Sports Gambling Hotline
Kansas City +2 at OAKLAND
About the only thing we can say positive about the Raiders right now is the fact they were off last week, so they couldn't lose!
Oakland stands at 2-6 straight up this season, and one of those wins did come at Arrowhead Stadium way back on Week 2 of the season, as the Raiders nipped the Chiefs 13-10.
It should be noted that KC outgained Oakland by a 409-110 total yards margin, and contolled the clock, 38:39 to 21:21! We have a strong suspicion that the improving Chiefs are going to write a different ending to today's game.
Kansas City has been able to cover their last 6 visits to the Black Hole, and they road team in this old AFC rivalry is on a 12-0-1 spread run the last 13 meetings.
Oakland has been a bust against the spread at home for a while now, as their 0-9 spread mark as a home favorite can attest, and the Raiders are 15-36-1 overall their last 52 home games.
Play on Kansas City.
3♦ KANSAS CITY
Jack Clayton
Jaguars at Jets
Pick: Jaguars
The Jets started 3-0 SU/ATS, but are riding a 1-4 SU/ATS run under rookie QB Mark Sanchez (8 TDs, 10 INTs), playing cautious on offense. This is too big a number on a team that runs the football and doesn't try to score a ton of points. Play the Jaguars.
Jimmy Moore
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Pick: Pittsburgh -7
Think the Steelers have some revenge here? They will be ready to rip up the Bengals after giving away the earlier game to them this season. Pittsburgh knows the importance of divisional games and the Bengals have been terrible ATS as road dogs against divisional teams with winning records. Lay the lumber with the Steelers to win with Jimmy on Sunday.
SPORTS WAGERS
SAN DIEGO –1 over Philadelphia
The Chargers have been a second-half team for years and as it turns out, this year has been no different. Suddenly this team has become very dangerous indeed and you can double that on its own turf. In a year in which it’s hard to distinguish which teams are imposters and which are contenders, the Eagles have joined the ranks of the former. Let’s go back three weeks to the Eagles Monday night win in Washington in which they were outscored in the second half 7-0. Not only did they not score but they failed to run a single play inside the red-zone because they could not get there. They were fortunate to come up with three big plays otherwise they’d be 4-4. The Eagles followed that up with a blowout win over the Giants but the G-Men are a complete grease-fire at the moment. Last week the Eagles played Dallas in Philadelphia and lost 20-16. So, to recap the Eagles season, they have wins over the free-falling Giants, the underachieving Panthers, K.C, the Bucs and the aforementioned Redskins. The latter three are a combined 4-20. The Eagles last visit to the West Coast was on Oct 18 when they went into Oakland and lost as a 14-point favorite. This game also follows three games in a row against division rivals Washington, the Giants and Dallas. The two playoff teams the Eagles have faced this season, the Saints and Boys, the Eagles lost them both, the former by a score of 48-22. If you make one bet this week, make it this one, as the Chargers are this week’s biggest underlay against these imposters from Philly. Play: San Diego –1 (Risking 2.7 units to win 2.5).
MIAMI –10 over Tampa Bay
The Dolphins offense is not conducive to laying 10 points but this one looks pretty good when you consider that the Dolphins are off a loss while the Bucs are off a huge emotional win over the Pack. Miami is now 3-5 and can’t afford to be taking any team lightly. The Aquas still have playoff aspirations and after completing perhaps the toughest first-half schedule in the business, they’ll be well-prepped and battle tested to face this weak intruder. The Dolphins have already played New England, San Diego, New Orleans, Indy and the Jets twice and there’s a good chance all of those teams will get to the post-season and an even better chance that one of them will win the Super Bowl. Miami has not looked a bit out of place in any of those games against the best the league has to offer. This is a quality Dolphins team with the best running attack in the league and a very decent defense as well. The Bucs had a good win last week but it came as a result of some pitiful play and unforgiving mistakes by the Green Bay Packers. Blocked punts, stupid penalties, turnovers and just a complete lack of focus allowed the Bucs to win its first game of the year. Asking this team, with a rookie QB making his first road start, to stay within this range is a tall task indeed. Josh Freeman went just 14-31 with one pick and now things are about to get a lot tougher on the road. Miami should dominate time of possession and chew up yards on the ground against this brutal defense that can’t stop the marching band. Miami has had so many tough games and they’ve looked good even in its losses. They’re in no position to come up soft and they won’t. Play: Miami –10 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
SPORTS INSIGHTS
Denver Broncos vs. Washington Redskins
Long-time readers of our "Games to Watch" know that we often need bad teams to do good things. This game is a great example of this contrarian theme. We have the last-place Redskins taking on the first-place Broncos. The point spread is a relatively low 4.5 points -- so many bettors figure they should give the points and take "first-place" over "last-place." To some bettors, this looks like a "soft line" -- too easy to win.
However, when something looks too easy, it probably isn't. Indeed, the "smart money" has been getting down on Washington since the line opened at Washington +4.5. Even with almost every bet (83% or 5 out of every 6 bets!) coming down on Denver, the line moved from Washington +4.5 down to Washington +3.5. This means that some "big money" is coming down hard on the Washington Redskins. "Reverse line movement" has been one of the best indicators for Sports Marketwatch and SportsInsights.com. A "Smart Money play" triggered on Washington by WSEX (13-6, +6 units). If you shop around, you can still grab a 4.5 at SportsInteraction, one of the better sportsbooks use when "betting against the Public."
Washington Redskins +4.5
Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers
A few of the linesmen we spoke to said that they would be watching this game closely. This is currently one of the heaviest-bet games of the week and more than 3 out of every 4 bets are landing on the Dallas Cowboys. With the Public overwhelmingly on Dallas, the line has been pushed from Dallas -1 to Dallas -3. This kind of line movement means that there is some value on Green Bay. We'll take the Packers and "bet against the Public" -- joining the sportsbooks, long-term winners in the sports betting marketplace.
This is a classic example of buying low and selling high. We like the fact that we are "selling" Dallas after a big road win over Philly -- and "buying" Green Bay after their crushing defeat against the lowly Tampa Bay Bucs. Dallas has won four in a row, while Green Bay has lost two in a row. Take the undervalued Packers over the currently overvalued Cowboys. SportsInsights also had a Smart Money play triggered on Green Bay by Carib Sports (19-8, +9.7 units).
Green Bay Packers +3
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
Yes, folks, we're putting our hard-earned money on the NFL's worst team: the Cleveland Browns! You sometimes need an iron stomach and nerves of steel to follow our Games to Watch feature. We circled Cleveland for a couple of reasons. First, we like the fact that Cleveland is coming off a much-needed bye week. In addition, this match-up is featured on national television -- on Monday Night Football -- and is a home game for Cleveland. The crowd will be "juiced" -- adding motivation for Cleveland to come out and play some football.
An overwhelming percentage of bets (85%) are taking the heavily-favored Ravens. Even so, there has been a hint of "reverse line movement." This shows that Smart Money has come in on Cleveland -- pushing the line from +11 to +10.5 at several sportsbooks. We'll "bet against the Public" and join the "sharps" in taking a double-digit home underdog.
Cleveland Browns +11
DUNKEL
Game 215-216: Jacksonville at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 122.702; NY Jets 136.917
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 14; 37
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 6 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-6 1/2); Under
Game 217-218: Denver at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 129.088; Washington 128.181
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1; 34
Vegas Line: Denver by 4; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4); Under
Game 219-220: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 136.644; Pittsburgh 138.566
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 44
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+7); Over
Game 221-222: Buffalo at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 127.137; Tennessee 134.014
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 7; 36
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6 1/2); Under
Game 223-224: Detroit at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.157; Minnesota 137.314
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 18; 44
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 16 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-16 1/2); Under
Game 225-226: New Orleans at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 146.020; St. Louis 120.261
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 25 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 13 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-13 1/2); Over
Game 227-228: Atlanta at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 135.138; Carolina 128.428
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 1; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1); Under
Game 229-230: Tampa Bay at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 127.335; Miami 135.643
Dunkel Line: Miami by 8 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Miami by 10 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+10 1/2); Over
Game 231-232: Kansas City at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 127.034; Oakland 120.232
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 7; 33
Vegas Line: Oakland by 2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+2); Under
Game 233-234: Seattle at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 125.105; Arizona 141.376
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 16 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Arizona by 8 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick Arizona (-8 1/2); Under
Game 235-236: Philadelphia at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 137.920; San Diego 136.307
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+2 1/2); Over
Game 237-238: Dallas at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 138.548; Green Bay 139.700
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+3); Under
Game 239-240: New England at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: New England 140.861; Indianapolis 146.460
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 5 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 50
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-3); Over
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 16
Game 243-244: Baltimore at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 139.210; Cleveland 120.543
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 18 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 10 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-10 1/2); Over
NBA
Houston at LA Lakers
The Lakers look to bounce back from their loss in Denver and build on their 8-1 ATS record in their last 9 games following a SU loss. Los Angeles is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-9)
Game 701-702: Dallas at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 125.245; Detroit 119.883
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 5 1/2; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4 1/2); Under
Game 703-704: LA Clippers at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 113.564; Oklahoma City 118.542
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 179
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+6); Under
Game 705-706: Toronto at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 115.819; Phoenix 126.588
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 11; 228
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 231
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7); Under
Game 707-708: Houston at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.576; LA Lakers 131.432
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 11; 213
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-9); Over
NCAAB
Valparaiso at North Carolina
The Tar Heels look to take advantage of a Valparaiso team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against teams with a winning home record. North Carolina is the pick (-22) according to Dunkel, which has the Tar Heels favored by 24 1/2. Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-22)
Game 709-710: UC-Irvine at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 49.598; Texas 74.226
Dunkel Line: Texas by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 26
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+26)
Game 711-712: George Washington at NC Wilmington
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 51.832; NC Wilmington 47.522
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: George Washington by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC Wilmington (+5 1/2)
Game 713-714: Wake Forest at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 68.689; East Carolina 54.615
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 14
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+16 1/2)
Game 715-716: William & Mary at Harvard
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 51.854; Harvard 51.448
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Harvard by 4
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+4)
Game 717-718: Western Michigan at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 46.596; Detroit 51.360
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 5
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3)
Game 719-720: Florida International at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 42.084; Tulsa 69.596
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 27 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 21
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-21)
Game 721-722: Dartmouth at George Mason
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 42.963; George Mason 61.090
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 18
Vegas Line: George Mason by 21
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+21)
Game 723-724: Oregon State at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 56.428; Texas Tech 68.922
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 725-726: Valparaiso at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 55.365; North Carolina 80.077
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 22
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-22)
Game 727-728: Brown at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 46.733; Virginia Tech 68.303
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 20
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-20)
Game 729-730: Cal Poly at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 47.072; Stanford 65.897
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 19
Vegas Line: Stanford by 17
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-17)
Game 731-732: Middle Tennessee State at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 50.767; Ohio 53.544
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 3
Vegas Line: Ohio by 6
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+6)
Game 733-734: Sacramento State vs. South Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 34.826; South Alabama 52.719
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 18
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 735-736: Houston Baptist vs. Rice
Dunkel Ratings: Houston Baptist 37.616; Rice 53.595
Dunkel Line: Rice by 16
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 737-738: Samford vs. UAB
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 50.622; UAB 64.525
Dunkel Line: UAB by 14
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 739-740: WI-Green Bay at Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 58.387; Kent State 59.499
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 741-742: Boise State vs. North Dakota
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 52.589; North Dakota 37.280
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 743-744: Loyola Marymount at Montana
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 43.899; Montana 56.866
Dunkel Line: Montana by 13
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 745-746: Winston-Salem vs. UC Davis
Dunkel Ratings: Winston-Salem 33.648; UC-Davis 46.347
Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 747-748: Colorado State at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 53.265; Oregon 64.267
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 749-750: Belmont vs. Wright State
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 55.447; Wright State 59.576
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 4
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 751-752: Portland State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 53.987; Washington 73.474
Dunkel Line: Washington by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 753-754: Loyola-MD at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 52.280; West Virginia 76.009
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 24
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (+24)
Game 755-756: Austin Peay at Akron
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 49.782; Akron 62.860
Dunkel Line: Akron by 13
Vegas Line: Akron by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-12 1/2)
Game 757-758: Northern Arizona at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 50.447; Arizona 70.811
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-16 1/2)
Game 759-760: Fordham at Fairfield
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 40.837; Fairfield 54.319
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 761-762: Idaho State vs. Bradley
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 51.603; Bradley 62.087
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Bradley by 12
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+12)
Game 763-764: IPFW at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 50.707; Wisconsin 71.983
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 765-766: TX-San Antonio at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 50.122; Iowa 65.594
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NHL
San Jose at Chicago
The Blackhawks look to build on their 12-3 record in their last 15 games versus the Pacific Division. Chicago is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-125)
Game 51-52: Minnesota at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.632; Carolina 10.501
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-115); Over
Game 53-54: Edmonton at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.745; Atlanta 11.854
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-150); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-150); Under
Game 55-56: San Jose at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.370; Chicago 12.570
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-125); Over
CFL
Edmonton at Calgary
The Stampeders look to take advantage of an Edmonton team that is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Calgary. Calgary is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-7)
Game 261-262: BC at Hamilton
Dunkel Ratings: BC 110.493; Hamilton 111.327
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 1; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 3; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+3); Over
Game 263-264: Edmonton at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 103.435; Calgary 116.131
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 12 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Calgary by 7; 54
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-7); Under
LT Profits
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Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
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Yes, we realize that this is a huge spread, especially for a division game, but the Minnesota Vikings are far superior to the Detroit Lions on both sides of the ball, and as long as the Vikings keep their interest, they should win easily by at least three touchdowns.
This is no contest from a physical standpoint. When the Vikings have the ball, the Minnesota offensive line will dominate the soft Lions front, opening up huge holes for Adrian Peterson and giving Brett Favre all day to throw. It is not a coincidence that Detroit is allowing a whopping 4.7 yards per rush, and their inability to slow down Peterson and Chester Taylor will only make Favre that much more dangerous via play action.
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When the Lions have the ball, they will not be able to establish Kevin Smith vs. a Minnesota run defense that is allowing only 94.6 rushing yards per game. This will force rookie quarterback Matt Stafford and his 55.9 passer rating (five touchdowns vs. 12 interceptions) to try and win this game with his arm, oftentimes on third and long situations. Do not expect Detroit to improve on their already dreadful 16.6-point scoring average today.
So the ultimate question here becomes how can the Vikings hold their interest in what looks like a good spot for a breather? Well, keep in mind that Minnesota is coming off of a bye with a relatively meaningless non-division game vs. a mediocre Seattle Seahawks team up next. Thus, having two weeks to prepare for this and not really having any reason to look past this game without a big game up next, look for the Vikes to play at their best today.
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That should translate into a good old fashioned massacre.
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Pick: Vikings -16.5
Charlie Scott
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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Play: Cincinnati Bengals +7
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Bengals are the Rodney Dangerfield of the NFL, "They can't get any respect." Bengals are off a Bears blowout win last week at home, while the Steelers come off a short week with a Monday night win in Denver. Both teams defense give up an avg of 17ppg which is very good. Bengals can score by running or passing on offense. Steelers -7 is just too many, and is more of a line of public perception, rather than how both teams are actually playing. The public perception is the Steelers won the Super Bowl and the Bengals are the Bengals. I'll take reality +7
Rocketman Sports
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Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings
Play: Minnesota -16.5
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Detroit is 1-7 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 the past 3 years. Detroit is 1-6 ATS this year against conference opponents. Detroit is allowing 29.6 points per game overall this year and 37.7 points per game on the road this season. Minnesota is scoring 30.5 points per game overall this year and 30 points per game at home this season. Lions are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. NFC North. Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Lions are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Lions are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Lions are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 10. Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November. Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC. Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. Vikings are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North. Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC. Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November. Lions are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Minnesota today!
Tom Freese
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders
Play: Under 36½
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Kansas City is 7-3-1 UNDER off an ATS win and they are 7-2-1 UNDER their last 10 games as an underdog 0.5 to 3.0. The Chiefs are 8-2-1 UNDER vs. a team with a losing record 4-1 UNDER vs. AFC teams. Oakland is 12-3-1 UNDER their last 14 November games and they are 6- UNDER off a bye week. The Raiders are 7-3 UNDER their last 10 home games and they are 6-0 UNDER their last 6 meetings in the Bay Area against the Chiefs. PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Brian Graves
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Tampa Bay vs. Miami
Pick: Miami -10
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The Dolphins right now are the best 3-5 team in the league with tough losses the last few weeks against New Orleans and New England. They get a break in the schedule today against Tampa Bay which they won't take lightly because any hope of a playoff spot hinges on them winning there next 3 games, which they are capable of doing. Josh Freeman won't have as much success today against the Dolphins defense as he had last week against the Packers and the Dolphins wildcat may put up more yards today than they have all year, because the Bucs do not have a good run defense. Take the Dolphins today to win 34-13!
Jimmy Thompson
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Buffalo vs. Tennessee
Pick: Over 41
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The Bills can't stop the run, that's bad when your facing Chris Johnson and the Titans can't stop the pass which may mean we get a TO siting today. Add to those defensive issues the fact that the weather will be ridiculously good all over the league and you'll get some high scoring games this afternoon. Look out for the Bills to score on special teams in this game also but we like Tennessee to continue their winning ways with a 34-24 win!
EZWINNERS
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Miami Dolphins
Play: Miami Dolphins -10
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This is a great match up for Miami. The Dolphins have struggled this year against teams with good passing offenses, but that won't be a problem for them in this game against the Bucs. Tampa Bay picked up their first win of the season last week as rookie quarterback Josh Freeman made his first NFL start, but now the rookie takes to the road for the first time. The Dolphins should be able to run all over Tampa Bay's 30th ranked rushing defense with the Wildcat and the Dolphin "D" won't be as soft as the Packers defense that the rookie quarterback faced at home last week. Lay the points.
Chris Jordan
Denver -3' at WASHINGTON
Absolutely loved all the fools who tried to tell me Fresno could hang with Nevada yesterday. This is when I know I can unload on a freebie ... when 'civilians' that know nothing about this thing tell me how to do my job.
Well, now that I've won seven of nine comp releases, I'm going to carry the momentum over to the Broncos, who are finally out of the spotlight for the first time in three weeks.
This is a team that clearly got swatted around by the AFC North the past two weeks, and in all actuality, this season.
But after a bye week that followed a 6-0 start to the season, the Broncos were thrust into a showdown Baltimore, where the Ravens were also rested and found a way to stymie the boys from Mile High.
Then it was the Monday night spotlight - the biggest stage in the sport - against the defending champs.
Rookie coach Josh McDaniel had no chance. It was easy to see.
But this week, with everyone focused on New England/Indianapolis and Cincinnati/Pittsburgh, I see the Broncos quietly getting back into their groove against a troubled Washington team that will remain in deep trouble with Jim Zorn at the helm.
I've heard horror stories about coaches before, but in speaking with a former Redskin this week, who was there in Zorn's inaugural season, I can tell you with certainty he gets no respect from his players.
Not like McDaniel, who has come in with a plan, made no secrets who he is going to war with and has gotten the job done, quite frankly. Losses to the Ravens and Steelers mean nothing more than there's work to be done against the league's elite.
But when you're playing the bowels of the league - which the Redskins most cerainly are - there's no reason to take the foot off the pedal. This is a game that is in the shadows of some of the bigger matchups today.
And sometimes, it's in the shadows, where no one expects it, we find value.
Play Denver - it's the better team and we're getting value by getting to lay such a low number thanks to two understandable losses the last two weeks.
5♦ DENVER BRONCOS
Dominic Fazzini
Cincinnati +7 at PITTSBURGH
I hit another complimentary selection Saturday with my winning play on Wisconsin. That makes it two straight and five out of the last six, and there's more where that came from!
There's a lot of people out there that still aren't sold on the Bengals, but I'm not one of them. They've defeated Baltimore twice already this season, and also beat the Steelers 23-20 in Cincinnati on Sept. 27.
Bengals running back Cedric Benson has turned himself into an MVP candidate after being waived by Chicago last year, and he averaged 4.8 yards per carry on 16 rushes and scored a touchdown in Cincinnati's first game against Pittsburgh this season.
Carson Palmer has re-established himself as one of the NFL's premier quarterbacks, and he passed for 183 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions against the Steelers in September.
While Pittsburgh is regarded to have the superior defense, Cincinnati allows just 83.9 yards rushing per game, and it gave up just 215 total yards last week against the talented Ravens.
The Bengals, who have won six of their last seven games, are 3-0 straight up on the road, and the road team in this series is 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games overall, 7-0 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog, 5-0 ATS vs. teams with winning records and 4-1 ATS in its last five games against division opponents. The Steelers probably get their revenge today and come away with a victory, but take the Bengals to cover the points.
3♦ CINCINNATI