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Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Florida State Seminoles
Play: Florida State Seminoles -18
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Betting Jim Grobe and the Demon Deacs in the role of this type of dog would have been automatic until I watched Duke drop 48 on the Wake defense two weeks ago and then saw pretty good Stanford unit pound the Deacs for 68 last Saturday. WF allowing 296 by air in three tries and Christian Ponder has to be licking his chops after seeing the films. Sems did whatever they wanted vs BYU. The final score was 34-10 but it could have very well been 56-10. Florida State rolls.
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Air Force Falcons vs. Wyoming Cowboys
Play: Air Force Falcons -11
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My "Power Ratings" have Air Force as 15.5 point favorites. A nice 4.5 point advantage over the odds makers. Crossing over the key numbers 13 and 14.
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No letdown here after Air Force gave Oklahoma all they could handle. This will give them a ton of confidence and they will roll right through the Cowboys.
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Defensively they held Oklahoma to 367 yards (that is something) and will have little problem here.
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The Cowboys have been blown out by 27 and 45 by Texas and Boise St. They can't feel too good about themselves. Confidence isn't high.
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The Cowboys are 7-20-1 ATS their last 28 conference games.
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Falcons big here.
Tom StrykerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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NC State Wolfpack vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Play: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -8
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Off three consecutive wins over Western Carolina, Central Florida and Cincinnati, this is going to be a tough encore for NC State. The Wolfpack have experienced all kinds of trouble in this ACC series posting a dismal 2-10 SU and 3-8-1 ATS record in the last 12 meetings with the Yellow Jackets (albeit they haven’t met since 2006) and they catch Tech at home with momentum off their upset victory at UNC last Saturday.
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State has been at their worst too on foreign soil coming off a straight up victory notching a dismal 25-40-2 SU and 26-40-1 ATS record. Priced somewhat competitively in this role as a favorite of -9’ to an underdog of +9’, the Yellow Jackets have really struggled posting an ugly 13-25-2 SU and 12-27-1 ATS mark. With those two parameters applied and NC State off two or more straight up wins, this team trend crashes to a stiff 6-15-1 SU and 5-17 ATS!
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The Wolfpack defense checks into Atlanta thumping their chest. State has allowed just 15.7 points and 85.3 rushing yards per game this season. Those numbers will change after this contest. The Yellow Jackets are ranked third in the nation in rushing chewing up an average of 345.0 yards per game, they score an average of 32.0 points per game and they’ll provide State with an offensive look they haven’t seen all season long. Check that. An offensive look they haven’t seen in years. This will be NC State head coach Tom O’Brien’s first peek at Paul Johnson’s triple option attack at Tech.
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Since dropping a 24-17 decision to Virginia back on October 25th, 2008, Tech has ripped off six consecutive wins inside Bobby Dodd Stadium in ACC play (4-2 ATS). Respect is given to State quarterback Russell Wilson and his athletic abilities. However, it’s going to be tough for Wilson to do any serious damage here when he doesn’t have the football in his hands. The Yellow Jackets offense can grind out yards and points on the ground and keep him off the field. Take Georgia Tech!
Sports InsightsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Army vs. Duke
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Army imposed its will on North Texas in last week's game, grinding out 292 rushing yards, while committing only two penalties and zero turnovers in their 24-0 victory.
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Conversely, Duke was completely overmatched in their game against Alabama, surrendering 626 total yards in a 49-point loss to the defending National Champions.
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Duke opened as a 7.5-point favorite at CRIS and, despite receiving 62% of spread bets, the line has shrunk to -6. This reverse-line movement suggests there is sharp money coming down on Army, so we'll take Army and their triple-option attack, getting 6.5 points.
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Army +6.5
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UCLA vs. Texas
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Last week, UCLA got a huge game from running back Jonathan Franklin, who lead the Bruins to their first victory of the season. Franklin rushed for 158 yards and scored three touchdowns in the convincing 31-13 win over Houston.
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Texas shook off four turnovers and outscored Texas Tech 10-0 in the second half in a hard-fought, 24-14 win over their in-state rival.
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Texas opened as a 17-point favorite at Olympic and are massive public favorites. The Longhorns are currently receiving 84% of spread wagers, but sharp money has come down on UCLA, shrinking the line to -16. Two positive Smart Money Plays have been triggered on UCLA, as well as a Steam Move at 5Dimes (+6.9 units). At the time of publication, most sportsbooks are offering the Bruins at +16, yet one has moved to +16.5. As always, shop for the best line and grab UCLA at the highest possible number.
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UCLA +16.5
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South Carolina vs. Auburn
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One week after an impressive win against Georgia, South Carolina looked a bit flat against Furman, allowing the Paladins to gain 325 total yards. Still, South Carolina proved too strong for overmatched Furman, pulling away for a 38-19 win.
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Auburn comes into this week's game riding the high from an overtime victory against rival Clemson. Auburn, down 17-3 at halftime, outscored Clemson 21-0 in the third quarter en route to the 3-point win.
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Auburn opened as a 2.5-point favorite at Pinnacle and, according to Sports Insights' Betting Trends data, is receiving only 36% of spread bets and 19% of moneyline wagers. A Steam Move at Canbet (+1.4 units) was triggered on Auburn earlier this week, moving the line to -3 across the sports marketplace. In our third and final game of the week, we'll fade a huge public favorite and give the three.
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Auburn -3
Doug UpstoneFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Jose State Spartans vs. Utah Utes
Play: Utah Utes -31
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Exactly a week ago I gave out Two Free Winners in college football from a highly profitable system that is 25-2 ATS, 92.6 percent since 2001. As it turns out the same awesome system is available yet again this week, thus let’s keep pounding it until our luck changes.
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Play On favorites of 21.5 to 31 points, after gaining 6.25 or more yards a play in two consecutive games, with eight or more offensive starters returning, including the quarterback. Take a close look at Utah and Indiana on Saturday.
Jim Feist
UTEP at Memphis
Pick: Over
Memphis quarterback Ryan Williams came off the bench and threw for 297 yards in a 49-27 loss to East Carolina, so the offense has found a QB but this defense is dreadful. Memphis finished 96th nationally in run defense, 99th in pass defense and total defense last season and looks just as bad. Memphis is 20-15-1 over the total the last three+ years. UTEP (2-1) has a strong offense and weak defense for Head Coach Mike Price, led by senior QB Trevor Vittatoe (8 TDs, 1 pick). They had a 54-24 loss to Houston, giving up 656 yards, though the offense had 440 (340 passing). UTEP is on an 8-4 run over the total, so play UTEP/Memphis Over the total.
Mike RoseFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Army at Duke
Play: Army +6.5
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With two wins already under their belt this season, head coach Rich Ellerson’s Black Knights look well on their way towards qualifying for a bowl game for the first time since 1996. That said; they were 2-1 at this point of the season a year ago, and only managed to win three more games to just fall short of the six-win plateau.
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Army’s option attack was in solid form last week at home against an injury ravaged North Texas Mean Green outfit. Trent Steelman bounced back from a shaky outing against Hawaii the previous week to rush for 68 yards and a score on 11 carries and complete five of his 10 passes for 45 yards in the Black Knight’s 24-0 shutout win. The offense boasts five rushers with more than 120 overall yards rushing to date, and the option will need to once again be firing on all cylinders to come out on top in this spot. The Dookies sport a sieve of a defense that ranks in the bottom third of all major categories. Most importantly, they rank 111 out of 120 teams in defending the run allowing a whopping 223 YPG.
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With Army still learning the ropes on how to run the option in last year’s meeting, the offense still managed to churn out a whopping 385 yards on the ground. Now a year older and wiser, it wouldn’t at all be shocking if that number was surpassed considering Duke just surrendered 315 yards to the Crimson Tide’s ground attack led by reigning Heisman winner Mark Ingram.FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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With a dry track expected with limited wind, this could really turn into one of the better track meets of the week. That said; I’m looking for Army to avenge last year’s crippling defeat at the hands of the Blue Devils that saw the game get away from them late due to a pair of pick-sixes that occurred just seconds apart. Duke has proved it by no means can stop any semblance of a ground attack, don’t expect Army to get itself into many situations that would force it to throw. Instead, look for it to pound the pigskin every chance it gets. The Dookies are a pitiful 3-9-1 ATS the L/13 times they were installed a home favorite, back the Black Knights in this rematch and don’t be shocked if they win outright!
Dave PriceFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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1 Unit on Arkansas Razorbacks +7.5
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After getting smacked around by Alabama the last couple seasons, the hogs will be hungry to knock off the defending national champs. An inexperienced Alabama defense is yet to see a passing attack like Ryan Mallett and Arkansas bring to the table, and I expect that passing attack to give Bama all kinds of problems. The Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. Expect the Razorbacks to take Bama down to the wire Saturday.
Tom FreeseFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston Astros at Pittsburgh Pirates
Prediction: Houston Astros
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Houston starter Brett Myers has allowed 3 or less runs in 8 straight starts. Myers is 19-11 in his 30 team starts this year. The Astros are 11-4 off a loss and they are 19-7 their last 26 games vs. NL Central teams. Houston is 4-0 in game one of a series. Pittsburgh starter James McDonald is 4-6 in 10 starts this year. The Pirates are 6-20 their last 26 games vs. the Astros. The Pirates are 30-67 their last 97 games overall. The Bucs are 29-71 their last 100 games vs. righty staters and they are 19-42 in game one of a series.
Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels
Angels starter Scott Kazmir has allowed 8 runs total in his last 4 starts. Los Angeles is 24-10 their last 34 games as home underdogs and they are 6-2 their last 8 home games. The Angels are 14-6 their last 20 Saturday games and they are 4-1 off a loss. White Sox starter John Danks has allowed 16 runs in his last 19.1 innings of work. Chicago is 2-8 their last 10 games overall. The Pale Hose are 1-6 in the last 7 starts made by Danks. The White Sox are 1-5 their last 6 road games vs. lefty starters.
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Idaho vs. Colorado State
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With the way that Idaho is playing defensively leading the nation in red zone defense, allowing only three scores on eight possessions inside the 20 yard line. Plus add in that the Vandals are tied for first nationally with seven fumble recoveries and tied for second with 11 takeaways. This sure fits well against a Rams team that Ranks 113th in the nation in total yards offensively, and 119th rushing the ball. So let's continue to Fade this deeply outmanned Colorado State squad as all these trends also points towards another double digit loss. Vandals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Vandals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in September. Vandals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points Vandals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. MWC. Rams are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 gameRams are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall.s following a ATS loss. Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Rams are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Marc LawrenceFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Army @ DukeFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Army +6.5
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The Cadets travel to Duke to take on the Blue Devils in a rematch from last season when the Blue Devils trounced the military men, 35-19 at West Point. Particularly disturbing for Army was the fact that not only did they outgain Duke, 385-236, but also the fact that the Blue Devils to throw a TD pass late in the contest when holding a 28-19 lead. It was salt into the wound and the payback comes today. With road dogs off a SU and ATS shutout win a sturdy 17-7 ATS when facing an opponent off a double-digit loss, we'll grab the points with the Cadets in this retaliatory maneuver today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Army.
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Baylor @ Rice
Pick: Baylor -7.5
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Rice is in a very bad spot here as they are 2-10 ATS as a non-confernce home underdog. The Owls were hammered by Northwestern last week after barely squeaking by North Texas the week before. Baylor looked impressive in their first 2 games before getting beat up by TCU. They will be very ready to bounce back from that loss and take out some frustrations on Rice.
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Boise State Broncos -18
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At first glance this spread really seems high, but I think taking the points in this game is a sucker bet. The Beavers were blown out 42-14 in their last trip to Boise in 2006 and that was a more talented Oregon State team in my opinion. The Rodgers brothers are a very talented duo for the Beavers, but this is a veteran Boise State defense that is very capable of shutting teams down. On the other side of the ball the Oregon State defense is going to have their hands full. The Beavers defense has struggled as they have allowed 453 total yards in each of their first two games. Although Oregon State beat Louisville 35-28 last Saturday, Cardinals quarterback Adam Froman threw for 288 yards and a touchdown while rushing for two more scores. Boise State quarterback Kellen Moore should have a field day. Oregon State coach Mike Riley called Moore "probably the most efficient quarterback in the country." The left-handed junior is 28-1 with 69 touchdown passes and 14 interceptions in his collegiate career at Boise State. Moore also has plenty of weapons to work with. Doug Martin leads Boise State's running game and Titus Young and Austin Pettis remain Moore's favorite targets, combining for 28 touchdown receptions since the start of last season. The Broncos are the hottest team against the spread the last three seasons and they are 44-20-2 against the spread in their last sixty six home games. I expect that success to continue. Lay the points.
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Stanford vs. Notre DameFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Two weeks ago Notre Dame would likely have beaten Michigan if QB Dayne Crist had not missed much of the middle of the game because of injury. And the Irish still had the lead until the final 0:27. Then there was the memorable finish at East Lansing on Saturday night, when Mark Dantonio gambled on that fake FG on a 4th-and-14 play. So the truth is that there is much to like about what Kelly has done so far, and Crist throwing for 369 yards and four TD’s on the road vs. the Spartans is an indication of what can happen against the Stanford defense. With Theo Reddick (10 catches for 128 yards and a TD on Saturday) emerging to join NFL-bound Michael Floyd and Kyle Rudolph, the Notre Dame passing game can spread the field both vertically and horizontally, and as each week goes by we will see more and more of Kelly’s playbook unleashed to showcase those weapons. The Cardinal defense was 110th in passing yards allowed LY, and 98th in pass efficiency defense, while only rating 78th in sacks and 108th in tackles for loss. This still-developing group has not faced a major challenge yet, and find themselves on their heels all day in this one. Big Game James Patrick's complimentary selection in Saturday NCAA College Football is Stanford - Notre Dame Over the Total.
Jay McNeilFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Nevada at Brigham Young
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The writing it is on the wall - Nevada should crush the Cougars!!!
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After all, the Wolfpack just annihilated Cal, and BYU is back home after getting thumped by Florida State.
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Nevada has had a much better start to the campaign then the struggling Cougs.
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So then why is this line so low? Just cause it's in Provo?
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I don't know, I think this is a letdown waiting to happen, as the Cougars are long overdue for a complete game, while the Nevada pistol offense is about to be diffused.
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I'll take the home dog.
3♦ BYU