Jeff AlexanderFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Tennessee/Georgia UNDER 58
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Because these two teams have finished over the total in each of their lined games this season, odds makers have overshot their mark here. We only saw 32 total points scored in last season's meeting, and I'm expecting another defensive battle. Consider that these two have finished under the number in 6 of their last 8 at Georgia. The Bulldogs just put a 48-3 whipping on Vandy, but they are 17-6 under the last 2 decades following a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival. We have only seen an average of 43.9 total points scored in this situation. The under is also on a 33-12-1 run in the Bulldogs' last 46 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Bet the Under.
Dave PriceFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
South Florida Bulls +17.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Off an emotional win over Clemson and hitting the road for the first time this season, I don't expect Florida State to be at its best against a South Florida team that is better than it has shown the last two weeks. The Bulls, meanwhile, will be very motivated and hungry following consecutive lackluster efforts. One thing you don't want to make a habit of is going against Skip Holtz when the odds are stacked against him. That's because his teams are 29-15 ATS all-time when in the underdog role, and they have only lost by an average of 4.0 points in this situation. This is a much bigger game for USF than it is for FSU, and that was evident in 2009 when the Bulls stunned the Seminoles 17-7 as 13.5-point dogs in Tallahassee. FSU gets the job done, but not by as much as the odds makers think. Take the points as the Bulls keep this one within two touchdowns.
Joe GavazziFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Virginia +3FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
There is surely no game on the card this week that is more contrary. It has been quite a party for LA Tech. They are on a 12-2 ATS run and have covered 10 consecutive road games. Their veteran offense returns 8 including QB Cameron. He has led their spread attack to 55 PPG on an amazing 7.2 YP Play. They have a + 33 AFP. A veteran OL has led them to more than 50 points in every game. That includes a 52-24 win at Illinois last week, which was aided by 6 Illini TOs. To put the season in perspective however, earlier victories against rebuilding Houston and outmanned Rice have not been quite so impressive. At the other end of the spectrum is a VA team who enters at 0-3 ATS with a -38 AFP and is coming off consecutive losses. Two weeks ago they were trampled by the GA Tech ground game. Yet last week in a 27-7 loss at TCU, they actually outrushed the Frogs 164-133 but fell victim to 4 TOs. Now returning home, off that pair of combined losses by a count of 83-27, yet well motivated by an undefeated opponent, look for this prideful Virginia team with a net-71 AFP diff to pull the mini-upset with ease.
Stephen NoverFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Utah St. -20.5FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
UNLV goes on the road for the first time this season. That's bad news for the Rebels. UNLV has lost the last 16 times it has traveled. The Rebels have been absolutely brutal on the road under Bobby Hauck going 0-14 and 1-13 ATS. Only one of UNLV's road losses during the Hauck era was in single digits - and that was a 21-14 loss to New Mexico last year. The Lobos were 1-11 last year. That was their only victory.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Worse, the Rebels are in a flat spot after upsetting Air Force at home last Saturday night. It was the first time the Rebels had beaten Air Force in six years Utah State is home for the first time in three weeks.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
There is more to fading the Rebels in this matchup, though, then just their awful road history.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
UNLV's offense consists of the physical running of Tim Cornett. That was the key in the Rebels overpowering a small Air Force team that worn down. Utah State, however, presents a much harder matchup for UNLV. The Aggies have a very physical defense. They rank No. 1 in the WAC in rush defense and 21st in the country giving up 103.7 yards per game on the ground. The Rebels also will be playing for the first time in the mountains.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
If Cornett is stopped the Rebels are in big trouble as that would put tremendous pressure on freshman quarterback Nick Sherry, playing in his first road game. I've covered games at Romney Stadium in Logan, Utah. It is a tough place to play.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Rebels had to deal with Washington State's wide-open passing attack that is going through growing pains under first year head coach Mike Leach. Then last week they had to prepare for Air Force's unique triple option offense. Now the Rebels face a third type of offense as the Aggies are a physical, well-balanced team that averages more than 207 yards rushing per game and close to 220 yards passing.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
It shouldn't be lost either that Mike Sanford is Utah State's assistant head coach. Sanford was the Rebels head coach before Hauck coaching at UNLV for five seasons.
Dave EsslerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Cincinnati +6.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
You can get +7 in places, but not enough for me to publish it as such. Either way, the Hokies are simply not a good team to cover a number like this. They've been favored by about a touchdown several times in the last year, most notably against Clemson and FSU, and either lost outright or failed to cover. In this game, which is being played in Landover, there are less than 38,000 tickets sold. The face value here was upwards of $175 and the VT alumni in the DC area are simply not going. They can play $300 for a season ticket in Lane Stadium. Point being, there is little or not home field/crowd advantage for the Hokies. The Bearcats win over the Panthers now looks a little more impressive than it did at the time, and with two weeks to prepare, they ought to be ready, and I simply do not see Logan Thomas putting up tons of points. It's a non-conference game for VT which is clearly a letdown spot, and a rather big game to the future/recruiting of the Bearcats, so in what is projected to be a low scoring game, we'll take the point in a game that Cincinnati may well win SU.
Greg ShakerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
New Mexico +26.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Some games don't deserve a lot of writeup words to make sense and this is one of those. Boise has played far better competition that the Lobos this year but let's face it. This team is NOT scoring points. Covering this number on the road verses a team that can put a few on the board is not going to be easy. Boise is not Texas, they are not Texas Tech. They are just an average team this year so far. That could change but that will only change when they start clicking on offense. For now, they are missing Moore and Company very much. I have a Boise win by 18.9 points only. I will be conservative on this high number though and play 2% only..
Johnny DetroitFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Cent. Michigan +10.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Northern Illinois will be looking to stop the Central Michigan passing attack after giving up a 79, 43, 46 & 61 yard TD pass last season in a 48-41 loss. The dilemma is they have played two straight running based teams and WANTING to stop a passing attack and ACTUALLY stopping it are two different things. The Chips gave up 200+ yards rushing in their last game which is a plus toward Northern Illinois as QB Jordan Lynch has over 1000 yards passing & rushing. That being said, +10.5 is way too many points. This line should be closer to a TD and the 3.5 points on top of that is a gift. When backing a double digit dog, I would rather take a team that can pass and get some quick garbage points late versus a running team that once they start getting blown out are forced to change up their offense and toss up wounded ducks in the 4th quarter.
Scott SpreitzerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Wisconsin / Nebraska Under 50.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Husker defense is prone to giving up big plays...and a lot of them when facing fleet-footed, dual-threat quarterbacks (see UCLA game). However, the "Blackshirts" are a hard nut to crack when the opponent is led by a more traditional type, pocket passer. Last season, Russell Wilson's threat to run with the football allowed Wisconsin's offense to gash the Husker defense for big gains...and plenty of them. But whether we see Danny O'Brien or Joel Stave, we are not likely to see the type of game Wisconsin's offense was able to muster in last year's meeting. A perfect example of the difference when Nebraska's secondary doesn't have to worry about keeping an eye on a run-threat QB is last season's game against Michigan State. Highly touted Spartan QB Kirk Cousins couldn't do a thing against Nebraska because he was no threat to beat them with his feet. Or, check out the results in Nebraska's win over Ohio State. The Buckeyes were smacking Nebraska in Lincoln with Braxton Miller at QB. As soon as Miller got injured, the Huskers dominated, coming from 21-points back to win the game - again, facing a traditional style signal caller. Look for the Badger offesne to struggle in the rematch. I expect the Huskers to win this game, but I also believe points will not come easy. Therefore, I'm recommending a play on the Under between the Badgers & Cornhuskers on Saturday night.
College Football GOW
5 units - Clemson -7
Free Play
3 units - LA Tech -3.5
3 units - Akron +3
Upset College Football GOW
2 units - Ohio State +125
-Fo Bros
Teddy CoversFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Colorado State vs. Air Force
Pick: OverFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
I cashed betting Air Force Over the total with my free play last Saturday and there’s absolutely no reason not to go right back to the well again this week. Colorado State is not likely to stop Air Force. The Falcons have hung 45, 49, 34, 38 and 45 against the Rams over the last five years, and this could be the weakest Colorado State defense of the bunch. But this Air Force defense is no top notch stop unit and Colorado State is going to fight for points through the final gun, playing hard under first year head coach Jim McElwain. In a series that has seen five consecutive Overs cash and at least 66 points scored in each of the last two years, look for another high scoring affair on Saturday. Take the Over.
Chip ChirimbesFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Wisconsin at Nebraska
Play: WisconsinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
These two met last season and Wisconsin really laid it on to and undermanned Husker club. This time around the rolls are reversed and it's Nebraska that is ready to 'kick-ass.' The problem with that is just how bad Whisky has been to date they are 0-4 ATS and no have shown no running game whats-so-ever. Monty Ball has had no where to run and the Badgers have to establish that run game here or they have no chance. To avoid and embarrassing exhibition expect the Badgers to be ready here.
Jim FeistFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Ball State vs. Kent State
Play: Kent StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Kent State is playing well, losing to Kentucky of the SEC but whipping Towson and Buffalo by double digits. They have excellent balance on offense and a senior QB in Spencer Keith. The Golden Flashes are coming off an impressive defensive performance in a 23-7 win at Buffalo, holding the Bulls to just five complete passes in 26 attempts with three interceptions. The Golden Flashes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Kent State ranks second in the nation both turnover margin and kick return average. Ball State has the flashy passing offense, but no defense allowing 36 ppg. Grab the home team. Play Kent State!
Dave CokinFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois
Pick: Northern Illinois
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Northern Illinois in a solid revenge spot and catching Central Michigan off its upset win at Iowa. Good spot for the home chalk to score a convincing win. NIU minus the points.
Sean MurphyFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Duke vs. Wake Forest
Pick: OverFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
We saw a closing total of '60' when these two teams met last season. That contest only reached 47 points, as Wake Forest pulled out a narrow one-point road victory.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Both teams have taken a step forward here in 2012 - at least so far.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Duke checks in 3-1 on the season, after notching only three victories all of last year. I really like the way the Blue Devils offense has been clicking, although the jury is still out on their defense, which allowed a whopping 50 points in its only true test so far, against Stanford back in Week 2.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Wake Forest is also off to a 3-1 start, including an impressive 28-27 win over North Carolina. Like Duke, Wake is dealing with some issues on the defensive side of the football. The Demon Deacons have given up 89 points over their last two games. Of course, 52 of those came against mighty Florida State, but the other 37 came at the hands of Army. Not good.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
We have a sneaky-good QB matchup on our hands in this one. Sean Renfree and Tanner Price are two of the more underrated signal-callers in college football, as far as I'm concerned. Renfree threw 28 touchdowns in the last two seasons combined, and has already found the end zone nine times through the air here in 2012. I like the decisions he's been making with the football, specifically when to scramble, and when to hang in the pocket. He's completed over 70% of his passes and should be able to carve up a Wake secondary that hasn't really been tested over the last couple of weeks, with FSU and Army focusing on the run.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Tanner Price is off to a bit of a slow start, having thrown only three touchdowns through four games. Remember, he threw 20 touchdowns a year ago, compared to only six interceptions. Of course, his overall numbers are a little skewed due to an awful performance against a dominant Florida State defense. He's coming off arguably his best all-around game last week, as he threw for 221 yards and a pair of touchdowns against Army. He won't be taking a considerable step up in class here, as Duke's secondary, much like Wake's, hasn't really been tested, with three of its first four games coming against the likes of FIU, NC Central, and Memphis.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
We're only two years removed from a 102-point explosion from these two teams in a 54-48 Wake Forest victory on this field in September of 2010. It's worth noting that we saw the same two starting QBs in that matchup, with Renfree and Price combining to throw for seven touchdowns. In fact, three of the last five meetings in this series have climbed into the 70s, with four of the last five reaching at least 61 points. This should be another tightly-contested, back-and-forth game with the defenses taking a back seat to the offenses.
Kyle HunterFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Minnesota vs. Iowa
Play: IowaFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Minnesota Golden Gophers may be 4-0, but they aren't a good football team. Jerry Kill is doing an awesome job working with very little talent. Kirk Ferentz's Iowa squad has been extremely disappointing this year, but I think they'll bounce back in a good spot here. Minnesota has actually beaten Iowa straight up two years in a row as a 14.5 point underdog, so Iowa has tons of motivation in this one. The Hawkeyes should be able to run the ball well, and Minnesota's offense is too inconsistent. Minnesota has played one game on the road this year, and they needed overtime to beat a terrible UNLV team. Take Iowa here.