Charlie Scott
St. Louis Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks
Play: St. Louis Rams
We cashed last week with Seattle Over ! Don't get me wrong, Seattle is a good Team and has been playing very well the last Month. However, in the parity driven NFL, especially within a point spread NFL, Nothing Last Forever and Teams don't keep scoring 50+ point per game. Anytime You can get double digits with a decent Jeff Fisher Coached Team, I believe their worth a look.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins
Play: Dallas Cowboys
While the General Public seems to be in love with RG3 and the Skins, I'll go the other way and take the Cowboys + the points. Keep in mind RG3 is banged up and it matters because he is not a pocket passer and needs to be mobile to be successful. Dallas Def Coo Ryan is an above average Coordinator and I believe facing the Redskins offense, for the second time in 5 weeks will be easier for the Defensive Players. Romo & Company are due to win a big game, why not Tonight. Shop for the +3.5 ! PLAY DALLAS
David Banks
Cowboys / Redskins Over 49
Exactly like last season, there is a pseudo-playoff game to determine the NFC East winner on the last week of the season as the Dallas Cowboys (8-7, 6-9 ATS) visit the Washington Redskins (9-6, 10-5 ATS) Sunday at FedEx Field in Landover, MD at 8:20 ET on NBC. In all likelihood, this is like a true playoff game with the winner winning the division and the loser not making the playoffs. That is definitely the case for the Cowboys and it will be the case for the Redskins unless the Bears, Vikings and Giants all lose, in which case Washington would be a wild card with a loss. Last year, the Cowboys were in this exact situation on the road and lost to the Giants, who went on to win the Super Bowl after not qualifying for the playoffs until winning that season finale.
But back to this year, these two combatants will probably take different approaches to attempt to win this game. Dallas quarterback Tony Romo and wide receiver Dez Bryant are two of the hottest players at their positions in the NFL right now while running back Demarco Murray has been a disappointment since returning from his injury, so you can expect Dallas to put a lot of balls in the air. The Cowboys are now up to third in the NFL in passing offense thanks to Romo averaging 302.2 yards per game. He passed for 416 yards vs. the Saints last week with Bryant having 224 of the receiving yards and two touchdowns. Bryant now has at least one touchdown reception in seven consecutive games, totaling 10 touchdowns in those contests. Murray meanwhile managed only 40 rushing yards vs. the worst rushing defense in the league last week in New Orleans, and he still seems hindered by the foot injury that kept him out of six games. Then again a one dimensional passing attack is not the worst thing here as Dallas will be passing against a 30th ranked Washington passing defense allowing 287.7 yards per game.
Washington will have a difficult time stopping Romo and Bryant defensively, but one thing that the Redskins can do is keep the Dallas offense off the field by controlling the clock with their running game on offense. That makes more sense considering Robert Griffin III was not his usual self last week as he too remained bothered by an injury, in this case a knee injury that forced him to miss one game two weeks ago. Griffin is not the only rookie in the Washington backfield that is having a big season though, as Alfred Morris is fourth in the NFL in rushing with 1410 yards on the ground while averaging a nice 4.7 yards per carry. Look for heavy doses of Morris here vs. a struggling Dallas run defense that is allowing a brutal 5.3 yards per carry to opposing running backs in the last four weeks. Consider also that few people expected the young Skins to be in this position before this season started, so it is not difficult to envision Washington resorting to a conservative "not to lose" game plan.
The 'under' is 4-1-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings here in Washington, as well as 12-5 in the last 17 Redskins' games vs. teams with winning records. The 'under' is also 8-2 in the last 10 Dallas road games. Not today!
Harry Bondi
Green Bay / Minnesota Under 46
The Packers are known as an "over" team, but in the "Black and Blue" Division, Green Bay has gone under in 5 straight contests. This is a different Green Bay offense than a year ago. The team is averaging 7 points per game less this season than last year when it went 15-1 and was the No. 1 seed in the playoffs, and it has scored more than 28 points just four times this season, after eclipsing that mark 11 times in 2012. In a game that will be played like a postseason game with so much at stake for both teams, we expect both offenses to play conservative and keep this one under the total.