MATT FARGO
Western Michigan @ Michigan
PICK: Michigan -12.5
The story to open the 2009 college football season for Michigan is not the hope for a rebound from last season’s horror show but the possible infractions that have taken place over the last couple seasons. Whether the Wolverines are guilty or not means little here as they are focused on starting the season strong after going 3-9 last year, the worst record in the history of the program. This is not a team on the decline but one that is changing and in the Big Ten, changing for the good. The Rich Rodriguez spread offense never got going last season as Michigan finished 109th in the country in total offense. The system needs time and the right players to become successful and with nine starters back on offense along with a quarterback who looks as though he can run the offense, things will be much better. Western Michigan will be looking to become the second MAC team in as many season to win at Michigan. The Broncos are going to contend in their conference as their offense is going to be very solid once again. Facing poor defenses in the MAC is what will help but even though Michigan finished a disappointing 67th in total defense a season ago, the Broncos are going to find it tough going Saturday. The Wolverines defense was supposed to shoulder the load for the first part of last season until the offense could come together but the problem is that neither of those happened. On the defensive side, Rodriguez brought in recently fired Syracuse head coach Greg Robinson to run the unit. Robinson struggles as the main man but he is still considered an outstanding coordinator based on his past. The defense is not going to suddenly become the best in the country or even in the Big Ten but there is enough talent to handle a MAC school. On the other side, the problem for Western Michigan is the defense. They finished 87th in the country in total defense last year and now must replace eight starters on that unit. Replacements mean change and quite possibly change for the good but not when it comes to the opening game of the season. It will take time for this unit to come around if it even ever does. A very good thing for Michigan that happened last season was Western Michigan defeating Illinois. The Wolverines had such a poor season that it is unlikely it would be looking past any team at this point but the Broncos victory over the Illini will definitely get the attention of Michigan. Also, the Wolverines have not forgotten how the Toledo Rockets came to the Big House last season and walked away with a victory so it will not be taking an MAC team for granted. The Wolverines finished 2-10 ATS last season and that is a clear advantage for them this season as these records tend to turn around the following season. The one thing Michigan needs is a quick start to 2009 and it gets it come Saturday. 3* Michigan Wolverines
Jeff Scott Sports
4 Unit Plays
Michigan -12 over Western Michigan: The Wolves are ready for a solid season and after two upset losses to non conf foes to start the last 2 years they will be ready for a big effort today.
Teaser of the Week-- (3 Team 10 Pt Teaser)-- Michigan -2, Texas A&M -4 & Georgia +15
3 Unit Plays
Washington +17.5 over LSU: The Cougars had bad breaks last year, but return 15 starts and have QB Jake locker back as well. LSU has their SEC opener on deck and will over look the Cougars who are off their worst season ever.
Utep -7.5 over Buffalo: The Miners just may walk away with the Conf USA Title this year, while Buffalo will take a few steps back after a suprising MAC Championship last year. This one is easy.
2 Unit Plays
Texas A&M -14 over New Mexico
Navy +21.5 over Ohio State: The Buckeyes nearly lost last year to Ohio U prior to the USC game. Navy plays tough for 4 quarters and should have enough to keep this one around 2 td's at the most.
Nebraska -21.5 over Florida Atlantic
1 Unit Plays
Ohio +3.5 Over Uconn
2 Team 6pt Teaser-- Cal/ Maryland Over 45 & Va Tech +12.5
STAT OF THE WEEK--- Florida Atlantic is 0-12 ATS in their last 12 road games vs BCS schools and have been outscored in those games by an average of 46-8!
Tony Stoffo
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San Jose State vs. USC
Play: Under 47
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Going to release a solid play on the under in this spot as San Jose State was just horrible offensively from a year ago ranking 112th in total yards per game with 282 yards per game. Can't see them doing must here against a reloaded Trojans defense that allowed just 3 points a game at home last season. While I also can see USC struggling a bit offensively with Sanchez none gone to the Jets, As this Spartans defense which return 7 starters ranked an impressive 21st in the nation in total defense allowing just 311 yards and 21 points per game. Plus add in this impressive trend for USC and you can see how the Under becomes the obvious choice here today. USC is 11-0 Under in home games over the past 3 seasons
Jimmy Boyd
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Missouri vs. Illinois
Play: Illinois -6.5
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Last year Chase Daniel and Jeremy Maclin helped Mizzou win 52-42 in a shootout. But now head coach Gary Pinkel takes the field with a young team that lost most of its fire power. Illinois brings back its main cast of stars and is hoping to get revenge over the Tigers while proving that its 2007 run to the Rose Bowl was no fluke. A win for the Illini in Saturday’s opener could be the confidence booster it needs to pave the way for a special year, but it will have to overcome some daunting history to do so as it is 0-5 all-time in neutral-site openers and has lost four previous meetings with Mizzou in the Edward Jones Dome. The good news for Illinois is that Chase Daniel has moved on. While new starting quarterback Blaine Gabbert has all the tools to be Mizzou’s next great signal caller, I’m sure the Illini would rather take their chances with him, especially since he hasn’t proved anything yet. The Tigers also lose Jeremy Maclin, an absolute burner who was valuable as a receiver and a return man. Mizzou does bring back its top tailback, Derrick Washington, who rushed for 1,036 yards and 17 scores last season. Expect the Tigers to run the football more to ease Gabbert in, but that could play right into Illinois’ hands. After all, Mizzou has been at its most explosive offensively in the passing game. Defensively, Mizzou has some nice linebackers, most notably Sean Weatherspoon, but the line is green, and the secondary ranked 117th in the country in pass defense a season ago. Juice Williams returns as quarterback of the Illini and that has to have the Mizzou coaching staff shaking their heads. Williams gave the Tigers fits last season, and went on to throw for 3,173 yards and 22 touchdowns and added 719 yards and five more scores on the ground. The Tigers will have their work cut out for themselves in trying to cover No. 1 wideout Arrelious Benn, who is coming off a 1,000-yard receiving season. And the team is also excited about Florida transfer Jarred Fayson getting on the field to make teams think twice before doubling Benn. Defensively, the losses of Brit Miller and Vontae Davis hurt, and you will see many new faces up front. But I expect Illinois’ defense to be much better than it was in this game last year. Head coach Ron Zook admitted to going light in contact drills prior to last season, but this year he has taken a much more physical approach. Led by linebacker Martez Wilson, who is on the Butkus Award watch list, expect Illinois to tackle much better in this year’s game and to be much more prepared for its physical demands right out of the gate. Losing playmakers like Chase Daniel and Jeremy Maclin will be too much for the Tigers to overcome here. Couple that with the fact that Illinois is after some serious revenge in this matchup, and I expect to see the Illini come out on top and cover the number in the process. Bet Illinois to win at -6.5
Marc Lawrence
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St Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates
Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates
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The Pirates host the Cardinals in Game Two of this three-game set in the Steel City when Ross Ohlendorf takes on Mitchell Boggs. Ohlendorf has very quietly put together a nice season, going 11-3 in his 14 home team starts, including 8-1 his last nine. Included is a 5-2 win over the Redbirds here earlier this season. On the other side of the coin, Boggs enters in ragged current form with a 6.76 ERA in his last three starts. With that, look for the Pirates to improve on their eye-opening 11-1 mark at home on Saturdays here this evening.
LEE KOSTROSKI
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Nevada @ Notre Dame
PICK: Nevada +14.5
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Today we'll side the Nevada Wolfpack plus the points over Notre Dame. The over-hyped Irish are not going to be the powerhouse team some pundits are predicting and we'll look to fade them often in 2009. Yes, Notre Dame will have a good record but that's because they play a 'patsy' schedule. Statistically they were nothing special last year as they rushed for just 3.3 ypc and gave up 4.1 ypc defensively. The Irish return 8 starters on defense but they allowed over 150 yards rushing in 8 games last season which is bad news considering they face a Nevada team that has three 1,000 yard rushers in their starting backfield. Nevada Running backs Vai Tua and Luke Lippincott, and quarterback Colin Kaepernick have all rushed for over 1,000 yards in a season. Lippincott was granted a sixth year of eligibility after he took a medical redshirt last season and he joins Tua and Kaepernick to form one of the deepest backfields in the country. The Irish are mediocre at stopping the run and Nevada’s backfield could put up some big numbers on the Irish.
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Kaepernick is one of the most dynamic quarterbacks in the nation, he passed for over 2800 yards and 22 touchdowns and gained 1298 yards and 17 touchdowns on the ground. Nevada as a team averaged 290 rush yards per game and gained over 300 rushing yards a total of six times in 2008. They were also one of the best in the NCAA against the run. The allowed just 89 yards per game on a 3.1 yard per carry attempt.
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Notre Dame is just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a 14 point favorite or more. Last season they defeated just three teams by more than 14 points. Those three teams were Washington, Purdue, and Michigan (combined 7-27 record). The Irish are also just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 at home. Yes, the Irish will have some success throwing the ball against the Wolfpack secondary which was one of the worst in the nation last season but Nevada does return three seniors in the defensive backfield and they should be improved. Don’t be at all surprised if the over-hyped Fighting Irish fail to cover against the underrated Wolf Pack on Saturday
Jim Feist
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BYU vs. Oklahoma
Play: Under 66
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The total is high because of the two veteran quarterbacks in this game, but what is being overlooked are some terrific defenses. Oklahoma has one of the top defensive lines in the country, as DT Gerald McCoy will be an NFL first-rounder. The defense was not healthy after the Texas game last season, but they are healty and better now. And BYU has a talented, aggressive defense under Bronco Mendenhall, shutting out UCLA last season and holding Arizona to 7 points two years ago. Play BYU/Oklahoma Under the total.
Strike Point Sports
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Texas -41.5 over Louisiana Monroe
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It's the start of the year for the Longhorns, and after having been slapped with the disrespect card in 2008 and left out of the National Championship game, expect a statement game at home to begin the season. Texas is going to be ruthless in games like this, making sure easy wins turn into mammoth blowouts to help make their case for them this time around. Colt McCoy and company will run wild over this Sun Belt minnow. Lay the points with the big favorite.
We Cover Spreads
Louisiana Tech at Auburn
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Auburn returns a big chunk of their roster from a year ago, but then so does Louisiana Tech. Back the Bulldogs plus the points on the road at the Tigers on Saturday.
Auburn beings a new era as Gene Chizik takes over for Tommy Tuberville this season. This year he gets a nice hunk of players back from last season's 5-7 disappointing team but we have our questions still about Auburn today.
The players he has on the offensive side of the ball aren't built for new offensive coordinator Gus Malzahns system. It will take a couple of years of recruiting some new players to fit their scheme that will bring excitement back in Auburn in a couple of years. Very similar to how Rich Rodriguez's players weren't built for his system with the Michigan team he took over last year.
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It all starts under center with the questionable Chris Todd who has yet to flourish as he is off of a rough season last year with a 5-6 TD/INT ratio and completed 55% of his passes. He will be without last year's leading receiver Montez Billings who is suspended for four games, a big blow to an already thin receiver corps. In their debut under Chizik and Malzahn there may be some growing pains running the offense in the first game or two.
Lousiana Tech matches up very well with Auburn here. They bring back 16 starters from a team that opened their season against Mississippi St. and won outright 22-14 as dogs last year. They bring back a very athletic Front 7 that held opponents to just 3.1 yards per carry last year, which will make it interesting to see how Auburn's top back Ben Tate does against them. That Front 7 is led by All-Wac Defensive Tackle D'Anthony Smith who had five sacks last season. Their secondary is rock solid as well and an unproven QB like Todd running a new system without his top target may be vulnerable here. The La Tech defense is led by a pair of ball-hawking safeties, Deon Young and Antonio Baker, who combined for 174 tackles and eight INTs last year.
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On the offensive side of the ball Lousiana Tech brings back their leading rusher Daniel Porter who had nine TDs and 1164 yards rushing in 2008, and a beefy, experienced O-Line that has an average weight of 300+lbs opening holes for him. Ross Jenkins is behind center and as a sophmore last year, he took over the job for the last eight games of the season and performed well with a 7/3 TD/INT ratio, and we expect nothing but improvement from him this season. Jenkins has a couple of solid targets to work with, including leading receiver Phillip Livas who had 43 receptions last season and gets back a Top 50 WR recruit Cruz Wiliams, a 6-3 playmaker who was injured in his freshman campaign.
Derek Dooley has his best team at Tech since taking over three years ago and they should have no problem competing with Auburn in this one; take the points.
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Free Pick: Louisiana Tech +13½
EZWINNERS
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Louisiana Monroe Warhawks @ Texas Longhorns
Play: Texas Longhorns -42
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This one is not rocket science. Mack Brown is still pissed over last year and will not take his foot off of the gas this season like he has done in the past. The Longhorns will be looking for "style points" this season. Also throw in the fact that a secondary goal of Mack Brown's is to help Colt McCoy win the Heisman Trophy. That spells bad news for Texas opponents this season, especially the over matched ones like Louisiana Monroe. I usually don't play huge chalk like this, but this will be ugly! Lay the chalk!
HENTAI SPORTS
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BYU Cougars at Oklahoma Sooners
Prediction : Oklahoma Sooners -22
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Oklahoma beat a TCU team by 25 points that smoked BYU 32-7 last season and this year’s BYU team won’t be as good as last years with only 4 offensive starters returning. I think OU will be just as good as it was a season ago, if not better, because a defense which returns 8 starters should improve. OU tight end Gresham won’t go, but I don’t see this as an issue. The Sooners are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in September while the Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Jimmy the Moose
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
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The Cardinals are 39-18 in their last 57 games overall. St. Louis is 46-21 in their last 67 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Cardinals have won 9 of their last 11 road games. In their last 13 games vs. a team from the NL Central the Cardinals are 10-3. St. Louis has won 6 of Boggs' last 8 starts. The Cardianls are 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a favorite and they are 4-0 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Pirates have lost 8 in a row. In their last 53 games overall they are 16-37. Pittsburgh is 8-21 in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning record. St. Louis has won Boggs' two starts vs. the Pirates. The Cardinals have won the last 5 meetings. St. Louis is 54-24 in their last 78 trips to Pittsburgh. The Cardinals bats were alive and dangerous last night and they'll do the same on Saturday. Play on the St. Louis Cardinals -.
Rob Vinciletti
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Western Michigan vs. Michigan
Play: Western Michigan +13
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On Saturday the free play is on Western Michigan game 149 at 3:30 eastern. They fit a solid opening week system that actually plays against their opponent Michigan here today. What we want to do is play against opening week double digit favorites that won 5 or less games last year,if they are taking on an opponent that simply won 4 or more games. The line makers struggle to get the right line here on these non conference games.They tend to over value the favored team. Dogs like W.Michigan in this instance have covered 22 of 27 times since 1980 in this system. Michigan will no doubt be good on offense this year. However they still have a ways to go on defense. Western Michigan brings back most of a solid 9-4 team last year and should give Michigan a solid game here.
Mike Rose
Notre Dame -14.5
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Nevada has a nice squad returning in 09, but theyre entering a hornets nest this afternoon. Weis knows his jobs on the line, and hes gonna have his men looking to put a hurting on their WAC counterpart. This line looks out of whack as well. When something looks too good to be true, it usually is.
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While Nevada HC Aults pistol offense is highly entertaining, its gimmicky, and its going to have a tough time getting the job done against a pumped Notre Dame stop unit looking to improve upon last years decent numbers. As long as theyre able to limit the Wolfpacks ground attack, I like its chances of containing QB Kaepernick. Hey, Jimmy Clausen! Yeah, you! Impress me already!
The Irish have dropped three of their four season openers under Weis, and have gone 1-3 ATS during that stretch. Look for them to feed off their impressive bowl win, and dominate the Wolf Pack en route to the home win and cover.
DUNKEL
Virginia Tech vs. Alabama (N)
The Crimson Tide look to take advantage of a Virginia Tech team that is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 non-conference games. Alabama is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tide favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-6 1/2)
Game 145-146: Navy at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 87.294; Ohio State 112.776
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 25 1/2; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 21 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-21 1/2); Under
Game 147-148: Akron at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 80.614; Penn State 106.218
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 25 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Penn State by 28; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+28); Over
Game 149-150: Western Michigan at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 77.946; Michigan 91.839
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 14; 58
Vegas Line: Michigan by 11 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-11 1/2); Over
Game 151-152: Connecticut at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 81.496; Ohio 79.457
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 4 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+4 1/2); Over
Game 153-154: Nevada at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 84.376; Notre Dame 98.808
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 14 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 14; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-14); Under
Game 155-156: Georgia at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 100.334; Oklahoma State 102.927
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 2 1/2; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 6; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+6); Under
Game 157-158: Kentucky at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 86.535; Miami (OH) 65.934
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 20 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 14; 46
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-14); Under
Game 159-160: Brigham Young vs. Oklahoma (N)
Dunkel Ratings: Brigham Young 96.404; Oklahoma 121.846
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 25 1/2; 75
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 21 1/2; 68
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-21 1/2); Over
Game 161-162: Missouri vs. Illinois (N)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 90.501; Illinois 98.977
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 8 1/2; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 7; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-7); Under
Game 163-164: Rice at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 85.492; UAB 80.549
Dunkel Line: Rice by 5; 54
Vegas Line: UAB by 5; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+5); Under
Game 165-166: Baylor at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 89.911; Wake Forest 95.205
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 5 1/2; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 1; 55
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-1); Over
Game 167-168: Minnesota at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 85.239; Syracuse 76.170
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 9; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6 1/2); Under
Game 169-170: Army at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Army 71.584; Eastern Michigan 74.288
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 2 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 5 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Army (+5 1/2); Under
Game 171-172: Northern Illinois at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 78.027; Wisconsin 97.411
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 19 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 16 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-16 1/2); Over
Game 173-174: Toledo at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 73.922; Purdue 89.864
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 16; 57
Vegas Line: Purdue by 11 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-11 1/2); Over
Game 175-176: Stanford at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 91.912; Washington State 67.634
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 24 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Stanford by 16; 56
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-16); Under
Game 177-178: Louisiana Tech at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 77.649; Auburn 92.178
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 14 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Auburn by 13 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-13 1/2); Under
Game 179-180: New Mexico at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 74.331; Texas A&M 90.453
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 16; 62 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 14; 56
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-14); Over
Game 181-182: Virginia Tech vs. Alabama (N)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 98.738; Alabama 106.936
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 8; 34
Vegas Line: Alabama by 6 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-6 1/2); Under
Game 183-184: Idaho at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 63.258; New Mexico State 64.653
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 1 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 3 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+3 1/2); Under
Game 185-186: Buffalo at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 77.204; UTEP 88.101
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 11; 68
Vegas Line: UTEP by 6; 60
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-6); Over
Game 187-188: Maryland at California
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 89.532; California 105.525
Dunkel Line: California by 16; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: California by 21 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+21 1/2); Over
Game 189-190: San Jose State at USC
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 76.005; USC 119.523
Dunkel Line: USC by 43 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: USC by 34; 50
Dunkel Pick: USC (-34); Over
Game 191-192: Central Michigan at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 81.452; Arizona 102.386
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 21; 49
Vegas Line: Arizona by 12; 54
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-12); Under
Game 193-194: San Diego State at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 66.837; UCLA 86.852
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 20; 46
Vegas Line: UCLA by 17; 52
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-17); Under
Game 195-196: LSU at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 97.211; Washington 77.598
Dunkel Line: LSU by 19 1/2; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 15 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-15 1/2); Over
Game 197-198: Florida Atlantic at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 77.529; Nebraska 101.695
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 24; 65
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 21; 60
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-21); Over
Game 199-200: Middle Tennessee State at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 73.659; Clemson 101.434
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 28; 51
Vegas Line: Clemson by 20; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-20); Over
Game 201-202: UL Monroe at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 75.210; Texas 113.880
Dunkel Line: Texas by 38 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas by 41; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL Monroe (+41); Under
Game 203-204: Western Kentucky at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 66.356; Tennessee 88.167
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 22; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 30 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+30 1/2); Over
MLB
Minnesota at Cleveland
The Indians look to follow up their 5-2 win yesterday and build on their 5-2 record in their last 7 games when the opponent scores 2 or fewer runs in the previous game. Cleveland is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125)
Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Harden) 13.994; NY Mets (Figueroa) 15.244
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+175); Over
Game 953-954: San Francisco at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.817; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.177
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125); Under
Game 955-956: St. Louis at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Boggs) 14.162; Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 14.208
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Over
Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 14.477; Houston (Oswalt) 14.755
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Under
Game 959-960: Florida at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 14.087; Washington (Hernandez) 14.257
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+165); Under
Game 961-962: Cincinnati at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Wells) 15.728; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 14.510
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-245); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+225); Over
Game 963-964: Arizona at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Davis) 14.861; Colorado (Contreras) 15.797
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-135); Over
Game 965-966: San Diego at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 16.840; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 15.678
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-220); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+200); Under
Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 17.204; Toronto (Cecil) 14.844
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-170); Under
Game 969-970: Boston at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wakefield) 15.355; White Sox (Floyd) 16.308
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-120); Under
Game 971-972: Minnesota at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 14.741; Cleveland (Masterson) 15.191
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125); Under
Game 973-974: Detroit at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 15.456; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.163
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+165); Over
Game 975-976: Texas at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 15.152; Baltimore (Matusz) 15.885
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+150); Under
Game 977-978: LA Angels at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Lackey) 15.148; Kansas City (Greinke) 14.168
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-115); Under
Game 979-980: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (French) 14.933; Oakland (Anderson) 15.744
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-150); Over