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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 3,2009

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Karl Garrett

Kansas State vs. IOWA STATE -2' - at Kansas City, MO

G-Man bringing it on Saturday with Iowa State minus the points versus Kansas State.

They are playing this one at Arrowhead Stadium, but they could play it anywhere and I'd think you would find that the Cyclones are simply the better of the two teams on the field this Saturday.

Iowa State did drop a 38-30 decision last year to K-State, but wound up covering as the 11-point dog. The Cyclones have covered 4 of the last 5 in this series, while the Wildcats are on a money-burning 4-13 spread slide their last 17 on board.

Iowa State can play defense, and that is where the main difference in this game will lie, as the Cyclones will put the screws to K-State's still-learning offense. Expect to see a couple of critical turnovers that will lead to some easy Iowa State scores.

In this "neutral" site contest, I am on the 'Clones to make this one look easy come the final gun.

5♦ IOWA STATE

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 3:38 am
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Sports Gambling Hotline

UCLA +5' at STANFORD

We are on a 41-27-4 comp play run.

Well, they haven't won pretty, but they have won them all, and they have covered them all. We are speaking of UCLA, and while they may not be able to win Saturday's game outright, we do think they will give Stanford a run for their money at The Farm.

The Bruins have held the upper hand in this series, winning and covering the last 3, and they have gone a profitable 13-5-1 against the spread their last 19 games on line.

The Cardinal has some nice runs of their own under Jim Harbaugh, as they have covered their last 8 at home, and have also gone 4-1 against the spread in this series the last 5 meetings in Palo Alto.

Obviously something has to give, and we feel the Uclans rush defense will make the difference in this one, as they take away Stanford's primary weapon in RB Gerhart, and cover this contest.

Take the points.

3♦ UCLA

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 3:39 am
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Tony T

Air Force Falcons versus Navy Midshipmen

Air Force has outplayed Navy the past two seasons but beat themselves with mistakes. Air Force is playing good defense giving up just over 11 points per game and they are stopping the run. Air Force is averaging 406 yards of offense per game and it looks like their offensive and defensive lines are finally able to get this team the cover in this game. Bet on the Flyboys getting three points.

Bet Air Force +3

USC Trojans at California Golden Bears

USC freshman quarterback Matt Barkley will make his first ever road start in Pac 10 play. I expect a very conservative game plan here from Pete Carroll and the USC Trojans as they will lean on their running game and use the short pass to control the ball and time of possession. The best way to silence that loud crowd at Cal is to hold onto the football with methodical drives down the field. USC will sell out on the run and have had success containing Jahvid Best in last year’s meeting. That means the game will fall in the hands of Cal quarterback Kevin Riley and I don’t have much confidence in him getting the job done against an elite defense. Low scoring game here that will go under the total. Big games usually go under. Bet it under.

Bet USC Trojans and California Golden Bears under 48

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 3:57 am
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LT Profits

The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks are already 1-0 in Sun Belt Conference play this season, while the Florida International Golden Panthers are winless at 0-3, and UL Monroe appears to have the edge both offensively and defensively in this contest.

The Warhawks are averaging 29.8 points per game with a very balanced attack, as they are averaging an impressive 184.8 rushing yards per game on 4.6 yards per carry, as well as a nice 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Yes, this team will rely on the running game all year, but as the passing average indicates, quarterback Trey Revell has the ability to pass accurately to keep defenses honest, further indicated by his 60.8 percent completion percentage.

As for FIU, they can be forgiven for losing their first two games on the road at Alabama and Rutgers, but losing at home 41-31 as slight favorites vs. the Toledo Rockets suggests that they still have a long way to go, especially on defense, and opening their Sun Belt schedule on the road does not help. The Panthers are allowing a disgusting 5.6 yards per rush and 9.4 yards per pass attempt, and we do not expect them to stop the UL Monroe offense very often this game.

We actually this there is value in laying less than a touchdown at home with Monroe in this spot, and we look for them to both win and cover just as they have done each of the last three years in this head-to-head series.

Pick: UL Monroe Indians -6

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 5:51 am
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Jimmy Boyd

Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
Play: Arkansas -1.5

Texas A&M might be 3-0, but New Mexico, Utah State, and UAB aren't exactly quality wins. Arkansas is just 1-2, but I strongly believe the Razorbacks are the more talented side and they have already been challenged with games against Georgia and Alabama. After back to back conference defeats, the Razorbacks will be hungry to take out their frustrations against an Aggies team that is getting too much respect from odds makers today. A&M gave up 521 yards of total offense to Utah State and I have no doubt that Arkansas can put up a big number on the Aggies. The Aggies are only 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. With this one being played in Dallas, the 12th man won't be as much of a factor. Bet the Razorbacks.

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 5:51 am
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Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Syracuse +7

Bulls get sandwiched Saturday. In a letdown spot off a big win over FSU and looking ahead to Cincy. The Orange are coming off back-to-back confidence boosting wins and will be jacked up for this conference home opener against a team that has buried them each of the last two seasons. It's tough to win on the road back-to-back weeks, especially in the second week after a big win and that is South Florida's challenge today. Plus, the Bulls aren't the same team without QB Matt Grothe. Cuse is 18-4 ATS in home games off a home win since 1992 and an even more deadly 12-1 ATS in home games off a home win by 17 points or more since 1992. Take the Orange as they give the Bulls a major scare here.

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 5:53 am
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Stephen Nover

Arkansas vs. Texas A&M

On paper, Texas A&M looks great. The Aggies are 3-0 and leading the nation in total offense.

Reality is a different story for Texas A&M. The Aggies had a dream September schedule of creampuffs in New Mexico, Utah State and Alabama-Birmingham - all at home in College Station.

Now the Aggies finally get to play a real team, Arkansas. While the Aggies were padding statistics, the Razorbacks were taking lumps in the brutal SEC falling to Georgia and Alabama during the past two weeks.

The Razorbacks have the offense to match Texas A&M with quarterback Ryan Mallett, who has thrown for 877 yards and seven touchdowns. Arkansas put up 41 points against Georgia.

The Aggies failed to step up last year against better competition. Their only victories in 2008 came against New Mexico, Army, Iowa State and Colorado. Those teams combined for only 12 FBS victories. Texas A&M surrendered 37.4 points per game and 462 yards last year.

Arkansas does give up big plays. But the Razorbacks also have the better athletes and players in the trenches. Except for giving up a 52-yard run to Terry Richardson, the Razorbacks held Alabama to 82 yards rushing on 40 attempts.

The Razorbacks defeated Tulsa last year, 30-23. That's significant because the Golden Hurricane was undefeated and averaging 600 yards per game at the time running a similar spread offense that Texas A&M uses.

Arkansas has a dangerous kick returner in Dennis Johnson, who is averaging 32.8 yards per return. This is important because there are going to be a lot of points scored.

Note that this game is being played in Arlington, Texas in the new stadium financed by Cowboys owner Jerry Jones. So not only is this not a home game for Texas A&M, but the Razorbacks could have their own strong rooting section with Jones being an Arkansas alumni.

1♦ ARKANSAS

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 6:04 am
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Dominic Fazzini

Wyoming at FLORIDA ATLANTIC -3.5

Wyoming is playing in the state of Florida for only the fourth time in the school's history and for just the second time since 1951.

I expect the heat and humidity to take a toll on the Cowboys, who are just 1-10 against the spread in their last 11 road games.

Florida Atlantic is 0-3 this season, having lost at Nebraska (49-3), at South Carolina (38-16) and at home to Louisiana-Monroe (27-25), going 0-3 ATS in the process. However, the Owls are 4-2 ATS in their last four home games.

Wyoming is coming off a 30-27 home win over UNLV, and freshman quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels was 24 of 37 for 234 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions in his first collegiate start.

But Florida Atlantic averages 387.7 yards per game, and QB Rusty Smith was 30 of 50 for 347 yards and two TDs with no interceptions last week vs. La.-Monroe..

The temperature is expected to be about 90 degrees today in Fort Lauderdale, and I can't see a freshman QB leading Wyoming to a victory on the road in that kind of heat. Take Florida Atlantic to cover the points.

2♦ FLORIDA ATLANTIC

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 6:05 am
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Tony Weston

I delivered yesterday as I gave you the Under on the Utah State-BYU matchup. Of course it comes through and we cash in. I’m doing it again today as I’m taking Penn State on the road at Illinois.

Plenty of people want to read into Penn State’s 21-10 outright loss at home against Iowa as a 9 1/2 point favorite. But don’t. The Nittany Lions have historically been bad against the Hawkeyes and they proved it last week.

This week, they’ll get back on track against the struggling Illini of Illinois.

Illinois comes into today’s game having gone just 1-2 SU this season, having failed to cover in each of its three games. In that stretch, the only team the Illini have beaten SU this year is Illinois State, a game in which Illinois was favored by 33, but failed to cover, beating Illinois State 45-17.

Including that non-cover and the three non-covers this season, the Illinois are on a 6-game ATS losing streak dating back to last year. In fact, over the Illini’s last 15 games, the team has covered just 4 times. The team has also covered just twice in its last 6 games at home.

The Illini will continue their losing ways as they fail to cover again at home today. Take Penn State on the road in this one.

3♦ PENN STATE

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 6:05 am
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Jimmy Thompson

USF vs. Syracuse
Pick: Bulls -6.5

Don't worry about a letdown here as USF is well aware of their past problems, but they really haven't laid an egg against a team as poor as Syracuse. The Orange are definitely making some strides, but they are still a year or two away from challenging a team like USF that has speed to burn on both offense and defense. USF wins 31-13!

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 6:31 am
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Jimmy Moore

Auburn @ Tennessee
Pick: Auburn +3

Auburn's offensive woes from last season are way behind them as they have scored 181 points so far in 4 games this season. Tennessee is 3-14 ATS as a home favorite against an over .500 conference opponent and they have a big look ahead to Georgia next week. Take the points with the Tigers.

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 6:31 am
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DUNKEL

Texas at Seattle
The Rangers look to follow up last night's win and take advantage of a Seattle team that is 3-9 in Ryan Rowland-Smith's last 12 starts following a team loss in the previous game. Texas is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+135)

Game 951-952: Houston at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Bazardo) 14.704; NY Mets (Misch) 13.566
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Under

Game 953-954: Arizona at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cabrera) 14.163; Cubs (Wells) 14.723
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-200); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-200); N/A

Game 955-956: Milwaukee at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Villanueva) 15.296; St. Louis (Lohse) 14.238
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+155); Under

Game 957-958: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanchez) 14.429; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.258
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-205); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-205); Under

Game 959-960: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 14.431; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.600
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-235); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-235); Under

Game 961-962: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 16.111; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.532
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Over

Game 963-964: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.681; San Diego (Leblanc) 15.958
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+125); Under

Game 965-966: Colorado at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.046; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 13.856
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 967-968: Texas at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Hunter) 15.979; Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.604
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+135); Over

Game 969-970: LA Angels at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angles (Kazmir) 15.088; Oakland (Eveland)
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+135); Under

Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Garcia) 14.640; Detroit (Figaro) 15.245
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.061; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.089
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105); Under

Game 975-976: Toronto at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Richmond) 16.318; Baltimore (Hendrickson) 14.103
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100); Under

Game 977-978: Cleveland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 14.814; Boston (Beckett) 14.456
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-235); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+210); Over

Game 979-980: Kansas City at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 15.484; Minnesota (Blackburn) 16.482
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NCAA

Oklahoma at Miami (FL)
The Sooners look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Oklahoma is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Sooners favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-7)

Game 111-112: South Florida at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 101.369; Syracuse 82.911
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 18 1/2; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 6; 48
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-6); Under

Game 113-114: East Carolina at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 83.738; Marshall 82.675
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 1; 44
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 2 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+2 1/2); Under

Game 115-116: Northwestern at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 84.094; Purdue 95.269
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 11; 60 1/2
Vegas Line: Purdue by 7; 56
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-7); Over

Game 117-118: Wisconsin at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 92.256; Minnesota 92.523
Dunkel Line: Even; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 53
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+3); Under

Game 119-120: NC State at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 93.583; Wake Forest 94.506
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 1; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick; 46
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest; Under

Game 121-122: Clemson at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 97.270; Maryland 77.988
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 19 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Clemson by 12 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-12 1/2); Under

Game 123-124: Virginia at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 80.544; North Carolina 99.063
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 18 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 13; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-13); Under

Game 125-126: Florida State at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 90.032; Boston College 96.894
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 6; 44
Vegas Line: Florida State by 5; 47
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+5); Under

Game 127-128: Central Michigan at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 87.888; Buffalo 75.550
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 12 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 7 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-7 1/2); Over

Game 129-130: Toledo at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 73.776; Ball State 70.759
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 3; 67 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 4 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+4 1/2); Over

Game 131-132: Alabama at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 108.094; Kentucky 89.948
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 18; 53
Vegas Line: Alabama by 15 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-15 1/2); Over

Game 133-134: Mississippi at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 100.232; Vanderbilt 84.339
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 16; 42
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 8; 44
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-8); Under

Game 135-136: Cincinnati at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 100.422; Miami (OH) 65.496
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 35; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 28 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-28 1/2); Over

Game 137-138: Temple at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 76.069; Eastern Michigan 74.332
Dunkel Line: Temple by 2; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 6 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+6 1/2); Over

Game 139-140: Tulane at Army
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 73.041; Army 73.691
Dunkel Line: Army by 1; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Army by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+7); Over

Game 141-142: Virginia Tech at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 103.309; Duke 79.808
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 23 1/2; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 16 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-16 1/2); Under

Game 143-144: Washington at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 82.115; Notre Dame 95.525
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 13 1/2; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 12 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-12 1/2); Under

Game 145-146: LSU at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 99.708; Georgia 100.354
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Georgia by 3; 52
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+3); Over

Game 147-148: Air Force at Navy
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 90.741; Navy 90.794
Dunkel Line: Even; 50
Vegas Line: Navy by 3 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+3 1/2); Over

Game 149-150: Georgia Tech at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 90.009; Mississippi State 91.228
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+6 1/2); Under

Game 151-152: Oklahoma at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 117.474; Miami (FL) 96.298
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 11; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-7); Over

Game 153-154: Penn State at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 98.450; Illinois 92.891
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 5 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Penn State by 7 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+7 1/2); Under

Game 155-156: Michigan at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 92.952; Michigan State 90.646
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 2 1/2; 62 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 2 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+2 1/2); Over

Game 157-158: Western Michigan at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 74.870; Northern Illinois 91.004
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 16; 54
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 6 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-6 1/2); Over

Game 159-160: Ohio at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 80.699; Bowling Green 80.795
Dunkel Line: Even; 45
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+3); Under

Game 161-162: UNLV at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 83.612; Nevada 81.233
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 2 1/2; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 3 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+3 1/2); Under

Game 163-164: Colorado State at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 81.124; Idaho 79.466
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 1 1/2; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 3 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+3 1/2); Over

Game 165-166: Kansas State at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 82.737; Iowa State 81.584
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 1; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+3); Under

Game 167-168: Oregon State at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 94.503; Arizona State 93.631
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 1; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 5; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+5); Under

Game 169-170: Washington State at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 71.619; Oregon 102.269
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 30 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Oregon by 33; 53
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+33); Over

Game 171-172: Kent at Baylor
Dunkel Ratings: Kent 69.265; Baylor 93.651
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 24 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Baylor by 21; 51
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-21); Under

Game 173-174: Memphis at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 71.133; Central Florida 81.273
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 10; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 6 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-6 1/2); Over

Game 175-176: UCLA at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 92.155; Stanford 92.797
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 1; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 5 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+5 1/2); Over

Game 177-178: New Mexico at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 64.258; Texas Tech 106.793
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 42 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 35; 56
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-35); Over

Game 179-180: Ohio State at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 107.924; Indiana 87.234
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 20 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 17; 48
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-17); Over

Game 181-182: Tulsa at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 97.657; Rice 73.470
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 24; 61
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 15 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-15 1/2); Over

Game 183-184: Arkansas at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 89.193; Texas A&M 90.940
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 2; 67 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick; 65
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M; Over

Game 185-186: Auburn at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 97.221; Tennessee 95.628
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 1 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+2); Under

Game 187-188: USC at California
Dunkel Ratings: USC 104.471; California 95.131
Dunkel Line: USC by 9 1/2; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: USC by 5; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-5); Over

Game 189-190: SMU at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 71.037; TCU 103.761
Dunkel Line: TCU by 32 1/2; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: TCU by 27 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-27 1/2); Under

Game 191-192: New Mexico State at San Diego State
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 55.207; San Diego State 71.534
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 16 1/2; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 17; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+17); Over

Game 193-194: Houston at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 100.481; UTEP 76.718
Dunkel Line: Houston by 23 1/2; 68 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 15 1/2; 65
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-15 1/2); Over

Game 195-196: Arkansas State at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 78.136; Iowa 106.886
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 28 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Iowa by 21; 47
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-21); Over

Game 197-198: Wyoming at Florida Atlantic
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 76.161; Florida Atlantic 73.317
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 3; 53
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 4; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+4); Over

Game 199-200: Florida International at UL Monroe
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 76.213; UL Monroe 76.145
Dunkel Line: Even; 54
Vegas Line: UL Monroe by 5; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+5); Under

NHL

Tampa Bay at Atlanta
The Thrashers look to take advantage of a Tampa Bay team that is 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta. Atlanta is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Thrashers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145)

Game 1-2: Chicago vs. Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.608; Florida 12.465
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-140); Under

Game 3-4: St. Louis vs. Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.706; Detroit 12.822
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-170); Under

Game 5-6: Vancouver at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.106; Colorado 12.001
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+135); Over

Game 7-8: Philadelphia at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.129; New Jersey 11.790
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+135); Over

Game 9-10: Carolina at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.406; Boston 12.371
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-185); Over

Game 11-12: Montreal at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.002; Buffalo 13.436
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-155); Over

Game 13-14: Pittsburgh at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 13.476; NY Islanders 10.751
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-170); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-170); Under

Game 15-16: Ottawa at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.890; NY Rangers 11.420
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+140); Under

Game 17-18: Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.875; Atlanta 11.685
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-145); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Under

Game 19-20: Toronto at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 12.003; Washington 12.475
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-215); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-215); Over

Game 21-22: Minnesota at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.563; Columbus 11.035
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145); Over

Game 23-24: Nashville at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.099; Dallas 11.612
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-150); Over

Game 25-26: Calgary at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.207; Edmonton 11.729
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-120); Under

Game 27-28: San Jose at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 10.609; Anaheim 11.273
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+110); Under

Game 29-30: Phoenix at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.359; Los Angeles 12.072
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-165); Over

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 6:41 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

EZWINNERS

Wyoming Cowboys @ Florida Atlantic Owls
Play: Florida Atlantic Owls -3.5

This is a tough road trip for a Wyoming team that is not used to traveling this far east. The Florida humidity will definitely be something new for a Cowboy that doesn’t travel well to deal with. Wyoming is only 1-10 against the spread in their last eleven road games and are only 4-19 against the spread in their last twenty three games overall. Coming in at 0-3 is obviously not the start that FAU was looking for, but they have three very winnable games up next and it starts here with a very bad Wyoming team. I expect FAU Senior quarterback Rusty Smith to come up big in this game and make plays when it counts. FAU coach Howard Schnellenberger has a knack for knocking off non conference opponents and I look for that to happen here. Lay the points.

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 7:03 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

JR TIPS

Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee and Florida has gotten all the attention in the SEC and little has been said about the Auburn Tigers who rightfully deserve some attention.The Tigers would like to make a statement today on the road takng on the Tennessee Volunteers on Rocky Top. Auburn has gotten off to a quick 4-0 start and is one of the surprises of the season despite little attention being thrown their way. Auburn blasted Mississippi State in their only conference game of the season and more surprisingly is tied with Florida as the top scoring offense in the SEC averaging 45 points per game although the new and improved Tennessee Volunteers will make this a very interesting game tonight. Both schools have changed coaches this year and are on their way back to the top.Tennessee hit an early bump in the road when they were upset by UCLA in just their 2nd game at home and then loss a week later to Florida despite playing well for 60 minutes. Tennessee QB Jonathon Crompton has been the biggest question mark for the team this season. Crompton can play very well at times, but decision making may not be his best quality. The Volunteers quarterback has thrown 8 interceptions in his first 4 games which is the most in the SEC. Crompton has also thrown 7 touchdowns, but it is the turnovers that have been the problem.The offense's biggest asset is running back Montario Hardesty who is averaging nearly 6 yards per carry. Hardesty has racked up 485 yards in his first 4 games leading the SEC and will be the biggest threat to end the Tigers undefeated start this weekend as Auburn has given up 154 yards per game on the ground. Hardesty could run wild tonight considering Auburn has yet to play a very strong rushing team yet thisa season.On the other side of the field, Auburn definitely holds the advantage on offense as the Tigers have a well balanced attack with starting quarterback Chris Todd. Todd has thrown over 1,000 yards on the season with an impressive 11 touchdowns more than any other player in the SEC. Todd has thrown just 1 interception this year and has consistently targeted sophomore WR Darvin Adams. Adams is a big wide out who has great size and athletic ability while also sporting the knack of making plays. On the year, Adams has 5 touchdowns and 334 yards of receiving. Of course the Tigers have other talented targets like Terrell Zachery who could play in the picture, but Adams will perhaps be the biggest threat in the passing game.Running back Ben Tate is another big threat in the backfield to add extra concern to the Tennessee defense this weekend. Not only with the Volunteers have to respect the pass, but they will have to stop the run as well. Senior Ben Tate exploded on some highlight reels at the end of 2008 and is picking up where he left off as Tate is averaging 5.7 yards per carry and averaging over 100 yards per game for the Tigers rushing offense that ranks 2nd in the SEC. Auburn has too many weapons on offense starting with their quarterback who has been amazing this season, actually the best quaterback in the SEC thus far. The pproblem will be Aubutrn stopping the run as Tennessee will run wild today causing this to be a game that will have alot of big plays from both teams. They will both score early, fast and often.

PICK AUB/TENN OVER 51

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 7:04 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Rocketman

Virginia @ North Carolina
Play: Virginia

Virginia is now 0-3 on the season while North Carolina comes in with a 3-1 record this year. Virginia comes in with a week's rest after a tough loss in Southern Miss losing 37-34. North Carolina is also off a loss, losing to Georgia Tech 24-7 in their first conference game of the season. Virginia is 10-1 ATS last 11 overall meetings vs North Carolina including 4-1 ATS last 5 at North Carolina and they are 13-4 ATS vs North Carolina since 1992. Virginia is 2-0 SU and ATS vs North Carolina the past 3 years winning last year 16-13 at home and winning back in 2007 by a score of 22-20 in North Carolina. Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October. Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cavaliers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Tar Heels are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games as a home favorite. Tar Heels are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. My power ratings for this game has North Carolina winning by only 3.01 points. Take the two touchdowns with Virginia and win again this week!

 
Posted : October 3, 2009 7:05 am
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