Dave Price
1 Unit Michigan State +8
Michigan State has either won or lost by 8 points or less in each of its last 5 meetings with Wisconsin. It defeated the Badgers by 10 points in last year's meeting, holding them to just 292 yards of offense. Wisconsin has done whatever it has wanted to offensively this season, but it is yet to face a defense like Sparty brings to the table. The Spartans rank second in the country in total defense (186.2 ypg allowed), 4th in scoring defense (10.8 ppg allowed), 1st in pass defense (119.2 ypg allowed) and 3rd in run defense (67.0 ypg allowed). Michigan State has played the tougher schedule thus far, which has better prepared it for this game. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and I like this trend to hold up Saturday. We'll take the points.
TEDDY COVERS
East Carolina @ Navy
PICK: Navy -11.5
Last year, East Carolina was thoroughly annihilated by Navy, a 76-35 Midshipmen victory. The Middies ran for 8.5 yards per attempt, gaining well over 500 yards on the ground. The Pirates defense only forced one punt on 14 Navy possessions while giving up ten touchdowns.
The rematch comes on Saturday, and East Carolina doesn’t appear to be ready to stop the Navy triple option any better than they did last year. In 2010, this matchup came in mid-season for the Pirates in a major sandwich spot for Ruffin McNeal – coming off two Conference USA games, with three more on deck. This year’s game is in a similar spot. Defending Navy’s option requires a series defensive makeover. East Carolina hasn’t faced an option team yet and they won’t face another one. That makes this something of a ‘throwaway’ game for the road underdog.
While this looks like a real flat spot for East Carolina, it’s an absolute ‘must win’ game for a Navy team that has lost four straight for the first time since the Charlie Weatherbie era ended in 2001. Three of those four losses came by a field goal or less – it’s not like Navy has a bad team this year. And with Notre Dame on deck, this game holds the key to any realistic possibility for the Middies to go bowling this December. Expect another one sided affair. Take Navy.
Erin Rynning
Penn State at Northwestern
Play: Over 47.5
In the midst of a four-game losing streak, Northwestern has been one of the more disappointing teams in college football this season. The main reason for their downfall has been defense or lack thereof as they’ve surrendered 142 the last four weeks. By routinely allowing big plays (nearly 20 plays of 30+ yards) it has translated into a host of high scoring games. Meanwhile, the offense is starting to hit its stride (933 total yards last two games) with senior signal caller Dan Persa. They’re a difficult team to defend with a multitude of formations – all made possible because of a sturdy offensive line.
To date, Penn State has been the epitome of an “under team” with a 0-6-1 O/U mark. Only an ultra-low total of 41 (push) last week against Purdue kept the Nittany Lions from cashing unders in all seven games. The offense continues to be a work in progress surrounding quarterbacks Rob Bolden and Matt McGloin. The red zone has turned into a nightmare with touchdowns on just 13 of 28 attempts. But against this weak Northwestern defense, I project Penn State will be able to not only move the football but cash in went it counts. PSU’s defense has been rock solid this season, but concerns linger about injuries and depth. They lost stud middle linebacker Mike Mauti a few games ago and the d-line doesn’t have the bodies to rotate like seasons past. Northwestern’s quick moving offense should have a tiring effect on the Lions stop-unit. The weather looks pleasant in Evanston for this contest and we’ll side with the over.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on Auburn +21
Auburn isn't the same team that beat LSU 24-17 last year, but it is still a quality team and isn't getting the respect it deserves from odds makers. History is clearly on our side here considering underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (AUBURN) off an upset win by 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 23-5 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been valued as an underdog of 15.4 points on average and have only lost by an average of 10 points. Since coach Chizik took over, Auburn is 12-1 ATS vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 10 points or more per game. Under coach Miles, LSU is only 3-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record. We'll take the points.
Jimmy Moore
USC @ Notre Dame - NBC
Pick: Notre Dame -9
The Irish have been very strong on offense all season long especially since they stopped hurting themselves with turnovers in the red zone. They have had an extra week to prepare for this game and have looked very strong at home after the South Florida debacle in game 1. USC is ineligible for post season play which has to have them less motivated to play this season and their defense has been torched 2 of the last 3 weeks. Lay this number with the Fighting Irish.
Jack Clayton
Washington at Stanford
Pick: Washington
A huge Pac-12 North showdown! The Cardinal (4-0 Pac-12) now enters the heart of its schedule, starting here with Washington (3-0 Pac 12). Washington (5-1 SU, 5-0 ATS) Coach Steve Sarakasian runs a pro-style attack with junior QB Keith Price (21 TDs, 3 INTs) and RB Chris Polk, averaging 36 points and 251 yards passing. The Huskies are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Play Washington.
Rob Vinciletti
Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
Play: Western Michigan -12
Western Michigan fits a solid system that is 78-32 against the spread and plays on road teams priced from +3 to -25 vs an opponent that won as a road dog at +10 or more. Eastern Michigan comes hope off a big upset win at Central Michigan as an 11 point dogs, which sets up the play. Eastern Michigan is 0-16 straight up in game 8 of the season and 0-6 ats in games before playing Ball St. They have failed to cover their last 4 times off a dog win and have lost both straight up and ats as a home dog from 10.5 to 15. Western Michigan is 4-0 with 3 covers as a road favorite from 10.5 to 14, has won 7 of the last 8 in the series and is a solid 10-1 ats on the road after allowing 35 or more points in their last game. Look for Western Michigan to win and cover today.
Jim Feist
East Carolina at Navy
Play: Navy -7
East Carolina (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) isn’t quite as good offensively as last year, but the defense looks just as bad. They lost 56-37 to South Carolina and 56-3 to Houston. The defense is giving up 36 ppg and was horrendous in 2010, giving up 44 ppg! The Pirates are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. The Navy Midshipmen average 31 points and 282 yards rushing behind senior QB Kriss Proctor. Against South Carolina, a 24-21 loss, the Midshipmen ran their option efficiently, rushing for 274 yards split among seven players. After some tough, close losses, look for a huge effort by the Navy. Navy is 57-40-1 against the spread the last eight+ seasons and the Midshipmen are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. CUSA. Play Navy!
Rocketman
Indiana @ Iowa
Play: Iowa -23
Indiana is 1-6 overall this year while Iowa is 4-2 on the season. Iowa is 12-1 ATS since 1992 as a favorite of 21 1/2 to 31 points. Iowa is 12-3 ATS since 1992 at home when the total is between 52 1/2 and 56 points. Indiana is scoring 16 points per game on the road while allowing 36.7 points per game in road games this year. Iowa is 4-0 SU at home this year. Iowa is scoring 32.5 points per game overall this year and 37.7 points per game at home this season. Indiana is 0-4 ATS last 4 games as a road underdog of 10 1/2 points or more. Iowa is 5-1 ATS last 6 home games. We'll recommend a small play on Iowa today!
Sean Murphy
Temple @ Bowling Green
Pick: Bowling Green +14.5
Big things weren't necessarily expected out of Temple this season, yet here the Owls are, off to a 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS start.
After winning back-to-back games by a combined 76-0 margin, it's easy to forget that the Owls began the month with an ugly 36-13 home loss to Toledo.
This Temple squad isn't without its flaws. The Owls passing game has been non-existent. Chester Stewart doesn't pose much of a big play threat under center. He's thrown just 13 touchdown passes in 367 attempts over the last four seasons. That's alarming when you consider he's thrown 17 interceptions over that stretch.
Yes, the Owls have an explosive ground game led by Bernard Pierce and Matt Brown, but one-dimensional offenses tend to have a tough time covering two-touchdown spreads, particularly on the road against conference foes.
Bowling Green has lost three games in a row, but the Falcons are no pushover. They remain a solid 4-3 ATS on the season, and gave Toledo all it could handle in a 28-21 loss last Saturday.
Unlike the Owls, the Falcons do possess a balanced offense that also boasts big play potential. QB Matt Schilz has thrown 17 touchdowns, more than Owls QB Stewart has thrown over the course of his entire college career. RB Anthon Samuel is one of the most impressive freshmen in the MAC, gaining 592 yards on 100 carries so far this season.
This has been a tightly-contested series over the last decade or so, with Bowling Green holding a slight 4-3 edge in seven meetings dating back to the 2000 season. Last year, the Falcons went into Philadelphia and nearly upset Temple, dropping a 28-27 decision but easily covering the 20.5-point spread. We're not getting quite as many points to work with this time around, but I won't be surprised if the ATS outcome is the same.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit Auburn +21
Auburn isn't the same team that beat LSU 24-17 last year, but it is still a quality team and isn't getting the respect it deserves from odds makers. History is clearly on our side here considering underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (AUBURN) off an upset win by 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 23-5 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been valued as an underdog of 15.4 points on average and have only lost by an average of 10 points. Since coach Chizik took over, Auburn is 12-1 ATS vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 10 points or more per game. Under coach Miles, LSU is only 3-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record. We'll take the points.
Tom Stryker
Penn State at Northwestern
Pick: Northwestern
Off back-to-back double-digit losses to Michigan and Iowa, don’t be surprised when Northwestern rises up on Homecoming and pulls off this minor upset over an offensively inept Pent State bunch. The Nittany Lions are averaging only 21.7 points and 373.1 yards per game. That won't be enough matched up against a Wildcats unit that has popped for 28.3 points and 405.3 yards per game this season.
Last year, Northwestern gave Penn State a run for its money in Happy Valley. The Purple Cats jumped out to a 21-0 lead but just couldn’t hold on after intermission. This year, with an offense that is finally starting to take shape thanks to the return of quarterback Dan Persa, head coach Pat Fitzgerald’s kids will finish the job.
Since dropping a 27-11 decision to Alabama, Penn State has quietly ripped off five consecutive victories. Except for their 28-point win over Eastern Michigan, the Nittany Lions four other wins came by an average of only 6.3 points per game. Obviously, Joe Pa isn’t blowout anybody out. PSU’s defense is the lone reason why State’s record rests at 6-1 SU!
As a home underdog in Evanston, Northwestern has held its own posting a solid 31-19 ATS record including a reliable 17-8 ATS in this set sporting a won/loss percentage less than .500. With those two parameters in play and the Cats fights a Big 10 foe, this team trend zips to a nifty 16-6 ATS!
Believe it or not, Coach Fitzgerald was with the Wildcats when they knocked off Penn State for the first time back on October 28th, 1995. The Nittany Lions were ranked 12th and the Purple pulled off a sound 21-10 victory. Matched up against a PSU team that is ranked 22nd in the USA Today coaches poll, watch the home team pull off another stunning upset. Take Northwestern!
Jeff Scott Sports
5 UNIT PLAYS
Arkansas/ Ole Miss over 56.5: After 2 games this year the Arkansas defense had allowed just 10 total points, but that was vs an FCS foe and New Mexico State, but in their last 4 games, against real offenses, they allowed 29.5 ppg. For the year this Arkansas defense is 65th in total defense (390 ypg) and 95th vs the run (189 ypg). The Arkansas defense will not help them win anything, but their offense can more than make up the slack. Arkansas is 23rd in total offense, putting up 466 ypg and 8th in passing with 337 ypg, plus they also check in at 17th in scoring, putting up 39.2 ppg. This is a very strong offense that should have it's way vs a Mississippi defense that is very poor. The Rebel defense comes in 106th overall, allowing 443 ypg and they are 81st in points allowed, giving up 29.2 ppg. Arkansas is not much of a running team, but the Ole Miss defense is 115th vs the run and if Arkansas does get the ground game going it will only open up more throwing lanes for this offense. The Ole Miss offense is one of the worst in the nation, but they have played some tough defenses (Alabama, Georgia, Vandy and BYU) an when they have played a soft defense (Frsno and FCS foe S.Illinois) they did put up 80 points in the 2 games. I clearly expect about 40 from Arkansas in this game, while Ole Miss should be good for at least 21, giving us a solid win on the Over here.
4 UNIT PLAYS
POWER ANGLE PLAY
NOTRE DAME -9.5 over USC: After years of frustration vs the Trojans and many blowout losses, the Irish got their first bit of revenge with a close win last year. Now it's time for this team to payback the Trojan for the many blowout losses, with a blowout win of their own The Irish are rolling right now after a slow start, as they have won 4 in a row, with 3 or the wins being by 18 points or more. he Irish this year are 22nd in total offense (468 ypg) and they have outgained their opponents by 105 ypg on the year. ND puts up 32.3 ppg, but in they come in averaging 48.5 ppg in their last 2 games and have put up 45 ppg in their last 2 games at home this year. Defense used to be a staple of this USC team, but not this year. The USC defense is solid vs the run, but they are 105th vs the pass, allowing 217 ypg. The Irish pass offense, that is 29th in the country should have a big game vs this unit tonight and don't forget about an Irisg ground attack that rushes for 194 ypg. This Irish offense is very balanced and will be tough for USC to stop. The USC Offense is middle of the pack in scoring at 30 ppg, but they are going up against a Notre Dame defense that has been solid this year and plays very well at home. Notre Dame years of abuse from this team and it's about time they payed them back in full. Look for at least a 17 point win by the Irish here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against any dog of 3.5 to 10 off 2 straight conference wins, if their win pct is 80% or higher and they are taking on a winning team. This has gone 30-6 the last 5 years.
PURDUE +4 over Illinois: Let's start of with a solid system that favors Purdue. Play ON any team off a conference loss of 7 or more vs an opponent off a Home Fav loss of 10 or more. This system is 41-15 since 1992. Last year Purdue was blast by the Illini, 44-10 and you can expect them to look for some revenge in this one. Purdue has been a decent defensive team this year, allowing 349 ypg, but if ya take out the the game vs the Irish they have allowed just 309 ypg. the Purdue defense is also just 32nd in points allowed at 21 ppg. Illinoi's offense has been good, but they have beat up on some bad defenses as 3 or the last 4 teams they faced had a defense that is currently 77th or worse. That last game in their last 4 was vs a very good defense (Ohio State) and they struggled in that game, putting up juts 7 points and 285 yards. You can bet that Purdue will take a long look at last weeks film an see what Ohio State did right to grab a 211 yards on the ground vs a solid Illini run defense. That is important as Purdue is 24th in the nation in rushing, with 207 ypg. The Purdue defense is very underrated and they should be able to contain this running game of Illinois, while they will look to control the rest of the game with their own ground game. I look for the outright upset here.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Kansas State -10 over KANSAS: Just a total mismatch here. Last week the Jayhawks had a good showing (for a half) vs the Sooners, but they showed how bad they really are once the 2nd half started. The Jayhawks do have a decent offense, putting up 425 ypg and 31.7 ppg, but it has been their horrendous defense that has been this teams downfall this year. The Jayhawk defense ranks dead last overall, allowing 565 ypg and they are next to dead last vs the pass, allowing a whopping 338 ypg, plus they allow 49 ppg, which is also dead last in the Nation. This is one hugely bad defense. The Jayhawk offense isn't spectacular at 94th in the nation, but they do score 29.3 ppg and they are 25th in the nation in rushing, putting up 206 ypg on the ground. That strong ground game will be going up against a defense that has allowed 227 ypg (116th) on the ground this year and they are dead last in rushing ypa, allowing a whopping 6.8 ypa. The KSU defense has no such problems, as they come in ranked 37th overall (345 ypg) and 21st in points allowed (19.5). They can struggle abit vs the pass, but Kansas is not really a passing team at 73rd in the country.Last year KSU put a 52 point whipping on the Jayhawks and this years KSU team is better than last years team, while the Jayhawks are much, much worse than last years edition.
ALABAMA -29.5 over Tennessee: With Tyler Bray behind center the Vols may have had a shot at keeping this one close, but with Matt Simms back there they have no shot. Bray hit 66% of his passes and had 14 TD's to just 2 INT's, but in limited duty so far for Simms he has hit just 39.3 % of his passes and has 2 INT's and no TD's. Now this Tennessee offense must face the number 1 ranked defense in the nation. Alabama has allowed just 184 ypg overall, 38.1 ypg rushing and just 7 ppg. All number 1 rankings. Now on offense this Alabama isn't to shabby either as they are 24th in total offense (460 ypg), 12th in rushing (241 ypg) and 14th in scoring (39.7 ppg). The Tennessee offense overall is 72rd in the nation, averaging 383 ypg and they are 63rd in scoring at 28.3 ppg, but they will not look like a 23rd rated passing offense with Simms be hind center. I really don't know how the Vols will be able to move the ball. They won't be able to pass and their rushing offense is 114th and going up against a team that allows just 38.1 ypg on the ground. The Vols defense may play respectable for a little bit, but this Bama offense will wear them down in the second half. The top teams in the country have been running up the scores and I expect no different from a Bama that has been outscoring their opponents by 33 ppg on the year. Alabama will be fully focused as they win this one by at least 5 TD's.
MICHIGAN STATE +7 over Wisconsin: Back in the Summer I took a bit of flack for my choice of Michigan State to win their division in the Big 10 and for them to get over 7.5 wins for the year. Well this team is on pace to do both and i won't back down from them here. Sure Wisconsin is a very good team and they are 6-0 on the year, but the only real team they have beaten this year is Nebraska, plus this is their first true road game of the year. Yes they won by 31 over Nebraska, but as we have seen this year Nebraska has struggled on the defensive side and the defense they will be facing today has not struggled at all. The Spartans check in with the 2nd ranked defense overall, allowing just 186.2 ppg and 10.8 ppg, which is 4th. Last week this defense held a strong Michigan offense to just 250 yards and 14 points and for the 2nd week in a row they will be taking on a mobile QB. They stopped Denard last week and should be able to stop Wilson this week. The State offense is not spectacular, but they do enough to win and they don't beat themselves. They will be facing a Wisconsin defense that is 7th overall and 3rd in points allowed. The Badgers are the top scoring team in the Nation, but the top defense they played was Nebraska and they are 67 in points allowed, while the next best defense they played was Oregon State, and they are 97th in points allowed. This is by far the best defense the Badgers will play all year and I see them having problems tonight. Michigan State is winning with an Old School Big 10 formula... Run the ball and defense. Wisconsin hasn't really been tested yet and I see that hurting them here in this very hostile environment. Look for Sparty to win outright. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play on any home dogs after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less TO's vs an opponent that force 3 or more TO's in BB games. This has gone 36-9 the last 10 years.
2 UNIT PLAYS
HOUSTON -23.5 over Marshall: Boy what a healthy Case Keenum will do to a team. Last year the Cougars did put up 38 ppg and 480 ypg even with Keenum being out the last 9 games, but this year he has been fully healthy and this team has put up 47 ppg and a whopping 603 ypg. Last year tghey had good numbers, but they have been so much better this year with a healthy Keenum. Houston is 1st in the nation in passing, at 434 ypg and they will be taking on a Marshall pass defense that is poor, allowing 230 ypg (73rd). Houston is also 8th in passing yards per attempt (8.8), while Marshall is 66th in ypa allowed at 7.4. The Houston defense hasn't been that strong this year, but then again they won't have to be in this one as the Marshall offense checks in at 114th overall (280 ypg) and 116th in scoring at 14.7 ppg. Marshall may be 2-1 in Conf USA East, but they just do not have enough offense to stay with a Houston team that has scored a whopping 105 points in their first 2 Conference games this year. KEY TRENDS--- Marshall is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a Bye week, while Houston is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or higher.
MISSOURI +6.5 over Oklahoma State: Granted the Cowboys have one of the best offenses around, but this team can't stop anyone. The Cowboys come in ranked 99th in total defense (427 ypg) and 95th vs the pass (250 ypg). Bad numbers indeed. Now they must face the Missouri offense that is 13th overall (496.2 ypg) and 34th in passing (260 ypg). Missouri is also 13th in rushing at 237 ypg and 5.5 ypc, while OSU has allowed 177 ypg on the ground and 4.5 ypc. The Missouri ground game should really take over here and that will help them control the game and keep this powerful OSU offense off the field. I also look for that ground game to wear down this OSU defense that already spends too much time on the field, cause their offense scores so quickly. Both teams can score a lot of points, but only one team can play defense and that team is at home, getting points. Take the HD here.
1 UNIT PLAYS
Air Force +29 over BOISE STATE: Boise has been crushing opponents of late and Air Force did allow ND 59 points last week, but the Falcon defense is better than that and their Option offense did torch a very good ND run defense for 363 yards on the ground. The Falcon option should be able to limit the amount of series' the Broncos will get, plus they should put enough points on the board to sneak in under this big number.
MIAMI -2.5 over Georgia Tech: Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 off a conference win of 7 or less and they are playing on a Saturday are 35-11 ATS the last 5 years. The Tech offense put up incredible #'s in the first 3 weeks of the year, but that was vs an FCS team and two of the worst defenses in the nation. The last 4 weeks has seen their offense production go down each week and this week they will face a Miami defense that allows just 23.7 ppg. Look for a 7 point win by the Canes here.
Chuck O'Brien
New Mexico State at Hawaii
The Hawaii Warriors might be the most pissed-off college football team in America this weekend. That's why I think I'm taking +22 points with the visiting New Mexico State Aggies with the final game on the schedule Saturday night. I mean seriously, we're talking about a Hawaii football team that isn't supposed to be 3-3 right now, and should probably be 5-1. But to its dismay, it doesn't have just one embarrassing loss on their resume, but now two: to UNLV earlier this season, and San Jose State last Friday.
Perhaps Hawaii's Sports Information Department should put away the Heisman Trophy campaign literature for quarterback Bryant Moniz, and let him concentrate on rebounding from a three-interception performance in San Jose, with a big showing against the Aggies. This actually was supposed to be an entertaining showdown, for what that's worth, as former Leilehua High School quarterback Andrew Manley is now attending New Mexico State. But a season-ending knee injury in the UTEP game has the sophomore sidelined. The Aggies, though, are 2-1 since then, and have averaged more points in their last three games - 32.3 points per game - then they did in their first three, 20.6 points per game.
Last year's starter, a much more mobile Matt Christian, has looked just fine under center, and could very well be geared up to lead his 3-3 Aggies into this one, knowing he's just three wins away from a bowl berth.
New Mexico State hosts Nevada next week, then goes to Athens the following to play Georgia. There's also games versus Fresno, at BYU, at La Tech and versus Utah State. Three wins and the Aggies can go bowling. They'll be double-digit dogs in most of thsoe road games, but it doesn't mean they're not capable of winning.
And I think they're catching the Warriors at the right time, and can keep this one much closer than three touchdowns.
Take the big number in this game.
2♦ NEW MEXICO STATE
Scott Delaney
Louisiana Tech at Utah State
For my complimentary selection, let's look ahead to Saturday night, as I'm intrigued with the Western Athletic Conference clash between Louisiana Tech and Utah State, in Logan, Utah. I'm laying the points with the Aggies in this game, as they're in must-win mode with their 2-4 mark, and in after a 31-21 loss at Fresno State. Utah State needs to win four more games, of its remaining six, just to become bowl eligible. They travel to Hawaii in two weeks, after a bye week, and still have a date with Nevada. Thus, it's conceivable the Aggies should go 4-2.
But something tells me they're not going to leave anything to chance, and won't be sitting around taking teams for granted. In fact, Utah State should look to win all six of its games, ending up 8-4, which would more than guarantee a bowl berth, much more than a 6-6 mark.
The Aggies made national headlines on opening weekend, when they led the entire game against Auburn, only to fall short of a shocking upset, and lose 42-38. Quite honestly, all four losses have been close, as they also fell short against Colorado State, Brigham Young and Fresno State. This is a team that should be 5-1 at the very least, and could very well be 6-0.
But it's not, so wins are a must at this point. And being it'll be at home, and brings the 19th-best offense in the nation into this game, not to mention the 18th-best scoring O, I have to believe it's going to be more than ready to put it on an assuming Lousiana Tech team that has had its own share of hard-luck losses during an identical 2-4 season. The Bulldogs aren't as bad as their record, just like the Aggies aren't, but given this one is in Utah, I think La Tech is going to have its share of problems.
Utah State traveled to Ruston and got beat handily by Louisiana Tech last season in what proved to be the Aggies' worst game of the 2010 campaign. So you can factor in revenge to the mix as well.
I know the Dawgs have had an extra week to prepare, but with as shoddy a defense as they have, I don't trust them one bit. I'd rather lay what appears to be a cheap number with the home team. Play Utah State.
2♦ UTAH STATE