Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday January, 6

DUNKEL INDEX

Oklahoma City at Toronto
The Thunder look to build on their 10-2 ATS record in their last 12 games against Atlantic Division teams. Oklahoma City is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6 1/2)

Game 801-802: Oklahoma City at Toronto (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 128.218; Toronto 115.050
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 13; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City 6 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Washington at Miami (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 109.289; Miami 120.575
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 14 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+14 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Charlotte at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 110.049; Detroit 122.410
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 12 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 8 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-8 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Memphis at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 117.491; Phoenix 119.361
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 809-810: Denver at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 123.476; LA Lakers 122.172
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NCAAB

North Carolina at Virginia
The Tar Heels look to take advantage of a Virginia team that is coming off a 74-39 win over Wofford and is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. North Carolina is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tar Heels favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+1 1/2)

Game 811-812: Syracuse at South Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 74.059; South Florida 62.104
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 12
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-8 1/2)

Game 813-814: Temple at Kansas (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 62.776; Kansas 83.073
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 20 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Kansas by 14 1/2; 142
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-14 1/2); Under

Game 815-816: Wisconsin at Nebraska (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 67.952; Nebraska 60.727
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 7; 122
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 117
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+8 1/2); Over

Game 817-818: Northwestern at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 58.399; Minnesota 76.857
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 18 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 17; 133
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-17); Under

Game 819-820: Iowa at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 63.880; Michigan 78.271
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 14 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Michigan by 13; 142
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-13); Under

Game 821-822: TX-San Antonio at Denver (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 46.424; Denver 64.915
Dunkel Line: Denver by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Denver by 15
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-15)

Game 823-824: Florida at Yale (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 72.978; Yale 56.124
Dunkel Line: Florida by 17; 131
Vegas Line: Florida by 20 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: Yale (+20 1/2); Over

Game 825-826: Wichita State at Bradley (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 68.749; Bradley 60.595
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 8; 122
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 5 1/2; 127
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-5 1/2); Under

Game 827-828: Tulsa at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 52.394; SMU 60.370
Dunkel Line: SMU by 8; 122
Vegas Line: SMU by 5 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-5 1/2); Under

Game 829-830: Colorado at Arizona State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 65.953; Arizona State 61.801
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 4
Vegas Line: Colorado by 2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-2)

Game 831-832: North Carolina at Virginia (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 68.679; Virginia 67.553
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 1; 140
Vegas Line: Virginia by 1 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+1 1/2); Over

Game 833-834: Oregon at Oregon State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 69.351; Oregon State 62.559
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 7; 144
Vegas Line: Oregon by 1; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-1); Under

Game 835-836: St. Peter's at Loyola-MD (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 48.518; Loyola-MD 53.009
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+8 1/2)

Game 837-838: Siena at Rider (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 43.945; Rider 53.930
Dunkel Line: Rider by 10
Vegas Line: Rider by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (-8 1/2)

Game 839-840: Manhattan at Iona (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 48.684; Iona 64.694
Dunkel Line: Iona by 16
Vegas Line: Iona by 13
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-13)

Accuscore

Baltimore / Indianapolis Under 47

The Under occurs in 58.2 percent of simulations averaging 44 points per. This game will be outdoors which should limit some of what the Colts do. The Ravens will also have some emotion of their own to counter the vibes for Indy with the retirement of Ray Lewis.

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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BALTIMORE -7 over IndianapolisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Records can be deceiving. The line on this one will confirm that. Despite the Colts having one more win during this past NFL season, the Ravens opened as nearly a full touchdown choice. Oddsmakers are no dummies. They realize as much as we do that Indianapolis’ sum is greater than its parts. Granted, the Colts found ways to win but those wins were against some of the league’s softest teams. When Indy stepped up in class, particularly in road games, they were completed dominated by the Bears, Patriots and Texans. The Colts will now travel to face an experienced Ravens team that has lost just twice in 19 tries at M&T Bank Stadium. QB Andrew Luck is proving to be a leader and fine choice as the franchise player they hoped he’d be. But he still has a long way to go. His numbers were mediocre at best with a 75.6 passing rating, placing him 26th in the league. Away from Lucas Oil field, that number drops even lower where he had 11 touchdown passes compared to 13 interceptions.
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The Ravens did struggle down the stretch a bit but in their defense, the division was pretty much theirs when they defeated the Steelers nearly a month ago. Don’t forget the Ravens 33-14 win over the Giants in Jim Caldwell’s second game as offensive coordinator. Baltimore scored touchdowns on its first two possessions and amassed a season-high 533 yards with 289 coming in the first half alone. Now the Colts have to prepare for something they know little about. This is a playoff experienced Baltimore squad taking on a young group that grossly overachieved and whose record is much better than they are.
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WASHINGTON +130 over SeattleFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is simply a bad number. We understand how well the Seahawks have been playing and how their defense allowed the fewest points in the league. Seattle appears to have found an exciting and talented quarterback in rookie Russell Wilson. However, this is a road playoff game against a Washington team that is on a roll of its own with seven consecutive wins and covers. In case oddsmakers haven’t noticed, the Redskins found quite a dynamic young quarterback of their own, as Robert Griffin III is proving to be one the most thrilling young players to join this league in years. While we could debate all day long as to which guy is better, there is no disputing which team is taking points here and that’s reason enough to back the underdog ‘Skins.
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Washington can obviously win this game outright. They are the home team. They’ve been money as an underdog with seven covers in nine tries when receiving points. And it’s not like they are facing a successful road team. The Seahawks are the poster club for home and away disparity. Seattle went undefeated as hosts. When traveling, they were a sub. 500 group with a 3-5 record. Now this squad will fly clear across the country to face a frenzied Washington crowd that hasn’t hosted a playoff game in 13 years. The Redskins led the league in rushing yards. RGIII had outstanding numbers and most importantly, rarely turns the ball over. The Washington defense has stepped up as well after overcoming some injuries to key players early in the year. With all that the ‘Skins have going for them, we’ll take advantage of this misplaced line and play them straight up.

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Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington RedskinsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Seattle SeahawksFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both have similar records both SU and ATS. Seattle won 5 in a row, going 4-1 ATS while Washington is riding a 7 game streak both SU and ATS. Two hot rookie QBs… Wilson's confidence is growing and although Griffin is a stud, he just isn't 100% since that knee injury. The Hawks "D" allows 15.2 while the 'Skins stop-unit gives up 24.2 a game. They are solid against the run but rank 30th vs. the pass. With Marshawn Lynch tallying 1590 YR and 4 straight 100 yard performances and Griffin just not himself, I feel this game will be settled by a Seattle "D" that hasn't allowed more than 17 in almost two months. Lest not forget that the Seahawks lit up scoreboards for 160 points in their L4 outings. Go small here.

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Arkansas St. at Kent St.FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Kent State (11-2) had rattled off ten wins in a row before the Mid-American Conference Championship Game where they were held to only 260 yards of offense in their heartbreaking 44-37 double-overtime loss to Northern Illinois. Behind their two-headed rushing attack of Dri Archer and Travion Durham, the Golden Flashes average 228.3 rushing YPG (17th in the FBS) -- but they managed to accumulate a mere 70 rushing yards in this contest. Look for Kent State to commit themselves to getting their ground game going -- which is a great formula for the Under since it will keep the clock moving and Arkansas' State prolific quarterback Ryan Aplin off the field. The Golden Flashes have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to rush for more than 100 yards in their last game. Kent State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 9 games following a loss, the Golden Flashes have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Arkansas State (9-3) has won seven in a row after their 45-0 blowout win over Middle Tennessee State. The Red Wolves have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. They held the Blue Raiders to just 203 yards of offense in that contest -- and they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to 275 or fewer yards. Additionally, the Under is 19-6-2 in Arkansas State's last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Take the Under in GoDaddy Bowl.

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Toronto RaptorsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Oklahoma City ThunderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These 2 hooked up last month here in Phoenix and wound up scoring 162 points combined. Both teams have several solid under angles here. Phoenix has stayed under in 18 of 24 off a straight up favored loss and 22 of 33 in January games. Memphis has stayed under in 21 of 28 off a straight up favored loss and all 6 times after scoring 80 or less. In games vs teams who allow less than 100 points the Grizzlies have played under in 10 of 12. They have revenge in this one and in revenge games Memphis has played under in 6 of 7. In the series 4 of the last 5 here have played under the total. Look for this one to follow suit.

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Charlotte vs. DetroitFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: CharlotteFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Charlotte is 8-24 SU and 12-20 ATS; it's coming off a 106-104 loss to Cleveland as a 1.5 point favorite on the 4th. Ben Gordon had 27 points; Ramon Sessions had 20.
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Detroit is 13-22 SU and 16-19 ATS; it's coming off four straight victories, including an 85-84 win over Atlanta as a 1.5 point underdog on the 4th.
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The Pistons barely held on, getting outscored 22-11 in the final frame.
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Austin Daye had 20 points.
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It's interesting to note though that the Pistons haven't won five in a row since 2009.
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With four whole days off after tonight's game, I believe the overachieving home side gets caught looking ahead to its time off, and the desperate Bobcats sneak in through the back door with the large spread they've been afforded; consider a second look at the Bobcats in this matchup!

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Denver at Los AngelesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DenverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Recently Lakers' star Kobe Bryant referred to his team as "old and slow." And that probably best describes this year's edition of the Lakers. When the Lakers got Steve Nash and Dwight Howard they looked like they finally put together a solid team around Kobe. But the league's 4th oldest team with an average age of almost 29, is showing it's age. This is especially true on defense where the Lakers seem to always be a step behind. And against the Nuggets, the Lakers do not matchup well. The Nuggets have enough height to counter Howard and Pau Gasol and the speedy guards to handle Nash. The Lakers were rolled over back in Denver on Dec 26, 126-114. LA has been scoring, averaging 102.8 ppg (5th best in the NBA), but they allow 100.5 ppg (25th worst in the NBA). There has also been problems with Gasol, the center has been benched four times in the fourth quarter under new coach Mike D'Antoni. The Lakers look like they should be good, but on the court it just hasn't come out yet. Take the Nuggets here on Sunday as they matchup well against the Lakers.

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Texas-San Antonio vs. DenverFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DenverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The move from the Southland to the WAC (which precedes another move to CUSA next year) doesn't appear to be going as smoothly as planned for Brooks Thompson's UTSA Roadrunners. Recent heavy losses to San Jose and New Mexico State are the latest indicators that UTSA might lack the depth and manpower to compete at a higher level this season. Without a lot of size and with mini 5'9 scoring G Michael Hale III in a recent shooting slump (only 7 for 23 from the floor his last three games), there aren't many ways for Thompson to turn these days. And note UTSA's 20 ppg margin of loss in road defeats at BYU, Oregon, CS Bakersfield, Mississippi State, and NMSU. Much prefer Joe Scott's Denver side that has been in against much tougher than this foe but has recorded each of its six wins by double-digit margins (in fact, win margin of hefty 22 ppg). The Pioneers also have lots of size on the perimeter with 6'5 Gs Brett Olson & Chase Hallam to cause the Roadrunners fits, while versatile frontliners Royce O'Neale (13.6 ppg) & Chris Udofia (12.2 ppg) are always matchup headaches for the opposition.

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Manhattan +13.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Manhattan has split their first two games in MAAC action by playing solid defense. They held Stony Brook to 50 points which was 19 points below their season average and St. Peter's to just 53 which was nearly 10 below theirs.
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Both of these teams are dealing with injuries to key players. Iona's Sean Armand and Tavon Sledge were both banged up in Friday's win over Siena, but Armand is expected to play while Sledge is questionable.
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Manhattan has been without George Beamon for some time and Michael Alvarado didn't play against St. Peter's, but the Jaspers have a win under their belts without either of those two. If Alvarado does go it's a bonus, but with this line I'm expecting him to be out.
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These two teams have played a pair of common opponents so far. Manhattan beat Siena by 20 points and St. Peter's by two on the road. Iona managed a two point win at Siena and a two point loss at St. Peter's. That's quite a disparity for a team that is laying 13.5 here today. There is a lot of value with Manhattan so I'm taking the points.

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Indianapolis Colts +7FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Indianapolis Colts have been underrated all season. They won 11 games this year when nobody thought this team would sniff the playoffs. They have been playing for head coach Chuck Pagano, who has been battling cancer all season. He just returned in Week 17 to coach Indianapolis to a 28-16 home victory over the Houston Texans.
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This team is red hot coming into this game having won five of its last six games overall. This is one team that nobody wants to face right now with the kind of momentum they have coming into the playoffs. Plus, these players are playing for a head coach with cancer, so the emotional lift they get from that cannot be overstated.
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Indianapolis has really owned this series with Baltimore over the past decade. The Colts have won eight of the last nine meetings in this series. They are a perfect 8-0 against the spread in their last eight meetings. Indianapolis has covered five straight meetings in Baltimore.
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The Colts don't get enough respect for how potent their offense really is. They rank 10th in the league in total offense at 362.4 yards/game, including 7th in passing offense at 258.0 yards/game. Andrew Luck and company will have their way with a Baltimore stop unit that ranks just 17th in total defense at 350.9 yards/game allowed.
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Baltimore is 0-6 ATS in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. It is not playing well coming into this one having lost four of its last five games. The Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Indianapolis is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 vs. AFC opponents. Bet the Colts Sunday.

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Iowa vs. MichiganFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: MichiganFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The schedule makers didn't do Iowa any favors by starting their Big Ten journey with games against Top Fivers Indiana and Michigan. The much improved Hawkeyes lost their opene by four to Indiana but face a juggernaut today against whom they've had little success. In fact, Iowa has lost their last three visits here by 15-14-14 points and Michigan's last seven wins this here have all been by at least 13 points. The Wolverines are second in the country in field goal percentage at a tick 59% and if their 28 point win in their conference opener is any indication, they won't be taking a lot of prisoners. Michigan rolls.

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Northwestern +17.5FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Motivated by an ugly 28-point loss to Michigan, and even more motivated by an overtime loss to Minnesota in last year's Big Ten Conference Tournament that burst their bubble, expect the Wildcats to keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think even if Reggie Hearn isn't able to go. Plays against home favorites of 10 or more points after 9 or more consecutive wins are 143-80 (64.1%) ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been favored by an average of 17.4 points but have won by an average of only 15.5 points. This system is 12-5 (70.6%) ATS this season. The Wildcats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Golden Gophers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Take the points.

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Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Redskins
Play: Seattle SeahawksFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both have similar records both SU and ATS. Seattle won 5 in a row, going 4-1 ATS while Washington is riding a 7 game streak both SU and ATS. Two hot rookie QBs… Wilson's confidence is growing and although Griffin is a stud, he just isn't 100% since that knee injury. The Hawks "D" allows 15.2 while the 'Skins stop-unit gives up 24.2 a game. They are solid against the run but rank 30th vs. the pass. With Marshawn Lynch tallying 1590 YR and 4 straight 100 yard performances and Griffin just not himself, I feel this game will be settled by a Seattle "D" that hasn't allowed more than 17 in almost two months. Lest not forget that the Seahawks lit up scoreboards for 160 points in their L4 outings. Go small here. But to get on my HOT STREAK Guaranteed winners, just click on my name right here.