Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, December 8

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Toronto at LA Lakers
Kobe Bryant rejoins a Laker team tonight that is coming off a 106-100 win over Sacramento and is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. LA is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-5 1/2)
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 801-802: Boston at New York (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 116.852; New York 115.448
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 5 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+5 1/2); Over

Game 803-804: Miami at Detroit (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.064; Detroit 116.524
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 805-806: Indiana at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 122.407; Oklahoma City 128.889
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Orlando at Houston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 116.981; Houston 125.003
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8; 212
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 809-810: Toronto at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 114.187; LA Lakers 122.585
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 205
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-5 1/2); Under

NHL

Washington at NY Rangers
The Capitals bring their 15-12-2 record to New York to face a Rangers team that is 2-9 in its last 11 games against a team with a winning record. Washington is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+135)

Game 1-2: San Jose at Minnesota (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.494; Minnesota 12.544
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over

Game 3-4: Boston at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.967; Toronto 9.679
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-145); Under

Game 5-6: Washington at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.842; NY Rangers 10.766
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+135); Over

Game 7-8: Florida at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 9.873; Chicago 12.827
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-275); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-275); Under

Game 9-10: Colorado at Vancouver (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.971; Vancouver 12.431
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-145); Under

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Oregon at Mississippi
The Rebels look to snap Oregon's perfect record (7-0) and build on their 5-1-1 ATS record in their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Mississippi is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Rebels favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-1)

Game 811-812: Virginia Tech at Miami (FL) (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 58.697; Miami (FL) 62.013
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 6
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+6)

Game 813-814: Oklahoma vs. George Mason (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 66.271; George Mason 54.173
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 12
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 6
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-6)

Game 815-816: Rhode Island at Detroit (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 50.294; Detroit 60.797
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 4
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-4)

Game 817-818: Old Dominion at VCU (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 52.808; VCU 66.409
Dunkel Line: VCU by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: VCU by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+16 1/2)

Game 819-820: Auburn vs. Illinois (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 52.654; Illinois 68.103
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-9 1/2)

Game 821-822: Washington at San Diego State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 55.056; San Diego State 72.392
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 14
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-14)

Game 823-824: Maryland vs. George Washington (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 67.678; George Washington 62.240
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Maryland by 3
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-3)

Game 825-826: Oregon at Mississippi (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 68.433; Mississippi 72.387
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 4
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 1
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-1)

Game 827-828: Nebraska at Creighton (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 59.687; Creighton 74.700
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 15
Vegas Line: Creighton by 13
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-13)

Game 829-830: Boston College at USC (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 56.620; USC 61.629
Dunkel Line: USC by 5
Vegas Line: USC by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-1 1/2)

Game 831-832: Seton Hall at Rutgers (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 53.601; Rutgers 59.862
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 6
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-2)

Game 833-834: Iona at Fairfield (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 60.104; Fairfield 50.250
Dunkel Line: Iona by 11
Vegas Line: Iona by 6
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-6)

Game 835-836: Charlotte at Appalachian State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 61.697; Appalachian State 49.832
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 12
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 8
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-8)

Game 837-838: Quinnipiac at Rider (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Quinnipiac 50.422; Rider 54.506
Dunkel Line: Rider by 4
Vegas Line: Rider by 2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (-2)

Game 839-840: Monmouth at Manhattan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 44.516; Manhattan 58.180
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 16
Dunkel Pick: Monmouth (+16)

Game 841-842: St. Peter's at Niagara (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 46.434; Niagara 48.365
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 2
Vegas Line: Niagara by 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+5)

Game 843-844: Siena at Canisius (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 47.637; Canisius 58.251
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Canisius by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-7 1/2)

Game 845-846: Jacksonville State at Florida State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 42.454; Florida State 69.736
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 27 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-21 1/2)

Game 847-848: Eastern Washington at St. Mary's (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 52.619; St. Mary's 74.000
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (-16 1/2)

Jason SharpeFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia (-2.5) over DetroitFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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This late in the season is when the NFL betting markets tend to overreact to what happened the previous week. Everyone just seen the Detroit Lions beating that they put on the Green Bay Packers on Thanksgiving Day. It was as impressive of a win that we have seen from any team maybe all season in the NFL, and most importantly it sticks out like a sore thumb to the betting public for this upcoming week.
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If there is one thing that you can count on with the Detroit Lions and being consistent is that they are a consistently inconsistent team. The Lions have been notorious for years as a team that follows up real good outings with real bad ones and vice versa. The last four times they have won by 14 or more points, they failed to cover the spread in their following week. Add in the fact they are playing outdoors here and on grass in early December, and that is a huge disadvantage for this indoor dome team who loves to throw the football.
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The Philadelphia Eagles have quietly turned into a good football team. I have spoke many times at length about how a first-year head coach will usually see his teams biggest improvements late in year one as his players are finally starting to get the message that’s been taught to them since the beginning of the hiring. This looks to be the case here with this team as well as they come in winners of four straight games and things look to be really clicking with Chip Kelly’s offense. Take Philadelphia minus the points here.

Nick ParsonsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Louis vs. ArizonaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR TFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Divisional contests are always the toughest and almost always "mean more" to the home side.
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Arizona will be looking to bounce-back from a 24-21 loss in Philadelphia last week and to avenge its opening day 27-24 setback at St. Louis to start the season.
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Despite that higher-scoring affair, note that eight of these teams last 11 in the series have fallen below the posted number, which includes having seen it go "under" in four of their last five in St. Louis.
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The Rams aren't 100% mathematically eliminated from the NFC Wild Card race, but last week's 23-13 loss in San Francisco obviously didn't help. Another setback to a divisional foe will be the nail in the coffin. The Rams have dropped four of their last six, totalling a mere 58 points in the losses.
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Last week's effort aside, the Cardinals have looked much better defensively, allowing just 25 total points in their two previous victories.
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A "chess match" style of game, where field position becomes critical; I believe the writing is on the wall and all signs point to a lower-scoring contest.
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Consider a second look at the "under" in this one.

Will RogersFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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N.Y. Giants vs. San DiegoFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: San DiegoFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Chargers looked quite impressive on the road at Kansas City two weeks ago, but then lost at home to the Bengals on Sunday. San Diego will have a good chance to bounce back against the Giants this week. New York won on the road in Washington, but the Giants are just 2-4 on the road this season.
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Here are my keys to the game:FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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1: Phillip Rivers - The Chargers quarterback is having a big year, ranking fourth in the NFL in passing yards just behind Drew Brees. He threw for 392 yards and three touchdowns against Kansas City two weeks ago, and you would expect him to put up big numbers against this Giants defense.
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2: Eli Manning - He's thrown 18 interceptions this season, that's two more than his 15 touchdowns. Last week he was 22-of-28 for 235 yards with a touchdown and an INT against Washington.
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3: X-Factor - The Chargers turned the ball over three times against the Bengals last week, costing them the game. If they can hang on to the ball here against the Giants, they should be in good shape.

Ben Burns
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Tennessee vs. Denver
Pick: Tennessee
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Obviously, the Broncos are a very good team. That doesn't mean that they can't be over-valued though.
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In this case, I believe the number will prove to be a little too high.
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Let's check it out.FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Titans have been at their best on the road. In six games away from Tennessee this season, they're 5-1 ATS.
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They won outright at Pittsburgh, St. Louis and Oakland. They lost at Indianapolis, Seattle and Houston.
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A closer look at those three road losses reveals that none of them came by more than eight points. The Titans lost by six at Houton, by seven at Seattle and by eight at Indianapolis.
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The only time that the Titans were double-digit underdogs was at Seattle, a game where they covered the spread.
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As for the Broncos, they've now seen four straight games decided by 10 or fewer points.
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With three of the Broncos' last four games coming against divisional opponents - and the other a primetime thriller vs. the Patriots - it may be a little hard to "get up" for the Titans.
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Despite their 5-7 overall record, the Titans remain in the hunt in the AFC Wildcard race. They know they desperately need this game though, if they want to keep their hopes alive. I won't be surprised to see them keep things much closer than many will be expecting. Consider taking the points.

Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota vs. BaltimoreFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: BaltimoreFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Minnesota Vikings sit at 3-8 SU and 6-6 ATS after a 23-20 win over the Chicago Bears in OT at home. Adrian Peterson had 211 yards rushing while Matt Cassel threw for 243 yards and a TD. Greg Jennings had 78 yards and one TD as the top receiving option. The Baltimore Ravens come off a hard fought 22-20 win at home over the Pittsburgh Steelers on Thanksgiving. Joe Flacco completed 24 of 35 passes for 251 yards and one TD. Torrey Smith had 93 yards receiving on six receptions, including a TD score. Justin Tucker kicked five FG’s in this game. Lost in the Mike Tomlin controversy is the fact that the Ravens have been playing some good football and especially at home. Baltimore has won three straight home games and is now 4-1 ATS in friendly confines. The Vikings have admittedly played better of late but the team is still just 0-5 SU on the road. Don’t over think this one and lay the points with the home team Ravens while expecting them to cover the spread along the way.

Brady KannonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Chiefs Redskins Over 44.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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A trend that we have seen develop this season is the game going OVER the Total when two teams meet from out of conference. We're banking on The Redskins getting their offensive act together here in their 3rd straight home game and The Chiefs defense softening a bit between division games.
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Bills / Bucs Over 42.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Both of these teams have decent defenses and their offenses rely on establishing a good running game - which does speed a game up and tend toward an UNDER but The Bills can put up points when they are rolling and the fact that these two clubs are not familiar with each other with this being an out of conference clash, we're feeling 42.5 is a little bit generous.
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Giants / Chargers Over 47FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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First of all, we like that this is a non-conference meeting, breeding unfamiliarity. Secondly, we like the fact that The Chargers have a very good offense coupled with a very generous defense. Points a plenty from both sides today in Sunny San Diego.

Bryan LeonardFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit / Philadelphia Under 54FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Eagles offensive strength this season has been the running game, but that's also been the highlight of this Detroit stop unit. The Philadelphia passing game has been much better with Foles but when playing a team like Detroit you want to keep that offense off the field.
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Philadelphia's defense has been the unpublished story of the season thus far. After starting the year allowing 138 points through the first four games this stop unit has been among the league's best the last two months. None of the last eight opponents the Eagles have faced has scored more than 21 points. The bend but don't break approach has put the Eagles back into the playoff picture.
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Detroit just put up 40 points on a nationally televised Thanksgiving contest. That's fresh in the mind of many bettors, but Detroit failed to surpass 27 points in any of the prior three games.

Dave Price

Tennessee Titans +13

It's supposed to be frigid in Denver Sunday afternoon. Given Peyton Manning's track record in the cold, I expect the Broncos to go with a heavy dose of Knowshon Moreno. There's just one problem, Tennessee is pretty darn good defensively. The Titans rank 9th in the NFL in total defense with 326.6 yards per game allowed and should be able to get enough stops to keep this one within the number. There is plenty of history on our side as well. Consider that road underdogs or pickems that check in off a road loss are 169-103 ATS the last 10 seasons. They tighten up to 99-54 ATS during this span if the game takes place in the second half of the season. The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. Take the points.

Bill Biles

St Louis Rams +6.5

This is a big divisional game for both teams. I believe this will be one heck of a defensive game, and the game will be very close. Look for a 3 point victory by one of these teams.

Rickie Robbins

Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints
Play: Carolina Panthers +3½

The New Orleans Saints and the Carolina Panthers face off on Sunday on NBC’s Sunday Night Football as they play for first place in the NFC South.

The New Orleans Saints have led the NFC South since week one of the season but after losing on Monday Night in Seattle they have dropped into a tie for the top spot. After missing the playoffs last season the Saints have played with renewed focus and determination. Drew Brees has completed 67.7 percent of his passes with 29 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Pierre Thomas has rushed for 486 yards with 60 receptions and Darren Sproles has two rushing touchdowns and 55 catches. Jimmy Graham has 68 receptions and 12 touchdowns and Marques Colston has 47 catches. Curtis Lofton has 98 tackles, David Hawthorne has 68 tackles, and Kenny Vaccaro has 64 tackles. The Saints have good balance on both sides of the ball and few teams have been playing better overall.

The Carolina Panthers have won eight games in a row and after two early season rough losses the Panthers have looked like the better team in most of their games. Having not played the Saints yet this is a huge game for the Panthers as the next meeting of these two will be at Carolina. Cam Newton is having a big year completing 61.7 percent of his passes with 19 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. DeAngelo Williams has rushed for 610 yards and two touchdowns. Steve Smith has 54 receptions and three touchdowns and Greg Olsen has 50 catches and five touchdowns. Luke Keuchly 102 tackles, Thomas Davis has 94 tackles, and Charles Johnson has 8.5 sacks. Carolina’s offense is averaging 23.8 points and 327.8 yards per game while defensively they are allowing 13.1 points and their opponents average 289.8 yards per game. The Panthers defense has been tough and the offense has made plays when they need to.

AC DineroFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Bills vs. BuccaneersFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Under 43FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Both of these teams are a bit sub par stopping the run, which is always nice when playing under the total, because the clock keeps running, thus fewer plays and scoring opportunities. Also in our favor is the inability for either team to hit big plays in the passing game, averaging less than 6.0 ypa. Both are terrible converting 3rd down, averaging under 36%. Conversely, both are OK at defending 3rd down, at just under 40%. Overall, the under is a nice play.

Randall the HandleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Seahawks (11-1) at 49ers (8-4)
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Niners have had this one marked since Week 2 when they were hammered 29-3 up in Seattle and the setting appears to be right for the home team. The public is fearful of fading the Seahawks with their 11-1 mark and after witnessing Seattle make child's play of contender Saints on Monday night. That combination has pushed this number under afield goal. In that first meeting, San Fran turned the ball over an uncharacteristic five times while also giving up a safety. Holding a three-game lead with just four to play, Seattle all but has the NFC West secured. The Niners however can ill afford to lose as they sit only a game up on a wild-card spot. The 49ers have defeated Seattle in four straight here. San Francisco 's passing game has improved with 1,000-yard wide receiver Michael Crabtree back on the field last week for the first time all season. We've seen the Seahawks struggle at Houston, St. Louis and Indy. This will be the most hostile trip of them all and one that can catch them flat-footed. TAKING: 49ERS -2½
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Bills (4-8) at Buccaneers (3-9)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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It's tough enough for the Bucs to win, let alone win by a margin. Tampa is favoured for just the third time this season, covering once against the wretched Falcons. While the Bills have a poor record, they've botched many games they could have won and are not a team to be taken lightly. Offensively, they lay over this opponent. Tampa ranks 31st offensively overall, including its 30th-ranked passing and scoring units. We don't expect the Bills to stifle the Buccaneers like the Panthers did last week, but it was clear that Tampa could not handle a potent pass rush and we expect Buffalo's rushers to take full advantage. It doesn't help that Tampa 's home crowds are disenchanted with the team and that the Bucs have won just three times in their past 11 when playing here. Also, we prefer rookie the Bills' rookie combination of head coach Doug Marrone and QB E.J. Manuel to counter the Bucs' rookie duo of Greg Schiano and Mike Glennon. TAKING: BILLS +3
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Chiefs (9-3) at Redskins (3-9)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Native American helmets go head-to-head in this one, but the only ones offended these days are Redskins fans with Washington now officially out of the playoffs. However, things aren't so rosy in Kansas City, either, as the Chiefs' 9-0 start has soured and its once top-ranked defence now ranks 21st behind such teams as the Raiders, Bills and Buccaneers. While Alex Smith comes under much scrutiny, his cast of receivers is a clumsy bunch that cannot be relied upon. Washington 's Robert Griffin III is not having the best sophomore year, but he's still elusive and K.C. has two sacks in its past five games. TAKING: REDSKINS +3
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Vikings (3-8-1) at Ravens (6-6)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Despite a Super Bowl hangover, the Ravens cannot be ignored and certainly not on this field. Baltimore as won five of six at M&T Bank Stadium while covering seven of its past eight. The Ravens will welcome a fatigued visitor as the Vikings have played nearly 10 quarters of football the past two weeks and, with little to play for, they could run out of gas here. As Minnesota's quarterback carousel continues to turn, the team relies on the superpowers of RB Adrian Peterson. However, Baltimore 's run stopping unit is among the best in the league. This is the Ravens' softest opponent down the stretch and one that they can, and must, defeat. TAKING: RAVENS -7
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Raiders (4-8) at Jets (5-7)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Jets have now lost three straight, managing to score just 20 combined points during the slump. Of course, lacking playmakers at the skill positions will do that to a club and giving away points does not come without trepidation. That said, prefer Rex Ryan's club to break out of its doldrums against an Oakland squad that finds it traveling for the fourth time in five weeks and going the limit with an early start on the east coast. The Raiders rely on their fifth-ranked running game to offset their 28thranked passing game, but the Jets still own the top run defence in the league and that could easily be the difference-maker on this day. TAKING: JETS -2½
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Colts (8-4) at Bengals (8-4)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Bengals have been bipolar lately making it tough to get a read on them right now. Despite a win in San Diego last week, the offence remains a concern as QB Andy Dalton continues to make errant throws to open receivers. Cincy's defence has stepped up and camouflaged the inefficiencies in the offence but that has a way of catching up to teams. The Bengals are one of only six teams to not have a 100-yard rusher and combined with a declining passing game, we're reluctant to give away much here. The Colts can lock up their division with a win and take possession of No. 3 seed over these Bengals. This one should stay close. TAKING: COLTS +6
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Panthers (9-3) at Saints (9-3)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Carolina faces a huge test here as they head to the Superdome with first place in the NFC South at stake. While we know the Saints will be better than they were in Monday's trouncing in Seattle , they will be forced to bounce back after a short week and face the league's hottest team. The Panthers' success is no fluke. The defence has allowed just one team to exceed 16 points in Carolina 's past eight games, giving up just 20 to the Patriots. We saw Seattle 's pass rush get to Drew Brees on Monday and that bodes well for Carolina 's voracious sack unit. Hard to resist any points offered with a defence this good. TAKING: PANTHERS +3½
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Lions (7-5) at Eagles (7-5)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Backing the Lions is about as comforting as watching kids playing on train tracks. Detroit's poor discipline and knack for miscues always leaves the door open for disaster. The Lions managed to escape it last week against the spiralling Packers but it won't be as easy this Sunday. The Eagles have quietly won four straight and are tied for their division lead. The play of QB Nick Foles has been inspiring as he's on a roll, throwing 19 touchdowns without an interception. All the while, Philly's defence has been performing admirably as well, not surrendering more than 21 points in a game over the past two months. Philly is at home for third straight game, having won its previous two. TAKING: EAGLES -2½
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Dolphins (6-6) at Steelers (5-7)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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As poor as the Steelers have been for much of this season, they sit just a game back of a playoff spot in the cluttered AFC wild-card race. They return home after two away and had won three straight here at Heinz Field prior to the road trip. Miami has been alternating wins and losses (past six games) and fresh off an easy win at the Jets, the pattern is likely to continue here. Miami 's offence is an incomplete unit as the Dolphins have not exceeded 22 points in seven weeks. Pittsburgh has had 10 days to prep for this one and with all that's on the line, we think it shows up on this day. TAKING: STEELERS -3
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Titans (5-7) at Broncos (10-2)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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After facing the Chiefs, Patriots and then the Chiefs again, and having played three of four away from Mile High, the Broncos can finally have some fun here. Denver is averaging 41 points per game on this field. Anything close to that should be enough for the double-digit cover as the thought of Ryan Fitzpatrick playing catch-up on this field conjures up instant images of turnovers. The Broncos are currently the top seed in the AFC and they'd like to keep it that way. They will have added incentive here as coach John Fox returns after recovering from heart surgery. This is also be Titans' third consecutive road game. It could get ugly. TAKING: BRONCOS -12
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Rams (5-7) at Cardinals (7-5)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cardinals are back home where they are best, but they'll square off against a team that seems to reach down for something extra against superior division opponents. Under Jeff Fisher, the Rams have covered seven of their past 10 versus NFC West opponents. St. Louis took down the Cardinals on opening day in a 27-24 win and, while the Cards have improved since then, the Rams may have improved even more. Prior to its loss last week in San Fran, the Rams had racked up 80 points in their two previous games against the Colts and Bears. The offence has found a groove and St. Louis' defence is an underrated group that can get to Carson Palmer. An upset wouldn't surprise. TAKING: RAMS +6½
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Giants (5-7) at Chargers (5-7)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Giants take their flickering playoff hopes to San Diego but there's a good chance those aspirations are zapped by the time this one is done. While the G-Men have won five of six, they have done so against some questionable opponents. The Chargers may not be elite but QB Philip Rivers has been outstanding while counterpart Eli Manning is having one of his worst seasons. He is not getting the protection he needs and the result has been too many sacks and more interceptions than touchdowns thrown. The Giants have been outscored by 60 points on the year and have tallied 62 fewer than this opponent. TAKING: CHARGERS -3
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Cowboys (7-5) at Bears (6-6)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Not sure if either team can stop the other, but we're more inclined to stick with Chicago on a cold night at Soldier Field than rely on the Cowboys' zany antics. Chicago 's receiving corps has been upgraded with Alshon Jeffery on fire, allowing stud WR Brandon Marshall single coverage. There is a chance that Jay Cutler could be back for this one, but we're comfortable with veteran QB Josh McCown leading this Bears attack. McCown has the seventh best passer rating in the league, complemented by nine TDs to only one pick. Chicago's run defence is an ongoing concern but is the lesser of other evils here. TAKING: BEARS -1