Wunderdog
Jacksonville at Miami
Pick: Jacksonville +8
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 2-11 on the season, so instantly they draw a point or 2 from the books as no one wants to back a loser. Even with extra on the line, bettors are still backing 5-8 Miami laying over a touchdown. Chad Henne came out firing in his first two games as a starter for the Jags, throwing six TD passes to just one INT. The last two weeks vs. Buffalo and the Jets, he failed to complete 50% of his passes, and was limited to less than 5 yards per attempt. The big difference was those two teams have been great over the last month defending the pass, and his top receiver Cecil Shorts was out with a concussion. All indications are that Shorts will be back in the lineup this week, and Miami is just average against the pass. So, I expect a solid performance from Henne. There is also a sleeper factor at work. Chad Henne has revenge in mind for the Dolphins, and would love to stick it to them. Remember that McNabb beat the Eagles, Kolb beat the Eagles, Fitzpatrick beat the Bengals, and Favre beat the Packers - all in their first game against their former team. The other factor that has been interesting is that the Jags defense has stepped things up since the quarterback change. This team allowed 26+ points in eight of their first ten games. But, over the past three games, they are allowing just 23.3 per game. The Dolphins’ offense has come to a screeching halt with just 90 points in their last six games for 15 points per game. That makes it tough to cover a TD spread when you’re getting just two yourself on average, especially when you’re allowing 25 per game over the same period. It is hard to see the Dolphins at 5-8 vs. a 2-11 team invested in this game, and their history certainly verifies that as they are 6-24 ATS in their last 30 at home vs. a losing team. Henne will be invested in this game, so play on Jacksonville.
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Baltimore Ravens +3FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Denver is a solid team so I don't want to take anything away from them, but the Broncos have benefited from a soft schedule. If you take a look at their schedule their 10 wins consistent of 8 victories against sub .500 teams and the two others, Pitt and Cincinnati who are one game above. Baltimore has lost two in a row, but both of those games have come down to a field goal and the Ravens have been on the wrong side of the swing. Now they get a Denver team that is coming East to play an early start. West Coast teams are horrible in this situation but Denver being in Mountain time doesn't travel East well either for the early starts. I'll take the points in what should be an easy win. If I didn't like so many other games this week and didn't think Baltimore was slightly over-rated dealing with injuries this would be a higher rated premium play.
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Pittsburgh Steelers -1FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Steelers are coming off an embarrassing 24-34 home loss to the Chargers as a 7-point favorite. Pittsburgh has now lost three of four and are in danger of missing the playoffs.
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Pittsburgh is one team you can feel confident backing in a spot where they desperately need a win. They did just that a couple weeks ago when they went on the road and upset division rival Baltimore without Ben Roethlisberger. You have to wonder if they didn’t invest so much into beating the Ravens that they simply didn’t have anything left in the tank for the Chargers.
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The Cowboys recent surge has created a buzz in Dallas. They have won four of five, but two victories came against the lackluster Eagles and the other in overtime at home against the Browns. They were extremely fortunate to beat the Bengals last week, as Cincinnati had to settle four four field goals and outgained Dallas by almost 50 yards.
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You simply can't trust Dallas, especially at home. The Cowboys are just 3-3 at home this season with all three losses coming against top level opponents in the Bears, Giants and Redskins.
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BUFFALO +6 vs SEATTLEFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After last week’s incredible blowout and previous week win in Chicago, the Seahawks are getting noticed. Seattle is the talk of the NFL right now. Turn on any preview show and the Seahawks are the top story. That sudden hype affords us an opportunity to fade a team that is just a little too high right now and whose road woes have not suddenly disappeared. Prior to an overtime TD to beat Chicago, Seattle had lost in Miami, Detroit and San Fran. They also lost earlier in the year at Arizona and St. Louis. They now have to travel across the country into Canada and play in an unfamiliar venue with their biggest game in years on deck at home against the 49ers.
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Buffalo has lost by more than this margin just four times this season. Three of those were on the road at Indy (by 7), at San Fran and at Houston. The other one was at home against the Patriots. Now they’re taking back significant points against an overhyped club and in terms of situational betting and selling high on a club, it really doesn’t get much better than this. Possible upset.
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HOUSTON -9 -105 over IndianapolisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Colts had another comeback win last week and everyone is loving them. Yep, they’re the up-and-coming team. At the same time, the Texans were getting schooled in New England and the public is crying imposter when it comes to this 11-2 Houston team. However, this is the NFL. All of that is soooo last week.
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Houston returns home to face an Indianapolis team that has allowed 37 more points than it has scored. Teams that do that are rarely, if ever, 9-4. The Texans have significant advantages in the offensive and defensive lines, secondary and at RB. The Colts have 13 players in first or second year. Young teams get a little too high and a little too low and the Colts are coming off a bunch of last second wins. The Colts are 30th in turnover differential. They don’t take it away and they do turn it over. The Colts have had 22 giveaways in six road games this season. While Andrew Luck’s results have been great, his road numbers leave something to be desired. Houston is suddenly feeling Indy breathing down their necks as they play again in the final week. A victory here would secure the division and with Andrew Luck’s weak road numbers, we’re confident that the talented Texans bounce back from Monday’s disgrace in a commanding way.
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DALLAS +110 over PittsburghFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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What are we missing here? The Steelers have lost three of four and it’s not like it was against the crème de la crème. They lost to both Cleveland and San Diego, the latter as an 8-pt. home favorite with Ben Roethlisberger back in the lineup. The Steelers have lost four games to teams with losing records. There are rumblings of locker room dissention in Steeltown. And now, Pittsburgh is favored in Dallas?
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We realize that Dallas is unreliable but they tend to disappoint more often as a favorite. Nothing comes easy with the Cowboys but they have won consecutive games and they’re in the playoff picture. Tony Romo at home has thrown for over 280 yards in every game. The ‘Boys have the same record as the slumping Steelers and Dallas doesn’t have the same mind-warping losses that the Steelers have. We only need Dallas to win to cash this ticket. Sign us up for that.
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Tampa Bay +4 -103 over NEW ORLEANS
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Not only did Tampa fail to cover as an 8-pt. choice last week over the woeful Eagles, they lost the game outright. This is more their speed. The Bucs have failed just twice in seven games when taking points while covering five of past six away.
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The Saints defense is just plain bad. They also fail in the all-important turnover department with 18 picks and five fumbles while the Bucs are +12 overall in the turnover department. Tampa’s slim playoff hopes likely have them more focused than this host. Even when they lost to Saints earlier in the year, they outgained them. Points are appealing here. No units risked.
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Minnesota +2½ +101 over ST. LOUIS
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All teams will play their 14th game of the year this week. Every one of them has been favored at some point except for these Rams. Now, they’re expected to win and by a margin against a winning team that is in playoff contention. St. Louis has scored 13, 16 and 15 points respectively in three of its last four with only outburst occurring against Arizona. Not a good idea to be spotting points with an offense that has been held to under 20 points in more than half of its games.
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Adrian Peterson continues to be monster and he is most comfortable in domes.The unheralded Vikings can surely win this game so why not take the points? No units risked.
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Washington -2½ -103 over CLEVELAND
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The Browns finally resemble a pro football team. However, we must temper the enthusiasm when we see that Cleveland’s modest three-game win streak was against the Ben-less Steelers, Chiefs and Raiders.
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Regardless who starts at quarterback, it is reasonable to assume that the Redskins will want to run more to protect the passer. Alfred Morris is on a three-game tear with over 110 rushing yards in each. He's already gained 1228 rushing yards and seven scores with a healthy 4.9 yard average.The Redskins are on a roll and with the inside track on a wild card berth, prefer to get on that train. No units risked.
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MIAMI -7 -109 over Jacksonville
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The Jaguars’ nightmare season is concluding. They have little fan support and less talent than any team in the NFL. Chad Henne has regressed since giving the team a boost a few games back. Cecil Shorts is likely to rreturn this week but he's wobbly and without other viable passing options and a lost season, it makes this team near impossible to support.
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The Dolphins should be ready to take on this dreg after a set that featured the Seahawks (who Fish defeated), Patriots and Niners. The Jaguars bring their 31st ranked offence down I-95 along with their fourth player to start at running back. That won’t bode well against a stellar Miami defence. Host won’t need much to cover. No units risked.
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BALTIMORE +3 -105 over Denver
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Not anxious to buck the streaking Broncos but the price appears to be an overreaction to Baltimore’s two-game slide. Let’s not ignore that the Ravens have won 15 of past 16 on home turf and that Joe Flacco continues to put up impressive numbers.
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The firing of Cam Cameron throws the entire offense into an unpredictable state this week. He is replaced for now with Colts ex-head coach Jim Caldwell who was the QB coach. Not often that a 9-4 team dumps the offensive coordinator and how that plays out is going to be hard to predict. That intangible has us slightly backing off but still prefer Ravens, as it’s not often we find a home dog more worthy than this one. No units risked.
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Carolina +3 -110 over SAN DIEGO
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Turnovers are a killer in this league. Usually, they are difficult to predict. Not the case here. Cam Newton is on a roll. He has 11 TD passes to only two picks in his past six games. The Chargers produce more turnovers than Pillsbury. San Diego hasn’t seen a running QB all year and Cam should give them fits.
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The win in Pittsburgh ended a four game losing streak for the Bolts but that's not nearly enough to save Norv Turner's job the moment the season ends. Last week was an exception to just about everything the Chargers are about this year. This is a team not worthy of spotting points against competitive clubs and the Panthers certainly qualify as such. No units risked.
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CHICAGO +3 over Green Bay
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This is “high noon” in the NFC North and a win by the Packers secures the division and keeps Green Bay in the race for a first round bye depending on what the 49ers do. A win by the Bears throws the division into a tie at the top with two games left to play. This is as big as a non-playoff game is going to get in the division.
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The Packers are on a roll. The Bears are on a rollover. But do you trust Green Bay spotting points at this venue? The Pack has won six of seven but five of the wins were against the Jags, Cards, Rams and Lions twice. The Packers are the clear favorite in this crucial divisional matchup, but they're missing several key players on defense. If the Bears stick to their strengths of running the ball, playing good D and giving Jay Cutler time in the pocket, the Bears could get a much-needed win. When it doesn’t look at all possible, these are exactly the type of games the Bears usually come up big in. No units risked.
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ATLANTA -1½ -105 over N.Y. Giants
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The Falcons may have clinched the NFC South some time ago but that doesn’t mean they have forgotten last season's lopsided 24-2 playoff loss to the Giants. The G-Men have been erratic lately, alternating wins and losses. While they put a whooping on the Saints last week, they lost their last two road games in Washington and Cincinnati. This is a tough matchup for Eli Manning, as the Falcons have been excellent at limiting quarterback production this year and the G-Men have had red zone troubles throughout this season.
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Forget last week’s Falcons loss to the Panthers. It smelled like a trap game with these Giants on deck and it turned out that way. Back at home this week, the Falcons should be plenty focused, where they have won 11 straight here and 32 of 36 with Matt Ryan. Price appears cheap. No units risked.
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ARIZONA +6½ -105 over Detroit
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It would be difficult to get counterfeit money on the Cardinals right now, especially for those that backed them taking 10½ last week and being offered 6½ or less this week. A nine-game losing streak capped off by a 58-0 humiliation last week has Arizona penciled in as the most unappealing team in football. The oddsmakers know they can afford to inflate this number and not sway a single wager.
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Let’s not ignore the plight of these Lions, losers of five straight themselves. They were supposed to make the playoffs. They were supposed to be relevant again. None of that came to pass and they were officially knocked out of post-season play last week. Now they have to travel to the desert of despair to play a club that suffered one of the worst defeats in history. One has to believe the Cardinals to be more responsive than the Lions, as this visitor could surely lay yet another egg. No units risked.
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San Francisco +6 -105 NEW ENGLAND
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A strong Patriots club appears ready to make another Super Bowl run. With what was thought to be a rare Monday night quality game, the Patriots dominated the visiting Texans and the imprint is fresh on the bettor’s minds. That result has hiked this line and that’s where we step in and accept the value.
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At this time of year and into the playoffs, defense usually has an impact on the outcome of important games. This will be only the second time this season that the 49ers will be receiving points, dating back to opening week when they upset the Packers as 6-point underdogs. Niners defence too strong to refuse similar offering here. No units risked.
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OAKLAND -3 -107 over Kansas City
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Oakland is a favorite. Bwahahaha! Neither of these teams are worthy of support but at least Oakland has the ability to put up a few points. Kansas City’s offense is a disgrace, exceeding 13 points only once in past six games and having not scored more than one touchdown in a road game since week three.
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It has been a while since the Raiders last won. Seven games in fact, dating back to when they defeated these Chiefs by a 26-16 count in Kansas City. This is the final home game of the year and a chance to finish on a positive note before heading off to Carolina and San Diego. Carson Palmer, despite a topsy-turvy season, at least has the ability to move the ball. The same can’t be said for Brady Quinn and this inept KC offence. Price is actually cheap. No units risked.
Jeffrey James
New York Giants +2
The Giants will be very ready here since they are in a very tough fight for the division title. They are very strong on the road and especially strong in this spot as they have covered 17 of their last 22 on the road when playing a team off of a double digit loss. Also the G Men are very strong late in the season. Atlanta seems almost disinterested since they have the division already locked up and a big advantage in the race for home field. Have to love the road warrior Giants as a dog here.
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Tampa Bay vs. New OrleansFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick:OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tampa’s season has taken quite a turn for the worse. Tampa recorded its fourth consecutive win Nov 18 and at 6-4, appeared poised for its first postseason berth since 2007. However, a three-game losing streak has followed, leaving the Bucs at 6-7. The three-game slide began with a one-point home loss to the Falcons (led by six in the 4th) and last Sunday it continued in a very painful way. The Bucs played a brutal first half, trailing 10-0. However, Josh Johnson threw two TD passes in the second half and Doug Martin (1,234 yards on 4.7 YPC with 10 TDs in his rookie season) added a rushing TD, as the Bucs took an 11-point lead. The defense was not able to make that stick, though. The Eagles, on an eight-game losing streak, were able to rally behind rookie QB Nick Foles and win with two TD passes in the game’s final 3:55 (game-winner came as time expired!).
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The 23-21 defeat marked the fourth time this season that the Buccaneers have failed to capitalize on a fourth-quarter lead. Now, the Bucs will need to “win out” and then get plenty of help. "Every loss is tough, but we can't dwell on it. A lot of guys are disappointed, but they still understand we've got a lot of football to play the rest of the year," defensive end Da'Quan Bowers said. "You can't dwell on that one game. We've got to correct the fixable things and transfer our focus to New Orleans." Speaking of the Saints, they opened 0-4 but then got back to 5-5 after 10 games. However, the Saints have lost three in a row and believe it or not, Drew Brees has been at the center of the team’s woes. He’s thrown NINE interceptions in the team’s three-game slide, including two “pick sixes” in a 10-point loss to the 49ers and five INTs in another 10-point loss to the Falcons. The Saints found a different way to lose last week vs the Giants, allowing a team-worst 287 yards on six kickoff returns, including a 97-yard TD in the first quarter. Brees is over 4,000 passing yards for the seventh straight year (matching his time in New Orleans) and while his 18 INTs are tied with Andrew Luck for the most in the NFL, he also leads the league with 32 TDs.
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The Saints’ D has been a year-long disaster, allowing a league-high 436.9 YPG and 29.2 PPG (3rd-most). Tampa’s Josh Johnson had a terrific 2010 season (25-6 ratio with a 95.9 QB rating) but then struggled through LY’s 4-12 year with a 16-18 ratio and a QB rating of 74.6. However, he enters this game with a 25-8 ratio (91.1 QB rating) and with three games left, will easily surpass his season-high in passing yards (3,592), as he already has 3,192. In the first meeting with New Orleans, Johnson passed for a career-best 420 yards and threw three TDs.The Buccaneers boast the NFL’s No. 1 rush defense (78.2 YPG on 3.3 YPC), so expect Brees to “air it out,” as the Saints play out the string. There’s no reason to expect that the New Orleans’ D can stop the Bucs (Tampa Bay had averaged 30.4 PPG over its previous seven games, prior to last Sunday) and what we have here is a good old-fashioned shootout!
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Detroit vs. ArizonaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Lions will finally shake out of their five-game losing streak, with Matt Stafford racking up over 350 yards passing and three touchdowns against a defeated Cardinals defense. Last week's 58-0 beatdown at the hands of the Seahawks took its toll on the Cards emotionally, and rather than step up with a huge defensive effort here, I expect to see them wilt. The Arizona offense should at leastshow some pride, and this is a manageable matchup against a Lions defense that isn't stopping anyone right now. Detroit has been banged-up on that side of the football for much of the season, and did well to hold the Packers to only 27 points in a losing effort last Sunday. The common line of thinking here is that they'll improve on that performance against a weaker opponent, but I'm not so sure. The Lions 'd' has cured many slumping offenses this season, and I won't be surprised if we see the Cards awake from their slumber back at home. Larry Fitzgerald and Beanie Wells will each find the end zone, providing more than enough Arizona offense to help this one up and 'over' the total.
Final verdict: Detroit 28 Arizona 21
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Minnesota vs. St. LouisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Rams have done a great job of slowing the strong run games of SF and Buffalo in their last 2 outings while RB AP is a tall order Sunday. The Rams offense historically has opened up in the friendly confines of the Edward Jones Dome while the Vikings are comfortable playing in a dome themselves. The "Over" has cashed 8-2 in the last 10 between these two and with the low projected total Sunday, the value lies in the "Over"
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The Minnesota Vikings are 3rd in the NFC North Division with a record of 7-6 SU and the "Over" cashing 5-8 while the average total score in their 6 road games this season has been 43.8 PPG. The Vikings pass game has been dismal averaging a mere 172.6 YPG but their rushing attack has been excellent with RB Adrian Peterson showing no ill effects of a knee injury he suffered last season as he leads the NFL in rush yards with 1600 yards to go along with 10 TD. The Vikings have the 3rd best ground game in the NFL racking up an impressive 156.2 YPG. On defense Minnesota has been middle of the pack in most categories. DE Jared Allen has again been the leader for the Vikings, registering 9 sacks to go along with 42 tackles.
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The St. Louis Rams have been up and down this season with a record of 6-6-1 and the "Over" cashing 7-6. Sam Bradford continues to improve under center and has thrown for 2,877 yards and 15 TD while posting a QB rating of 81.9. Despite a nagging foot injury, running back Steven Jackson has managed to have a decent year, racking up 836 yards and 3 TD on the ground. Overall the Rams are scoring 18.2 PPG on offense while defensively they have allowed 21.5 PPG for an average total of 39.7 PPG. In 7 home games this season the Rams have given up an average of 23.1 PPG. Defensive end Robert Quinn has been the lone bright spot on defense picking up 9.5 sacks and 1 FF on the year.
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These two teams have had some wide open high scoring battles over the years with the "Over" cashing 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. With a low projected total Sunday look for both teams to do enough to go "Over" the total in the friendly confines of the Edward Jones Dome.
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Detroit vs. ArizonaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ArizonaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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If humiliation bounce-back means anything, the Big Red should at least come to play on Sunday when hosting the Lions in Glendale. Although the fact they have lost nine in a row and failed to cover all but two of those hardly inspires confidence, and crushing losses such as last week's blowout at Seattle have been known to demoralize teams, we expect the Cards to bounce back with a representative effort at home. That's also becase we completely distrust Detroit to extend the margin on anybody, this team self-destructs like no other. And word is that Lions HC Jim Schwartz could also be in trouble. Cards have lost by a few DD margins this season, but last week was first time they were really obliterated and the Ray Horton defense remains functional, so expect Arizona to demonstrate some professional pride on Sunday.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland RaidersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Kansas City ChiefsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I expect most players' to look for the Raiders to get on the right side of a win and this could be their spot. The problem for Oakland is the way Kansas City has dominated this series winning nine of the last 10. On offense the raiders have Darren McFadden back and Carson Palmer has thrown for over 3,800 yards but the Raiders are last in the NFL allowing 31 points per game. Oakland is also 30th in the NFL in rushing yards and with Kansas City's 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 on Oakland.
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Green Bay Packers -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Packers are playing the better football heading into this game. They have won seven of their last eight games overall, including a 27-20 victory over Detroit last week. Chicago has lost four of its last five and it cannot seem to overcome its recent struggles.
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Chicago’s biggest problem of late has been its lack of offensive production. It is only averaging 14.4 points per game over its last five contests. Jay Cutler was knocked out of their 14-21 loss to Minnesota last week. He is listed as questionable to return, and even if he does he won’t be at 100%. Also, the Bears remain without linebacker Brian Urlacher.
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Green Bay has simply owned this series with Chicago in recent years. It has won five straight meetings dating back to its final meeting of the 2010-11 season. All five of those wins have come by 7 points or more, including three by double-digits.
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The Packers have outscored the Bears 116-65 during their five-game winning streak in this series. They forced four turnovers while limiting the Bears to just 168 total yards in their first meeting this season, which resulted in a 23-10 home victory on September 13th.
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This play falls into a system that is 49-19 (72.1%) ATS since 1983. It tells us to bet against home teams (CHICAGO) – in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.4 YPP) after 8+ games, after outgaining opponent by 150 or more total yards in their previous game.
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Green Bay is 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings with Chicago. The Packers are 9-1 ATS vs. NFC North opponents over the last 2 seasons. Green Bay is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. Chicago is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 December games. Bet the Packers Sunday.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland RaidersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Kansas City ChiefsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Chiefs have covered 15 of the last 17 times off a non division loss of 10 or more points and 11 of the last 13 on the road off a road loss. The Raiders have failed to cover 13 of the last 14 as a favorite off 2 or more losses and cant seem to get out of their own way this season. Their defense has been pathetic this season and they pertain to a system that plays against favorites that have lost 3 or more in a row. The Chiefs are 5-1 straight up as a road dog of 3 or less. Finally we note that The Raiders are 0-13 at since 1995 at home when they got swept by a divisional opponent in their last game. With the Chiefs having won 14 of the last 20 here and having double digit home loss revenge here, we Look for Kansas City to get the cash here in this one.
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New Orleans Hornets at Portland TrailblazersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Portland TrailblazersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We will take the Blazers who have covered three of the last four matchups and are in the midst of a six game homestand and have won two of three. New Orleans is one of the leagues' Charlie Brown teams at 5-17 and dispite the return of #1 overall pick Anthony Davis, they have lost six of eight and have only one win in their last nine games. The Hornets have struggled to score, only averaging 87.8 pts per contest in their last five games. Traditionally the Blazers have been a very tough team to play at home and we will side with them improving a solid 6-4 home record. Take the Blazers.
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Pittsburgh / Dallas Over 44FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We got lucky with our Cowboy UNDER last week (vs Cincy), as a TD to FG ratio of 6 to 3 was the difference between a W and a L. We'll switch gears in Week 15, as the Cowboys host Pittsburgh in a game which is CRUCIAL to both teams' Playoff hopes. And let's not forget that Dallas home games have been trending OVER as of late. Their last 5 'homies' have gone 4-1 O/U... with a whopping avg margin of +12.9 total PPG!
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This NFC vs AFC battle is active in a great OVER situation that's hit at a 95% clip in the last 3 years. Now that the Steelers have been installed as road favs, we can ride this.
In the last 3 seasons, NFC home underdogs (DAL) have gone 18-1 O/U versus any AFC opponent (PIT).
With Thursday's game between Cincy and Philly ALSO going OVER (We were on it), this has now gone 19-1 O/U!
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These two teams come in off direct opposite results last week. Dallas won as a road DOGGIE (vs Cin)... and Pittsburgh lost as home FAV (vs SD).
11-1-1 O/U since 2008: All home teams (w/ a line of points.
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Both teams are still in the Playoff race with identical 7-6 SU records (.538 winning %).
14-2 O/U since 2006: All GAME 13 or greater > .500 and .500 and < .750 opponent (STEELERS).
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Last week, Dallas won by ONE slim point (20 to 19) while the Steelers were SHOCKED at home vs the Chargers (lost 34 to 24).
14-3 O/U since 1980: All underdogs playing off a SU ONE-point win (DAL) verus any opponent off a SU loss of 10 or more pts (PIT). We also note that NFC teams have gone 7-1 O/U.
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Don't look now, but the visiting Steelers are on a current OVER streak. They've gone a perfect 3-0 O/U in their last three games, with the last one OVER by +20.5 points.
11-1 O/U last 3 years: All NFL road favorites (PIT) playing off 3 or more 'OVERS' in a row... when the OU line is < 49 points.