Sean Murphy
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pittsburgh vs. New England
Pick: Pittsburgh
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
You can throw records out the window when these two AFC rivals hook up.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The underdog has won outright in three straight, and seven of nine meetings this millennium.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
While I'm not counting on the Steelers to win outright this week, I do expect them to give the Patriots a serious test.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pittsburgh traveled to the west coast and fell by a 21-18 score in Oakland last week. That brought an end to the Steelers modest two-game winning streak. They shouldn't have trouble getting back up for this game, as the Patriots always seem to draw their best effort. Note that Pittsburgh prevailed by a 25-17 score when these two teams last met in 2011. In their most recent meeting here in Foxboro, the Steelers walked away with a 33-10 blowout victory as a one-point underdog in 2008.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Obviously things have changed considerably for both teams over the years. With that being said, I'm not sure the Patriots are deserving of the lofty pointspread this week.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
New England survived against Miami last Sunday, as the Dolphins essentially handed them the game on a silver platter in the second half after building a sizable early lead. Note that the 10-point victory marked the first time the Pats won a game by more than a touchdown since September 22nd against hapless Tampa Bay. Those are the only two times New England has won by more than seven in eight games this season.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
I think it's also worth pointing out that the Pats have been outgained in terms of total yardage in each of their last two contests. The return of TE Rob Gronkowski has done little to spark the offense. Tom Brady continues to play some of the worst football of his entire career, throwing just two touchdowns compared to four interceptions over the last four games.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Steelers season has been somewhat of a disaster to this point, but they're not about to wave the white flag. At 2-5 they sit only three games back of the AFC North-leading Bengals, who are coming off a loss on Thursday night in Miami. Pittsburgh will still hold a game in hand following Sunday's contest. Sure, there are two other teams to leap-frog as well, and reaching the postseason would only be considered a lofty goal at this point, but my point is, the Steelers aren't in position to quit. There schedule will be manageable over the next while, with four of their next six games coming at home after wrapping things up in New England.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The fact that the Patriots are banged-up defensively could prove to be the great equalizer in this game. While the Steelers offense has sputtered, the talent is still there for a breakout performance. Look for Pittsburgh to hang tough.
Teddy CoversFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
New Orleans vs. N.Y. JetsFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: N.Y. JetsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Joe Public will be betting on the New Orleans Saints this week. It’s easy to understand why. The Saints are 6-1, their lone loss coming on a last second TD in New England. New Orleans is coming off a 35-17 blowout against the Bills; a game in which Drew Brees looked brilliant, throwing for five TD’s.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Meanwhile, the Jets are coming off a 40 point whipping at the hands of Cincinnati; the Bengals single biggest margin of victory in the Marvin Lewis era. And Jets rookie QB Geno Smith is no Drew Brees; among the league leaders in both interceptions and sacks this year. On paper, Smith facing an aggressive, blitz happy Rob Ryan defense without his best receiving weapons (Santonio Holmes is listed as ‘doubtful’ with his hamstring injury, and tight ends Jeff Cumberland and Kellen Winslow are ‘out’ ) is a complete mismatch.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
But games aren’t played on paper, and there’s a solid case to be made for New York besides a simple ‘fade the public’ contrarian approach. The Saints offense isn’t the same animal once they leave their home dome; averaging just 23 points per game on the highway this year. They’ve scored a grand total of six offensive touchdowns in those three games combined. New Orleans still can’t run the football or stop the run. Their -1.4 yards per carry differential between what they gain and what they allow ranks dead last in the NFL.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Jets strength is their running game and their defense; two attractive attributes for any home underdog. They’ve bounced back strong following every previous defeat this season; a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS off a loss, including outright upsets over the Falcons and Patriots. Coming off last week’s embarrassment, I’m expecting a strong effort here. And New Orleans could easily get caught looking ahead to Dallas and San Francisco in their next two ballgames. For a squad that hasn’t won a road game by more than a single score all year, this pointspread looks more than a little lofty.
Nick Parsons
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Kansas City vs. Buffalo
Pick: Buffalo
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Kansas City is without question this season's biggest surprise, sitting at 8-0 as we enter Week 9.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
As a "situational" capper, these are the types of "situations" that I keep my eyes open for, as this sets up as a "look ahead/let down" spot for the Chiefs.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
After two straight home games (an emotional 17-16 victory over the Texans two weeks ago and a somewhat lacklustre 23-17 win over the Browns last Sunday), Kansas City hits the road to face the lowly Bills. After Buffalo it then has its bye; this is a classic "look ahead" situation, especially with the Broncos on deck after its break.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
After their 35-17 loss at New Orleans last week, the Bills obviously have nothing to lose. But after two straight road games (a 23-21 win over the Fish two weeks ago), Buffalo has a big opportunity here to build on its already impressive 5-3 ATS record as an underdog this year and 4-0 ATS mark in front of the home town crowd.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Bills would hammer the Chiefs 35-17 in these teams lone matchup last year. The chances of a repeat performance of that magnitude are pretty slim, but the oddsmakers are agreeing with me that this is going to be a difficult one for Andy Reid and company.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Great value on a super situational play. While the outright win isn't out of the question, I will in the recommend grabbing the points.
Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo BillsFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Buffalo BillsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
So now it begins, as mandated by the 1972 Miami Dolphins. The official ?Kansas City fade? is now on as it?s time to pull out your Andy Reid voodoo dolls and root for the granddads. The 8-0 Chiefs take their perfect act to Buffalo while hoping to avoid in the inevitable? their first loss of the season. How likely is that to happen this Sunday? Not very, according to our research, given the fact that 7-0 or greater teams in the NFL are 11-1 SU in games against opponents off a loss of 17 or more points in its last game since 1980. Interestingly, though, these same teams are just 4-8 ATS in those same games, including 1-6 ATS away. Furthermore, the Featherheads are just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS away in games off a SU win but an ATS loss. Big news, however, supporting the old Dolphins? chant arrives in the form of KC's incredulous 1-13 SU mark of late against teams from the AFC East. Toss Buffie?s 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS record in this series into the mix and just like that, the old-timers from Miami are happy campers once again. We recommend a 1-unit play on Buffalo.
Kyle Hunter
Eagles vs. Raiders
Play: Under 45
The Philadelphia Eagles offense clearly isn't in the same groove it was in earlier this year. Chip Kelly doesn't quite have the weapons he needs to make this system work in the NFL. The Oakland Raiders defense is much better than expected this year. Oakland has only had one game all year go above this posted total, and that was against the powerful Denver Broncos. The Eagles certainly aren't going to be mistaken for the Broncos anytime soon. Look for a lot of running that keeps the clock moving in this game. Take the under.
Bill Biles
Falcons/Panthers Over 44
The Panthers have scored over 30 points in 3 straight games, and Matt Ryan will want to bounce back after a poor performance. Look for both teams to score in the high 20's and this game will go over the posted total.
Chip Chirimbes
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New England Patriots
Play: Pittsburgh Steelers +7
The 2-5 Pittsburgh Steelers consider this game a “must win” if they aer giving themselves a chance to make the playoffs. Ben Roethlisberger is leading the 27th ranked scoring offense as they continue to lose offensive players because of injury. The Patriots offense hasn't been all that hot either but they have Tom Brady and although many have been critical of his play this season the club is still 6-2 and atop of the AFC East. With both club struggling to score I can see this one coming down to the final gun. Take the points with PITTSBURGH!
Alex Smart
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers
Play: Atlanta Falcons +7½
Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan Tight end Tony Gonzalez and RB Steven Jackson along with the expected return of Roddy White will have this team primed to perform in a big way this Sunday. Alot is being made of the Atlanta injuries and the superiority of Carolina and their stud pivot Cam Newton , with very little being said, about the tenaciousness of the talent left on the field for the Falcons. Im taking a contrarian look at this tilt and backing the away side plus the points. The Falcons are 11-0-1 ATS L/12 as a road dog after a loss on the road
Red Dog Sports
Dallas Stars vs. Ottawa Senators
Play: Dallas Stars +122
Take Dallas +122 as a value play. The Ottawa Senators have performed poorly after starting on the road and returning home. They are the top underachievers so far in the NHL after a nice run in the playoffs last year.
Steve Janus
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Oakland Raiders
Play: Oakland Raiders -2½
Even though oddsmakers listed the Steelers as just a 2.5-point favorite last week, few believed the Raiders were capable of beating Pittsburgh. This team is better than they get credit for and with the way the Eagles are struggling right now, it certainly feels like there is some value with Oakland laying less than a field goal at home. The Raiders are 3-1 at the Coliseum and the only loss came when Pryor was sidelined with an injury.
That lone loss came against the Redskins, which is also the only game they have came up short against a team with a losing record. Their other three losses have come against three of the best teams in the AFC in Denver, Indianapolis and Kansas City. The Raiders are an impressive 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, while the Eagles are a mere 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs a team with a losing record. You have to wonder if Philadelphia wouldn’t be a much bigger dog, had they not had that huge performance on Monday Night Football against the Redskins in Week 1.
The Eagles have found themselves in a lot of tight spreads over the last two seasons and more times than not have failed to produce. Philadelphia is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games when they are listed anywhere from a 3-point favorite to a 3-point dog.
Philadelphia is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games when they are listed anywhere from a 3-point favorite to a 3-point dog.
It’s scary to think just how good the Raiders would be if they could play a complete game. Oakland has outscored opponents 59-20 in the first half of their last four games combined, only to be outscored 10-63 in the second half. Sooner or later they are going to put together a complete performance and I believe this is a great spot to take a chance that it will happen.
King CreoleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Ravens / Browns Under 41.5FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Yes, my Dog Speedee will be on a Browns 'UNDER' for the second week in a row. He won't let a FG with 17 seconds left scare him away from this one. After all... this Cleveland / Baltimore AFC NORTH series has gone a PERFECT 0-6 O/U in the last 6 meetings, with an average of just 32.5 combined PPG.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The road favorite Ravens come in off their Bye Week. And that sets up two UNDER-whelming patterns
(1) 0-7 O/U since 2008: All DIVISION road favorites of > 1 pt playing after their BYE WEEK (Balt).
(2) 1-8 O/U since 2001: All road teams with REST after a SUATS division loss (Balt lost to Pitt two weeks ago).
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Neither of these teams are offensive juggernauts. With their 'gacho' (messed up) QB situation, the Browns havs scored 17, 13, and 17 in their last three. The 'run-heavy' Ravens (30 rushes per game last 3) have scored 16 and 17 in their last two games.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
1-8 O/U since 1997: All DIVISION home dogs when BOTH teams scored 17 points.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
BALTIMORE: 0-4 O/U aft Bye... 1-7 O/U as div RF's... 1-5 O/U bef Cin.
CLEVELAND: 0-4 O/U vs opp off Bye... 1-5 O/U as div HD's > 1 pt. If you're looking for a LATE-Kickoff 'Over', it won't be in this game.
AC DineroFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
San Diego Chargers vs. Washington RedskinsSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Washington Redskins +1.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
San Diego travels east off the bye to take on the Redskins, whose season is on the line in this game. 2-5 usually means your season is already cooked, but the NFC East could be won with 8 wins this season. The Chargers have been a big surprise this season, mainly riding a potent passing game, 8.3 ypa, and converting 49% on 3rd down. This has covered up a poor defense that is giving up 4.8 ypc and close to 8.0 ypa. Look for Washington to control the tempo of the game with its running attack at 5.0 ypc to help cover up its struggling pass defense. Despite its struggles this season, the Redskins have surprisingly been the more effective team in the red zone. Look for Washington to salvage its season, at least for a week.
Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina PanthersSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Atlanta FalconsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Atlanta is 2-5 and this is pretty much it for them if they drop to 2-6, so we should see their best today for this divisional game vs Carolina. Atlanta will likely give the Panthers a heavy dose of S. Jackson here and should at the very least stay within the nu,ber. Carolina has beat up on softies the last 3 weeks putting 30+ points in 3 straight. Atlanta has won 7 of 9 in November games and road teams in November that are off a road loss have covered 31 of 39 times the last few seasons. Carolina is 0-5 ats at home off a division win and 1-6 to the spread vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. Cam Newton is 2-14 straight up in games decided by 7 or less points. The Falcons are 8-0 ats as dogs off a loss. Coach Smith for Atlanta is 11-0 ats off a loss of 10 or more. Were on the Dirty Birds today.
Will Rogers
Philadelphia vs. Oakland
Pick: Under
"The Coach" went 4-1 Saturday in NCAAF, increasing his BLAZING Football Run to 11-2 since Monday (9-1 s/ Thurs)! A master of exploiting situations.
Join Rogers on Sunday for some NFL as he SWEPT BOTH his Monday Night (Rams & 1st Half Under) & Thurs Night (1H Side & Total) plays!
Surely first year head coach Chip Kelly must be on the hot seat in Philadelphia, as this supposed "offensive guru" has seen his team lose consecutive home games managing a combined 10 points. They are on the road in Oakland Sunday, taking on a Raiders team that is playing with confidence in recent weeks.
Here are my keys to the game:
1: The Quarterbacks - Nick Foles looked terrible in his last appearance, throwing for just 80 yards on 11-for-39 passing in a 17-3 loss to the Cowboys. Terrelle Pryor doesn't often air it out, but poses a dual threat with his legs.
2: Defense - The Raiders offense leans heavily on it's running game, but the Eagles have been tough defending the run, allowing opponents fewer than 100 yards per game. The Raiders have been solid against the run and the pass, and they're allowing just 17 point per game at home this season.
3: X-Factor - The Raiders have seen the total go under in six of their last seven, and they've played the Eagles three times since 2000, with all three meetings going below the total.
Bruce Marshall
New Orleans vs. N.Y. Jets
Pick: N.Y. Jets
Tabloids in the tri-state have been hyping the coaching battle between the Ryan brothers like it’s the next Wrestlemania. But while N.Y. has exhibited bipolar tendencies this season with rookie QB Geno Smith, the Jets have also been formful, yet to lose SU or fail to cover a spread in two games running. The New Orleans pattern has been pretty well-defined, too, shading Saints at home but fading them on the road (where they are 1-2 SU). At their best, Jets have been able to establish Chris Ivory and the infantry to take some pressure off Geno, while Rex’s defensive pressure up the middle unnerved Tom Brady two weeks ago and could do the same to Drew Brees.