Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday September, 22

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Atlanta at Philadelphia
The Phillies look to build on their 6-0 record in Roy Halladay's last 6 starts against a team with a winning record. Philadelphia is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125)

Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.535; Washington (Gonzalez) 15.836
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under

Game 903-904: Miami at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Buehrle) 14.484; NY Mets (Dickey) 14.758
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-140); Under

Game 905-906: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.080; Cubs (Wood) 15.145
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+145); N/A

Game 907-908: Atlanta at Philadelphia (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 15.597; Philadelphia (Halladay) 16.549
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125); Under

Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at Houston (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Correia) 14.501; Houston (Keuchel) 13.708
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-135); Under

Game 911-912: LA Dodgers at Cincinnati (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Fife) 15.508; Cincinnati (Latos) 14.302
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 913-914: Arizona at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Corbin) 16.332; Colorado (Francis) 13.911
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Under

Game 915-916: San Diego at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Werner) 16.336; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.962
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+140); Over

Game 917-918: Baltimore at Boston (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Wolf) 16.490; Boston (Cook) 14.125
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 919-920: Texas at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.196; Seattle (Beavan) 14.695
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Texas (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-170); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Blackley) 15.854; NY Yankees (Nova) 16.133
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Under

Game 923-924: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 14.805; Detroit (Fister) 14.317
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+180); Over

Game 925-926: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Morrow) 15.274; Tampa Bay (Moore) 14.639
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-185); 7
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+165); Over

Game 927-928: Cleveland at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 13.704; Kansas City (Smith) 16.484
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 3; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-125); Under

Game 929-930: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 16.319; LA Angels (Haren) 15.363
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+145); Over

CFL

BC at Edmonton
The Lions look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 meetings in Edmonton. BC is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: BC (-3 1/2)

Game 493-494: BC at Edmonton (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 121.936; Edmonton 112.209
Dunkel Line: BC by 9; 43
Vegas Line: BC by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-3 1/2); Under

WNBA

Tulsa at New York
The Liberty look to build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games against the Shock in New York. New York is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Liberty favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: New York (-6)

Game 651-652: Tulsa at New York (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 103.351; New York 112.346
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 9; 147
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-6); Under

Game 653-654: Washington at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 100.329; Chicago 109.269
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 10 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+10 1/2); Over

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Arizona Wildcats at OregonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: OregonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Ducks (3-0) simply reloaded this season despite the early departure of QB Darron Thomas and RB LaMichael James into the NFL draft. Redshirt freshman Marcus Mariota has shown himself very credible under center by completing over 75% of his passes while averaging 8.8 yards per attempt and tossing 8 TDs to just 1 interception. He is overseeing an offense that has not missed a beat so far this year by averaging 54 PPG along with 596.3 YPG. But what makes Oregon so dangerous this season is a fast and athletic that may be the best overall unit in school history. The Ducks held Tennessee Tech to a mere 177 yards last week in their 63-14 blowout -- and they are then 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after holding their last opponent to 20 points or less. Arizona (3-0) has won their first three games under new head coach Rich Rodriguez -- but the Oregon defense will be ready for his spread offense since they practice against a similar scheme (with better athletes) every day. The bigger concern for the Wildcats is their defense that surrendered 35 PPG along with 460 YPG in Pac-12 play last season which was last in the conference in both categories. Arizona has switched to a 3-3-5 scheme but there remain significant questions regarding their back eight. The Wildcats gave up a whopping 636 total yards at home against Oklahoma State earlier this year which is a very daunting prospect in now having to travel to Autzen Stadium. Arizona may have pulled out a 59-38 victory over the Cowboys but they are unlikely to be able to count on the +4 turnover margin they enjoyed in that game. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. They also have failed to cover the spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 10 games against Pac-12 competition, Arizona has failed to cover the spread in 7 of these games. They looked primed for being blown out on Saturday night. Take Oregon minus the points in this one.

Scott SpreitzerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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California at USCFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: CaliforniaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Some will feel the Trojans are going to be in an angry mood after losing to Stanford, but I believe they have been exposed, not just against Stanford, but also against Syracuse. The USC offensive line did not look like a top-10 unit in the win over the Orange and they were dominated for 4 quarters in their 21-14 loss to Stanford. Starting center or backup center...it doesn't matter. The Trojans were beaten to the punch all night. USC gained just 280 yards on 69 plays and ran for 26 yards on 28 carries. Matt Barkley completed just 20 of 41 passes with no TDs, 2 INTs, and he was sacked 4 times. Not only do I believe USC will have a tough time pulling away in this one, but they're facing a Cal Bear offense that has gained 1,030 yards the last two weeks, including 512 yards on 79 plays at Ohio State last weekend. QB Zach Maynard is on his game connecting on 43 of his last 60 pass attempts for 509 yards and 2 TDs (2 INTs). Cal also ran well the last two weeks, gaining 513 yards on 6.49 yards per carry. I believe a stunned USC squad is in for a closer game than expected on Saturday and I'm recommending a play on California, plus the points.

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Kentucky vs. FloridaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Many are saying that this could be a letdown spot for the Gators after two big road wins against Texas A&M and Tennessee. However I see it totally different as I can see Florida wanting to Blowout a SEC opponent at home after their poor performance in their home opener where they heard some boos. Plus with QB Driskel getting more comfortable each week this could turn ugly fast against a Kentucky squad that was pushed around at home against a Sun Belt opponent. Plus after losing at home to Western Kentucky the Wildcats could definitely to the flat team coming into this spot. I look for them to just laydown as the Gators start to put points on the scoreboard here. And finally with the speed and class difference that the Florida backups have over the Wildcat subs means the blowout will just continue in the second half. Florida rolls big time here today!

Jesse SchuleFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Missouri vs. South Carolina
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The Missouri Tigers will take on the Gamecocks at Williams-Brice Stadium this weekend, and the Gamecocks are the favorite to win this battle. South Carolina's defense still hasn't allowed a touchdown in the redzone, after three weeks of football. They also have one of the most fearsome pass rashers in the country with Jadeveon Clowney.
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Missouri is going to struggle to get their offense going here in this game, and they will need to rely on their defense to keep this game close. Missouri's defense forced four turnovers against Arizona State last week, but they will have their hands full this week with Marcus Lattimore running the football behind a powerful offensive line.
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After squeaking by Vanderbilt in Week 1, the Gamecocks offense has exploded against weak opponents, defeating East Carolina by a score of 48-10, then rolling over the UAB Blazers by a score of 49-6.
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The Gamecocks have a quarterback controversy on their hands, as backup Dylan Thompson has looked good filling in for the injured Connor Shaw. With Shaw likely unable to go on Saturday, Thompson should get the start.
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Marcus Lattimore looked good in his first game back from an ACL injury against Vanderbilt. Since then he hasn't been getting much work. He only got 12 carries last week, but made the most of it, averaging over 7 yards per carry. I would expect Steve Spurrier to increase his workload against the Tigers today, leaning a little more on the running game.
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I am not expecting a blowout, I think Missouri will come in and battle South Carolina, but Spurrier's team will pound them with the running game and escape with a win.

Sean MurphyFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Alabama-Birmingham vs. Ohio State
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This is a clear flat spot for the Buckeyes, as they come off a tougher-than-expected win over Cal last week, and play their fourth straight home game before heading out on the road for a tough contest against Michigan State in East Lansing next week.
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Ohio State did score 56 points in its season-opener against Miami-Ohio, so there's certainly the chance that they explode offensively again in this step-down game. I'm willing to bet otherwise, as this looks like a 'win and move on' type of spot for Urban Meyer's squad. It shouldn't come as a surprise if some of the Buckeyes offense stars find themselves on the sideline for much of the second half in this one.
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UAB is coming off a 49-6 beatdown at the hands of South Carolina last Saturday. The Blazers did score 29 points in a losing effort against Troy to open the season, but last week's offensive regression was certainly expected. Keep in mind, this is a team that was held to a grand total of three points in a pair of non-conference step-up games against Florida and Mississippi State last season. I'm not convinced the Blazers are much better offensively here in 2012. Even in that 29-point performance against Troy, QB Jonathan Perry struggled, completing only 18-of-33 passes, while their leading rusher, Darrin Reaves, gained only 48 yards.
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The Blazers defense should at least play with some pride after getting ripped by the Gamecocks last Saturday. Their offense didn't put the 'D' in too many bad spots against South Carolina, turning the ball over only once, and I expect to see them protect it well again with a rather conservative gameplan this week.
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I get the feeling that UAB will struggle to reach double-figures against a motivated Buckeyes defense that didn't put forth its best effort against Cal. Ohio State should find its way into the 40s, but keep in mind, this is an offense that is still battling inconsistency. I don't believe we'll see them pour it on for four quarters the way Steve Spurrier's Gamecocks did last week.

Bryan PowerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan vs. Notre Dame
Pick: Notre Dame
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Typically, with the public feeling that "Notre Dame is back" and the history of upsets in this storied rivalry, my natural lean would be to the visiting Wolverines. However, this year, I simply think the Irish are that much better. Don't be fooled by Michigan's 63-13 win over UMass, a nothing opponent, last Saturday. They were absolutely dominated in the opener by Alabama on the National TV stage and the following week barely outgained Air Force 422-417 in a narrow 31-25 victory at "The Big House."
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Michigan is far too reliant on QB Denard Robinson, who accounted for virtually every yard the team had vs. Air Force. In fact, he actually had more yards than the team! Last week vs. UMass, "Shoelace" had another near 400 yds of total offense, but that was against a far weaker class of opponent. Here, he faces a Notre Dame team that just put forth a tremendous defensive effort against another Big 10 team (on the road), Michigan State, who I personally have rated higher than Michigan. They allowed the Spartans to gain only 50 yds rushing (on 25 carries) and the L2 weeks have seen the Irish D allow only 140 total rush yds on 55 carries (2.5 YPC).
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At the risk of sounding completely subjective, the Big 10 is weak this year. Really weak. Notre Dame has already beaten Purdue and Michigan State, but this one likely means more considering they have lost three years in a row to the Wolverines by a combined 12 points (lost by 4 all three years). The Irish have not covered against Michigan as a favorite in over 20 years! They put that streak to an end under the bright lights at South Bend Saturday night.

Greg ShakerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Clemson / Florida St Under 57FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We often get very good numbers verses what games close at but we may not here. That is due to the fact that this is a very high profile game and gamblers will want some action on something about this contest. That might very well be the OVER when Saturday betting begins. However, I am not taking the chance because I do like this one at the current number. With 56 being such a key number, it is best to grab the game now and the fact is, my number here is 52.3. That goes thru a number of key numbers. We saw what Clemson did verses an SEC Type Team. That was Auburn. They scored, but they struggled at times. And the fact is, Auburn is Nothing compared to FSU on the D Side of the field. NOBODY may be able to compare with them this year. These guys have had a weak schedule, but 3 points allowed in 3 games with anybody is pretty damn impressive and the press about this D prior to the season is panning out. In the meantime the Sems are going to pound the ball right down Clemson's throat. That's a clock eater.

Brad DiamondFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Vanderbilt vs. GeorgiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Georgia -13½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Hello Bulldogs! Georgia has opened the season with wins over Buffalo, Missouri and Florida Atlantic to the tune of 142-63. The ‘Dawgs are 2-1 ATS this season. Vanderbilt is 1-2 SU thus far with losses to South Carolina (13-17) and Northwestern (13-23), while defeating FCS Presbyterian 58-0. Vandy is 2-1 ATS, including laying 40 last Saturday to Presbyterian. In their portfolio’s, Georgia has the marquee win 41-20 at Missouri in Week #2. In that battle, the ‘Dawgs defense played their best game holding Missouri to 2.6 yards per carry. As that game moved on, and in critical spots, the “D” generated three turnovers enhancing the lead for the visitor to 21. Remember, that was a highly touted Mizzou unit coming into this season as an SEC unit. Georgia closed (8-5) 2011 winning three straight versus Texas, Texas Tech and Kansas. The attack for Georgia is forged by QB Murray who has hit almost 64% of his passes. Murray has a 4-1 touchdown to interception ratio. The rushing attack has a huge edge here with Marshall or Gurley carrying the payload. The ‘Dawgs average 5.8 yards per rush, while going overland at 10.7 yards per pass. Vandy has given yeoman performances this season against both South Carolina and Northwestern, but the lack of bulk defensively hurts against THE RUSH. Currently, the Commies are giving away 148 yards per game. This is a Vandy defense that brought 7 experienced starters back for coach James Franklin (7-9), by the way, who is only in his 2nd year on the job. Vandy was ranked #18 in defense last season. Offensively, the Commies have suffered this season with QB Jordan Rodgers who has thrown just 2 touches with an interception in the mix. He’s averaging almost 54% through the air. CRITICAL: LW QB Rodgers was benched by coach Franklin for former two year starter at Wyoming QB Carta-Samuels. He performed admirably against PU throwing 13 completions in 20 attempts and 190 yads. The RB duo of Kimbrow and Stacy have been solid averaging 7.7 for their combined efforts. The close losses this season where at home against South Carolina and on the road versus Northwestern. In the SC game, Vanderbilt had a dreadful 67 yards through the air. In the NW game, Vandy was ahead 10-6 at the end of the third quarter, but NW out scored the SEC unit in the 4th, augmented by a running touchdown on a three play drive off a turnover. Against the spread Vanderbilt has been HOT of late going 8-3 ATS, if you’re counting LW. However, they have not performed well against teams with a >.500 mark showing at 4-9 ATS. In addition, Vandy is 1-4 ATS in the first of back-to-back roadies, and MORE IMPORTANTLY they travel Saturday into a PERFECT 0-9 ATS trend when coming off a win allowing 8 points or less to the opposition. Georgia plays well in Vegas beating up losing teams at 5-1 ATS. Therefore, with the Commies using a Wyoming transfer in his first real SEC test on the road, and the Vegas public betting the opening line down from 16 to 13 ½ at Noon Eastern on Monday..Our Final Forecast: South Carolina 33 Vanderbilt 13

Carlo CampanellaFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Kentucky vs. FloridaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Florida -24FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Last Saturday's College play I backed a heavily-favored Florida State squad that didn't disappoint as 27-point favorites, while easily beating Wake Forest, 52-0! This Saturday, we're gonna back another big favorite in the state of Florida, but this time in the SEC with the Gators (3-0), as they host 1-2 Kentucky. Kentucky returns just 11 starters from last year's 5-11 squad and are just 1-2 after opening 2012 with a relatively weak schedule, their only victory coming against lowly Kent State. Kentucky has only faced one Bowl-caliber opponent this season before these Gators, and they were never in the game, allowing 466 yards and losing 32-14 to Louisville. The Wildcats not only play on the road, but will take a huge step up in class against an unbeaten Florida crew who is coming off a solid 27-20 victory against a previously unbeaten Tennessee (2-1) team. Knowing they have next Saturday off, expect these Gators to run up the score on an out-gunned Kentucky crew, knowing that they're 5-1 SU in the swamp behind 2nd year HC Will Muschamp.

Johnny Detroit

East Carolina +17

East Carolina has not faired well against the ACC as of late coming off a win (2-8 ATS after a straight-up win). That being said, Pirates QB Shane Carden looked solid in his first career start tossing for 171 yards, 1 TD with no interceptions. The Pirates were out-gained last week, but their defense came through as they took out Southern Miss 24-14 as 7-point underdogs. North Carolina has been disappointing since bashing hapless Elon 62-0 and were getting rolled last week before a late surge made the final box score look respectable.

North Carolina should win this game and rebound from the loss to Louisville, but this is way too many points. The line should be closer to -14 and we will gladly take the free 3-points. East Carolina has the defense to keep them within 2-TD's and QB Carden just needs to not make poor decisions for us to get an easy cover on Saturday.

Steve JanusFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Syracuse Orange +1.5
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I think we are getting some great value on Syracuse at +1.5 on the road against a overrated Minnesota squad. This will be by far the toughest game the Golden Gophers have played this season, as they have got off to a 3-0 start thanks to a soft schedule against the likes of UNLV, New Hampshire and Western Michigan.
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The Orange are just 1-2 on the season, but could just as easily be 2-1 (lost in the final seconds to Northwestern). They have clearly played the harder schedule, as they also squared off against then No. 2 USC, a game in which they only lost by 13-points.
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Syracuse features an explosive offense led by senior quarterback Ryan Nassib, who has thrown for 1,139 yards and 9 touchdowns on the season. They are averaging just under 33 ppg.
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Minnesota's soft schedule has allowed them to look much better defensively than they really are. There is no way their 19.0 ppg is going to hold up once they start playing better competition. Minnesota's defense had just six starters back and lost their top two tacklers from 2011.
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The Golden Gophers come into this game having had a lot of success running the football. They are currently 32nd in the country averaging just under 210 ypg on the ground, but that soft schedule has allowed them to continue to pound the rock. That running game suffers a big loss in this game, as starting quarterback MarQuise Gray is sidelined with an ankle injury. Gray was second on the team with 234 yards rushing.
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Minnesota will start sophomore Max Shortell, who was impressive in relief of Gray against Western Michigan, completing 10 of 17 for 188 yards and three touchdowns, but that really isn't saying a whole lot against Western Michigan's defense.
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I think Minnesota will struggle to keep up offensively with Syracuse in this game, and in turn will fall behind early. That will force Minnesota to throw the ball a lot more than they are comfortable doing, which I believe will lead to turnovers and short fields for the Syracuse offense to operate on.

Matt FargoFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Massachusetts vs. Miami Ohio
Play: Miami OhioFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We knew coming into the season it was going to be a long year for Massachusetts which is in its first full year at the FBS level after spending the last four years in a transition period. But we didn't see it as this bad. The Minutemen are 0-3 on the year and the margins have not even been close as they have been outscored by an average of 42 ppg while getting outgained by over 300 total yards each game. Now it is time for their first ever MAC game and while an exciting time, the horses just are not there to compete. Miami is 1-2 on the season both of those losses have been blowouts as well as it lost at Ohio St. and at Boise St. by 46 and 27 points respectively. Those losses could be considered to be right up there with the Massachusetts losses but the situations are completely different. In both instances, the teams that the RedHawks were playing were out for something as the Buckeyes needed to prove something in their opener while Boise St. needed to bounce back from its season opening loss against Michigan St. One good thing for Massachusetts is that the offense has improved each game as it has gone from 0 to 6 to 13 points scored so that is something to look up to. The problem is that the defense has gone the other way, going from 37 to 45 to 63 points allowed. The Minutemen simply do not have the players yet that can compete at this level. Give them time and things could turn around but right now, teams that need a confidence building win are hoping to have the Minutemen lined up next. Miami has not looked great in its two games against the FBS but it is not expected to be able to hold its own against those top teams. The RedHawks are expected to play for the MAC East title though so taking a step down in class is what it needs right now, Catching Massachusetts as their first MAC game of the season is a big break as they are looking to open conference play with a big win. The RedHawks have 16 starters back and after a disappointing 2011 season, they know the importance of this game. Miami is 21-8 ATS in its last 29 games as a MAC home favorite and while most of those were from the glory days, this has the makings of a similar fate. The RedHawks also fall into a great situation where we play against road teams that are being outrushed by their opponents by 60 or more ypg on the season, after allowing 6.0 ypc or more in two straight games. This situation is 49-19 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1992. Look for Miami to start strong and coast along with a very easy victory.

Teddy CoversFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Air Force vs. UNLV
Pick: OverFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Rebels have shown no ability to contain Air Force’s triple option I any recent meeting. The Falcons hung 45 on the Rebels last year on 522 total yards of offense. That’s quite similar to the 42, 39, 31, 29, 45 and 35 points that Air Force had scored against the Rebels in the previous six meetings. With an extra week to prepare, coming off a solid 417 yard, 25 point performance at Michigan, look for Air Force to light up the scoreboard with TD’s here.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
But UNLV found a quarterback last week; their first promising QB since Jason Thomas graduated a decade ago. Nick Sherry threw for 387 yards and three touchdowns last week against Washington State, repeatedly demonstrating the arm strength that won him the job as a redshirt frosh. Facing a Falcons defense breaking in three new starters in the secondary, look for the Rebels to do their fair share sending this game Over the total. Take the Over.