DUNKEL INDEX
Mississippi State at Alabama
The Crimson Tide are coming off a 44-13 win over Tennessee and look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Alabama is the pick (-23 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Crimson Tide favored by 28 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-23 1/2)
Game 111-112: Navy at East Carolina (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 82.167 East Carolina 83.594
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 1 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 4; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+4); Over
Game 113-114: Massachusetts at Vanderbilt (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 57.168 Vanderbilt 92.834
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 35 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 32; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-32); Under
Game 115-116: Ohio at Miami (OH) (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 79.958; Miami (OH) 76.299
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 3 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Ohio by 7 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+7 1/2); Over
Game 117-118: Ball State at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 79.846; Army 70.781
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 9; 59
Vegas Line: Ball State by 5 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-5 1/2); Under
Game 119-120: Akron at Central Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 67.468; Central Michigan 72.703
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 5; 71
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 6 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+6 1/2); Over
Game 121-122: Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 65.158; Bowling Green 83.396
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 18; 50
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 14 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-14 1/2); Under
Game 123-124: Northern Illinois at Western Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 93.547; Western Michigan 78.790
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 15; 53
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 7; 58
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-7); Under
Game 125-126: Temple at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 81.097; Pittsburgh 85.876
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+7); Over
Game 127-128: Indiana at Illinois (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 81.733; Illinois 76.179
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 5 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Illinois by 1 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1 1/2); Over
Game 129-130: Purdue at Minnesota (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 87.456; Minnesota 82.322
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 5; 47
Vegas Line: Purdue by 3; 51
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-3); Under
Game 131-132: Iowa at Northwestern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 90.273; Northwestern 92.983
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 2 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 6 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+6 1/2); Over
Game 133-134: Duke at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 80.682; Florida State 110.759
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 30; 56
Vegas Line: Florida State by 27 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-27 1/2); Under
Game 135-136: Maryland at Boston College (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 84.932; Boston College 83.460
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 1 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Boston College by 1 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+1 1/2); Over
Game 137-138: Mississippi State at Alabama (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 90.946 Alabama 119.347
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 28 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Alabama by 23 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-23 1/2); Under
Game 139-140: Utah State at TX-San Antonio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 92.268; TX-San Antonio 67.191
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 25; 46
Vegas Line: Utah State by 22; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-22); Under
Game 141-142: Hawaii at Colorado State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 68.495; Colorado State 72.499
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 4; 54
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 7; 51 12
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+7); Over
Game 143-144: Baylor at Iowa State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 98.457; Iowa State 96.557
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 2; 77
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 2 1/2; 71
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+2 1/2); Over
Game 145-146: Texas A&M at Auburn (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 104.599; Auburn 86.773
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 18; 49
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 14; 53
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-14); Under
Game 147-148: California at Utah (9:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 94.710; Utah 92.189
Dunkel Line: California by 2 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Utah by 1 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: California (+1 1/2); Over
Game 149-150: Texas at Kansas (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 103.294; Kansas 77.900
Dunkel Line: Texas by 25 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Texas by 21; 59
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-21); Under
Game 151-152: Michigan State at Wisconsin (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 89.932; Wisconsin 103.254
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 13 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 6; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-6); Under
Game 153-154: Colorado at Oregon (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 70.037; Oregon 113.865
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 44; 72
Vegas Line: Oregon by 46; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+46); Over
Game 155-156: North Carolina State at North Carolina (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 94.013; North Carolina 97.627
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 7 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina State (+7 1/2); Over
Game 157-158: Boise State at Wyoming (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 98.550; Wyoming 80.038
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 18 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Boise State by 16 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-16 1/2); Under
Game 159-160: UTEP at Houston (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 73.237; Houston 89.027
Dunkel Line: Houston by 17; 57
Vegas Line: Houston by 13; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-13); Under
Game 161-162: BYU at Georgia Tech (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 91.307; Georgia Tech 84.314
Dunkel Line: BYU by 7; 55
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+2 1/2); Over
Game 163-164: Florida vs. Georgia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 105.668; Georgia 105.653
Dunkel Line: Even; 52
Vegas Line: Florida by 7; 48
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+7); Over
Game 165-166: Kentucky at Missouri (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 78.578; Missouri 91.074
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 12 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Missouri by 14; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+14); Over
Game 167-168: UCLA at Arizona State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 93.972; Arizona State 98.102
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 4; 60
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 7; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+7); Over
Game 169-170: USC at Arizona (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 107.684; Arizona 98.800
Dunkel Line: USC by 9; 62
Vegas Line: USC by 6 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-6 1/2); Under
Game 171-172: Kent State at Rutgers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 80.361; Rutgers 98.484
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 18; 41
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 13; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-13); Under
Game 173-174: Texas State at San Jose State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 70.232; San Jose State 89.045
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 19; 59
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 20 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+20 1/2); Over
Game 175-176: Washington State at Stanford (6:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 78.991; Stanford 106.690
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 27 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Stanford by 23; 51
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-23); Under
Game 177-178: Ohio State at Penn State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 101.373; Penn State 95.608
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 6; 46
Vegas Line: Pick; 50
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State; Under
Game 179-180: Oregon State at Washington (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 95.924; Washington 98.158
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2; 52
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 5; 48
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5); Over
Game 181-182: Texas Tech at Kansas State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 95.171; Kansas State 115.769
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 20 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 7; 60
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-7); Under
Game 183-184: Syracuse at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 88.380; South Florida 84.635
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 3 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: South Florida by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+3 1/2); Over
Game 185-186: TCU at Oklahoma State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 103.075; Oklahoma State 106.684
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 15 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 7; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-7); Under
Game 187-188: Central Florida at Marshall (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 89.703; Marshall 82.395
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 7 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-2); Under
Game 189-190: Toledo at Buffalo (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 84.046; Buffalo 76.385
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 7 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Toledo by 9; 58
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+9); Over
Game 191-192: Tennessee at South Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 91.642; South Carolina 102.880
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 11; 59
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 14; 55
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+14); Over
Game 193-194: Mississippi at Arkansas (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 87.650; Arkansas 99.224
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 10 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 5; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-5); Under
Game 195-196: Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 91.992; New Mexico State 58.010
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 34; 73
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 29 1/2; 77
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-29 1/2); Under
Game 197-198: Notre Dame at Oklahoma (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 110.001; Oklahoma 116.395
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 6 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 10 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+10 1/2); Over
Game 199-200: UAB at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 70.048; Tulane 68.799
Dunkel Line: UAB by 1 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: UAB by 3 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+3 1/2); Over
Game 201-202: Memphis at SMU (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 58.175; SMU 89.861
Dunkel Line: SMU by 31 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: SMU by 20 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-20 1/2); Under
Game 203-204: Southern Mississippi at Rice (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 70.963; Rice 76.715
Dunkel Line: Rice by 6; 54
Vegas Line: Rice by 2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-2); Under
Game 205-206: Michigan at Nebraska (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 104.108; Nebraska 98.774
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 5 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 2 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+2 1/2); Over
Game 207-208: UNLV at San Diego State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 69.260; San Diego State 91.440
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 22; 51
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 18; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-18); Under
Game 209-210: Fresno State at New Mexico (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 91.421; New Mexico 79.773
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 11 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 13 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+13 1/2); Over
Game 211-212: South Alabama at UL-Monroe (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 67.442; UL-Monroe 90.359
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 23; 58
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 24 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+24 1/2); Over
Game 213-214: Western Kentucky at Florida International (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 86.882; Florida International 74.953
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 12; 50
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 7; 55
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-7); Under
Game 215-216: North Texas at Middle Tennessee State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 75.343; Middle Tennessee State 75.661
Dunkel Line: Even; 62
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+3 1/2); Over
Game 217-218: Troy at Florida Atlantic (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 77.617; Florida Atlantic 68.400
Dunkel Line: Troy by 9; 51
Vegas Line: Troy by 7; 54
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-7); Under
CFL
Toronto at Saskatchewan
The Argonauts look to take advantage of a Saskatchewan team that is 7-21 ATS in its last 28 games against teams with a losing record. Toronto is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6)
Game 293-294: Winnipeg at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 106.414; Hamilton 112.852
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 6 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 4 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-4 1/2); Under
Game 295-296: Toronto at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.791; Saskatchewan 114.711
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 4; 53
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 6; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6); Over
MLB
San Francisco at Detroit
The Tigers look to bounce back from their 2-0 loss in Game 2 and build on their 9-2 record in their last 11 games after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Detroit is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-145)
Game 905-906: San Francisco at Detroit (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 17.125; Detroit (Sanchez) 17.861
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-145); Under
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Buffalo (+8.5) over ToledoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is a classic “sandwich” game for Toledo, which comes in off an exhilarating 29-23 upset victory over in-state rival Cincinnati and has a key ESPN-televised MAC matchup against Ball State on deck next week. The Rockets’ win over Cinci was misleading as they became just the fourth team in the last eight years to beat at ranked team without scoring an offensive TD. The Rockets “D” is struggling, allowing more than 1,100 yards of offense the last two weeks. The Bills ride the return of two key offensive starters to earn the cover.
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Oregon St. at Washington HuskiesFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 times Oregon State has traveled to Washington -- expect those trends to continue on Saturday. The Beavers (6-0) sport a strong run defense that is 5th in the FBS by limiting teams to just 80.8 rushing YPG. Their starting quarterback Sean Mannion remains questionable for this contest. Oregon State comes off a 21-7 win versus Utah -- and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing 20 points or less. The Under is also 20-8-1 in the Beavers' last 29 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 19 games against Pac-12 opponents, 13 of these games have finished Under the Total. Washington (3-4) has lost three in a row after their 52-17 loss at Arizona as an 8.5-point underdog. The Huskies have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Washington allowed 533 yards to the Wildcats -- and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game. The biggest problem for the Huskies has been a subpar offense that is 103rd in the nation in both scoring (20.7 PPG) and yardage (326.4 YPG). But Washington does boast an outstanding pass defense that is 19th in the FBS by limiting teams to just 184.6 passing YPG. The Huskies have played 5 straight games at home Under the Total. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, Washington has played 5 of these games Under the Total. Look for these team trends to continue in this one. Take the Under.
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Mississippi State vs. Alabama
Pick: Mississippi State
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This week's free play in on the Bulldogs on the road in Alabama, taking on the top ranked team in the country. I published this play on Monday, and already the emails are pouring in from clients. They are telling me: "Hey Schule, are you nuts? Your not seriously thinking of betting against Alabama are you?"
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Well your damn right I am! The fact that all the punters out there are lining up to bet on Bama week in and week out, regardless of the number, is just one of the reasons I like the Bulldogs.
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Mississippi State is still undefeated, and they come into this game with a defense that is ranked in the top 10 in the country, allowing an average of just 14.4 points per game so far.
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Alabama has won four straight head to head meeting against the Bulldogs, however their last two victories were by a margin of twenty points or less.
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Last year the Crimson Tide won on the road, beating the Bulldogs 24-7.
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Now you might be thinking to yourself, "but Bama is better this year." That's exactly right, but so are the Bulldogs.
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Ultimately, Alabama is giving up far too many points, against an undefeated team with a top 10 defense.
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Take the underdog here.
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Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma
Pick: Notre DameFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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For being an unbeaten team on the public radar, the fifth ranked Irish sure are getting little respect Saturday night as they visit Norman, OK, no? While this will be Brian Kelly's team's toughest test to date, Notre Dame has a defense that will keep them in this one. Furthermore, when was the last time Bob Stoops won a big game? And no, Texas doesn't count.
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Take note that Notre Dame did not trail in any of its first five games this season. They went back and forth the last two games against Stanford and BYU, and seem to be living on borrowed time, but did not trail in either of those contests by more than seven points, which is less than the pointspread is here. Oklahoma has already lost to one Top 5 team on this field this season, falling to Kansas State 24-19. Irish QB Golson WILL play here after missing the BYU game.
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Pre-dating Kelly's tenure, the Irish are 22-9 ATS in October road games. While the Sooners offense is certainly impressive, so too is the Notre Dame defense having allowed 17 points or less in EVERY game this season! This will be the most points the Irish have gotten in any game during Kelly's tenure. Kelly is 21-9 ATS in his coaching career as an underdog. Take the points in what should be a competitive game.
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Utah -1FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Good situational contest here for the Utes who have now lost 4 straight game against some Stiff competition with 3 of those being on the road and the one loss at home verses USC. Public Bettors see this as not good of course and because of that we have a significantly lower betting line than we normally would have. The Utes do play a strong defense and especially verses the run. That is going to give the Golden Bears Hell Saturday Nite and the fact is Cal has some injury issues that is going to hamper their effort in stopping Utah on offense. I am not sure if either team is going Bowling and the likelihood of that is not very good, but Utah is not used to being in a 2-5 Situation and my sources say that they will come to play Saturday Nite verses a team they match up very well with. This team put up a strong effort verses USC here, beat a good BYU Squad, and has always had the advantage here in the Mountain Air. That makes my number Utah -3.6 and that is good enough to play for a small stack of pancakes.
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Mississippi State at AlabamaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Alabama -24FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 7-0 coming into this game with Alabama. They are going to be in for more than they bargained for here against a Crimson Tide team that is the bona fide front-runner for another Championship. The Bulldogs may be unbeaten now, but that is more a product of a very easy schedule, and I would not be a bit surprised if they lose their next three games. They played a cupcake out-of-conference schedule, and their three in-conference wins came at the hands of three teams that are 0-14 in league play so far. All 7-0 teams are not created equal, and the oddsmakers are quick to point that out to the greatest extent they can, but not nearly enough. It has done enough to sway the public. How can a 7-0 team be over a three-TD dog? The public has taken the bait with over six out of ten bets coming in on the underdogs here. Mississippi State, averaging 36.7 poitns per game, may look like a good offensive team, but they are very average having outgained opposing defenses by a razor thin margin from what would be expected of an average team. Defensively they are average against a below average group of running offenses they have faced. Perhaps their biggest asset on either side of the ball is that they have defended the pass better than the teams’ offensive averages they have faced. Clearly they have not seen an offense that passes at 2.3 yards per attempt better than the defenses they face, nor a running game that is well over a yard better. A.J. McCarron has been perfect in throwing for 16 TD’s with zero INTs. He finds the open man with myriad of receivers (6) that have caught multiple TD passes. Bama has too much on both sides of the ball and they are on a mission this season. Tide rolls, so play on Alabama.
Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan State vs. WisconsinFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Michigan StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Spartans are sputtering while the Badgers are blossoming. That sounds like a good title for Jackie Collins’ next novel but sometimes you can’t judge a book by its cover. Yes, it’s true that Sparty has struggled at the ATS box office this season but they do enter this contest with the nation’s fourth-ranked defense. And while Wisky is on a three game winning streak, those decisions have come against the likes of Illinois, Minnesota and Purdue – teams that are a combined 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS of late. Yes, the boys from East Lansing seemingly fall into that mix with two straight losses but HC Mark Dantonio doesn’t adhere to the motto that the third time is a charm as he is 7-2-1 ATS in his career off back-to-back SU losses, and has only lost three games in a row on two separate occasions at Michigan State. With that being said, look for the Spartans to get their revenge from last year’s Big Ten title loss to the Badgers and cover their fourth straight in the series. It’s a take as another Homecoming favorite takes the gas. We recommend a 1-unit play on Michigan State.
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Michigan +2.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Michigan Wolverines have bounced back nicely from early losses to Alabama and Notre Dame, two teams that are a combined 14-0 this season. They have been taking care of business in Big Ten play, opening 3-0 while outscoring their first three opponents a combined 101-23.
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Nebraska could easily be 0-3 in Big Ten play this season. It lost at Ohio State 38-63 in a game where its run defense was exposed. The Huskers had to come back from a 10-27 deficit to beat Wisconsin 30-27 at home. They also erased a 16-28 deficit at Northwestern over the final 5:55 to win 29-28 last week. This team has been fortunate to say the least.
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I believe the Huskers' luck runs out Saturday against a Michigan team that won last year's meeting 45-17 at home. The Wolverines outgained the Huskers 418-260 while amassing 238 yards on the ground. Fitzgerald Toussaint rushed for 138 yards and two touchdowns, while Denard Robsinon added 83 yards and two scores. The defense also limited Taylor Martinez to 49 yards on 16 carries, and Rex Burkhead to 36 yards on 10 carries.
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Once again, this is a terrible match-up for a Nebraska and a great match-up for Michigan. The Wolverines rank 17th in the country in rushing offense (222.6 yards/game) while the Huskers rank a woeful 87th against the run (187.9 yards/game). The Buckeyes rushed for 371 yards on the Huskers and I look for Michigan to put up a similar total behind Robinson and Toussaint.
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The Wolverines are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Michigan is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a ATS loss. The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. The Huskers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Nebraska is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Bet Michigan Saturday.
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Toledo vs. BuffaloFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: BuffaloFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toledo upset Cincinnati last week despite of their lack of an attack(29-23) with no offensive TDs. It looked like the Bearcats were looking ahead to Louisville this week. Buffalo on the other hand lost to Pittsburgh despite of having superior numbers. This Bulls defense according to my own powers numbers is under rated and capable of helping them pull of an upset and more importantly a cover.
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Ohio State at Penn StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Penn StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Nittany Lion HC Bill O’Brien deserves serious recognition in the running for Coach of the Year. He’s held this team together through the most intense adversity in college football history. PSU has won five straight games after losing back-to-back emotional heartbreakers to start the season. The offense is clicking with QB Matt McGloin tossing 14 TD passes with just 2 INTs, and he’ll face a Buckeye defense that ranks 109th in pass defense and has no sacks or INTs in the last two games (84 pass attempts against). Add in Braxton Miller being less than 100% at best and I believe we have solid value on Penn State on Saturday.
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Michigan State at WisconsinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Michigan StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan St 4-4 at 152 Wisconsin 6-2 TV ABC. Wisconsin won the Big 10 Championsip and then Lost in the Rose Bowl to Oregon. Badgers. RB Ball continues to tack on the yards. MSU has been in every game they lost last week to Michigan 12-10 on a late Field Goal. MSU looking for revenge after losing Big 10 Championship in Indianapolis The Spartans win at Camp Randall Take 151 Michigan St
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Kansas St. -7.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I can look not other way here than K State at home. Going against a team who is off a Triple Overtime win and in a back to back road game scenario. K State does not have down weeks, or look past games, nor do they celebrate wins, they move forward with Bill Snyder clearly leading them with focus and a game plan. Texas Tech is vastly better than I thought but OU destroyed them at home with a physical brand of football, and K State will just flat out wear you down, control the clock and they have numerous weapons on offense to get the job done. A physical brand of football always has been TT's demise, even back in the Mike Leach era.
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Given that K State's best 3 opponents were all dominated by them, West Virginia by 41 points, Oklahoma in Norman by 5 though the game was not that close, and Miami got it handed to them in here by 39 points. The weather in the Little Apple is suppose to not break 45 degrees on Saturday too, which will not be all that welcome for the Red Raiders who have a stud QB in Seth Dodge and an above average team who also beat West Virginia at home but caught them in a back to back road scenario off a huge upset win the week before against Texas. While Texas Tech's numbers look good on defense, they have only played 1 power team like K State who can run it, and got their rear end hammered by OU at home. K State's quest continues in grand fashion on Saturday.
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Michigan St. +6FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan State In last week's article I wrote that the Badgers were a "Hidden Gem". They played true to that form in last week's 38-13 victory on this field vs. Minnesota. They outrushed the Gophers 337-96. It has been an amazing turnaround for a team who has rolled overland the last 3 weeks to now average 201/4.7 on the ground, compared to barely over 100 RYPG in their 1st 5 games. Further east Michigan State was falling to rival Michigan in a typical Big 10 war. In an evenly played game, the Spartans lost 12-10 dropping to 4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS and 1-3 SU in the League. These 2 split a pair of hard fought high-scoring games last season with a 6 point State home victory followed by a 3 point Badger win in Indianapolis for the League crown. Expect more of the same today as the Spartans play with their back to the wall with a defensive dog mentality and their own strong ground game led by RB Bell. Let's put this Wisconsin overland outburst in perspective. As impressive as it appears, it was against the ailing defensive fronts of Minnesota, Purdue and Illinois. Get all my games right here on Pregame at http://bit.ly/nuVjYP Look for Judge Joe this week…Give him your predictions and he will render a decision!!! General Wagering Decisio
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Minnesota +3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I tweeted that we'd have this as a free play at +3.5. Would I buy the hook? Probably not in CFB but that's a matter for the eternal debate. Purdue is clearly, IMO, over valued after taking Ohio State to OT in Columbus, and getting that "up" for two conference road games in back-to-back weeks might be bit much to ask here. They (Purdue) let two marginal offenses (Wisconsin and Michigan) hand up a ton of points on them at home. There's the "Jerry Kill is coming back" angle, and even if we wasn't this would be a bet for me as the Gophers have been very competitive at home this season, beating Syracuse and holding Northwestern to 21 points. Minnesota should (can) win this game SU, but why be greedy for a few cents.