Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, November 2

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Golden State at Portland
The Warriors head to Portland tonight following a 127-104 win over the Lakers last night and come into the contest with a 4-10-1 ATS record in their last 15 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Portland is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blazers favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Portland (-3 1/2)

Game 701-702: Sacramento at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 116.762; LA Clippers 124.799
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8; 201
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+10); Under

Game 703-704: Toronto at Miami (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 119.895; Miami 127.669
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 705-706: Charlotte at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 111.406; New York 111.098
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 193
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4); Over

Game 707-708: Golden State at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 122.749; Portland 128.568
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 6; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-3 1/2); Over

NHL

Nashville at Vancouver
The Predators head to Vancouver tonight to face a Canucks team that is coming off a 3-2 win at Edmonton last night and is 1-9 in its last 10 games when playing with 0 days rest. Nashville is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-110)

Game 51-52: Detroit at Buffalo (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.120; Buffalo 9.675
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-245); 5
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-245); Over

Game 53-54: Los Angeles at Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 10.383; Carolina 11.481
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+165); Under

Game 55-56: Arizona at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 9.120; Washington 10.970
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-175); Over

Game 57-58: Calgary at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.348; Montreal 11.333
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+165); Under

Game 59-60: Anaheim at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.426; Colorado 12.639
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under

Game 61-62: Winnipeg at Chicago (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 9.877; Chicago 12.707
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-260); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-260); Under

Game 63-64: Nashville at Vancouver (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.544; Vancouver 11.110
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-110); Over

CFL

Toronto at Montreal
The Argonauts head to Montreal this afternoon where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 contests versus the Alouettes. Toronto is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Argonauts favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2 1/2)

Game 497-498: Toronto at Montreal (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 117.697; Montreal 116.580
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Montreal by 2 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2 1/2); Under

King Creole

Chargers / Dolphins Under 44

We will NOT go against a Chargers / Dolphins SERIES which has gone a PERFECT 0-11 O/U in the last 11 meetings (only 33.7 combined PPG)! Both of these teams are also ranked in the Top 7 in passing DEFENSE for the year... so there should be a lot of rushing plays to grind out that clock. Miami returns home off BB big road wins (27-14 vs Chi / 27-13 vs Jax)... 4-23 O/U s'1980: All home favs of underdogs of < 7 points off a SU division road loss that went 'Over the Total' (Chargers).

The Chargers come in off 3-game ATS losing streak... 0-7 O/U L5Y: All non-div road dogs of 10 < pts off 3 or more ATS losses in a row (Chargers).. when the OU line is 44 home favs of < 9 pts off BB ATS wins (Mia) vs an opp off BB ATS losses (Sd). At last look, Miami was a short 1-2 favorite in this one... 1-8 O/U L3Y: All AFC home favs of 3 < pts off a SU win (Mia) vs a non-div AFC opponent (Sd). Final score in SoFla: 20 to 17.

Allen Eastman

San Francisco (-10) over St. Louis

The 49ers have had a win and a bye week in the last three weeks. Now they are back to business. They should be able to blow out this same Rams team that they dominated on MNF, 31-17. The 49ers have blown out the Rams the last three times the have played by a total score of 89-41. It should be more of the same in this one. The Rams lost 34-7 last week and they have been outgained by their opponent in three straight weeks. They are banged up on both sides of the ball, where the 49ers are getting healthy. San Francisco’s last game was a 42-17 blowout loss at Denver. I think they are going to be happy to get that memory out of their heads and will play with a chip on their shoulder. All this adds up to a big 49ers blowout.

Strike Point Sports

Baltimore (+1) over Pittsburgh

We won our free play going against the Ravens last week, and now we are going to win going on them. The Ravens are looking to bounce back in a big way following their difficult loss last weekend. In what looked to be a win for Baltimore, an offensive pass interference call wiped out a would-be touchdown. Pittsburgh meanwhile, looked fantastic in a crushing of the Indianapolis Colts. I just don't think Pittsburgh is that consistent to keep that type of play going. This is a big spot for both teams, but Baltimore is just a better football team. The Ravens are also the type of team that won't get caught up in the hype of playing on the road in a big game. They will stick to their game plan and win a tightly-contested battle. With a line this small you just have to pick the winner, and that is exactly what I am doing. Baltimore wins this game. I know that the home teams in this division have done extremely well this season, but this is where the road team gets a W. Take the Ravens here as Pittsburgh disappoints.

Jason Sharpe

Jacksonville (+11) over Cincinnati

The Jacksonville Jaguars are playing much better football of late. They won their first game of the year two weeks ago and did so in impressive fashion. The game before that was a close two-point loss on the road to Tennessee where the Jaguars were minus two in turnovers for the game. If the Jags could get their turnover issues under control they’d be a much better football team. They look to have found a new running back as well as college star Denard Robinson has put up back-to-back 100-yard games on the ground in his first two games being their main ball carrier. The Bengals stepped up in a big way last game in what was a much-needed win for them over Baltimore. They needed some late game breaks to go their way, including scoring on 4th-and-goal to take the lead and having a touchdown scored against them in the last minute of the game called back due to a penalty on the Ravens. Cincinnati has been struggling of late after a fast start to the season, and this game looks to be the classic sandwich spot here as they face in-state rival Cleveland in their next contest in a big divisional showdown. Take Jacksonville and the points in this one.

Carlo Campanella

San Diego Chargers at Miami Dolphins
Pick: San Diego Chargers

Loved Miami as our 10* Member play last Sunday and they didn't disappoint us, easily handling instate rival, Jacksonville, 27-13. This Sunday is much different as they host a solid Chargers team that is one of the most balanced teams in the NFL. Their defense is stringy, holding their first 5 foes this season to 21 points or less and offensively QB Rivers is having one of his best seasons in his career while averaging 25.6 points per game! San Diego is 5-3 SU this year, with ALL 3 losses came against winning teams- Denver (6-1), Arizona (6-1) ans Kansas City (4-3), who own a combined 16-5 record this year. The Chargers come off back-to-back losses, but both were against AFC West division rivals and those division teams know each other well. Don't expect San Diego is too talented to lose 3 straight games, especially knowing that they're 4-0 ATS on the road after losing 2 straight Division games with QB Rivers starting under center.

Art Aronson

New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs
Prediction: New York Jets

The oddsmakers aren?t giving the 1-7 New York Jets much of a chance this weekend, they?ve opened as a double-digit underdog. After making significant strides against two playoff bound teams (including a tough 27-25 setback in New England), New York would lay an egg in front of the home town crowd in last week?s embarrassing 43-23 loss to the Buffalo Bills. The pathetic effort means that we?ve seen the last of Geno Smith as starting QB for the foreseeable future, and backup Mike Vick will finally get his shot in the Big Apple. I think change is a good thing, I had the Redskins on Monday night and Colt McCoy definitely proved that statement correct. From a trend based angle, this is a strong play as well, note already 1-0 ATS this year as a road dog of 7.5 to 10 points, the Jets are 3-0 ATS in the same position over the last two. I also think this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for Kansas City after its big divisional victory over the Chargers last week; note that the Chiefs are just 7-9 ATS in their last 16 vs. teams with losing records and only 7-12 ATS their last 19 at home. ?Desperation? is often a factor that the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line and that?s the case here in my opinion. While I won?t go so far as to call for an outright upset, I do definitely feel that this is too many points to be giving up; consider a second look at the JETS in this one.

Art Aronson's Featured Package

DAVE COKIN

ST. LOUIS RAMS AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
PLAY: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -10

So here’s something a little different. I’m generally not even mildly interested in laying doubles in the NFL. But in breaking down this particular game, I’m having a difficult time envisioning how the Rams have a real chance to compete.

This has been a tough year for the Rams on the injury front, and it just keeps getting worse. They’ve got some real issues at this point. The Jake Long injury is a killer as far as the offense goes. The secondary is seriously beat up as well. In fact, you can pretty much take a look at almost every position on this football team and you’ll find someone having to sit out.

The 49ers should come to play here. They already own a victory over the Rams, but that was a game in which San Francisco stumbled out of the gate and trailed 14-0 before taking charge.

I don’t see much difficulty for the favorite here. The only question I really have is whether or not the 49ers will come with the intensity necessary to deliver a knockout punch. Fact is, this has not been a great team coming out of its bye week. But this time, it’s also off a real thumping administered at Denver. Plus, with just a 4-3 record, the chalk has to know they absolutely cannot afford to take a loss in a game of this type.

I can’t say I love the idea of spotting this many points in almost any NFL battle. But the intent here is to try and take advantage of a mediocre underdog that’s gashed pretty badly right now. If the home team come out of the gate quickly, this is blowout material. Even if they don’t, I believe San Francisco has an excellent chance to pretty much wear down the shorthanded Rams. I’ll therefore bite the bullet and will look to lay the lumber with the 49ers on Sunday.

Ray Monohan

Denver vs. New England
Play: Over 53½

Brady vs. Manning again. It says a lot making the Pats an underdog at home but I don’t think it says enough that they are only +3, with what I think is a HIGH total of 55. Brady may be finding his rhythm offensively but I don’t like the Pats defense to be able to contain the Broncos all that much.

Manning is having another strong season and is surrounded by the stronger supporting cast. Especially defensively where the Broncos have the right players up front to hassle Brady. This might be a playoff preview but won’t be one for the ages.

Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 16-4-1 in Broncos last 21 games on fieldturf. Over is 7-2 in Broncos last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 40-15 in Patriots last 55 games on fieldturf.

Sleepyj

Philadephia Eagles -1

The Philadephia Eagles have got it going on all three sides of the ball. This defense is much better than last year and has been playing better over the season. The offense now has it rolling and i think they will produce a good amount of points. Darren Sproles may be back in the lineup and that will give them an added boost. Jeremy Maclin has also made a point to come into the season as Philly's true number 1 go to guy. He leads this team in receiving. Shady McCoy has not impressed me, but he has all the talent in the world. The Eagles are top 10 in scoring this year and have had good fortunes taking the ball away..On the flip side Houston is a ok team..RB Foster is the bell cow and he will see his fair share of touches. Not a good idea here for Houston as Philly is really good at stopping the run..With Kendricks back in the lineup it makes it even tougher to run on the birds..Fitzpatrick will have to win throwing the ball..I think he can have success but the Eagles will blitz and pressure him into mistakes. Philly is coming off a tough loss and will look to bounce right back in this one..I would not be shocked to see Philly win this by more than a TD.

SPORTS WAGERS

Jacksonville +10½ over CINCINNATI

Cincinnati found itself at a unique crossroads late in last Sunday's game against Baltimore. Down four with less than four minutes remaining after two late crucial turnovers, in a division game, the Bengals needed quarterback Andy Dalton to take them on a miracle comeback drive. He did. If he hadn't, the Bengals would have lost and fallen to last in the AFC North. Not only did the Bengals win but it took the sting out of three ugly losses in succession. The Bengals were short several key players last week, yet they managed to win that big contest and celebrate they did. Now we get into a very unfavorable scheduling situation for the Bengals, as this game against the Jaguars comes after last week’s huge victory and right before another huge game with the Browns on deck this coming Thursday in Cincinnati. Additionally, when you wager against the Jags, you will always pay a premium because point-spreads against Jacksonville are always inflated. Nobody wants to bet on this team and that’s why we always get extra points when backing them. In this situation, we’re glad to fade the Bengals.

The Jags aren’t so bad. Give them another year and you’ll start seeing them win some games. Blake Bortles is only going to get better, as there is no question he has the talent, mind and disposition to be successful. He’s learning on a bad team in much the same way Troy Aikman did when he first joined the Cowboys. The Jags have been moving the ball and if not for 15 picks thrown by Bortles in six games, they would have a better record because they have been close in each of its last three losses. They also defeated the Brownies 24-6 two weeks ago. Defensively, the Jags are putting pressure on opposing QB’s. The Jags' 25 sacks are tied for the second-most in team history after the first eight games and they have recorded at least two sacks in each of the first eight games. It may also surprise you to learn that Jacksonville's defense currently ranks as the best in the league in red zone territory and that bodes well here against a Cincinnati team without A.J. Green and three tight ends. Jags keep this one scary close and may even pull off the unthinkable in this favorable spot.

San Diego +121 over MIAMI

The Dolphins have won three of four with only loss over that span occurring against Green Bay in the final seconds. They have won back-to-back road games and in fact, all three of those victories occurred on the road. In those three victories, Miami held each opponent to 14 points or less. The past month results have these Dolphins way overvalued and that provides us with a great opportunity to fade them. Let us point out that Miami’s three wins have occurred against the Raiders, Bears and Jags. The last time they faced a team from the AFC West was back in Week 3, when Kansas City came in here and destroyed them, 34-15. Miami does not use their home-field advantage very well either, as they are just 5-6 straight up over their past 11 games at home.

The “West Coast teams traveling east for a 10:00 AM PST start angle” is in play here so let us address that right away. The Chargers are one of the few teams that put that theory to rest, as they have posted a 7-5 record in 10 a.m. PST games since 2012. We also love the fact that San Diego has lost two straight and it is coming off a prime time game against Denver in which they lost by 14. Incidentally, that loss to Denver is not indicative of what happened on the field, as the Broncos were greatly aided by the zebras in at least three horrible calls that didn’t exist. We’re not suggesting that the Chargers would have won but we are strongly suggesting the game would have been much closer and San Diego would’ve had an opportunity to win. The Chargers don't make a lot of mistakes and generally force opponents to beat them. Coach Mike McCoy is meticulous in his game-day preparation and his staff is skilled in making in-game adjustments. Two of San Diego's three losses have come on the road against teams that have one loss apiece (Denver and Arizona). Now with extra days to prepare and facing a Miami team that is overvalued and that has just one win in four tries against teams with a winning record, San Diego comes in here with some healthy bodies back, a great QB and the mental toughness and preparation to be ready for whatever the Dolphins plan to do scheme-wise on both sides of the ball. Chargers outright.

KANSAS CITY -9 over N.Y. Jets

The Geno Smith as the starter experiment ends up being almost as bad as the Tim Tebow experiment. In the end the people that put on the show end up looking like buffoons. Not as much as people that invested time watching either fiasco, but buffoons all the same. Apparently some people will spend as many years waiting for Smith to become serviceable as we did speculating if Barry Sanders would un-retire. Of the two, we still think Sanders coming back is more plausible. Now the Jets drag their seven-game losing streak to town with an old/new quarterback and we’re not convinced that Michael Vick is a better option than Smith. Imagine having to bench Smith in favor of Vick. We’re unable to describe with mere words just how sad that is. Smith was hell bent for the bench when he threw three interceptions in the first quarter last week against Buffalo. He was replaced by Michael Vick who went on to complete 18 of 36 for 153 yards, two lost fumbles and one interception. The Jets have lost three of their past four games by 31 points, 14 points and 20 points and two of those were at home. The 31-point loss was on the road in San Diego.

The Chiefs barely broke a sweat last week in a 34-7 victory over the Rams. The Chiefs have now scored 34, 41 and 34 points in three of the past five weeks and in between that they went into San Diego and defeated the Chargers 23-20. K.C. has also held its opponents to 22 points or less in five straight, which includes games against Miami and New England. The last time they allowed more than 22 was in Week 2 when the juggernaut Broncos hung a 24 on them. The Chiefs passing defense ranks #1 in the league and that spells big trouble here for Vick. Frankly, we have no idea how the Jets are going to compete in this one. They have to be feeling mentally dejected. They have fragile intangibles, a fragile, old, stale and rusty QB and Rex Ryan and the rest of the coaching staff has done a poor job of preparing and developing a new-look anything. The Chiefs have a game in Buffalo next week, they just played the Rams so it’s not a “trouble” spot for them. Rex Ryan was a better head coach when you could look at his teeth without wearing sunglasses. But not by much. Congratulations Coach, that internet video you did a couple of years ago is now only the second biggest public embarrassment of your life. We can get in at -9 +100 at Pinnacle right now and that’s precisely what we’re doing.

NEW ENGLAND +3 over Denver

This is the marquee matchup of the weekend and it will be without question the most watched game of the NFL this season that is not featured in prime time. It’ll also take a ton of action, in the millions. This is one of three late games on Sunday with the other two being Oakland at Seattle and St. Louis at San Francisco. For every 500 viewers, 499 of them will be watching and/or betting on this game. For us to break it down would be redundant. Every person that reads this has heard it all before and knows exactly what the Broncos are capable of. Every NFL preview on TV, radio or newspaper will dissect this game down in every way imaginable and they’ll do it 10 times over. We’re not even going to attempt to go in that same direction because it’s useless and repetitive information.

Our position is different. We couldn’t care less which team on paper is supposed to win. If the team that was supposed to win every week won, we’d all be rich. We’re more interested in the conversation at the round table when the oddsmakers set this line. Obviously they knew that this is a late start with the other two having about as much appeal as a quilt festival. Obviously they knew that this game will make or break the week for sportsbooks. If Denver wins and covers, the books will get buried. Obviously the oddsmakers discussed coming out with a line of Denver -3½ or even -4. Obviously they knew that if they set the line at -3, that 80% or more of all bets would come in on the Broncos. Surely, the linesmakers could have set this line at Denver -3½ or -4 in an attempt to “balance the books” but they didn’t. The oddsmakers are enticing one-sided action. They want it and they welcome it. That doesn’t mean they’ll be right but when they’re “gambling” with millions they’re usually right and because of that, we want to be on the same side as the books. That’s our position and there’s nothing more to it than that.

Note: Obviously this is a wait situation. Denver will get heavily bet and it would surprise us not if the Broncos were bet up to -4 or more by game time. We’ll wait until just before game time to place this bet, likely about 4:00 PM EST on Sunday and we’ll update it then. If you are betting the Broncos, bet it now because this is the best number you’ll get. If you’re on board with us, wait.

Teddy Covers

Denver Broncos -3

At first glance, this line probably seems high to most people. After all, the Patriots aren’t home underdogs very often; just four times since 2005. We saw New England annihilate Cincinnati as a national TV home dog less than a month ago. And the Pats are 41-21 ATS as a dog in the Belichick era, cashing at a 66% clip long term in this very role.

But before we get carried away with the Pats current four game winning streak, lets not forget that New England has largely been feasting on bottom feeders. Their six victories this season have come against Minnesota, Oakland, Cinci (in a miserable spot for the Bengals), Buffalo, the Jets and Chicago (on a day where Jay Cutler was misfiring). That’s not exactly a who’s who of Super Bowl contenders, to put it mildly.

Yet despite facing teams with a combined winning percentage of just .433 (not counting their games against the Pats), New England’s statistical profile is mediocre at best. The Patriots have outgained their foes by only 0.2 yards per play, right in the same range as teams like New Orleans, Pittsburgh and Philadelphia – above average squads, but certainly not elite teams.

New England has also suffered a handful of crucial, impactful defensive injuries in recent weeks. They’ve lost their defensive quarterback (LB Jerod Mayo) and their best pass rusher (DE Chandler Jones) to long term injuries. Those injuries didn’t matter last week, in a game where Jay Cutler struggled once again, but they are likely to matter in a matchup against Peyton Manning.

My power ratings have the Broncos more than a field goal better than the 2nd best team in the NFL, by far the most impressive team in the league thusfar this season. Unlike the Patriots, Denver is battle tested, having squared off against the likes of the Colts, Seahawks, Cardinals, 49ers and Chargers already this year. They’ve faced opponents with a combined .622 winning percentage in all games not against the Broncos. Only the 49ers have faced a tougher slate thusfar.

And Denver has essentially dominated that elite competition. They have outgained their foes by a whopping 1.5 yards per play, by far the best in the NFL. Denver’s offense is every bit as good as it was last year. Defensively, the additions of DeMarcus Ware and Aqib Talib have had an immediate impact, as has the return to health of Von Miller, leading to a 23-8 sack ratio between what their defense has created vs. what their offense has allowed. Denver is the ‘class’ in this matchup, and I expect that to show on Sunday.

AC Dinero

San Diego Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins
Play: Miami Dolphins -1

The Chargers travel cross country off 2 division losses to take on a decent, albeit, inconsistent Miami team that is playing well at the moment. San Diego is one of the more challenging teams to handicap. On the one hand, they have one of the more explosive passing games in the NFL and convert 50% on 3rd down. On the other hand, they give up 47%. Miami has the far better defense and is running the ball for 5.0 ypc, which should help keep the Charger offense eon the sideline and limit its possessions. Take the fish at home in a close one

Wunderdog

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Pick: Baltimore -1

Last week the Pittsburgh Steelers offense threw a perfect game at Indianapolis. Big Ben was in the zone and his offensive line graded out higher in protection than any team in the NFL has so far this year. Big Ben was not sacked as clearly Pittsburgh figured out something against that Indy defense. The bad news for Pittsburgh is that despite throwing for over 500 yards and six TDs, this was a one-possession game in the fourth quarter, and therein lies the problem. When you score 55 points in a game, the second team should be on the field for most of the second half, not the first team fighting to hold an 8-point lead. Big Ben's historic day masked the Steelers' defensive issues, and Baltimore will be ready to take advantage of that this week. Baltimore has held Pittsburgh to an average of 15.9 points per game in the last 12 regular season meetings so don't expect a repeat performance from Roethlisberger in this one. The Ravens have committed just three turnovers in the meetings to Pittsburgh's' 19, and Pittsburgh has thrown for over 300 yards just once. A bigger problem is the fact that Pittsburgh's' last three opponents have thrown for 9.35 yards per attempt, which is Hall of Fame material. Cortez Allen has been targeted 60 times this season (third highest in the NFL) and Joe Flacco will be looking that way as he has been brutal. Baltimore's offensive line is vastly improved this season, and that is why Joe Flacco and the Baltimore offense is thriving. Flacco was sacked 48 times last season, but just nine this year. The Ravens are quietly playing some of the best football in the NFL, outscoring opponents 27-16 on average. Meanwhile, Pitt is giving up nearly 30 points per game over their last three games. Under Jon Harbaugh, the Ravens are 58-14 straight-up as a favorite and 11-2 coming off an upset loss. Meanwhile under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers are 9-19 ATS after a big 14+ point win. Sell high on Pittsburgh and take the Ravens in this one.