Tom StrykerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Green Bay Packers @ Washington Redskins
PICK: Green Bay Packers -2.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Green Bay heads to the nation's capital without two of its best players. Running back Ryan Grant (ankle) and safety Morgan Burnett (knee) are both out for this game against Washington and there's a really good chance the Packers will have LB Nick Barnett (wrist) on the shelf too. Even with those injuries, I still favor the Cheeseheads minus the points in this contest.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Washington enters this non-division battle off a huge emotional win at Philadelphia last Sunday. For Redskins QB Donovan McNabb it was probably comparable to a Super Bowl victory. McNabb directed the Eagles offense for years and he really wanted that "W". The Skins helped him get it. Now, for an encore performance, Washington gets to tackle a Green Bay bunch that is upset about its 3-1 SU record. The Packers have lofty goals this season and they're simply not happing about the way they're playing right now.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Offensively, Green Bay signal caller Aaron Rodgers is playing at a high level. Through four games, Rodgers has passed for 940 yards and eight touchdowns. There's an excellent chance that Aaron will have a huge afternoon too. In case you haven't noticed, the Redskins own one of the NFL's worst pass defenses. Washington is currently ranked 31st in the league allowing an average of 305 total yards per game. Only Houston (with 338 ypg avg) is worse! Packers QB Rodgers is a precision passer and he will be able to carve up this struggling Redskins secondary.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Technically speaking, there are a couple of reasons to like the Cheeseheads here too. On foreign soil, the Pack has played extremely well posting a profitable 20-9 ATS record. Meanwhile, Washington has struggled at home lately notching a soft 9-17-3 ATS mark in its last 29 games. Also, since 1998, NFL non-division home dogs are a poor 7-18 SU and 9-16 ATS provided they enter off a straight up road dog division win.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
In last week's victory over the Lions, the Packers offense managed just 261 total yards and failed to score in the second half. That fact didn't sit too well with QB Rodgers and he'll make darn sure his troops find the endzone on Sunday. Take Green Bay.
Jimmy BoydFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
1 Unit on Green Bay Packers -2
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Washington offense has only been impressive in one game this season, and that performance was against one of the worst secondaries in the NFL (Houston). Up against a much better defense today, I expect the Washington "O" to continue to struggle. And considering Aaron Rodgers and company have scored 27 or more points in 3 of 4 games, without even hitting on all cylinders, the Redskins could be in trouble. Washington was lit up through the air by Matt Schaub, and I expect Rodgers to do a number on the Skins today. Green Bay should really be motivated by its lackluster performance against Detroit last week. In fact, the Packers are a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games following a win by 6 or less points under coach McCarthy. The Packers have won these games by an average score of 32.5 to 15.3. Advantage Green Bay. Lay the points.
Triple Threat SportsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Eagles vs NinersFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Eagles (+)FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
We lean with Philadelphia in this game, as while all the attention is given to how the Niners had the game won last week, note that they were outgained by almost 100 yards in that game, what they were calling their "Super Bowl", and also note that at 0-4 Frisco's best game this season came when they got a backdoor cover against the Saints. We like the points here, and it would be an official Sunday Night Club release if it were not Kevin Kolb's first NFL road start.
JIM FEIST
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS / OAKLAND RAIDERS
PLAY: OAKLAND RAIDERS
The Chargers (2-2/ATS) have started 2-3 each of their previous three seasons under Norv Turner and are continuing that bungling tradition, despite being favored in their first three games. The offense is still uptempo under QB Phillip Rivers (9 TDs, 4 picks). The loss of WR Vincent Jackson is significant, however this offense is still No. 1 in the NFL in total yards. They have been up and down, routing the Jaguars one week (38-13, with 477 yards), then playing sloppy (5 turnovers) in a 27-20 loss at Seattle. The Raiders (1-3 SU/2-2 ATS) QB Bruce Gradkowski (4TDs, 4 INTs) is running the offense, RB Darren McFadden has been hot and cold and they like to play it safe with TE Zach Miller the main passing target. Raiders new offense coordinator Hue Jackson wants offensive balance, so they like to throw short. There is still a concern with this Oakland offensive line, with their QBs being sacked 13 times in four games. Quarterback Bruce Gradkowski threw for 278 yards and two touchdowns but was constantly under pressure. The Raiders can still take advantage of the early struggles of the Chargers here on Sunday. Getting points at home is a big plus here. Sure, the Chargers have the better talent, but you can't discount the Raiders home crowd. If they can cut down the turnovers here on Sunday the Raiders will cover this game.
John RyanFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
St. Louis Rams at Detroit Lions
Prediction: St. Louis Rams
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Both teams have had horrid past seasons, but both now appear to be heading in a far better direction. Detroit is 0-4, but have lost games by five, three, and two points and could have been 3-1 with a few breaks going there way. The Rams are tied for the NFC West lead at just 2-2. They lost the first two games, but have won two straight impressive wins over Washington and Seattle.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Rams Steven Jackson has not rushed for more than 100 yards in a game this season. This will all change given that Detroit is allowing 135 yards per game (4.8 yards per carry) ranking 25th (29th) in the NFL. Detroit?s Ndamukong Suh may be difficult for the Rams offensive line to block and get any sort of push downfield. Rams guard Adam Goldberg will have his hands full blocking Suh, but if he can handle him some of the plays without help the running game will explode. They can use a TE to double team and move him laterally to open up holes for the running game.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Bradford has proven in the last two games that he has the tools to be an elite NFL quarterback. With a strong running game he will have the luxury of using play action pass plays when the Detroit safeties are in the box for run support. The Lions secondary allows a poor eight yards per pass attempt so look for Bradford to make high percentage throws to multiple receivers throughout the game.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
I like the Rams to continue their winning ways and they are supported by a system that has produced a 51-23 ATS mark for 69% winners since 1983. Play against home favorites with an opportunistic defense that are forcing 2.5 or more turnovers per game and after 2 consecutive games where they committed 3 or more turnovers. Here is a MONEY LINE system that has gone 29-10 making 19.1 units for 74.4% winners since 2005. Play against home teams using the money line off a road loss against a division rival and has a winning percentage of 25% or less for the season. Take the Rams.
VEGAS EXPERTSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
St. Louis Rans at Detroit Lions
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
We look for the Lions to get their first win of the season today, at home vs. the surprising St. Louis Rams. While its true St. Louis has the third best point differential in the NFC this year at +25, revenge is a key motivator here as the Rams only win of '09 came here in the Motor City. Three of Detroit's losses have come by a combined 10 points, so they're playing tough and we can't see them slipping to 0-5.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play on: Detroit
Michael AlexanderFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
New York Giants vs. Houston Texans
Play: Houston Texans -3FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Giants are coming of a smacking of the Chicago Bears last Sunday. Over all on the season the Giants offense has been very incosistent and today will be on the road versus a team who they really don't know. In addition, they have two injured offensive linemen and veteran defensive leader, Keith Bulluck, will be out as well.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Houston imploys a zone-blocking running scheme that the Giants don't really play against and certainly won't get the 10 sacks that they got last week versus the Bears. They will be facing a very potent offense so they will have little margin for error. This season the Giants’ defense has allowed a lot of yards and points to offenses they have faced who have a tendency to gain big yard and score a lot of points. Houston has scored over 30 twice, and over 40 as well this season.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Supporting Angles: HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS vs. teams allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. Road teams who are outgaining their opponents by 50 or more yards/game, after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game (NY GIANTS) 17-43 ATS
Tony GeorgeFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Atlanta Falcons vs. Cleveland Browns
Play: Atlanta Falcons -3
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Too much talent and firepower on the side of Atlanta here. Atlanta a great road bet as of late at 4-1 ATS their last 5 roadies. Atlanta is a solid cover team, a better team in this matchup and with all the weapons at QB Ryans disposal, they have enough in the tank to get over on the Browns here by 7.
Scott RickenbachFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Rams @ LionsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Under 42.5FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Lions faced the high powered offense of the Packers last week and the game flew over the total. Green Bay got a big early lead in that game and then the defense relaxed and the Lions climbed back into it. This week the scenario is quite different as the Rams want nothing to do with a high-scoring aerial assault. Just like last week's 20-3 win over the Seahawks (a winner for us right here with the under) look for St Louis to come up with another big effort on defense. At the same time, the Rams will be content to just control the clock on offense and "manage the game" to avoid the upset. Keep in mind, the Lions offense has picked up it's positive stats in garbage time for the most part. There will be no garbage time here in what should be a tighter, low-scoring game. The Rams are 6-1 to the under the last 3 seasons in games where the line is between +3 and -3 points. Consider a small play on UNDER the total in Detroit in early Sunday action.
Tom FreeseFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Falcons vs. Browns
Play: Under 41FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Cleveland has scored just 68 points their for games this year. The Browns are 8-3 UNDER their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their last game. The Browns are 5-2-1 UNDER their last 8 home games when the Total is 0.5 to 3.0. Atlanta has scored 93 points in their 4 games this year. The Falcons are 8-2 UNDER their last 10 games overall and they are 20-5 UNDER after passing for more than 250 yards in their last game. The Falcons are 7-3 UNDER their last 10 October games and they are 37-18-2 UNDER off a straight up win.
Dwayne BryantFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Saints at Cardinals Under 46
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Expect a conservative gameplan from Arizona. Inexperienced Max Hall will be under center for the Cardinals, and Arizona's only big offensive weapon, Larry Fitzgerald, will see plenty of attention from the Saints defense. Their only hope of keeping this game close is to pound it on the ground with Beanie Wells and Tim Hightower. God knows that Arizona defense does NOT want to be on the field much against Drew Brees and the Saints offense. Speaking of Brees and the Saints offense, they have yet to really explode on anyone this season. Brees is banged up and being without Reggie Bush and Pierre Thomas has definitely affected the potency of their attack. I love that we have the very key number of 45 covered here. A small action wager on the UNDER looks like a winner to me.
Derek ManciniFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Chicago (+3) at CAROLINA
Overreaction to injury is one of the biggest killers for your everyday average bettor. Yes, Cutler is hurt. But he is not worthy of the kind of line swing we've seen in this contest. Fact is the Bears defense could win this game on their own, facing an anemic Panthers offense, who'll have trouble doing anything this afternoon.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Herein lies the problem for the Panthers, as their offense is predicated on being able to run the ball. Good luck on that one against a VERY stout Bears run defense, which allows 113 rushing yards/game (3.3 yards per carry). The Panthers two-heads monster on Williams and Stewart has gotten off to a slow start this season specifically because defenses can stack the box, and the Bears will follow the same blueprint today.
On the offensive side, I'm not too worried about Todd Collins. I'm well aware of his limitations, and lack of arm strength, but he's very familiar with the Mike Martz system, and should do fine slinging it to his short/intermediate routes all game long. Panthers are terrible against the pass, and Collins has proven an effective signal caller in short spurts.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Don't get caught overreacting to the Cutler injury, especially with the Bears coming off such a terrible loss last week. Nothing like a 17-3 ass whipping to get them back on track, which is exactly what I expect here today. Chicago will foce Clausen to beat them, and in that case, I'll take the Bears plus the points everytime. Chicago plus the points over Carolina Sunday.
3♦ CHICAGO
Chuck O'BrienFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
St. Louis at DETROIT (-3)
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Now for your first of two NFL complimentary selections on Sunday, take the Lions and give the field goal against St. Louis.
You have to love the way St. Louis – and in particular rookie QB Sam Bradford – performed through the first month of the season. In fact, with a couple of breaks, the Rams could be 4-0 right now (their two losses to the Cardinals and Raiders were by a combined six points). That said, the Lions are also a couple of breaks away from having a completely different season – they suffered that brutal loss at Chicago on opening day when WR Calvin Johnson’s game-winning TD catch was ruled incomplete, and Detroit has also suffered close losses to the Eagles (35-32) and Packers (28-26).
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Lions actually outgained both Philadelphia and Green Bay, and in fact last week at Lambeau Field they rolled up 431 total yards and held Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to just 261 yards (169 passing) while controlling the football for more than 37 minutes.
Bradford and the Rams are playing just their second road game of the season, and even though the final score showed a two-point loss at Oakland, the boxscore showed that St. Louis got dominated in all phases (the Raiders had a 173-75 rushing edge, a 231-135 passing edge, a 20-12 edge in first downs and a 37 minute to 23 minute edge in time of possession). The Rams only got the spread-cover by scoring a meaningless touchdown (with barely three minutes to play).
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Although I don’t usually put a lot of credence in revenge situations in the NFL, the fact is the Rams’ only victory last season was a 17-10 triumph in Detroit, and you have to think the Lions haven’t forgotten it. The bottom line here is after three near misses, the home team is desperate to get in the win column, and with this short pointspread the winner here almost certainly will cover the number. And the fact is I just don’t see the Rams – who won six games combined the previous three seasons – winning their third in a row, not with a rookie QB making just his second career road start.
2♦ DETROIT
Stephen NoverFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
St. Louis at DETROIT
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
I'm going to take the Under with the St. Louis/Detroit game.
The Rams are a somewhat surprising 2-2 and legitimate contenders to win the NFC West. The reality, though, is the NFC West is a joke division and the Rams still have a major talent deficiency. Their lack of talent can really show on the road.
This is something Steve Spagnuolo knows. The Rams have averaged 15.6 points in three of their four games. This isn't going to be a Sam Bradford aerial circus despite Detroit's inviting secondary. The Rams don't have the pass blocking to beat Detroit on the road this way.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Instead, look for the Rams to feed Steven Jackson a lot of carries and play clock management. That was their key in beating the Lions on the road last year, 17-10. Jackson had 27 touches in that game.
Don't be fooled by Shaun Hill passing for 331 yards and two touchdowns last week on the road against Green Bay. Hill is a dink-and-dunker. The Packers made it easy for him by being too overly concerned about Calvin Johnson and thus sitting in too much zone coverage to protect their rookie safety.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Rams' pass defense is improved this season. Johnson is a load, but Jahvid Best won't be at his best. He has a turf toe injury, which is made worse when playing on artificial turf. His minutes may be limited because of that.
St. Louis ranks fourth in scoring defense allowing just 13 points per game. The under has cashed in six of St. Louis' last seven games.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
2♦ ST. LOUIS/DETROIT UNDER
Karl GarrettFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Atlanta at CLEVELAND (+3)
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Atlanta Falcons have been living on the edge these last couple of weeks, as they needed a missed chip-shot field goal by the Saints in New Orleans a few weeks back before prevailing in overtime against the defending Super Bowl champs, and last week they needed a Roddy White ball strip off a Matt Ryan interception to avoid losing to the 49ers.
I have a feeling they are not going to be so lucky today against a Cleveland team that had their break through win last week at home against bitter-rival Cincinnati.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Cleveland has actually led in the 4th quarter in all 4 of their games this season, and they have covered in their last pair of games in the underdog role.
Atlanta has failed 2 of their last 3 as the favorite, and I see them failing again today.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Good spot for the Brownies to notch another upset win.
Take the points with the host.
1♦ CLEVELAND
Chuck O'BrienFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Atlanta at CLEVELAND (+3)
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Now for your second NFL complimentary selection on Sunday, take the Browns plus the points at home against the Falcons.
You probably don’t realize it because Cleveland rarely receives any positive publicity, but the Browns – who are coming off a 23-20 upset victory over Cincinnati as a three-point home underdog – are 12 points away from being unbeaten. They lost their first two games to the Bucs (17-14) and Chiefs (16-14) by a combined five points, then blew a 17-14 fourth-quarter lead at Baltimore in Week 3. In fact, Cleveland has had a fourth quarter lead in every single game this season.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
This is a very tricky spot for the Falcons, who expended a lot of energy the last two weeks in rallying for last-second victories over the Saints (27-24 on the road in overtime) and 49ers (16-14 at home). Both of Atlanta’s roadies have gone into extra time (it lost 15-9 in OT at Pittsburgh on opening day), so aside from a 41-7 home rout of the crappy Cardinals, everyone of the Falcons’ games (like Cleveland’s) have been tight.
Although these teams meet infrequently, note that the Browns are 3-0 SU and ATS against Atlanta since rejoining the NFL. Also, Cleveland has been a big moneymaker of late, cashing in nine of its last 11 overall, five of six at home, seven of eight as an underdog and nine of 10 in October.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
These teams are more evenly matched than most observers understand, and because of the situation with the Falcons coming off two down-to-the-wire wins, I’m convinced the wrong team is favored here.
4♦ CLEVELAND
Michael CannonFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Green Bay (-2') at WASHINGTON
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Take the Packers as the road chalk over the Redskins.
I know Green Bay has been sputtering the last few weeks, but this is a great spot for the Packers to get back on track.
Washington is coming off an emotional win over Philadelphia last week. You know the Redskins were sky high for that game and wanted nothing more than to deliver the win for Donovan McNabb.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
But it’s going to be tough for the ‘Skins to reach that emotional level two weeks in a row.
There’s been a lot of talk about how talented Washington’s secondary is. If that’s the case, why are the ‘Skins ranked No. 31 in the league in pass defense?
Believe me, Aaron Rodgers is going to shred this secondary and the Redskins just don’t have the firepower to keep up.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Green Bay is on a 6-0-1 ATS run in this series and Washington coach Mike Shanahan is 5-14-1 ATS in his career at home off a SU underdog win.
Take the Packers for the road win and cover.
3♦ GREEN BAY
Derek ManciniFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Green Bay at WASHINGTON (+2')
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The public is going to pay for their unabashed love of Aaron Rodgers and the Packers today in Washington. Say what you will about Green Bay's passing attack, but you can't win games as a one-dimensional offense in the NFL. You have to at least pretend like you can run the ball! Packers were everyone's pick in the preseason, but the injury to Ryan Grant has set them back tremendously, and the results the last two weeks prove it: Outright loss at Chicago, near loss and failure to cover against Detroit at home!
Redskins will overplay the pass, and force Jackson/Kuhn to make some plays, which of course they won't (the slowest RB tandem in the NFL). Granted, I know Washington has struggled against the pass, but look who they've played and understand the match up. They got torched against Houston and at St. Louis, but both of those teams have something the Packers don't... A running game. Washington has some talent in the secondary, and you better believe they'll be putting a multitude of DBs and cover linebackers out there today.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Finally, the line on this contest should send up red flags. Its simply too easy to bet the Packers here. Public perception is the Redskins are a middle of the road team, who struggle against the pass. So rationally the public has jumped all over the Packers in this spot, at this price. Big mistake. That's exactly what the oddsmakers were hoping for, and I'm not taking the bait. Take Washington plus the points over Green Bay Sunday.
2♦ WASHINGTON
Stephen NoverFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
NY Giants at HOUSTON
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Texans have the second-stingiest run defense in the NFL. They also have the worst pass defense by far giving up 337 yards through the air per game. The next worst team, Washington, allows 305 yards passing. Because of this, the Texans rank last in total defense.
Star linebacker Brian Cushing returns for Houston in this matchup after being suspended for the first four games. He helps the run a lot more than the pass defense.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Giants have one legitimate running back these days, Ahmad Bradshaw. He's dealing with an ankle injury, though. Houston's star pass rusher, Mario Williams, has a groin injury.
What does all of this say? It tells me the Giants are going to throw and throw. New York's three top wide receivers rank among the best trios in the league. Eli Manning will go to them all day in this matchup.
The Texans have an explosive offense made even more dangerous by the emergence of Arian Foster into an elite back. Foster has rushed for 537 yards, which is 126 yards more than the No. 2 runner. His 6.3 average is the best among ballcarriers with more than 35 carries.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Matt Schaub should have his star wide receiver Andre Johnson back after Johnson missed last week with a sprained ankle. The Giants' defensive back seven is slow and hobbled by injuries. Linebacker/defensive end Mathias Kiwanuka and linebacker Keith Bulluck are both out. Strong safety Kenny Phillips, the key to New York's secondary, has a sprained MCL and may not play either.
Both teams have over tendencies. Houston is 4-1-1 over in its last six games, while the Giants have gone over in seven of their last nine games. Note, too, the Giants have gone over the past six times they've been underdogs.
3♦ NY GIANTS/HOUSTON OVER
Scott DelaneyFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
New Orleans (-6) at ARIZONA
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
6-Point Teaser
I'm going to play a couple of 6-point favorites and tease them to pick'em games. I just need San Diego and New Orleans to win their ball games - it's that simple.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
With the Chargers, we saw how dominating they can be against inferior teams last week, when they demolished the Cardinals. I don't care the Raiders are an AFC West-rival, it won't make any difference.
The team 'committed to excellence' in this series is San Diego, which has covered 11 of the last 14 meetings and rolls into this one on an 18-8 ATS run in the month of October. And remember, I just need a win.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Raiders don't have the offensive personnel to match San Diego's firepower. The Chargers have been seen their running game surge, as it pounds away at defenses that are susceptible to the run, ahem, like the Raiders.
Oakland is going to be with out Darren McFadden and Michael Bennett, which means quarterback Bruce Gradkowski will shoulder the burden, and he's working with a sore shoulder - no pun intended. The Chargers are winning this game.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
As for the Saints, they're not going to have any trouble coming West, to play in an indoor stadium to light things up. That offense will be on display, and there's nothing the hapless Cardinals will be able to do about it.
This is such a similar game as the Chargers-Raiders, because the depleted Cardinals just don't have the firepower they had when they went to the Super Bowl a couple years ago. Arizona is putting Max Hall under center, and that's one helluva chore, to be a rookie thrust into his first start and it's against the defending Super Bowl champs.
I'll side with Drew Brees, who leads the NFL with a 73.8 completion percentage (118-of-160) and is due for a breakout game, as he's averaging a shocking 5.48 yards in average pass length. Play the Saints in your second leg of this teaser.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
5♦ TEASER - CHARGERS/SAINTS
Chris JordanFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
New Orleans (-6) at ARIZONA
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Max Hall is in at quarterback for the Cardinals, and the defending champs are coming in for a visit. Sounds like more problems for a terrible Arizona team.
Put is this way, with a veteran under center, and against formidable football teams - Atlanta and San Diego - the Cardinals are 0-2 with a combined thumping of 82-17. I'd have to say the Saints are as good as the Dirty Birds and Bolts.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Saints are the best team in football at capitalizing off of opponent’s mistakes, and what I'm looking for today is a defensive stand that will rattle Hall all day, and force errant passes and bad decisions.
This is the perfect spot for the Saints to surge and produce the blowout win that's escaped them thus far. After leading the NFL in points (31.9) and yards (403.8) per game in 2009, the 3-1 Saints are averaging 19.8 points and 344.0 yards this season.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Said quarterback Drew Brees, who completed 33 of 48 passes for 275 yards and a touchdown in last Sunday's 16-14 win over Carolina: "We're not satisfied with the way we're playing, not putting up more than an average of 20 points a game."
Sounds like he and his teammates are out for blood today, and that will spell trouble for the Saints' porous defense. Lay the chalk in this one.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
4♦ NEW ORLEANS
Michael CannonFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
San Diego at OAKLAND
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Take the over in today’s San Diego-Oakland battle.
There’s no question the Chargers can put the points on the board. Philip Rivers leads a high-powered passing attack, but he’s also got a solid ground game which features converted fullback Mike Tolbert, who rumbled for 100 yards last week.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Raiders are also capable of scoring since they inserted Bruce Gradkowski as the starting quarterback. Gradkowski is an overachiever who is making the most of his opportunity since taking over for Jason Campbell in Week 2.
These two have played over in 14 of the last 21 meetings.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Take the over as that trend continues.
3♦ OVER
Karl GarrettFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
San Diego (-6') at OAKLAND
With Oakland's injuries starting to mount, I will side with the visiting Chargers to continue their series dominance over their division-rival.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
San Diego is on a 13-game straight up series win streak which happens to be the longest current winning streak in the NFL for one team over another, and the Bolts are 11-3 against the spread the last 14 series meetings, covering 7 of their last 8 in the Black Hole.
Phillip Rivers has been running a smooth machine for Diego, as the Chargers put up 41 points in last week's blowout of Arizona.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Chargers stand at just 2-2 straight up this season, but with Oakland appearing snake-bit after losing close ones to both Arizona and Houston the last 2 weeks, G-Man will look for the Raiders to be in a severe letdown spot today, and for the Chargers to make it 8 of 9 covers in Oakland after the road win over the Raiders this afternoon.
3♦ SAN DIEGO
Joel TysonFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Philadelphia at SAN FRANCISCO (-3')
Talk about a team that could use a win, the San Francisco 49ers are now 0-4 after completing a preseason that saw them win all 4 games on their dance card.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
I think they have a strong chance of busting their cherry tonight against a Philadelphia team that is no without Michael Vick at QB, and will also have a compromised runner in McCoy.
Philadelphia failed their only try thus far as an underdog, losing to Green Bay on the opening week of the season, and they are 0 for their last 3 in the road dog role dating back to last season.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
San Fran is not only 0-4 this year, but they are also 0-4 both straight up and against the spread since 2005 in games played against the Eagles.
With the primetime lights shining on the bay area for this one, expect the 49ers to throw it all at the Eagles in hopes of getting their first win of the campaign.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Go with 'Frisco to notch the win and cover.
3♦ SAN FRANCISCO
Bobby MaxwellFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Philadelphia (+3') at SAN FRANCISCO
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
As for my comp play, I know Michael Vick was playing out of his mind for about three weeks, but now with him out are the Eagles any worse off than where they were coming into this season? No. They are back with original starter, the guy who earned the job in training camp, Kevin Kolb and he’ll show why he was the original starter tonight when he leads Philadelphia into San Francisco.
Kolb threw for 201 yards last week after Vick went out, but the damage had been done and the Eagles fell to the Redskins. Kolb will be helped by the development of LeSean McCoy who has rushed for 273 yards and four TDs for the Eagles this season. He serves as a great outlet pass if Kolb can’t find deep-play threats DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin open.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Philadelphia has won four in a row against San Francisco and the Eagles have come into Candlestick Park and taken three straight games. It was 2008 the last time Philly came to San Francisco and delivered a huge 40-26 beatdown as 4 ½ point favorites. The Eagles are 4-09 ATS since 2005 and 5-1 since 2002 against the Niners.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
It’s been a disastrous start to the season for San Francisco, losing four straight games, including last week’s in excruciating fashion when they intercepted Atlanta and looked to have it wrapped up only to fumble it back to the Falcons who then went down and kicked the game-winning FG. The Niners offense is averaging an NFC worst 251.5 yards per game and just 13 points per contest. This is likely the last chance QB Alex Smith will get to start if he struggles against the Eagles’ defense.
San Francisco is on ATS skids of 2-7-1 in October, 0-5-1 ATS after a spread-cover and 1-3-1 as a favorite. On the opposite side, the Eagles are on ATS surges of 11-4 as a road ‘dog and 7-1 as a road ‘dog of 3 ½ to 10 points.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Grab the points and play the Eagles. Even if they don’t win it outright, they aren’t losing this one by more than a field goal.
2♦ PHILADELPHIA
Bobby Maxwell
San Francisco at ATLANTA (-130)
Big FREE winner coming today in the baseball playoffs as I go with the Braves to get Game 3 in Atlanta over the Giants and take a 2-1 lead in this best-of-5 series.
As for my comp play, Atlanta is the best home team in all of baseball at 56-25 and the Braves are sending ace Tim Hudson (17-9, 2.83 ERA) to the mound tonight to get them a 2-1 advantage over the Giants and lefty Jonathan Sanchez (13-9, 3.07 ERA).
Hudson has been nasty at home this season at 11-5 with a 2.48 ERA and in the daytime the guy was 7-1 with a 2.30 ERA. The Braves won his last two home outings as he downed the Marlins and Phillies. He made two starts against the Giants this season, including a dominating eight-inning performance back on August 7 in Atlanta, shutting San Francisco out on three hits and striking out 6 in the 3-0 victory. The Braves have won four of his last five outings against the Giants, including three straight at home.
Sanchez was very good down the stretch for the Giants, but he has struggled in five career starts against the Braves. Back on August 8, he pitched in Atlanta and allowed four runs on five hits in just four innings and lost 6-3. In two career outings in Atlanta, he’s allowed seven runs in 10 innings and lost both starts.
Sanchez is much more susceptible on the road than in that big ballpark in San Francisco and don’t be surprised to see the Braves take him deep a few times.
Atlanta is riding several streaks when Hudson takes the mound, including 35-17 when he’s a home favorite, 21-7 against N.L. West teams, 8-2 at home overall and 8-1 at home against winning teams. As a team, the Braves come in on streaks of 51-21 at home, 24-10 at home against winning teams and 22-4 as a home favorite of up to -150.
San Francisco is just 2-6 in its last eight games in Atlanta. I’m loving the Braves in front of the home fans today. Lay the price and play Atlanta.
4♦ ATLANTA
Chris Jordan
San Francisco at ATLANTA (-130)
The Giants had a chance to lock this thing up by simply winning Game 2. But that comeback win by the Braves not only breathed new life into the wild card entry, but I think they may have locked up the series. I don't think this one goes back to Frisco.
It doesn't matter the adversity, it appears the Braves are destined to prolong Bobby Cox's farewell season.
Today, with the series tied one game apiece, I suspect Turner Field will be absolutely insane, as the crowd will be looking for the Braves to take a 2-1 lead and pushing the Giants to the brink of elimination with Game 4 in Atlanta as well.
I realize the Braves are likely without their closer - another injury, what else is new - but I like veteran Timmy Hudson to get back on track in time. The right-hander was a top Cy Young Award candidate before hitting a rough patch in September. Nonetheless, he impressed during his final two starts and came into the postseason with some renewed confidence.
He should have plenty of momentum against Frisco, as he allowed just two runs in 15 innings versus the Giants this season. List both and play the Braves.
3♦ ATLANTA
Hollywood SportsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys
Prediction: Tennessee Titans
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Much has been said about how strong Dallas is coming off their bye week (5-1 ATS over the last six years) but this conventional wisdom may have raised the line in this situation. Despite their urgent 27-13 win over Houston two weeks ago, there are still plenty of problems in Dallas that must be addressed. First among them, the Cowboys must return to their running game that is producing only 80 rushing YPG (26th in the NFL). Look for a fierce battle in the trenches between both teams here. Tennessee has a very good defense that ranks 9th in both points allowed (17 PPG) and yards allowed (302.8 YPG). Jeff Fisher's club is very tough in this spot as they have covered ten of their last twelve games as an underdog in the 3.5-10 point range. This will be a close game played within a touchdown margin. Taking the underdog is offers a nice proposition. Take Tennessee with the points.
Larry NessFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Tennessee Titans @ Dallas Cowboys
PICK: Dallas Cowboys -7
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Dallas returns from its bye week at 1-2. The Cowboys 'saved' their season in Week 3 with a 27-13 win at Houston (then 2-0) but a win here is just as important. The Titans got 'torched' by Denver's Kyle Orton last Sunday (35-of-50 for 341 yards) and why won't Romo (68.8% while averaging 313.3 YPG passing) have similar success? The Cowboys have won all three games coming out of a bye under Phillips and actually have won at least three consecutive games under this coaching 'genius,' following bye week. Vince Young's first NFL start was four years ago against and it didn't go well (14-of-29 with one TD and two INTs, two sacks, one fumble and just three yards rushing). The Titans aren't sure which QB to use and Chris Johnson has been inconsistent, something the Titans CAN'T afford. Dallas owns a recent habit of playing well off their bye week (5-0 SU and ATS) and uses a convincing win over the Titans to get themselves back into the NFC East 'hunt.' Lay it with Dallas.