Triple Threat Sports
Missouri (-) over Arkansas State
Tigers struggled in moving into the SEC last season, but they are 6-1 in non SEC games over that span, outscoring foes 275-142 in those games. Arkansas State has been outscored 69-16 in their two away games this season , and this is the best team they have face. Our line on this one was Mizzou -27, so we will lay the points here.
bookiemonsters
152-102-3 run
28-19-4 run last 51 plays
Play Of The Day: kent state over 50
Harry Bondi
NAVY (-3) over Western Kentucky
Three weeks ago we had Navy as our free pick when it went to Indiana as an 11-point dog and won outright and on that day we mentioned that the Midshipmen were a profitable 66-31 (70%) ATS on the road the last 10 years. We'll come back with Navy today once again on the road and in a great situation. Not only is Western Kentucky giving up over 5 yards per carry on the ground, but it had only had one week to prepare for Navy's tricky option attack that has put up nearly 800 rushing yards in its first two games. And with Sun Belt Conference play beginning next week, the Hilltoppers may not be fully focused on the task at hand. That will spell doom against the rested Midshipmen, who had last week off and have only played two games this season. Lay the short number.
Jimmy Moore
Ohio State -7
Everybody is fretting over who will be QB for Ohio State. Not me. It won't matter since the Buckeyes will be moving the ball no matter who is calling the signals here. Urban has been prepping his team all year for the 2 big games on the schedule, this one and Michigan so look for a very prepared team in the Horseshoe here. Wisconsin has looked decent but this will be a tough atmosphere for them under a new head coach in a series that have had little success in only covering 1 of the last 6 games. Don't fall for the thinking that Ohio State's defense is not good giving up 34 to Cal and 20 to Buffalo. Most of those points were in garbage time. Look for the Badgers to have little success on offense and the Buckeyes to roll it up big.
John Ryan
Wyoming at Texas State
Prediction: Texas State
The simulator shows a high probability that Texas State will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Wyoming is off to a solid start with a 3-1 record, but he lines now are getting a bit inflated. Note that Wyoming is just 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. Texas State ahs won 2-of-3 games and under head coach Francione are 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1992; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game; 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games facing very good offensive teams scoring 34 or more points/game in all games he has coached since 1992. The biggest factor in this game is that Texas State has played a much more difficult schedule than Wyoming and that 'seasoning' will pay dividends today. I would not be surprised to see a SU Texas State win either so consider playing no more than a 1.5* amount on the money line.
OC Dooley
Wisconsin +7
There has been an abundance of national criticism involving the Big 10 Conference especially with their poor collective showing in nationally televised matchups versus “non” league opposition. However odds are that tonight’s ABC audience will be treated to a quality matchup between a pair of high profile league opponents and the oddsmakers seem to agree casting a relatively tight line even though the host side has been dominant and has the nation’s second-most successful head coach Urban Meyer. So far Ohio State has faced 4 “middle to worse” opponents with positive results including last week’s 76-0 rout of a Division I-AA weakling. This evening marks the first “true” test for the Buckeyes who through the years have dominated Wisconsin whose former head coach Bret Bielema went 1-5 against them. Of course Bielema literally fled the program in the offseason in order to join Arkansas and having the challenge of coaching in America’s best conference based in the Southeast. It was two years ago when Ohio State in the midst of a scandal that cost them long time head coach Jim Tressel labored through just a .500 season but the Buckeyes still found a way to humiliate the Badgers on the field. Last year the tide finally appeared to turn as Wisconsin extended Ohio State into OVERTIME before once against coming up on the losing end of the scoreboard. The key to this pick is that the Wisconsin roster has FOURTEEN players who are from the state of Ohio, including three who grew up just outside of Columbus which is home base to the Buckeyes. Some of those 14 players grew up idolizing the Buckeyes but ultimately did NOT receive a scholarship offer, so there is plenty of emotion running on the sidelines of tonight’s underdog side. Here is an outstanding “27-6” SYSTEM (82-percent the past five years) which plays ON excellent rushing road underdogs like Wisconsin averaging 5.25 yards per carry or more, after a game where they gained at least 6 yards per rush attempt. That system favors Wisconsin who statistically is one of the best rushing teams in the land
Insider Angles Sports
Stanford at Washington St
Pick : Under
It should be a relatively low scoring affair in the Great Northwest Saturday night when the fifth ranked Stanford Cardinal (3-0, 1-2 ATS) pay a visit to the Washington State Cougars (3-1, 4-0 ATS) at CenturyLink Field in Seattle at 10:00 ET on ESPN. The Cardinal are supposed to have the best defense in the Pac-12, which is the primary reason why most people feel that Stanford has the best chance of any team in the conference to knock off Oregon this season. While that may certainly be true, it is the Washington State defense that has been the bigger story on the stat sheet so far, at least through four games.
Not many people expected the Cougars to be 3-1 at this point, especially with USC on the early portion of the schedule, but Wazzou went into Los Angeles and upset the Trojans 10-7, keyed by a defense that currently ranks ninth in the country in total defense, second in passing defense and 12th in scoring defense surrendering just 12.0 points per game! The offense has been more erratic however despite the Cougars ranking 16th in passing offense, as most of that passing success has come the last two weeks vs. Southern Utah and Idaho, which does not mean much. In two games vs. meaningful competition, quarterback Connor Halliday threw a total of one touchdown and five interceptions combined vs. USC and Auburn, and he seems vulnerable here vs. a strong and physical Stanford defensive line that recorded three sacks and 10 tackles for loss vs. a more offensively potent Arizona State offense last week. If Washington State wants to pull an upset, it will have to take a blueprint of the 10-7 win over USC and rely on its defense to keep the game close.
The Stanford defense ranks 36th in total defense and 43rd in scoring defense allowing 20.3 points per game, which while acceptable is not as good as was expected before the season. This seems like a nice opportunity to correct that though vs. an offense that has struggled vs. good FBS competition, and as mentioned, at least the Stanford defensive line lived up to its billing vs. ASU last week in a 42-28 home victory even with the secondary yielding 367 passing yards to the Sun Devils' Taylor Kelly. That defensive backfield should have an easier time this week however as the Cougars do not have the game-breakers at the offensive skill positions that Arizona State possesses. By the same token though, the Cardinal offense does not figure to repeat its 42-point, 392-yard performance of last week here vs. a much better defense, especially with a vociferous Seattle crowd rooting Washington State on, the same crowd that is considered to be the loudest crowd in the NFL with this game being played in the home stadium of the Seattle Seahawks.
The 'under' is 9-3 in the last 12 Washington State games following an ATS win, as well as 4-0 in the Cougars' last four games after gaining more than 280 passing yards in their previous game. The 'under' is also 9-3 in the last 12 Stanford games after scoring more than 40 points in its previous game.
Fezzik
Washington St. +9
My late game best bet is a vastly underrated WSU team catching 9 in Seattle. That win @ USC is looking better and better........WSU will hang in this game, and has a shot to win it!