Sean HiggsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Florida vs. MiamiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Miami +3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Now, the Gators have been the dominate school in Florida with their recent success under Urban Meyer. Will Mushamp is in his 3rd year and again the defense will be the prominent unit for the Gators. Florida is off a 24-6 win over Toledo. No flash from the Gators in the win. They just pounded the Rockets into the ground by controlling the ball for nearly 40 minutes.
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The Hurricanes are off a season that saw them miss the post-season as they had a self-imposed ban on themselves. This is a hungry group of kids with 20 starters back. Stephan Morris threw for 160 yards in a 34-6 win over Florida Atlantic, but the offensive story is RB Duke Johnson. Johnson can easily be the ACC POY this year if he can duplicate the 186 yards he produced in the Canes win. He had a touchdown run of 53 yards and, along with Herb Waters 63 yard TD run, shows that this offense can put up points in a hurry.
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As good as I think the Canes offense can be, they will have a hard time against the Gators. Florida comes in with one of the units in the country. Toledo isn’t Miami U, but they did hold the Rockets to just 50 yards rushing and a shade of 200 total yards. We know Florida can play with the top teams as they proved last year by knocking off 3 teams ranked in the Top 10. I still think that the Canes experience, especially offensive skill players, will win out over the Gator defense.
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My final thoughts -FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I think that the Hurricanes experience and home field will be the big difference makers here. The Florida offense in my eyes is not superior to the Hurricanes defense. Miami HC Al Golden is also in his year 3, and has taken steps to bring ‘The U’ back to prominence. An upset win here will go a long way to restoring some of that Hurricane pride.
Vegas ConnectionFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington State at USCFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Washington StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington State played a very good game a Auburn losing 31-24 and USC struggled at Hawaii before putting away the Warriors 31-13. The points look good vs a team that still have not decided on a QB.
Jeff Scott SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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3 UNIT PLAYSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston -3 over TEMPLE: Last year the Temple pass defense was rated 113th in the nation by Phil Steele and they didn't get off on the right foo this year allowing Notre Dame 355 yards passing in their opener. Temple also allowed 21 TD's through the air last year, while grabbing just 4 INT's and started out the same this year as they allowed ND QB Tommy Rees to connect on 3 TDS, while not intercepting him at all. Now they have to facing the high powered passing attack of the Cougars. Last year the cougar offense slipped 109 ypg overall and 122 ypg passing from 2011, but they still managed to put up 480 ypg and 328 ypg last year. Now this group has 10 starters back and David Piland has another year of experience under his belt, along with the 2nd best WR corp in the league. Oh yeah this offense also has the best rated RB's and 3rd best OL in the AAC as well. The Temple DL and DB's are both rated the worst in the league by Phil Steele and I don't see them as having much of a chance at stopping or even slowing down the Houston attack. The Cougars will struggle on defense this year, but Temple has the 9th rated QB, 10th rated RB's and 10th rated WR's in the league and they just won't come up with nearly enough offense to keep this one close.
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Western Kentucky +13 over TENNESSEE: This WKU team is not to be taken lightly this year and a big reason why I will go with them here. The Hilltooppers beat up Kentucky last week and piled up a ton of yards in the process. Their offense is very good and underrated this year and the should have some good success vs a Tennessee defense that looked better than they actually are last week. The Hilltoppers held an FCS team to just 211 yards last week, but this is a group that allowed 35.7 ppg and 471 ypg last year. I can see them reverting back to struggling on that side of the ball in this one. The Tennessee offense looked good in the openers, but it was vs an FCS team and this offense still has some growing to do, with just 5 starters back from last year and a new QB. I know that Tennessee is looking to build on wins and any win is big for them right now, but you also have to feel that this team may have an eye on their next two games, which are at Oregon and Florida. Look ahead spot here for the Vols. I look for WKU to do enough on offense to keep this final in single digits.
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2 UNIT PLAYSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma State -26.5 over UTSA: The Roadrunners will be a decent team, but vs their own competition. Last year this team did go 8-4 on the year, but just half of their wins were vs FBS foes and the FBS teams they did beat went a combined 8-41 last year and they started this year with a win over New Mexico, which went 4-9 last year and may be worse this year. Oklahoma State sputtered on offense last week and you can bet that Mike Gundy will look to put plenty more points on the board in this one. Oklahoma State is one of the best teams in the Big 12 and they only have Lamar on deck, so no look ahead in this one. Look for the Cowboys to win by at least 31 here.
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Kent State/ Bowling Green Under 45: The Bowling green offense is not explosive and will play many conservative games this year, especially knowing that they have that solid defense to fall back on. Today the will also be facing a Kent State defense that could e better than last year's group that allowed just 24.5 ppg. The Kent State offense could be without Dri Archer again and they showed that they will struggle without him. Last week they were able to put up just 17 points and 361 yards vs an FCS foe. Now they take on the best defense in the MAC and a team that could finish in the top 10 nationally this year. This is a huge game in the MAC and with two very stout defenses on the field and a couple of conservative offenses I will look for no more than 38 points in this one.
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1 UNIT PLAYFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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ILLINOIS +8 over Cincinnati: Cincinnati had a big opening week win and Tommy Tubberville is an excellent coach, but this team still has some work to do. Last week they led only 14-7 at the half before hey blew it open in the second half, but they were aided in that 2nd half by an INT return for a TD and and another TO they got deep in Purdue territory. The Bearcats will be taking on a better offense that looked really good last week under the guidance of new OC Bull Cubit. Look for Illinois to put up just enough points to get the cover here.
Joseph D'AmicoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Notre Dame vs. MichiganFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Notre Dame +4½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan blew up Central Michigan, 59-9 in Week 1 as Notre Dame took down Temple, 27-6. Last year, the Irish picked off Denard Robinson 5 times on route to a 13-6 victory. Wolverines QB, Devin Gardner was 10 of 15, for 162 yards passing, 1 TD, and 2 Picks vs. CMU. Those interceptions are bothering me, guys. If Gardner felt enough pressure to throw those INT's vs. Central Mich the Notre Dame "D" will cause even more turn over's this week. Irish QB, Tommy Rees looked impressive with a 16-for-23 performance, 346 yards passing, and 3 scores in the air over the Owls. I feel that Michigan won't be able to manhandle Notre Dame's big, stout defensive line here. The 'dog is 14-3 against the spread the L17 in this series. I have an opinion on Notre Dame here. But be sure to GUARANTEE a profit today by getting all my winners right here.
Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego State at Ohio StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: San Diego StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Things couldn't get much worse for San Diego State after its humbling 40-19 home loss vs. FCS Eastern Illinois last week. Aztec HC Rocky Long was not amused, calling it one of the worst efforts of his college coaching career. What that unexpected result has also doe is over-inflate this number in Columbus vs. a well-regarded Ohio State side that itself sprung some leaks in allowing lightly-rated Buffalo to hang around last week at the big horseshoe. Note Buckeyes just 1-4 last 5 laying double digits for Urban Meyer, and SDS 5-1 last 6 as a DD dog.
Sc Live Dogs
LA Angels +110
Why we like the Angels on Saturday at +110...this is one of those valuable home dogs who are playing the better baseball at this point in the season and will be facing a pitcher who is looking to regain form in a ballpark where he has shown little success in. This Angels team comes in as winners of their last 10 of 13 games where they have averaged 5 RPG while allowing just 3 RPG during that stretch. On the other hand, the Rangers have lost their last 7 of 12 games while averaging 4 RPG and allowing 4 RPG during that stretch. This is a Rangers team, who throughout the stretch of the entire season, have averaged 4.5 RPG, so they seem to have hit a soft spot offensively come September. The Angels will be pitching Garret Richards who is clearly pitching his best ball of the season where he brings in a 2.87 era in his last 15 innings while allowing 13 hits and just 1 HR. This Rangers team has a combined 56 ABs off of Richards where they have a .268 average with just 1 HR. Richards faced this Rangers team on August 6th IN Los Angeles where he allowed just 3 runs through 6 innings on 5 Ks, 1 BB & 0 HRs. The Rangers will be pitching Derek Holland who brings a 4.32 era over his last 16 innings where he allowed 4 HRs on 12 BBs and 11 Ks. It should be noted that those numbers were in the pitcher friendly ballparks of the Athletics and Mariners as well as a start against the Astros; which should play to the advantage of the Angels IN Los Angeles. There are a few reasons to fade Holland in this matchup and we will start by talking about his recent troubles on the road. In Hollands last three road starts, he allowed a combined 9 runs through 16 innings on 17 hits, 3 HRs, 12 Ks & 11 BBs. The room for concern with Holland lies with his BB totals as they have steadily increased up to this point in the season. To take his road problems a step further, we will examine his last three road starts IN Los Angeles against the Angels. In those three starts, Holland allowed a combined 14 runs through 18 innings on 21 hits, 3 HRs, 11 Ks & 6 BBs. This Angels team is familiar with Holland as they have a combined 146 ABs with a .301 average and 9 HRs. Our final reason for a fade against Holland is because of the fact that he sees his 3.07 season era rise to a 3.71 era when pitching on 4 Days of Rest (which he will be doing on Saturday). We will play on the Angels at +110.
Sam MartinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Florida at Miami FLFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Miami FLFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Big matchup in the state of Florida with the Gators visiting the Miami Hurricanes, and we look for Miami's experience and home field advantage to the be difference in this game. Miami returns ten starters on offense from last season, and they looked pretty good against an inferior Florida Atlantic team putting up over 300 yards passing and another 200 yards on the ground. Florida will certainly put up a bigger fight against the Canes this week, but they have no business being a road favorite here considering they lost all but four starters from last year's defense and all those new starters will be playing their first road game today against a solid Miami scoring unit. Florida didn't do much through the air last week, relying on their running game to get past overmatched Toledo, but Miami can contain the Gators' rushing attack and force them to throw the ball more than they want to here. Experience and home field advantage is big this early in the season and we look for the Hurricanes to pull the upset.
John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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South Carolina at GeorgiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: GeorgiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by 6 or more points. The line opened at 4 1/2 and early money came in SC pushing the line to as low as 3 points. The line remained at 3 from September 1 through September 5 until it moved to 3 1/2 on some large bet movements. Much attention has been made in the media circles about the rough and very physically draining game Georgia played last week in Clemson. I strongly believe this is just hype and recovery times for 18 to 22 year olds is extremely fast, especially when only one game has been played. Moreover, this is the home opener for Georgia and you can bet by game time last week will be an ancient memory for this team. The Georgia offense is arguably the best in the SEC and certainly one of the best in FBS. They are led by Aaron Murray, who threw for 3.893 yards with 36 TD and just 10 INT and was second in passing efficiency in the nation last season. Nine of 11 offensive starters are back and I do not see the SC defense being able to hold up for four quarters against this unit. The SIM shows projections for Georgia to score at least 28 points in the game and has a 40% probability of scoring 42 to 48 points. further projections show that Georgia will gain a minimum of 10 or more net passing yards and will gain over 500 yards in total offense. In past games, SC is just 1-5 ATS the past three seasons and 18-60 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 28 or more points. SC is 2-13 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 42 to 48 points in a game. They are 0-1 ATS the past three seasons and 4-18 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 10 or more net passing yards and just 5-15 ATS when allowing an opponent to gain 500 or more total offensive yards. Take Georgia.
Kyle Hunter
Arizona vs. UNLV
Play: UNLV +11
The UNLV Rebels are a totally different team at home as compared to on the road. UNLV is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. They are 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record. UNLV isn't a good team, but they are better than they used to be, and they are going to pull off some upsets at home this year. Arizona is far from a great team, and UNLV should hang around in this one. Grab the points and take the home underdog here.
Rob Vinciletti
South Carolina vs. Georgia
Play: Georgia -3
Georgia is at home for this one as they arrive in off a tough loss to a Clemson team that was 11-2 last season. That loss will help them greatly in this game against a South Carolina team that coast past North Carolina last week. Georgia played a much tougher game and they are 6-1 ats as a favorite of 13 or less with revenge. The Bulldogs have not had much luck in the series but are bringing back an explosive offense led by senior Qb Aaron Murray and a pair of Top Tier Running backs in T. Gurley and K. Marshall. Their offense has Improved in each of the last 4 seasons. The Georgia defense doesn't appear to be as strong as last season but there's not much shame in allowing 30+ in a road game against a loaded Clemson team. The Gamecocks also have some questions on defense and we will see how good they are in this game at Georgia. South Carolina has a solid offense but is 0-4 straight up and to the spread the past few seasons on the road in a game where there are points expected to be put up with a total that is 52 to 56 points. Georgia has won 9 of the last 10 home openers and know the importance of this Big Early season Conference game and cannot afford to go 0-2. South Carolina has only 36 lettermen returning and this is the toughest road game on the Schedule. Look for Georgia to win and cover.
Nick Parsons
Tigers vs. Royals
Play: Under 8
After losing 20-4 to Boston on Wednesday, the Tigers took their frustrations out on the Royals in a 16-2 victory last night.
Suffice it to say, with these two competent starters battling head-to-head on Saturday night, I believe runs will be at a premium this evening.
Justin Verlander (12-10, 3.59 ERA)
Verlander was unfortunate to get saddled with a no-decision vs. the Tribe on Sunday, going seven shutout frames, scattering four hits with two walks to go along with six K's.
The veteran will bring his very respectable 7-4, 3.46 ERA road record into Kansas City today.
Danny Duffy (2-0, 1.35 ERA)
Duffy was under a pitch count in his start vs. the Mariners on Monday and had to leave after just 3 2/3's innings of work. Before he left though he allowed just one earned run off five hits and four walks, striking out four.
The southpaw has been sharp and had not allowed a run in his previous two trips to the bump (both victories).
The Bottom Line
Verlander has dominated the Royals throughout his career going 15-4 with a great 2.71 ERA in 27 lifetime meetings.
Duffy's stuff has been electric so far and I believe has the tools in place to battle his counterpart into the latter frames.
As a result, consider a second look at the "under" in this matchup.
Nick Parsons
Tigers vs. Royals
Play: Under 8
After losing 20-4 to Boston on Wednesday, the Tigers took their frustrations out on the Royals in a 16-2 victory last night.
Suffice it to say, with these two competent starters battling head-to-head on Saturday night, I believe runs will be at a premium this evening.
Justin Verlander (12-10, 3.59 ERA)
Verlander was unfortunate to get saddled with a no-decision vs. the Tribe on Sunday, going seven shutout frames, scattering four hits with two walks to go along with six K's.
The veteran will bring his very respectable 7-4, 3.46 ERA road record into Kansas City today.
Danny Duffy (2-0, 1.35 ERA)
Duffy was under a pitch count in his start vs. the Mariners on Monday and had to leave after just 3 2/3's innings of work. Before he left though he allowed just one earned run off five hits and four walks, striking out four.
The southpaw has been sharp and had not allowed a run in his previous two trips to the bump (both victories).
The Bottom Line
Verlander has dominated the Royals throughout his career going 15-4 with a great 2.71 ERA in 27 lifetime meetings.
Duffy's stuff has been electric so far and I believe has the tools in place to battle his counterpart into the latter frames.
As a result, consider a second look at the "under" in this matchup.
Andy IskoeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Ohio -4FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Ohio U is in a great spot to even its record at 1-1 as the Bobcats step down in class after having been humilated at Louisville last Sunday. Here they face a North Texas team that steps up in class after having routed lowly Idaho. Those disparate results give us great value here as had both teams performed close to expectations last week Ohio U probably opens up as a TD favorite. They have significant edges on both sides of the football and in North Texas face the quality of foe they've been able to handle with relative ease over the past few seasons. Look for a double digit win by Ohio in the neighborhool of 10 to 14 points.
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Auburn -10.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Auburn was a bit shaky last week in coach Malzahn's head coaching debut as the Tigers limped past Washington State 31-24. They should be primed for a much better effort this week as they face the team from whom they hired away Malzahn following last season. Arkansas State was 10-3 last season, winning 8 straight to end the season including a Bowl win over Kent State. They did step up in class and stumble in losses at Oregon and Nebraska. Arguably Auburn's talent is not at the level of Oregon's but is considered comparable to the Huskers' (who defeated Arky State 42-13). State is breaking in a new QB but it's hard to glean much from their 62-11 home win last week over Arkansas Pine Bluff, one of the weakest FCS programs. Auburn is bigger, stronger and faster and the Tigers have the added edge of having a coach familiar with the personnel on both teams (Malzahn was offensive coordinator of Auburn's 2010 BCS Title team). And although there might be some sentiment that Malzahn won't just lay it on to his former team, it's not like the Tigers have to win by 40 to cover the impost. Especially given the tightness of last week's win, even a 14-17 point lead here cannot be considered all that safe.
JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tulsa -10.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Home Cooker as the Tulsa Cannes - the 10.5 we will lay the lead to the Colo State Rams... The Cannes are a focused Under Rated squad ... Off a 9 day rest and a embarrassment 34-7 to the boys from Bowling Green Tulsa Cannes are ready to pound a Over Rated Colorado St crew.... These Cannes are a smooth 7-2 ATS run as a HF and have huge edge on the D front. The Bill Blankenship lead Cannes had misleading #'s last week as the BG crew scored on 2 drives inside the Cannes 16 yd & 4 yd line. We are Power rating this ball game @ Tulsa - 17.8 points.
Charlie ScottFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Florida vs. Miami FloridaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Florida -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Expect Florida to control both lines of scrimmage & make this game a physical battle that Florida will win. Florida has some starters returning from suspension and injuries for Todays game. It will be a Hot, Humid Florida afternoon with players suffering from the heat and cramping up. Florida is the deeper Team ! Florida with the better defense and special teams Wins this early start !