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3* on Texas Longhorns +10
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Reasons the Longhorns cover:
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1.) System Play. We'll Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. This is an 83-33 ATS System hitting 71.6% over the last 10 seasons. This system is a perfect 6-0 this season.
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2.) The Longhorns have never lost three consecutive regular season games with Mack Brown as head coach. Sure, the Huskers will be hungry for revenge, but Texas may actually be the more motivated team Saturday because they know if they lose this one, their season is likely over. Brown will have them ready to play Saturday. Plus, Texas is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings with Nebraska. Bet the Longhorns on the road.
Carolina SportsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Syracuse Orange
Play: Syracuse Orange +1½
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Last week was a step in the right direction for Syracuse as they went on the road and beat USF as 7.5-point underdogs 13-9. Cuse really has improved under 2nd year coach Doug Marrone. The schedule hasn’t been strong but beating USF was important for their confidence. We have not been Dave Wannstedt for a long time and will continue to feel that way. He has not done a good job at Pitt in big games and with the talent they have they should be much better than they are. Pitt can move the ball but they struggle to put touchdowns on the board. They are avg 5.6 yppl vs teams that combine to allow 5.3 yppl. The Pit running game is avg 4.7 ypr against teams that combine to allow 4.3 ypr. It looks good but has not faced a strong rush defense. Syracuse stats again are little skewed because of the quality of competition they have faced but should have the motivation to compete with Pitt at home. We like Syracuse in this game, as we know Pitt has the talent edge but Cuse is looking to revitalize its program and last week was a great start. We expect a huge SU crowd in this one and that is something that has not been seen in quite a long time. Pitt is overrated still and Syracuse is underrated in our eyes. Syracuse 20-14
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Ole Miss vs. AlabamaFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Head Coach Nick Saban of the Crimson Tide is HOT!!! Even after his team's loss to the South Carolina Gamecocks, Saban knows very well that if he wins the rest of his games impressively, Alabama will still be in the thick of the national title race. The Crimson Tide will take no prisoners from this day till the BCS Title Game. ALABAMA is (10-1) ATS when they score (28) or more points over the last (2 )seasons and see no reason they wouldn't hit that magic number in this game. Big Game James Patrick's complimentary selection in Saturday College Football action is Alabama Crimson Tide.
Jimmy MooreFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech
Pick: Oklahoma State +3
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Am I missing something here??? Ok State is undefeating with an offense that is scoring a ton of points and they are an underdog to a Tech team that already has 2 conference losses and doesn't appear to have much defense? I will take the bait on this one especially with the Cowboys covering 4 of the last 5 in this series played on this field.
Dwayne BryantFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Nevada at HawaiiFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Bet: Hawaii +6.5FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Hawaii has the passing game to give Nevada's defense fits. The Wolfpack have gotten their record by playing some pretty weak competition, and visiting Hawaii is always a tough roadie. Looks like a game where the team with the ball last has the chance to win it. I'll grab the points for a small wager.
Tom Freese
Boise St. at San Jose St.
Prediction: Boise St.
Boise St is 5-0 straight up scoring 50 or more points in 3 of their 5 games. The Broncos are 21-8-1 ATS their last 30 games overall. Boise St is 8-3 ATS their last 11 Conference games. The Broncos are 13-3 ATS their last 16 road games. Boise St is 41-19 ATS their last 60 games after passing for more than 280 yards in their last game. San Jose St is 1-5 straight up. Their only win was over Southern Utah a non-lined team. The Spartans are 7-20 ATS their last 27 games overall. San Jose is 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Spartans are 0-6 ATS their last 6 home games.
Rocketman
Tulane vs. Tulsa
Play: Tulsa -18.5
Tulane is 4-13 ATS last 3 years against conference opponents. Tulsa is scoring 36.2 points per game overall this year and 37 points per game at home this season. Tulsa is allowing only 17 points per game at home this year. Tulsa is 5-0 SU and ATS overall vs Tulane since 1992. Green Wave are 17-38-1 ATS in their last 56 conference games. Green Wave are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. Green Wave are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU loss. Green Wave are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games overall. Golden Hurricane are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games. Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Tulsa tonight!
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Cal Golden Bears +3
Off back-to-back heartbreaking defeats in a pair of games the USC Trojans put a lot of stock in, I don't believe they'll be able to pick themselves up today. Since laying an egg against Nevada, Cal has played strong football, playing Arizona to a 1-point game on the road and clubbing UCLA. The Bears will be especially motivated this afternoon as they try to snap a 6-game losing streak against USC. The key here is how poorly the USC defense has performed in recent weeks. The Trojans gave up 536 yards to Washington and 478 to Stanford. Both teams had enormous success on the ground, and that's where I believe a Cal team that racked up 304 rushing yards on UCLA can take advantage. Looking at the numbers, we find that the Golden Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 trips to Southern California. We also find that the Trojans are a poor 4-11 ATS in their last 15 conference games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Golden Bears are a respectable 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog, and I'll back them in that role here today.
EZWINNERS
Nebraska Cornhuskers -9.5
The Huskers have had this game circled on the calendar since last season and Nebraska would love nothing more than to crush the Longhorns on their way to the Big Ten next season. There is bad blood between these two schools and Texas is probably the main reason that Nebraska left the Big XII for the Big Ten. The Horns have dominated this series, but this time around it appears as if the Huskers will get their revenge. Texas has no running game what so ever and quarterback Garrett Gilbert is ranked 82nd in the nation in passing. The Nebraska defense is one of the best in the nation as they rank second in rushing defense, first in passing defense and forth in scoring defense. Not exactly what the doctor ordered for the struggling Texas offense. Nebraska's duo of Freshman quarterback Taylor Martinez and running back Roy Helu Jr. will be too much for the Horns to handle. Martinez already has four 100 yard rushing efforts in five career starts and he can also kill the Horns with the play action pass when the defense starts to cheat up to stop the run. Lay the points.
John Ryan
NC State Wolfpack vs. East Carolina Pirates
Play: East Carolina Pirates +8
5* graded play on East Carolina as they host NC State set to start Noon EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that ECU will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 23-9 making 27.5 units since 2005. Play against a road team using the money line after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games facing an opponent after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games. Average play has been a +158 DOG so be sure to write this one down and take advantage of these opportunities as they qualify. I also strongly believe that ECU will score more than 28 points in this game. ECU is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. ECU defense has not played well of late, but it places them into a strong rebound mode for this game. Pirates are 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. Take ECU.
Tom Stryker
BYU Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs
Play: TCU Horned Frogs -29
TCU has thoroughly dominated BYU in the last two meetings winning by the combined score of 70-14. With the Cougars offensively challenged this season, another blowout Horned Frogs victory is likely on the horizon.
Statistically speaking, the Blue and White are averaging only 16.7 points and 329 total yards per game this year and have not shown the ability to throw the football ringing up an average of just 5.0 yards per pass. That's just not going to be good enough against this tenacious TCU defense. The Horned Frogs have allowed an average of only 10.3 points and 230 total yards per game and they'll have no trouble at all stuffing this low-octane Cougars attack.
There is plenty of technical support on the TCU side too. At home, the Frogs have been tough to beat posting a powerful 61-11 SU and 46-21 ATS record in their last 72 games including a phenomenal 40-6 SU and 34-12 ATS in this role matched up against a conference opponent. As a big favorite of -21 points or more, TCU has taken care of business too notching a sensational 11-4 ATS record.
This isn't BYU's best role either. On foreign soil matched up against an opponent that checks in with momentum off a straight up victory, the Cougars are a weak 12-20 SU and 9-23 ATS. Also, when coming off a straight up underdog win, the Blue and White are a soft 9-15-1 ATS in their next battle including just 2-10-1 ATS in this situation facing a foe that arrives off a straight up victory.
The Horned Frogs are in a zone right now defensively and shutting down this struggling Cougars offensive attack won't be much of a problem. Expect another dominant performance for the home team in this conference affair. Take TCU.
OC Dooley
Oklahoma -22.5
Before getting to injury news this is a statistical mismatch as Oklahoma is currently tied for the nation’s lead in the critical category of TURNOVER MARGIN (2.0 per game) which according to my database research is extremely large. Dating all the way back to the 1992 season Iowa State is a disastrous “0-8” ATS/ROAD when facing an opponent with a “turnover margin” of +1’ per game on better. Not only is visiting Iowa State limping into this contest off a humiliating loss (68-27), the depth of the roster appears to be depleted as star running back Alexander Robinson is listed as DOUBTFUL (game time decision) with a sore foot. In addition reserve quarterback Jerome Tiller may be sidelined for a second consecutive contest due to a nagging knee injury. There is actually some GOOD news on the injury front for Oklahoma as running back Roy Finch is expected to make his 2010 debut. Finch was the Sooners #1 freshmen back in August camp, but has been unable to play ever since due to a hairline fracture in his ankle. The last time we saw Oklahoma on the field was the “red river rivalry” victory against Texas and this team has won ELEVEN YEARS in a row in the game immediately following that contest. The Sooners are also UNDEFEATED long term in front of the home fans (12-0 straight up) when off a “bye” week which makes this a high percentage wager. The location of tonight’s Fox-Net TV broadcast is also important when you consider that in games involving Iowa State this season the HOME team is UNDEFEATED (6-0 ATS) where it counts. Long term in this series Oklahoma has certainly dominated straight up (67-5-2), and odds are they will cover this inflated spread
Charlie Scott
Air Force vs. San Diego State
Play: Under 53.5
Air Force's style of play on offense, running the triple option, allows the undersized service academy a chance to compete against bigger, stronger,better athletes. With their offense running the ball a majority of the time, expect Air Force to have long time- consuming drives. On defense, while small, the Air Force players are disciplined, coached well and play hard. On the other side of the ball, former New Mexico Head Coach Rocky Long runs the defense and is well versed in defending Air Force's triple option, having schemed defenses against them for over a decade. San Diego ST defenders will be in position to make tackles. In games vs decent competition, not one game has gone Over 53 for either team. This Total is inflated- Play UNDER !
Bob Wingerter
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Hawaii Warriors
Play: Nevada Wolf Pack -6½
Still playing in the shadow of third-ranked Boise State in the Western Athletic Conference, the 19th-ranked Nevada Wolf Pack aim to make some more noise this coming weekend as they take a trip to Honolulu to battle the Hawaii Warriors at Aloha Stadium.
Nevada, which rebounded from an awful start in 2009 to make it to the postseason, hasn't had any of that trouble this time around now that it is off to a perfect 6-0 start. On Saturday night the Pack motored to a 35-13 win over the San Jose State Spartans in Western Athletic Conference play to mark their sixth win in as many tries this year. It is the best start for the program since it moved to the Division I-A ranks back in 1992 and still Nevada is treated like a second-class citizen compared to Boise State.
If last year's meeting is any indication of what to expect between these two programs, Nevada ran for 312 yards and Moniz posted 374 passing yards and three TDs for the Warriors, expect this encounter to be more of the same with a wild scoring effort on both sides.
Jack Jones
Arizona vs. Washington State
Pick: Washington State +23.5
This Washington State team is coming around, and now is the time to jump on board as they are still undervalued in the eyes of the betting public. Sure, the Cougars are just 1-5 this season, but the way they have played the last two weeks shows that they are fully capable of competing in the Pac-10. They lost 28-42 at UCLA two weeks ago as 23.5-point dogs, and last week they lost 23-43 to Oregon ast 37-point dogs. The Cougars had a chance to pull within 7 points of the Ducks late in the third quarter, but an interception on Oregon's 2-yard line prevented it.
Arizona has not played well over the last two weeks, beating Cal 10-9 with a late score and losing 27-29 to Oregon State. The Wildcats were shredded for 393 passing yards against the Beavers, and Washington State QB Jeff Tuel is in for a big game in this one. Tuel leads an aerial assault that is putting up 252 passing yards per game. The Wildcats are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. a team with a losing record. Arizona is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. WSU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bet the Cougars Saturday.