Bobby Maxwell
San Diego State +6 at UNLV
I've gone 15-8 with my last 23 FREE selections and tonight I've got another winner for you as I'm going to the college gridiron with a comp winner on San Diego State as the Aztecs head to Vegas to take on UNLV.
These two teams have followed similar paths this season but today marks the end of a terrible era at UNLV as it’s coach Mike Sanford’s last game as he’s being let go after today’s contest. And if this season is like every other one, his players have already quit on him and won’t be giving much effort today. I’m grabbing the points and going with San Diego State tonight.
Both schools have wins or Colorado State and New Mexico in conference action and neither school was able to challenge the elite Mountain West teams in any contest this season. These are not quite the bottom feeders, but pretty close.
San Diego State has won three straight in this rivalry and six of the last seven (SU and ATS). The Aztecs scored a 42-21 win last year as 10 ½-point favorites, and last time they were in Vegas they got a 38-30 road win as three-point ‘dogs. The straight-up winner has covered the line in each of the last eight games.
UNLV is on a plethora of negative ATS trends, including 2-7 overall, 4-12 as a home favorite, 8-20 as a favorite, 1-4 after a bye week and 11-26 against teams with a losing record.
SDSU has a lot to play for, including pride and spots on the roster for next year since coach Brady Hoke will be evaluating talent. On the other side, the Rebels have no motivation for this one. I’ve been all over Sanford during his tenure at UNLV because he just isn’t head coaching material. He’s better suited for coordinator and that’s what he’ll go back to somewhere next season.
Grab the points and play the Aztecs, but don’t be surprised when they win this thing outright.
2♦ SAN DIEGO STATE
Karl Garrett
UCLA +13 at USC
Feeling good about the points in the battle for the Victory Bell, as Rick Neuheisel's team does bring a 3 game winning streak into this one, and covers in 3 of their last 4.
UCLA has also been money the last 3 in this series, and 4 of the last 5 overall against the Men of Troy - all as the underdog.
The Trojans have been a money-burner this season at 1-8 their last 9 when favored, and So Cal has dropped their last 3 lined home games.
Southern Cal has been idle since getting romped by Stanford, bit even with the extra time off, the G-Man doubts this Trojans edition is capable of delivering a resounding win against their cross-town rival.
Look for the Bruins to hang in there, and cover another against the Trojans.
G-Man all over the generous points.
2♦ UCLA
Tony Weston
Colorado does just enough yesterday to stay close to Nebraska and give us a solid Comp Play winner.
I’m handing you another Comp Play winner as I’m taking Stanford at home tonight against visiting Notre Dame.
The Irish, stuck in the midst of one of their worst seasons ever, have covered in just 3 of their last 11 games overall this season. Coming into this game Notre Dame has gone just 1-4 ATS its last 5 games.
Stanford, on the other hand, with flavor of the month coach Jim Harbaugh leading the way, has covered in 3 of its last 4 games and is 6-3 ATS its last 9 games overall.
At home this year the Cardinal have gone 5-1 ATS, beating their opponents by an average of about 13 points per game (35.3-22.8). The Irish, on the other hand, are just 2-5 ATS on the road this year.
Things will be ugly again tonight as Stanford rolls to an easy home win.
3♦ STANFORD
Steve Duemig
Nice comp winner with Colorado covering vs Nebraska last night! For today's comp selection we're focusing on the New Mexico-Texas Christian match up.
There is only one perfect team against the spread this year and that is TCU. You gonna buck the trend? Not me either. They still have to play in impress mode and I just really like this team. The Lobos are absolutely horrible and if they wanted to, TCU could absolutely name the score here and they will!!
1♦ TEXAS CHRISTIAN
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
360 - 248 run 59 %
Free Play Sat FB Idaho-3
DUNKEL INDEX
Georgia at Georgia Tech
The Yellow Jackets look to take advantage of a Georgia team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as an underdog between 3 1/2 and 10 points. Georgia Tech is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Yellow Jackets favored by 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-7 1/2)
Game 137-138: Virginia Tech at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 100.742; Virginia 82.268
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 18 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 16; 42
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-16); Under
Game 139-140: Syracuse at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 79.940; Connecticut 96.006
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 16; 44
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 13 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-13 1/2); Under
Game 141-142: Wake Forest at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 91.275; Duke 86.292
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 5; 55
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 4 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-4 1/2); Over
Game 143-144: Clemson at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 99.898; South Carolina 93.341
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 6 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Clemson by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-3); Over
Game 145-146: North Carolina at NC State
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 92.630; NC State 87.342
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 6; 50
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+6); Under
Game 147-148: Missouri at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 89.195; Kansas 92.142
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 3; 64
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3; 57
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+3); Over
Game 149-150: Tennessee at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 96.109; Kentucky 95.786
Dunkel Line: Even; 54
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+3); Over
Game 151-152: Mississippi at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 101.097; Mississippi State 93.051
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 8; 46
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 7 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-7 1/2); Under
Game 153-154: New Mexico at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 68.811; TCU 111.681
Dunkel Line: TCU by 43; 59
Vegas Line: TCU by 45; 55
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+45); Over
Game 155-156: Southern Mississippi at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 84.599; East Carolina 94.264
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 9 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 6; 55
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-6); Over
Game 157-158: Central Florida at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 90.934; UAB 82.163
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 9; 49
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 3; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-3); Under
Game 159-160: Marshall at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 82.023; UTEP 77.725
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 4 1/2;
Vegas Line: UTEP by 1 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+1 1/2);
Game 161-162: Tulane at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 68.660; SMU 81.445
Dunkel Line: SMU by 13; 53
Vegas Line: SMU by 17 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+17 1/2); Under
Game 163-164: Baylor at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 82.057; Texas Tech 109.769
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 27 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 20 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-20 1/2); Under
Game 165-166: Oklahoma State at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 104.296; Oklahoma 107.533
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 3; 53
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 9 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+9 1/2); Over
Game 167-168: Florida State at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 94.044; Florida 110.869
Dunkel Line: Florida by 17; 60
Vegas Line: Florida by 24 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+24 1/2); Over
Game 169-170: Georgia at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 92.910; Georgia Tech 104.383
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 11 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 7 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-7 1/2); Over
Game 171-172: Utah at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 93.737; BYU 95.862
Dunkel Line: BYU by 2; 48
Vegas Line: BYU by 7 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+7 1/2); Under
Game 173-174: Rice at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 63.422; Houston 95.043
Dunkel Line: Houston by 31 1/2; 82
Vegas Line: Houston by 29 1/2; 74
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-29 1/2); Over
Game 175-176: Utah State at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 76.023; Idaho 82.008
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 6; 68
Vegas Line: Idaho by 2 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-2 1/2); Over
Game 177-178: Washington State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 65.057; Washington 91.822
Dunkel Line: Washington by 27; 63
Vegas Line: Washington by 24 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-24 1/2); Over
Game 179-180: Arizona at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 97.925; Arizona State 92.002
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 6; 42
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-3); Under
Game 181-182: Boston College at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 91.362; Maryland 84.089
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 7 1/2; 32
Vegas Line: Boston College by 6; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-6); Under
Game 183-184: Miami (FL) at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 98.831; South Florida 92.685
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 6; 54
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 6 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+6 1/2); Over
Game 185-186: Arkansas at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 100.342; LSU 105.200
Dunkel Line: LSU by 5; 60
Vegas Line: LSU by 3 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-3 1/2); Over
Game 187-188: New Mexico State at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 59.186; San Jose State 72.402
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 13; 39
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 10 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (-10 1/2); Under
Game 189-190: Notre Dame at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 92.605; Stanford 102.940
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 10 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Stanford by 10; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-10); Over
Game 191-192: San Diego State at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 70.178; UNLV 78.926
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 9; 64
Vegas Line: UNLV by 6 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-6 1/2); Over
Game 193-194: UCLA at USC
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 92.524; USC 98.038
Dunkel Line: USC by 5 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: USC by 13; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+13); Under
Game 195-196: Navy at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 87.058; Hawaii 79.068
Dunkel Line: Navy by 8; 58
Vegas Line: Navy by 9 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+9 1/2); Over
Game 197-198: Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 61.494; Florida Atlantic 74.747
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 13 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 14; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+14); Over
Game 199-200: Middle Tennessee State at UL Monroe
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 84.727; UL Monroe 76.273
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 8 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-3 1/2); Under
Game 201-202: North Texas at Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 64.624; Arkansas State 71.374
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 6 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 8; 54
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+8); Over
Game 203-204: Troy at UL-Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 85.476; UL Lafayette 72.743
Dunkel Line: Troy by 12 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Troy by 9 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-9 1/2); Over
NCAAB
LaSalle at Villanova
The Wildcats look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games versus the Atlantic 10. Villanova is the pick (-13 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by 15 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-13 1/2).
Game 511-512: Central Michigan at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 48.495; Purdue 76.966
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 28 1/2
Vegas Line: Purdue by 26
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-26)
Game 513-514: UC Davis at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 46.184; Ball State 49.548
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Ball State by 5
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (+5)
Game 55-516: Wichita State at Cleveland State
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 57.106; Cleveland State 62.689
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-3)
Game 517-518: Oregon State at George Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 54.190; George Washington 55.297
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 1
Vegas Line: George Washington by 7
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+7)
Game 519-520: Detroit at DePaul
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 50.054; DePaul 57.926
Dunkel Line: DePaul by 8
Vegas Line: DePaul by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (-6 1/2)
Game 521-522: WI-Milwaukee at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 55.237; Bowling Green 51.269
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 4
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 1
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (-1)
Game 523-524: Wright State at Northeastern
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 59.814; Northeastern 61.427
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 3
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+3)
Game 525-526: Towson at Dayton
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 51.940; Dayton 67.706
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 16
Vegas Line: Dayton by 19
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+19)
Game 527-528: Evansville at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 53.908; Miami (OH) 56.728
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 3
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 9
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+9)
Game 529-530: George Mason at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 55.786; Tulane 57.460
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulane by 2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+2)
Game 531-532: LaSalle at Villanova
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 55.864; Villanova 71.129
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-13 1/2)
Game 533-534: Pacific at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 53.262; San Jose State 54.936
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+2 1/2)
Game 535-536: Louisville at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 75.496; UNLV 66.492
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 9
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-3)
Game 537-538: Fresno State at Santa Clara
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 51.665; Santa Clara 46.499
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 5
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-1)
Game 539-540: William & Mary at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 53.177; Wake Forest 73.830
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 17
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-17)
Game 541-542: Ohio at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 52.975; Marshall 58.673
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Marshall by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-4 1/2)
Game 543-544: Youngstown State at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 52.789; Pittsburgh 74.819
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 22
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-16 1/2)
Game 545-546: Boston College at Providence
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 62.656; Providence 68.620
Dunkel Line: Providence by 6
Vegas Line: Providence by 3
Dunkel Pick: Providence (-3)
Game 547-548: Illinois-Chicago at Southern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 52.651; Southern Illinois 64.956
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-11 1/2)
Game 549-550: Cal Poly at AR-Little Rock
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 44.845; AR-Little Rock 55.613
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 11
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-10 1/2)
Game 551-552: Northern Illinois at Northern Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 50.091; Northern Iowa 63.316
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 13
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 17
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+17)
Game 553-554: Tulsa at Missouri State
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 65.585; Missouri State 62.543
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 3
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+5 1/2)
Game 555-556: Louisiana Tech at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 55.247; TCU 62.745
Dunkel Line: TCU by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: TCU by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-4 1/2)
Game 557-558: North Texas at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 53.354; Boise State 56.142
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 3
Vegas Line: Boise State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-1 1/2)
Game 559-560: UC-Santa Barbara at Loyola Marymount
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 55.171; Loyola Marymount 49.803
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 1
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (-1)
Game 561-562: Brown vs. Siena
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 47.128; Siena 63.036
Dunkel Line: Siena by 16
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 563-564: Virginia Tech vs. Delaware
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 61.878; Delaware 44.392
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 565-566: St. John's at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 59.750; Temple 70.873
Dunkel Line: Temple by 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 567-568: Vermont vs. Cornell
Dunkel Ratings: Vermont 50.459; Cornell 59.663
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 569-570: Toledo at Drexel
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 45.032; Drexel 58.458
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 571-572: Valparaiso vs. Troy
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 50.860; Troy 52.502
Dunkel Line: Troy by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 573-574: AR-Fort Smith at Georgia Southern
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Fort Smith 13.544; Georgia Southern 41.654
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 28
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 575-576: St. Louis vs. Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 58.438; Notre Dame 61.904
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 577-578: Iowa State at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 65.847; Northwestern 67.587
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 579-580: Massachusetts vs. Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 53.918; Michigan State 74.992
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 21
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 581-582: Rutgers vs. Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 55.454; Florida 70.524
Dunkel Line: Florida by 15
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 583-584: Old Dominion vs. Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 67.131; Mississippi State 63.279
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 4
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 585-586: Richmond vs. Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 60.403; Missouri 77.157
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 17
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 587-588: SE Missouri State at Illinois State
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 38.322; Illinois State 65.519
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 27
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 589-590: Norfolk State vs. St. Bonaventure
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 41.878; St. Bonaventure 58.925
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 17
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 591-592: Nicholls State vs. Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 44.080; Oklahoma 62.978
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 19
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 593-594: Houston at Alaska-Anchorage
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 61.269; Alaska-Anchorage 46.374
Dunkel Line: Houston by 15
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 595-596: San Diego vs. Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 62.793; Washington State 63.545
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 597-598: Bradley vs. Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 57.587; Illinois 66.955
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 599-600: Oklahoma State vs. Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 68.352; Utah 61.967
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 601-602: Rhode Island at Davidson
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 62.635; Davidson 60.156
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 1
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-1)
Game 603-604: UC-Riverside at Sacramento State
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 50.683; Sacramento State 44.755
Dunkel Line: UC-Riverside by 6
Vegas Line: UC-Riverside by 5
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (-5)
Game 605-606: East Carolina at NC-Greensboro
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 49.805; NC-Greensboro 45.738
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 4
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 1
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-1)
Game 607-608: Samford at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 51.844; Texas Tech 62.728
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 11
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 12
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+12)
Game 609-610: Florida International at Eastern Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 40.670; Eastern Kentucky 57.186
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (-15 1/2)
Game 611-612: Drake at Austin Peay
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 51.638; Austin Peay 57.178
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 4
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-4)
Game 613-614: Fordham at Manhattan
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 40.808; Manhattan 53.327
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 10
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-10)
Game 615-616: Eastern Washington at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 49.498; Idaho 57.779
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Idaho by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+15 1/2)
Game 617-618: Northern Arizona at San Diego State
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 50.831; San Diego State 64.665
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 14
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 16
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+16)
Game 619-620: Montana State at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 48.477; Oregon 61.262
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 13
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 621-622: NC Central at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: NC Central 32.161; Iowa 59.058
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 27
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 623-624: Northwestern State at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern State 41.918; Indiana 57.203
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
THE REST WILL BE POSTED LATER WHEN AVAILABLE
DUNKEL
Orlando at Milwaukee
The Magic look to take advantage of a Milwaukee team that is coming off a 108-90 loss to Oklahoma City and is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games after allowing 100 or more points in the previous game. Orlando is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6 1/2)
Game 501-502: Charlotte at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 119.804; Washington 116.809
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 3; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 190
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4); Under
Game 503-504: Dallas at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.268; Cleveland 126.484
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-6 1/2); Over
Game 505-506: Portland at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 119.567; Utah 123.419
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 4; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 5; 186
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+5); Over
Game 507-508: Orlando at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 124.753; Milwaukee 115.449
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 9 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 6 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6 1/2); Under
Game 509-510: LA Lakers at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 124.905; Golden State 119.941
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5; 219 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8; 220 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+8); Under
NHL
NY Rangers at Pittsburgh
The Penguins look to take advantage of a Rangers team that is 6-15 in its last 21 games as an underdog between +110 and +150. Pittsburgh is the pick (-165) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-165)
Game 1-2: NY Islanders at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.195; New Jersey 12.100
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+165); Over
Game 3-4: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.679; Atlanta 11.517
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-110); 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Over
Game 5-6: Washington at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.351; Montreal 11.256
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145); Over
Game 7-8: Ottawa at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.544; Boston 11.766
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under
Game 9-10: Carolina at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.452; Buffalo 11.172
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-220); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+200); Over
Game 11-12: Calgary at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.639; Columbus 12.035
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-125); Under
Game 13-14: NY Rangers at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.985; Pittsburgh 11.566
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-165); Over
Game 15-16: Florida at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.849; Nashville 11.792
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+165); Under
Game 17-18: Detroit at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.549; St. Louis 12.300
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100); Over
Game 19-20: Tampa Bay at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.548; Dallas 11.735
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-170); Under
Game 21-22: Minnesota at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.247; Colorado 11.570
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-175); Under
Game 23-24: Edmonton at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 12.279; Vancouver 12.114
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+220); Over
Game 25-26: Chicago at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.480; Los Angeles 12.022
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-125); Over
Jimmy the Moose
Carolina Hurricanes at Buffalo Sabres
The Hurricanes are in last place in the NHL. Carolina played last night at home vs. the Thrashers and it ended in another loss. The Hurricanes were up 4-1 going into the third per and ended up losing 5-4. The Hurricanes are only averaging 2.2 GPG but their D has been horrible allowing 3.56 GPG. Carolina has played over the total in 4 of their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record. Not having their number 1 goalie Cam Ward between the pipes has hurt this club.
The Sabres are a fast team and they have the talent for offensive explosions. Buffalo visited Philadelphia yesterday afternoon and beat the Flyers 4-2. The Sabres are averaging 2.67 GPG at home and will score more than a few vs. the Hurricanes who are allowing 3.67 GPG on the road. The over is 6-2 in the Sabres last 8 games as a favorite of -201 or greater. In their last 17 games playing the tail end of a back-to-back games the over is 11-5-1.
Carolina has suffered through several key injuries early on and that's cost them dearly. On Saturday there's a good chance they'll be facing the Sabres back-up goalie. Both team's will find the back of the net often in this high-scoring game.
Play the Hurricanes/Sabres Over
O.C. Dooley
Pick: Navy -10
Normally this non-conference affair would not be that important to a team like Navy who already has their postseason Bowl game publicly announced and accepted. But the fact of the matter is that current Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo is a native of Hawaii and at one time was an outstanding quarterback for the Rainbow Warriors. Thus we have a "homecoming" for a visiting head coach which is a very unusual setup. For the first time in Navy history the Middies are going to a postseason Bowl game in SEVEN consecutive seasons. Quarterback Ricky Dobbs has an 8-2 career record as a starter for Navy and is currently ranked #1 in the entire country in average points (13.2) generated per game. Dobbs in his career has rushed for 22 touchdowns and is a threat both in the air and on the ground. According to my database research this is a very high percentage wager as Navy is 10-1 ATS long term when facing a "marginal" winning opponent who has a win percentage between 40-and-49. Navy is also 9-1 ATS the past three years after failing to cover the spread twice in a 3-game span. Last week Hawaii barely kept their postseason Bowl eligibility hopes alive with an OVERTIME victory versus a loudy opponent who has a 1-9 overall record
SPORTS WAGERS
GOLDEN STATE +8½ +1.00 over L.A. Lakers
You’re always going to pay a premium to wager on the Lakers and that’s something one should avoid getting in the habit of. The Lakers are the most played betting favorite in the league and the oddsmakers have those figures, thus, they always inflate the line to offset or to “balance the books”. The Lakers have played just three road games this season in 14 games. They’re 2-1 on the road but its two its were by one point over Houston and three points over Ok City, both in OT. In the Lakers other road game they were buried in Denver to the tune of 105-79. The Lakers are a great team, however, they’re also 11-3 and they really don’t have anything to prove yet. In other words, they’re coasting and home teams playing the Lakers will fill the joint and they’ll be extremely fired up. Yeah, the Warriors are still undermanned but they’re still dangerous, as recent wins in Portland and Dallas will attest to. Upset possibility. Play: Golden State +8½ +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
BUFFALO –1½ +1.17 over Carolina
This is a very tough part of the schedule in late November, that is, before and after the Thanksgiving holiday, as teams are playing a lot of games and players like to enjoy some time with friends and family as well. A quick look at last year’s results sees the home teams going an impressive 9-3 the Saturday after Thanksgiving and just like this year, there were a slew of teams that played Wednesday, Friday and Saturday. The Canes will be playing its third game in four days and the tail end of back-to-backs after allowing the Thrashers five unanswered goals in the third period last night and falling 6-4. Not only are they physically exhausted but they surely have to be feeling mentally fatigued as well. The Sabres will also be playing its third game in four days, however, they’re coming off a win and they played yesterday afternoon and not yesterday evening. The Canes are getting accustomed to losing and it’s hard to imagine this one turning out any different. Play: Buffalo –1½ +1.17 (Risking 2 units).
ATLANTA +1.04 over Philadelphia
Both these teams will be playing its third game in four days and the tail end of back-to-backs but the difference is the Thrashers are the home team and in a similar situation last year, the Flyers went into Toronto and lost 4-2. One would also have to assume that the Flyers are the more tired team. This game will mark the seventh straight game the Flyers have had to travel after a five game road trip, home for one game yesterday and back on the road for this one. That road trip also took them to the West Coast for three and to Colorado. The Flyers have dropped four of its last five and have allowed 19 goals over that stretch. The Thrashers confidence tank is full and its getting fuller. They’re coming off a 2-0 win at the Joe and a 6-4 come from behind win last night. The Thrashers have won six of its last nine and over that stretch they have just one regulation loss, that being a 3-2 defeat against the Penguins. Wrong side favored. Play: Atlanta +1.04 (Risking 2 units).
PITTSBURGH -½ -1.03 over NY Rangers
Once again we find two teams playing its third game in four days and the tail end of back-to-backs. The Rangers are coming off a rather humiliating 5-1 loss in Tampa last night and that had to hurt, as John Tortarella returned to Tampa and the players had to know he wanted to show them something good. Instead, the Rangers got back to its losing ways and now own the league’s second worst record since opening the year 7-1. Now the Rangers are being asked to travel to Pittsburgh to play its third road game in succession and if they appeared tired last night you can double that tonight. The Pens played an afternoon game on Long Island yesterday and lost 3-2 after being absolutely dominated in the third period. The Penguins pride themselves on third period dominance and they’re going to be even tougher tonight coming off that loss. Rangers played a night game, Pens played a day game and that, too, gives the Pens an even bigger edge. Play: Pittsburgh -½ -1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
ST. LOUIS –1.10 over Detroit
It’s not like the Red Wings are playing poorly, despite one win in its last six games. In fact, they’ve dominated teams but this is just getting more frustrating by the moment. Detroit has scored a measly six goals over those six games and has scored one or less in five of them. Incredible. They outshot Calgary yesterday 40-17 and lost 3-0. They outshout Atlanta on Wednesday, 40-25 and lost 2-0. They outshot Florida 40-20 and lost 2-1 in OT. Niklas Lindstrom has one goal on the year. The Red Wings are playing decent and they’re losing and now they find themselves in a difficult spot, playing its third game in four days and not getting scoring nor solid goaltending. Meanwhile, the Blues defeated the red-hot Preds in Nashville last night. They’ve now won two in a row and four of its past five. The Blue Notes were struggling miserably to score goals and in fact, has the lowest goal output in the league but they’ve picked it up recently so it’s much less of a concern. In fact, they scored three times on Nashville last night, three on Dallas the previous night and in recent games, four on the Islanders, three on Phoenix and six on the Canucks. The Red Wings are a frustrated and banged up team while the Blue Notes are healthy and feeling it. Once again, we’ll go with the home team in the third game in four days angle in the midst of the holiday. Play: St. Louis –1.10 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
NASHVILLE -½ +1.05 over Florida
The Preds are coming off a rare loss at home last night and thus, I wouldn’t bet on them losing two straight. Prior to that loss, the Preds had reeled off seven victories in a row. Now they’ll face the slumping Panthers playing its third game in four days after back-to-back losses to the Rangers and Leafs. Florida has now lost three straight and will travel to play back-to-backs. The Preds will also play back-to-back and its third game in four days but they’ll remain at home where they have one loss since October 15. Scott Clemmensen will get the start in net and he’s played in just five games this season and has a GAA of 4.12 and a save percentage of just .880. Play: Nashville -½ +1.05 (Risking 2 units).
VANCOUVER –1½ +1.29 over Edmonton
Man, this one is almost not fair. The Canucks have been off since Sunday while every other team in the league has been bashing each other’s brains out including these Oilers. Edmonton is coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Sharkies last night in which they gave up a shorthanded goal with just over a minute left in the third. That had to be demoralizing and now they’ll travel to play its third game in four days and the tail end of back-to-backs. The Oilers are banged up, they’re reeling, they’re physically and mentally gassed while the Canucks are the league’s most rested club and it’s not close. The Canucks are also healthier than they’ve been all year and have now won three of four with only loss over that stretch coming against the red-hot Blackhawks. Not only are they winning but the Canucks are lighting it up with 17 goals in its last three wins. One has to figure that the Canucks can’t wait to get on the ice today while the Oilers can’t wait to get off. Play: Vancouver –1½ +1.29 (Risking 2 units).
LOS ANGELES +1.25 over Chicago
On this same date last year and under similar circumstances, Chicago went into Los Angeles on the Saturday after Thanksgiving playing its third game in four days and the tail end of back-to-backs and proceeded to get whipped 5-2. This year the Kings are better and the Blackhawks are in a more difficult spot. Chicago will not only play its third game in four days but they’ll also play its sixth consecutive on the road after three games to the Canadian West Coast and games in San Jose and Anaheim yesterday. Chicago will wrap up its six-game road trip here, as they sit comfortably in the standings with a 16-6 record with two OT losses. Zero desperation in a difficult spot makes for a rather appealing home pooch. Play: Los Angeles +1.25 (Risking 2 units).
Game Time Sports Advisors
Virginia Tech vs. Virginia
Play: Virginia Tech -15
Going the Hokies here. Va Tech 26-12 ATS on the road since '04. Thats what you get you play D and always have an edge on special teams. Since the end of 2007, the Cavs are just 8-15 SU. These are the teams Va Tech feasts on. Hokies have rushed for 200+ in their last 3 games while VA is 3-13 ATS last 16 when allowing 200 or more. We think HC Al Groh is out at VA and his players will be doing a walk through drill with no heart, even against a bitter in-state rival.
LT Profits
Arkansas vs LSU
Even though the LSU Tigers are ranked and the Arkansas Razorbacks are not, we simply feel that Arkansas is the much hotter team right now and we are calling for the upset at Baton Rouge Saturday night.
The Razorbacks have won four straight games, and they have outscored those four opponents by an average score of 48.5-21.0! While there is talk about Florida quarterback Tim Tebow winning his second straight Heisman Trophy, the fact is that Tebow may not even be the best quarterback in his own conference right now.
That distinction may belong to Arkansas signal-caller Ryan Mallett, who has tossed 28 touchdown passes vs. just six interceptions while throwing for nearly 3200 yards and averaging a whopping 9.74 yards per pass attempt. He could take advantage of an LSU defense that has been exposed a bit the last three games, allowing 400.0 total yards per game including 217.7 yards in the air.
If the Tigers continue to spring leaks defensively vs. Mallett, they will have trouble winning this game as their offense has been truly mediocre this season. LSU is averaging an ordinary 24.8 points per game, and they have been below average both running the ball (3.8 yards per rush) and throwing it (6.9 yards per attempt).
It was their defense that was standing up and winning games earlier in the year, but as that defense has started to fold, the Tigers have lost two of their last three games with the lone win being by only eight points over a seemingly outclassed Louisiana Tech team.
Pick: Arkansas +3.5
MTi Sports
Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors
Prediction: Golden State Warriors
The Lakers are 0-4 ATS (-15.1 ppg) on the road after a win in which Pau Gasol played fewer than 30 minutes, 0-7 ATS (-5.9 ppg) when Andrew Bynum had more turnovers than assists the last two and 0-6 ATS (-14.2 ppg) on the road after two wins in which Lamar Odom scored fewer than 10 points in each. Also, LA is 0-7 ATS (-5.9 ppg) as a favorite with at least one day of rest after a game in which they controlled at least 60% of the available rebounds and 0-6 ATS (-6.0 ppg) as a road favorite with two or more days of rest after a home win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line. The Warriors are 7-0 ATS (13.9 ppg) as a home dog with at least one day of rest after a double digit loss in which they had more turnovers than assists. Grab the points.
Lenny Del Genio
Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz
Prediction: Utah Jazz
Portland apparently had a very fun Thanksgiving Holiday, because they came out last night and got whipped by Memphis 106-96, trailing 42-19 at one point! They have lost 22 of their last 30 in Salt Lake and playing on BB nights certainly won't alleviate those problems. The Jazz have cashed 20 of 26 at home when laying six or less points and are 17-4 ATS here coming off a non-conference game. None of Portland's opponents during its four-game home stand had a winning record and this is their third game in four nights. A tighter rotation might actually help Utah. Just look at what Golden State did to Dallas the other night. Take Utah.
Tom Freese
Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche
Prediction: Under
Colorado is 11-5 UNDER after allowing 5 or more goals in their last game and they are 4-1 UNDER with no rest. The Avalanche are 6-2 UNDER vs. an opponent who scored 5 or more goals in their last game and they are 19-7-4 UNDER their last 30 games vs. the Wild. Minnesota is 30-14-10 UNDER their last 54 games vs. a team with a winning record and they are 23-6-2 UNDER vs. an opponent who allowed 5 or more goals in their last game. The Wild are 4-0 UNDER with no rest and they are 6-1 UNDER when playing their third game infour nights. PLAY ON 'UNDER'