Rocketman
New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns
Play: Cleveland Browns +4
The Browns won in New Orleans last week by double digits and I see them giving the Patriots some problems here today and keeping this one close if not squeaking out the outright victory. Patriots are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November. Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 9. Browns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Browns are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Browns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC. Browns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Browns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Browns are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Cleveland today!
Tom Stryker
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers
PICK: Dallas Cowboys +7.5
Off four consecutive SU and ATS losses to Tennessee, Minnesota, New York (Giants) and Jacksonville, no one will want anything to do with Dallas on Sunday night. The Cowboys have underachieved all season long and they've certainly roasted their fair share of pocketbooks. Even with that knowledge, the points are the way to go in this NFC contest.
Technically speaking, this is a tremendous spot for the 'Boys. Since 1980, NFL underdogs are a respectable 140-87-10 ATS provided they lost straight up priced as a favorite of -6' or more last. This simple system has been making money on a consistent basis over the past 30 years and it demands our respect.
There are situations within that "role changer" system that really make it pop. If our play on team enters off a blemish of 13 points or more, this technical gem tightens up to a spectacular 37-16-1 ATS including 23-8 ATS provided their opponent checks in off a straight up win. Dallas applies to both of these special parameters.
Green Bay enters this contest off a pair of nice wins over Minnesota and New York (Jets) and has a bye on deck before traveling to the Twin Cities on November 21st for a rematch with the Vikings. Talk about a huge flat spot for the Cheeseheads! Just a few weeks ago, Baltimore was in a similar situation against a winless Buffalo team and it took everything the Ravens had to escape with a victory. To make matters worse, GB has struggled as a favorite of -7 or more notching a weak 15-29-2 ATS mark provided its opponent arrives without momentum off a straight up loss.
The Packers have to be emotionally spent off last week's shutout road win over the Jets and, after playing nine straight weeks, physically ready for some time off! Don't be surprised if the Cheeseheads do just enough to get by the Cowboys on Sunday night. Take Dallas.
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Baltimore Ravens -5
The Ravens are a strong 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye, and I'll back this rested and prepared team following an off week Sunday. The Ravens are typically very strong following a bye. In fact, they are 7-1 SU coming off a bye since 2002, winning their last two by an average of 20.5 points.
I believe big Joe Flacco is the key for the Ravens today. He entered the bye week with 5 TD strikes and no interceptions in his last 2 games. He should be right on the money here having had an extra week to dissect a Miami defense that has allowed a TD strikes of at least 37 yards in 3 straight games. Consider that Baltimore is a near-flawless 11-1 at home when Flacco throws at least one TD pass.
Miami has gone through a brutal six-game stretch, which makes Sunday's contest especially challenging. Baltimore has won the last two meetings between these teams by 14 and 18 points respectively. It is also worth noting that the Ravens are a tremendous 43-19-1 ATS in their last 63 games as a home favorite. Lay the points with Baltimore.
Chuck O'Brien
Chicago at BUFFALO (+3)
Last Sunday, I also gave you a free winner on the Rams over the Panthers. For Sunday’s first of two complimentary NFL selections, take the Bills plus the points over the Bears.
This game is being played in Canada, which is a shame for Buffalo fans as their team appears poised to finally get its first win of the season – something that easily could’ve happened the last two weeks. Back on Oct. 24, the Bills went to the Ravens and jumped out to a 17-3 lead, but couldn’t close the deal, losing 37-34 in overtime despite rolling up 514 total yards. Then last Sunday, Buffalo went back on the road and took Kansas City to overtime before falling 13-10.
While Buffalo is coming off back-to-back road losses to first-place squads, Chicago is off consecutive home losses to the Seahawks and Redskins, both by three points. The Bears are coming off their bye, but I doubt the extra time helped fix the team’s big problems, namely in an inability to run the football (they average just 88.6 rushing yards per game), protect the football (Jay Cutler has already thrown seven INTs) and protect Cutler (sacked a league-high 31 times).
The Bears are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 1-5 ATS in their last six as a favorite, 2-7 ATS in their last nine coming off a loss and 0-4 ATS in their last four November contests. And four of their seven games have been decided by five points or less. Simply put, if the Bills can push the Ravens and Chiefs to the limit on the road, they can get past this flawed Chicago crowd at a neutral site (that figures to be very pro-Bills).
4♦ BUFFALO
Bobby Maxwell
San Diego at HOUSTON (+3)
For my comp selection, the Chargers have not won a road game all year, going 0-4 to some of the most pedestrian teams in the NFL (Raiders, Chiefs, Seahawks and Rams) and now they are favored in Houston against a team that can certainly move the football both through the air and on the ground. I’ll gladly grab the points with the Texans in this one.
San Diego has not won back-to-back games all season and they come into this one off a 33-25 win over the Titans at home last week. It was a game that saw Vince Young leave and Kerry Collins came in and actually gave the Titans a shot at the tie in the final two minutes.
Chargers’ QB Philip Rivers is having a wonderful season, but he’s got an injured Antonio Gates leading the NFL with nine TD catches unsure if he’s playing today with his nagging toe injury. They are already without WRs Malcolm Floyd and Legedu Naanee. So we’re not sure who Rivers will have to throw the ball too today in Houston.
The Texans went to Indy and fell 30-17 on Monday night, failing as 5 ½-point underdogs. But at home, this team tends to light up the scoreboard. They beat up the Chiefs 35-31 back on Oct. 17 and early in the season they crushed the Colts 34-24 as one-point underdogs. This team averages 231 yards through the air and with RB Arian Foster, they average 136 yards per game on the ground.
QB Matt Schaub and WR Andre Johnson make for a dangerous combination and this team is the best in the NFL at scoring in the second half, with a whopping 120 points. The Texans will get a solid game from Foster, who put up 102 yards on the Colts on Monday. If he gets going and is able to take the pressure off Schaub, it’ll be an easy game for the Texans.
San Diego is on ATS slides of 3-8-1 as a favorite, 2-6 in Week 9 games the last eight years, 0-4 on the road, 0-4-1 after a spread-cover and 0-5 as a road favorite. Houston is on positive ATS trends of 8-2 as a home underdog, 9-3 as an underdog, 9-4 after a non-cover and 4-1 in Week 9 contests.
I just can’t back the Chargers on the road when they haven’t proven themselves any good at all on the road this season. Grab the points and play Houston.
4♦ HOUSTON
Karl Garrett
Arizona at MINNESOTA (-8)
The Vikings may only be 2-5, but they have been on the road 3 of the last 4 weeks and have faced some stiff competition. Today the sledding gets easier, as Minny is 11-1 straight up at home under Brett Favre, and they have covered 2 of 3 this season on their home turf.
Arizona can't seem to settle on a QB, as both Max Hall and Derek Anderson have taken turns at being ineffective.
The Cardinals have been hammered their last 3 road games, losing all 3 both straight up and against the spread, and losing by an average of margin of 26 points per game.
This one sets up for a double-digit pasting, and that is just what the Vikings get.
Lay it with Minnesota.
4♦ MINNESOTA
Chuck O'Brien
Arizona at MINNESOTA (-8)
For Sunday’s second of two complimentary NFL selections, take the Vikings and lay the points against the Cardinals.
Obviously, the Vikings’ ship is a mess. They’re 2-5, their Hall of Fame quarterback can barely walk and their coach is in hot water with his owner for releasing Randy Moss without consulting with said owner. Needless to say, it’s a far cry from last year when Minnesota was a play away from going to the Super Bowl.
So why back the Vikes as a huge home favorite today? Because they're beyond desperate for a win, but more importantly, because Arizona is atrocious on the road. Since barely sneaking past the Rams and rookie QB Sam Bradford (making his first-ever start) in Week 1, the Cardinals have lost three straight road games to the Falcons, Chargers and Seahawks by the combined score of 104-27. They never threatened to cover the spread in any of those contests and were outgained by 177, 285 and 75 yards.
In fact, since the Rams win, Arizona has been out-yarded in every game it has played this season and comes into today averaging 19 points and 260.4 yards per game while allowing 28.3 points and 374.1 yards per game. How the Cardinals are 3-4 with those stats is a miracle.
Minnesota has faced a brutal schedule to this point, playing four of its first seven games on the road, including three of the last four at the Jets, Packers and Patriots. Despite their 2-5 record, the Vikings have had a chance to win every game in the fourth quarter, and since a misleading 14-10 home loss to the Dolphins (Minnesota outgained Miami 364-226), the Vikings have won and covered back-to-back home games against the Lions and Cowboys (two teams that are better than Arizona).
Going back to last season, Minnesota is on a 7-1-1 ATS run at home (all as a favorite), 6-2-1 ATS run against losing teams and 10-4 ATS run following a defeat. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have failed to cover in five of six overall, six of seven road games and four straight as a road underdog (all when catching between 3½ to 10 points).
Vikings get back on track with a much-needed, confidence-building blowout win.
5♦ MINNESOTA
Joel Tyson
Tampa Bay (+8') at ATLANTA
Free play time for Week 9, and I am a little stunned the Atlanta Falcons are being asked to cover over a touchdown against the upstart Tampa Bay Bucs.
Both teams enter at 5-2, and this game has big division implications for sure. Atlanta is 3-0 straight up at home and are coming off their bye-week, but this Tampa team has proven to be a tough out this season.
The Bucanneers have been able to cover their last 3 visits to the Georgia Dome, and they have covered 5 of the last 6 overall in this NFC South series.
Throw in Tampa's money-making 8-3 spread run their last 11 away from Ray James Stadium and I think we are staring at a live underdog this Sunday afternoon at the Georgia Dome.
Falcons get the straight up, but the Bucs get the bucks at the ticket window.
2♦ TAMPA BAY
Scott Delaney
Miami at BALTIMORE (-5)
I'm not buying it... the Ravens only a 5-point favorite against the Dolphins, who riding the laurels of a 4-0 road record? Big deal!
The Fins haven't beaten anyone worth mentioning on the road - okay, maybe Green Bay - and now must take on one of the most stifling home defensive units in the NFL?
How good is Ray Lewis and company at M&T Bank Stadium?
Well, the Ravens have won six straight there, and since 2008 their defense has allowed just 12.8 points a game and an opponent passer rating of 60.5. I don't think Chad Henne is going to be looking at another 300-yard day since the Ravens are in after a bye week.
Coach Jim Harbaugh has made it crystal clear the one thing he's worked on and needs his defense to do is intensify the pass defense after it was torched for 948 net passing yards in the team's last three games.
The Ravens looked good in their first four games of the season, so it's simply a matter of tweaking some things, and the extra time off will have helped.
Take the home team here.
3♦ BALTIMORE
Craig Davis
New England at CLEVELAND (+4)
Today's free play is on the Cleveland Browns over New England.
Do I believe the Browns are better than the Patriots? No, no I don't. I still believe New England has more talent, but more talented teams aren't always a solid play against the Vegas number.
Cleveland comes in off their bye week, having just beaten the Saints as a double-digit dog the week before. Meanwhile, the Pats have been winning tough games left and right and are more than overdue for a letdown... and why not against the Browns?
True, the Patriots have won two of their three road games so far this year, but a closer look at the numbers shows me that the Patriots really haven't been all that dominating. Their two road wins, at San Diego and Miami, were very turnover-plagued. Tom Brady and the Pats offense have only generated 245 yards per game of offense in their three road games while allowing 366. The difference?
Turnovers.
Both Miami and San Diego had turnover problems all game, and also didn't play well on special teams. That won't be a problem for the Browns today. Expect Cleveland to keep this close by not turning the ball over and don't be surprised if they pull off the SU win at home.
Free play of the day on the Cleveland Browns over New England.
4♦ CLEVELAND
Stephen Nover
N.Y. Giants at SEATTLE
Yes, Qwest Field is a tough road venue. The Seahawks have covered 10 of their last 13 there. But Seattle is an imposter. The Seahawks have built a 4-3 record despite being outscored on the season and outgained by 650 yards.
Seattle has played a very easy schedule. The combined record of its opponents is 22-32.
The Giants have a fierce pass rush. Already the Giants have knocked out five quarterbacks, including pocket passers Tony Romo and Jay Cutler. Seattle backup quarterback Charlie Whitehurst is a pocket passer, too, although he's not very accurate. He completed less than 52 percent of his throws during preseason operating against backups. He's never thrown a pass during a regular-season game. The Giants lead the league in sacks per game.
Seattle has a cluster injury problem in its offensive line and defensive line. The Seahawks' best offensive lineman, left tackle Russell Okung, is out. Defensively, the Seahawks lost two of their best linemen in Red Bryant and Colin Cole.
That's excellent news for underrated Ahmad Bradshaw, the fourth-leading rusher in the NFL with 708 yards.
Eli Manning is going to have a big game, too. He has three outstanding receivers. Seattle ranks 29th in pass defense. In their last two games, the Seahawks have faced terrible quarterbacks - Max Hall, Derek Anderson and Jason Campbell. Manning is a huge upgrade on those guys.
The Giants are traveling cross-country. But it's easier going East to West plus New York had its bye last week. The Giants have won and covered in 18 of their last 27 away matchups.
2♦ NEW YORK
Stephen Nover
Kansas City (pk) at OAKLAND
Anytime the Raiders are favored, my first look is always toward the 'dog. Oakland has lost 12 of the last 13 times it has been chalk.
The Raiders don't have the great home-field as some may perceive. They do have some fanatical fans, but their home attendance ranks among the lowest. The Chiefs haven't had any problems at Oakland Coliseum, winning and covering the past seven times there.
The Chiefs can run the ball better and stop the run better than Oakland. That's the key to this matchup. The Chiefs are leading the NFL in rushing averaging 190.4 yards per game. Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones are both on pace to rush for 1,000 yards, which would be a first in Kansas City history.
Kansas City has rushed for at least 200 yards in each of its last three games. The Raiders rank 26th in run defense. The Raiders aren't expected to have their best defensive player either, cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha.
The Raiders have their bye next week. It's doubtful they would risk Asomugha and injured tight end Zach Miller, their best receiver, in this matchup. No Asomugha makes things easier for Matt Cassel, who has been disappointing with the Chiefs but still rates an edge against Jason Campbell.
Cassel has a very strong nine-to-one touchdowns-to-interception ratio in his last four games. The Chiefs have protected him well allowing only eight sacks. The Raiders' banged-up and leaky offensive line hasn't protected their quarterbacks nearly as well.
5♦ KANSAS CITY
Joel Tyson
Kansas City (+1') at OAKLAND
Finally an AFC West game between the Chiefs and Raiders that has some meaning, as both teams have been playing viable football this season.
Oakland's uprising seems more of a surprise to me, as the Raiders have dented the dish for nearly 100 points in their last 2 wins. The problem Oakland is going to have this Sunday is the fact Kansas City brings a ground game to town, and the Raiders are allowing almost 5 yards per carry on the ground this season.
KC's defense has held the oppositon to 14 points or less in 4 of their 7 games this year, and 20 points or less in 6 of their 7 games to date. I don't see the Raiders recent point splurge continuing here.
The visitor in the series has been able to win the last 7 meetings outright, and is on a 13-1 spread run the last 14 times these division rivals have battled.
Nothing changes here...Kansas City is the better team, and will prevail as the road-oriented trend continues.
4♦ KANSAS CITY
Derek Mancini
Dallas (+7) at GREEN BAY
As much as the Cowboys have destroyed their backers over the last month, I expect the bleeding to stop tonight at Lambeau Field. The line on this contest is a direct result of some misguided perception, specifically each respective team's efforts last week. The public saw Dallas lose at home to Jacksonville badly, while also watching Green Bay shutout arguablly the best team in the NFL, in the Jets. So why not lay a touchdown, right? WRONG!
Not only are the Packers facing the obvious letdown situation, but its safe to say the Cowboys and Wade Phillips are going to play with reckless abandon after the Jaguars loss. I happen to like this match up for the Cowboys on both sides of the ball, as the one-dimensional Packers offense will run into trouble against this Dallas D. Yes, I'm well aware of their issues over the 4-game skid, but did you notice a pattern? Every team they lost to could run the football... This is NOT the case with Green Bay.
On the other side of the ball, the Cowboys offense will be facing a Packers defense that, besides last week, has been beatable. And don't put too much stock into the 9-0 shutout, because the Jets offense is struggling mightily as Sanchez has hit a rough spot. Unlike the Sanchez, I expect Kitna will be able to attack a short-handed Packers' secondary. The more reps he gets with the 1st team, the more you'll remember he's a capable starting QB in the NFL.
Public has abandoned ship on the Cowboys... Now is precisely the time where we'll find the most value. Dallas is desperate, from Jerry Jones on down, and I expect a real max-effort tonight. Take Dallas plus the points over Green Bay.
3♦ DALLAS
Bobby Maxwell
Portland (+8') at L.A. LAKERS
For my comp selection, the Lakers are off to a quick start this season despite the fact Kobe Bryant is not 100 percent. The Lakers have opened with six straight wins and gone 4-2 ATS, but of course the two non-covers came at home where this team constantly doesn’t put teams away. That’s why I’ll grab the points with the Blazers tonight.
Portland has shown signs of being a very good team this season and then they go through spurts when they can’t put the ball in the hoop. The Blazers went 3-1 on a recent road trip, including a win in the Staples Center over the clippers, winning 98-88 as two-point favorites. They were on the court Saturday night, hosting Toronto before making the trek down the coast for tonight’s showdown.
Don’t worry about the fatigue, there are a lot of young legs in the Portland lineup that won’t be bothered by the quick turnaround. Guys like Brandon Roy, LaMarcus Aldridge and Nicolas Batum will have the energy and quickness to cause trouble for the Lakers tonight. In the middle they have veteran Marcus Camby who needs to give them blocked shots and rebounding today. He’s got to push Pau Gasol out of there and make life tough for him.
The Blazers have not let back-to-back games bother them in recent years, going 38-16 ATS in the last 54 on the second night of these consecutive games.
Portland cashed in two of the three games last season with the Lakers and went into Los Angeles and scored a 91-88 outright win as 2 ½-point pups. The Blazers have cashed in four of the last five meetings with the Lakers and seven of the last 10. Go back even further and they are 24-8 ATS in the last 32 meetings.
Los Angeles is just 1-4 ATS in its last five Sunday games dating back to last year and I’ve got to grab the points with Portland tonight to keep that streak going. Play the Blazers.
5♦ PORTLAND
SPORTS WAGERS
MONTREAL –6 over Toronto
This is a completely meaningless game for both teams but the Argos have more to risk in terms of injuries simply because they’ll play next week while the Als get a bye and will have two weeks to get healthy. So, like Montreal, the Boatmen will sit out many of their top players, including star running back Cory Boyd and kick returner Chad Owens, to avoid injuries. Cleo Lemon is slated to start but don’t expect him to play the whole game and in fact, it would be surprising to see him play at all in the second half. Lemon had a tough time hitting receivers he’s used to playing with and now he’s being asked to connect with guys he’s not used to playing with. That’s a problem and with no running game, one really has to question where the Argos points are going to come from. The Alouettes will sit out quarterback Anthony Calvillo, running back Avon Cobourne, receivers Ben Cahoon, Jamel Richardson and Kerry Watkins, guard Scott Flory, linebacker Chip Cox and rush end Anwar Stewart. Adrian McPherson will start in Calvillo's spot and he could definitely be dangerous. In the exact same situation a year ago, that being the final game of the season for both these clubs in Montreal, the Als came out and punished the Argos 42-17. The Als backups are superior to the Argos and McPherson and the rest of the backups will definitely want to make an impression. Just like last season, the Als are likely to bury this intruder again. Play: Montreal –6 +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on Philadelphia Eagles -3
With a bye week allowing Philly to get Michael Vick back, I like the Eagles at home this afternoon against an Indy team playing on a short week. It is certainly worth noting that the Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week. Looking back, Philly is a tremendous 17-5 ATS in its last 22 games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest, winning by an average score of 23.2 to 14.1 in these games. This just goes to show you how valuable an off week can be. The Eagles are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.0 points or less. Plus, the Colts are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Colts are an extremely banged up football team, so playing on a short week is doing them no favors. Plus, the Indy defense has really struggled to stop the run, ranking 28th in the league it that category. That will be the Achilles heel of the Colts today. Take Philly.
Michael Alexander
Indianapolis Colts vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Play: Indianapolis Colts +3
The Eagles are coming off a bye week and is hoping that Michael Vick will be back playing at the same high level prior to his injury. The Eagles are also on a 11-0 run post-bye week under Reid.
Convential wisdow would say that this pick is a no brainer as things look to be on the Eagles side, including the fact that Indy is coming off a short week after a big divisional battle with the Texans.
Before you jump that bandwagon, consider that Michael Vick has not played in a month and trying to come back from inactivity against a very quick and always underrated defense is not the best position to be in. In addition the Eagles have NFC East rivals Washington Redskins and the New York Giants up next, one Sunday Night and the other on Monday Night.
Supporting Angles: INDIANAPOLIS is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. Playing on road underdogs or pick (INDIANAPOLIS) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games is 39-16 ATS over the last 5 seasons
John Ryan
Indianapolis Colts at Philadelphia Eagles
Prediction: Indianapolis Colts
5* graded play on the Indianapolis Colts. The Philadelphia Eagles are coming off a BYE week and face the Indianapolis Colts, who are coming off a short week having won their game on Monday Night Football against the Houston Texans. Considering preparation time and physical rest the Eagles have a huge advantage in this game, but it is the Colts that will get my money Sunday afternoon.
The Colts have won three straight games and covered two of them with the third game being a push. They sit on top the AFC South division with a 5-2 mark, but Tennessee is just a half game behind at 5-3. The Colts rank second in the NFL gaining 306.3 passing yards per game and a solid 23rd gaining 96.6 rushing yards per game. Defensively, they rank 7th allowing 203.3 passing yards per game and 28th allowing 133.1 yards per game on the ground.
Eagles 11-0 run off of the BYE Week
Philadelphia comes off the BYE week, where head coach Andy Ried is on a remarkable 11-0 run in games played after the BYE week. Despite having two quarterbacks at the helm in Michael Vick and Kevin Kolb, the Eagles have surprisingly attained a consistent and balanced offense. They rank 9th gaining 243.3 passing yards per game and 9th gaining 129.3 yards on the ground. Defensively, they are middle of road ranking 11th allowing 206.1 passing yards per game and 18th allowing 109.9 rushing yards per game.
The Eagles with either quarterback have completed a high number of vertical pass plays this season. However, this strength will be removed from their arsenal as the Colts are arguably the best in keeping plays in front of them and not allowing big plays downfield. The Eagles wide receiver DeSean Jackson is back from a concussion, but is not expected to be a major factor in this game. The Colts have done a great job at containing No. 1 wide receivers this season and will do another great job against Jackson.
The Eagles secondary has been torched this season in the deep vertical passing game. The Colts will be able to run the ball against the Eagles and this sets up the best play action scheme in the NFL. Eagles cornerback Ellis Hobbs has been replaced by an unproven Dimitri Patterson so look for Manning to exploit him often and with success.
No Huddle
One feature that I am confident you will see is for Manning to unexpectedly go to the no-huddle. This scheme will prevent the Eagles from substituting defensive lineman into the game, which keeps the pass rush and blitz players fresh and at top performance. Manning will try to keep the same defense on the field and then look to target the biggest weakness on the field. The Eagles may be forced to waste a time-out if Manning starts to get on a roll with the no huddle scheme.
Technicals Favoring Colts
Looking at the technical side here is a system that supports the Colts and has produced a 39-16 ATS record for 71% winners since 2005. Play on road dogs and pick-em lines after having won three out of their last four games against opponent after having won four or five out of their last six games. I also like using the money line in this game as well and this bet is reinforced by a similar system that has produced a 36-15 mark for 70.6% winners making 28.6 units per one unit bet since 2000. Play on road teams in November with a money line of +130 to -150 after having won four out of their last five games.