SHARKY'S SPORTS
Arkansas St/Auburn - Over 62
We took a really bad beat on the Auburn / Wash St over last week. 25-21 at half and we could not get to 61. Nick Marshall seemed to be a little shaky his first game. He missed a couple of wide open receivers that would have locked up the game and the over. Marshall came into the auburn camp really late in the year and won the QB battle.This offense will only get faster paced and more deadly the more snaps he gets. Although he had a bad game I can see his potential . Along with Auburn's triple threat running attack, I feel like it will open up things for Marshall. The deadly running attack will open up his passing game. I can see Auburn putting up 45 points easily against Arkansas State. I think Marshall will be settled in and come in with more confidence and throw 3-4 td passes. I am not impressed with Auburns defense at all; unless they surprise me, they should give up 21 points easily. The only positive thing I saw about their defense was freshman Montravious Adams. I feel like Auburns offense will only get better and better and im not impressed with their defense at all making me love the over. There is a lot of questions when it comes to Arkansas St. They lead the league in rushing with 509 yards but you can almost throw that out the window considering they played AK-Pine bluff. I feel like Auburns defense is so bad that any team can put up 21 points on them. I think Auburn wins 38-28
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South Florida + over Michigan StFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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While Michigan State's win last Friday was certainly unimpressive, it was a far better result than Willie Taggert had in his debut at South Florida. USF didn't just lose to FCS McNeese State, they were blown out 53-21 at home, including being down 33-7 at halftime. The Bulls had one of the more promising programs in the nation a few years back but it has been a rough stretch. Value may be with South Florida this week but trusting the Bulls will take some courage. Michigan State did not give QB Andrew Maxwell a great vote of confidence before the season with the late announcement of his starting role and the concerns seem warranted with a marginal performance. Sophomore Connor Cook was no better however. The bigger issue may be replacing Le'Veon Bell in the running game as the Spartans labored to get 181 rushing yards. The Spartans moved to 1-0 but four turnovers certainly prevented what could have been an even closer game as Michigan State failed to reach 300 yards of offense. Expecting a big point count from the Spartans seems foolish since the team only topped 31 points once last season and USF may have received a big wake-up call. Michigan State has covered just four times in the last 16 games playing as a home favorite and the Bulls will play better this week.
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Kansas State (-) over UL-LafayetteFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Lots of value on the Wildcats in this game since they are off a loss to a FCS team and no longer have Colin Klein, so the general perception is that this team isn't any good anymore. The fact of the matter is that while KSU is not as good as previous editions, this is still a solid Snyder team, and last week's loss to North Dakota State really is not that bad of a loss, as NDSU has won back to back FCS titles. Finally, note that KSU is 8-4 ATS off a loss for Snyder, 3-0 ATS in that spot the last two years. We made this line KSU -15, so we will lay the ten in this one.
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ODU at MarylandFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 62FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Maryland QB Brown was 20-23 in the air and had over 100 yards rushing last week as they were able to put up 43 points. The Terps played a 45-38 (83 points) game with UNC last year as they had several injuries at the quarterback position. ODU just played a 52-38 (90) game at East Carolina in a contest where the total was 75.5. ODU can score as well as give up points. Their last two games last year were 49-35 (82) and 63-35 (98) against FCS teams. ODU QB Taylor Heinicke should be able to move the ball and put some points on the board. Last week Md won 43-10 as most points were scored in the first half as they coasted in the second half. I like our chances for an over on Saturday.
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HAMILTON -2 over B.C. LionsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Lions defeated Hamilton last week in B.C. by three points to extend their perfect home-winning streak. However, on the road the Lions have just one win in four tries and that lone win came in Edmonton way back in Week 3. Edmonton is now 1-9 after losing again last night to Calgary. The Leos were buried on the road in Toronto, 38-12, when the Argos were forced to use their second string QB. The Lions also lost to Montreal on the road as a 10-point choice and now this weak traveling team is being asked to keep it close or win outright against the CFL’s top passer in Henry Burris and perhaps the best receiving corps in the game. Burris has thrown for 632 yards to wide receiver Greg Ellingson, 583 to Bakari Grant and 394 to Samuel Giguere. Andy Fantuz, who missed significant time due to injury, has 320 receiving yards and is the best of the bunch. We’ve suggested all season that B.C. has not looked sharp. Sure, they’re undefeated at home but even those wins were not convincing and it’s unlikely they turn it around this week.
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Hamilton has won three of its last four games. Despite not scoring a single point until midway through the second quarter last week, Hamilton lost by just three points. They figure to get off to a much better start this week. Offense is no problem because as far as that goes, these Ti-cats are as good as they come and they’re getting better. The Ticats have covered against the Lions in six of the past seven matchups and this season the Lions may just be the inferior squad. Dating back to last season, B.C has just two wins in their past 10 road games. Travis Lulay has one 300-yard passing game since 2012. B.C. is an ugly 6-3 but that could easily be 3-6 because none of their wins have been of the impressive variety. The Lions have already been exposed on the road on more than one occasion this year and in the rematch game back at Guelph, an unfamiliar venue for the road team, they’re likely to get exposed again.
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Washington/MIAMI Under 7½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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A cold streak in Major League Baseball has us pulling in the reins today so we’re only going to make one bet. Tanner Roark was the 25th round pick of the Rangers back in 2008 has split time between the rotation and the bullpen over most of his career. Roark shows three pitches: a fastball in the mid-90s when out of the pen and a low 90s fastball in the rotation, an average curve, and a below average change-up. Out of the pen he pitches with his fastball-curve combo, shelving the change. He is not the most dominant of pitchers (7.7 K’s per nine), but he focuses on his pinpoint control and outstanding command to find success. Roark works down in the zone, getting above average groundball rates. Off to one of his best starts since going pro, Roark logged 52.2 innings with a 33-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in the minors before his promotion. Roark has pitched well in nine appearances for the Nationals so far, with 19 K and 7 BB in 23 IP out of the bullpen. His 49% GB rate has been impressive. Roark has raised his profile since being called up and has a very good chance of keeping these light hitting Marlins at bay.
Nathan Eovaldi had near flawless skills in August due to these components: 7.2 strikeouts per 9, 2.4 walks per nine and a 57% groundball rate. His average four-seam fastball velocity of 96.5 mph was the highest of any SP with 20 IP in August. His combination of a blazing fastball and high groundball rate gives him a unique profile. In 85 innings pitched this season, Eovaldi has been taken yard just five times and just once in his last eight starts. Eovaldi has been outstanding in six of his past seven starts, allowing a measly seven runs over 46 frames. This kid can pitch and now faces a Washington offense that has had nothing but trouble scoring runs on the road all year long.
OC Dooley
Syracuse +16.5
The host of this early evening contest is NOT 100% healthy at several key offensive positions. Northwestern quarterback Kain Colter is expected to take the field despite sustaining a possible concussion in last week’s road triumph out on the west coast. Despite last week’s win-and-cover on the highway, Northwestern received only 34 total yards out of running back Venric Mark who is battling a hamstring injury. The defense of the Wildcats has already suffered a major hit as starting cornerback Daniel Jones suffered a major knee injury and has been ruled OUT for the remainder of the season. It is difficult to bet against a Northwestern contingent that amazingly is on a current 13-1 “spread” tear and they are facing a Syracuse contingent who saw last year’s head coach Doug Marrone bolt for the NFL where he is now the headmaster in Buffalo. But in their season opener with a new head coach at the controls the Orangmen did manage to successfully COVER the spread in a close 23-17 tussle with Penn State. I am aware that Northwestern tied an all-time single season school record in victories a year ago (10) and also captured the first postseason Bowl victory since way back in the 1948 campaign. But with their current head coach Northwestern actually has a losing record (5-13 ATS) after a game where the offense gained on average at least 6.25 yards per play
LEGITPICKS
Saturday 9/6/13 Plays...
HIGHEST RATED 6* GEORGIA STATE +5 / #384 / (11AM) / NCAAF
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Rocketman
Navy at Indiana
Play: Indiana -12
The Navy Midshipmen travel to Indiana to take on the Hoosiers on Saturday evening. This is Navy's first game of the season while Indiana played their opener last week at home in a blowout over Indiana State 73-35. Navy is 0-5 ATS last 5 games overall. Navy is 0-4 ATS last 4 non-conference games. Navy is 0-4 ATS last 4 games on artificial turf. Indiana is 6-1 ATS last 7 games on artificial turf. Indiana is 4-1 ATS last 5 games at home. Indiana has 313 yards rushing and 319 yards passing last week. Navy will be a little better than Indiana State but Indiana should get the job done again here today. We'll recommend a small play on Indiana tonight!
Brandon Shively
Washington State vs. USC
Play: Washington St +16
We are looking for continued improvement from the Cougars TY in Leach's 2nd year. Washington St lost 31-24 @ Auburn LW because of a 100 YD KO return for a TD and a long 75 YD Td run in the 2nd quarter. Take those BIG plays out the game, and Wash St. would have won the game. They won the 'ITS' 464-394 and had 28 First downs to Auburns 16. QB Halliday loves Leach's 'air raid' offense as he completed passes to 10 different receivers. , but had 3 costly INT. If he can keep the INT's to a minimum, then the Cougars can keep this game close. The Washington St. defense is looking much improved as well and that will be the real factor in this game. USC split time with both QB's last week @ Hawaii and still there is no clear-cut starter. Besides WR Marquis Lee, the Trojans have no other threats and Wash. St does have FS 2nd Tm Pac 12 Bucannon who led the team in INT’s last year to help contain Lee. This is too many points for what we feel is the weakest QB's USC had had in YEARS. The Cougars have always been able to score, and they will do it again tonight.