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Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, January 5

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DUNKEL INDEX

NFL

San Francisco at Green Bay
The 49ers head to Green Bay today where they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games. The Packers are the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+3)

Game 105-106: San Diego at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 138.817; Cincinnati 137.797
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 43
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+7); Under

Game 107-108: San Francisco at Green Bay (4:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 140.597; Green Bay 140.991
Dunkel Line: Even; 51
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+3); Over

NCAAF

Arkansas State vs. Ball State
The Cardinals enter the GoDaddy Bowl coming off a 55-14 win over Miami (OH) in the regular season finale and carrying a 1-5 ATS record in their last 6 games after allowing an opponent less than 20 points in the previous game. Arkansas State is the pick (+9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wolves favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+9 1/2)

Game 267-268: Arkansas State vs. Ball State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 85.546; Ball State 84.065
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 1 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Ball State by 9 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+9 1/2); Under

 
Posted : January 2, 2014 12:20 pm
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DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Denver at LA Lakers
The Nuggets visit the Lakers tonight with LA coming off a 110-99 win over Utah and carrying a 1-5 ATS record in its last 6 games after scoring more than 100 points in the previous game. Denver is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2)

Game 801-802: Memphis at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 116.581; Detroit 115.574
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+2 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Golden State at Washington (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 123.382; Washington 121.770
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 3 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Indiana at Cleveland (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 126.620; Cleveland 115.997
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 10 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-8 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Toronto at Miami (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 123.866; Miami 126.175
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6 1/2); Over

Game 809-810: Boston at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.402; Oklahoma City 128.540
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 15; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9); Under

Game 811-812: New York at Dallas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 113.149; Dallas 117.386
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 6 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: New York (+6 1/2); Over

Game 813-814: Denver at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 113.888; LA Lakers 107.649
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 6; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2); Over

NHL

Vancouver at Anaheim
The Canucks come into tonight's matchup against the Ducks with a 6-14 record in their last 20 games against Pacific Division opponents. Anaheim is the pick (-165) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-165)

Game 51-52: Winnipeg at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 10.484; Pittsburgh 12.054
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-230); Over

Game 53-54: Nashville at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.663; Carolina 10.504
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+115); Under

Game 55-56: Vancouver at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.247; Anaheim 12.309
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-165); Under

Game 57-58: Tampa Bay at Edmonton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.169; Edmonton 11.386
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+120); Over

Game 59-60: San Jose at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.555; Chicago 12.989
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-150); Over

 
Posted : January 2, 2014 12:20 pm
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DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Oregon at Colorado
The Ducks come into today's matchup at Colorado with a 4-11-2 ATS record in their last 17 games against Pac-12 opponents. Colorado is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Buffaloes favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-3)

Game 815-816: Purdue at Minnesota (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 61.272; Minnesota 72.123
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 11
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-8)

Game 817-818: Northwestern at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 54.767; Michigan 76.183
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 21 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Michigan by 15; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-15); Under

Game 819-820: San Diego State at Kansas (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 67.593; Kansas 72.797
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 5; 136
Vegas Line: Kansas by 8 1/2; 141 12
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+8 1/2); Under

Game 821-822: Southern Illinois at Illinois State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 50.619; Illinois State 59.024
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (-6 1/2)

Game 823-824: Northern Iowa at Wichita State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 58.662; Wichita State 76.159
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 17 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 11 1/2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-11 1/2); Over

Game 825-826: USC at UCLA (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 56.357; UCLA 71.909
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-12 1/2)

Game 827-828: Missouri State at Loyola-Chicago (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 56.937; Loyola-Chicago 50.701
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 6
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (-2 1/2)

Game 829-830: Oregon at Colorado (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 68.656; Colorado 74.536
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 6; 142
Vegas Line: Colorado by 3; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-3); Under

Game 831-832: Washington State at Arizona State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 60.110; Arizona State 66.035
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 6
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+11 1/2)

Game 833-834: Providence at Villanova (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 62.525; Villanova 72.718
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 10; 148
Vegas Line: Villanova by 12 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Providence (+12 1/2); Over

Game 835-836: Iowa at Wisconsin (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 74.101; Wisconsin 76.001
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 2; 146
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 6 1/2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+6 1/2); Over

Game 837-838: North Carolina at Wake Forest (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 70.963; Wake Forest 63.212
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 7 1/2; 143
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 4 1/2; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-4 1/2); Under

Game 839-840: Tennessee-Martin at Murray State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 39.464; Murray State 55.410
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 16
Vegas Line: Murray State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-11)

Game 851-852: Boston U at Lehigh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston U 54.329; Lehigh 58.769
Dunkel Line: Lehigh by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Lehigh by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Lehigh (-1 1/2)

 
Posted : January 2, 2014 12:20 pm
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San Francisco vs. Green BayFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Niners and Packers renew acquaintances for the 4th time in two seasons when they meet at Lambeau Field in an NFC opening round WIld Card game this Sunday. If this game is anything like those of the past it should find a well-lit scoreboard given the fact these two teams have flown OVER the total in each of their last six showdowns, including 62 total points combined in their first meeting in the season opener this year. With the Niners have gone OVER in 6 of 7 games with a posted total of 47 or more points under Jim Harbaugh, and the Packers OVER in 8 of their last 11 games as underdogs, look for more of the same today. We recommend a 1-unit play on the OVER.

 
Posted : January 2, 2014 12:25 pm
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Tony KarpinskiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Arkansas State vs. Ball StateFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Ball State -7½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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I see Ark St relying to a great extent on the run and keep Ball State's passing attack on the sideline as much as manageable. If ASU controls the flow of the game, they will keep this in low 20s, problem is, can they? Biggest issue I don't see anything in this ASU secondary that can slow WR Snead down. He's a beast. Ball State comes in with a big time passing attack, led by Keith Wenning and his 34 td passes. Exploiting Snead and his 14 tds , and they can also move the ball on the ground with Jahwan Edwards and his 13 tds , which is very difficult to hold, with his 7 games rushing for 4.8 YPC. Their Rbs can take the game over at any time, and could very likely devour ASU defenders in this game. Ball State is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games and I look for them to win by 15 or more on Sunday night in the Bowls.

 
Posted : January 2, 2014 12:32 pm
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Rickie Robbins
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San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers
Play: Green Bay Packers +135
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The Green Bay Packers didn’t cement their spot in the playoffs until the final seconds of their final game of the season but regardless of what happened all year they are in. The Packers battled through injuries and pulled off miracle wins at Dallas and Chicago as well as edging out the Falcons at home to win the NFC North. Aaron Rodgers was injured for the bulk of the season but he returned in week 17 and appeared to be his old self pulling off the heroics which will go down in Packer lore. Eddie Lacy became the packers starting running back rushing for 1,178 yards and giving Green Bay a rushing attack they haven’t had in several years. Jordy Nelson had 85 receptions for 1,314 yards to lead the Packers while James Jones had 59 receptions, Jarrett Boykin had 49 catches but it was Randall Cobb who missed most of the season who made the big catch and touchdown last week. The Packers offense averaged 26.1 points and 400.2 yards per game playing a lot of the season without Rodgers. Defensively A.J. Hawk had 118 tackles and 5.0 sacks, Morgan Burnett had 96 tackles, and Sam Shields had four interceptions. The Packers defense allows 26.8 points and 372.2 yards per game. It will be interesting to see if Green Bay can carry over last week’s momentum or are they just not healthy enough to go far in the playoffs.
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The San Francisco 49ers got off to a slow start to the season but they came on strong in the second half of the year and were one of the better teams in the NFL. The 49ers were depleted at receiver but once they got healthier the offense got better. Colin Kaepernick completed 58.4 percent of his passes with 21 touchdowns and eight interceptions and he rushed for 524 yards. Frank Gore was a force in the backfield as he is simply tough to bring down rushing for 1,128 yards while Kendall Hunter was effective in relief rushing for 4.6 yards per carry.
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Anquan Boldin had a huge first year in San Francisco with 85 receptions, Vernon Davis had 52 catches, and the return of Michael Crabtree has made the Niners passing game much more effective. The 49ers offense averaged 25.4 points and 323.8 yards per game ranking 30th in passing with just 186.2 yards per game. NaVorro Bowman had 145 tackles and 5.0 sacks, Patrick Willis had 104 tackles, Tremaine Brock had five interceptions, and Aldon Smith had 8.5 sacks despite missing several weeks with off of the field issues. The San Francisco defense allowed a third best in the NFL 17 points and a fifth best 316.9 yards per game and they had a plus 12 turnover ratio. The 49ers lost last year in the Super Bowl and expect them to be a team on a mission.
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These two teams met in week one of the regular season with San Francisco winning 34-28 scoring the last 10 points of the game. Kaepernick threw for 404 yards against the Pack but the 49ers were stymied by 11 penalties to only five by the Packers. The 49ers also only converted on 60 percent of their red zone opportunities in that game while Green Bay converted 100 percent of theirs.
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Green Bay is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven playoff games, 17-7 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games. San Francisco is 7-0 against the spread in their last seven road games, 10-4 against the spread against the AFC, and 7-3 against the spread following a win. The home team is 3-1-1 against the spread in the last five meetings of these two.

 
Posted : January 2, 2014 2:57 pm
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Randall the HandleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Chargers (9-7) at Bengals (11-5)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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It’s not easy to buck the Bengals in this spot as they’ve won and covered all eight games played at Paul Brown Stadium this year. Cincinnati has a capable offence and a solid defence, making it quite dangerous against any opponent. However, we like the fearlessness of this San Diego squad. The Chargers enter this one on a four-game winning streak, including a marquee win over the Broncos in Denver. The Chargers have made some noise on the road this season with that win at Mile High to go along with victories at Kansas City and Philadelphia. Those types of wins have provided the Bolts with a certain swagger that we’ve seen before in teams with a lower playoff seeding. Let’s not forget that this is the start of a new season and that, over the past eight post-seasons, there have been five teams that were a No. 4 seed or lower that won it all (Pittsburgh as a No. 6 in 2005, the Giants as a No. 5 wild card in 2007, Green Bay as a No. 6 wild card in 2010, the Giants again as a No. 4 in 2011 and Baltimore just a year ago as a No. 4 seed). If there is a common denominator in that group, it is a prominent quarterback — the Chargers possess such a guy in Philip Rivers, who is a leading candidate for comeback player of the year after completing a league-leading 69.5% of his passes, tossing 32 touchdowns and earning the league’s fourth-best passer rating at 105.5. While Cincinnati QB Andy Dalton has put up some decent numbers, there are reasons for concern. Dalton has been erratic at different times throughout this season. Even in an important win last week over the Ravens, Dalton was picked off an alarming four times. Now in his third year, the youngster has appeared in two playoff games. Despite an array of talent around him, Dalton is 0-2 in the playoffs while tossing four interceptions and has yet to throw a post-season touchdown. Injuries could also factor in as the Bengals have already lost cornerback Leon Hall for the season, while fellow corner Terence Newman remains day-to-day with a knee issue. At the same time, Cincinnati’s tight ends are hurting and may not be at full speed. These two did meet in early December in a game that ended in a 17-10 Cincinnati win, but the stats were near-equal and the situation favoured the Bengals coming off their bye week while San Diego was returning from a hard-fought 41-38 win in Kansas City. The Chargers appear to be that pesky team that won’t go away. With the stronger quarterback taking a whole bunch of points here while having targets such as Antonio Gates and Keenan Allen to throw to, we’re confident that this one stays close. TAKING: CHARGERS +7
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49ers (12-4) at Packers (8-7-1)FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Win or lose, this is a dumb line. Records don’t mean much here as everything changes with QB Aaron Rodgers starting at quarterback for the Packers. Has everyone forgotten who is arguably the best quarterback in the NFL? Are people ignoring that the Packers were 5-2 before Rodgers was hurt and then went 2-5-1 without him? Did they not see him pull out a victory last week against the Bears after being sidelined for a couple of months? Look, the 49ers are a very good team and they are capable of beating almost any team on any given day, but simply put, they shouldn’t be favoured here. San Francisco defeated Green Bay at Candlestick Park 34-28 to open this season. The Niners also knocked Green Bay out of the playoffs last year with an impressive 45-31 decision. But neither of those was at Lambeau Field, where the Packers are 32-4 in games that Rodgers has started and completed. The All-Pro QB owns the second-best home passer rating (110.7) and second-most home passing touchdowns since the beginning of the 2009 season. It’s tough enough to win there, let alone spotting points, no matter how few. Of course, there is the weather and early forecasts call for a frigid -13C, with the wind chill making it -19C. Brrrrr. Not exactly northern California climate, is it? While we have seen offensive outbursts by the 49ers when facing this opponent, we cannot ignore San Fran’s offensive numbers as a whole this season. QB Colin Kaepernick’s passing game ranked 30th in the league at a mere 186 yards per game. That’s not going to cut it here, no matter how well San Francisco’s defence plays. There is also some recent concern with the 49ers’ run game as Frank Gore has been sporadic lately. Gore carried the ball 13 times for 14 yards last week against the Cardinals and one of the runs was for eight yards, meaning the other 12 run plays were for basically no gain. Against Seattle four games ago, Gore carried the rock 20 times for 99 yards, but one of those scampers was for 51 yards. Other than that play, he was held in check. In the game previous to the Seattle tilt, Gore had 15 carries for 42 yards. The point being that it is now playoff time and the intensity is greater and the opposition is better. Gore will have to be better if the Niners are to succeed. If not, can Kaepernick and the passing offence make up for it? This has the makings of a great battle, but the background is different than previous meetings and the Packers are different from what we’ve seen these past few weeks. There will be no Seneca Wallace, Scott Tolzien or Matt Flynn under centre, but there will be Green Bay’s MVP quarterback who has the dangerous Packers regaining their mojo. That works for us. TAKING: PACKERS +3

 
Posted : January 3, 2014 10:53 am
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San Diego +6.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego survived last Sunday against Kansas City's backups and they lost to the Bengals at home but I really like the Chargers chances of coming away with a win in this game. I have not been a big fan of this Cincinnati team and there are three areas that concern me with them. Andy Dalton is the first. Dalton put up big numbers this season but I don't trust him in big games, he threw three picks last week but fortunately for them Joe Flacco and the Ravens offense was pretty pathetic. The second concern is their punting situation. Ten yard punts won't cut it in the playoffs. The third concern is cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick who just gets abused by double moves. The Chargers come into this game red hot winners of four straight games having not lost since their first meeting with the Bengals. San Diego quarterback Phillip Rivers has had a great season and has the experience to pull off the road win here. Cincinnati head coach Marvin Lewis is also good for a bone head call or two a game. Take the points.
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San Francisco -2.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Quarterback Aaron Rodgers returned last week to lead the Packers to the NFC North divisional title but I don't like their chances this week. The 49ers are a red hot team and they have had the Packers number in the last two meetings. The Green Bay defense is one of the worst in the NFL and I expect the San Francisco offense to run all over them. The Packers had a hard time with Chicago last week as Matt Forte had a huge game on the ground for the Bears. Green Bay didn't have to worry about Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler running on them, but this week the Pack not only have to deal with running back Frank Gore, but also the threat of quarterback Collin Kepernick who has run all over Green Bay in the past. It's not often you find the Packers as a home underdog espically in the playoffs, but they are here for a good reason. San Francisco is as healthy as they have been all year and peaking at the right time. The 49ers defense will be the difference in this one. Lay the points.

 
Posted : January 4, 2014 8:46 am
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AC Dinero

Arkansas State vs. Ball State
Play: Arkansas State +7

Two teams evenly matched in my opinion, with an edge to Ball St in the passing game. Arkansas St does have the ability to hit some big plays, which should keep this game a TD either way. So take the TD plus. with Arkansas St.

 
Posted : January 5, 2014 8:55 am
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Jesse Schule
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Golden State Warriors vs. Washington Wizards
Play: Golden State Warriors -3
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The Warriors are red hot right now, winners of eight in a row, and five straight on the road. They are in Washington tonight, taking on a mediocre Wizards team that has a poor home record, and has recently lost five of their last six home games, including an embarrassing overtime loss to the Milwaukee Bucks.
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The Warriors have won five straight meetings with the Wizards, three of those victories coming in Washington. They won on the road in Atlanta on Friday, despite a tough night shooting for Steph Curry, who was just 1-of-7 from beyond the arc.
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Curry though had scored 36 points in Miami the night before, and hit 8-of-15 from three point range in an upset win over the Heat. He's starting to get back to where he was in last year's post season, and that's a scary thought for the rest of the league.
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Wizards leading scorer John Wall had a terrible game against Toronto, with just 11 points on 4-of-15 shooting, and going 0-for-3 from beyond the arc. He's been terrible shooting the three ball lately, going 3-for-18 in his last five games.
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This game features hot versus cold, with an elite team taking on a below average team, yet we aren't being asked to cover a big spread.

 
Posted : January 5, 2014 8:55 am
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Tony Karpinski

Arkansas State vs. Ball State
Play: Ball State -7½

I see Ark St relying to a great extent on the run and keep Ball State's passing attack on the sideline as much as manageable. If ASU controls the flow of the game, they will keep this in low 20s, problem is, can they? Biggest issue I don't see anything in this ASU secondary that can slow WR Snead down. He's a beast. Ball State comes in with a big time passing attack, led by Keith Wenning and his 34 td passes. Exploiting Snead and his 14 tds , and they can also move the ball on the ground with Jahwan Edwards and his 13 tds , which is very difficult to hold, with his 7 games rushing for 4.8 YPC. Their Rbs can take the game over at any time, and could very likely devour ASU defenders in this game. Ball State is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games and I look for them to win by 15 or more on Sunday night in the Bowls.

 
Posted : January 5, 2014 8:55 am
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Rob Vinciletti

Celtics vs. Thunder
Play: 194½

This game applies to a nice totals system that plays to the over for road dogs of 10 or more with rest, like Boston here, that covered the spread by 1-3 points as a home dog last out, and are playing an opponent that played on the road. If the total in these games is 190 or higher they have flown over 85% of the time since 1995. OKC has no rest playing last night in Minnesota. Look for an up and down game resulting in an over.

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Posted : January 5, 2014 8:55 am
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Nick Parsons

Winnipeg Jets vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
Play: Pittsburgh Penguins -228

The Penguins have won 15 of their last 18 and 10 straight at the Igloo. The Jets have lost six of their last seven road games and nine of the last 11 in the series getting outscored 7-1 in the last two meetings. The Pens deserve to be prohibitive favorites, probably closer to three bucks. Lay it!

 
Posted : January 5, 2014 8:55 am
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Jim Feist

Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers
Pick: Indiana Pacers

The Indiana Pacers have the best record in the NBA (as of Saturday morning). The Pacers are 25-6 and 1 1/2 games ahead of the Heat for the top spot in the East. Indiana has done it behind the top rated defense in the NBA, allowing just 89.2 ppg this season. The Pacers have been good as gold to bettors this season. Indiana is 11-4 ATS their last 15 away games; 22-8 ATS their last 30 overall games; 16-6 ATS their last 22 games against the NBA Central division and 6-1 ATS in their last seven trips to Cleveland. Meanwhile, Cleveland is 10th in the East with just a 11-21 records. The Cavs have lost eight of their last 10 games (heading into Saturday) and have the 20th ranked defense (101.7 ppg) and 23rd ranked offense (95.9 ppg). At first glance, the Cavs appear to be a pretty good home club, covering eight of their last 10 games at the Quicken Loans Arena. However, upon deeper analysis, they are just 2-9 ATS at home when their opponent has a winning percentage. The Cavs could be without All-Star guard Kyrie Irving. Irving, who is averaging 22.2 ppg this season, is nursing a knee injury. Both clubs face the second of a back-to-back spot here on Sunday, though the Pacers are fully healthy. Pacers should have little trouble dispatching the Cavs here on Sunday.

 
Posted : January 5, 2014 8:55 am
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Both teams should be focused coming off losses in their last game. ASU was blitzed at home by the Washington Huskies losing their Pac 12 opener by 11 points in Tempe. Meanwhile Wazzu got embarrassed by #1 Arizona 60-25. They shot just ( 9 of 45 ) from the floor. Washington played number one Arizona to the wire on Saturday in Tucson. They are making adjustments and playing well now. Therefore the win in Tempe by the Huskies may not have been a fluke. Washington State is in trouble right now as they are still without leading scorer, Devonte Lacy. Without him, the Cougs do not have that go to guy. They will make adjustments but will have trouble with a hungry Sun Devil team led by Jahii Carson, Jermaine Marshall and big man Jordan Bachynski. I think this game will be higher scoring as the Cougs will be eager to trade buckets so they don't embarrass themselves offensively again. I'm looking 68-49 Sun Devils in this one.

 
Posted : January 5, 2014 8:55 am
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