 win), TCU had won its first seven Mountain West Conference games by scores of 27-0, 45-0, 31-3, 38-7, 48-6 and 47-7 – the latter two on the road at UNLV and Utah. The same UNLV and Utah that beat New Mexico in consecutive weeks by scores of 45-10 and 56-14, respectively.
Those two losses are among five that the Lobos have dropped by at least 30 points, including last week’s 40-7 setback at BYU.
TCU has won five straight against New Mexico (4-1 ATS), winning the last three by scores of 51-10, 26-3 and 37-0. Obviously, the Frogs will need to do better than that to cover this big pointspread here, but again, given their situation with the BCS standings, it would behoove TCU to keep its foot on the gas from start to finish. If they do, a 65-0 final is hardly out of the realm of possibility.
4♦ TCU
Karl Garrett
Arkansas State at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (-5)
Mario Cristobal's Golden Panthers can taste the New Orleans Bowl invite, and I don't expect the struggling Red Wolves to cool off the surging Panthers.
Arkansas State has dropped their last pair both straight up and against the spread, while Florida International has won 3 in a row, and 5 of their last 6 straight up.
Last year the Red Wolves took the Panthers to the wood shed, as they won a 27-10 decision as the double-digit favorite in Jonesboro. A little payback is in order for the Golden Panthers who did upset the Red Wolves the last time they paid a visit to Miami.
Florida International is rolling strong right now, and the G-Man will not go against them in this big home game.
Lay the points with the Panthers.
1♦ FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Chuck O'Brien
Chicago at SACRAMENTO
For Saturday’s complimentary selection in the NBA, take the slumping Kings to get it done at home over the road-weary Bulls.
More than anything, this is a play against Chicago, which is coming off last night’s 98-97 loss at Denver. Playing back-to-back nights when the first game is against Carmelo Anthony and Co. at altitude is tough enough on its own, but tonight marks the Bulls’ seventh game on an 11-day Western Conference road trip that ends tonight. Not only that, but Chicago – which has won six of its last nine overall – is playing its fourth road game since Tuesday.
And it’s not like the Bulls have been facing a bunch of cupcakes on this road trip – they’ve played the Rockets, Spurs, Mavs, Lakers, Suns and Nuggets! Obviously, the Kings – who have lost nine of their last 10 – represent the weakest opponent Chicago will face on this journey. Still, the opponent really doesn’t matter so much as the situation. Besides, Sacramento, which was off Saturday, has a young, energetic roster that figures to push the pace and try to tire the Bulls out.
Last year, Chicago started a six-game Western Conference road trip in Sacramento and rolled 101-87 as a 2½-point favorite. But then the Bulls went on to lose their next five in a row. Also, the Kings got revenge a month later with a 102-98 win in the Windy City as a 4½-point underdog to improve to 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Bottom line here, I think Chicago leads this game early, maybe even into the second half. But come the fourth quarter, this grueling road trip is going to take its toll on the Bulls and theyr’e going to be wiped out, and Sacramento will close strong and win by at least five points.
4♦ SACRAMENTO
Jimmy Moore
North Carolina State @ Maryland
Pick: North Carolina State -1.5
The Wolfpack has been very strong this season ATS and they have a chance to get into the ACC Championship game so they will be fully focused in this one. Maryland is eliminated from the Championship game and they have only covered 1 of their last 5 games at home against a team with a winning record.
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Arkansas Razorbacks -3
Arkansas enters this contest smoking hot, having won 5 in a row SU and ATS. Motivated by last season's tough 3-point loss at LSU, I expect the Razorbacks to keep on rolling.
LSU is a good football team, but it is limited offensively, and it has certainly benefited from a home-heavy schedule. This will only be LSU's fourth true road game of the season. The Tigers have played 2 other road games in league play. They were lucky to win at Florida against the mediocre Gators and they lost at Auburn.
It has not been wise to go against the Hogs when they are streaking. In fact, Arkansas is a perfect 9-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Arkansas has typically played its best ball late in the season. As a result, the Razors are 7-0 ATS in November games over the last 2 years. Consider that the Tigers are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
Expect Arkansas to pay LSU back for last season's narrow defeat on senior day. Lay the points.
WiseGuy Edge Play
No. 25 Mississippi State (7-4) has jumped into the national rankings for the first time since 2001, had a six-game winning streak for the first time since 1999 and is bowl eligible for only the second time in a decade. The Bulldogs have had issues the past couple weeks, losing two straight games, including last weekend's emotional 38-31 double overtime loss to then-No. 13 Arkansas. Now the Bulldogs must travel to face an Ole Miss team that will certainly be ready for revenge after last season's humbling loss. Ole Miss (4-7) has suffered through a miserable season -- littered with embarrassing losses to Jacksonville State and Vanderbilt -- and won't make a bowl game for the first time in Houston Nutt's three-year tenure. The rivalry is traditionally dominated by the home team, which has won 10 of the last 11 Egg Bowls.* Mississippi State is struggling on defense and has given up 68 points over the past two games. The Rebels have been on a tear on the ground, running for 12 scores in the last four games with 236 yards coming last week against the fantastic LSU run defense. Mississippi State is 104th nationally in passing and mainly relies on running the ball but could have trouble against a Rebel defense that has only allowed 200 rushing yards three times this season. The Rebels are looking for revenge after last year's thrashing in Starkville and will throw everything they have at the Bulldogs.* Look for Ole Miss to shred the Bulldogs defense and pull off the win.
Projected Score** Mississippi State 13* Ole Miss 28
Florida +2
Toss out the records when Florida and Florida State get together. Regardless of what’s happened leading up to this point, it’s always a big deal when these two get together at the end of the season. This marks the 55th meeting between the schools, the last six won by the Gators. Urban Meyer has yet to lose to the Seminoles, winning the last five games with relative ease. It’s been an unusually rough year at Florida, which lost its bid for the SEC East two weeks ago and has uncharacteristically dropped three games in the Swamp. Florida State, on the other hand, is still in the running for the ACC title race. Naturally, this game will have no bearing on who plays Virginia Tech in a week, but there will be a fair amount of scoreboard watching, with first place NC State kicking off at the same time. Quarterback Christian Ponder and the passing game have not impressed and the line has done a poor job of protecting him. It won’t get any easier against a secondary that’s picked off 17 passes and is led by hard-hitting S Ahmad Black and lockdown CB Janoris *******. The key for Florida will be to generate more outside pressure, primarily from senior ends Justin Trattou and Duke Lemmens. With the Seminole pass defense vulnerable for a second straight year, there could be openings for John Brantley to find WR Deonte Thompson downfield. The Gators are still reeling after getting thumped at home to South Carolina and are eager to finish the season off the right way.*The Gators defense is only allowing 20 points per game and will shut down the Seminoles staggering offense.* The Gators continue their dominance over their instate rival with a big win.
Projected Score** Florida 17* Florida State 10
Kansas State -15
This was supposed to be the fail-safe for the Kansas State season with the potential to need this game for bowl eligibility. Instead, the Wildcats pulled off a stunning win over a bad Texas team a few weeks ago and it’ll be bowling, and now it’s record-padding time. The Wildcats have struggled down the stretch as it can’t find a consistent offensive identity losing four of its last five games, and when all is said and done, the only win this season over a bowl bound team might by the 17-13 victory over UCF. Even so, this has to be seen as a successful season for a KSU team that has found ways to win against bad teams, and North Texas is a bad team. The Mean Green has perked up since firing head coach Todd Dodge with Mike Canales leading the way to two wins in the last four games and with stronger play from the offense.* If last week was any indication, the Kansas State offense (32 PPG) is going to have a whole bunch of fun. The North Texas defense has been solid at times this season, but ULM went wild as Kolton Browning threw for 247 yards and five touchdowns and the ground game rumbled for 233 yards and two scores. The Mean Green defensive front isn’t going to take advantage of the porous KSU offensive line and it isn’t going to be able to provide the pressure needed to stop Kansas State running game averaging 190 yards per game. *The Wildcats simply have too much talent for a bottom tier sun belt team and will finish the season off with a big win.
Projected Score** Kansas State 45* North Texas 14
Georgia -13
Not since 1996 have Georgia and Georgia Tech met with a combined record of .500 or worse. Still, it’s Georgia and Georgia Tech, so neither program will have any problem getting up for this one. The Bulldogs, who’ve won 8-of-9 in this series under Mark Richt, have the most at stake. The only thing that could make this calamitous season in Athens even worse would be missing the postseason for the first time in 14 years, which will happen if the Dogs don’t win Saturday night. Georgia Tech is bowl eligible, but barely, needing last weekend’s 30-20 defeat of Duke to become eligible. It’s been a far cry from a year ago for Tech, which won the 2009 ACC title, but has just a single win over a quality opponent this season. The Yellow Jackets lost starting quarterback Josh Nesbitt to injury and are struggling passing the ball (86 YPG, 119th nationally). Ever since WR A.J. Green returned from a suspension, the Bulldogs have been the next best thing to Auburn and Arkansas in an SEC offense averaging 33 points per game. *QB Aaron Murray is banged up pretty good, but he expects to play and build on strong debut, throwing three touchdown passes in each of the last three games. Out of the backfield, Washaun Ealey and Caleb King have been quiet, but that’s had more to do with a lack of reps than anything else. Well-rested, both will put a dent in a Georgia Tech defense that’s soft on the interior and giving up 25 points per game. Georgia will be at full speed after a bye week and should dominate the line of scrimmage.*Georgia knocks off their instate rival and wins big. *
Projected Score** Georgia Tech 7* Georgia 38 *
Vanderbilt -5.5
Wake Forest is in a bad place these days, sinking to a low point of the Jim Grobe era. After showing glimpses in the first two games, the Demon Deacons have lost their last nine, failing to make much progress along the way. The Demon Deacons are coming off a 10-30 loss at Clemson and have not been able to get anything going offensively.* The passing game is especially bad only averaging 150 yards per game. Vanderbilt’s winless streak is not quite as long, though dropping six in-a-row is hardly a moral victory. The Commodores did beat Ole Miss on the road back on Sept. 18, which is sure to stand out as the high point of Robbie Caldwell’s first season as the head coach. *The best unit in Nashville on Saturday? That’d probably be the Commodore defense, which is not quite as bad as the numbers indicate. Yeah, it’s bowed to the likes of Arkansas and Florida, but Wake Forest doesn’t have anywhere near the talent of those two schools. Vandy is actually seventh nationally in tackles for loss, which will cause problems for a leaky Deacon offensive line. It’ll create a consistent push, getting support from each level of the D, including DT Rob Lohr, Chris Marve, and S Sean Richardson. As a whole, this is an underrated group that’ll rise up with a chance to face lighter competition for a change. Vanderbilt really needs this win to end the season in a positive way. *The Commodores should have little trouble scoring on a defense ranked 114th nationally. Vanderbilt finishes the season with a win and easily covers the spread.
Projected Score** Wake Forest 3* Vanderbilt 24 *
OC Dooley
Clemson +3
Clemson limped to the finish line a year ago which included a loss on the road at South Carolina . The bottom line is that Clemson has NOT lost consecutive battles against their fierce “in state” rivals since way back in the 1969-1970 campaigns when man walked on the moon. The Tigers overall season record (6-5) is nothing to get excited about, however they have suffered 5 different extremely CLOSE “single-digit” setbacks of a combined 26 points, so the odds are they will be competitive. In this South Carolina/Clemson rivalry series the HOME team has actually won-and-covered the past 2 years by a combined 65-31 final score, which means the mere location of tonight’s ESPN2 televised contest is critical. Clemson in the past three outings has been without the services of speedy running back Andre Ellington (686 yards rushing, 5.9 yards per carry) due to an injured football ligament, but according to the head coach he has shown improvement this week. Even though it is going to be a game-time decision, there is a very strong possibility that the Clemson offense is going to receive a big boost with the return of Ellington. For visiting South Carolina tonight is a mere tuneup for the Southeast Conference game when they will take on still undefeated Auburn . It was two weeks ago as a 6’-point road underdog that the Gamecocks sealed a spot in that championship clash when they upset the Gators by a 36-14 verdict at Florida . After a huge emotional win for former Gators head coach Steve Spurrier, one would have thought that last Saturday would be a classic “letdown” spot for South Carolina , but that turned out not to be the case as the Gamecocks drilled Troy State by a 69-24 final count. Even with this being a rivalry setting, I for one am betting that tonight will be South Carolina ’s letdown spot as the game ultimately means much more to the home side. For those who may not be aware, the Atlantic Coast Conference early in the season struggled in “non” conference setups such as this, so a victory would certainly be large for both Clemson and the league that they participate in. Last Saturday on the road Clemson recorded a 30-10 blowout victory, which according to my database research was rather large. Long term the Tigers are a positive 16-6 ATS immediately following a “spread” triumph where they were cast as a double-digit favorite. Clemson is also 16-5 ATS/HOME following a defensive gem where their stop-unit allowed “225 or less” total yards. The big news is that in the past three years, South Carolina is a dreadful 1-8 ATS after winning outright 5 times in a 7-game span
DUNKEL
Miami at Dallas
The Heat look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is 0-4-2 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite. Miami is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2)
Game 501-502: Atlanta at New York (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 116.470; New York 113.473
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3; 213
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+1 1/2); Over
Game 503-504: Orlando at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 123.295; Washington 112.520
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 11; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 7; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-7); Under
Game 505-506: Memphis at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 115.459; Cleveland 113.343
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 1; 194
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+1); Under
Game 507-508: New Jersey at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 112.689; Philadelphia 117.300
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-1 1/2); Over
Game 509-510: Golden State at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 110.100; Minnesota 114.213
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 4; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 219
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-2 1/2); Under
Game 511-512: Miami at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 121.227; Dallas 120.374
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 2 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2); Over
Game 513-514: Charlotte at Milwaukee (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 117.035; Milwaukee 117.656
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3 1/2; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+3 1/2); Over
Game 515-516: Chicago at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.470; Sacramento 113.798
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NCAAB
Dayton at Cincinnati
The Flyers look to take advantage of a Cincinnati team that is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games as a favorite from 1 to 6 1/2 points. Dayton is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+1).
Game 517-518: Pennsylvania at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 43.979; Pittsburgh 78.391
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 34 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 26
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-26)
Game 519-520: Marshall at Louisville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 56.859; Louisville 70.631
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 14
Vegas Line: Louisville by 17
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+17)
Game 521-522: Buffalo at Indiana State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 54.604; Indiana State 52.556
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+4 1/2)
Game 523-524: Evansville at Butler (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 49.723; Butler 72.558
Dunkel Line: Butler by 23
Vegas Line: Butler by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-19 1/2)
Game 525-526: Illinois at Western Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 69.851; Western Michigan 54.678
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 15
Vegas Line: Illinois by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-12 1/2)
Game 527-528: Houston at TCU (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 56.584; TCU 55.160
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: TCU by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+5 1/2)
Game 529-530: Rice at Texas (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 50.658; Texas 69.359
Dunkel Line: Texas by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 22
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+22)
Game 531-532: Loyola-Chicago at San Francisco (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 58.326; San Francisco 52.422
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 6
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 4
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (-4)
Game 533-534: USC at Nebraska (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 57.896; Nebraska 56.778
Dunkel Line: USC by 1
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 4
Dunkel Pick: USC (+4)
Game 535-536: South Carolina at Western Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 62.747; Western Kentucky 65.046
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 1
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-1)
Game 537-538: St. Bonaventure at Cleveland State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 54.735; Cleveland State 57.064
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+8)
Game 539-540: Eastern Michigan at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 47.874; James Madison 59.311
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: James Madison by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (-9 1/2)
Game 541-542: Dayton at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 63.836; Cincinnati 61.932
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+1)
Game 543-544: Florida Atlantic at George Mason (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 50.472; George Mason 62.822
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: George Mason by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-10 1/2)
Game 545-546: Marquette at WI-Milwaukee (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 69.647; WI-Milwaukee 55.964
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Marquette by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-9 1/2)
Game 547-548: Denver at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 49.460; Boise State 58.189
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+10 1/2)
Game 549-550: Northeastern at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 58.709; Utah State 67.034
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 551-552: Duke at Oregon (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 81.249; Oregon 57.804
Dunkel Line: Duke by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-19 1/2)
Game 553-554: Loyola-Marymount at Long Beach State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 50.888; Long Beach State 59.861
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 9
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (-7)
Game 555-556: UC-Santa Barbara at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 56.176; Portland 53.089
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 2
Vegas Line: Portland by 3
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (+3)
Game 557-558: Charleston Southern vs. Southern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 49.049; Southern 29.491
Dunkel Line: Charleston Southern by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Charleston Southern by 17
Dunkel Pick: Charleston Southern (-17)
Game 559-560: Austin Peay vs. Oakland (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 54.098; Oakland 56.210
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2
Vegas Line: Oakland by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+4 1/2)
Game 561-562: Wright State vs. Southern Illinois (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 55.692; Southern Illinois 56.881
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 1
Vegas Line: Wright State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (+1)
Game 563-564: Richmond vs. Purdue (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 64.185; Purdue 73.113
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 9
Vegas Line: Purdue by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-5 1/2)
Game 565-566: Bethune-Cookman vs. Northern Colorado (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bethune-Cookman 48.823; Northern Colorado 53.154
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 6
Dunkel Pick: Bethune-Cookman (+6)
Game 567-568: TX-Corpus Christi vs. Valparaiso (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Corpus Christi 44.872; Valparaiso 53.575
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 6
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-6)
Game 569-570: Ohio vs. Santa Clara (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 52.620; Santa Clara 52.605
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Ohio by 2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+2)
Game 571-572: Kansas vs. Arizona (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 80.799; Arizona 70.875
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 10
Vegas Line: Kansas by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-7 1/2)
Game 573-574: Western Carolina vs. Gardner-Webb (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 54.714; Gardner-Webb 44.605
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 10
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-6 1/2)
Game 575-576: Mercer at William & Mary (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mercer 50.374; William & Mary 54.765
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 8
Dunkel Pick: Mercer (+8)
Game 577-578: Houston Baptist vs. Southern Utah (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston Baptist 41.980; Southern Utah 43.753
Dunkel Line: Southern Utah by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah
Game 579-580: Ball State at AK-Anchorage (6:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 53.276; AK-Anchorage 43.886
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Ball State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-7)
Game 581-582: Drake vs. Weber State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 50.652; Weber State 59.906
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-7 1/2)
Game 583-584: St. John's vs. Arizona State (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 65.472; Arizona State 63.758
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+3 1/2)
Game 585-586: Niagara vs. Albany (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 54.621; Albany 45.895
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Niagara by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-5 1/2)
Game 587-588: Bowling Green at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 45.504; Detroit 58.096
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 15
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+15)
Game 589-590: UTEP vs. Michigan (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 64.814; Michigan 62.266
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan by 2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+2)
Game 591-592: Georgia Tech vs. Syracuse (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 63.125; Syracuse 72.919
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 10
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-5 1/2)
Game 593-594: South Florida vs. Texas Tech (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 55.415; Texas Tech 60.682
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-3 1/2)
Game 595-596: BYU vs. St. Mary's (CA) (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 71.181; St. Mary's (CA) 73.418
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 2
Vegas Line: BYU by 2
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (+2)
Game 597-598: UL-Monroe at Illinois State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 44.447; Illinois State 58.719
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 16
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+16)
Game 599-600: Jacksonville State vs. South Dakota (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 39.037; South Dakota 44.169
Dunkel Line: South Dakota by 5
Vegas Line: South Dakota by 6
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+6)
Game 601-602: UC-Irvine at Marist (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 44.822; Marist 46.505
Dunkel Line: Marist by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 4
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+4)
Game 603-604: NC-Greensboro at East Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 48.363; East Carolina 55.833
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 12
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+12)
Game 605-606: Davidson at Rhode Island (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 53.646; Rhode Island 59.101
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (+7 1/2)
Game 607-608: Montana State at Iowa State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 52.498; Iowa State 70.853
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-13)
Game 609-610: Idaho at Eastern Washington (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 47.053; Eastern Washington 52.080
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 5
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (-2)
Game 611-612: Wofford at Xavier (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 60.260; Xavier 71.185
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 11
Vegas Line: Xavier by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-7 1/2)
Game 613-614: Chattanooga at Florida International (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 42.883; Florida International 49.961
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 7
Vegas Line: Florida International by 3
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-3)
Game 615-616: Samford at Georgia State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 50.065; Georgia State 49.056
Dunkel Line: Samford by 1
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+2 1/2)
Game 617-618: Appalachian State at Vanderbilt (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 64.168; Vanderbilt 75.010
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 11
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+14 1/2)
Game 619-620: Arkansas State at SE Missouri State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 49.313; SE Missouri State 39.868
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-5)
Game 621-622: Cal Poly at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 51.107; Sacramento State 42.813
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (-3 1/2)
Game 633-634: IUPUI at St. Louis (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 54.536; St. Louis 62.753
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 8
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 635-636: North Dakota State at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 53.289; WI-Green Bay 57.785
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 637-638: Oral Roberts at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 55.287; Utah 63.916
Dunkel Line: Utah by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NHL
San Jose at Edmonton
The Oilers look to take advantage of a San Jose team that is 0-6 in its last 6 road games. Edmonton is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Oilers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+130)
Game 1-2: Philadelphia at New Jersey (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.127; New Jersey 11.565
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+115); Over
Game 3-4: Calgary at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.943; Pittsburgh 12.096
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+170); Under
Game 5-6: Buffalo at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.496; Montreal 12.790
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-140); Over
Game 7-8: Toronto at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.929; Ottawa 10.555
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105); Under
Game 9-10: Florida at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.516; Tampa Bay 11.433
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-180); Over
Game 11-12: Dallas at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.299; St. Louis 11.156
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+140); Under
Game 13-14: NY Rangers at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.104; Nashville 10.693
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+105); Under
Game 15-16: Anaheim at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 9.754; Phoenix 11.971
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-170); Over
Game 17-18: Minnesota at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.134; Colorado 12.364
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-150); Over
Game 19-20: San Jose at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 10.080; Edmonton 11.346
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+130); Under
Game 21-22: Chicago at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.392; Los Angeles 11.803
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-125); Over
Steve Merril
Washington vs. California
Play: California -7
Free Play Both teams have had disappointing seasons after they had higher pre-season expectations. Washington is just 4-6 and needs to win their final two games to get to a bowl game. California is 5-6 and needs to win this game if they want to go bowling. So there’s a lot on the line for these two teams this afternoon, but there’s one other key motivating factor that gives California an extra edge in this game. California will be playing their final game in nostalgic Memorial Stadium; the historic place will be undergoing a major renovation and be a totally different place once finished. The Bears are talking about going out in style with a big signature win, and they are certainly capable of getting one here against Washington. The Huskies beat an injury-riddled UCLA team last week 24-7, but that game was a lot closer than the final score indicates. And if we draw a line through that result, we see a Washington team that had lost their three previous games by 30, 41, and 37 points while being out-scored by a combined 138-30. The Huskies will be up against here, especially against a desperate California team looking for bowl eligibility. Cal is off back-to-back losses to Oregon and Stanford so there’s no shame in losing those games. But when they face teams on their level at home, Cal blows them out. The Bears have won home games by 49, 45, 28, and 33 points this season. California should have a field day running the ball with Shane Vereen here as Washington’s rush defense has allowed some big numbers this season including 383, 298, 234, 278, and 279 yards. California’s defense should also contain a pedestrian Washington offense that has gained 321 yards of total offense or less in their last four games. California lost 42-10 at Washington last year so a little payback is in order as the Bears cruise to an easy home win and earn their eight consecutive bowl bid.
Black Widow
1* on Florida State -2
The Florida Gators will have a hard time getting motivated Saturday to play this game. It has been a lost season for the Gators, who lost their chance at playing for an SEC title with a 14-36 home loss to South Carolina two weeks ago. Florida simply isn't the same powerhouse they once were with Tim Tebow, and this is Florida State's best chance to beat their in-state rivals. FSU is 8-3 this season, including 5-1 at home where they are outscoring their opponents by 19.0 points/game. The Seminoles have been playing unreal defense on their home turf, allowing a mere 14.2 points/game. This team is clearly improved on this side of the football, which has been the difference in their resurgence this season. After 6 straight losses to the Gators, the Seminoles have serious revenge in mind Saturday and will be the more motivated team. The Seminoles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0, including 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0. The Gators are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Florida State and lay the points.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on BYU Cougars +8.5
A Utah team that has been exposed is getting way too much respect this afternoon against a BYU team that has found its stride. The Cougars have won 4 in a row, and with all that momentum should be able to take Utah down to the wire. Utah has been a terrible investment in the chalk, where it is 7-21 ATS in its last 28 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. The Utes are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. Plus, the underdog is a terrific 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series. These teams are headed in different directions, and I'm taking the one on the upswing catching big points.
Dave Price
1 Unit on Iowa Hawkeyes -15
Look for Iowa to bounce back strong from last week's loss to Ohio State to put the hurt on this inferior Minnesota team. The last time Iowa visited the Gophers it punished them with a 55-0 defeat (2008). I'm here to tell you that this Iowa team is every bit as good as that one, and this Minnesota team is worse. The Hawkeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Minnesota. The Golden Gophers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Lay the points.