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Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, January 12

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49ers vs. PanthersFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Under 41½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Cant really begin to understand how the 49ers can be favored in this spot. They beat the Packers at Lambeau field last week, but lets face it, it wasn't because of Colin. It was defence, and defence is the main play in Carolina. These two met up earlier this year and the game was a total bore with Carolina winning a snooze fest of field goals. Both Teams are letting up just over 10 ppg on average. Today will be much of the same. Dont waste your time watching this game, just lay some cash on the Panthers and the under in this one

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 10:34 am
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Jack Jones
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San Diego Chargers +8½
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The Chargers have a ton of momentum right now. They had to win their final four games of the regular season just to get into the playoffs as the sixth and final Wild Card team. They needed a field goal in overtime against Kansas City in the finale, so they have risen to the occasion in the biggest of circumstances. That momentum carried over into a 27-10 win at Cincinnati in the Wild Card Round last week behind a solid rushing attack that posted 196 yards on the ground, proving that this team can win in a number of ways.
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That win against the Bengals cemented one of the three biggest road wins that one team has compiled all season. Indeed, the Chargers have beaten the Bengals, Broncos and Chiefs on the road this season. Those teams are a combined 20-5 at home this year, suffering three of their five losses to the Chargers. Their 27-20 win in Denver on December 12 was impressive. They out-gained the Broncos 337-295 for the game behind 177 rushing yards.
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This San Diego defense has saved its best football for last. The Chargers have allowed 24 or fewer points in six straight games, including 17 or less in five of them. The offense is capable of putting up big numbers as the Chargers are averaging 388.6 yards per game. Philip Rivers is having a career year, completing 69.5 percent of his passes for 4,478 yards with 32 touchdowns against 11 interceptions during the regular season. These players are really starting to believe in him.
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All of the pressure is on Denver and Peyton Manning, who time and time again fails to get it done in the postseason despite his incredible regular season numbers. The road team is 6-0-1 against the spread in the last seven meetings in this series. The Chargers are 10-4-2 against the number in their last 16 meetings with the Broncos. San Diego is 5-0 against the spread in its last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Broncos are 1-5-1 against the number in their last seven games in January. Bet the Chargers Sunday.

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 10:35 am
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Steve Janus
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Memphis Grizzlies -4½
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The Grizzlies are 41-28 ATS in their last 69 games vs teams with a winning record. Atlanta is being overvalued off a couple of road wins. The Hawks are just 6-12 on the road this season are just 4-15 ATS in their last 19 game after allowing 90 points or less in two straight games.
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Memphis is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games when they come in having covered the spread in three straight games and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in two straight games.

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 10:35 am
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San Francisco/ Carolina Over 41: Before I get chastised for the play let me just say I have done well in the playoff going against conventional wisdom. Let's just hope that holds true here. Obviously the easiest way to go in this one is the Under, especially since the teams put up just 19 to points in the first game this year, but i see some major changes from the offenses this time around. The Panthers like to run the ball but for them to move the ball in this game they will have to throw it. The Niner run defense is tough to penetrate. The Panthers have played well at home on offense, putting up 25.9 ppg, so they can score on their home field. The Niners offense has been pretty solid for much of the year and after scoring just 29 total points in BB losses to the Panthers and Saints earlier they have opened up the offense, scoring 26 ppg in their last 7, hitting the 23 point or better mark in 6 of those games, plus we note that the Niners have averaged a solid 24 ppg on the road this year. Yes I know how tough both defenses are but so do the opposing coaches and you can bet that these teams will have worked on trick plays and the such in order to put some points on the board here. There is no tomorrow, so no reason to hold back. I have this game scoring at least 45 points.
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San Diego/ Denver Under 55: In two games vs the Broncos, Mike McCoy has worked his ball control offense to perfection and i expect nothing less than that in this one. The Chargers lead the league in both TOP and 3rd downs so they know how to keep this offense on the field and an offense like Denver's off the field. The Broncs would like to throw the ball all over the field, but they also like to run it as they have had 12 100 yard rushing games this year. I expect to see some scoring but there will be allot of time consuming drives in this game. No more than 48 points scored here.

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 10:37 am
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Chris Jordan

I'm pretty sure Monmouth is a decent enough team to join the MAAC, but it's going to take some time to know the nuances of certain teams that are perennial favorites in the league.

Take Canisius, which is 10-6 overall and 4-1 in MAAC play.

The Golden Griffins have always been a tough nut to crack in league play, and tonight they roll in after a 94-91 double-overtime victory against Rider on Friday night. Senior guard Billy Baron scored a career-high 38 points, including the game-winning 3-pointer at the end of the second overtime.

The Griffins are 5-0 at home this season, and rolls in on an elongated 17-4 record in its last 21 home dates.

The Hawks are one of two new teams in the MAAC this season, and as I've seen Quinnipiac play admirably, I'm not so sure Monmouth is having as comfy a welcome. Monmouth is averaging 71.9 points per game, ranking seventh in the MAAC in scoring, while shooting 41.9 percent from the field, which also ranks seventh in the league.

Canisius is the right side of this game, as I see a double-digit win coming.

2♦ CANISIUS

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 10:41 am
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Jeff Benton

Your Sunday freebie is the UCLA Bruins to bounce-back after their tough loss to #1 Arizona on Thursday night, as they play host to an Arizona State team that was busy routing USC on that same Thursday night.

The Sun Devils tote in a 13-3 mark, but I don't see it improving against the Bruins who will be in a prickly mood after their comeback bid fell just shy at home on Thursday.

Steve Alford's team is still 10-1 straight up at home, and they have covered 6 of their 10 lined home games. The Uclans took both meetings last season off the Devils, and they have won 6 of the last 7 series meetings straight up overall.

The host in this series is on an 8-1-1 against the spread the last 10 series meetings, and I am siding with the home team in this one to make it a 9-1-1 spread run.
Bruins in a runaway.

4♦ UCLA

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 10:41 am
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Craig Davis

Free play of the day on the Kings and Cavs to go OVER the posted total in Sunday NBA action.

Twice this season I've given you the Kings over the posted total and I'm 2-for-2... hoping to go 3-for-3 tonight. I realize there's some hesitation with the Cavs on the road as they are clearly a better home team and score more than 10 PPG more at home than on the road.

But I watched the Cavs in their most recent road game (at Utah) and saw them play a game as if they were back home in Cleveland. It resulted in a Cleveland 113-102 win over the Jazz in their best road performance of the year.

I'm not basing this pick on just one road game... but it sure helps. As long as they continue to move the basketball like they have lately, it will make it a lot easier to score.

The Kings, on the other hand, don't know how to NOT score. They've gone over 104 points in their last 11 games overall and last 12 home games dating back to November. With the trade to acquire Rudy Gay and move Isaiah Thomas to starting point guard, it's made this offense much more fluid.

I expect a finish around 110-102... which will be easily over the posted total.

2♦ CLEVELAND-SACRAMENTO OVER

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 10:42 am
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Scott Delaney

My free play for Sunday is on UCLA minus the points against Arizona State. After suffering a tough loss to Arizona on Thursday night, the Bruins will be out for a big bounce-back here, looking to redeem themselves against a very good - but beatable - Arizona State team. Besides, the Bruins have covered four straight after an ATS loss.

Jahii Carson is a tough customer for any team to defend, but the Bruins have the personnel to slow him down, and create things at the other end. UCLA's talent runs deep, and as good as Arizona State's supporting cast for Carson can be, I don't believe we're going to see the Sun Devils be able to match wits against UCLA's lengthy and athletic lineup.

This is a perfect spot, as UCLA has enjoyed playing on Sundays, covering four straight on the Sabbath. The home team has covered nine of the last 10 meetings, including four of the last five at Pauley Pavilion.

1♦ UCLA

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 10:42 am
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Brad Wilton

Going to back the Atlanta Hawks to continue their hot play on Sunday in Memphis against the disappointing Grizzlies.

Atlanta looks like they have made some nice adjustments in the absence of Al Horford, as the Hawks have put together confidence-building back-to-back wins over some decent talent in Indiana and Houston. Look for them to extend on the road versus a Memphis team that is just 8-12 straight up at home and only 7-13 against the spread in those home games.

The Hawks do tend to struggle away from Philips Arena, but that has not been the case when it comes to visiting Elvis Presley land, as Atlanta has covered 5 of their last 6 at Memphis. Atlanta has also covered 10 of the last 13 overall meetings with the Grizzlies, so going against the grooving Hawks would be unwise at this time.

Atlanta to continue their winning ways on Sunday in Memphis.

4♦ ATLANTA

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 10:42 am
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Brett Atkins

Now on an 18-1 run with my complimentary winners, after Reno took care of Utah State on Saturday. Today I look to improve on that record with the San Antonio Spurs against the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Not sure why this line is so low, but the Spurs should be able to take advantage of the struggling Timberwolves today. San Antonio has won three straight, and already knows how dangerous Minnesota can be from an earlier-season clash, in which the Spurs outscored the Wolves, 37-21, down the stretch to pull out a 117-110 win.

But Minnesota was playing much better then. Now it's struggling with consistency and can't seem to keep it together long enough for a winning run. The Timberwolves haven't won two-straight games since Dec. 28th.

Minnesota is a team that generates offense and can wreak havoc in the paint, problem is the Spurs are on a winning run, they're playing at home and it's one of those cozy Sunday nights at AT&T Center with the home crowd.

Lay the points with the Spurs.

1♦ SAN ANTONIO

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 10:43 am
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Antony DineroFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Chargers at BroncosFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Chargers aren't going to have a healthy Ryan Mathews today, since running with a bum ankle is likely to get the injury-prone back banged up some other way. As a result, Philip Rivers will have to throw for San Diego to be successful, which opens the door to a certain shootout between him and Peyton Manning. Back the over as today's top NFL play. For the in-game parlay, you've got to trust Manning's ability to get the Broncos in to the right plays at home. Lay the points with Denver.

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 11:15 am
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Joe GavazziFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco 49ers vs. Carolina PanthersSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: San Francisco 49ers PkFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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This is a brutal scheduling spot for the 49ers, who must play their third consecutive road game, including traveling east on consecutive weekends for this 10 AM body time start. Conversely, the Panthers are well rested after outrushing Atlanta 134-76 in a 21-20 season ending victory, their third straight. An earlier meeting of these two on this field resulted in a hard fought Panther victory 10-9, in which they outrushed the 49ers 250-151. Though that defeat for the 49ers was followed by a 23-20 loss at New Orleans, San Fran has won 7 consecutive games since that time, the longest win streak of any playoff contender. Last week, they again proved their mettle with a 23-20 hard fought victory at Green Bay. These teams are virtual statistical images of each other, including being led by the new wave of NFL prototypical QB, such as Kaepernick and Newton. In the final analysis, the preference of this bureau is for the greater playoff experience of the 49ers and their signal caller. This is the fifth playoff game for Kaepernick, while Carolina has not appeared in the playoffs for 5 years. Though the weekend’s most pleasant weather will be in Carolina, much like the first meeting, I expect the defenses to dominate resulting in a lower scoring contest.

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 11:17 am
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Greg Shaker

Arizona / USC Over 138

I have 142.7 and playing 1% here. USC cannot compete with the Wildcats in a half court situation. They WILL push the action tonight. This number is up from 137 and it happened pretty quickly as these CBB Totals do do a lot. I'm playing it now.

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 11:18 am
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Purdue/ Nebraska Under 145: I really don't see the Huskers coming up with enough points to put this game over. They average just 59 ppg on the road and just 59.8 ppg in their last 4 overall. The Huskers haven't scored more than 59 points on the road in their last 3 games and have put up just 55 ppg in their 2 road games vs Big 10 opponents. The Boilers do allow 68.8 ppg at home, but on just 39% shooting and Nebraska shoots a mere 35.9 from the field on the road. The Huskers defense is not all that good and they do allow 78,8 ppg on the road, but they have played better defense of late, allowing just 71.8 ppg in their last 5 overall. I really don't expect more than 62 or 63 from the Huskers in this one and that means that Purdue will have to put up at least 83 for this game to go over. I don't see that either. 71-63 sounds about right for this one.

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 11:19 am
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Monmouth at CanisiusFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play:Monmouth +10.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Familiarity between these new MAAC opponents will be minimal since they have not faced each other yet this season. Youthful Monmouth squad has gone to a unique lineup which features three guards and a pair of 6’10” true freshman centers. Using a pair of big men in an up-tempo system (73.0 possessions per game overall, 74.8 in league play) wouldn’t seem to be a good fit but with this alignment, Monmouth won at high octane Niagara Friday night 85-74. Head coach King Rice is confident that playing the duo of Chris Brady and Zac Tillman together will continue to make the Hawks better. Monmouth shot 63% from the field in the win but that’s far above their poor season average of 39.5%. Defensively, they’ve been sound over the past eight games allowing only Quinnipiac to shoot above 44% from the field.
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Canisius played their third consecutive tight contest Friday night defeating Rider in double OT 94-91 on a buzzer beating three by star Billy Baron. The Golden Griffins haven’t had much trouble offensively in conference play averaging 79.6 ppg on 46.9% shooting but they have had problems defensively yielding 73.6 ppg & 45.3% from the floor. What makes the defensive numbers so glaring is the fact that four of Canisius five league games have been played against three of the MAAC’s four worst offenses. Despite Monmouth’s inconsistent shooting, those numbers indicate they can score 73 or more in this game. The Hawks commitment to 40 minutes of high energy effort has led to a current 5-1 ats streak. The only contest they’ve lost by this price was against Quinnipiac eight days ago and that includes a trip to league kingpin Manhattan. Canisius has the best player on the floor here in Baron, they’re definitely the more experienced group and they have home court but this opponent is shaping up to be a pesky one in their initial MAAC campaign. This game is also important to HC Rice who was recruited long ago by Canisius head coach Jim Baron and has a pupil/teacher relationship with him. Tough to bank on young teams coming through twice in three days on the road because of their inherent inconsistencies but Canisius is off a double OT thriller and Monmouth is playing pretty well right now. Visitor may not win straight up but taking the +10.5 is worth a shot.

 
Posted : January 12, 2014 11:49 am
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