Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Bears vs. Tennessee Titans
Play: Tennessee TitansFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bears are 0-11 ATS since 1989 on the road when they are off a game in which they allowed at least 100 more yards than their season-to-date average as a favorite. The Titans are off a home favored loss to division rival Colts and will look to give the Bears a tough game here knowing that road favorites like the Bears are just 21-56 ats off 4 or more game winning streak if they lost their prior road game before the win streak. The Titans have covered 8 straight as a dog of 5 or less vs the NFC. Look for a close game with the Titans Getting the cover.
Joseph D'AmicoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit Lions vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Play: Detroit LionsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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At 1-6, Jacksonville is just about the worst team in the NFL. They have posted a total of 20 points in 3 home games this season. They are ranked last in points, passing yards, and total yards. All that is with RB, Maurice Jones-Drew and a healthy Blaine Gabbert (5-16 as a starter). Well, Jones-Drew is out, and Gabbert is dealing with an issue with his non-throwing arm. MJD accounts for 41% of the team's offense. On top of all that, the Jags are still without LB Smith and most likely going to miss CB Cox. Matthew Stafford needs 52 YP to his 10,000. If he gets there Sunday, he will be the 2nd fastest in NFL to reach the landmark. The QB has 2108 YP this season, coming off his best performance yet this year, throwing for 352 yards and 3 TDs. The Lions covered their L3(2 on the road) against such notables as the Eagles, Bears, and Seahawks. Jacksonville is already looking to next season. Play Detroit here.
Steve JanusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Seattle Seahawks -4
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The Seahawks lost at Detroit last week 24-28. It was Seattle’s second straight loss overall and their fourth loss in five road games this season. There’s no denying that this team plays their best football at home. Dallas, Green Bay and New England have all left Seattle with a loss, as the Seahawks are a perfect 3-0 at home this year. CenturyLink Field is without question one of the toughest places in the NFL to play, which is why you see this line bumped up to 5 and not sitting on a more common number like 3 or 3.5. Seattle is 9-2 ATSin home games over the last 2 seasons and are 12-3 ATS in home games vs NFC opponents over the last 3 seasons.
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Seattle features a dominant defense that is one of the toughest in the NFL to score on. The 28 points they allowed to Detroit last week was the most they have given up in a single game all season. In six of their eight games they have held their opponents to 20 points or less. The defense typically plays even better when they are at home, as they feed off the energy of one of the loudest group of fans in the league. Seattle held the Cowboys to just 7 points, Green Bay to 12 and New England to only 23.
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You have to like their chances of shutting down a pretty average Minnesota offense. The only two players you really have to worry about stopping if you are Seattle is running back Adrian Peterson and wide out Percy Harvin. The Seahawks feature a run a defense that ranks 5th in the NFL, allowing just 84.9 ypg, but are only giving up 73 ypg on the ground at home. If Seattle can keep Peterson in check, it’s going to be extremely hard for Minnesota’s offense to put together long drives. Minnesota is just 10-22 ATS in road games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game since 1992.
Carlo CampanellaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks
Play: Seattle SeahawksFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota (5-3) has lost 2 of their last 3 games, including a 36-17 loss to Tampa Bay last Thursday Night. With each passing game, the Vikings look more one-dimensional on offense, with RB Peterson carrying more of the load, and QB Ponder having become turnover-prone. On Sunday, they head to Seattle (4-4), knowing the Seahawks are 3-0 SU & ATS at home this year, beating solid opponents like Green Bay, Dallas, and the Patriots. Bad match-up for Vikes, as this Seattle defense is allowing only 16 points per game, while holding foes to 85 yards rushing and 3.7 yards per carry this season. Expect Seahawk defense to dominate the line of scrimmage on their home turf and force Vikings to throw the ball.
Timothy BlackFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks
Play: Seattle SeahawksFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Too big of a number for me to have a serious play on this but Seattle is too good at home to lose this game. The Seahawks are a perfect 3-0 on their home turf this year and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Seattle has 2 straight losses on the road so coming back home they are in great position to stop the slide. The Vikings are just 1-2 on the road this season and after a great start they have now lost 2 of their last 3 games.
Jim FeistFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Redskins
Play: Carolina Panthers
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Carolina has a bad record but has been competitive in every game but one, with losses by 6, 2, 4, 5 and 1 point! Last week they had the 6-1 Bears beat on the road, before letting a big lead slip away in a 23-22 defeat. The Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. They take on a terrible Washington defense, one ranked dead last in defending the pass allowing a whopping 314 yards per game. Washington is home after a grueling two game trip at the defending champion Giants and Steelers, both losses. he Redskins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 9-25-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Play the Panthers!
Dave PriceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Baltimore Ravens -3.5
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The Ravens get the call as my free pick due to their dominance of the Browns. Baltimore is 9-0 in the last 9 matchups and has especially been dominant on the road during this stretch. It is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 in Cleveland, winning these by 10.0 points or more. Following a bye week, I expect the Ravens to be prepared. I also expect them to be motivated as their last taste was an ugly 43-13 loss at Houston. They were outgained by 244 yards in that contest, but that's not about to keep me off of them here. After all, Baltimore is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games after being outgained by 200 yards or more in its previous game. It has won in these spots by an average of 11.0 points. Bet the Ravens.
Jeff Alexander FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Dolphins -2
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The Dolphins, who have won three in a row by 3.0 points or more, have been a quality investment at 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games. They are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 versus a team with a winning record and 23-5 ATS in their last 28 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Dolphins are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Indianapolis. The Phins have played consistently good football for 6 straight games now as their only only two losses during this stretch have come in overtime. Take Miami.
Nick Parsons FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons
Pick: Dallas CowboysFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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With Atlanta coming off narrow home victories vs the Raiders and Panthers, we will take Dallas, who are in a desperate situation and will be playing in front of a national audience. As the NFL's only unbeaten team, the public is behind the Falcons big time, and after coming off a big road win over the Eagles, we are looking at another letdown here after previously average showings at home by Atlanta. The Falcons have been terrible against the run giving up 136 yards per game on the ground and that sets up well for Felix Jones, who despite being banged up, is primed for a breakout game against this suspect D. While Tony Romo is the focal-point for the Cowboys problems, and despite throwing four INTs against the Giants last week, he threw for a career high 437 yards and was a play away from beating the Giants. Romo keeps the Cowboys in the game late and the points in hand will be a benefit if Dallas is driving late to tie or take the lead. The Falcons are 28-0 when Matt Ryan has a psser rating above 100, and the gameplan for the Dallas D will be to take Matt Ryan off his game with a fierce pass rush led by D'marcus Ware and pass defense that ranks third in the league with only 187 yards against per game. The Cowboys in fact are 4th overall in the league in total defense and will be a big test for the Falcons who are fighting to stay atop the NFC standings. Take the Cowboys with the points.
Joe GavazziFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Seattle -5FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Vikings QB Ponder is still learning. He's thrown 7 picks in the last 4 games. Seems untrustworthy with the realization that there is a good chance that the Vikings run game will get shut down today. In the 5 wins this year, the Vikings have gotten untracked overland for 147/4.7. Don't figure that to happen against the Seattle rush defense that allows foes to run just 23 times for 85/3.7. Those numbers improve to 73/3.5 on this field. That would be a home field where the Seahawks are on positive runs of 9-2, 6-0 ATS. Losing on the final play of the game at Detroit (despite outrushing the Lions 133-84) will bring Seattle back home with great hunger. In 3 home games to date, they have beaten Dallas, Green Bay, and New England. On this field against this opponent, they will have the better running game and defense, a situation that makes them the odds on favorite to cover a number in this price range.
Bob Balfe
Ravens/Browns Over 42
The Baltimore Ravens Defense is not what it once was and it might take us a season or two to realize that. This Defensive line is banged up and has played poor all season. Cleveland should have no problem running the ball. The Ravens Offensive Line has a huge size advantage today going up against a Browns Defensive Line that has injuries also. The Ravens should have no problem running the ball. You are going to have offensive success in this league if you can run the ball. It opens up receivers and just makes it so much easier to move the ball. This should be a really good game with a good amount of points. Take the Over.
Greenridge Sports
Denver Broncos -3.5
The Denver Broncos are surging under future Hall Of Fame QB Peyton Manning. Since his performance in Atlanta, Manning has 15 TD's to just 1 interception. Denver's defense is also showing some signs that they can be the force they were late in the year last year and have been excellent in recent weeks. Cincinnati on the other hand has been going the opposite direction. After a promising start to the year it appears that the Bengals are returning to their usual, lowly form. Head Coach Marvin Lewis may very well be nearing the end of his time in Cincinnati. Look for Denver to continue surging as the Broncos should cruise to an easy win over the Bengals!
Larry Ness
Detroit vs. Jacksonville
Pick: Detroit
The Lions ended a playoff drought which had gone back to 1999 when they went 10-6 last year (lost at New Orleans in the wild card round). However, history says a second straight trip to the postseason is highly unlikely for Detroit, which was 2-4 through Week 7. Only 18 of the 208 teams that started the season with the same record have made the playoffs (since 1990), most recently accomplished by Tim Tebow-led Denver last season. The Lions did win 28-24 at home last Sunday against the Seahawks (I had them right here on these pages) and will now try to even their record at 4-4, with a win Sunday in Jacksonville. The Lions' three victories have been by a combined 11 points, with two decided in the final 20 seconds of regulation and the other in overtime, so maybe laying points on the road is NOT a good idea. Then again, one must consider the circumstances. The Jags are 1-6 and looking to avoid a five-game losing streak. Jacksonville is the NFL’s worst passing team (164.0 YPG) and the team's lone offensive ‘weapon,’ RB Maurice Jones-Drew, remains out with a foot injury. While the team has been competitive in its road games (1-3 but 4-0 ATS), the Jags are 0-3 SU and ATS at home, getting outscored 95-20! Detroit’s Matthew Stafford has NOT had a good start to the 2012 season but I’m expecting him to come on strong. Let’s note that in a 2011 season in which both Brees and Brady broke Dan Marino's single-season passing yards record (and Rodgers was the league’s MVP by setting a single-season QB rating mark of 122.5 with 4,643 yards plus 45 TDs against only six INTs), Stafford ‘quietly’ threw for 5,038 yards with 41 TDs and a modest 16 INTs. Stafford joined Dan Marino and Drew Brees as the only players to pass for more than 5,000 yards plus throw 40 TDs in the same season. Stafford enters this game 52 passing yards shy of 10,000 for his career. If he gets there Sunday in his 37th career game (how can’t he?), he'll become the second-fastest player in history to reach the mark behind Kurt Warner (36). Not bad company. Stay away from the home dog here and take the Lions.
Bruce Marshall
Tampa Bay vs. Oakland
Pick: Over
"Totals" trends both ways present compelling technical argument for the "over" when Tampa Bay travels to the Coliseum to face the Raiders in Oakland on Sunday. Note that the Bucs' offense, perking up with rookie RB Doug Martin providing a spark, has helped Tampa Bay to easy "overs" in their last two this season, and 8 of 12 since late in the 2011 campaign. Meanwhile, the Raiders, with QB Carson Palmer getting comfy with his supporting weaponry, is now "over" 6-1 its last seven at home. Expect a brisk pace and an entertaining battle played in the mid-to-high 50s in the East Bay on Sunday.
Scott Spreitzer
Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins
Prediction: Carolina Panthers
I had Carolina last week and we cashed the ticket, while the Panthers came within a point of upsetting the Bears in Chicago. Carolina is just 1-6 SU this season, but five of their losses have come by a grand total of just 18 points. They lost in Atlanta in the final minute, blew a 19-7 4th quarter lead in Chicago last week, and came within a couple of plays of beating Dallas, Seattle, and Tampa Bay. Yes, at 1-6, the Panthers are not that far away from a 5-2 or even a 6-1 mark. The Panthers scored 33 points on the Redskins last season and face a 2012 Washington defense that ranks 29th in total yards allowed per game, while giving up 19 passing TDs. Meanwhile, the Washington offense has scored just 17, 24, and 12 points in three of their last four games. I'm recommending a play on the Panthers, plus the points on Sunday.