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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday November, 3

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Dave Cokin

Air Force vs Army
Pick: Army

Mirror image option offenses, and two very subpar defenses hook up today as Army plays host to Air Force. This has the look of a game where each team will be able to mount lengthy and time consuming scoring drives with almost no passing. The Falcons are rightfully the chalk, but by a few too many is what should be a close contest. I'll tab Army plus the points.

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 7:56 am
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RICH SPORT'S

Pittsburgh

Play Pittsburgh plus the points versus Notre Dame. This will be a big letdown week for the Irish. They won last week’s game as a big underdog and have nothing on their schedule that should challenge them the next few weeks. Historically this is a close game and I do not see this one being any different. Pittsburgh has not had a turnover in the last 3 games and are 3 PPG better offensively, than the Irish. The 17 points is 7 to 10 too many points in this one.

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 9:28 am
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RAMI SPORTS

Texas A&M @ Mississippi State

Still don't trust the A&M defense entirely, and I expect Miss State to be able to score a bit on them. Their defense is pretty solid, not a shut down wall, but pretty solid and I think they don't let the youngster stud for A&M run wild on them. Basically it seems A&M tries to just jump on their opponents quickly and build a lead as fast as possible to disrupt whatever gameplan/tempo their foe would've wanted. Think Mullens has his boys ready to not let things get rowdy on them early at their own stadium. Pick: 1.50 Star - Mississippi State +7

Syracuse @ Cincinnati

Syracuse has won...like 2 road games over the course of the past 2 seasons, and one was an all-out everything on the line last second miracle win at South Florida last week. Now they come to Cincy who had their chances to upset Louisville but couldn't seal the deal. I think Nassib struggles on the road facing a Cincy d-line that can generate some pressure. Munchie is facing a less threatening front four this week and hopefully brings some accuracy to this throws as a result. Just don't see Cincy's offense sputtering against the Cuse defense enough for them to lose this one. Pick: 1.25 Star - Cincinnati -4.5

Penn State @ Purdue

If Penn State would've won last week against Ohio State, I'd be saying letdown spot here. But they lost, and in fact Ohio State kind of slapped them around with Braxton's legs for a bit. So here I'm banking on them to continue to show that resolve and character they've demonstrated all year as they go on the road to mend themselves. Penn State has two RBs they like to get going, and Purdue features one of the worst running defenses in the conference. I like to think they are the reason Wisconsin remembered how to run the ball, because the Badgers came in there and just pushed them around all day. Former Miami FL QB Rob Marve will start and gutt it out as much as he can with that torn acl, but his mobility will be non-existent. Penn State's defense needs to get pressure early and rattle Marve. Pick: 1.25 Star - Penn State -3.5

Nebraska @ Michigan State

Michigan State has a solid defense, and one RB. That's it. They have no passing attack and their offensive line overall in my opinion isn't world class. Nebraska has a great running attack and will show the option look way better than Michigan ever tried to in the Michigan/MSU game earlier this year. The big difference too, Taylor Martinez actually can throw the ball, especially better than Denard Robinson. Nebraska's defense has had some speedbump moments this year but I believe that's been against fast paced/uptempo offenses that like to go-go-go at you (ala the UCLA game). The Spartans really do no such thing. They like to huddle, and then come at you physically. I think the Huskers are built to stop this kind of scheme, and will do so. Pick: 1.25 Star - Nebraska -2

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 9:29 am
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Harry Bondi

UCONN (+8) over South Florida

South Florida has been one of the most overrated teams in the country for two years running and simply should not be laying points to anyone right now, especially to a UConn team that has held its opponent to 21 points or less five times in seven games this season. After dropping a heart-breaking 37-36 decision to Syracuse last week -- a game it led by 20 at halftime -- South Florida is mentally cooked. The Bulls have now lost six consecutive games straight-up and over the last three years they are 4-14 against the spread in Big East play and 4-15 ATS as a favorite. UConn comes in fresh off a bye week, has the better defense, is in a better mind set and is catching more than a TD. Take the generous points.

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 9:30 am
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Ray Monohan

Oregon vs. USC
Play: USC

A classic Pac 12 matchup. We should all expect one of the toughest tests to date for the conference favorite Ducks when they take their 12-game road winning streak to the LA Coliseum to face the No. 17 Trojans. The Oregon Ducks have the most potent offense in the country this season, as evident by their 70-14 routing of the Colorado Buffaloes this past weekend. They've averaged 53.4 points per game (first in the nation), so one could argue they know how to put the ball in the endzone. They average 330.6 yards per game, which is good enough for third in the nation. For USC last game out Marqise Lee had 16 receptions for 345 yards and two touchdowns, showing why he deserves to be in the conversation for best receiver in college football. Containing Barkley, Lee and Woods is an entirely different game than the Ducks have faced thus far in 2012. The Trojans will have home field advantage and a powerful offense to combat the Ducks, that much is obvious. The Trojans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. This game is going to come down to is whether or not redshirt freshman quarterback Marcus Mariota can stay composed in a hostile environment. I think the Ducks D will do enough for the straight up win, but Matt Barkley and his men of Troy will do enough to keep this interesting right to final whistle. 9 is too many. I'd play this at +8.5 too. The Trojans cover.

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 9:30 am
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Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY

Clemson -12.5 over DUKE: Duke had a nice run vs lesser competition but their closing stretch has not been easy as they come in having lost 2 of their last 3 and in those two losses they have been outscored by 31 ppg. Now they face a Clemson team that is on a roll having have won their last 4 in a row and each win has been by at least 14 points. What's scary for the ACC is that this high powered offense has now been aided by a defense that has allowed just 30 points in their last 2 weeks, compared to allowing 27.3 ppg in their first 6 games. The Clemson offense comes in as one of the better in the ACC, averaging 498 ypg and 41 ppg and will be taking on a Duke defense that is wilting down the stretch, allowing 499.7 ypg and 39.7 ppg in their last 3 games. Their is no way this defense will slow down the Tigers enough to keep this one close. Clemson by 17+ here.

4 UNIT PLAY

Virginia +10.5 over NC STATE: Good spot for the Cavs here as they off a week of rest and catch the Wolfpack off a game with instate rival North Carolina. Since the since their upset of of Florida state, the Wolfpack haven't looked all that great winning by just 2 at Maryland and then falling behind 25-7 to North Carolina, before losing that game late. The Wolfpack comes in ranked 78th overall in defense, allowing 416 ypg and they are 112th in the nation vs the pass, allowing 278 ypg. That pass defense plays right into the hands of the Cavs, who come in with the 32nd ranked passing offense with 279.8 ypg. On the other side we have a State offense that has been very good piling up 429.2 ypg overall (49th) and they have the 18th ranked passing offense in the nation with 306.9 ypg. Difference here is the fact that the Cavs have the 39th ranked passing defense, allowing just 207.5 ypg through the air. The Cavs have the far better defense in this one and will be able to pass on the Wolfpack defense which should enable them to keep this one close. As the Pregame Pros say on the videos all the time... "Give me a team with the better defense getting double digits anytime". The Cavs may just win this one outright.

3 UNIT PLAYS

EAST CAROLINA +3.5 over Houston: Revenge is a big word for the Pirates in this one as they look for some payback after losing 56-3 to Houston last year and I feel they will get it. Both teams are solid on offense, but the difference here will be a much better ECU defense that has allowed 28.7 ppg and 411.6 ypg, compared to the 450.9 yards per game and 35.3 points that the Cougars have allowed on the year. In their last road game the Cougars allowed a mediocre SM offense to put up 72 points on them. This is a bad defense. ECU is 4-1 against the spread in their last five conference games, 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games, and 6-0 against the spread following a loss, plus they are 12-1 ATS as a home dog if they allowed 28+ points in their last game, while Houston is 1-5 against the spread in their last six road games against a team with a winning home record. I smell revenge and an outright win by the Pirates here.

LSU +9 over Alabama: I wanted to make this play a bit higher, but I had gone against the Tide the last two weeks and they burned me so I'll play it a little safe and go with the Tigers as a 3 Unit play here. I really do like this play though. LSU has big revenge on their minds after losing last years Title game to the Tide and what better place to get it than at home, where they have won 22 in a row. We also note that Les Miles is 57-5 SU in his career in night games overall. The Tide do have an edge offensively, especially at the QB slot, but Mettenberger seems to be improving and i have a feeling he will come up with enough big plays to keep his team in this one. The Alabama defense is the the best in the nation, but this LSU defense is just as strong, ranking 3rd overall, 4th against the pass and 9th in points allowed. Alabama's power running game could have a tough time getting going vs this strong LSU run defense that has allowed just 72.6 ypg and 2.8 ypc on the year. This should be a classic game. Very tight with Alabama winning by no more than a FG.

Notre Dame/ Pittsburgh Under 45: This Notre Dame defense proved just how for real they are after last weeks win in Oklahoma and that has allowed their offense to play mistake free football and not take chances, knowing they have that strong defense behind them. The Irish haven't allowed more than 17 points in a game all year and they have played some better offenses than they will face in this one. Sure the Pitt offense has come around of late, but playing Temple and Buffalo the last 2 weeks is a far cry from facing this Notre Dame defense. The Pitt offense has also struggled on the road this year averaging just 14.3 ppg and 338 ypg. The Pitt defense has not been that bad this year as they have allowed just 339.9 ypg and 21.3 ppg on the year and they will not be facing an explosive Irish offense in this one. The Irish offense will once again be conservative knowing that they have a tough defense behind them and that will keep both teams from scoring a bunch of points in this one.

Nebraska/ Michigan State Under 44.5: Michigan State has played just 1 game in their last 7 games in which more than 35 points have been scored. This team has one of the weakest offenses in the Big 10, while also sporting the best defense in the league. Giving you an example of this we see that the Spartans have scored 17 points or less 6 times this year, while they have allowed 19 points or less in 7 of their 8 games played on the year. This is a conservative offense that averages 360 ypg, but just 19 ppg and will be facing a tough Nebraska defense that has allowed just 336 ypg on the year and are off a game in which they gave up just 9 points to a very good Michigan offense. On offense the Huskers are more of a running team and they will have to do plenty of that to keep this very good State defense honest and that will eat plenty of clock. It is really hard to see this game hitting the 40’s.

Kansas/ Baylor Under 71: I know the Baylor defense is very bad, but this Kansas offense has put up just 13.8 ppg in their last 6 games and they haven’t scored more than 17 points in 5 of those 6 games. They are not an explosive offense and should have problems scoring vs this bad Baylor defense. The Baylor offense has been able to score on just about everyone this year but in 2 of their last 3 games they were able to manage just 21 points in each game. The Kansas defense is not terrible, allowing 30.1 ppg on the year and they should come up with enough stops to keep Baylor from hanging 50 on them. This should end up in the low 60’s at most.

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 9:32 am
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SPORTS WAGERS

MISSISSIPPI STATE +7 -110 over Texas A&M

The Bulldogs have lost just once all season and that came last week at #1 Alabama. The Aggies have lost twice this season to Florida and to LSU, not exactly the most feared offenses in the nation. Mississippi State boasts the best offense A&M will see this year save Louisiana Tech's. The Aggies’ offense is also a talented bunch but we saw what happened to them when they faced the aforementioned pair of quality defenses and MSU’s defense is just as good as the those two. Texas A&M is off to a great start in the SEC, but this new kid on the block won’t be permitted to just jump into the league's upper echelon right away.

Coach Dan Mullen has had four years to build the Bulldogs' roster and a fine job he has done. The result is a finished product that is simply a better team than a promising A&M squad with an all-new staff and a true freshman quarterback. The Aggies also host #1 Alabama next week at home and that certainly has to be on their minds. We’re calling the Bulldogs outright but will gladly accept these generous points.

IOWA STATE +12 -105 over Oklahoma

At the college ranks, it is usually a good idea to fade teams coming off crushing losses and the Sooners fit right in here. Oklahoma was confident not only that it would beat Notre Dame but also that it would beat the Irish convincingly, announcing the Sooners' return to the national scene. That didn’t turn out so well after Notre Dame trounced Oklahoma by a 30-13 count, an embarrassing and devastating loss. Now this visitor has to pick up the pieces and play well in an early time slot in Ames, against a tough Iowa State team that is starting to show signs of life on offense and will play especially inspired ball this week for injured captain Jake Knott.

ISU has played such a tough schedule and have not looked a bit out of place against teams like K-State (a six point loss), Iowa or TCU. The Cyclones have a shot at winning outright but we’ll jump at the chance to take double digits. Another Paul Rhoads upset should not come as a surprise.

Tulsa +9½ -105 over ARKANSAS

On the surface, there is a matchup argument for Arkansas. Tulsa is principally a rushing team while the Razorbacks' defensive issues have mostly come against the pass. Arkansas though, hasn't been able to make its talent work. A disastrous offseason, a bubble-bursting September and a home loss to a Mississippi team that hadn't won consecutive conference games since 2009 have zapped this team of the swag required to maximize its abilities. Arkansas has endured some embarrassing losses already this season that include the upset at the hands of a Sun Belt squad, the subsequent blowout by visiting Alabama, blown double-digit leads against Rutgers and Ole Miss and a second-half laydown at Texas A&M. But the lowest point could occur today when the Razorbacks get run out of their own stadium by a school that hasn't beaten a major-conference opponent since 1998.

Tulsa is a tough, well-coached outfit that is playing with confidence, chemistry and momentum. The Hurricane lead the nation with a plus-31 sack differential, are solid against the run, boast an abundance of explosive skill players on offense and field much better special teams than their SEC host. Upset possibility.

MICHIGAN STATE +105 over Nebraska

Nebraska is an elite program that will find its way back to the national top 10 sooner or later but it's just not going to happen until several changes occur. The Cornhuskers continue to suffer from below-average offensive coaching, a total lack of ball security and a defense that is built for the spread offenses of the Big 12 rather than the downhill attacks of the Big Ten.

Even at 5-4, Michigan State is feeling better about itself. Beating Wisconsin with a late-game drive and overtime touchdown has provided a huge boost in confidence for QB Andrew Maxwell and the entire offense. Prior to that one, this team had come out at the short end of three tight games against excellent competition despite getting little from its passing game. Even a slight improvement makes this a dangerous group and this week, Sparty gets to take that newfound confidence and momentum to the field in front of its home crowd. It will do so against a Nebraska defense that has allowed an average of 484 total yards and 298 rushing yards on the road this season. Anything close to that today has us gladly endorsing the dog outright.

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 9:34 am
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Joe Gavazzi

Oregon vs. USC
Play: Oregon

The fact Oregon is 12-0 SU away, 6-1 ATS recently, gives plenty of reason for hope when fading a quality team like USC on their home field. As if they Ducks needed more motivation. Last year USC ended the Ducks BCS quest with a 38-35 win as +15 in Autzen. Now the Ducks look to gain their revenge and record their 15th consecutive conference road win. In those contests they have a 19 PPG victory margin. That clearly means the Ducks will have the best of the emotions this afternoon. Especially since USC suffered their 2nd loss of the season when they were unable to corral the Arizona spread offense in a 39-36 Arizona victory. Sure the Wildcats profited from a +4 in the TO margin, but they also had 200 Club numbers in amassing 588 total yards of offense. What will the Ducks (whose starters average less than 3 quarters/game) do with an attack that scores an average of 53 PPG on 540 yards. Revenge is sweet as the Ducks continue their BCS quest. Put quality teams in revenge situations and good things will happen. Such is the case with this game that you can take all the way to the bank.

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 9:35 am
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BOB BALFE

Georgia Tech -8.5 over Maryland

Maryland has a great defense however they are now on their 5th string QB and coming into this week they didn’t even have a guy on the team that could play the position. Forget about the points. There is no way Gtech should lose this game. Maryland is going to have a tough time scoring and its just a matter of time before the Yellow Jackets break this game wide open. Take Georgia Tech.

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 10:15 am
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Charlies Sports

TCU at West Virginia
Play: West Virginia -3

The (5-3) TCU Horned Frogs of the Big 12 will take on the (5-2) West Virginia Mountaineers also of the Big 12 in 2012 NCAA Football action. Both TCU and West Virginia have dropped their last 2 NCAA Football games straight up and ATS. The Mountaineers have the advantage of being at home and a better quarterback. West Virginia gets the home cover-3'.

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 10:22 am
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Scott Delaney

My free pick run for Saturday is going to be out of the Sun Belt Conference, as I play the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks minus the points over rival Louisiana-Lafayette, in a crucial league showdown. Tell you what, this is a dangerous Warhawks team and I wouldn't turn your back on it. Since falling to Baylor in the home opener back on Sept. 21, the 'Hawks have won five straight games, the first time they've won five straight since 1993, when they were a member of the FCS (1-AA) ranks.

The Warhawks, who are 4-0 in the Sun Belt for the first time since joining the conference, check in on ATS win streaks of 4-0 against winning teams, 8-2 after an ATS setback and 7-2 overall. Meanwhile, the Cajuns check in on a two-game losing streak on the gridiron and three-game slide versus the books and are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.

This kid Kolton Browning has taken charge of the offense, and could be headed to all-Sun Belt honore, as the 6-foot-1 junior quarterback needs just three touchdown passes to set a new school-record for career touchdown passes. Browning, who leads the Sun Belt with an average of 270.5 yards per game, has 53 career touchdown passes.

And with Middle Tennessee State pulling off a 34-29 upset Thursday night as a 9-point underdog at Western Kentucky, the Warhawks are now atop the conference standings by themselves. That should provide Browning enough motivation to set that school record in this game alone.

Monroe has the 22nd-ranked offense that averages almost 465 yards per game, while it's 18th-ranked scoring offense puts up nearly 40 points per game. That doesn't bode well for the Ragin Cajuns, whose defense ranks 92nd nationally, allowing 437 yards per game. Also, and another benefit for Browning, is the fact Lafayette has the 12th-worst pass defense in the country, allowing nearly 300 yards per game via the air.

Yeah, everything is in the right spot for the Warhawks in this game, and I'm laying the points.

2♦ UL MONROE

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 10:58 am
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Chuck O'Brien

My free winner for Saturday is going to be a Conference USA clash in New Orleans, as I'm playing the Rice Owls over the Tulane Green Wave in what is a little bit more of a rivalry than you might know. Honestly, anything out of Houston is considered a rival to the Bayou state, as it very close to the border of Texas and Louisiana.

So as the Owls have won two of their last three overall and closed out October with a 2-2 record, I expect them to start out November with a crucial win. See, at 3-6 with three games left - Rice has to win them all to become bowl eligible. Good thing this is their time of the year, as the Owls are 17-9 in games played in November or later since 2006.

And they should be nice and fired up for struggling Tulane (2-6), as they crushed Southern Miss last week, 44-17, the Owls' largest margin of victory in a conference game since defeatin SMU 56-27 in the opening game of the 2008 season.

What I've noticed about this Rice team, while going 2-2 in October, it has sliced opponents' average per carry nearly in half. In its first five games, opposing runners averaged 6.8 yards per carry (215 carries, 1,452 yards), while over its last four they're averaging a mere 3.6 (169/610). Overall, the Owls have held their last three foes to an average of 323 yards per game in total offense, after allowing an average of 559.0 to start the campaign.

Rice, which has outscored its last three opponents 112-73 and has yet to trail in the first half in each of the last four games, arrives in The Big Easy on ATS win streaks of 4-1 on the road, 17-7 in November, 4-0 after an ATS cover and 6-2 overall.

Lay the points, as Rice inches closer to bowl eligibility.

2♦ RICE

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 10:59 am
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Craig Davis

The biggest thing going against Oregon State tonight (well, two things actually) is the fact they have an awful series history record against ASU and they are coming off a devastating loss last week that knocked them from the ranks of the unbeaten.

Aside from that, I believe they are the better football team and, playing at home, should be able to take care of business as long as they can eliminate turnovers and penalties.

True, ASU leads the series 25-12-1, but that's mainly because Oregon State has been so bad for so many years. Arizona State might have won last year's matchup, but that ended a three-game losing skid in this series and the Devils have always struggled in Corvallis, going just 6-8-1 despite many "down" years for the Beavers.

Last week's OSU loss in Washington was the Beaver's first loss of the year, but it can be directed to one main area that they must eliminate tonight... turnovers. OSU outgained Washington 427 to 293, but four Sean Mannion INTs gave the Huskies a huge edge that they took advantage of.

We've all seen what ASU's offense is capable of, but can they do it on the road against a defense that has been as good as Oregon State's? Not many teams have been able to do it and I'm not sure ASU, despite what we saw last week with 43 points and over 500 yards of offense, is going to be nearly that successful.

The focal point of the Sun Devil attack will be running backs D.J. Foster and Marion Grice, both as runners and receivers. No doubt they are a dangerous tandem and must be taken seriously, but this OSU defense is so aggressive that I'm not sure they're worried. They've seen good RB combos in the past and have fared quite well.

The major story of the week for OSU, offensively, is at quarterback, where starter Sean Mannion has been benched in favor of Cody Vaz after Mannion tossed four interceptions in last week's loss. The only thing Vaz lacks that Mannion has is size. Vazi is a few inches shorter than Mannion, but is a very poised QB with a good arm and better mobility. That will help in the fourth quarter, if you ask me. You want a QB who is able to scramble if the pocket breaks down.

The biggest thing for OSU tonight is turnovers, ultimately. If they can limit the mistakes and keep the ball in their possession for more than 30 minutes, they'll win this game going away.

Both teams are fairly even in terms of match-ups, but the defensive advantage and home field advantage is enough for me to release the Beavers tonight, minus the points, as your free play of the day.

3♦ OREGON STATE

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 10:59 am
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Jeff Benton

Your Saturday freebie is to grab the double-digits with the Pittsburgh Panthers as they play in South Bend against the unbeaten Irish of Notre Dame.

Hats-off to Brian Kelly for taking his team into Norman last week as the near two touchdown underdog and winning outright in laugher, 30-13. No doubt the Fighting Irish defense can make life miserable for many teams out their, but is this the spot where the Irish come up a little flat and dodge a bullet?

I think it is.

Pittsburgh has won four of their six games since opening the campaign at 0-2 under first-year coach Paul Chryst, and are fresh off a 41-17 rout of the Temple Owls their last time on the field.

The road team in this rivalry is 5-1-1 against the spread the last seven times the schools have faced one another, and the Irish come into this game in South Bend having dropped three of their four home games at Notre Dame Stadium - all as the favorite.

Definite letdown spot for the Irish who will do just enough to get the outright win today, but will fail against the spread.

Take the Panthers plus the points.

3♦ PITTSBURGH

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 11:03 am
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Chris Jordan

Akron at KENT STATE (-20')

Battle for a Wagon Wheel.

That's why my early free pick has to do with this week. When the Kent State Golden Flashes host the Akron Zips, a battle for the coveted Wagon Wheel inside Dix Stadium will take place. And after seeing what the Flashes did to Rutgers last week, I'm switching gears with this Mid American Conference force and will lay the near three-touchdown favorite.

The Golden Flashes come in off their first win over a ranked opponent in 23 tries, as they handled Rutgers in a 35-23 win in New Jersey, at Rutgers, which was No. 15 in last week's BCS standings. Kent State has six straight wins in a season for the first time since 1940. The Golden Flashes have won eight straight games against teams currently in the MAC, and dating back to Oct. 29, 2011, Kent State has won 11 of its last 13 games overall.

Kent State leads the nation with a plus-19 turnover margin after forcing 13 turnovers in its last two games, and that could be trouble for the pass-happy Zips, who rank 13th in the nation and lead the MAC in passing, averaging 316 yards per game. I know the Zips rank 42nd in the nation in total offense, but this is too hard a game for them to overcome.

Kent has been defying odds all season to get to this point. Last week, Rutgers ranked third in the nation in run defense and scoring defense, but Kent State's five ball carriers combined for 242 rushing yards.

Lay the points with Kent State.

2♦ KENT STATE

Arizona (+3') at UCLA

My late freebie for Saturday takes me out to Pasadena, where I like the visiting Arizona Wildcats against the UCLA Bruins inside the Rose Bowl. Arizona is ranked 24th; UCLA is 25th. In the BCS Standings, Arizona is 22nd and the Bruins are nowhere to be found. And as Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez seeks his first road victory, I think this could be a symbolic victory for his Wildcats.

Both Pac-12 rivals carry two-game conference win streaks into this matchup, which could very well shape the South Division race heading into the final weeks of the season. The six FBS opponents that Arizon has played in 2012 have a combined record of 43-12 entering this week’s game, and I think that'll prove to be beneficial in this road contest.

And what I see this one coming down to is how Arizona's resilient and opportunistic defense performs, as it's forced eight turnovers over the last two games. I expect it to capitalize and get key stops to complement one of the nation’s most explosive offenses. And remember, the Wildcats have won five straight in the rivalry, including last year's 48-12 blowout last season, an embarrassing loss that contributed to then-UCLA coach Rick Neuheisel's dismissal.

Arizona is among the nation's top offenses with 553 yards per game. And even though quarterback Matt Scott was rocked by the Southern Cal defense last week, he's expected to play, and that'll be trouble for the Bruins. Scott is going to put on a show, along with receiver Austin Hill and tailback Ka'Deem Carey against a Bruins defense that has given up 43 points in two of its last three games.

Take the road pup here, as the 'Cats are playing with a purpose and will aim for the outright.

1♦ ARIZONA

 
Posted : November 3, 2012 11:06 am
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