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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, September 18,2010

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(@TylerSmidt)
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Freddy Wills

Army -5.5 (1.1 Dime Free Play)
Wow.. North Texas has looked good on offense early on putting up yards like crazy against decent teams as they out gained Clemson ont he road and Rice at home. One problem they lost both games. This was the case last year at home against Army as they out gained Army 447 to 287, but they still lost at home 13-17. North texas is just 8-21 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games. North Texas will be facing an improved Army offense that returns all of their starters along the offensive line and their QB Trent Steelman who is getting better at running the triple option. Pat Mealy and Malcolm Brown are quality slot backs and this team is disciplined and will not turn the ball over. North Texas also starts Derek Thompson after Nathan Tune responsible for a lot of the offense the first two weeks is out for the season. Thompson is highly touted but his first start on the road might be intimidating. Army was 16th in the nation on defense in 2009 and returns 8 starters. Tune is not the only key player out as they will be without two of their most gifted defensive players in DB's Cook and Ford. This is huge because in the triple option the secondary must be involved in making tackles. I think they'll have a hard time stopping Army at times and add that into Army coming up to stop the star in this game Lance Dunbar RB from UNT forcing the inexperienced QB to make plays. UNT will have some success moving the ball, but will have turnovers like they have had early in this season.

Don't miss out on my NCAAF POD's and other plays! I went 5-1 ATS last Saturday and I'm on my way to another big Saturday later today. Don't miss out you can get this with my 4-day special package.

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 11:36 pm
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Sean Higgs

Ohio-Ohio State OVER 45.5
Your early FREE WINNER is on the OVER here. Ohio State might get this on their own. They have gone over in 4 of their last 5 at home... I have a pair of Top Rated 10*s going in CFB plus my NFL Total of the Month going Sunday. Find out for yourself why they call me 'Money'

Utah State +4
Taking the Aggies here as my FREE PLAY. Utah State is 5-0 ATS last 5 in this series. Utah State also 8-3 ATS last 11 at home. A nice revenge play here (31-27@Fresno LY) as they get it done in front of their fans... Higgs has a pair of Top Rated CFB 10*s on Saturday plus his NFL Total of the Month going Sunday $

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 11:38 pm
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Mike Rose

Fla Int'l +28

Head coach Mike Sherman’s squad has gotten off to quite the start going a perfect 2-0 both SU & ATS while outscoring the opposition by an aggregate score of 96-23. Jerrod Johnson has already thrown for 627 yards and boasts a healthy TD/INT ratio of 6/0; he’s the ringleader of the nation’s 10th ranked scoring (48 PPG) and 5th ranked overall yards (552 YPG) offense.

While those numbers have many of the belief that this Aggies club can compete for the Big 12 South title, the competition is yet to present a stiff challenge. Unfortunately for them, it will remain that way until they invade Stillwater, OK for a Thursday night battle with the Oklahoma State Cowboys at the end of the month as the Golden Panthers come in winless on the year.

That said; head coach Mario Cristobal had his kids on the brink of the biggest win in the program’s short FBS history at home last week against Rutgers where they just came up short in springing the upset. Whether the effort put forth was an anomaly or not, the fact that the defense held a Big East squad to just 172 yards of combined offense while racking up 371 yards themselves is quite impressive; this is a Sun Belt team were talking about after all. That’s an eye opener in and of itself, and is one of the main reasons I like them plus this heaping load of points in tonight’s spot.

While the Aggies are leaps and bounds better than the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, I’m not so sure they’ll come out determined in all four quarters of this one with their ‘bye’ on deck before opening up Big 12 play. The Aggies are just 3-9 ATS the L/12 times they played off a win of 20 or more points, and stand 5-11 ATS the L/16 times they played off a SU win. Look for FIU to sneak within this lofty pointspread.

Mike Rose is simply EN FUEGO on the College Gridiron going 8-1-1 ATS his L/10 2011-11 Positions! That only adds to his current 61% Streak over the course of his L/109 CFB selections. He has a huge day in store Saturday with his one and only 8* September ATS Game of the Month, 5* Non-Conference Total Slam, 4* Woodshed Massacre, and increasingly popular, "No Respect " Rodney D Game of the Week. Purchase all 4 plays now and have your bookie despising you come Sunday - SLAM YOUR MAN!

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 11:41 pm
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Gregg Price

Georgia -2.5

Georgia - Take Georgia at home. After getting beat up last week (we had SC) they will be ready for Georgia. Why is Georgia even favored in this spot? Strange right, maybe Vegas wants you take take the points here.

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 11:42 pm
(@blade)
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Thanks Smidt

I took out a few dupes but appreciate the help.

 
Posted : September 18, 2010 12:18 am
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Sean HiggsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Fresno State vs. Utah State
Play: Utah State +3.5
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Utah State is 5-0 ATS last 5 in this series. Utah State also 8-3 ATS last 11 at home. A nice revenge play here (31-27@Fresno LY) as they get it done in front of their fans.
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Ohio vs. Ohio State
Play: Over 44.5
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Ohio State might get this on their own. They have gone over in 4 of their last 5 at home.

 
Posted : September 18, 2010 6:50 am
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RocketmanFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Middle Tenn St vs. Memphis
Play: Middle Tenn St -4
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Middle Tennessee State is 1-1 on the season while Memphis comes in with an 0-2 record so far this year. Middle Tennessee State is 10-0 SU as a favorite the past 3 years. Memphis is 7-17 ATS last 3 years in all games. Memphis is 5-15 ATS on grass the past 3 years. Memphis is 1-7 ATS last 3 years in non-conference games. Memphis is 27-91 SU since 1992 and 4-16 SU the past 3 years as an underdog. Memphis is allowing 49 points per game overall this year. Middle Tennessee State is 2-0 SU and ATS overall vs Memphis since 1992. We'll recommend a small play on Middle Tennessee State tonight!

 
Posted : September 18, 2010 6:51 am
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Rob VincilettiFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iowa vs. Arizona U
Play: Iowa +1
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Iowa is one of the most under rated teams in the country. Last year they won their first 9 games before losing their starting Qb. They handled Arizona last year and appear to once again be stronger. Iowa has covered 10 of the last 11 on the road and has won 12 of the last 13 games vs non conference teams. When they are off 2+ wins they are 10-3. Arizona is just 5-10 vs Big ten teams and have lost 5 of the last 6 times when playing off back to back wins. With Iowa 9-1 their last 10 tries as a dog, we will back the Hawkeyes here tonight.

 
Posted : September 18, 2010 6:52 am
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Steve MerrilFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Blue Jays at Red Sox
Play: Over 9FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These two teams may be out of the playoffs, but they’ve been playing some high scoring games between them. Ricky Romero has faced Boston three times this season going 0-1 with an 8.22 ERA. He has given up 18 runs and 22 hits in 15.1 innings pitched against the Red Sox. David Ortiz (8-20), JD Drew (8-18), Victor Martinez (8-18), Bill Hall (3-10), Adrian Beltre (4-9), and Marco Scutaro (4-9) all smack Romero around. The Red Sox have gone Over the total in three of their last five games. They've also scored at least five runs in five straight games and in nine of their last 11 games overall. Toronto's bullpen always makes things interesting on the road. They are 8-13 with an ERA right around 3.80.
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The Blue Jays have had Josh Beckett's number as of late. He's 3-5 with a 7.34 ERA in 13 career starts against Toronto. Earlier this season, Beckett gave up eight runs and nine hits in three innings pitched to the Blue Jays. He has given up at least five runs in three straight starts against Toronto. Vernon Wells (12-35), Lyle Overbay (11-35), Aaron Hill (13-32), Adam Lind (6-13), Travis Snider (2-6), John McDonald (2-4), and Dewayne Wise (2-3) all have good numbers against Beckett. Toronto has gone Over the total in eight of their last 13 games. Boston's bullpen has an ERA over 4.00 on the season and 18 blown saves on their record. We’ll recommend a play on the Over tonight as both the Blue Jays and Red Sox are in tremendous offensive form right now.

 
Posted : September 18, 2010 6:53 am
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Jeff AlexanderFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1 Unit on Iowa Hawkeyes +1.5
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Iowa dominated the Wildcats in last season's meeting, winning by 10 points, but the game really wasn't as close as the final score would lead you to believe. Iowa QB Ricky Stanzi threw a pick-6 or it would have been a 17-point win. Arizona has some talented offensive skill players, but Iowa truly has one of the best, if not the best, defensive lines in the country. Iowa's D-line dominated the line of scrimmage in last year's meeting and I expect history to repeat itself Saturday night. Arizona QB Nick Foles has looked good thus far against two extremely weak opponents, but he won't have time to throw in this one. Iowa is an impressive 13-3 ATS in its last 16 road games, including 6-0 ATS in its last 6. Iowa isn't getting the respect it deserves with this line, and we're going to take advantage.

 
Posted : September 18, 2010 6:54 am
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Dan BebeFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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PIT (-105) vs ARI
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Enright has given up 7 homers in his last 2 starts, so he's trending down.
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James McDonald is on a roll, not allowing a run in either of his last 2 starts.
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Pirates took the opener, and the D'backs are due for a couple clunkers, especially in the zero-intensity Pirates home ballpark.
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Like this play a good deal.
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Bet on the lowly Pirates to make you some late-season cash!
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BOS (-130) vs TOR
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Josh Beckett is on a run of 4 solid starts in a row.
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Ricky Romero can't solve the Red Sox for whatever reason, and he's keeping this price on Boston nice and low.
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The Red Sox have had a day to readjust to being at home now, after a reasonable-length trip West.
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Toronto is swinging from their heels, and they connected on a few in the opener, but Boston bounces back in ths one.
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Get on the Red Sox, but Small.

 
Posted : September 18, 2010 6:58 am
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Dwayne BryantFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OKLAHOMA -16.5
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The temptation may be to fade the Sooners this week, as they're coming off a huge 47-17 win over Florida State. But I think Air Force is in a far worse situation, as they're coming off a huge 35-14 win over top MWC rival BYU. It was the Falcons' first win over the Cougars since 2003, and now they have to go on the road for the first time this season with a relatively inexperienced bunch. And this isn't just any road game. We're talking Norman, OK.
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Bottom line: Oklahoma has the speed and talent on defense to slow down the Air Force wishbone offense, but the Falcons simply do not have the defensive talent to slow down the Sooners offense. And although you'd think OU would look like a huge bull's-eye to the Falcons, I suspect that they're still a little preoccupied with that huge win over BYU. And even if I'm wrong about that, Air Force is simply outmanned on both sides of the ball. Oklahoma is worth a small action wager as they look to extend the nation's longest home win streak to 33 games. Boomer Sooner!

 
Posted : September 18, 2010 7:00 am
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Tom FreeseFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants
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San Francisco starter Tim Lincecum has won his last 3 starts allowing 5 runs total in those starts. The Giants are 9-3 their last 12 games vs. righty starters and they are 26-12 vs. NL Central teams. The Giants are 41-20 with Lincecum as a favorite. Milwaukee starter Yovani Gallardo has allowed 6 or more runs in 3 of his last 5 starts. The Brewers are 4-9 their last 13 games as underdogs and they are 1-6 their last 7 games vs. righty starters. The Brewers are 3-14 the last 17 starts made by Gallardo as an underdog.

 
Posted : September 18, 2010 7:29 am
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Charlie ScottFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona State vs. Wisconsin
Play: Arizona State +12
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Sharps & Wiseguys plus both Wisconsin starting Wr's being out have knocked this line from 14 down to 12. I feel the public and oddsmaker have given Wisconsin too much respect this season for a team that is 0-2 ats so far. Arizona st should be a formidable dog that will play good defense against Wisconsin's pedestrian offense especially with both WR's out. Arizona st QB Threet is a Michigan transfer and has played at Wisconsin before. Take the Points !

 
Posted : September 18, 2010 7:30 am
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SPORTS WAGERSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Wake Forest +17½ over Stanford
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No, it hasn’t been a good two weeks for the Atlantic Coast Conference. Virginia Tech’s loss to FCS James Madison aside, traditional powers like Florida State were humiliated by Oklahoma 47-17, Miami beaten soundly by Ohio State, and Georgia Tech lost to Kansas. Wake Forest isn’t the first team you think of when talking ACC football but lost in the conferences struggle has been its impressive offense. Against admittedly inferior opponents, the Deamon Deacons have averaged 322 yards-per-game rushing and over 500 yards of total offense, a very good sign that they will be able to score against even above average defenses. Indeed, Duke and Presbyterian aren’t Stanford but one can be comfortable making a play on a team that does what it’s supposed to do then to make one on a team hoping it will “turn things around.” Stanford has that big 19 next to its name but its defense hasn’t seen anything close to an offense as productive as Wake Forests’. UCLA and Sacramento State are two teams with pathetic offenses and while Cardinal backers will prop up their yards allowed, those stats aren’t worth the paper their printed on. Jim Grobe is one of the better coaches in the ACC and has the pedigree and experience to make his players believe they can win this one. The bottom line is that laying the 17½-points with the Cardinal before they’ve proven anything just isn’t wise betting. Take the Deamon Deacons and their potent offense. Play: #193 Wake Forest +17½ (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
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MEMPHIS +1.58 over Mid Tennessee St.
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You might read about how the Mid Tennessee St offense is among the best in the land, statistically that is, but don’t buy into that hype. They put up terrific numbers last year and were led by an outstanding QB in Dwight Dasher (some even thought he could win the Heisman this year) but Dasher was suspended prior to the start of the year for using loan money to play poker with. The Blue Raiders racked over 650 yards last week en route to a 56-33 win over Austin Peay as a 29-point favorite. Yes, they won but pay a lot more attention to the 33 that Austin Peay scored and also pay attention to this intruder’s opening game loss at home to the putrid Golden Gophers. In fact, not only did they lose that opener, but they were badly outplayed by Minnesota in a game in which the Blue Raider defense was on the field for about 45 minutes. Mid-Tennessee St. runs the two-minute drill on every offensive possession and frankly, they’re not as good as advertised. The defense they send out there is embarrassing. They can’t stop the run and when the opposition goes to the air, every receiver is wide open. This might be the worst defensive squad in the country and laying road points with them is a huge risk. Memphis comes in 0-2 but they played East Carolina and Mississippi St both on the road. Now they’ll open at home and they’ll be ready. Tigers QB Ryan Williams went 18-25 last week for 293 yards and might double that against this overrated guest. Memphis won’t win many games this year but this one is very winnable and not only can they win this game they can win it going away. Play: #204 Memphis +1.58 (Risking 2 units).
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TENNESSEE +14 over Florida
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These big Sunshine State teams are in a rebuilding year. This is a year of freshman and sophomores after a whole slew of these big time programs lost a ton of seniors to graduation or the pros. Florida is definitely among those teams and it showed last week when they had difficulty with UCF at home in the first half. They made some half-time adjustments and pulled away in the second half but they played a very weak team and they were supposed to win big. In week one the Gators were a 38 point favorite over Miami-Ohio and they didn’t even score 38. Now the Gators will play its first road game of the year and that’s a whole different animal. Not only will they play on the road but they’ll take a step up in class and play in a hostile venue that will have 95,000+ screaming Vols fans. It’s been tough enough for Florida QB John Brantley but he hasn’t seen anything yet. He will today. The Vols were creamed last week by a ranked Oregon squad, 48-13. That score is a bit misleading, as the Vols played toe-to-toe with the Ducks in the first half and even led most of the way. The game was tied 13-13 at the half and then Tennessee let it get away from them. These are good learning experiences and there were lots of positives to take from that game. Tennessee RB Tauren Poole is turning into a stud. He’s one of the best backs in the nation and he’ll get plenty of touches in this one. Expect the Vols to hang around a lot longer than they did last week against a potent Oregon squad and perhaps even pull off the upset. Play: #142 Tennessee +14 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

 
Posted : September 18, 2010 7:32 am
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